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Rapid reduction of air pollution and short-term exposure risks in China 被引量:1
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作者 Hao Fan Chuanfeng Zhao +1 位作者 Yikun Yang Xingchuan Yang 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第3期126-138,共13页
With the continuous control of anthropogenic emissions,China’s air quality has improved significantly in recent years.Given this background,research on how the short-term exposure risks caused by air pollution in Chi... With the continuous control of anthropogenic emissions,China’s air quality has improved significantly in recent years.Given this background,research on how the short-term exposure risks caused by air pollution in China have changed is insufficient.This study utilized hourly concentration data from ground observation stations and the official air quality guidelines of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment of China and the World Health Organization as standards to systematically investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics and short-term exposure risks of air pollution in China from 2015 to 2022.The results indicate that various atmospheric pollutants except for ozone showed a decreasing trend yearly.Nationwide,both single pollutant air pollution days(SAPDs)and multiple pollutant air pollution days(MAPDs)showed varying degrees of reduction within 15 and 25 days,respectively.SAPD was dominated mainly by excessive PM_(2.5)and PM_(10)pollutants,while MAPD was dominated mainly by excessive pollutant combinations,including PM_(2.5)+PM_(10),CO+PM_(2.5)+PM_(10),and SO_(2)+PM_(2.5)+PM_(10).As the concentration of atmospheric pollutants decreased,the total excess risk(ER)decreased yearly from 2015 to 2022,but there were significant regional differences.Now,the ER is less than 0.25%in southern China,in the range of 0.25%-0.5%in the North China Plain and some cities in the northeast,and higher than 1%in the northwest.Particulate matter is currently the primary pollutant posing short-term exposure risk in China,especially due to the impact of sandstorm weather.This study indicates that China’s atmospheric cleaning action is significantly beneficial for reducing health risks. 展开更多
关键词 Air pollution Emission-reduction Total excess risk Particulate matter China
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Health Risks Associated with Heavy Metals in Fine Particulate Matter: A Case Study in Delhi City, India 被引量:3
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作者 Isha Khanna Mukesh Khare Prashant Gargava 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2015年第2期72-77,共6页
The concentrations of twenty five heavy metals adsorbed to fine fraction of particulate matter, PM2.5 (d ≤ 2.5 μm) have been experimentally analysed at a sampling site located at the kerbside along a National Highwa... The concentrations of twenty five heavy metals adsorbed to fine fraction of particulate matter, PM2.5 (d ≤ 2.5 μm) have been experimentally analysed at a sampling site located at the kerbside along a National Highway in Delhi city, India. The sampling has been carried out for 12-hour using Ecotech Intruments, APM550. The PM2.5 has been collected on PTFE filter papers for the winter season. Later, the filter papers have been analysed for various heavy metal concentrations using ED-XRF. It has been observed that the metals concentrations are in this trend: Si > K > S > Ca = Fe > Zn = Pb > Br. it is observed that Si has high co-relation with Ca, Fe and K, which may be due to crustal origin of all three elements;while S, Br and Pb may be from vehicular exhaust emissions and/or abrasions due to brake and tyre wear. The potential health risks associated with different carcinogenic heavy metals have also been calculated. One of the health risk indicators, the excess cancer risk (ECR), is found to be in the order as As > Cd > Pb > Cr > Ni. 展开更多
