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Exact scaling for the mean first-passage time of random walks on a generalized Koch network with a trap 被引量:2
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作者 张静远 孙伟刚 陈关荣 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第3期525-529,共5页
In this paper, we study the scaling for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) of the random walks on a generalized Koch network with a trap. Through the network construction, where the initial state is transformed from... In this paper, we study the scaling for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) of the random walks on a generalized Koch network with a trap. Through the network construction, where the initial state is transformed from a triangle to a polygon, we obtain the exact scaling for the MFPT. We show that the MFPT grows linearly with the number of nodes and the dimensions of the polygon in the large limit of the network order. In addition, we determine the exponents of scaling efficiency characterizing the random walks. Our results are the generalizations of those derived for the Koch network, which shed light on the analysis of random walks over various fractal networks. 展开更多
关键词 mean first-passage time random walks Koch networks
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FIRST-PASSAGE TIME OF QUASI-NON-INTEGRABLE-HAMILTONIAN SYSTEM 被引量:1
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作者 甘春标 徐博侯 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2000年第2期183-192,共10页
Studies on first-passage failure are extended to the multi-degree-of-freedom quasi-non-integrable-Hamiltonian systems under parametric excitations of Gaussian white noises in this paper. By the stochastic averaging me... Studies on first-passage failure are extended to the multi-degree-of-freedom quasi-non-integrable-Hamiltonian systems under parametric excitations of Gaussian white noises in this paper. By the stochastic averaging method of energy envelope, the system's energy can be modeled as a one-dimensional approximate diffusion process by which the classical Pontryagin equation with suitable boundary conditions is applicable to analyzing the statistical moments of the first-passage time of an arbitrary order. An example is studied in detail and some numerical results are given to illustrate the above procedure. 展开更多
关键词 Hamiltonian system NON-INTEGRABLE stochastic averaging method Pontryagin equation first-passage time
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Transient Properties of a Bistable System with Delay Time Driven by Non-Gaussian and Gaussian Noises:Mean First-Passage Time 被引量:1
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作者 LI Dong-Xi XU Wei GUO Yong-Feng LI Gao-Jie 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第9期669-673,共5页
The mean first-passage time of a bistable system with time-delayed feedback driven by multiplicative non-Gaussian noise and additive Gaussian white noise is investigated. Firstly, the non-Markov process is reduced to ... The mean first-passage time of a bistable system with time-delayed feedback driven by multiplicative non-Gaussian noise and additive Gaussian white noise is investigated. Firstly, the non-Markov process is reduced to the Markov process through a path-integral approach; Secondly, the approximate Fokker-Planck equation is obtained by applying the unified coloured noise approximation, the small time delay approximation and the Novikov Theorem. The functional analysis and simplification are employed to obtain the approximate expressions of MFPT. The effects of non-Gaussian parameter (measures deviation from Gaussian character) r, the delay time τ, the noise correlation time to, the intensities D and a of noise on the MFPT are discussed. It is found that the escape time could be reduced by increasing the delay time τ, the noise correlation time τ0, or by reducing the intensities D and α. As far as we know, this is the first time to consider the effect of delay time on the mean first-passage time in the stochastic dynamical system. 展开更多
关键词 mean first-passage time delay time non-Gaussian noise Gaussian noise bistable system
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Stationary Probability and First-Passage Time of Biased Random Walk
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作者 李井文 唐沈立 徐新平 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第9期330-334,共5页
