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US-tariffs are disrupting the global textile and apparel value chains resulting in higher prices in the U.S.
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《China Textile》 2025年第2期11-11,共1页
The U.S.administration's decision tounilaterally impose sweeping tariff increas-es on tmported goods represents a signifi-cant challenge to the existing global tradingsystem,which has long been structuredaround mu... The U.S.administration's decision tounilaterally impose sweeping tariff increas-es on tmported goods represents a signifi-cant challenge to the existing global tradingsystem,which has long been structuredaround multilateral(WTO),regional,andbilateral(FTA)trade agreements. 展开更多
关键词 global trading system regional trade agreements bilateral trade agreements us tariffs unilateral tariff increases multilateral trade agreements global textile apparel value chains global tradingsystemwhich
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ANALYSIS OF TRUMP’S TARIFF HIKE POLICY
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作者 Cheng Rui Yuan Mulinshan Luo Weijie 《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第2期79-79,共1页
On February 1,U.S.President Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10 percent tariff on imports from China.The move aligns with his“America First”trade policy,aiming to reduce the U.S.trade deficit,bring ... On February 1,U.S.President Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10 percent tariff on imports from China.The move aligns with his“America First”trade policy,aiming to reduce the U.S.trade deficit,bring manufacturing back to the U.S.,and deliver on promises he made during his presidential campaign. 展开更多
关键词 China. IMPORTS tariff
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The Shifting Global Supply Chain Amid Tariff Turbulence
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作者 Wu Mengqi 《China's Foreign Trade》 2025年第2期20-22,共3页
The ongoing global tariff war,has left no country unscathed.China,in particular,has been significantly impacted,but it is far from alone in bearing the brunt of these trade tensions.
关键词 trade tensions tariff war China global supply chain
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Analysis of the Impact of US Tariffs on Chinese Enterprises and Corresponding Paths
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作者 Haibo Xu 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2025年第3期47-53,共7页
The United States’tariff policy implemented under the framework of“reciprocal tariffs”has aroused widespread attention in the international community,and has had complex impacts on global trade.This policy not only... The United States’tariff policy implemented under the framework of“reciprocal tariffs”has aroused widespread attention in the international community,and has had complex impacts on global trade.This policy not only has an impact on Chinese enterprises but also brings adjustments to global industrial chains,with varying perspectives from the international community.Based on an analysis of Sino-U.S.economic and trade relations,this paper structures the logic behind it and uses case studies for comparison to analyze the impact of U.S.tariff policies on Chinese companies.It explores how Chinese enterprises can respond to the negative effects of these tariffs.The study finds that in the face of U.S.tariff policies,Chinese enterprises will experience increased direct costs and forced supply chain adjustments.Therefore,the conclusion is drawn that companies need to address the impact of U.S.tariff policies through four aspects:Supply chain restructuring,market diversification,technological innovation,and compliance management. 展开更多