关键词 Fine PM HEAVY Metals excess Cancer risk Kerbside National HIGHWAY
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Cancer Risk Due to the Natural Radioactivity in Cigarette Tobacco
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作者 Ali A. Ridha Hasan A. Hasan 《Detection》 2016年第3期54-65,共12页
Thirty-one samples of cigarettes have been collected from local markets of different types of origins. The samples were selected according to a survey distributed to smokers by paper and digital survey to see the most... Thirty-one samples of cigarettes have been collected from local markets of different types of origins. The samples were selected according to a survey distributed to smokers by paper and digital survey to see the most heavily traded among smokers and in addition to a number of questions to see how the awareness and the culture of smokers in diseases caused by smoking and considered this study the first survey in Iraq. The aim of this research is to assess the number of cancer cases due to cigarette smoking. Through the use of High-Purity Germanium system (HPGe) (efficiency 40%) we determinated the radionuclides in cigarette tobacco. The average values were (14.86 ± 3.76, 10.84 ± 3.13, 1050.64 ± 47.57) Bq/kg for Ra-226, Th-232 and K-40, respectively, and the excess lifetime of cancer risk values ranged from 0.54 to 130 at average of 76 per million person per year. Raeq values varied from 18.50 to 87.21.4 Bq/kg with an average value of 39.51 Bq/kg for tobacco samples. The annual effective dose (HE) varies from 16.38 μSv/y to 44.69 μSv/y with an average value of 24.97 μsv/y. The Annual Gonadal Dose Equivalent (AGDE) varies from 0.3 to 0.64 (mSv/y) with an average value of 0.42 for all tobacco samples under investigation. 展开更多
关键词 NORM TOBACCO Annual Effective Dose excess Cancer risk HPGE AGDA
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Investigation of the Radiological Risk of Farmlands and the Transfer Factor from Soil to Crops in Jalingo and Wukari L.G.A of Taraba State, Nigeria
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作者 Alexander A. Tyovenda John A. Ocheje +1 位作者 Sombo Terver Effiong U. Uttah 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2022年第1期1-14,共14页
The activity concentrations of radionuclides, absorbed dose rate, excess lifetime cancer risk, and soil-to-plant transfer factor have been evaluated in soil and crop samples from Jalingo and Wukari Local Government Ar... The activity concentrations of radionuclides, absorbed dose rate, excess lifetime cancer risk, and soil-to-plant transfer factor have been evaluated in soil and crop samples from Jalingo and Wukari Local Government Area of Taraba State, Nigeria. The activity concentrations were determined with the aid of High Purity Germanium detector. The absorbed dose and excess lifetime cancer risk were evaluated and forecasted for 60 years using the ResRad off-site model. The average activity concentration of <sup>40</sup>K, <sup>232</sup>Th, and <sup>238</sup>U in the soil samples were 633.13, 141.15, and 71.20 Bq·kg<sup>-1</sup> respectively, for the Jalingo study