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Econometric Modeling and Forecasting of Regional Environmental Conditions and Public Health Issues in Uzbekistan: A Case Study of Navoi Region
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作者 Subkhon Abbasov Nilufar Komilova +4 位作者 Normurod Latipov Nazokat Mukhammedova Iroda Khudoyberdiyeva Suhrob Chulliyev Sirojiddin Do’sbekov 《Journal of Environmental & Earth Sciences》 2025年第4期324-338,共15页
In this research work,the problems of connection between various harmful substances emitted into the atmosphere and population morbidity indicators were analyzed in the Navoi region,located in the industrialized and a... In this research work,the problems of connection between various harmful substances emitted into the atmosphere and population morbidity indicators were analyzed in the Navoi region,located in the industrialized and arid climate region of the Republic of Uzbekistan,in the Central Asian region.In today’s globalization process,due to the rapid development of the industry,several problems related to the health of the population are also appearing,so it is more important than ever to pay serious attention to solving these problems.Item 11 of the UN Sustainable Development Goals is also dedicated to the sustainable development of cities,and it is especially emphasized that the people living in the cities of the Asian continent have a very low chance of breathing clean air.Issues such as a very thorough analysis of this situation,improving the environmental situation as much as possible,transitioning to a green economy as soon as possible,and strengthening the health of the population are more important.In the implementation of this study,using methods such as statistical data analysis,sociological survey,and econometric modeling with the help of R Studio software,an attempt was made to determine the correlation between various harmful substances released into the atmosphere and disease groups of the population.This study’s conclusions show a direct relationship between the harmful substances released into the atmosphere and some types of population diseases in the industrialized region of Uzbekistan in Navoi,and their reduction by 2028 forecasts is presented.Decision-making organizations can use these results to prevent this situation from exacerbating. 展开更多
关键词 SDGs Sustainable Cities and Communities econometric modeling Air Pollution Navoi Region ARIMA
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Impact of green technological innovation on new quality productivity: An empirical analysis based on panel data of 30 provinces in China
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作者 SHI Xiong-tian CHEN Yang 《Ecological Economy》 2025年第2期133-150,共18页
Green technology innovation has gradually become an important driving force to promote new quality productivity.This paper constructs a quantitative index system of new quality productivity based on the three major el... Green technology innovation has gradually become an important driving force to promote new quality productivity.This paper constructs a quantitative index system of new quality productivity based on the three major elements of workers,labour objects and labour tools,and empirically analyses the impact of green technology innovation on the level of new quality productivity using spatial econometric model and VAR model.The result shows that:(1)The level of new quality productivity is not only affected by its own factors,but also by the significant spatial spillover effect between regions,especially in the case of strong geographic proximity,the interregional economic activities and resource allocation have a strong interaction and dependence.(2)The direct effect of green technology innovation is negative,mainly due to the high R&D investment and the short-term cost increase brought about by technological transformation,but its indirect effect is positive,showing that green technology has a positive effect on the new quality productivity enhancement of neighbouring regions through technology diffusion and cooperative innovation.(3)The eastern and western regions are affected by high upfront costs and transformation challenges,showing negative effects;while the central and northeastern regions benefit from policy support and industrial upgrading,showing positive effects.(4)Impulse response function analysis shows that the short-term impact of green technological innovation on new quality productivity is negative,but the long-term potential is significant,and the negative effect gradually diminishes over time.Based on this,this paper puts forward the suggestions of optimising the green innovation input structure,formulating regional differentiated policies and strengthening regional synergistic cooperation,which provide the theoretical basis and practical path for realising the green transformation and high-quality development of the economy. 展开更多
关键词 green technology innovation new quality productivity spatial econometric modelling VAR model regional spillovers
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Promoting or Inhibiting?Influence of Railway Container Transportation on Regional Economic Development 被引量:1
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作者 BAI Zhizhen KUANG Haibo YANG Jun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第6期1175-1190,共16页
