A posteriori error estimate of the discontinuous-streamline diffusion method for first-order hyperbolic equations was presented, which can be used to adjust space mesh reasonably. A numerical example is given to illus...A posteriori error estimate of the discontinuous-streamline diffusion method for first-order hyperbolic equations was presented, which can be used to adjust space mesh reasonably. A numerical example is given to illustrate the accuracy and feasibility of this method.展开更多
In this paper, we propose a log-normal linear model whose errors are first-order correlated, and suggest a two-stage method for the efficient estimation of the conditional mean of the response variable at the original...In this paper, we propose a log-normal linear model whose errors are first-order correlated, and suggest a two-stage method for the efficient estimation of the conditional mean of the response variable at the original scale. We obtain two estimators which minimize the asymptotic mean squared error （MM） and the asymptotic bias （MB）, respectively. Both the estimators are very easy to implement, and simulation studies show that they are perform better.展开更多
Consider the model Yt = βYt-1＋g（Yt-2）＋εt for 3 〈 t 〈 T. Hereg is anunknown function, β is an unknown parameter, εt are i.i.d, random errors with mean 0 andvariance σ2 and the fourth moment α4, and α4 are ...Consider the model Yt = βYt-1＋g（Yt-2）＋εt for 3 〈 t 〈 T. Hereg is anunknown function, β is an unknown parameter, εt are i.i.d, random errors with mean 0 andvariance σ2 and the fourth moment α4, and α4 are independent of Y8 for all t ≥ 3 and s = 1, 2.Pseudo-LS estimators σ, σ2T α4τ and D2T of σ^2,α4 and Var（ε2↑3） are respectively constructedbased on piecewise polynomial approximator of g. The weak consistency of α4T and D2T are proved. The asymptotic normality of σ2T is given, i.e., √T（σ2T -σ^2）/DT converges indistribution to N（0, 1）. The result can be used to establish large sample interval estimatesof σ^2 or to make large sample tests for σ^2.展开更多
In this paper, we consider the initial-boundary value problem of two-dimensional first-order linear hyperbolic equation with variable coefficients. By using the upwind difference method to discretize the spatial deriv...In this paper, we consider the initial-boundary value problem of two-dimensional first-order linear hyperbolic equation with variable coefficients. By using the upwind difference method to discretize the spatial derivative term and the forward and backward Euler method to discretize the time derivative term, the explicit and implicit upwind difference schemes are obtained respectively. It is proved that the explicit upwind scheme is conditionally stable and the implicit upwind scheme is unconditionally stable. Then the convergence of the schemes is derived. Numerical examples verify the results of theoretical analysis.展开更多
The conventional feedforward hybrid active noise control(FFHANC)system combines the advantages of the feedforward narrowband active noise control(FFNANC)system and the feedforward broadband active noise control(FFBANC...The conventional feedforward hybrid active noise control(FFHANC)system combines the advantages of the feedforward narrowband active noise control(FFNANC)system and the feedforward broadband active noise control(FFBANC)system.To enhance its adaptive adjustment capability under frequency mismatch(FM)conditions,this paper introduces a narrowband frequency adaptive estimation module into the conventional FFHANC system.This module integrates an autoregressive(AR)model and a linear cascaded adaptive notch filter(LCANF),enabling accurate reference signal frequency estimation even under significant FM.Furthermore,in order to improve the coherence between narrowband and broadband components in the system’s error signal and its corresponding control filter for the conventional FFHANC system,this paper proposes an algorithm based on autoregressive bandpass filter bank(AR-BPFB)for error separation.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed FFHANC system maintains robust performance under high FM conditions and effectively suppresses hybrid-band noise.The AR-BPFB algorithm significantly elevates the convergence speed of the FFHANC system.展开更多
As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially...As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially over time, for example the financial series, so it is necessary to consider the autocorrelated structure of errors in functional regression background. To this end, this paper considers a multiple functional linear model with autoregressive errors. Based on the functional principal component analysis, we apply the least square procedure to estimate the functional coefficients and autoregression coefficients. Under some regular conditions, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the finite sample performance of our estimators. A real example on China's weather data is applied to illustrate the validity of our model.展开更多
This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characte...This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characteristics of autocorrelation function （ACF） and partial autocorrelation function （PACF）, an autoregressive integrated moving average （ARIMA） model is roughly constructed. The rough model is optimized by combining with Akaike＇s information criterion （A/C）, and the parameters are estimated based on the least squares algorithm. After validation testing, the model is utilized to forecast the next output on the basis of the previous measurement. When the difference between the measurement and its prediction exceeds the defined threshold, the measurement is identified as a gross error and remedied by its prediction. A case study on the yaw rate is performed to illustrate the developed algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach can effectively distinguish gross errors and make some reasonable remedies.展开更多