area, and while that of the Wukari study area was;199.21, 87.23, and 25.37 Bq·kg<sup>-1</sup> respectively. The average soil-to-plant transfer factors for <sup>40</sup>K, <sup>232</sup>Th, and <sup>238</sup>U were 0.51, 0.10, and 0.27 respectively for the Jalingo study area while that of Wukari are 0.40, 0.57, and 0.74 respectively. The mean annual effective dose equivalent for the study area is higher than the world average of 0.07 mS·vy<sup>-1</sup>. The excess lifetime cancer risk for the study areas has values that are higher than the safety limit. The ResRed model showed that direct radiation from the crops is the major contributor to excess cancer risk among other pathways. The radiological hazard indices reveal health risks to farmers, especially in the Jalingo area. 展开更多
关键词 Activity Concentration Transfer Factor Absorbed Dose excess Lifetime Cancer risk
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Health Risk Assessment for Bromate (BrO<sub>3</sub><sup>–</sup>) Traces in Ozonated Indian Bottled Water
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作者 Ajay Kumar Sabyasachi Rout R.K. Singhal 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2011年第5期571-580,共10页
For this study, bromide and bromate ions in various commercial brands of Indian bottled water samples were estimated using ion chromatography. The measured mean concentration of bromide and bromate ions in water sampl... For this study, bromide and bromate ions in various commercial brands of Indian bottled water samples were estimated using ion chromatography. The measured mean concentration of bromide and bromate ions in water samples was found to be 28.13 μg/L and 11.17 μg/L respectively. The average level of bromate in Indian bottled water was found to be slightly higher (~ 12%) than the acceptable limits (10 μg/L) recommended by USEPA (US Environmental Protection Agency). Though, kinetically, it is predicted that 62.5% (6.25 μg/L) of bromide in bottled water is needed to convert into bromate upon ozonation to exceed the minimum acceptable limits, but the average formation of bromate determined to be only 26.77% of the predicted concentration. Bromate concentration in bottled water showed a strong correlation with bromide suggesting that its formation in water is very much influenced and controlled by bromide content. The objective of the present study was to determine the BrO3–) content of commercially available different brands of bottled drinking water in India and to estimate the health risks to population due to ingestion. Results of estimated excess cancer risk and chemical toxicity risk to Indian population due to ingestion of bottled water were presented and discussed. 展开更多
关键词 BROMIDE BROMATE excess Cancer risk Chemical Toxicity risk BOTTLED Water
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Low-dose ionizing radiation exposure and risk of leukemia: results from 1950-1995 Chinese medical X-ray workers’ cohort study and meta-analysis
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作者 Yeqing Gu Jinhan Wang +14 位作者 Yan Wang Chang Xu Yang Liu Liqing Du Qin Wang Kaihua Ji Ningning He Manman Zhang Huijuan Song Xiaohui Sun Jixian Wang Cari MKitahara Amy Berrington de Gonzalez Kaijun Niu Qiang Liu 《Journal of the National Cancer Center》 2022年第2期90-97,共8页