In the context of building a country with a strong transportation network,railway container transportation(RCT)is an important means of reducing costs,increasing efficiency,and adjusting transportation structures.Thus... In the context of building a country with a strong transportation network,railway container transportation(RCT)is an important means of reducing costs,increasing efficiency,and adjusting transportation structures.Thus,its impact on regional economic development is important.Based on data from railway container-handling stations and spatial econometric models,this study discusses the differences in the development of RCT and their impact on regional economic development at different leves.This study has three main findings:first,there are significant regional differences in the development of the RCT.The intra-regional differences between the eastern and central regions of China(which do not include Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)are gradually narrowing,while the regional differences in the western region are widening.Meanwhile,the intra-regional differences in important economic zones such as Pearl River Delta Economic Zone(PRDEZ),Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone(CYEZ),Bohai Rim Economic Zone(BHEZ),and Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone(YRDEZ)are narrowing daily.Second,the development differences of RCT in regional level and important economic regions level show different trends.The unbalanced features of large regions are increasingly evident,whereas the differences in economic regions are decreasing.However,the problem of overlapping RCT remains prominent.Third,the transformation of RCT development mode and fierce competition among transportation modes cause RCT to have a restraining effect on the regional economy at three levels.Rational allocation of resources and other means must be used to guide the transformation from inhibition to promotion,and by formulating targeted policies that will promote the development of RCT,which will improve the transportation structure and help construct a country with a strong transportation system. 展开更多
关键词 railway container transportation(RCT) hierarchical difference promote and inhibit spatial econometric model China
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Analysis of spatial distribution characteristics and driving factors of ethnicminority villages in China using geospatial technology and statistical models
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作者 SHAO Dandan ZOH Kyungjin 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第8期2770-2789,共20页
This study aims to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of 1,652 Ethnic-Minority Villages(EMV)in China and to analyze the mechanisms driving their spatial heterogeneity.EMV are a special type of settlement sp... This study aims to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of 1,652 Ethnic-Minority Villages(EMV)in China and to analyze the mechanisms driving their spatial heterogeneity.EMV are a special type of settlement space that preserve a large number of historical traces of the ethnic culture of ancient China.They are important carriers of China’s excellent traditional culture and are key to the implementation of rural revitalization strategies.In this study,1652 EMV in China were selected as the research subjects.The Nearest Neighbor Index,kernel density,and spatial autocorrelation index were employed to reveal the spatial structural characteristics of minority villages.Neural network models,spatial lag models,and geographical detectors were used to analyze the formation mechanism of spatial heterogeneity in EMV.The results indicate that:(1)EMV exhibit significant spatial differentiation characterized by“single-core with multiple surrounding sub-centers,”“polarization between east and west,”“decreasing quantity from southwest to east coast to northeast to northwest,”and“large dispersion with small agglomeration.”(2)EMV are mainly distributed in areas rich in intangible cultural heritage,with high vegetation coverage and low altitude,far from central cities,and having limited arable land and an underdeveloped economy and transportation,particularly in shaded or riverbank areas.(3)Distance from the nearest river(X3),distance from central cities(X8),national intangible cultural heritage(X9),and NDVI(X10)were the main driving factors affecting the spatial distribution of EMV,whereas elevation(X1)and GDP(X5)had the weakest influence.As EMV are a relatively unique territorial spatial unit,the identification of their spatial heterogeneity characteristics not only deepens the research content of settlement geography,but also involves the assessment,protection,and development of Minority Villages,which is of great significance for the inheritance and utilization of excellent ethnic cultures in the era. 展开更多
关键词 Ethnic-Minority Villages Spatial structure Settlement geography Neural network model Spatial econometric model GeoDetector
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Emission-side drivers affecting carbon neutrality based on vegetation carbon sequestration:Evidence from China
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作者 Han Wang 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2024年第1期87-97,共11页
To address climate change,the world needs deep decarbonization to achieve carbon neutrality(CN),which implies net-zero human-caused CO_(2) emissions in the atmosphere.This study used emission-side drivers,including so... To address climate change,the world needs deep decarbonization to achieve carbon neutrality(CN),which implies net-zero human-caused CO_(2) emissions in the atmosphere.This study used emission-side drivers,including socioeconomic and net primary productivity(NPP)-based factors,to determine the changes in CN based on vegetation carbon sequestration in the case of China during 2001-2015.Spatial exploratory analysis as well as the combined use of production-theoretical decomposition analysis(PDA)and an econometric model were also utilized.We showed that CN was significantly spatially correlated over the study period;Yunnan,Heilongjiang,and Jilin presented positive spatial autocorrelations,whereas Guizhou showed a negative spatial autocorrelation.More than half of CN declined over the period during which potential energy intensity(PEIE)and energy usage technological change were the largest negative and positive drivers for increasing CN.PEIE played a significantly negative role in increasing CN.We advise policymakers to focus more on emission-side drivers(e.g.,energy intensity)in addition to strengthening NPP management to achieve CN. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon neutrality Vegetation carbon sequestration Production-theoretical decomposition analysis econometric model