关键词 tariff barriers China-US trade Economic development
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Tariffs and Tensions:What America’s“Reciprocal”Measures Mean for China
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作者 JOHN QUELCH 《China Today》 2025年第6期44-46,共3页
The U.S.imposition of high tariffs on Chinese goods has triggered short-term strains on China’s exports.At the same time,it has also accelerated its strategic pivot toward technological self-reliance,regional integra... The U.S.imposition of high tariffs on Chinese goods has triggered short-term strains on China’s exports.At the same time,it has also accelerated its strategic pivot toward technological self-reliance,regional integration,and domestic demand expansion. 展开更多
关键词 reciprocal measures EXPORTS technological self reliance TENSIONS China regional integration U S tariffS
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U.S.“Reciprocal Tariffs”Unlikely to Sustain a Decline in International Oil Prices
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作者 Zhou Yongning Hou Mingyang 《China Oil & Gas》 2025年第2期40-45,共6页
On April 2,the United States announced the implementation of the so-called“reciprocal tariffs”plan.Combined with factors such as the OPEC+plan to increase production starting in May,this led to a continuous plunge i... On April 2,the United States announced the implementation of the so-called“reciprocal tariffs”plan.Combined with factors such as the OPEC+plan to increase production starting in May,this led to a continuous plunge in the benchmark oil prices of WTI and Brent over the subsequent three trading days.Despite the significant impact of the United States’“reciprocal tariffs”plan on the global political and economic landscape,the fundamental dynamics of supply and demand remain the decisive factors in the fluctuations of international oil prices.The current trend of international oil price fluctuations is still primarily driven by the supply side,with both supply and demand factors playing a role.Investment,costs,and resource constraints on the supply side do not allow for a significant increase in crude oil production,while“consumption rigidity”on the demand side does not permit a significant decrease in crude oil demand.As a result,International oil prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term,but a significant decline is unlikely to be sustained in the near to medium term.In this context,Chinese oil companies should focus on four key areas to ensure the security of national oil and gas supplies:first,promoting high-quality increases in domestic oil and gas reserves and production;second,steadily strengthening the acquisition of overseas oil and gas resources;third,continuously driving innovation in oil and gas exploration and development technologies;fourth,enhancing the capacity for domestic oil and gas reserves in an orderly manner. 展开更多
关键词 crude oil production WTI OPEC supply demand international oil prices Brent consumption rigidity reciprocal tariffs
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U.S.TARIFF HAMMER FALLS:ASEAN NEEDS GREATER SELF-RELIANCE
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作者 Huang Jiangqin 《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第5期36-39,共4页
