Customer churn is the rate at which customers discontinue doing business with a company over a given time period.It is an essential measure for businesses to monitor high churn rates,as they often indicate underlying ...Customer churn is the rate at which customers discontinue doing business with a company over a given time period.It is an essential measure for businesses to monitor high churn rates,as they often indicate underlying issues with services,products,or customer experience,resulting in considerable income loss.Prediction of customer churn is a crucial task aimed at retaining customers and maintaining revenue growth.Traditional machine learning(ML)models often struggle to capture complex temporal dependencies in client behavior data.To address this,an optimized deep learning(DL)approach using a Regularized Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(RBiLSTM)model is proposed to mitigate overfitting and improve generalization error.The model integrates dropout,L2-regularization,and early stopping to enhance predictive accuracy while preventing over-reliance on specific patterns.Moreover,this study investigates the effect of optimization techniques on boosting the training efficiency of the developed model.Experimental results on a recent public customer churn dataset demonstrate that the trained model outperforms the traditional ML models and some other DL models,such as Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)and Deep Neural Network(DNN),in churn prediction performance and stability.The proposed approach achieves 96.1%accuracy,compared with LSTM and DNN,which attain 94.5%and 94.1%accuracy,respectively.These results confirm that the proposed approach can be used as a valuable tool for businesses to identify at-risk consumers proactively and implement targeted retention strategies.展开更多
Pinus radiata(D.Don)dominates New Zealand's forestry industry,constituting 91%of plantations,and is among the world's most important plantation species.Given the socio-economic and environmental importance of ...Pinus radiata(D.Don)dominates New Zealand's forestry industry,constituting 91%of plantations,and is among the world's most important plantation species.Given the socio-economic and environmental importance of this species,it is important to have accurate and precise projections over time to make efficient decisions for forest management and greenfield investments in afforestation projects,especially for permanent carbon forests.Future projections of any natural resource systems rely on modeling;however,the acceleration of climate change makes future projections of yield less certain.These challenges also impact national expectations of the contribution planted forests will provide to address climate change and meet international commitments under the Paris Agreement.Using a large national-scale set of contemporary ground-measured data(2013–2023),this study investigates the performance of two growth models developed over 30 years ago that are widely used by NZ plantation growers:1)the Pumice Plateau Model 1988(PPM88)and 2)the 300-index(including a model variant of regional drift).Model simulations were made using the FORECASTER modeling suite with geographic boundaries to adjust for drift in space and time.Basal area(BA,m^(2)⋅ha^(-1))and volume(m^(3)⋅ha^(-1))were simulated,and standard errors and goodness-of-fit metrics calculated up to a typical rotation age of 30 years.Model residuals were then separated and analysed for the main plantation growing regions.The models overpredicted observed growth by between 6.8%and 16.2%,but model predictions and errors varied significantly between regions.The results of this study provided clear evidence of divergence between the outputs of both models and the measured data.Finally,this study suggests future measures to address challenges posed by these discrepancies that will provide better information for forest management and investment decisions in a changing climate.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleedi...Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding(UGIB).Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted,and 126 middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB admitted from August 2024 to August 2025 were selected as the study subjects.The patients were divided into the intervention group(63 cases)and the control group(63 cases)based on whether they received nursing intervention based on frailty prediction models.The control group received routine care,while the intervention group,on the basis of routine care,used the FRAIL scale combined with laboratory indicators(albumin,hemoglobin,etc.)to establish a predictive model to evaluate patients within 24 hours of admission,and implemented multi-dimensional targeted nursing intervention for pre-frailty or frailty patients screened out.The incidence of frailty,rebleeding rate,average length of stay,hospitalization cost,and nursing satisfaction during hospitalization were compared between the two groups.Results:The incidence of frailty during hospitalization in the intervention group was 11.1%(7 cases/63 cases),significantly lower than 31.7%(20 cases/63 cases)in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(p<0.05).The rebleeding rate of 4.8%vs 12.7%,the average length of stay of(7.2±1.5)days vs(9.1±2.2)days,and the average hospitalization cost of(23,000±6,000)yuan vs(28,000±7,000)yuan in the intervention group were all lower than those in the control group(all p<0.05).The nursing satisfaction score of the intervention group(93.5±4.2)points was higher than that of the control group(86.3±5.8)points(p<0.05).Conclusion:The frailty prediction model applied to the peri-hospitalization care of middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB can effectively identify frailty risk.Through early targeted intervention,the incidence of frailty and rebleeding rate can be reduced,the length of hospital stay can be shortened,medical expenses can be reduced,and nursing satisfaction can be improved,which has clinical promotion value.展开更多