In this paper, we consider the stationary probability and first-passage time of biased random walk on 1D chain, where at each step the walker moves to the left and right with probabilities p and q respectively(0 p, q ... In this paper, we consider the stationary probability and first-passage time of biased random walk on 1D chain, where at each step the walker moves to the left and right with probabilities p and q respectively(0 p, q 1,p + q = 1). We derive exact analytical results for the stationary probability and first-passage time as a function of p and q for the first time. Our results suggest that the first-passage time shows a double power-law F ^(N-1)~γ, where the exponent γ = 2 for N < |p-q|^(-1) and γ = 1 for N > |p-q|^(-1). Our study sheds useful insights into the biased random-walk process. 展开更多
关键词 random walk biased random walk first-passage time stationary probability
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Mean First-Passage Time of an Asymmetric Kinetic Model Driven by Two Different Kinds of Colored Noises
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作者 LI Dong-Xi XU Wei GUO Yong-Feng WANG Liang 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第3期689-695,共7页
The mean first-passage time (MFPT) of an asymmetric bistable system between multiplicative non-Gaussian noise and additive Gaussian white noise with nonzero cross-correlation time is investigated. Firstly, the non-M... The mean first-passage time (MFPT) of an asymmetric bistable system between multiplicative non-Gaussian noise and additive Gaussian white noise with nonzero cross-correlation time is investigated. Firstly, the non-Markov process is reduced to the Markov process through a path-integral approach; Secondly, the approximate Fokker Planck equation is obtained by applying the unified colored noise approximation and the.Novikov Theorem. The steady-state probability distribution (SPD) is also obtained. The basal functional analysis and simplification are employed to obtain the approximate expressions of MFPT T^±. The effects of the asymmetry parameter β, the non-Gaussian parameter (measures deviation from Gaussian character) r, the noise correlation times τ and τ2, the coupling coefficient A, the intensities D and a of noise on the MFPT are discussed. It is found that the asymmetry parameter β, the non-Gaussian parameter r and the coupling coefficient A can induce phase transition. Moreover, the main findings are that the effect of self-existent parameters (D, α, and τ) of noise and cross-correlation parameters (A, 7-2) between noises on MFPT T^± is different. 展开更多
关键词 mean first-passage time asymmetric bistable system non-Gaussian noise Gaussian noise
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Mean first-passage time of an asymmetric bistable system driven by colour-correlated noise 被引量:2
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作者 张晓燕 徐伟 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期928-932,共5页
In this paper, the effect of every parameter (including p, q, r, λ, τ) on the mean first-passage time (MFPT) is investigated in an asymmetric bistable system driven by colour-correlated noise. The expression of ... In this paper, the effect of every parameter (including p, q, r, λ, τ) on the mean first-passage time (MFPT) is investigated in an asymmetric bistable system driven by colour-correlated noise. The expression of MFPT has been obtained by applying the steepest-descent approximation. Numerical results show that (1) the intensity of multiplicative noise p and the intensity of additive noise q play different roles in the MFPT of the system, (2) suppression appears on the curve of the MFPT with small λ (e.g. λ 〈 0.5) but there is a peak on the curve of the MFPT when λ is big (e.g. λ 〉 0.5), and (3) with different values of r (e.g. r = 0.1, 0.5, 1.5), the effort of τ on the MFPT is diverse. 展开更多
关键词 mean first- passage time asymmetric bistable system colour-correlated noise
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Modulation of first-passage time for gene expression via asymmetric cell division
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作者 Kunwen Wen Lifang Huang +1 位作者 Qi Wang Jianshe Yu 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 SCIE 2019年第5期97-114,共18页