On April 2,U.S.President Trump slapped“reciprocal tariffs”on over 100 global trading partners,hitting nine ASEAN member states hard.Alarmingly,even the UN-designated Least Developed Countries(LDCs)were not spared.Th... On April 2,U.S.President Trump slapped“reciprocal tariffs”on over 100 global trading partners,hitting nine ASEAN member states hard.Alarmingly,even the UN-designated Least Developed Countries(LDCs)were not spared.These included Cambodia,where nearly 20 percent of the population lives below the poverty line,facing a 49 percent tariff;Laos,with a poverty rate near 20 percent,facing 48 percent;and Myanmar,which recently suffered a devastating earthquake,facing 44 percent. 展开更多
关键词 asean member states U S tariffs self reliance global trading partners trade tensions ASEAN poverty reciprocal taxes
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The Logic,Features and Layout of Trump 2.0“Tariff War”
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作者 Zhao Minghao 《Contemporary World》 2025年第3期41-46,共6页
After Donald Trump returned to the White House,the U.S.government launched a host of measures of“tariff wars”.In addition to announcing tariffs on goods imported to the United States from Canada,Mexico and China,the... After Donald Trump returned to the White House,the U.S.government launched a host of measures of“tariff wars”.In addition to announcing tariffs on goods imported to the United States from Canada,Mexico and China,the government also imposed trade restrictions on specific industries including steel,aluminum and copper,as well as advanced plan for“reciprocal tariffs”.Donald Trump claimed that a“tariff war”would correct trade imbalances,boost government revenue and promote the reshoring of manufacturing to the United States.By leveraging tariffs,the U.S.also attempts to achieve goals in border security,illegal immigration and fentanyl control.Undoubtedly at a central position in Trump’s second term in office,the“tariff war”will exert impacts far beyond economic and trade policies and upon the direction of China-U.S.relations. 展开更多
关键词 trade imbalances reshoring illegal immigration border security government revenue tariff wars trade restrictions U S China relations
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Tariffs reshape US market dynamics for women's synthetic trousers
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《China Textile》 2025年第2期28-29,共2页
The US market for women's synthetic trou-sers is characterised by intense competition,with Asian countries playing a dominant role in exports.This analysis delves into the market performance of leading exporters,a... The US market for women's synthetic trou-sers is characterised by intense competition,with Asian countries playing a dominant role in exports.This analysis delves into the market performance of leading exporters,assessing key indicators such as export values,revealed comparative advantage(RCA).unit value realisation(UVR),and the effect of tariff rates. 展开更多
关键词 womens synthetic trousers tariff rates US market dynamics Asian countries unit value realisation comparative advantage rca unit value realisation uvr revealed comparative advantage export performance
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Electric Vehicle Charging Load Optimization Strategy Based on Dynamic Time-of-Use Tariff 被引量:1
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作者 Shuwei Zhong Yanbo Che Shangyuan 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第3期603-618,共16页