Arctic sea ice concentration(SIC)prediction on a subseasonal scale plays an important role in polar navigation.To reduce the high uncertainty of daily forecasts,three time series prediction models are combined with em...Arctic sea ice concentration(SIC)prediction on a subseasonal scale plays an important role in polar navigation.To reduce the high uncertainty of daily forecasts,three time series prediction models are combined with empirical orthogonal function(EOF)decomposition to forecast Arctic pentad-mean SIC,where each month is divided into six pentad-means–the first five each span five days,and the last encompasses the remaining days,which may vary in length.The models were trained on SIC data from 1989 to2018 and tested from 2019 to 2023,with lead times ranging from 1 to 12 pentad-means.Model skill was evaluated based on SIC spatial patterns,sea ice area(SIA),and the sea ice edge in September from 2019 to 2023.The moving-averaged 2-m temperature helps reduce the long short-term memory model's error in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas.Based on the models'scores for each EOF time series,weighted ensemble prediction results were obtained.These results outperform two benchmark models across all lead times.In addition,the ensemble prediction better reproduces the seasonal cycle of the SIA,with relative errors ranging from 1.04%to 3.85%.The predicted September ice edge closely matches observations,with binary accuracy consistently above 90%.Forecast models show the lowest errors in the central Arctic,while relatively higher errors appear in the Barents and Kara Seas.展开更多
Machine learning-assisted methods for rapid and accurate prediction of temperature field,mushy zone,and grain size were proposed for the heating−cooling combined mold(HCCM)horizontal continuous casting of C70250 alloy...Machine learning-assisted methods for rapid and accurate prediction of temperature field,mushy zone,and grain size were proposed for the heating−cooling combined mold(HCCM)horizontal continuous casting of C70250 alloy plates.First,finite element simulations of casting processes were carried out with various parameters to build a dataset.Subsequently,different machine learning algorithms were employed to achieve high precision in predicting temperature fields,mushy zone locations,mushy zone inclination angle,and billet grain size.Finally,the process parameters were quickly optimized using a strategy consisting of random generation,prediction,and screening,allowing the mushy zone to be controlled to the desired target.The optimized parameters are 1234℃for heating mold temperature,47 mm/min for casting speed,and 10 L/min for cooling water flow rate.The optimized mushy zone is located in the middle of the second heat insulation section and has an inclination angle of roughly 7°.展开更多
This paper investigates the‘‘brush-like”deformation phenomenon of the contact interface at the bolt-hole during the interference-fit installation of high-locking bolts under static loading in CFRP connection struct...This paper investigates the‘‘brush-like”deformation phenomenon of the contact interface at the bolt-hole during the interference-fit installation of high-locking bolts under static loading in CFRP connection structures.An innovative theoretical model is proposed to predict axial installation force,specifically designed for moderate interference-fit.This model is based on the‘‘brush-like”deformation of the hole wall,with the axial installation force predicted through force analysis and theoretical calculations,effectively overcoming the limitations of prior models that idealized the contact interface at the bolt-hole.The predictions generated by this theoretical model align closely with experimental data,confirming its efficacy in accurately forecasting the curve of installation force for interferencefit bolts during the static installation within the moderate interference-fit range.Additionally,a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between deformation of the hole wall and curves of installation force across small,moderate,and large interference-fit levels are presented.It is demonstrated that the degree of deformation within the moderate interference-fit range is more suitable than that in the small and large interference-fit ranges,making it a reliable alternative for installation force tests within this range during static installation.The moderate interference-fit domain[1.00%,1.24%]is established as a validated and optimal range of interference-fit bolts for the static installation.展开更多
Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused ...Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.展开更多
Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiote...Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC.展开更多