Background:It has been well-established that acute radiation exposures increase the risk of leukemia.However,it is still unknown whether these leukemia risk estimates could be extrapolated to occupational populations ... Background:It has been well-established that acute radiation exposures increase the risk of leukemia.However,it is still unknown whether these leukemia risk estimates could be extrapolated to occupational populations who receive repeated low-dose radiation exposure.The purpose of this study was to estimate quantified associations between low-dose radiation exposures and leukemia.Methods:The Chinese medical X-ray worker study(CMXW)included 27,011 medical X-ray workers employed at major hospitals in 24 provinces in China from 1950 to 1980,and a control population of 25,782 physicians matched by hospital,who were unexposed to X-ray equipment.Poisson regression models were used to esti-mate the excess relative risk(ERR)and excess absolute risk(EAR)for the incidence of leukemia associated with cumulative doses.A meta-analysis of the published literature on low-dose occupational radiation exposure and leukemia risk was also conducted.Results:The incidence rates of leukemia in X-ray workers and the control group were 6.70 and 3.39 per 100,000 person-years,respectively.Among X-ray workers,the average cumulative red bone marrow dose was 0.046 Gy.We found a positive relationship between 2-year lagged cumulative red bone marrow dose and risk of leukemia excluding chronic lymphocytic leukemia(CLL)(ERR=0.66 per 100 mGy,90%CI:0.09,1.53;EAR=0.29 per 104 PY-100 mGy,90%CI:0.07,0.56).The excess risk was largely driven by myeloid leukemia(ERR=1.06 per 100 mGy,90%CI:0.22,2.51).Based on the meta-analysis,the pooled ERR at 100 mGy was 0.19(95%CI:0.08,0.31).Conclusion:This study provides strong evidence of a positive and linear doseresponse relationship between cu-mulative red bone marrow dose and the incidence of non-CLL leukemia. 展开更多
关键词 Occupational exposure LEUKEMIA Dose reconstruction excess relative risk excess absolute risk
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The relationship between meteorological factors and daily outpatient visits at rabies exposure treatment clinics in Jinan,China 被引量:1
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作者 Gui-Jie Luan Yuan-Yuan Wang +3 位作者 Gang Li Liang Sun Wei-Yan Zhang Shao-Nan Liu 《Infectious Diseases Research》 2025年第1期10-15,共6页
Background:This study investigated the relationship between meteorological factors and daily outpatient visits to rabies post-exposure prophylaxis clinics to inform animal injury prevention strategies.Methods:Daily ou... Background:This study investigated the relationship between meteorological factors and daily outpatient visits to rabies post-exposure prophylaxis clinics to inform animal injury prevention strategies.Methods:Daily outpatient visit data from rabies post-exposure prophylaxis clinics in Jinan and corresponding meteorological data were collected from January 1,2020,to December 31,2022.A generalized additive model was used to quantitatively assess the relationship between these factors.A total of 202,010 patients visited these clinics during this period.Results:Daily mean,maximum,and minimum temperatures,and relative humidity were positively associated with outpatient visits.A 1°C increase in mean,maximum,and minimum temperatures corresponded to increases in daily visits of 1.65%(95%Confidence Interval(CI):1.55–1.76),1.59%(95%CI:1.50–1.69),and 1.27%(95%CI:1.17–1.36)respectively.Each 1%increase in relative humidity was associated with a 0.18%(95%CI:0.15–0.20)increase in visits.Mean pressure was negatively associated with outpatient visits,the outpatient visits decreased by 0.91%(95%CI:−1.71 to−0.11)for every 1 kPa increased in mean pressure.Conclusion:The change of meteorological factors will lead to the increase of outpatient visits in rabies exposure treatment clinic. 展开更多
