The complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space is studied.By moment inequality and truncation methods,we establish the...The complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space is studied.By moment inequality and truncation methods,we establish the equivalent conditions of complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space.The results complement the corresponding results in probability space to those for sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space.展开更多
Employees’innovative performance determines an organization’s innovation,which critically impacts its structural optimization and sustainability.Applying expectancy theory,we examined how and when the Pygmalion effe...Employees’innovative performance determines an organization’s innovation,which critically impacts its structural optimization and sustainability.Applying expectancy theory,we examined how and when the Pygmalion effect occurs in the relationship between leaders’expectations of innovation and employee innovative behavior.Our sample comprised 201 frontline employees(female=31.84%;mean age=41.48 years,SD=7.97 years)in a Chinese coal enterprise,who completed surveys on innovation expectations of leaders,expected positive performance outcomes,innovative self-efficacy and innovative behavior.The results revealed that employees’expected positive performance outcomes mediated the positive relationship between leaders’innovation expectations and their innovative behavior.Employees’innovative self-efficacy positively moderated the relationship between their expected positive performance outcomes and innovative behavior,with this relationship being stronger for employees with high innovative self-efficacy.Moreover,we validated the moderated mediation model.Findings suggest that leaders can stimulate employee innovative behavior through expressing expectations and they also need to consider the boundary conditions.展开更多
As an old Chinese saying goes,knowledge changes fate.An ordinary college student carries expectations of several generations of his or her family.Consequently,a vast majority of high school graduates applying for coll...As an old Chinese saying goes,knowledge changes fate.An ordinary college student carries expectations of several generations of his or her family.Consequently,a vast majority of high school graduates applying for college prefer to choose colleges and majors with good employment prospects.Two years ago,facing hundreds of majors,I was caught in a dilemma.Law seemed appealing,as it could offer a high income and a worry-free life.展开更多
Objective:The aim of this study was to investigate the health expectations(HEs)in patients with diabetes and the factors affecting it using an integrative systematic review.Methods:A comprehensive literature search wa...Objective:The aim of this study was to investigate the health expectations(HEs)in patients with diabetes and the factors affecting it using an integrative systematic review.Methods:A comprehensive literature search was conducted in databases including PubMed,Scopus,Science Direct,Google Scholar,ProQuest,CINAHL,SID,Iran Doc,and Magiran without time limitation using related keywords.The systematic literature search was performed using a guide provided by York University.Results:From a total of 1883 articles,17 of them finally met the eligibility criteria.According to the findings of this study,HE of diabetic patients was included in four categories:“dynamism,”“consequentialism,”“comprehensive care,”and“access to facilities.”Also,these expectations can be influenced by various factors,including“developments in societies,”“changing the conditions of health care systems,”and“individual factors.”Conclusions:Health professionals should pay attention to the expectations of diabetic patients who are involved in complex disease conditions and consider meeting them as a key factor in providing patient-centered care,improving health outcomes,and patient satisfaction.展开更多
This study investigates the return dynamics,volatility structure,and risk characteristics of five representative S&P 500 stocks:Johnson&Johnson,Microsoft,NVIDIA,Coca-Cola,and Home Depot,using ARMA-GARCH models...This study investigates the return dynamics,volatility structure,and risk characteristics of five representative S&P 500 stocks:Johnson&Johnson,Microsoft,NVIDIA,Coca-Cola,and Home Depot,using ARMA-GARCH models.Descriptive statistics and diagnostic tests confirm non-normality,negative skewness,fat tails,and volatility clustering,providing strong justification for conditional mean-variance modelling.Optimal model specifications are selected via the Bayesian Information Criterion,with EGARCH frameworks generally outperforming alternative GARCH variants in capturing asymmetric volatility responses.Rolling-window forecasts for 2024Q1 show that the models generate stable and reliable volatility predictions for low-volatility stocks(JNJ,KO),while performance is weaker for highly volatile stocks(NVDA),highlighting structural limitations under extreme market shifts.To evaluate risk management implications,one percent Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall were computed and backtested.Results indicated conservative tail-risk forecasts,with violation rates well within acceptable thresholds.Portfolio applications are further explored by constructing the Global Minimum Variance Portfolio(GMVP)and the Maximum Sharpe Ratio(Max SR)portfolio using rolling covariance estimates.Out-of-sample backtesting demonstrated that the GMVP delivered low volatility but modest returns,whereas the Max SR portfolio achieved significantly higher performance,consistent with the risk-return trade-off.Overall,the findings confirm that ARMA-GARCH models are effective tools for modelling conditional volatility and informing dynamic asset allocation.However,their limited adaptability to jump risk and nonlinear structural breaks underscores the need for more advanced modelling approaches in high-volatility environments.展开更多