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A Comparative Study on Factors Influencing Food Security in China and India
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作者 Shaowen YANG Meixue QIU 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2024年第2期12-15,共4页
This paper analyzes and compares the key factors influencing food security in two populous countries(China and India),and cate-gorizes them into three types:agricultural production,economic development and income leve... This paper analyzes and compares the key factors influencing food security in two populous countries(China and India),and cate-gorizes them into three types:agricultural production,economic development and income level,and income distribution.Using the prevalence of undernourishment as an indicator of food security,the paper empirically tests the degree of impact of various factors on food security in both countries using Tobit regression and Newey regression methods.The study finds that improving the level of economic development can significantly enhance food security in both countriesꎻreducing the Gini coefficient has a significant impact on India,but not on Chinaꎻincreasing the agricultural production per capita has a much greater effect on China than on India.Therefore,both countries should take measures that are both similar and different according to their national conditions to improve their food security level. 展开更多
关键词 Food security Influencing factors Comparative study econometric model
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Evaluation and Influence Factors of Green Innovation Efficiency in Old Industrial Area of Northeast China:New Evidence Based on Spatial Econometric Models
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作者 GUO Fuyou LI Linshan +2 位作者 ZHOU Mingxi SUN Yongsheng REN Jiamin 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2025年第6期1315-1327,共13页
Green innovation is an important driving force for high-quality development and an important guarantee for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China.However,research on green innovation is still... Green innovation is an important driving force for high-quality development and an important guarantee for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China.However,research on green innovation is still insufficient.Using the super-efficiency epsilon-based measure Malmquist model,kernel density estimation,and spatial econometric model,this study investigated the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of green innovation efficiency(GIE)in Northeast China from 2005 to 2020.The results reveal that:1)The GIE in Northeast China has obvious phased characteristics,where 2005-2011 was a period of fluctuating decline while 2012-2020 was a period of fluctuating increase,reflecting the severe resource and environmental constraints faced by the green innovation process.2)The GIE in the Northeast China has a significant spatial dependence,which has not formed a relatively stable spatial club feature.The process for improving the GIE in the Northeast China in the future is still arduous and far off.3)The interweaving and mutual influence of nonequilibrium factors have led to the diversity and complexity of the spatiotemporal pattern evolution of GIE.Overall,the level of economic development and industrial structure has a positive effect,while foreign investment and industrial agglomeration have a negative effect.The direct effects of government regulation,resource endowment,science and technology,environmental regulation,and urbanization are not significant.The research conclusion of this article can provide important reference for the revitalization of Northeast China. 展开更多
关键词 green innovation efficiency(GIE) spatial and temporal patterns influencing factors spatial econometric model Northeast China
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Fighting African capital flight: trajectories, dynamics, and tendencies
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作者 Simplice A.Asongu Joseph I.Uduji Elda N.Okolo-Obasi 《Financial Innovation》 2020年第1期247-267,共21页
This study provides a harmonization framework for common capital flight policies in Africa.It builds on evidence of persistent extreme poverty in the continent to assess how common measures can be adopted by sampled c... This study provides a harmonization framework for common capital flight policies in Africa.It builds on evidence of persistent extreme poverty in the continent to assess how common measures can be adopted by sampled countries on one cause of extreme poverty:capital flight.The dataset is sub-divided into fundamental characteristics of African capital flight based on income levels,legal foundations,natural resources,political stability,regional proximity,and religious domination.The main finding shows that from a projection date of 2010,a feasible timeframe for harmonizing policies is between 2016 and 2023.This timeframe coincides with the beginning of the post-2015 agenda on sustainable development goals. 展开更多
关键词 econometric modeling Capital flight POVERTY AFRICA