关键词 meteorological factors RABIES outpatient visits excess risk
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2014—2023年兰州市空气臭氧暴露对循环系统疾病超额死亡风险评估
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作者 陈瑞 樊玉芳 +3 位作者 杨永宏 魏巧珍 孙建云 王兴国 《中国慢性病预防与控制》 北大核心 2025年第6期421-425,共5页
目的探讨2014—2023年兰州市空气臭氧(O3-8h)暴露对人群循环系统疾病超额死亡的影响,为控制O3-8h污染,减少O3-8h对人群健康的危害提供数据支持。方法由兰州市生态环境信息中心、兰州市气象局和中国疾病预防控制中心死因登记报告信息系... 目的探讨2014—2023年兰州市空气臭氧(O3-8h)暴露对人群循环系统疾病超额死亡的影响,为控制O3-8h污染,减少O3-8h对人群健康的危害提供数据支持。方法由兰州市生态环境信息中心、兰州市气象局和中国疾病预防控制中心死因登记报告信息系统分别收集2014—2023年兰州市环境空气质量、气象和死因监测数据。采用SPSS 25.0软件进行Spearman相关性分析,采用R 4.3.2软件进行广义相加模型时间序列分析,以获得暴露-反应关系系数(β),再通过风险评估模型计算O3-8h暴露造成的循环系统疾病超额死亡人数。结果2014—2023年,O3-8h为94.27μg/m^(3),循环系统疾病合计死亡人数为76574人,日均死亡人数为20人。循环系统疾病死亡人数与O3-8h浓度呈正相关(r=0.110,P<0.01)。O3-8h浓度每升高10μg/m^(3),循环系统疾病、女性和65岁以上人群死亡风险分别增加1.42%(95%CI:0.56%~2.29%)、1.80%(95%CI:0.88%~2.74%)和1.57%(95%CI:0.81%~2.33%)。因空气O3-8h污染暴露造成的循环系统疾病超额死亡人数约为74人。结论兰州市空气O3-8h暴露会增加循环系统疾病超额死亡风险,且女性和65岁以上老年人是敏感人群。 展开更多
关键词 臭氧 循环系统疾病 超额死亡 风险评估
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Cardiovascular Risk Burden in Sub-Saharan Africans with Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Hospital-Based Study in Yaounde, Cameroon
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作者 Madeleine Singwe-Ngandeu Mickael Essouma +7 位作者 Vicky Jocelyne Ama Moor Ahmadou Jingi Musa Alain Patrick Menanga Caroline Ngoufack Sandrine Sa’a Lontsi Thierry Ntandzi Yolande Vanessa Ayi Efoua Mireille Cathy Melong Pianta 《Open Journal of Rheumatology and Autoimmune Diseases》 2016年第1期1-9,共9页
Introduction: Studies on RA (rheumatoid arthritis) and cardiovascular risk in African countries are scarce. Objective: To investigate the relationship between RA and cardiovascular risk in Cameroonian patients. Method... Introduction: Studies on RA (rheumatoid arthritis) and cardiovascular risk in African countries are scarce. Objective: To investigate the relationship between RA and cardiovascular risk in Cameroonian patients. Methodology: In 50 Black RA patients and 51 matched healthy individuals from the general population, we studied cardiovascular risk factors validated by the WHO. Cardiovascular risks estimates were carried out using WHO risk charts for the African region. Epi-info, R and SPPS were used for the statistical analysis. Results: Overall and abdominal adiposity as expressed by increased body mass index and abdominal obesity, were all markedly increased in RA patients compared to non-RA subjects [70% vs. 47%, OR (95% CI) = 2.62 (1.16 - 5.94), p = 0.026;and 54% vs. 33%, OR (95% CI) = 2.34 (1.05 - 5.25), p = 0.045 respectively]. RA patients were more physically inactive than their non-RA counterparts (20% vs. 0, p = 0.001). Whereas RA was associated with a reduced odds of alcoholism [OR (95% CI) = 0.19 (0.06 - 0.62), p = 0.005]. Increased BMI seemed to occur independently of methotrexate (p = 0.76), hydroxychloroquine (p = 0.59), corticosteroids (p = 0.79) treatments, and independently of sex (p = 0.15), age (p = 0.67), and sedentary lifestyle (p = 0.16) in RA patients;but their BMI was weakly correlated with disease duration (r = 0.26;p = 0.074). Meanwhile, male gender was associated with a reduced odds of abdominal obesity [OR (95% CI) = 0.02 (0 - 0.4), p = 0.011]. Cardiovascular risk, comparable by proportions between RA and non-RA subjects, was low in 26 patients (78.8%) and 30 non-RA subjects (83.3%) respectively. Conclusion: Despite the high adiposity burden and a sedentary lifestyle experienced by RA patients compared to their healthy counterparts, RA was not associated with cardiovascular risk as estimated by WHO risk charts. 展开更多
