Objective To obtain the exposure-response functions that could be used in health-based risk assessment of particulate air pollution in China. Methods Meta analysis was conducted on the literatures on air particulate m...Objective To obtain the exposure-response functions that could be used in health-based risk assessment of particulate air pollution in China. Methods Meta analysis was conducted on the literatures on air particulate matter and its adverse health outcomes in China and worldwide. Results For each health outcome from morbidity to mortality changes, the relative risks were estimated when the concentration of air particulate matter increased to some certain units. Conclusion The exposure-response functions recommended here can be further applied to health risk assessment of air particulate matter in China.展开更多
Surface ozone(O_(3))pollution showed a continuous increasing trend during the recent decades in China,posing an increasing threat to food security.A wide range of yield reductions have been reported and thus more stud...Surface ozone(O_(3))pollution showed a continuous increasing trend during the recent decades in China,posing an increasing threat to food security.A wide range of yield reductions have been reported and thus more studies are needed to narrow down the uncertainty resulting from spatiotemporal accuracy of O_(3) metrics and extrapolation methods.Based on a high spatial resolution(0.1°)hourly surface O_(3) data,here we analyzed the spatiotemporal O_(3) pollution patterns and impacts on yield,production and economic losses for wheat,rice,and maize in China during 2005–2020.The accumulated O_(3) exposure over a threshold of 40 ppb(AOT40)increased by 10%during 2005–2019,and a decrease of 5.56%was observed in 2020 due to the COVID-19 lockdowns.Rising O_(3) pollution reduced national level wheat,rice and maize yields by 14.51%±0.43%,11.10%±0.6%,and 3.99%±0.11%,respectively.A Business-As-Usual projection suggested that the relative yield loss(RYL)would potentially reach 8%–18%at the national scale by 2050 if no emission control is implemented.COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 led to significantly reduced RYL for maize(0.52%)and rice(2.17%)but not for wheat(0.11%),with the largest reduction(1.88%–9.4%)in North China Plain,highlighting the potential benefits of emission control.Our findings provided robust evidence that rising O_(3) pollution has significantly affected China’s crop yields,production and economic losses,underscoring the urgent need to curb O_(3) pollution to safeguard food security,particularly in densely populated and industrialized regions.展开更多
Size-fractionated particulate matter(PM_(2.5)and PM>_(2.5))was collected at a traffic site in Kanazawa,Japan in a seasonal sampling work in 2020.Nine polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(4-to 6-ring PAHs)were determine...Size-fractionated particulate matter(PM_(2.5)and PM>_(2.5))was collected at a traffic site in Kanazawa,Japan in a seasonal sampling work in 2020.Nine polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(4-to 6-ring PAHs)were determined in fine and coarse particles.The gas/particle partitioning coefficients(K_(p))of the PAHs were calculated from the supercooled liquid vapour pressure and octanol-air partitioning coefficient based on the relationships obtained in previous traffic pollution-related studies.Gaseous PAHs were estimated by K_(p) and the concentrations of PM and particulate PAHs.The concentrations of total PAHs were 32.5,320.1 and 5646.2 pg/m^(3) in the PM>_(2.5),PM_(2.5) and gas phases,respectively.Significant seasonal trends in PAHs were observed(particle phase:lowest in summer,gas phase:lowest in spring,particle and gas phase:lowest in spring).Compared to 2019,the total PAH concentrations(in particles)decreased in 2020,especially in spring and summer,which might be due to reduced traffic trips during the COVID-19 outbreak.The incremental lifetime cancer risk(ILCR)calculated from the toxic equivalent concentrations relative to benzo[a]pyrene(BaP_(eq))was lower than the acceptable limit issued by the US Environmental Protection Agency,indicating a low cancer risk in long-term exposure to current PAH levels.It is notable that gaseous PAHs considerably contributed to BaP_(eq) and ILCR(over 50%),which highlighted the significance of gaseous PAH monitoring for public health protection.This low-cost estimation method for gaseous PAHs can be expected to reliably and conveniently obtain PAH concentrations as a surrogate for traditional sampling in the future work.展开更多
Objective To explore and quantify the association of hot night exposure during the sperm development period(0–90 lag days) with semen quality.Methods A total of 6,640 male sperm donors from 6 human sperm banks in Chi...Objective To explore and quantify the association of hot night exposure during the sperm development period(0–90 lag days) with semen quality.Methods A total of 6,640 male sperm donors from 6 human sperm banks in China during 2014–2020were recruited in this multicenter study.Two indices(i.e.,hot night excess [HNE] and hot night duration[HND]) were used to estimate the heat intensity and duration during nighttime.Linear mixed models were used to examine the association between hot nights and semen quality parameters.Results The exposure-response relationship revealed that HNE and HND during 0–90 days before semen collection had a significantly inverse association with sperm motility.Specifically,a 1 ℃ increase in HNE was associated with decreased sperm progressive motility of 0.0090(95% confidence interval[CI]:–0.0147,–0.0033) and decreased total motility of 0.0094(95% CI:–0.0160,–0.0029).HND was significantly associated with reduced sperm progressive motility and total motility of 0.0021(95% CI:–0.0040,–0.0003) and 0.0023(95% CI:–0.0043,–0.0002),respectively.Consistent results were observed at different temperature thresholds on hot nights.Conclusion Our findings highlight the need to mitigate nocturnal heat exposure during spermatogenesis to maintain optimal semen quality.展开更多