Background There is a lack of research examining the interplay between objectively measured physical activity volume and intensity with life expectancy.The purpose of the study was to investigate the interplay between...Background There is a lack of research examining the interplay between objectively measured physical activity volume and intensity with life expectancy.The purpose of the study was to investigate the interplay between objectively measured PA volume and intensity profiles with modeled life expectancy in women and men within the UK Biobank cohort study and interpret findings in relation to brisk walking.Methods Individuals from UK Biobank with wrist-worn accelerometer data were included.The average acceleration and intensity gradient were extracted to describe the physical activity volume and intensity profile.Mortality data were obtained from national registries.Adjusted life expectancies were estimated using parametric flexible survival models.Results 40,953(57.1%)women(median age=61.9 years)and 30,820(42.9%)men(63.1 years)were included.Over a median follow-up of 6.9 years,there were 1719(2.4%)deaths(733 in women;986 in men).At 60 years,life expectancy was progressively longer for higher physical activity volume and intensity profiles,reaching 95.6 years in women and 94.5 years in men at the 90th centile for both volume and intensity,corresponding to 3.4 additional years(95%confidence interval(95%CI):2.4-4.4)in women and 4.6 additional years(95%CI:3.6-5.6)in men compared to those at the 10th centiles.An additional 10-min or 30-min daily brisk walk was associated with 0.9(95%CI:0.5-1.3)and 1.4 years(95%CI:0.9-1.9)longer life expectancy,respectively,in inactive women;and 1.4 years(95%CI:1.0-1.8)and 2.5(95%CI:1.9-3.1)in inactive men.Conclusion Higher physical activity volumes were associated with longer life expectancy,with a higher physical activity intensity profile further adding to a longer life.Adding as little as a 10-min brisk walk to daily activity patterns may result in a meaningful benefit to life expectancy.展开更多
Variable-fidelity(VF)surrogate models have received increasing attention in engineering design optimization as they can approximate expensive high-fidelity(HF)simulations with reduced computational power.A key challen...Variable-fidelity(VF)surrogate models have received increasing attention in engineering design optimization as they can approximate expensive high-fidelity(HF)simulations with reduced computational power.A key challenge to building a VF model is devising an adaptive model updating strategy that jointly selects additional low-fidelity(LF)and/or HF samples.The additional samples must enhance the model accuracy while maximizing the computational efficiency.We propose ISMA-VFEEI,a global optimization framework that integrates an Improved Slime-Mould Algorithm(ISMA)and a Variable-Fidelity Expected Extension Improvement(VFEEI)learning function to construct a VF surrogate model efficiently.First,A cost-aware VFEEI function guides the adaptive LF/HF sampling by explicitly incorporating evaluation cost and existing sample proximity.Second,ISMA is employed to solve the resulting non-convex optimization problem and identify global optimal infill points for model enhancement.The efficacy of ISMA-VFEEI is demonstrated through six numerical benchmarks and one real-world engineering case study.The engineering case study of a high-speed railway Electric Multiple Unit(EMU),the optimization objective of a sanding device attained a minimum value of 1.546 using only 20 HF evaluations,outperforming all the compared methods.展开更多
In this paper,an index modulation(IM)aided uplink orthogonal time frequency space modulation(OTFS)structure for sparse code multiple access(SCMA)is proposed.To be more specific,the information bits are firstly partiti...In this paper,an index modulation(IM)aided uplink orthogonal time frequency space modulation(OTFS)structure for sparse code multiple access(SCMA)is proposed.To be more specific,the information bits are firstly partitioned for transmit antenna(TA)selection and sparse codeword mapping,respectively.Subsequently,the codewords deployed on the 2-dimensional(2D)delay-Doppler(DD)plane are transmitted by the selected TA,and the superimposed signals are jointly detected at the receiver.Furthermore,a low-complexity zero-embedded expectation propagation(ZE-EP)detector is conceived,where the codebooks are extended with zero vectors to reflect the silent indices.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed IM-OTFS-SCMA system is capable of providing significant performance gain over the OTFS-SCMA counterpart.展开更多
Objective:This study aimed to investigate the learning expectations of undergraduate nursing students regarding the flipped Health Assessment course.Methods:This descriptive,qualitative study was conducted at a medica...Objective:This study aimed to investigate the learning expectations of undergraduate nursing students regarding the flipped Health Assessment course.Methods:This descriptive,qualitative study was conducted at a medical university in Fuzhou,Fujian Province,China.An interview outline was designed based on the core dimensions of Expectation Confirmation Theory(expectation sources,expectation content,and expectation importance).Thirty second-year undergraduate nursing students who had completed first-year basic medical courses and were about to take the flipped Health Assessment course were interviewed between June and July 2022.Interview data were analyzed using qualitative content analysis.Results:Five major themes and thirteen subthemes were identified.Theme 1 was expectation sourcesperceived learning difficulties from past experiences,which included four subthemes:insufficient autonomous learning ability,confusion regarding learning methods,insufficient engagement in learning,and low professional identity.Theme 2 included knowledge and information expectations,which comprised three subthemes:knowledge to improve professional competence,knowledge to enhance academic competitiveness,and knowledge to boost self-efficacy.Theme 3 comprised logical expectations and included two subthemes:flexible teaching methods and efficient instructional tools.Theme 4,pleasure expectations,included two subthemes:vivid teaching styles and diversified teaching evaluations.Theme 5 comprised professional value expectations and included two subthemes:teachers'responsible professional attitudes and gentle emotional support.Conclusion:Students'learning expectations originate from perceived learning difficulties,such as insufficient learning autonomy and engagement,confusion about learning methods,and a lack of professional identity.They showed various learning expectations for the flipped Health Assessment course,including knowledge and information,logic,pleasure,and professional value expectations.展开更多
With the industrialization of agriculture and the advancement of medical care,human life expectancy has increased considerably and continues to rise steadily.This results in novel and unprecedented challenges,namely o...With the industrialization of agriculture and the advancement of medical care,human life expectancy has increased considerably and continues to rise steadily.This results in novel and unprecedented challenges,namely obesity and neurodegeneration.展开更多
In the new released article of the Journal of Sport and Health Science,Zaccardi et al.1 provide compelling evidence that engaging in higher volumes and intensities of physical activity(PA)increases life expectancy in ...In the new released article of the Journal of Sport and Health Science,Zaccardi et al.1 provide compelling evidence that engaging in higher volumes and intensities of physical activity(PA)increases life expectancy in older men and women enrolled in the UK Biobank study.The study included 30,820 men and 40,953 women with median ages of 63.1 years and 61.9 years,respectively.Study participants wore accelerometers to track their time and intensity of PA for 7 days at baseline.展开更多