关键词 Rheumatoid Arthritis excess Adiposity Physical Inactivity Cardiovascular risk World Health Organization risk Charts
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智能制造可否缩小企业内部收入不平等——基于智能制造试点示范项目的准自然实验 被引量:1
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作者 刘洪 仲黍林 彭乔依 《山西财经大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期71-84,共14页
以智能制造试点示范项目为准自然实验,运用2007—2022年制造业A股上市企业数据考察智能制造对企业内部薪酬差距的影响。结果表明,智能制造显著缩小了企业内部薪酬差距,根本原因在于智能制造通过发挥风险治理效应抑制高管与普通员工间的... 以智能制造试点示范项目为准自然实验,运用2007—2022年制造业A股上市企业数据考察智能制造对企业内部薪酬差距的影响。结果表明,智能制造显著缩小了企业内部薪酬差距,根本原因在于智能制造通过发挥风险治理效应抑制高管与普通员工间的超额薪酬差距,且主要体现为智能制造化解企业的生产经营风险、供需匹配风险与技术创新风险。异质性分析发现,在融资约束高、管理层权力大的企业,以及所在地区市场化程度、人力资本水平低的企业中,智能制造对企业薪酬差距的影响更明显。进一步分析发现,服务协同型智能制造模式更契合效率与公平的统一。 展开更多
关键词 智能制造 收入不平等 内部薪酬差距 超额薪酬差距 风险治理 生产经营风险 供需匹配风险 技术创新风险
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深圳市气温与人群伤害发生风险关联的病例交叉研究 被引量:1
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作者 马艳 朱启炯 +7 位作者 蔡伟聪 徐萍 李志学 胡建雄 马文军 刘涛 徐英 彭绩 《环境与职业医学》 北大核心 2025年第5期536-542,共7页
[背景]在全球气温不断上升的背景下,关于气温与伤害发生风险关联的研究很有必要。[目的]分析气温对深圳市宝安区伤害发生的影响,并明确敏感人群,为制定伤害防控策略和措施提供科学依据。[方法]收集2018—2022年宝安区医院急诊伤害监测资... [背景]在全球气温不断上升的背景下,关于气温与伤害发生风险关联的研究很有必要。[目的]分析气温对深圳市宝安区伤害发生的影响,并明确敏感人群,为制定伤害防控策略和措施提供科学依据。[方法]收集2018—2022年宝安区医院急诊伤害监测资料,气象数据来源于欧洲中期天气预报中心第五代陆地再分析资料。基于时间分层的病例交叉设计,利用条件logistic回归结合分布滞后非线性模型评估气温与伤害发生的暴露-反应关系,量化超额风险;并进一步按照性别、年龄和伤害发生原因进行分层分析。[结果]2018—2022年深圳市宝安区伤害监测哨点医院共收集伤害病例156205例,同期的日均气温的中位数为20.0℃。暴露-反应关系曲线显示,伤害的发生风险与气温呈正相关关系。经线性化处理发现,气温每升高1℃,伤害发生的风险(ER)增加1.05%(95%CI:0.68%~1.42%),女性(ER=1.31%,95%CI:0.67%~1.94%)高于男性(ER=0.92%,95%CI:0.47%~1.37%);相比其他年龄人群,气温对>60岁人群伤害发生风险影响最大(ER=1.91%,95%CI:−0.36%~4.24%);与气温相关的伤害发生风险排前三位的伤害分别为刀/锐器伤(ER=2.19%,95%CI:1.16%~3.22%)、动物伤(ER=1.71%,95%CI:0.86%~2.56%)和钝器伤(ER=0.71%,95%CI:−0.08%~1.51%)。气温对非故意伤害(ER=1.11%,95%CI:0.72%~1.49%)的影响高于故意伤害(ER=0.43%,95%CI:−0.85%~1.72%);重度伤害(ER=2.20%,95%CI:−3.09%~7.77%)受气温的影响高于轻度伤害(ER=1.00%,95%CI:0.58%~1.43%)和中度伤害(ER=1.15%,95%CI:0.42%~1.89%)。[结论]气温上升增加伤害发生风险,且气温的影响具有明显的人群异质性,提示需要针对不同人群和伤害采取针对性的干预措施。 展开更多
关键词 气温 伤害 病例交叉设计 超额风险 刀/锐器伤 动物伤
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先张PC梁抗裂性能及优化措施研究 被引量:1
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作者 孙宝林 冯文杰 +2 位作者 杨永清 严猛 孙竞飞 《桥梁建设》 北大核心 2025年第2期153-160,共8页
为研究先张预应力混凝土(PC)梁在快速施工和超量预应力损失下的抗裂性能,以某线路先张PC简支梁桥为背景进行研究。首先采用试验和理论分析相结合的方法研究梁体的短期和长期抗裂性能,分析薄弱梁体的开裂风险;然后从设计和施工方面提出... 为研究先张预应力混凝土(PC)梁在快速施工和超量预应力损失下的抗裂性能,以某线路先张PC简支梁桥为背景进行研究。首先采用试验和理论分析相结合的方法研究梁体的短期和长期抗裂性能,分析薄弱梁体的开裂风险;然后从设计和施工方面提出优化措施;最后进行优化措施试验验证。结果表明:常规状态下,先张PC梁的短期和长期抗裂性能均满足设计要求;在长线法施工的3榀梁中,中间梁体的抗裂储备有限,存在一定程度的开裂风险;可采取下调钢绞线弯转角、更换转向器、降低长线梁榀数和延后放张等优化措施;优化后中间梁体抗裂储备不足的问题得以解决,端部梁体的折线钢绞线预应力平均提高88 MPa,直线钢绞线预应力平均提高46 MPa,抗裂性能提升5%,较大程度解决了快速施工带来的超量预应力损失和抗裂问题。 展开更多
关键词 简支梁桥 先张预应力混凝土梁 超量预应力损失 抗裂性能 开裂风险 优化措施 试验验证
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唐山市大气污染物对人群超额死亡风险的评估
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作者 周君 周婉笛 +3 位作者 姚向晖 郑一诺 张伟莎 张志坤 《现代医学》 2025年第11期1739-1744,共6页