The increasing use of diesel-powered equipment in confined spaces(underground mines) has the potential to over expose underground miners under the threat of diesel particulate matter(DPM). Miners in underground mines ...The increasing use of diesel-powered equipment in confined spaces(underground mines) has the potential to over expose underground miners under the threat of diesel particulate matter(DPM). Miners in underground mines can be exposed to DPM concentrations far more than works in other industries. A great number of animal and epidemiological studies have shown that both short-term and long-term DPM exposure have adverse health effect. Based on reviews of related studies, especially some recent evidence, this paper investigated the long and short-term health effects based on animal studies and epidemiological studies. The exposure-response relationship studies were also explored and compared to the current DPM regulation or standards in some countries. This paper found that the DPM health effect studies specifically for miners are not sufficient to draw solid conclusions, and a recommendation limit of DPM concentration can be put in place for better protection of miners from DPM health risk. Current animal studies lack the use of species that have similar lung functions as human for understanding the cancer mode of action in human. And finally, the DPM health hazard will continue to be a challenging topic before the mode of action and reliable exposure-response relationship are established.展开更多
The effect of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(PAHs)on the respiratory system among healthy residents is unclear.Beijing and Baoding are typical polluted cities in China,and there is little rese...The effect of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(PAHs)on the respiratory system among healthy residents is unclear.Beijing and Baoding are typical polluted cities in China,and there is little research on PAH exposure and its health effects at the individual level.Fourteen healthy female office workers were recruited in urban Beijing and Baoding,China,in 2019.The personal exposure to fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))-bound PAHs and lung function were seasonally monitored.The relationships between PAH exposure and lung function were determined by a generalized mixed linear model.Subjects were exposed to high levels of PAH,in which the benzo[a]pyrene(BaP)level(1.26 ng/m^(3))was over than Chinese national indoor standard(1 ng/m^(3)).All PAHs concentration was higher in winter than that in summer and autumn.Only benz[a]anthracene(BaA)and chrysene(Chr)exposure showed weak relations with decreased lung function,i.e.,a 0.58% and 0.73% decrease in peak expiratory flow at lag 2 day,respectively(p<0.05).PAHs may not be suitable exposure indicators for short-term change in lung function.Our findings highlight the importance of reducing PAH pollution for public respiratory health protection in heavy-polluted cities of China.This pilot study also provides experience on personal PAH assessment such as estimation of the number of repeated measurements required,which is helpful to determine the relationship between PAH exposure and health effect.展开更多
To investigate the correlation between environmental-meteorological factors and daily visits for acute otitis media(AOM)in Lanzhou,China.Methods:Data were collected in 2014e2016 by the Departments of Otolaryngology-He...To investigate the correlation between environmental-meteorological factors and daily visits for acute otitis media(AOM)in Lanzhou,China.Methods:Data were collected in 2014e2016 by the Departments of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery at two hospitals in Lanzhou.Relevant information,including age,sex and visiting time,was collected.Environmental data included air quality index,PM10,PM2.5,O3,CO,NO2 and SO2,and meteorological data included daily average temperature(T,C),daily mean atmospheric pressure(AP,hPa),daily average relative humidity(RH,%)and daily mean wind speed(W,m/s).The SPSS22.0 software was used to generate Spearman correlation coefficients in descriptive statistical analysis,and the R3.5.0 software was used to calculate relative risk(RR)and to obtain exposure-response curves.The relationship between meteorological-environmental parameters and daily AOM visits was summarized.Results:Correlations were identified between daily AOM visits and CO,O3,SO2,CO,NO2,PM2.5 and PM10 levels.NO2,SO2,CO,AP,RH and T levels significantly correlated with daily AOM visits with a lag exposure-response pattern.The effects of CO,NO2,SO2 and AP on daily AOM visits were significantly stronger compared to other factors(P<0.01).O3,W,T and RH were negatively correlated with daily AOM visits.The highest RR lagged by 3e4 days.Conclusions:The number of daily AOM visits appeared to be correlated with short-term exposure to mixed air pollutants and meteorological factors from 2014 through 2016 in Lanzhou.展开更多