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Modelling Recycling Targets:Achieving a 50%Recycling Rate for Household Waste in Denmark
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作者 Amanda Louise Hill Ole Leinikka Dall Frits Moller Andersen 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2014年第7期627-636,共10页
Within the European Union (EU) a paradigm shift is currently occurring in the waste sector, where EU waste directives and national waste strategies are placing emphasis on resource efficiency and recycling targets. Th... Within the European Union (EU) a paradigm shift is currently occurring in the waste sector, where EU waste directives and national waste strategies are placing emphasis on resource efficiency and recycling targets. The most recent Danish resource strategy calculates a national recycling rate of 22% for household waste, and sets an ambitious goal of a 50% recycling rate by 2020. This study integrates the recycling target into the FRIDA model to project how much waste and from which streams should be diverted from incineration to recycling in order to achieve the target. Furthermore, it discusses how the existing technological, organizational and legislative frameworks may affect recycling activities. The results of the analysis show that with current best practice recycling rates, the 50% recycling rate cannot be reached without recycling of household biowaste. It also shows that all Danish municipalities will need to make efforts to recover all recyclable fractions, and that the increased recycling efforts of only selected municipalities will not be sufficient to reach the target. 展开更多
关键词 Recycling Rate Recycling Potential Household Waste econometric modeling Waste Management
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Quantitative measuring and influencing mechanism of urban and rural land intensive use in ChinaQuantitative measuring and influencing mechanism of urban and rural land intensive use in China 被引量:13
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作者 LI Guangdong FANG Chuanglin PANG Bo 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第5期858-874,共17页
Land use issue is an important constraining force to limit economic sustainable development of China. Urban and rural rapid expansion depletes valued land resources under the background of rapid urbanization. An exten... Land use issue is an important constraining force to limit economic sustainable development of China. Urban and rural rapid expansion depletes valued land resources under the background of rapid urbanization. An extensive use pattern might cause a serious waste of land resources. The study on influencing mechanism of land intensive use (LIU) in China at the county level is a key tool for effective LIU practice and policy-making. This paper uses OLS model, Spatial Panel Lagged model and Spatial Panel Error model to quantitatively analyze the influencing mechanisms of five class factors and 17 variables supported by GIS (Geographic Information System) and MATLAB. And a comprehensive data set was devel- oped including physical geography and socio-economic information of 2286 counties. Meanwhile, the spatiotemporal pattern of LIU has discussed by means of GIS. The results show that Spatial Panel Data models are slightly superior to OLS model in terms of signifi- cance and confidence level. Regression results of these models indicate that industrialization, urbanization, economic development level, location, transportation and policy have significant impact on LIU of counties. The variables of physical geography are less significant than socio-economic variables. An ignored variable of historical factor, however, became the best significant factor. In the future, the LIU at the county level should take advantage of the new situation by enhancing favorable factors and reducing disadvantageous ones, which can be acquired by improving the entire level and quality of industrialization and urbanization. We argued that an efficient and complete land market and operating system should be built to reflect market-oriented activities at the first place, then, differential LIU regulation policies and measurements should be optimized according to regional differences. In the meantime, we should pay close attention to the carrying capacity of local resources and environments when conducting LIU practices. 展开更多
关键词 land intensive use national territory quantitative measure influencing mechanism influencing factors spatial econometrics models GIS COUNTY China
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Simulation on the dynamics of forest area changes in Northeast China 被引量:11
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作者 DENG Xiangzheng JIANG Qun'ou +2 位作者 ZHAN Jinyan HE Shujin LIN Yingzhi 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第4期495-509,共15页
There is plenty of forests in Northeast China which contributes a lot to the conservation of water and land resources, produces timber products, and provides habitats for a huge number of wild animals and plants. With... There is plenty of forests in Northeast China which contributes a lot to the conservation of water and land resources, produces timber products, and provides habitats for a huge number of wild animals and plants. With changes of socio-economic factors as well as the geophysical conditions, there are dramatic changes on the spatial patterns of forest area. In this sense, it is of great significance to shed light on the dynamics of forest area changes to find the underlining reasons for shaping the changing patterns of forest area in Northeast China. To explore the dynamics of forest area change in Northeast China, an econometric model is developed which is composed of three equations identifying forestry production, conversion from open