How to balance the size of exponentially growing cells has always been a focus of biologists.Recent experiments have uncovered that the cell is divided into two daughter cells only when the level of time-keeper protei... How to balance the size of exponentially growing cells has always been a focus of biologists.Recent experiments have uncovered that the cell is divided into two daughter cells only when the level of time-keeper protein reaches a fixed threshold and cell divi-sion in prokaryote is not completely symmetric.The timing of cell division is essentially random because gene expression is stochastic,but cells seen to manage to have precise timing of cell division events.Although the inter cellular variability of gene expression has attracted much attention,the randomness of event timing has been rarely studied.In our analysis,the timing of cell division is formulated as the first-passage time (denoted hy FPT) for time-keeper protein’s level to cross a critical threshold firstly,we derive exact analytical formulae for the mean and noise of FPT based on stochastic gene expression model with asymmetric cell division.The results of numerical simulation show that the regulatory factors (division rate,newborn cell size,exponential growth rate and threshold) have significant influence on the mean and noise of FPT.We also show that both the increase of division rate and newborn cell size could reduce the mean of FPT and increase the noise of FPT,the larger the exponential growth rate is,the smaller the mean and noise of FPT will be;and the larger the threshold value is,the higher the mean of FPT is and the lower the noise is.In addition,compared with symmetric divi sion,asymmetric division can reduce the mean of FPT and improve the noise of FPT.In summary,our results provide insight into the relationship between regulatory factors and FPT and reveal that asymmetric division is an effective mechanism to shorten the mean of FPT. 展开更多
关键词 ASYMMETRIC CELL DIVISION first-passage time mean and noise
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Feedback minimization of first-passage failure of quasi integrable Hamiltonian systems 被引量:6
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作者 Maolin Deng Weiqiu Zhu Department of Mechanics,State Key Laboratory of Fluid Power Transmission and Control,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期437-444,共8页
Abstract A nonlinear stochastic optimal control strategy for minimizing the first-passage failure of quasi integrable Hamiltonian systems (multi-degree-of-freedom integrable Hamiltonian systems subject to light dampi... Abstract A nonlinear stochastic optimal control strategy for minimizing the first-passage failure of quasi integrable Hamiltonian systems (multi-degree-of-freedom integrable Hamiltonian systems subject to light dampings and weakly random excitations) is proposed. The equations of motion for a controlled quasi integrable Hamiltonian system are reduced to a set of averaged It6 stochastic differential equations by using the stochastic averaging method. Then, the dynamical programming equations and their associated boundary and final time conditions for the control problems of maximization of reliability and mean first-passage time are formulated. The optimal control law is derived from the dynamical programming equations and the control constraints. The final dynamical programming equations for these control problems are determined and their relationships to the backward Kolmogorov equation governing the conditional reliability function and the Pontryagin equation governing the mean first-passage time are separately established. The conditional reliability function and the mean first-passage time of the controlled system are obtained by solving the final dynamical programming equations or their equivalent Kolmogorov and Pontryagin equations. An example is presented to illustrate the application and effectiveness of the proposed control strategy. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear stochastic system first-passage time RELIABILITY Stochastic control Dynamical programming
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A neural network solution of first-passage problems
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作者 Jiamin QIAN Lincong CHEN J.Q.SUN 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第11期2023-2036,共14页