The urban economic development needs transportation facilities. People move form one location to the other rapidly. The amount of vehicle increases, it also increases lead content in the air. The human health cost inc...The urban economic development needs transportation facilities. People move form one location to the other rapidly. The amount of vehicle increases, it also increases lead content in the air. The human health cost increases as lead content in the air increases. The reduction of lead content for 10 percent, it gives economic value as much as Rp. 11.828.365.993,- （US$ 985,697.17）. And if lead content decreases for 25 percent, it yields economic benefit as much as Rp. 34.509.073.173, - （US$ 2,875,765.10）. The analysis of benefit uses exposure-response function method. Analysis of people awareness for keeping the environment uses contingent valuation method survey and willingness to pay. People awareness to keep their environment and to decrease lead content is not good enough, despite the fact that there is some increase of awareness, for example the awareness of using alternative path- through ring road on peak hours.展开更多
Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))has slowly increased both the morbidity and mortality among Chinese people;becoming a leading problem for public health efforts.In this study,the exposure...Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))has slowly increased both the morbidity and mortality among Chinese people;becoming a leading problem for public health efforts.In this study,the exposure-response function was used to derive the spatial-temporal dynamics of disease burden attributable to PM_(2.5) pollution in China.It was found that the economic loss attributable to PM(2.5) increased by 93% from 35 billion Chinese yuan to 536 billion Chinese yuan within the period of 16 years.Digging further,a substantiate level of regional difierences was discovered with the disease burden being the most severe in East China and the least severe in Northwest China.This article can provide more insights for future air pollution control in China.展开更多
Shijiazhuang is one of the cities in the North China Plain.In recent decades,this city has experienced high levels of fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5)),which have potentially significant effects on human health.In thi...Shijiazhuang is one of the cities in the North China Plain.In recent decades,this city has experienced high levels of fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5)),which have potentially significant effects on human health.In this study,the health effects of PM_(2.5)exposure in Shijiazhuang were estimated by applying an integrated exposure-response model.Premature mortality,years of life lost(YLL),and the mortality benefits linked to reduced levels of PM_(2.5)were quantified for the period 2015–2017.In 2015,2016,and 2017,cerebrovascular diseases caused the highest premature mortality(2432,2449,and 2483,respectively),followed by ischemic heart diseases(1391,1479,and 1493,respectively),lung cancer(639,660,and 639,respectively),and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases(533,519,and 473,respectively).Notably,the total number of premature deaths caused by PM_(2.5)exposure in Shijiazhuang in 2015,2016,and 2017 were 4994,5107,and 5088,respectively.Moreover,the YLL in the same years were 47001,47880 and 47381,respectively.Interestingly,the YLL per 1000 females was lower than that per 1000 males.Finally,we noted that premature mortality and YLL decreased by 84.2%and 84.6%when the PM_(2.5)levels diminished to 10µg/m^(3).Overall,the results of this study improve our understanding of how high PM_(2.5)concentrations affect human health and suggest the application of more stringent measures in Shijiazhuang to alleviate the associated health risks.展开更多
Pollutants emitted from coal-fired power plants lead to the deterioration of air quality in developing countries,and contribute to both mortality and morbidity.To improve air quality from power generation,new dispatch...Pollutants emitted from coal-fired power plants lead to the deterioration of air quality in developing countries,and contribute to both mortality and morbidity.To improve air quality from power generation,new dispatch strategies incorporated with air pollution dispersion models should be considered.This paper takes into account the impact of meteorological variations on spatio-temporal dispersion of pollutants.Depending on the coal-fired pollutant concentration estimated by the Gaussian plume dispersion model,exposure-response functions are used to quantify the resulting health effects.Furthermore,the corresponding economic costs of health damages are incorporated to penalize the power dispatch.Considering generation costs and economic costs of health damages,this paper formulates a twostage stochastic optimization model of a multi-energy generation system including coal units,gas units,and photovoltaic stations.Finally,numerical studies based on a modified IEEE 14-node system are performed for illustration and validation.展开更多
基金The current work was co-funded by Energy Foundation through grant G-0212-06632 and Shanghai Municipal Committee of Science and Technology through grants 03DZ05052 and 03ZR14009.