How do individuals adjust their savings and consumption behaviors in response to the combined effects of increased life expectancy and declining pension replacement rates?This study constructs a life-cycle model,using...How do individuals adjust their savings and consumption behaviors in response to the combined effects of increased life expectancy and declining pension replacement rates?This study constructs a life-cycle model,using changes in conditional survival probabilities as a proxy for shifts in individual life expectancy,to examine consumption behavior under the dual backdrop of prolonged longevity and a gradual decline in pension replacement rates.The results suggest that changes in life expectancy and pension replacement rates together explain 8.9%to 10.2%of the observed decline in consumption in recent years,with both variables playing equally significant explanatory roles.Furthermore,we find that,to fully offset the negative impact of increased life expectancy on consumption,the pension replacement rate must reach at least 82%.These findings offer theoretical and policy implications for improving the quality of life in later years among enterprise employees in the context of population aging.展开更多
Assume that{a_(i),−∞<i<∞}is an absolutely summable sequence of real numbers.We establish the complete q-order moment convergence for the partial sums of moving average processes{X_(n)=Σ_(i=−∞)^(∞)a_(i)Y_(i+...Assume that{a_(i),−∞<i<∞}is an absolutely summable sequence of real numbers.We establish the complete q-order moment convergence for the partial sums of moving average processes{X_(n)=Σ_(i=−∞)^(∞)a_(i)Y_(i+n),n≥1}under some proper conditions,where{Yi,-∞<i<∞}is a doubly infinite sequence of negatively dependent random variables under sub-linear expectations.These results extend and complement the relevant results in probability space.展开更多
This study investigated the relationship between parental cognitive ability and child logical reasoning ability,and the role of academic expectation and family environment in that relationship.Based on the 2020 China ...This study investigated the relationship between parental cognitive ability and child logical reasoning ability,and the role of academic expectation and family environment in that relationship.Based on the 2020 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data,1491 children(girls ratio=53.78%;average grade=6.023 years,school grade standard deviation=1.825 years).Results following multiple regression model(OLS)show that the higher the parental cognitive ability,the higher the children’s logical reasoning ability.Secondly,parental academic expectation serves as a mediator between their cognitive ability and children’s logical reasoning ability for higher logical reasoning by children.Third,a possible family environment acts as a mediator in the relationship between parents’cognitive ability and children’s logical reasoning ability to be higher.We conclude from thesefindings that parents with high cognitive abilities can enhance their children’s logical reasoning skills not only by setting higher academic expectations,but also by cultivating a supportive family environment.Thesefindings imply a need for intervention to improve family quality of life to enhance children’s thinking abilities to optimize their academic learning.展开更多
Objective:Gambling is a complex topic in relation to health systems.It is always unclear how to strike a balance between the gambling economy and the impact of gambling on public health or social wellbeing at any age....Objective:Gambling is a complex topic in relation to health systems.It is always unclear how to strike a balance between the gambling economy and the impact of gambling on public health or social wellbeing at any age.There are limited studies considering the association between determinants of gambling and the life expectancy of the ageing population in a country.From an evaluation perspective,this article aims to demonstrate the correlation between life expectancy and gambling and public health systems.Methods:The approach of analysis has two parts.One is the influence of gambling prevalence in populations on life expectancy among old adults.Another is the association between the effect of changes in legal gambling provisions within public health systems and life expectancy among old adults.Healthy adjusted life expectancy at age 60 from the World Health Organization and gross gambling yield were used.ANOVA was performed with SPSS.Results:The population groups with HALE at age 60 of 15 years or over are likely more active in gambling than the population groups with smaller HALE at age 60 of 14 years or less.On the other hand,the influence of a health policy may be sidelined when it is implemented for older adult populations because the resource distribution magnitude or number of strategical techniques may not be the same for younger adult populations.The study here is marked as a good practical start,and there is room for further research with big data analysis on additional gambling variables against other life expectancy variables,quality of life variables or public health system variables.Conclusion:Associations between the determinants of gambling and the life expectancy of the ageing population in a country have not yet been identified.Continuous measurements of policy implementation and effectiveness and assessments of health equity,while gambling policies worldwide continue to change,have not yet been performed.Researchers and policy makers should understand the importance of holistic integration of the gambling economy and policy within a public health and social paradigm with the help of big data insights to achieve sustainability in their cities and health equity in their communities.展开更多
In this work, the sample path large deviations for independent, identically distributed random variables under sub-linear expectations are established. The results obtained in sublinear expectation spaces extend the c...In this work, the sample path large deviations for independent, identically distributed random variables under sub-linear expectations are established. The results obtained in sublinear expectation spaces extend the corresponding ones in probability space.展开更多
The quality of synthetic aperture radar(SAR)image degrades in the case of multiple imaging projection planes(IPPs)and multiple overlapping ship targets,and then the performance of target classification and recognition...The quality of synthetic aperture radar(SAR)image degrades in the case of multiple imaging projection planes(IPPs)and multiple overlapping ship targets,and then the performance of target classification and recognition can be influenced.For addressing this issue,a method for extracting ship targets with overlaps via the expectation maximization(EM)algorithm is pro-posed.First,the scatterers of ship targets are obtained via the target detection technique.Then,the EM algorithm is applied to extract the scatterers of a single ship target with a single IPP.Afterwards,a novel image amplitude estimation approach is pro-posed,with which the radar image of a single target with a sin-gle IPP can be generated.The proposed method can accom-plish IPP selection and targets separation in the image domain,which can improve the image quality and reserve the target information most possibly.Results of simulated and real mea-sured data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