In this article,we study the empirical likelihood(EL)method for autoregressive models with spatial errors.The EL ratio statistics are constructed for the parameters of the models.It is shown that the limiting distribu...In this article,we study the empirical likelihood(EL)method for autoregressive models with spatial errors.The EL ratio statistics are constructed for the parameters of the models.It is shown that the limiting distributions of the EL ratio statistics are chi-square distributions,which are used to construct confidence intervals for the parameters of the models.A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances of the EL based and the normal approximation(NA)based confidence intervals.Simulation results show that the confidence intervals based on EL are superior to the NA based confidence intervals.展开更多
Forecasts can either be short term, medium term or long term. In this work we considered short term forecast because of the problem of limited data or time series data that is often encounter in time series analysis. ...Forecasts can either be short term, medium term or long term. In this work we considered short term forecast because of the problem of limited data or time series data that is often encounter in time series analysis. This simulation study considered the performances of the classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR for short term series at different levels of collinearity and correlated error terms. The results from 10,000 iteration revealed that the BVAR models are excellent for time series length of T=8 for all levels of collinearity while the classical VAR is effective for time series length of T=16 for all collinearity levels except when ρ = -0.9 and ρ = -0.95. We therefore recommended that for effective short term forecasting, the time series length, forecasting horizon and the collinearity level should be considered.展开更多
It is well known that a high degree of positive dependency among the errors generally leads to 1) serious underestimation of standard errors for regression coefficients;2) prediction intervals that are excessively wid...It is well known that a high degree of positive dependency among the errors generally leads to 1) serious underestimation of standard errors for regression coefficients;2) prediction intervals that are excessively wide. This paper set out to study the performances of classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR models in the presence of autocorrelated errors. Autocorrelation levels of (-0.99, -0.95, -0.9, -0.85, -0.8, 0.8, 0.85, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99) were considered for short term (T = 8, 16);medium term (T = 32, 64) and long term (T = 128, 256). The results from 10,000 simulation revealed that BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for negative autocorrelations and BVAR model with tight prior is suitable for positive autocorrelations in the short term. While for medium term, the BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for the autocorrelation levels considered except in few cases. Lastly, for long term, the classical VAR is suitable for all the autocorrelation levels considered except in some cases where the BVAR models are preferred. This work therefore concludes that the performance of the classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR varies in terms of the autocorrelation levels and the time series lengths.展开更多
In this paper,we consider the statistical inferences in a partially linear model when the model error follows an autoregressive process.A two-step procedure is proposed for estimating the unknown parameters by taking ...In this paper,we consider the statistical inferences in a partially linear model when the model error follows an autoregressive process.A two-step procedure is proposed for estimating the unknown parameters by taking into account of the special structure in error.Since the asymptotic matrix of the estimator for the parametric part has a complex structure,an empirical likelihood function is also developed.We derive the asymptotic properties of the related statistics under mild conditions.Some simulations,as well as a real data example,are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance.展开更多
文摘A posteriori error estimate of the discontinuous-streamline diffusion method for first-order hyperbolic equations was presented, which can be used to adjust space mesh reasonably. A numerical example is given to illustrate the accuracy and feasibility of this method.
基金The NSF(11271155) of ChinaResearch Fund(20070183023) for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education
文摘In this paper, we propose a log-normal linear model whose errors are first-order correlated, and suggest a two-stage method for the efficient estimation of the conditional mean of the response variable at the original scale. We obtain two estimators which minimize the asymptotic mean squared error （MM） and the asymptotic bias （MB）, respectively. Both the estimators are very easy to implement, and simulation studies show that they are perform better.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China（60375003） Supported by the Chinese Aviation Foundation（03153059）
文摘Consider the model Yt = βYt-1＋g（Yt-2）＋εt for 3 〈 t 〈 T. Hereg is anunknown function, β is an unknown parameter, εt are i.i.d, random errors with mean 0 andvariance σ2 and the fourth moment α4, and α4 are independent of Y8 for all t ≥ 3 and s = 1, 2.Pseudo-LS estimators σ, σ2T α4τ and D2T of σ^2,α4 and Var（ε2↑3） are respectively constructedbased on piecewise polynomial approximator of g. The weak consistency of α4T and D2T are proved. The asymptotic normality of σ2T is given, i.e., √T（σ2T -σ^2）/DT converges indistribution to N（0, 1）. The result can be used to establish large sample interval estimatesof σ^2 or to make large sample tests for σ^2.
文摘In this paper, we consider the initial-boundary value problem of two-dimensional first-order linear hyperbolic equation with variable coefficients. By using the upwind difference method to discretize the spatial derivative term and the forward and backward Euler method to discretize the time derivative term, the explicit and implicit upwind difference schemes are obtained respectively. It is proved that the explicit upwind scheme is conditionally stable and the implicit upwind scheme is unconditionally stable. Then the convergence of the schemes is derived. Numerical examples verify the results of theoretical analysis.
基金supported in part by the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(No.xcxjh20240326).