Electric vehicle(EV)is an ideal solution to resolve the carbon emission issue and the fossil fuels scarcity problem in the future.However,a large number of EVs will be concentrated on charging during the valley hours ... Electric vehicle(EV)is an ideal solution to resolve the carbon emission issue and the fossil fuels scarcity problem in the future.However,a large number of EVs will be concentrated on charging during the valley hours leading to new load peaks under the guidance of static time-of-use tariff.Therefore,this paper proposes a dynamic time-of-use tariff mechanism,which redefines the peak and valley time periods according to the predicted loads using the fuzzy C-mean(FCM)clustering algorithm,and then dynamically adjusts the peak and valley tariffs according to the actual load of each time period.Based on the proposed tariff mechanism,an EV charging optimization model with the lowest cost to the users and the lowest variance of the grid-side load as the objective function is established.Then,a weight selection principle with an equal loss rate of the two objectives is proposed to transform the multi-objective optimization problem into a single-objective optimization problem.Finally,the EV charging load optimization model under three tariff strategies is set up and solved with the mathematical solver GROUBI.The results show that the EV charging load optimization strategy based on the dynamic time-of-use tariff can better balance the benefits between charging stations and users under different numbers and proportions of EVs connected to the grid,and can effectively reduce the grid load variance and improve the grid load curve. 展开更多
关键词 Dynamic time-of-use tariff peak and valley time electric vehicle multi-objective optimization
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欧盟碳关税对中国的经贸冲击及应对策略 被引量:7
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作者 董玮 石晶晶 《生态经济》 北大核心 2025年第1期89-98,共10页
开征碳税对我国应对欧盟碳关税、促进产业绿色转型具有重要意义。论文基于投入产出法计算隐含碳排放强度,采用GTAP模型研究欧盟碳关税对我国的经贸冲击和我国开征碳税应对欧盟碳关税的实施效果。结果表明:我国不开征国内碳税时,随着欧... 开征碳税对我国应对欧盟碳关税、促进产业绿色转型具有重要意义。论文基于投入产出法计算隐含碳排放强度,采用GTAP模型研究欧盟碳关税对我国的经贸冲击和我国开征碳税应对欧盟碳关税的实施效果。结果表明:我国不开征国内碳税时,随着欧盟碳关税税率的提高和征税范围的扩大,对我国经济贸易的冲击更大,有利于我国行业低碳转型;我国开征碳税后,从经济角度看,短期内碳税税率为10美元/吨和征税范围为CBAM覆盖范围内的行业时,对我国经济贸易的负面冲击较小。从低碳转型角度看,碳税税率为30美元/吨和仅对CBAM覆盖范围内的行业征税时,更加有利于我国高碳行业低碳转型。从整体角度看,我国对CBAM覆盖范围内的行业征收10美元/吨的碳税,更加有利于应对欧盟碳关税的威胁。 展开更多
关键词 碳关税 碳税 经济贸易
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特朗普第二任期对华竞争战略前瞻 被引量:12
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作者 王栋 马涛 《国际安全研究》 北大核心 2025年第2期23-45,165,166,共25页
特朗普第二任期对华竞争战略及中美关系未来走向备受学界瞩目。在冷战后的经济全球化进程中美国制造业逐步空心化,工人阶级陷入困境,白人倍感身份焦虑,对外贸易逆差加剧,霸权体系被搭便车,因此从2016年以来,以反全球化、反自由贸易、排... 特朗普第二任期对华竞争战略及中美关系未来走向备受学界瞩目。在冷战后的经济全球化进程中美国制造业逐步空心化,工人阶级陷入困境,白人倍感身份焦虑,对外贸易逆差加剧,霸权体系被搭便车,因此从2016年以来,以反全球化、反自由贸易、排外反移民和民粹主义为特征的特朗普主义在美国政治中迅速崛起。特朗普主义认为美国精神被遗忘,美国陷入严重衰落,为此要让美利坚民族伟大复兴,极大地重塑和重构了美国国内政治和对外政策,也对国际关系格局带来巨大冲击。这是理解特朗普第二任期对华竞争战略根本逻辑及其内在限度的背景。“特朗普2.0版”将以关税作为“再平衡”中美贸易关系的政策工具,推动取消中国最惠国待遇,全方位对华安全竞争,既寻求中美合作共同打击毒品犯罪,也将在事关中国核心利益问题上对华韧性博弈,中美地缘竞争将升级到新的水平。美国对华关税战得不偿失,地缘竞争升级将削弱国际秩序稳定性,对华极限施压增加地缘冲突风险,泛安全化将波及中美人文交流领域。中国要坚持“抛弃幻想、做好准备、争取最好、不怕最差”的原则应对“特朗普2.0版”的冲击,争取战略主动,作为负责任大国筹划引领塑造新时代可持续的中美双边关系。 展开更多
关键词 特朗普2.0版 对华竞争战略 关税战 贸易平衡
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How Will Dynamic Charging Tariff Affect Electric Truck Fleet Operation:A Two-Stage Stochastic Model
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作者 DENG Jiali HU Hao DAI Lei 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 2024年第6期1050-1062,共13页