forest to closed forest and conversion from other land uses to closed forest so as to explore the impacts on the forest area changes from demographic, social, economic, location and geophysical factors. On this basis, we employ the Dynamics of Land System (DLS) model to simulate land-use conversions between forest area and non-forest cover and the land-use conversions within the sub-classes of forest area for the period 2000-2020 under business as usual scenario, environmental protection scenario and economic growth scenario. The simulation results show that forest area will expand continuously and there exist various kinds of changing patterns for the sub-classes of forest area, for example, closed forest will expand continuously and open forest and shrub will decrease a little bit, while area of other forest will keep intact. The research results provide meaningful decision-making information for conserving and exploiting the forest resources and makJng out the planning for forestry production Jn the Northeast China region. 展开更多
关键词 forest area forestry production econometric model dynamics of land system Northeast China
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Methods for determining unimpeded aircraft taxiing time and evaluating airport taxiing performance 被引量:9
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作者 Yu Zhang Qing Wang 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第2期523-537,共15页
The objective of this study is to improve the methods of determining unimpeded(nominal) taxiing time,which is the reference time used for estimating taxiing delay,a widely accepted performance indicator of airport s... The objective of this study is to improve the methods of determining unimpeded(nominal) taxiing time,which is the reference time used for estimating taxiing delay,a widely accepted performance indicator of airport surface movement.After reviewing existing methods used widely by different air navigation service providers(ANSP),new methods relying on computer software and statistical tools,and econometrics regression models are proposed.Regression models are highly recommended because they require less detailed data and can serve the needs of general performance analysis of airport surface operations.The proposed econometrics model outperforms existing ones by introducing more explanatory variables,especially taking aircraft passing and over-passing into the considering of queue length calculation and including runway configuration,ground delay program,and weather factors.The length of the aircraft queue in the taxiway system and the interaction between queues are major contributors to long taxi-out times.The proposed method provides a consistent and more accurate method of calculating taxiing delay and it can be used for ATM-related performance analysis and international comparison. 展开更多
关键词 Aircraft taxiing Airport performance econometric regression modeling Queue length Simulation analysis Taxiway system
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Agricultural Non-point Source Pollution in China:Evaluation,Convergence Characteristics and Spatial Effects 被引量:7
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作者 QIU Wenwen ZHONG Zhangbao LI Zhaoliang 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第3期571-584,共14页
In this study,an inventory analysis approach was used to investigate the intensity of agricultural non-point source pollution(ANSP)and its spatial convergence at national and provincial levels in China from 1999 to 20... In this study,an inventory analysis approach was used to investigate the intensity of agricultural non-point source pollution(ANSP)and its spatial convergence at national and provincial levels in China from 1999 to 2017.On this basis,spatial factors affecting ANSP were explored by constructing a spatial econometric model.The results indicate that:1)The intensity of China's ANSP emission showed an overall upward trend and an obvious spatial difference,with the values being high in the eastern and central regions and relatively low in the western region.2)Significant spatial agglomeration was shown in China's ANSP intensity,and the agglomeration effect was increasing gradually.3)In the convergence analysis,a spatial lag model was found applicable for interpretation of the ANSP intensity,with the convergence rate being accelerated after considering the spatial factors but slower than that of regional economic growth.4)The spatial factors affecting the ANSP intensity are shown to be reduced by improving agricultural infrastructure investment,labor-force quality,and crop production ratio,while the expansion of agricultural economy scale and precipitation and runoff have positive impact on ANSP in the study region.However,agricultural research and development(R&D)investment showed no direct significant effect on the ANSP intensity.Meanwhile,improving the quality of the labor force would significantly reduce the ANSP intensity in the surrounding areas,while the precipitation and runoff would significantly increase the pollution of neighboring regions.This research has laid a theoretical basis for formulation and optimization of ANSP prevention strategies in China and related regions. 展开更多
关键词 intensity of agricultural non-point source pollution spatial effects inventory analysis spatial econometric model βconvergence
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Factors and mechanism driving the land-use conversion in Jiangxi Province 被引量:5
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作者 ZHAN Jinyan SHI Nana +1 位作者 HE Shujin LIN Yingzhi 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第4期525-539,共15页