Background:This study aimed to investigate the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescent mental health problems,with academic pressure as a moderating variable.Methods:This study was based ...Background:This study aimed to investigate the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescent mental health problems,with academic pressure as a moderating variable.Methods:This study was based on the baseline data of the China Education Panel Survey,which was collected within one school year during 2013–2014.It included 19,958 samples from seventh and ninth graders,who ranged from 11 to 18 years old.After removing missing values and conducting relevant data processing,the effective sample size for analysis was 16344.The OLS(Ordinary Least Squares)multiple linear regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between parental educational expectations,academic pressure,and adolescents’mental health problems.In addition,we established an interaction term between parents’educational expectations and academic pressure to investigate the moderating effect of academic stress.Results:The study found that adolescents whose parents had high educational expectations reported less mental health problems.(β=−0.195;p<0.001).Additionally,adolescents who had high academic pressure reported more mental health problems.(β=0.649;p<0.001).Furthermore,the study found that academic pressure had a significant moderating effect on the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescents’mental health problems(β=0.082;p<0.001).Conclusion:Parental educational expectations had a close relationship with adolescents’mental health problems,and academic pressure moderated this relationship.For those adolescents with high levels of academic pressure,the association between high parental educational expectations and mental health problems became stronger.On the contrary,for those adolescents with low levels of academic pressure,the association between high parental educational expectations and mental health problems became weaker.These findings shed new light on how parental educational expectations affected adolescent mental health problems and had significant implications for their healthy development.展开更多
In this paper,Index Modulation(IM)aided Generalized Space-Time Block Coding(GSTBC)is proposed,which intrinsically exploits the benefits of IM concept,diversity gain and spatial multiplexing gain.Specifically,the infor...In this paper,Index Modulation(IM)aided Generalized Space-Time Block Coding(GSTBC)is proposed,which intrinsically exploits the benefits of IM concept,diversity gain and spatial multiplexing gain.Specifically,the information bits are partitioned into U groups,with each being modulated by IM symbols(i.e.Spatial Modulation(SM),Quadrature SM(QSM),etc).Next,the structure of GSTBC is invoked for each K IM symbol,and a total ofμ=U/K GSTBC codes are transmitted via T time slots.A Block Expectation Propagation(B-EP)detector is designed for the proposed IM-GSTBC structure.Moreover,the theoretical Average Bit Error Probability(ABEP)is derived for our IM-GSTBC system,which is confirmed by the simulation results and helpful for performance evaluation.Simulation results show that our proposed IM-GSTBC system is capable of striking an efficient trade-off between spatial multiplexing gain,spatial diversity gain as well as implementation cost imposed for both small-scale and large-scale MIMO antenna configurations.展开更多
Objective: Improvement in cancer survival over recent decades has not been accompanied by a narrowing of socioeconomic disparities. This study aimed to quantify the loss of life expectancy(LOLE) resulting from a cance...Objective: Improvement in cancer survival over recent decades has not been accompanied by a narrowing of socioeconomic disparities. This study aimed to quantify the loss of life expectancy(LOLE) resulting from a cancer diagnosis and examine disparities in LOLE based on area-level socioeconomic status(SES).Methods: Data were collected for all people between 50 and 89 years of age who were diagnosed with cancer, registered in the NSW Cancer Registry between 2001 and 2019, and underwent mortality follow-up evaluations until December 2020. Flexible parametric survival models were fitted to estimate the LOLE by gender and area-level SES for 12 common cancers.Results: Of 422,680 people with cancer, 24% and 18% lived in the most and least disadvantaged areas, respectively. Patients from the most disadvantaged areas had a significantly greater average LOLE than patients from the least disadvantaged areas for cancers with high survival rates, including prostate [2.9 years(95% CI: 2.5±3.2 years) vs. 1.6 years(95% CI: 1.3±1.9 years)] and breast cancer [1.6 years(95% CI: 1.4±1.8 years) vs. 1.2 years(95% CI: 1.0±1.4 years)]. The highest average LOLE occurred in males residing in the most disadvantaged areas with pancreatic [16.5 years(95% CI: 16.1±16.8 years) vs. 16.2 years(95% CI: 15.7±16.7 years)] and liver cancer [15.5 years(95% CI: 15.0±16.0 years) vs. 14.7 years(95% CI: 14.0±15.5 years)]. Females residing in the least disadvantaged areas with thyroid cancer [0.9 years(95% CI: 0.4±1.4 years) vs. 0.6 years(95% CI: 0.2±1.0 years)] or melanoma [0.9 years(95% CI: 0.8±1.1 years) vs. 0.7 years(95% CI: 0.5±0.8 years)] had the lowest average LOLE.Conclusions: Patients from the most disadvantaged areas had the highest LOLE with SES-based differences greatest for patients diagnosed with cancer at an early stage or cancers with higher survival rates, suggesting the need to prioritise early detection and reduce treatment-related barriers and survivorship challenges to improve life expectancy.展开更多
基金supported by Doctoral Scientific Research Starting Foundation of Jingdezhen Ceramic University(Grant No.102/01003002031)Re-accompanying Funding Project of Academic Achievements of Jingdezhen Ceramic University(Grant Nos.215/20506277,215/20506341)。
文摘The complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space is studied.By moment inequality and truncation methods,we establish the equivalent conditions of complete convergence for weighted sums of sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space.The results complement the corresponding results in probability space to those for sequences of independent,identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectation space.