文摘Objective To obtain the exposure-response functions that could be used in health-based risk assessment of particulate air pollution in China. Methods Meta analysis was conducted on the literatures on air particulate matter and its adverse health outcomes in China and worldwide. Results For each health outcome from morbidity to mortality changes, the relative risks were estimated when the concentration of air particulate matter increased to some certain units. Conclusion The exposure-response functions recommended here can be further applied to health risk assessment of air particulate matter in China.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2018YFA0606001)the Ozone Formation Mechanism and Control Strategies Project of Research Center of Eco-Environmental Sciences+3 种基金Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.RCEES-CYZX-2020)the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42171463)H.T.and S.P.were supported by the US National Science Foundation(No.1903722)Andrew Carnegie Fellowship(No.G-F-19–56910).
文摘Surface ozone(O_(3))pollution showed a continuous increasing trend during the recent decades in China,posing an increasing threat to food security.A wide range of yield reductions have been reported and thus more studies are needed to narrow down the uncertainty resulting from spatiotemporal accuracy of O_(3) metrics and extrapolation methods.Based on a high spatial resolution(0.1°)hourly surface O_(3) data,here we analyzed the spatiotemporal O_(3) pollution patterns and impacts on yield,production and economic losses for wheat,rice,and maize in China during 2005–2020.The accumulated O_(3) exposure over a threshold of 40 ppb(AOT40)increased by 10%during 2005–2019,and a decrease of 5.56%was observed in 2020 due to the COVID-19 lockdowns.Rising O_(3) pollution reduced national level wheat,rice and maize yields by 14.51%±0.43%,11.10%±0.6%,and 3.99%±0.11%,respectively.A Business-As-Usual projection suggested that the relative yield loss(RYL)would potentially reach 8%–18%at the national scale by 2050 if no emission control is implemented.COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 led to significantly reduced RYL for maize(0.52%)and rice(2.17%)but not for wheat(0.11%),with the largest reduction(1.88%–9.4%)in North China Plain,highlighting the potential benefits of emission control.Our findings provided robust evidence that rising O_(3) pollution has significantly affected China’s crop yields,production and economic losses,underscoring the urgent need to curb O_(3) pollution to safeguard food security,particularly in densely populated and industrialized regions.
基金supported by the Bilateral Open Partnership Joint Research Projects of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science,Japan(No.JPJSBP120219914)the CHOZEN Project of Kanazawa University,Japan(2019)the Cooperative Research Programs of Institute of Nature and Environmental Technology,Kanazawa University,Japan(22002,22013,22007)。
文摘Size-fractionated particulate matter(PM_(2.5)and PM>_(2.5))was collected at a traffic site in Kanazawa,Japan in a seasonal sampling work in 2020.Nine polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(4-to 6-ring PAHs)were determined in fine and coarse particles.The gas/particle partitioning coefficients(K_(p))of the PAHs were calculated from the supercooled liquid vapour pressure and octanol-air partitioning coefficient based on the relationships obtained in previous traffic pollution-related studies.Gaseous PAHs were estimated by K_(p) and the concentrations of PM and particulate PAHs.The concentrations of total PAHs were 32.5,320.1 and 5646.2 pg/m^(3) in the PM>_(2.5),PM_(2.5) and gas phases,respectively.Significant seasonal trends in PAHs were observed(particle phase:lowest in summer,gas phase:lowest in spring,particle and gas phase:lowest in spring).Compared to 2019,the total PAH concentrations(in particles)decreased in 2020,especially in spring and summer,which might be due to reduced traffic trips during the COVID-19 outbreak.The incremental lifetime cancer risk(ILCR)calculated from the toxic equivalent concentrations relative to benzo[a]pyrene(BaP_(eq))was lower than the acceptable limit issued by the US Environmental Protection Agency,indicating a low cancer risk in long-term exposure to current PAH levels.It is notable that gaseous PAHs considerably contributed to BaP_(eq) and ILCR(over 50%),which highlighted the significance of gaseous PAH monitoring for public health protection.This low-cost estimation method for gaseous PAHs can be expected to reliably and conveniently obtain PAH concentrations as a surrogate for traditional sampling in the future work.
基金funded by the Guangdong Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.2022A1515011517).