目的:评估唐山市大气污染物对人群造成的超额死亡风险。方法:收集唐山市2020—2022年人群死亡、气象、大气污染物等资料,基于广义相加模型进行时间序列分析和大气污染物对人群的超额死亡风险分析。结果:2020—2022年间,唐山市的大气PM_(... 目的:评估唐山市大气污染物对人群造成的超额死亡风险。方法:收集唐山市2020—2022年人群死亡、气象、大气污染物等资料,基于广义相加模型进行时间序列分析和大气污染物对人群的超额死亡风险分析。结果:2020—2022年间,唐山市的大气PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、O_(3)的浓度与市民的日均死亡人数呈正相关,其中PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、O_(3)浓度每升高10μg·m^(-3),超额危险度分别上升0.76%(RR=1.008,95%CI 1.002~1.014)、0.96%(RR=1.010,95%CI 1.004~1.015)、1.60%(RR=1.016,95%CI 1.007~1.025),PM_(10)、O_(3)的影响显示出滞后效应。2020—2022年PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、O_(3)污染导致的超额死亡人数分别为113.08、165.57、196.13人,PM_(2.5)的超额死亡人数逐年降低,PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)超额死亡人数呈现冬季最高夏季最低的季节性规律,采暖期的超额死亡人数远高于非采暖期,而O_(3)的超额死亡人数夏季高于冬季,并且非采暖期的超额死亡人数高于采暖期。结论:唐山市的大气污染物提高了人群的超额死亡风险,本研究为相关行政部门制定污染防治相关的政策提供了数据支持。 展开更多
关键词 大气污染物浓度 时间序列分析 人群超额死亡风险 唐山市
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论算法裁判的过度风险与程序法回应
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作者 杨滨菡 《西部学刊》 2025年第9期144-147,共4页
伴随着大数据、区块链等互联网信息技术的普及,算法裁判开始在司法中应用。在工具型算法裁判应用逐渐频繁的今天,需要注意到算法黑箱导致的算法不透明、数据缺失和瑕疵、算法对传统裁判思维的影响、法官对算法技术的过度依赖、公众对技... 伴随着大数据、区块链等互联网信息技术的普及,算法裁判开始在司法中应用。在工具型算法裁判应用逐渐频繁的今天,需要注意到算法黑箱导致的算法不透明、数据缺失和瑕疵、算法对传统裁判思维的影响、法官对算法技术的过度依赖、公众对技术中立性的错误坚持等过度风险,纠偏对算法裁判的认识。从厘清法官与算法在司法裁判上的分工,建立司法裁判相关信息“质”的准入制度,建立算法审查制度,保障当事人及其他诉讼参与人的诉讼权利等方面完善程序性制度设计,防控算法裁判引发的诸多社会风险,进一步推动算法裁判向善发展。 展开更多
关键词 算法裁判 人工智能 程序正义 过度风险 程序法
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Preliminary assessment of excess life time cancer risk due to radon exposure in small scale Tanzanite mines in Tanzania
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作者 Shovi Furaeli Sawe 《Radiation Medicine and Protection》 2025年第5期297-300,共4页
Objective To assess the excess life time cancer risk(ELCR)due to radon exposure in small scale Tanzanite mines in Northern Tanzania.Methods Radon concentrations were measured using the solid state nuclear track detect... Objective To assess the excess life time cancer risk(ELCR)due to radon exposure in small scale Tanzanite mines in Northern Tanzania.Methods Radon concentrations were measured using the solid state nuclear track detectors(SSNTD)type CR-39.Three to six CR-39 detectors were placed in the underground working environment of each mine for a period of four months then removed and sent to Niton laboratory in Italy for processing and determination of radon concentrations.The obtained radon concentrations were used to estimate exposure to radon progenies,excess relative risk(ERR)of developing lung cancer,total lung cancer risk(TCR)and excess lifetime cancer risk(ELCR)using standard equations.Results The radon levels in 58%of the assessed mines were below the action level of 300 Bq/m^(3) recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection(ICRP)while 42%were above this limit.The estimated mean exposure to radon and its progenies ranged from 0.08 to 1.18 WLM corresponding to annual effective doses of 0.8 and 11.8 mSv/year,for the minimum and maximum values respectively.These values are below the annual limit of 20mSv for occupational exposure recommended by the ICRP.The ELCR estimated using simplified linear model from BEIR IV report ranged from 0 to 0.03%which is below the U.S.EPA action level of 1.3%due to radon exposure of 148 Bq/m^(3).Conclusion The ELCR due to exposure to radon in the assessed mines is negligible.However,follow up studies are recommended as the depths of the mines increase especially in the mines were radon concentrations exceeded the action level. 展开更多
关键词 RADON excess life time cancer risk Tanzanite miners Tanzania
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强赎风险与过度投机——基于中国可转债市场的实证研究
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作者 辛建轩 叶强 +1 位作者 杨世博 夏昊 《金融监管研究》 北大核心 2025年第5期75-91,共17页