This article explores the factors and mechanism driving the land-use conversion at regional level by developing and using an econometric approach which is called the simultaneous equations model (SEM). A case study ... This article explores the factors and mechanism driving the land-use conversion at regional level by developing and using an econometric approach which is called the simultaneous equations model (SEM). A case study in Jiangxi Province of China is conducted by establishing the SEM, which consists of three equations including agricultural production, land conversion of cultivated land to built-up area and land conversion of cultivated land to forest cover/grassland from 1988 to 2005. And then this paper employs the method of piecewise estimation to represent the influences of the factors such as population, society, economy, location and geophysical conditions on the process of land-use conversion in Jiangxi Province. Estimation results show that population is a predominant factor driving the land-use conversion at counties, while social and economic factors are determinant factors in the short term for the entire Jiangxi Province. Specifically, the size of agricultural population and the magnitude of agricultural input determine the agricultural production to a large extent; population size, plain area proportion at counties and land management policies together affect the direction and magnitude of conversion between cultivated land and built-up area; agricultural population proportion, terrain slope, grain production and non-agricultural industry promote the conversion of cultivated land to forest cover/grassland. Furthermore, the explored mechanism also reveals the underlying causes of the land use changes driven by a series of factors in Jiangxi Province. Finally, this paper concludes that factors proven to play an important role in driving the land-use conversion need to be considered when the land management agencies make out the land use planning to optimize the land use, expand the agricultural production, and conserve the cultivated land. 展开更多
关键词 land use land-use conversion MECHANISM econometric model simultaneous equations model Jiangxi Province
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The temporal and spatial evaluation on China's agricultural policy output since 1978 被引量:3
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作者 YU Jianhui 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第3期475-488,共14页
Since reform and opening up, how much contribution has China's implementation of new agricultural policy made to agricultural output? This paper is trying to establish an agricultural policy output econometric model... Since reform and opening up, how much contribution has China's implementation of new agricultural policy made to agricultural output? This paper is trying to establish an agricultural policy output econometric model for doing a quantitative analysis of China's new ag- ricultural policy. The results show that China's agricultural policies on agricultural output have an average contribution rate of about 7% since 1978, which is consistent with the OECD's basic forecast. There are obvious temporal and spatial differences. Generally speaking, we can divide the contribution of agricultural policy into three periods, which are the start-up phase from 1978 to 1991 (14 years), the stationary phase from 1992 to 2002 (11 years) and the rising phase from 2003 to 2008 (6 years). In space, the contribution of agricultural policy underwent a process from the all-low in the start-up phase, the gradual increase in the sta- tionary phase to the all-high in the rising phase. Northern and western regions are more sen- sitive to policies. There are three major factors that can affect the contribution of regional agricultural policies, which are the process of national industrialization strategy, terrain and the level of local finance. 展开更多
关键词 EVALUATION agricultural policy econometric model China
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Study of spatial patterns and spatial effects of energy eco-efficiency in China 被引量:3
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作者 GUAN Wei XU Shuting 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第9期1362-1376,共15页
Energy eco-efficiency is a concept integrating ecological and economic benefits arising from energy utilization and serves as a measure of efficiency in the energy-environment-economy system. Using the slacks-based me... Energy eco-efficiency is a concept integrating ecological and economic benefits arising from energy utilization and serves as a measure of efficiency in the energy-environment-economy system. Using the slacks-based measure (SBM) model considering undesirable output, this study first measures the energy eco-efficiency of provinces in China from 1997 to 2012. It then analyzes the spatial distribution and evolution of energy eco-efficiency from three aspects: scale, intensity, and grain of spatial patterns. Finally, it examines the spatial spillover effects and influencing factors of energy eco-efficiency in different provinces by means of a spatial econometric model. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) The overall energy ecofficiency is relatively low in China, with energy-inefficient regions accounting for about 40%. Guangdong, Hainan and Fujian provinces enjoy the highest energy eco-efficiency, while Ningxia, Gansu, Qinghai, and Xinjiang are repre- sentative regions with low efficiency. Thus, the pattern of evolution of China's overall energy eco-efficiency is U-shaped. Among local regions, four main patterns of evolution are found: increasing, fluctuating, mutating, and leveling. (2) At the provincial level, China's energy eco-efficiency features significant spatial agglomeration both globally and locally. High-high agglomeration occurs mainly in the eastern and southern coastal regions and low-low agglomeration in the northwestern region and the middle reaches of the Yellow River. Changes in spatial patterns have occurred mainly in areas with high-low and low-high agglomeration, with the most remarkable change taking place in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. (3) There exist significant spatial effects of energy eco-efficiency among provinces in China. For the energy eco-efficiency of a given region spatial spillovers from adjacent regions outweigh the influence of errors in adjacent regions. Industrial structure has the greatest influence on energy eco-efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 energy eco-efficiency SBM model spatial pattern spatial econometric model
