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Coseismic surface rupture prediction models based on Bayesian ridge regression and their validation in the 2023 Türkiye earthquake doublet
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作者 Jin Chaoyue Zhang Ji Xu Longjun 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 2025年第2期283-300,I0001-I0028,共46页
Seismic fault rupture can extend to the surface,and the resulting surface deformation can cause severe damage to civil engineering structures crossing the fault zones.Coseismic Surface Rupture Prediction Models(CSRPMs... Seismic fault rupture can extend to the surface,and the resulting surface deformation can cause severe damage to civil engineering structures crossing the fault zones.Coseismic Surface Rupture Prediction Models(CSRPMs)play a crucial role in the structural design of fault-crossing engineering and in the hazard analysis of fault-intensive areas.In this study,a new global coseismic surface rupture database was constructed by compiling 171 earthquake events(Mw:5.5-7.9)that caused surface rupture.In contrast to the fault classification in traditional empirical relationships,this study categorizes earthquake events as strike-slip,dip-slip,and oblique-slip.CSRPMs utilizing Bayesian ridge regression(BRR)were developed to estimate parameters such as surface rupture length,average displacement,and maximum displacement.Based on Bayesian theory,BRR combines the benefits of both ridge regression and Bayesian linear regression.This approach effectively addresses the issue of overfitting while ensuring the strong model robustness.The reliability of the CSRPMs was validated by residual analysis and comparison with post-earthquake observations from the 2023 Türkiye earthquake doublet.The BRR-CSRPMs with new fault classification criteria are more suitable for the probabilistic hazard analysis of complex fault systems and dislocation design of fault-crossing engineering. 展开更多
关键词 fault surface rupture coseismic deformation fracture parameters fault types Bayesian ridge regression
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3D simulation of near-fault strong ground motion: comparison between surface rupture fault and buried fault 被引量:2
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作者 刘启方 袁一凡 金星 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第4期337-344,共8页
In this paper, near-fault strong ground motions caused by a surface rupture fault (SRF) and a buried fault (BF) are numerically simulated and compared by using a time-space-decoupled, explicit finite element metho... In this paper, near-fault strong ground motions caused by a surface rupture fault (SRF) and a buried fault (BF) are numerically simulated and compared by using a time-space-decoupled, explicit finite element method combined with a multi-transmitting formula (MTF) of an artificial boundary. Prior to the comparison, verification of the explicit element method and the MTF is conducted. The comparison results show that the final dislocation of the SRF is larger than the BF for the same stress drop on the fault plane. The maximum final dislocation occurs on the fault upper line for the SRF; however, for the BE the maximum final dislocation is located on the fault central part. Meanwhile, the PGA, PGV and PGD of long period ground motions (≤ 1 Hz) generated by the SRF are much higher than those of the BF in the near-fault region. The peak value of the velocity pulse generated by the SRF is also higher than the BE Furthermore, it is found that in a very narrow region along the fault trace, ground motions caused by the SRF are much higher than by the BF. These results may explain why SRFs almost always cause heavy damage in near-fault regions compared to buried faults. 展开更多
关键词 near fault surface rupture fault long period ground motion 3D simulation
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Study on anti-faulting design process of Urumqi subway line 2 tunnel crossing reverse fault 被引量:8
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作者 An Shao Tao Lianjin Bian Jin 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2020年第4期425-435,共11页
For the tunnel crossing active fault,the damage induced by fault movement is always serious.To solve such a problem,a detailed anti-faulting tunnel design process for Urumqi subway line 2 was introduced,and seven thre... For the tunnel crossing active fault,the damage induced by fault movement is always serious.To solve such a problem,a detailed anti-faulting tunnel design process for Urumqi subway line 2 was introduced,and seven three-dimensional elastic-plastic finite element models were established.The anti-faulting design process included three steps.First,the damage of tunnel lining from different locations of fault rupture surfaces was analyzed.Then,the analysis of the effect on tunnel buried depth was given.Finally,the effect of the disaster mitigation method on the flexible joint was verified and the location of the flexible joint was discussed.The results show that when the properties of surrounding rock at the tunnel bottom grows soft,the tunnel deformation curve is smoother and tunnel damage induced by fault movement is less serious.The vertical displacement change ratio of secondary linings along the tunnel axis may be the main factor to cause shear damage to the tunnel.The interface between the hanging wall and fracture zone is defined as the most adverse fault rupture surface.The tunnel damage was reduced with the decrease in the tunnel buried depth as more energy was dissipated by overburden soil and the differential uplift zone of soil became more diffuse.The method of the flexible joint can reduce the tunnel damage significantly and the disaster mitigation effect of different locations on the flexible joint is different.The tunnel damage is reduced by the greatest degree when the flexible joint is located on the fault rupture surface. 展开更多
关键词 subway tunnel finite element method anti-faulting design process fault rupture surface buried depth flexible joint
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