基金funded by“National Natural Science Foundation of China”grant number[71872119]“Shanxi Provincial Government Major Decision-making Consulting Project”grant number[ZB20240114]The APC was funded by“Shanxi Provincial Government Major Decision-making Consulting Project”grant number[ZB20240114].
文摘Employees’innovative performance determines an organization’s innovation,which critically impacts its structural optimization and sustainability.Applying expectancy theory,we examined how and when the Pygmalion effect occurs in the relationship between leaders’expectations of innovation and employee innovative behavior.Our sample comprised 201 frontline employees(female=31.84%;mean age=41.48 years,SD=7.97 years)in a Chinese coal enterprise,who completed surveys on innovation expectations of leaders,expected positive performance outcomes,innovative self-efficacy and innovative behavior.The results revealed that employees’expected positive performance outcomes mediated the positive relationship between leaders’innovation expectations and their innovative behavior.Employees’innovative self-efficacy positively moderated the relationship between their expected positive performance outcomes and innovative behavior,with this relationship being stronger for employees with high innovative self-efficacy.Moreover,we validated the moderated mediation model.Findings suggest that leaders can stimulate employee innovative behavior through expressing expectations and they also need to consider the boundary conditions.
文摘As an old Chinese saying goes,knowledge changes fate.An ordinary college student carries expectations of several generations of his or her family.Consequently,a vast majority of high school graduates applying for college prefer to choose colleges and majors with good employment prospects.Two years ago,facing hundreds of majors,I was caught in a dilemma.Law seemed appealing,as it could offer a high income and a worry-free life.
基金supported by Tehran University of Medical Sciences,Tehran,Iran(no.9711199007).
文摘Objective:The aim of this study was to investigate the health expectations(HEs)in patients with diabetes and the factors affecting it using an integrative systematic review.Methods:A comprehensive literature search was conducted in databases including PubMed,Scopus,Science Direct,Google Scholar,ProQuest,CINAHL,SID,Iran Doc,and Magiran without time limitation using related keywords.The systematic literature search was performed using a guide provided by York University.Results:From a total of 1883 articles,17 of them finally met the eligibility criteria.According to the findings of this study,HE of diabetic patients was included in four categories:“dynamism,”“consequentialism,”“comprehensive care,”and“access to facilities.”Also,these expectations can be influenced by various factors,including“developments in societies,”“changing the conditions of health care systems,”and“individual factors.”Conclusions:Health professionals should pay attention to the expectations of diabetic patients who are involved in complex disease conditions and consider meeting them as a key factor in providing patient-centered care,improving health outcomes,and patient satisfaction.
文摘This study investigates the return dynamics,volatility structure,and risk characteristics of five representative S&P 500 stocks:Johnson&Johnson,Microsoft,NVIDIA,Coca-Cola,and Home Depot,using ARMA-GARCH models.Descriptive statistics and diagnostic tests confirm non-normality,negative skewness,fat tails,and volatility clustering,providing strong justification for conditional mean-variance modelling.Optimal model specifications are selected via the Bayesian Information Criterion,with EGARCH frameworks generally outperforming alternative GARCH variants in capturing asymmetric volatility responses.Rolling-window forecasts for 2024Q1 show that the models generate stable and reliable volatility predictions for low-volatility stocks(JNJ,KO),while performance is weaker for highly volatile stocks(NVDA),highlighting structural limitations under extreme market shifts.To evaluate risk management implications,one percent Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall were computed and backtested.Results indicated conservative tail-risk forecasts,with violation rates well within acceptable thresholds.Portfolio applications are further explored by constructing the Global Minimum Variance Portfolio(GMVP)and the Maximum Sharpe Ratio(Max SR)portfolio using rolling covariance estimates.Out-of-sample backtesting demonstrated that the GMVP delivered low volatility but modest returns,whereas the Max SR portfolio achieved significantly higher performance,consistent with the risk-return trade-off.Overall,the findings confirm that ARMA-GARCH models are effective tools for modelling conditional volatility and informing dynamic asset allocation.However,their limited adaptability to jump risk and nonlinear structural breaks underscores the need for more advanced modelling approaches in high-volatility environments.