文摘The conventional feedforward hybrid active noise control(FFHANC)system combines the advantages of the feedforward narrowband active noise control(FFNANC)system and the feedforward broadband active noise control(FFBANC)system.To enhance its adaptive adjustment capability under frequency mismatch(FM)conditions,this paper introduces a narrowband frequency adaptive estimation module into the conventional FFHANC system.This module integrates an autoregressive(AR)model and a linear cascaded adaptive notch filter(LCANF),enabling accurate reference signal frequency estimation even under significant FM.Furthermore,in order to improve the coherence between narrowband and broadband components in the system’s error signal and its corresponding control filter for the conventional FFHANC system,this paper proposes an algorithm based on autoregressive bandpass filter bank(AR-BPFB)for error separation.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed FFHANC system maintains robust performance under high FM conditions and effectively suppresses hybrid-band noise.The AR-BPFB algorithm significantly elevates the convergence speed of the FFHANC system.
基金supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.11861074,No.11371354 and N0.11301464)Key Laboratory of Random Complex Structures and Data Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China(No.2008DP173182)Applied Basic Research Project of Yunnan Province(No.2019FB138).
文摘As an extension of linear regression in functional data analysis, functional linear regression has been studied by many researchers and applied in various fields. However, in many cases, data is collected sequentially over time, for example the financial series, so it is necessary to consider the autocorrelated structure of errors in functional regression background. To this end, this paper considers a multiple functional linear model with autoregressive errors. Based on the functional principal component analysis, we apply the least square procedure to estimate the functional coefficients and autoregression coefficients. Under some regular conditions, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the finite sample performance of our estimators. A real example on China's weather data is applied to illustrate the validity of our model.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61273236)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK2010239)the Ph.D.Programs Foundation of Ministry of Education of China(No.200802861061)
文摘This paper presents a novel approach to identify and correct the gross errors in the microelectromechanical system （MEMS） gyroscope used in ground vehicles by means of time series analysis. According to the characteristics of autocorrelation function （ACF） and partial autocorrelation function （PACF）, an autoregressive integrated moving average （ARIMA） model is roughly constructed. The rough model is optimized by combining with Akaike＇s information criterion （A/C）, and the parameters are estimated based on the least squares algorithm. After validation testing, the model is utilized to forecast the next output on the basis of the previous measurement. When the difference between the measurement and its prediction exceeds the defined threshold, the measurement is identified as a gross error and remedied by its prediction. A case study on the yaw rate is performed to illustrate the developed algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach can effectively distinguish gross errors and make some reasonable remedies.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi(2022GXNSFAA035556)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12161009,12061017)+1 种基金Center for Applied Mathematics of Guangxi(Guangxi Normal University)Key Laboratory of Interdisciplinary Research for Data Science,Education Department of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.
文摘In this article,we study the empirical likelihood(EL)method for autoregressive models with spatial errors.The EL ratio statistics are constructed for the parameters of the models.It is shown that the limiting distributions of the EL ratio statistics are chi-square distributions,which are used to construct confidence intervals for the parameters of the models.A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances of the EL based and the normal approximation(NA)based confidence intervals.Simulation results show that the confidence intervals based on EL are superior to the NA based confidence intervals.
文摘Forecasts can either be short term, medium term or long term. In this work we considered short term forecast because of the problem of limited data or time series data that is often encounter in time series analysis. This simulation study considered the performances of the classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR for short term series at different levels of collinearity and correlated error terms. The results from 10,000 iteration revealed that the BVAR models are excellent for time series length of T=8 for all levels of collinearity while the classical VAR is effective for time series length of T=16 for all collinearity levels except when ρ = -0.9 and ρ = -0.95. We therefore recommended that for effective short term forecasting, the time series length, forecasting horizon and the collinearity level should be considered.
文摘It is well known that a high degree of positive dependency among the errors generally leads to 1) serious underestimation of standard errors for regression coefficients;2) prediction intervals that are excessively wide. This paper set out to study the performances of classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR models in the presence of autocorrelated errors. Autocorrelation levels of (-0.99, -0.95, -0.9, -0.85, -0.8, 0.8, 0.85, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99) were considered for short term (T = 8, 16);medium term (T = 32, 64) and long term (T = 128, 256). The results from 10,000 simulation revealed that BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for negative autocorrelations and BVAR model with tight prior is suitable for positive autocorrelations in the short term. While for medium term, the BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for the autocorrelation levels considered except in few cases. Lastly, for long term, the classical VAR is suitable for all the autocorrelation levels considered except in some cases where the BVAR models are preferred. This work therefore concludes that the performance of the classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR varies in terms of the autocorrelation levels and the time series lengths.
基金supported by the NSF of China(Nos.11971208,11601197)the NSSF of China(Grant No.21&ZD152)+2 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Nos.2016M600511,2017T100475)the NSF of Jiangxi Province(Nos.2018ACB21002,20171ACB21030)the Post graduate Innovation Project of Jiangxi Province(No.YC2021CB124)。
文摘In this paper,we consider the statistical inferences in a partially linear model when the model error follows an autoregressive process.A two-step procedure is proposed for estimating the unknown parameters by taking into account of the special structure in error.Since the asymptotic matrix of the estimator for the parametric part has a complex structure,an empirical likelihood function is also developed.We derive the asymptotic properties of the related statistics under mild conditions.Some simulations,as well as a real data example,are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance.