文摘Objective To explore and quantify the association of hot night exposure during the sperm development period(0–90 lag days) with semen quality.Methods A total of 6,640 male sperm donors from 6 human sperm banks in China during 2014–2020were recruited in this multicenter study.Two indices(i.e.,hot night excess [HNE] and hot night duration[HND]) were used to estimate the heat intensity and duration during nighttime.Linear mixed models were used to examine the association between hot nights and semen quality parameters.Results The exposure-response relationship revealed that HNE and HND during 0–90 days before semen collection had a significantly inverse association with sperm motility.Specifically,a 1 ℃ increase in HNE was associated with decreased sperm progressive motility of 0.0090(95% confidence interval[CI]:–0.0147,–0.0033) and decreased total motility of 0.0094(95% CI:–0.0160,–0.0029).HND was significantly associated with reduced sperm progressive motility and total motility of 0.0021(95% CI:–0.0040,–0.0003) and 0.0023(95% CI:–0.0043,–0.0002),respectively.Consistent results were observed at different temperature thresholds on hot nights.Conclusion Our findings highlight the need to mitigate nocturnal heat exposure during spermatogenesis to maintain optimal semen quality.
文摘The increasing use of diesel-powered equipment in confined spaces(underground mines) has the potential to over expose underground miners under the threat of diesel particulate matter(DPM). Miners in underground mines can be exposed to DPM concentrations far more than works in other industries. A great number of animal and epidemiological studies have shown that both short-term and long-term DPM exposure have adverse health effect. Based on reviews of related studies, especially some recent evidence, this paper investigated the long and short-term health effects based on animal studies and epidemiological studies. The exposure-response relationship studies were also explored and compared to the current DPM regulation or standards in some countries. This paper found that the DPM health effect studies specifically for miners are not sufficient to draw solid conclusions, and a recommendation limit of DPM concentration can be put in place for better protection of miners from DPM health risk. Current animal studies lack the use of species that have similar lung functions as human for understanding the cancer mode of action in human. And finally, the DPM health hazard will continue to be a challenging topic before the mode of action and reliable exposure-response relationship are established.
基金supported by the Sasakawa Scientific Research Grant(2021-6039)from The Japan Science Societythe Bilateral Open Partnership Joint Research Projects of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science,Japan(JPJSBP120219914)+1 种基金the CHOZEN Project of Kanazawa University,Japanthe cooperative research programs of the Institute of Nature and Environmental Technology,Kanazawa University,Japan.
文摘The effect of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(PAHs)on the respiratory system among healthy residents is unclear.Beijing and Baoding are typical polluted cities in China,and there is little research on PAH exposure and its health effects at the individual level.Fourteen healthy female office workers were recruited in urban Beijing and Baoding,China,in 2019.The personal exposure to fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))-bound PAHs and lung function were seasonally monitored.The relationships between PAH exposure and lung function were determined by a generalized mixed linear model.Subjects were exposed to high levels of PAH,in which the benzo[a]pyrene(BaP)level(1.26 ng/m^(3))was over than Chinese national indoor standard(1 ng/m^(3)).All PAHs concentration was higher in winter than that in summer and autumn.Only benz[a]anthracene(BaA)and chrysene(Chr)exposure showed weak relations with decreased lung function,i.e.,a 0.58% and 0.73% decrease in peak expiratory flow at lag 2 day,respectively(p<0.05).PAHs may not be suitable exposure indicators for short-term change in lung function.Our findings highlight the importance of reducing PAH pollution for public respiratory health protection in heavy-polluted cities of China.This pilot study also provides experience on personal PAH assessment such as estimation of the number of repeated measurements required,which is helpful to determine the relationship between PAH exposure and health effect.
文摘To investigate the correlation between environmental-meteorological factors and daily visits for acute otitis media(AOM)in Lanzhou,China.Methods:Data were collected in 2014e2016 by the Departments of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery at two hospitals in Lanzhou.Relevant information,including age,sex and visiting time,was collected.Environmental data included air quality index,PM10,PM2.5,O3,CO,NO2 and SO2,and meteorological data included daily average temperature(T,C),daily mean atmospheric pressure(AP,hPa),daily average relative humidity(RH,%)and daily mean wind speed(W,m/s).The SPSS22.0 software was used to generate Spearman correlation coefficients in descriptive statistical analysis,and the R3.5.0 software was used to calculate relative risk(RR)and to obtain exposure-response curves.The relationship between meteorological-environmental parameters and daily AOM visits was summarized.Results:Correlations were identified between daily AOM visits and CO,O3,SO2,CO,NO2,PM2.5 and PM10 levels.NO2,SO2,CO,AP,RH and T levels significantly correlated with daily AOM visits with a lag exposure-response pattern.The effects of CO,NO2,SO2 and AP on daily AOM visits were significantly stronger compared to other factors(P<0.01).O3,W,T and RH were negatively correlated with daily AOM visits.The highest RR lagged by 3e4 days.Conclusions:The number of daily AOM visits appeared to be correlated with short-term exposure to mixed air pollutants and meteorological factors from 2014 through 2016 in Lanzhou.