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Urban Agglomerations in China: Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Population Agglomeration 被引量:2
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作者 CAO Yongwang ZHANG Rongrong +1 位作者 ZHANG Dahao ZHOU Chunshan 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第4期719-735,共17页
Urban agglomeration(UA)is an advanced spatial economic form formed and developed in the process of rapid industrialization and urbanization,and an important carrier of urbanization and economic development.The economy... Urban agglomeration(UA)is an advanced spatial economic form formed and developed in the process of rapid industrialization and urbanization,and an important carrier of urbanization and economic development.The economy has developed rapidly in the recent decades of China,and the UAs have also developed rapidly.However,as a large population country,the population distribution and changes of UAs in China has unique characteristics.Using the fifth,sixth and seventh population census data,spatial auto-correlation and spatial econometric models,we analyzed the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of population agglomeration in China’s UAs.Results revealed that:1)from 2000 to 2020,the population gradually converged into UAs,and the characteristics of population agglomeration in different development degree of UAs differ.The higher the development degree of UA,the higher the population agglomeration degree.Besides,UAs are the main area with the most significant population agglomeration degree,and the spatial autocorrelation show that the cities with similar degree tend to be concentrated in space.The urban population gathering in UAs has a certain positive spillover effect on population size of neighboring cities.2)Economic development and social conditions factors are important factors affecting population agglomeration degree in UAs.The main factors of population gather into UAs are similar with the outside UAs,but the positive promotion of urbanization rate and proportion of tertiary industry in GDP on population agglomeration of UAs in China are enhancing from 2000 to 2020.Meanwhile,the other factors,such as high-quality public services,good urban living environment conditions,high-quality medical and educational resources,are also important factors to promote urban population gather into UAs.This study provides a basis for formulating the development planning of UAs in China,and enriches the relevant theoretical research of population evolution and influencing factors of UAs. 展开更多
关键词 urban agglomerations(UAs) population agglomeration influencing factors spatial econometric models China
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Spatial Spillover and the Factors Influencing Public Service Supply in Sichuan Province, China 被引量:9
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作者 SONG Xue-qian DENG Wei LIU Ying 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第5期1356-1371,共16页
This article examines the spatial characteristics of public service supply and the factors influencing such supply in cities of Sichuan Province, China using spatial-autocorrelation and spatial econometric models with... This article examines the spatial characteristics of public service supply and the factors influencing such supply in cities of Sichuan Province, China using spatial-autocorrelation and spatial econometric models with statistical data in 2012. The results demonstrate that expenditures on different types of public services present different spatial autocorrelation patterns. Although the spatial differences in basic public service expenditures are relatively small, a clear fan-shaped spillover to the east can be seen in Chengdu City. Chengdu also shows high clustering of advanced public service expenditures, being a typical core-periphery pattern. Post-earthquake reconstruction expenditures are clustered in the "5.12 Wenchuan earthquake" region and spill over toward cities to the east. The efficiency of public services in the mountainous areas in western Sichuan is low and exhibits a pattern of low-low spatial autocorrelation. The efficiency of public service supply is affected by economic, social, political and geographical factors. Based on the results of this analysis, we recommend a supply strategy that incorporates different types of public services and a specialized public service supply strategy for mountainous areas. Overall public service efficiency should be enhanced by focusing on narrowing the gap in farmers' income among regions and accelerating urbanization. Decision-makers should consider moresupportive policies with regard to providing basic public services in mountainous areas to ensure an equalized supply of basic public services. To enhance the efficiency of advanced public service supply, additional growth pole should be encouraged and incentivized; however, investments are required to drive the development of the peripheral regions through regional economic integration. Both software and hardware types of infrastructure are required to supply services efficiently during post-disaster reconstruction. 展开更多