Technical advances and sustainable development tendency accelerate the implementation of electric trucks.However,the penetration of dynamic charging tariff policy poses a huge challenge to the cost-optimal operation o... Technical advances and sustainable development tendency accelerate the implementation of electric trucks.However,the penetration of dynamic charging tariff policy poses a huge challenge to the cost-optimal operation of the electric truck fleet.To this end,a two-stage stochastic electric vehicle routing model is formulated to support cost-efficient routing and charging decisions.Furthermore,an experimental study based on a real-world distribution network is conducted to evaluate impacts of dynamic charging tariffs on logistics planning.The results show that the daily operation cost can reduce by 3.57%to 5.55%as the number of dynamic charging stations increases.The value of stochastic solution confirms the benefits of implementing stochastic programming model,which will ensure a lower operation cost in the long-term through robust route planning. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic charging tariff electric vehicle routing stochastic programming
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“对等关税”下全球产业链风险与“中国链”重构 被引量:2
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作者 刘志彪 王兵 《国际商务研究》 北大核心 2025年第4期1-15,共15页
基于特朗普政府“对等关税”政策的实施背景,系统分析其对全球产业链的结构性冲击与中国产业链重构路径。“对等关税”政策通过动摇多边贸易制度根基、扭曲全球要素配置、剥夺发展中国家产业升级权利、强制推进产业链本土化以及引发贸... 基于特朗普政府“对等关税”政策的实施背景,系统分析其对全球产业链的结构性冲击与中国产业链重构路径。“对等关税”政策通过动摇多边贸易制度根基、扭曲全球要素配置、剥夺发展中国家产业升级权利、强制推进产业链本土化以及引发贸易福利损失,加剧全球产业链的风险。面对此变局,中国需加快构建具有独立自主、安全韧性的“中国链”体系。这个体系具体呈现为5类形态:“中国生产—美国消费”刚需型全球产业链;“中国总部—海外非美生产基地—美国市场”纵向一体化全球产业链;中国主导的“非美市场依赖型”全球产业链;“中国总部—美国生产—全球销售”纵向一体化全球产业链;“依托国内统一大市场”的全球产业链集群。为此,需加快构筑“预阻—对冲—反制”多维度全方位的政策框架体系,以自主定向开放预阻美国进一步以科技战、贸易战为手段遏制中国发展空间,以做强国内大循环对冲美西方经济体的非对称竞争,以系统性的政策框架设计反制“对等关税”对中国产业链形成的负面效应。 展开更多
关键词 特朗普对等关税 全球产业链 产业链风险 中国链 扩大内需
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Distributed event-triggered optimal power management of distribution networks considering dynamic tariff
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作者 Wenfa Kang Jianquan Liao +2 位作者 Minyou Chen Josep MGuerrero Kai Sun 《iEnergy》 2024年第3期142-151,共10页
This paper introduces a novel fully distributed economic power dispatch(EPD)strategy for distribution networks,integrating dynamic tariffs.A two-layer model is proposed:the first layer comprises the physical power dis... This paper introduces a novel fully distributed economic power dispatch(EPD)strategy for distribution networks,integrating dynamic tariffs.A two-layer model is proposed:the first layer comprises the physical power distribution network,including photovoltaic(PV)sources,wind turbine(WT)generators,energy storage systems(ESS),flexible loads(FLs),and other inflexible loads.The upper layer consists of agents dedicated to communication,calculation,and control tasks.Unlike previous EPD strategies,this approach incorporates dynamic tariffs derived from voltage constraints to ensure compliance with nodal voltage constraints.Addi-tionally,a fast distributed optimization algorithm with an event-triggered communication protocol has been developed to address the EPD problem effectively.Through mathematical and simulation analyses,the proposed algorithm's efficiency and rapid conver-gence capability are demonstrated. 展开更多
关键词 Economic power dispatch(EPD) smart microgrids distributed optimization dynamic tariff event-triggered communication
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美国贸易政策的逻辑与中美经贸关系走势——特朗普内阁对华贸易政策展望 被引量:3
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作者 王孝松 杨航 《国际贸易》 北大核心 2025年第1期5-16,46,共13页