基金funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre (BRC)the Applied Research Collaborations East Midlands (ARC-EM)supported by a UKRI project grant (MR/T031816/1)。
文摘Background There is a lack of research examining the interplay between objectively measured physical activity volume and intensity with life expectancy.The purpose of the study was to investigate the interplay between objectively measured PA volume and intensity profiles with modeled life expectancy in women and men within the UK Biobank cohort study and interpret findings in relation to brisk walking.Methods Individuals from UK Biobank with wrist-worn accelerometer data were included.The average acceleration and intensity gradient were extracted to describe the physical activity volume and intensity profile.Mortality data were obtained from national registries.Adjusted life expectancies were estimated using parametric flexible survival models.Results 40,953(57.1%)women(median age=61.9 years)and 30,820(42.9%)men(63.1 years)were included.Over a median follow-up of 6.9 years,there were 1719(2.4%)deaths(733 in women;986 in men).At 60 years,life expectancy was progressively longer for higher physical activity volume and intensity profiles,reaching 95.6 years in women and 94.5 years in men at the 90th centile for both volume and intensity,corresponding to 3.4 additional years(95%confidence interval(95%CI):2.4-4.4)in women and 4.6 additional years(95%CI:3.6-5.6)in men compared to those at the 10th centiles.An additional 10-min or 30-min daily brisk walk was associated with 0.9(95%CI:0.5-1.3)and 1.4 years(95%CI:0.9-1.9)longer life expectancy,respectively,in inactive women;and 1.4 years(95%CI:1.0-1.8)and 2.5(95%CI:1.9-3.1)in inactive men.Conclusion Higher physical activity volumes were associated with longer life expectancy,with a higher physical activity intensity profile further adding to a longer life.Adding as little as a 10-min brisk walk to daily activity patterns may result in a meaningful benefit to life expectancy.
基金funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant No.52405255)Special Program of Huzhou(grant No.2023GZ05)+1 种基金Projects of Huzhou Science and Technology Correspondent(grant No.2023KT76)Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(grant No.2025A1515010487)。
文摘Variable-fidelity(VF)surrogate models have received increasing attention in engineering design optimization as they can approximate expensive high-fidelity(HF)simulations with reduced computational power.A key challenge to building a VF model is devising an adaptive model updating strategy that jointly selects additional low-fidelity(LF)and/or HF samples.The additional samples must enhance the model accuracy while maximizing the computational efficiency.We propose ISMA-VFEEI,a global optimization framework that integrates an Improved Slime-Mould Algorithm(ISMA)and a Variable-Fidelity Expected Extension Improvement(VFEEI)learning function to construct a VF surrogate model efficiently.First,A cost-aware VFEEI function guides the adaptive LF/HF sampling by explicitly incorporating evaluation cost and existing sample proximity.Second,ISMA is employed to solve the resulting non-convex optimization problem and identify global optimal infill points for model enhancement.The efficacy of ISMA-VFEEI is demonstrated through six numerical benchmarks and one real-world engineering case study.The engineering case study of a high-speed railway Electric Multiple Unit(EMU),the optimization objective of a sanding device attained a minimum value of 1.546 using only 20 HF evaluations,outperforming all the compared methods.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China with Grant number 2021YFB2900502。
文摘In this paper,an index modulation(IM)aided uplink orthogonal time frequency space modulation(OTFS)structure for sparse code multiple access(SCMA)is proposed.To be more specific,the information bits are firstly partitioned for transmit antenna(TA)selection and sparse codeword mapping,respectively.Subsequently,the codewords deployed on the 2-dimensional(2D)delay-Doppler(DD)plane are transmitted by the selected TA,and the superimposed signals are jointly detected at the receiver.Furthermore,a low-complexity zero-embedded expectation propagation(ZE-EP)detector is conceived,where the codebooks are extended with zero vectors to reflect the silent indices.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed IM-OTFS-SCMA system is capable of providing significant performance gain over the OTFS-SCMA counterpart.
基金This research received grant from 2022 Undergraduate Education and Teaching Research Project of Fujian Medical University(22028).
文摘Objective:This study aimed to investigate the learning expectations of undergraduate nursing students regarding the flipped Health Assessment course.Methods:This descriptive,qualitative study was conducted at a medical university in Fuzhou,Fujian Province,China.An interview outline was designed based on the core dimensions of Expectation Confirmation Theory(expectation sources,expectation content,and expectation importance).Thirty second-year undergraduate nursing students who had completed first-year basic medical courses and were about to take the flipped Health Assessment course were interviewed between June and July 2022.Interview data were analyzed using qualitative content analysis.Results:Five major themes and thirteen subthemes were identified.Theme 1 was expectation sourcesperceived learning difficulties from past experiences,which included four subthemes:insufficient autonomous learning ability,confusion regarding learning methods,insufficient engagement in learning,and low professional identity.Theme 2 included knowledge and information expectations,which comprised three subthemes:knowledge to improve professional competence,knowledge to enhance academic competitiveness,and knowledge to boost self-efficacy.Theme 3 comprised logical expectations and included two subthemes:flexible teaching methods and efficient instructional tools.Theme 4,pleasure expectations,included two subthemes:vivid teaching styles and diversified teaching evaluations.Theme 5 comprised professional value expectations and included two subthemes:teachers'responsible professional attitudes and gentle emotional support.Conclusion:Students'learning expectations originate from perceived learning difficulties,such as insufficient learning autonomy and engagement,confusion about learning methods,and a lack of professional identity.They showed various learning expectations for the flipped Health Assessment course,including knowledge and information,logic,pleasure,and professional value expectations.
文摘With the industrialization of agriculture and the advancement of medical care,human life expectancy has increased considerably and continues to rise steadily.This results in novel and unprecedented challenges,namely obesity and neurodegeneration.