文摘The urban economic development needs transportation facilities. People move form one location to the other rapidly. The amount of vehicle increases, it also increases lead content in the air. The human health cost increases as lead content in the air increases. The reduction of lead content for 10 percent, it gives economic value as much as Rp. 11.828.365.993,- （US$ 985,697.17）. And if lead content decreases for 25 percent, it yields economic benefit as much as Rp. 34.509.073.173, - （US$ 2,875,765.10）. The analysis of benefit uses exposure-response function method. Analysis of people awareness for keeping the environment uses contingent valuation method survey and willingness to pay. People awareness to keep their environment and to decrease lead content is not good enough, despite the fact that there is some increase of awareness, for example the awareness of using alternative path- through ring road on peak hours.
文摘Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))has slowly increased both the morbidity and mortality among Chinese people;becoming a leading problem for public health efforts.In this study,the exposure-response function was used to derive the spatial-temporal dynamics of disease burden attributable to PM_(2.5) pollution in China.It was found that the economic loss attributable to PM(2.5) increased by 93% from 35 billion Chinese yuan to 536 billion Chinese yuan within the period of 16 years.Digging further,a substantiate level of regional difierences was discovered with the disease burden being the most severe in East China and the least severe in Northwest China.This article can provide more insights for future air pollution control in China.
基金Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control(KHK1906)Science and Technology Project of Hebei Education Department(ZD2020135)+3 种基金Overseas Talents Introduction Funded Project of Hebei Province(C20200308)National Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for College Students(202010077001)Scientific Pre-Research Fund of Hebei GEO University in 2015(YK201501)the Young Talent Plan of Hebei Province 2016.
文摘Shijiazhuang is one of the cities in the North China Plain.In recent decades,this city has experienced high levels of fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5)),which have potentially significant effects on human health.In this study,the health effects of PM_(2.5)exposure in Shijiazhuang were estimated by applying an integrated exposure-response model.Premature mortality,years of life lost(YLL),and the mortality benefits linked to reduced levels of PM_(2.5)were quantified for the period 2015–2017.In 2015,2016,and 2017,cerebrovascular diseases caused the highest premature mortality(2432,2449,and 2483,respectively),followed by ischemic heart diseases(1391,1479,and 1493,respectively),lung cancer(639,660,and 639,respectively),and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases(533,519,and 473,respectively).Notably,the total number of premature deaths caused by PM_(2.5)exposure in Shijiazhuang in 2015,2016,and 2017 were 4994,5107,and 5088,respectively.Moreover,the YLL in the same years were 47001,47880 and 47381,respectively.Interestingly,the YLL per 1000 females was lower than that per 1000 males.Finally,we noted that premature mortality and YLL decreased by 84.2%and 84.6%when the PM_(2.5)levels diminished to 10µg/m^(3).Overall,the results of this study improve our understanding of how high PM_(2.5)concentrations affect human health and suggest the application of more stringent measures in Shijiazhuang to alleviate the associated health risks.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51677076)China Southern Power Grid Company Limited(No.000000KK52180212).
文摘Pollutants emitted from coal-fired power plants lead to the deterioration of air quality in developing countries,and contribute to both mortality and morbidity.To improve air quality from power generation,new dispatch strategies incorporated with air pollution dispersion models should be considered.This paper takes into account the impact of meteorological variations on spatio-temporal dispersion of pollutants.Depending on the coal-fired pollutant concentration estimated by the Gaussian plume dispersion model,exposure-response functions are used to quantify the resulting health effects.Furthermore,the corresponding economic costs of health damages are incorporated to penalize the power dispatch.Considering generation costs and economic costs of health damages,this paper formulates a twostage stochastic optimization model of a multi-energy generation system including coal units,gas units,and photovoltaic stations.Finally,numerical studies based on a modified IEEE 14-node system are performed for illustration and validation.