This paper proposes a novel method for solving the first-passage time probability problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems.The safe domain boundary is exactly imposed into the radial basis function neural netwo... This paper proposes a novel method for solving the first-passage time probability problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems.The safe domain boundary is exactly imposed into the radial basis function neural network(RBF-NN)architecture such that the solution is an admissible function of the boundary-value problem.In this way,the neural network solution can automatically satisfy the safe domain boundaries and no longer requires adding the corresponding loss terms,thus efficiently handling structure failure problems defined by various safe domain boundaries.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through three nonlinear stochastic examples defined by different safe domains,and the results are validated against the extensive Monte Carlo simulations(MCSs). 展开更多
关键词 first-passage time probability nonlinear stochastic dynamic system radial basis function neural network(RBF-NN) safe domain boundary Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)
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TIME伤口床准备联合封闭式负压引流用于食管肿瘤术后颈部吻合瘘护理
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作者 李艳 周林荣 +4 位作者 龚兰娟 叶春燕 关雪红 李桃 李翠 《医学理论与实践》 2025年第16期2841-2843,共3页
目的:在食管肿瘤术后并发颈部吻合瘘患者护理中给予TIME伤口床准备联合封闭式负压引流的干预方式,就其护理效果进行分析。方法:选取2020年7月—2023年6月我科26例食管癌术后并发吻合口瘘患者为研究对象,采用随机数字表法将患者分为观察... 目的:在食管肿瘤术后并发颈部吻合瘘患者护理中给予TIME伤口床准备联合封闭式负压引流的干预方式,就其护理效果进行分析。方法:选取2020年7月—2023年6月我科26例食管癌术后并发吻合口瘘患者为研究对象,采用随机数字表法将患者分为观察组和对照组。观察组应用TIME伤口床准备联合封闭式负压引流治疗,对照组采用常规伤口换药处理,对比两组护理成效。结果:观察组术后15d内换药次数少于对照组,颈部切口愈合时间、经口进食流质时间以及术后住院时间明显短于对照组,同时观察组的6个月内吻合口狭窄发生率、6个月并发症发生率明显低于对照组(P<0.05);干预后,两组患者的QLQ-OES18各维度评分均较干预前降低,且观察组的各维度评分均低于对照组(P<0.05);观察组的护理总有效率显著高于对照组(P<0.05)。结论:TIME伤口床准备联合封闭式负压引流应用于食管肿瘤术后并发颈部吻合瘘护理中效果显著,可以有效缩短治疗时间,提高生活质量,改善预后,建议在临床上推广应用。 展开更多
关键词 食管肿瘤术后 颈部吻合瘘 time伤口床准备 封闭式负压引流 护理效果
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Stochastic averaging method for estimating first-passage statistics of stochastically excited Duffing-Rayleigh-Mathieu system 被引量:3
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作者 Yongjun Wu Wang Fang 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第5期575-582,共8页
The first-passage statistics of Duffing-Rayleigh- Mathieu system under wide-band colored noise excitations is studied by using stochastic averaging method. The motion equation of the original system is transformed int... The first-passage statistics of Duffing-Rayleigh- Mathieu system under wide-band colored noise excitations is studied by using stochastic averaging method. The motion equation of the original system is transformed into two time homogeneous diffusion Markovian processes of amplitude and phase after stochastic averaging. The diffusion process method for first-passage problem is used and the corresponding backward Kolmogorov equation and Pontryagin equation are constructed and solved to yield the conditional reliability function and mean first-passage time with suitable initial and boundary conditions. The analytical results are confirmed by Monte Carlo simulation. 展开更多
关键词 first-passage Colored noise Stochastic averaging Reliability Monte Carlo simulation
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Stochastic Optimal Control of First-Passage Failure for Rectangular Thin Plate Vibration Model under Gaussian White-Noise Excitations 被引量:1
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作者 葛根 王洪礼 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2011年第6期431-434,共4页
A rectangular thin plate vibration model subjected to inplane stochastic excitation is simplified to a quasinonintegrable Hamiltonian system with two degrees of freedom. Subsequently a one-dimensional Ito stochastic d... A rectangular thin plate vibration model subjected to inplane stochastic excitation is simplified to a quasinonintegrable Hamiltonian system with two degrees of freedom. Subsequently a one-dimensional Ito stochastic differential equation for the system is obtained by applying the stochastic averaging method for quasi-nonintegrable Hamiltonian systems. The conditional reliability function and conditional probability density are both gained by solving the backward Kolmogorov equation numerically. Finally, a stochastic optimal control model is proposed and solved. The numerical results show the effectiveness of this method. 展开更多
关键词 rectangular thin plate first-passage failure stochastic optimal control
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基于Thermal Time模型预测高加索三叶草花序生长和花期发展
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作者 张慧敏 王明玖 +3 位作者 提忠慧 刘嘉伟 曹克璠 马一鸣 《草地学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期850-858,共9页