文摘In the new released article of the Journal of Sport and Health Science,Zaccardi et al.1 provide compelling evidence that engaging in higher volumes and intensities of physical activity(PA)increases life expectancy in older men and women enrolled in the UK Biobank study.The study included 30,820 men and 40,953 women with median ages of 63.1 years and 61.9 years,respectively.Study participants wore accelerometers to track their time and intensity of PA for 7 days at baseline.
文摘How do individuals adjust their savings and consumption behaviors in response to the combined effects of increased life expectancy and declining pension replacement rates?This study constructs a life-cycle model,using changes in conditional survival probabilities as a proxy for shifts in individual life expectancy,to examine consumption behavior under the dual backdrop of prolonged longevity and a gradual decline in pension replacement rates.The results suggest that changes in life expectancy and pension replacement rates together explain 8.9%to 10.2%of the observed decline in consumption in recent years,with both variables playing equally significant explanatory roles.Furthermore,we find that,to fully offset the negative impact of increased life expectancy on consumption,the pension replacement rate must reach at least 82%.These findings offer theoretical and policy implications for improving the quality of life in later years among enterprise employees in the context of population aging.
基金Supported by the Academic Achievement Re-cultivation Projects of Jingdezhen Ceramic University(Grant Nos.215/20506341215/20506277)the Doctoral Scientific Research Starting Foundation of Jingdezhen Ceramic University(Grant No.102/01003002031)。
文摘Assume that{a_(i),−∞<i<∞}is an absolutely summable sequence of real numbers.We establish the complete q-order moment convergence for the partial sums of moving average processes{X_(n)=Σ_(i=−∞)^(∞)a_(i)Y_(i+n),n≥1}under some proper conditions,where{Yi,-∞<i<∞}is a doubly infinite sequence of negatively dependent random variables under sub-linear expectations.These results extend and complement the relevant results in probability space.
基金supported by scientific research fund of Jiangxi Provincial Social Sciences“14th Five-Year Plan”(No.23SH05).
文摘This study investigated the relationship between parental cognitive ability and child logical reasoning ability,and the role of academic expectation and family environment in that relationship.Based on the 2020 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data,1491 children(girls ratio=53.78%;average grade=6.023 years,school grade standard deviation=1.825 years).Results following multiple regression model(OLS)show that the higher the parental cognitive ability,the higher the children’s logical reasoning ability.Secondly,parental academic expectation serves as a mediator between their cognitive ability and children’s logical reasoning ability for higher logical reasoning by children.Third,a possible family environment acts as a mediator in the relationship between parents’cognitive ability and children’s logical reasoning ability to be higher.We conclude from thesefindings that parents with high cognitive abilities can enhance their children’s logical reasoning skills not only by setting higher academic expectations,but also by cultivating a supportive family environment.Thesefindings imply a need for intervention to improve family quality of life to enhance children’s thinking abilities to optimize their academic learning.
文摘Objective:Gambling is a complex topic in relation to health systems.It is always unclear how to strike a balance between the gambling economy and the impact of gambling on public health or social wellbeing at any age.There are limited studies considering the association between determinants of gambling and the life expectancy of the ageing population in a country.From an evaluation perspective,this article aims to demonstrate the correlation between life expectancy and gambling and public health systems.Methods:The approach of analysis has two parts.One is the influence of gambling prevalence in populations on life expectancy among old adults.Another is the association between the effect of changes in legal gambling provisions within public health systems and life expectancy among old adults.Healthy adjusted life expectancy at age 60 from the World Health Organization and gross gambling yield were used.ANOVA was performed with SPSS.Results:The population groups with HALE at age 60 of 15 years or over are likely more active in gambling than the population groups with smaller HALE at age 60 of 14 years or less.On the other hand,the influence of a health policy may be sidelined when it is implemented for older adult populations because the resource distribution magnitude or number of strategical techniques may not be the same for younger adult populations.The study here is marked as a good practical start,and there is room for further research with big data analysis on additional gambling variables against other life expectancy variables,quality of life variables or public health system variables.Conclusion:Associations between the determinants of gambling and the life expectancy of the ageing population in a country have not yet been identified.Continuous measurements of policy implementation and effectiveness and assessments of health equity,while gambling policies worldwide continue to change,have not yet been performed.Researchers and policy makers should understand the importance of holistic integration of the gambling economy and policy within a public health and social paradigm with the help of big data insights to achieve sustainability in their cities and health equity in their communities.
基金Doctoral Scientific Research Starting Foundation of Jingdezhen Ceramic University (Grant No. 102/01003002031)Academic Achievement Re-cultivation Project of Jingdezhen Ceramic University (Grant No. 215/205062777)the Science and Technology Research Project of Jiangxi Provincial Department of Education of China (Grant No. GJJ2201041)。
文摘In this work, the sample path large deviations for independent, identically distributed random variables under sub-linear expectations are established. The results obtained in sublinear expectation spaces extend the corresponding ones in probability space.
基金This work was supported by the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars(62325104).