The micro-riblet structures have been demonstrated effective in controlling the Total Pressure Loss(TPL)of aero-engine blades.However,due to the considerable scale gap between micro-texture and an actual aero-engine b...The micro-riblet structures have been demonstrated effective in controlling the Total Pressure Loss(TPL)of aero-engine blades.However,due to the considerable scale gap between micro-texture and an actual aero-engine blade,wind tunnel tests and numerical simulations with massive grids directly describing the global flow field are costly for aerodynamic evaluation.Furthermore,the fine micro surface structure brings unavoidable manufacturing errors,and the probability prediction contributes to gaining the confidence interval of the results.Therefore,a novel relay-based probabilistic model for multi-fidelity scenarios in the TPL prediction of a compressor cascade with micro-riblet surfaces is proposed to trade off accuracy and efficiency.Combined with the low-fidelity flow data generated by an aerodynamic solution strategy using the boundary surrogate model and the high-fidelity flow data from the experiment,the relay-based modeling has been achieved through knowledge transferring,and the confidence interval can be provided by the Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)model.The TPL of compressor cascades with micro-riblet surfaces under different surface structures at March number Ma=0.64,0.74,0.84 have been evaluated using the Relay-Based Probabilistic(RBP)model.The results illustrate that the RBP model could provide higher accuracy than the Single-Fidelity-Data-Driven(SFDD)prediction model,which show the promising potential of multi-fidelity scenarios data fusion in the aerodynamic evaluation of multi-scale configurations.展开更多
This study traces the development of the Shanghai Typhoon Model(SHTM)from a traditional physics-based regional model toward a data-driven,machine-learning typhoon forecasting system.After upgrading its initial and bou...This study traces the development of the Shanghai Typhoon Model(SHTM)from a traditional physics-based regional model toward a data-driven,machine-learning typhoon forecasting system.After upgrading its initial and boundary conditions,SHTM now leverages large-scale constraints from machine-learning weather prediction(MLWP)models,resulting in an ML–physics hybrid framework.During Typhoon Danas(2025),the hybrid SHTM achieves substantially lower track errors than both the advanced ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System(IFS)and leading MLWP models such as PanGu and FuXi.Furthermore,the hybrid SHTM consistently maintains mean track errors below 200 km up to a forecast lead time of 108 hours,representing a significant advancement in forecast accuracy.In addition,this study highlights the technical roadmap for transitioning from a physics-based typhoon model to a fully data-driven ML typhoon forecast system.It also emphasizes that advances in the physical modeling framework provide a critical foundation for further improving the performance of future data-driven ML typhoon models.展开更多
This paper aims to conduct a systematic literature review(SLR)using an artificial intelligence(AI)approach to predict and diagnose diabetes mellitus.After reviewing the literature published from 2015–2025,the paper a...This paper aims to conduct a systematic literature review(SLR)using an artificial intelligence(AI)approach to predict and diagnose diabetes mellitus.After reviewing the literature published from 2015–2025,the paper aims to identify the most effective AI techniques,the most used datasets,the most widely used data preprocessing techniques,and the most common issues.After analyzing the literature,it has been found that convolutional neural networks(CNNs)and long short-term memory(LSTM)networks are deep learning models that have shown high accuracy in diabetes prediction.Recursive feature elimination(RFE)and SMOTE are feature selection techniques that have significantly improved model accuracy,training time,and interpretability.Amidst this technological advancement,some existing issues persist:data imbalance,the inapplicability of techniques,computational limitations,and a lack of real-time application in a healthcare environment.The literature review has also identified the need for robust,interpretable,and scalable AI systems capable of handling large volumes of data,including real-world data,in the healthcare industry.Furthermore,it has been identified that the benefits should be integrated with wearable health monitoring systems and the development of privacy-preserving models to ensure continuous,secure,and proactive diabetes management.展开更多
BACKGROUND:Sepsis survivors experience poor long-term quality of life post-discharge.The aim of this study was to analyze the factors that impact the long-term quality of life of sepsis survivors and develop a clinica...BACKGROUND:Sepsis survivors experience poor long-term quality of life post-discharge.The aim of this study was to analyze the factors that impact the long-term quality of life of sepsis survivors and develop a clinical prediction model.METHODS:A total of 442 sepsis patients from the Emergency Intensive Care Unit of a tertiary hospital in Wenzhou were included.These patients were assigned to the training set or the validation set at a ratio of 7:3.The European Quality of Life 5 Dimensions 5 Level Version(EQ-5D-5L) questionnaire was used to evaluate the quality of life in sepsis survivors one year after discharge.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors,which were then used to develop the prediction model and subsequently derive a scoring system.The model's effectiveness was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve,calibration curves,and clinical decision analysis.RESULTS:Of the 442 patients included,70 died one year after discharge,and 372 completed the questionnaire.A total of 46.6% of sepsis survivors have poor quality of life one year after discharge in the training set.Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age,platelet,serum albumin,serum urea,and C-reactive protein were independent risk factors for poor quality of life in sepsis survivors.The area under the curve of the scoring system was 0.777(95% CI:0.726–0.828).The calibration curves showed that it was well calibrated.Decision curve analysis indicated that the scoring system provided good clinical usefulness.The internal validation also demonstrated its effectiveness.CONCLUSION:The prediction model incorporating five risk factors may predict quality of life one year after discharge in sepsis survivors,which provides a measure to develop post-discharge rehabilitation and follow-up plans for this patient population.展开更多