Thermal time模型认为植物需要高于基准温度(Base temperature,Tb)累积固定量的热效应(Thermal time,Tt)来完成特定的发育阶段,低于Tb或未达到固定量的Tt,不发生发育阶段的转化。本文在中国青藏高原、内蒙古高原、东北平原和新西兰坎特... Thermal time模型认为植物需要高于基准温度(Base temperature,Tb)累积固定量的热效应(Thermal time,Tt)来完成特定的发育阶段,低于Tb或未达到固定量的Tt,不发生发育阶段的转化。本文在中国青藏高原、内蒙古高原、东北平原和新西兰坎特伯雷平原设置5个试验区,以高加索三叶草(Trifolium ambiguum Bieb.)为研究对象,观测单个花序发育速率和种群开花进展速率。基于试验区温度,运用Thermal time模型预测花序生长和花期进展,旨在量化花序开放和花期推进所需的热量条件,以此指导高加索三叶草饲草利用和种子生产。结果表明,高加索三叶草从现蕾发育到最大花序尺寸约需在2℃以上累积25℃·d;从始花期到盛花期需在7.5℃以上累积635℃·d;从盛花期到结实期存在地形差异,高原地区需在8.7℃以上累积1813℃·d,平原地区需在3℃以上累积1290℃·d。在高原地区高加索三叶草更适合饲草利用,在平原地区有种子生产利用的潜质。 展开更多
关键词 高加索三叶草 温度 基温 花期 热效应
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FIRST-PASSAGE FAILURE OF PREISACH HYSTERETIC SYSTEMS
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作者 Ming Xu Xiaoling Jin +1 位作者 Yong Wang Zhilong Huang 《Acta Mechanica Solida Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第5期477-485,共9页
The first-passage failure of a single-degree-of-freedom hysteretic system with non- local memory is investigated. The hysteretic behavior is described through a Preisach model with excitation selected as Gaussian whit... The first-passage failure of a single-degree-of-freedom hysteretic system with non- local memory is investigated. The hysteretic behavior is described through a Preisach model with excitation selected as Gaussian white noise. First, the equivalent nonlinear non-hysteretic sys- tem with amplitude-dependent damping and stiffness coefficients is derived through generalized harmonic balance technique. Then, equivalent damping and stiffness coefficients are expressed as functions of system energy by using the relation of amplitude to system energy. The stochastic aver- aging of energy envelope is adopted to accept the averaged It5 stochastic differential equation with respect to system energy. The establishing and solving of the associated backward Kolmogorov equation yields the reliability function and probability density of first-passage time. The effects of system parameters on first-passage failure are investigated concisely and validated through Monte Carlo simulation. 展开更多
关键词 first-passage failure Preisach hysteretic systems stochastic averaging of energyenvelope generalized harmonic balance technique
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基于TimeGAN和LightGBM的多维时间序列故障样本扩充与诊断研究 被引量:1
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作者 马良玉 翟亮亮 韩立凯 《电力科学与工程》 2025年第9期13-21,共9页
火电机组热力系统故障往往会经历从轻微到严重的发展过程,而轻度和早期故障因特征不明显很容易被漏诊,这将导致故障进一步发展带来更严重的后果。鉴于机组实际运行中故障样本较为稀缺且记录的多为特征明显的中、重度故障样本,为提高轻... 火电机组热力系统故障往往会经历从轻微到严重的发展过程,而轻度和早期故障因特征不明显很容易被漏诊,这将导致故障进一步发展带来更严重的后果。鉴于机组实际运行中故障样本较为稀缺且记录的多为特征明显的中、重度故障样本,为提高轻度故障诊断的及时性和准确率,提出一种基于时间对抗生成网络(Time-series generative adversarial networks, Time GAN)和轻量级梯度提升机(Light gradient boosting machine, LightGBM)的多维时间序列故障样本扩充及故障诊断方法。数据方面,利用Time GAN对已有的中、重度故障数据进行扩充,生成反映真实故障样本分布且更具多样性的故障样本;模型方面,基于扩充后的故障样本集,采用贝叶斯寻优的LightGBM算法建立故障分类模型,以提高轻度和早期故障的识别能力。以600 MW火电机组高压加热器系统故障诊断为例开展实验研究,结果表明所提方法对轻微故障的诊断效果明显改善,验证了故障样本扩充和诊断方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 火电机组 故障诊断 多维时间序列 样本扩充 时间对抗生成网络 轻量级梯度提升机
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IoT Empowered Early Warning of Transmission Line Galloping Based on Integrated Optical Fiber Sensing and Weather Forecast Time Series Data 被引量:1
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作者 Zhe Li Yun Liang +1 位作者 Jinyu Wang Yang Gao 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期1171-1192,共22页
Iced transmission line galloping poses a significant threat to the safety and reliability of power systems,leading directly to line tripping,disconnections,and power outages.Existing early warning methods of iced tran... Iced transmission line galloping poses a significant threat to the safety and reliability of power systems,leading directly to line tripping,disconnections,and power outages.Existing early warning methods of iced transmission line galloping suffer from issues such as reliance on a single data source,neglect of irregular time series,and lack of attention-based closed-loop feedback,resulting in high rates of missed and false alarms.To address these challenges,we propose an Internet of Things(IoT)empowered early warning method of transmission line galloping that integrates time series data from optical fiber sensing and weather forecast.Initially,the method applies a primary adaptive weighted fusion to the IoT empowered optical fiber real-time sensing data and weather forecast data,followed by a secondary fusion based on a Back Propagation(BP)neural network,and uses the K-medoids algorithm for clustering the fused data.Furthermore,an adaptive irregular time series perception adjustment module is introduced into the