文摘The quality of synthetic aperture radar(SAR)image degrades in the case of multiple imaging projection planes(IPPs)and multiple overlapping ship targets,and then the performance of target classification and recognition can be influenced.For addressing this issue,a method for extracting ship targets with overlaps via the expectation maximization(EM)algorithm is pro-posed.First,the scatterers of ship targets are obtained via the target detection technique.Then,the EM algorithm is applied to extract the scatterers of a single ship target with a single IPP.Afterwards,a novel image amplitude estimation approach is pro-posed,with which the radar image of a single target with a sin-gle IPP can be generated.The proposed method can accom-plish IPP selection and targets separation in the image domain,which can improve the image quality and reserve the target information most possibly.Results of simulated and real mea-sured data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
基金the National Planning Office of Philosophy and Social Science,China (Grant Numbers 18ZDA133 & 23BSH105)ChinaAssociation of Higher Education (Grant Number 23LH0418).
文摘Background:This study aimed to investigate the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescent mental health problems,with academic pressure as a moderating variable.Methods:This study was based on the baseline data of the China Education Panel Survey,which was collected within one school year during 2013–2014.It included 19,958 samples from seventh and ninth graders,who ranged from 11 to 18 years old.After removing missing values and conducting relevant data processing,the effective sample size for analysis was 16344.The OLS(Ordinary Least Squares)multiple linear regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between parental educational expectations,academic pressure,and adolescents’mental health problems.In addition,we established an interaction term between parents’educational expectations and academic pressure to investigate the moderating effect of academic stress.Results:The study found that adolescents whose parents had high educational expectations reported less mental health problems.(β=−0.195;p<0.001).Additionally,adolescents who had high academic pressure reported more mental health problems.(β=0.649;p<0.001).Furthermore,the study found that academic pressure had a significant moderating effect on the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescents’mental health problems(β=0.082;p<0.001).Conclusion:Parental educational expectations had a close relationship with adolescents’mental health problems,and academic pressure moderated this relationship.For those adolescents with high levels of academic pressure,the association between high parental educational expectations and mental health problems became stronger.On the contrary,for those adolescents with low levels of academic pressure,the association between high parental educational expectations and mental health problems became weaker.These findings shed new light on how parental educational expectations affected adolescent mental health problems and had significant implications for their healthy development.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China under Grant 2021YFB2900500in part by the National Science Foundation of China under Grant 62001179+1 种基金in part by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant 2020kfyXJJS111。
文摘In this paper,Index Modulation(IM)aided Generalized Space-Time Block Coding(GSTBC)is proposed,which intrinsically exploits the benefits of IM concept,diversity gain and spatial multiplexing gain.Specifically,the information bits are partitioned into U groups,with each being modulated by IM symbols(i.e.Spatial Modulation(SM),Quadrature SM(QSM),etc).Next,the structure of GSTBC is invoked for each K IM symbol,and a total ofμ=U/K GSTBC codes are transmitted via T time slots.A Block Expectation Propagation(B-EP)detector is designed for the proposed IM-GSTBC structure.Moreover,the theoretical Average Bit Error Probability(ABEP)is derived for our IM-GSTBC system,which is confirmed by the simulation results and helpful for performance evaluation.Simulation results show that our proposed IM-GSTBC system is capable of striking an efficient trade-off between spatial multiplexing gain,spatial diversity gain as well as implementation cost imposed for both small-scale and large-scale MIMO antenna configurations.
基金supported by National Health and Research Council of Australia Leadership Investigator Grants (NHMRCAPP1194679)+1 种基金the ACPCC has received equipment and a funding contribution from Roche Molecular Diagnostics USAco-PI on a major implementation programme Elimination of Cervical Cancer in the Western Pacific,which has received support from the Minderoo Foundation。
文摘Objective: Improvement in cancer survival over recent decades has not been accompanied by a narrowing of socioeconomic disparities. This study aimed to quantify the loss of life expectancy(LOLE) resulting from a cancer diagnosis and examine disparities in LOLE based on area-level socioeconomic status(SES).Methods: Data were collected for all people between 50 and 89 years of age who were diagnosed with cancer, registered in the NSW Cancer Registry between 2001 and 2019, and underwent mortality follow-up evaluations until December 2020. Flexible parametric survival models were fitted to estimate the LOLE by gender and area-level SES for 12 common cancers.Results: Of 422,680 people with cancer, 24% and 18% lived in the most and least disadvantaged areas, respectively. Patients from the most disadvantaged areas had a significantly greater average LOLE than patients from the least disadvantaged areas for cancers with high survival rates, including prostate [2.9 years(95% CI: 2.5±3.2 years) vs. 1.6 years(95% CI: 1.3±1.9 years)] and breast cancer [1.6 years(95% CI: 1.4±1.8 years) vs. 1.2 years(95% CI: 1.0±1.4 years)]. The highest average LOLE occurred in males residing in the most disadvantaged areas with pancreatic [16.5 years(95% CI: 16.1±16.8 years) vs. 16.2 years(95% CI: 15.7±16.7 years)] and liver cancer [15.5 years(95% CI: 15.0±16.0 years) vs. 14.7 years(95% CI: 14.0±15.5 years)]. Females residing in the least disadvantaged areas with thyroid cancer [0.9 years(95% CI: 0.4±1.4 years) vs. 0.6 years(95% CI: 0.2±1.0 years)] or melanoma [0.9 years(95% CI: 0.8±1.1 years) vs. 0.7 years(95% CI: 0.5±0.8 years)] had the lowest average LOLE.Conclusions: Patients from the most disadvantaged areas had the highest LOLE with SES-based differences greatest for patients diagnosed with cancer at an early stage or cancers with higher survival rates, suggesting the need to prioritise early detection and reduce treatment-related barriers and survivorship challenges to improve life expectancy.