关键词 Public services Spatial Spillover Spatial econometric Model Relief Degree of Land Surface China
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Assessing the dynamics of human activity intensity and its natural and socioeconomic determinants in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau 被引量:1
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作者 Hanchu Liu Jie Fan +4 位作者 Kan Zhou Xin Xu Haipeng Zhang Rui Guo Shaofeng Chen 《Geography and Sustainability》 CSCD 2023年第4期294-304,共11页
Investigating the spatiotemporal variation of human activity intensity and its determinants is a crucial basis for further revealing the mechanism of human-environment interaction and optimizing the human development ... Investigating the spatiotemporal variation of human activity intensity and its determinants is a crucial basis for further revealing the mechanism of human-environment interaction and optimizing the human development mode.In this study,the human activity intensity on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(QTP)from 1990 to 2020 was measured based on the quantitative model of land use data and the actual regional background,and the under-lying natural and socioeconomic determinants were investigated using spatial econometric methods.The results demonstrate that(1)the human activity intensity in QTP has increased by 11.96%,and there are differences in different spatial scales;the areas with high human activity intensity are distributed in the Hehuang Valley where Xining City and its surrounding areas are located,as well as the One-River and Two-River Area where Lhasa City and surrounding areas are located.(2)Human activity intensity has significant positive spatial spillover,suggesting that local changes will cause changes in the same direction in adjacent areas.(3)The human activ-ity intensity in QTP is affected by various determinants.Concerning socioeconomic factors,the economic level has no significant impact on the human activity intensity in QTP,which differs from the general regional law.Both urbanization and traffic conditions have a significant positive effect,and the impact intensity continues to increase.Concerning natural factors,topographic relief has a significant positive effect;the impacts of temper-ature and vegetation coverage have changed from insignificant to a significant positive effect;the impacts of precipitation and river network density have not been verified;there is no linear relationship between altitude and human activity intensity in the entire QTP,while it exists in local regions.Finally,this study proposes three policy implications for the realization of a more harmonious human-environment relationship in QTP. 展开更多
关键词 Human activity intensity Spatiotemporal dynamics Natural and socioeconomic determinants Spatial econometric model Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Green Total-factor Water-use Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors in China
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作者 MA Dalai ZHANG Fengtai +3 位作者 GAO Lei YANG Guangming YANG Qing AN Youzhi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第5期795-814,共20页
In this study,we developed an evaluation index system for green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE)which reflected both economic and green efficiencies of water resource utilization.Then we measured the GTFWUE o... In this study,we developed an evaluation index system for green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE)which reflected both economic and green efficiencies of water resource utilization.Then we measured the GTFWUE of 30 provinces/municipalities/autonomous regions(hereafter provinces)in China(not including Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao,Taiwan as no data)from 2000 to 2018 using a minimum distance to the strong frontier model that contained an undesirable output.We further analyzed the regional differences and spatial correlations of GTFWUE using these values based on Global and Local Moran’s I statistics,and empirically determined the factors affecting GTFWUE using a spatial econometric model.The evaluation results revealed that the GTFWUE differed substantially between the regions.The provinces with high and low GTFWUE values were located in the coastal and inland areas of China,respectively.The eastern region had a significantly higher GTFWUE than the central and western regions.The GTFWUEs for all three regions(eastern,central,and western regions)decreased slowly from 2000 to 2011(except 2005),remained stable from 2012 to 2016,and rapidly increased in 2017 before decreasing again in 2018.We found significant spatial correlations between the provincial GTFWUEs.The GTFWUE for most provinces belonged to the high-high or low-low cluster region,revealing a significant spatial clustering effect of provincial GTFWUEs.We also found that China’s GTFWUE was highly promoted by economic growth,population size,opening-up level,and urbanization level,and was evidently hindered by water endowment,technological progress,and government influence.However,the water-use structure had little impact on GTFWUE.This study fully demonstrated that the water use mode would be improved,and water resources needed to be used more efficiently and green in China.Moreover,based on the findings of this study,several policy recommendations were proposed from the aspects of cross-regional cooperation,economy,society,and institution. 展开更多
关键词 green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE) spatiotemporal dynamics water scarcity influencing factors spatial econometric model
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