本文研究了可转债强赎风险与可转债市场投机程度间的关系。研究发现:(1)高强赎风险能够抑制可转债市场投机程度。(2)在代理冲突较低、信息不对称程度较高、财务困境成本较大的公司中,强赎风险对过度投机的抑制效果更明显。(3)在每年首... 本文研究了可转债强赎风险与可转债市场投机程度间的关系。研究发现:(1)高强赎风险能够抑制可转债市场投机程度。(2)在代理冲突较低、信息不对称程度较高、财务困境成本较大的公司中,强赎风险对过度投机的抑制效果更明显。(3)在每年首次触发强赎条件之后,发行公司强赎行权的可能性降低,此时强赎风险对投机程度的抑制作用减弱。更进一步分析发现,当强赎条款的设计更易于触发强赎条件时,可转债市场的平均溢价程度也更低。基于文本分析方法,本文对可转债发行条款进行了系统处理,构建强赎风险指标并验证其在抑制过度投机中所起的作用及其影响机制。本文的研究结论为中国监管机构优化强赎条款设计、遏制可转债市场过度投机行为提供了理论支持,也有助于投资者更好地识别和管理强赎风险。 展开更多
关键词 可转债 过度投机 强赎条款 强赎风险 延迟赎回
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2013—2020年我国大气污染的演变特征及健康效应
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作者 袁雪晴 王体健 +2 位作者 王婷婷 曲奕川 杨好 《环境影响评价》 2025年第5期11-21,43,共12页
自2013年《大气污染防治行动计划》实施以来,我国空气质量显著改善。本研究基于2013—2020年大气环境监测数据,系统评估了我国空气质量的时空变化特征及其健康效益。结果表明:(1)2013—2020年,除O_(3)以外的主要大气污染物质量浓度显著... 自2013年《大气污染防治行动计划》实施以来,我国空气质量显著改善。本研究基于2013—2020年大气环境监测数据,系统评估了我国空气质量的时空变化特征及其健康效益。结果表明:(1)2013—2020年,除O_(3)以外的主要大气污染物质量浓度显著下降,PM_(10)和PM_(2.5)的全国人口加权平均质量浓度分别降低了46.80%和47.95%;(2)华北平原空气质量健康指数(AQHI)降幅最大,健康风险改善最为明显;(3)政策实施期间,PM_(10)、PM_(2.5)、NO_(2)和SO_(2)暴露导致的超额死亡显著减少,基于国家一级标准,其中全因死亡率分别下降71.89%、62.24%、93.02%和99.59%,心血管疾病超额死亡率分别降低了66.19%、54.61%、91.43%和99.51%,呼吸系统疾病超额死亡率分别降低了79.56%、72.95%、94.86%和99.71%。本研究为评估我国大气污染治理的健康效益提供了科学依据,对进一步完善环境健康政策具有一定的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 大气污染 空气质量健康指数 健康风险 健康负担 超额死亡
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从新视角探讨维生素D基础与临床最新研究进展
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作者 高增杰 贾祎佳 +2 位作者 覃裕 宋红 黄华 《中国骨质疏松杂志》 北大核心 2025年第6期930-936,共7页
维生素D在维持骨骼健康、调节免疫系统和促进细胞分化中发挥着关键作用。维生素D缺乏是一个全球性问题,在中国尤为严重。我国临床不同专业医师对维生素D的认识及重要性仍然存在一定的偏差和差距。维生素D的临床获益已经成为共识,尤其是... 维生素D在维持骨骼健康、调节免疫系统和促进细胞分化中发挥着关键作用。维生素D缺乏是一个全球性问题,在中国尤为严重。我国临床不同专业医师对维生素D的认识及重要性仍然存在一定的偏差和差距。维生素D的临床获益已经成为共识,尤其是维生素D不足和缺乏的患者。但对于维生素D充足的人群,过量补充维生素D可能存在一定的风险。我国内分泌专业及骨质疏松科专业医师人群可能是执行维生素D监测和治疗的主要群体。国内其他专业的临床医师对维生素D的认识可能仍然处于较为初级的阶段,对维生素D的检测、补充、治疗仍然存在不执行、不检测、不纠正的状态。进一步普及维生素D相关前沿研究动态、更新维生素D的研究进展对临床、科研意义重大。 展开更多
关键词 维生素D 研究进展 争议 最佳剂量 维生素D的风险
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超标准暴雨洪水下长距离调水工程风险评估研究
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作者 杨奇 马福恒 +1 位作者 叶伟 李强 《水利水运工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期101-112,共12页
近年来暴雨洪水事件频发,长距离调水工程的运行安全面临严峻挑战。以超标准暴雨洪水下的长距离调水工程为研究对象,采用WBS-RBS分析方法,从工程结构和风险因素两个维度构建风险矩阵,系统识别其风险事件及来源;针对传统权重分配方法的主... 近年来暴雨洪水事件频发,长距离调水工程的运行安全面临严峻挑战。以超标准暴雨洪水下的长距离调水工程为研究对象,采用WBS-RBS分析方法,从工程结构和风险因素两个维度构建风险矩阵,系统识别其风险事件及来源;针对传统权重分配方法的主观性缺陷,提出了基于灰色关联系数改进的TOPSIS法,结合建筑物类型及所处环境等多维度因素,对沿线建筑物进行客观赋权;最后,考虑外部环境、人类活动和运行管理等风险来源对工程的影响,构建顺向链式传导结构,分析风险在工程中的传递机制,量化风险来源对建筑物的影响程度,计算各建筑物的风险值,并结合赋权结果对整体工程风险进行评估。以某长距离调水工程某管理处所辖工程为例,运用该模型进行了风险评估,结果表明该工程处于低风险状态。研究提出的风险评估模型可为超标准暴雨洪水条件下长距离调水工程的风险管理提供技术支撑,对保障调水工程安全运行具有重要参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 超标准暴雨洪水 长距离调水工程 TOPSIS法 风险传递
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西安市大气污染对城区居民每日死亡率影响的时间序列分析 被引量:20
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作者 侯斌 戴灵真 +5 位作者 王铮 尚羽 李怡 李劲松 陈志军 黄薇 《环境与健康杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第12期1039-1043,共5页
目的评价西安市大气污染对城市居民的健康影响。方法采用时间序列方法对2004—2008年西安主要大气污染物(PM10、NO2和SO2)与每日死亡率相关性进行泊松回归分析,并控制年龄、性别、时间、"星期几效应"和气象因素的影响。结果... 目的评价西安市大气污染对城市居民的健康影响。方法采用时间序列方法对2004—2008年西安主要大气污染物(PM10、NO2和SO2)与每日死亡率相关性进行泊松回归分析,并控制年龄、性别、时间、"星期几效应"和气象因素的影响。结果研究地区大气PM10、NO2和SO2暴露与超额死亡风险存在显著正相关关系。PM10、NO2和SO2在过去48 h的暴露浓度每上升10μg/m3所对应的总死亡超额风险分别为0.35%(95%CI:0.11%~0.58%),2.42%(1.57%~3.27%)和0.60%(0.16%~1.05%)。PM10、NO2和SO2暴露与心脑血管和呼吸系统疾病死亡的影响较显著,中老年人和男性更为易感。在采暖期和非采暖期,污染物浓度及效应有明显的季节性差异。结论西安市主要大气污染物短期暴露与居民的超额死亡风险显著相关。 展开更多
关键词 大气污染 每日死亡率 时间序列分析 超额风险
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