traditional Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU)network,and closed-loop feedback based on attentionmechanism is employed to update network parameters through gradient feedback of the loss function,enabling closed-loop training and time series data prediction of the GRU network model.Subsequently,considering various types of prediction data and the duration of icing,an iced transmission line galloping risk coefficient is established,and warnings are categorized based on this coefficient.Finally,using an IoT-driven realistic dataset of iced transmission line galloping,the effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through multi-dimensional simulation scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Optical fiber sensing multi-source data fusion early warning of galloping time series data IOT adaptive weighted learning irregular time series perception closed-loop attention mechanism
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基于Time2Vec-BiGRU-SA深度学习模型的碳价格预测
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作者 杨楠 毕贵红 +3 位作者 李玉洪 孔凡文 骆钊 王瑞 《电力科学与工程》 2025年第9期1-12,共12页
碳交易价格预测对政策制定与市场稳态的维护至关重要,但碳价时间序列的非线性、非平稳性等特征给其精准预测带来困难。为此,提出基于时序特征向量映射模块、双向门控循环单元和自注意力机制融合的深度学习模型。模型集成3个分支:直接处... 碳交易价格预测对政策制定与市场稳态的维护至关重要,但碳价时间序列的非线性、非平稳性等特征给其精准预测带来困难。为此,提出基于时序特征向量映射模块、双向门控循环单元和自注意力机制融合的深度学习模型。模型集成3个分支:直接处理原始碳价时间序列;构建碳价序列多尺度分量矩阵;基于灰色关联度分析与极端随机树方法筛选出与碳价相关的关键变量。各分支均利用时序特征向量映射模块编码时间信息。双向门控循环单元捕捉双向长时依赖。自注意力机制模型加权特征进行综合集成。实证研究显示,该模型单步及多步预测精度高,均优于基准模型,模型具有优越性与稳健性。 展开更多
关键词 深度学习 碳市场价格 多变量时间序列预测 多分支输入 time2Vec
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TIME原则联合VSD在1例IABP伤口脓肿病人中的应用
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作者 廖殷湘 郑凤 +1 位作者 龚丽娜 陆晶 《当代护士(下旬刊)》 2025年第12期87-90,共4页
总结1例患者经皮主动脉内球囊反搏术后伤口脓肿的护理经验。基于TIME原则进行全面的伤口评估,设计伤口管理方案,包括清除坏死组织、使用羟甲基纤维素钠银敷料控制感染、使用负压引流装置进行引流以控制伤口湿度平衡、促进伤口边缘生长,... 总结1例患者经皮主动脉内球囊反搏术后伤口脓肿的护理经验。基于TIME原则进行全面的伤口评估,设计伤口管理方案,包括清除坏死组织、使用羟甲基纤维素钠银敷料控制感染、使用负压引流装置进行引流以控制伤口湿度平衡、促进伤口边缘生长,并且实施血糖控制、营养支持、疼痛管理、康复护理、心理护理等综合护理措施。经过32 d治疗后,患者的伤口愈合良好,顺利出院。 展开更多
关键词 经皮主动脉球囊反搏术 time原则 负压引流 伤口护理
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基于TimesNet模型的CORS大地高时间序列预测研究
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作者 时文斌 蒋涛 +2 位作者 罗力 章传银 王伟 《测绘科学》 北大核心 2025年第6期45-54,共10页
针对基于物理参数的GNSS时间序列预测需要输入预测时刻的物理特征,这些未来时刻的特征取值通常很难获取的问题,该文引入深度学习模型TimesNet,以消除对未来时刻的物理特征输入的依赖,并选取10个连续运行基准站(CORS)站点的周解大地高时... 针对基于物理参数的GNSS时间序列预测需要输入预测时刻的物理特征,这些未来时刻的特征取值通常很难获取的问题,该文引入深度学习模型TimesNet,以消除对未来时刻的物理特征输入的依赖,并选取10个连续运行基准站(CORS)站点的周解大地高时序开展预测实验。实验结果表明,TimesNet在不同站点的均方根误差(RMSE)保持在2~9 mm,在同一站点3—12个月内预测精度波动幅度小于3 mm,说明该模型在长时序预测时具有更强的鲁棒性;此外,数据的离散特性会对预测精度和模型参数的敏感性产生显著影响。总体而言,TimesNet模型在周解大地高时序数据的预测中表现出较为理想的效果。 展开更多
关键词 timesNet 深度学习 连续运行参考站 时序分析 时序预测
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Mechanism Study on the Effect of Retarder on Polyurethane Setting Time Based on Molecular Simulation
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作者 WU Yuxuan XU Wenyuan +1 位作者 YU Tianlai JI Yongcheng 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS 2025年第1期224-231,共8页
This study identified castor oil and phosphate ester as effective retarders through setting time,tensile,and flexural tests,and determined their optimal dosages.The mechanism by which phosphate ester affects the setti... This study identified castor oil and phosphate ester as effective retarders through setting time,tensile,and flexural tests,and determined their optimal dosages.The mechanism by which phosphate ester affects the setting time of polyurethane was further investigated using molecular dynamics simulations.Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy was also employed to systematically study the physical and chemical interactions between phosphate esters and polyurethane materials.The results demonstrate that a 1%concentration of phosphate ester provides the most effective retarding effect with minimal impact on the strength of polyurethane.When phosphate ester is added to the B component of the two-component polyurethane system,its interaction energy with component A decreases,as do the diffusion coefficient and aggregation degree of component B on the surface of component A.This reduction in interaction slows the setting time.Additionally,the addition of phosphate ester to polyurethane leads to the disappearance or weakening of functional groups,indicating competitive interactions within the phosphate ester components that inhibit the reaction rate. 展开更多
关键词 POLYURETHANE RETARDER setting time molecular dynamics diffusion coefficient
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