中美关系是当今全球范围内最重要的双边关系。中美建交多年以来,中美经贸关系经历了从合作共赢到战略遏制的复杂转变。2024年11月,唐纳德·特朗普再次在美国大选中胜出,即将二度入主白宫。特朗普在上任之际,大肆鼓吹增加关税,为中... 中美关系是当今全球范围内最重要的双边关系。中美建交多年以来,中美经贸关系经历了从合作共赢到战略遏制的复杂转变。2024年11月,唐纳德·特朗普再次在美国大选中胜出,即将二度入主白宫。特朗普在上任之际,大肆鼓吹增加关税,为中美经贸关系增添了不确定性。美国贸易保护政策的逻辑是以维护美国自身国家利益为根本目的,受到国内政治体制特点驱动,由自身经济运行规律决定并以特别国际地位维护自身贸易霸权,而美国贸易保护政策的嬗变受到全球价值链的催化加速作用。美国贸易政治发展至今,已经形成了基于国会立法权力和总统及政府机构的行政权力组成的一系列贸易政策工具箱,用以打压我国。在这一背景下,我国即将面临出口承压,对我国构建新发展格局提出更高要求。同时,中美脱钩风险增大,大国博弈常态化、持久化呼唤我国发展新质生产力。对此,我国应合理调整国内经贸政策、积极推动对外投资和产业链延伸、加强维护多边贸易体制、持续扩大中国对外贸易影响力。 展开更多
关键词 中美经贸关系 关税政策 贸易保护 贸易的政治经济学
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贸易保护主义冲击下的全球贸易壁垒强度演化——基于引入非关税壁垒的TRI测算与分析 被引量:1
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作者 陆建明 曹健 《国际经贸探索》 北大核心 2025年第5期73-86,共14页
近年来,以美国为首的西方国家贸易保护主义抬头,对全球贸易发展造成了严重的冲击,但基于传统方法测算的贸易限制指数(TRI)并未充分体现贸易保护主义冲击所带来的影响。在上述背景下,文章对2002~2020年142个国家在5224个HS六位码产品上... 近年来,以美国为首的西方国家贸易保护主义抬头,对全球贸易发展造成了严重的冲击,但基于传统方法测算的贸易限制指数(TRI)并未充分体现贸易保护主义冲击所带来的影响。在上述背景下,文章对2002~2020年142个国家在5224个HS六位码产品上的进口需求弹性与非关税壁垒的等价关税税率进行了测算,构建了引入非关税壁垒的TRI。研究结果显示,21世纪以来,全球贸易壁垒的强度呈现出先下降后上升的趋势,且仅考虑关税壁垒的情况会显著低估全球贸易壁垒的实际强度。从行业和产品层面看,农业TRI持续处于较高水平,制造业各行业TRI则随着行业技术水平的降低逐步提高;最终品TRI相对更高,中间品TRI则在2008年全球金融危机后增长较快。 展开更多
关键词 进口需求弹性 非关税壁垒 贸易壁垒强度 TRI
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对中国电动汽车加征关税的经济与环境影响 被引量:1
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作者 向洪金 王伟 邝艳湘 《中国人口·资源与环境》 北大核心 2025年第4期1-13,共13页
中国已成为全球最大的电动汽车生产与出口国,为全球交通领域的绿色转型作出了巨大贡献。然而2024年欧盟、美国、加拿大等先后宣布对中国电动汽车采取加征关税等贸易制裁措施,其潜在的经济与环境影响亟待深入系统研究。该研究运用异质性... 中国已成为全球最大的电动汽车生产与出口国,为全球交通领域的绿色转型作出了巨大贡献。然而2024年欧盟、美国、加拿大等先后宣布对中国电动汽车采取加征关税等贸易制裁措施,其潜在的经济与环境影响亟待深入系统研究。该研究运用异质性企业贸易理论改进了Francois等构建的可计算局部均衡模型,揭示了加征关税在行业层面对经济与环境影响的内在机理,并基于2023年全球电动汽车生产、贸易与消费等相关数据,前瞻性地评估了美国、欧盟等经济体对中国电动汽车加征关税的经济与环境影响。实证结果表明:①欧盟、美国、加拿大的消费者将成为贸易保护政策的受害者。加征关税后,欧盟、美国、加拿大电动汽车消费者价格分别上涨2.3%、0.6%、5.4%,消费者福利损失每年高达38.1、4.7、8.7亿美元。②加征关税将破坏全球电动汽车正常的贸易秩序,但难以阻止中国电动汽车国际化的步伐。由于贸易破坏效应,中国电动汽车将被迫退出美国与加拿大市场,对欧盟的年出口量也将下降近60%;同时由于贸易偏转效应,中国电动汽车对英国等第三方市场年出口量均有所增加,有利于促进中国电动汽车出口市场的多元化。③加征关税将扰乱全球电动汽车产业的国际分工与产业链安全,但难以改变全球电动汽车生产的基本格局。加征关税后,欧盟、美国、加拿大电动汽车年产量分别仅增加1.1%、0.5%、3.0%,而中国电动汽车年产量仅下降大约1.7%。④加征关税不仅损人不利己,而且增加全球碳排放与环境污染。加征关税后,欧盟、美国、加拿大每年净福利损失分别高达21.1、3.8、8.1亿美元,均高于中国的年福利损失3.4亿美元;同时全球CO_(2)排放量每年增加近47.9万t,CO等有害气体与污染物的排放量也有所增加。据此,该研究提出,中国电动汽车企业应该通过提质增效、挖掘国内市场潜力、建设多元化国际市场与实施“走出去”战略等举措,降低欧盟、美国等经济体实施贸易保护政策带来的不利影响。 展开更多
关键词 电动汽车 加征关税 GSIM模型 经济影响 环境影响
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霸权的黄昏:特朗普“冲击波”及其应对 被引量:2
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作者 李巍 《东南亚研究》 2025年第3期1-26,154,共27页
2024年美国总统大选是一场历史性的选举,导致美国联邦政府的权力结构出现一边倒的态势,特朗普成为一个“帝王式总统”。特朗普第二任期所掀起的“冲击波”已在多个领域显现,对美国自身以及全球秩序带来了巨大影响。在国内政治方面,特朗... 2024年美国总统大选是一场历史性的选举,导致美国联邦政府的权力结构出现一边倒的态势,特朗普成为一个“帝王式总统”。特朗普第二任期所掀起的“冲击波”已在多个领域显现,对美国自身以及全球秩序带来了巨大影响。在国内政治方面,特朗普推行提高政府效率、收紧移民政策、复兴保守价值三大举措。在国内经济方面,特朗普通过降低企业所得税、支持军工业、发展传统能源、放松金融与科技监管等手段来继续复兴本土制造业。在国际经济方面,特朗普以提高关税壁垒、护持美元霸权等方式贯彻经济民族主义政策。在外交关系方面,特朗普领导下的美国无视既有国际规则,拒绝提供公共物品和承担国际责任,并且延续和升级对华打压的政策路线。特朗普团队整体缺乏专业素养,施政风格草率粗暴,不仅无助于解决美国诸多“顽疾”,反而会对美国的国内政治生态和国际领导地位构成持久而深重的伤害,隐喻着美国霸权“黄昏期”的到来。面对这一变局,中国应坚决保持战略定力和战略耐心,积极争取国际支持,强化自身“磁力效应”,化解特朗普“冲击波”带来的负面影响,将经济全球化崩溃与自由国际秩序瓦解所带来的压力,转化为中国引领全球新秩序的机遇。 展开更多
关键词 特朗普 美国霸权 制造业 中美战略竞争 关税战
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RCEP生效对中国经济的影响及应对策略 被引量:1
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作者 欧阳强 南玉歆 《当代经济》 2025年第4期83-94,共12页
在全球经济环境日益复杂的背景下,RCEP的生效发挥了稳定和推动经济增长的关键作用。基于GTAP模型,通过模拟成员国间关税减让和非关税壁垒削减的不同情景,分析RCEP在GDP、社会福利水平、贸易条件以及进出口贸易等方面的多重效应。研究发... 在全球经济环境日益复杂的背景下,RCEP的生效发挥了稳定和推动经济增长的关键作用。基于GTAP模型,通过模拟成员国间关税减让和非关税壁垒削减的不同情景,分析RCEP在GDP、社会福利水平、贸易条件以及进出口贸易等方面的多重效应。研究发现,RCEP的实施对成员国经济发展具有显著的促进效应,对非成员国经济产生负面影响,削减非关税壁垒会加重RCEP对成员国的贸易创造效应以及对非成员国的贸易转移效应。 展开更多
关键词 RCEP GTAP模型 经济效应 非关税壁垒
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