Tunnel micro-deformation is a progressive mechanical response process of geotechnical media under the influence of stress redistribution,environmental loads,material aging and other factors.Its millimeterlevel dynamic...Tunnel micro-deformation is a progressive mechanical response process of geotechnical media under the influence of stress redistribution,environmental loads,material aging and other factors.Its millimeterlevel dynamic evolution is difcult to eectively capture by traditional monitoring technologies.Based on the physical mechanism of microwave remote sensing,this paper uses Ground-Based Synthetic Aperture Radar(GB-SAR)for continuous,non-contact deformation perception of tunnel structures.The system transmits and receives coherent electromagnetic wave signals,and extracts millimeter-level even sub-millimeter-level deformation information by means of dierential interferometry technology.Combined with typical tunnel engineering cases,the study verifies the monitoring stability and reliability of the system under different geological conditions and complex environments.The results show that the system can realize real-time,highprecision monitoring of the full-section deformation eld of tunnels with high early warning accuracy and strong environmental adaptability,providing an effective geophysical technical means for tunnel structure health diagnosis and safe operation and maintenance.展开更多
Background Multibreed genomic prediction(MBGP)is crucial for improving prediction accuracy for breeds with small populations,for which limited data are often available.Recent studies have demonstrated that partitionin...Background Multibreed genomic prediction(MBGP)is crucial for improving prediction accuracy for breeds with small populations,for which limited data are often available.Recent studies have demonstrated that partitioning the genome into nonoverlapping blocks to model heterogeneous genetic(co)variance in multitrait models can achieve higher joint prediction accuracy.However,the block partitioning method,a key factor influencing model performance,has not been extensively explored.Results We introduce mbBayesABLD,a novel Bayesian MBGP model that partitions each chromosome into nonoverlapping blocks on the basis of linkage disequilibrium(LD)patterns.In this model,marker effects within each block are assumed to follow normal distributions with block-specific parameters.We employ simulated data as well as empirical datasets from pigs and beans to assess genomic prediction accuracy across different models using cross-validation.The results demonstrate that mbBayesABLD significantly outperforms conventional MBGP models,such as GBLUP and BayesR.For the meat marbling score trait in pigs,compared with GBLUP,which does not account for heterogeneous genetic(co)variance,mbBayesABLD improves the prediction accuracy for the small-population breed Landrace by 15.6%.Furthermore,our findings indicate that a moderate level of similarity in LD patterns between breeds(with an average correlation of 0.6)is sufficient to improve the prediction accuracy of the target breed.Conclusions This study presents a novel LD block-based approach for multibreed genomic prediction.Our work provides a practical tool for livestock breeding programs and offers new insights into leveraging genetic diversity across breeds for improved genomic prediction.展开更多
Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives ...Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.展开更多
Northeast China serves as an important crop production region.Accurately forecasting summer precipitation in Northeast China(NEC-PR)has been a challenge due to its wide range of time scales influenced by varying clima...Northeast China serves as an important crop production region.Accurately forecasting summer precipitation in Northeast China(NEC-PR)has been a challenge due to its wide range of time scales influenced by varying climatic conditions.This study presents a scale separation hybrid statistical model with recurrent neural network(SS-RNN)to predict the summer monthly NEC-PR.The SS-RNN model decomposes the multiple scales of the NEC-PR into several spatiotemporal intrinsic mode functions covering annual to decadal time scales.This strategy provides a way to derive appropriate predictors and establish predictive models for the primary spatial modes of the NEC-PR at various time scales.Our results demonstrate substantial improvements by the SS-RNN model in predicting the summer monthly NEC-PR as compared with dynamic models,particularly in predicting the spatial pattern of the NEC-PR.In this paper we take August,the month of the highest NEC-PR,to assess our model skill.Independent forecasts of the August NEC-PR over the period 2021–24 achieve significant spatial anomaly correlation coefficients,reaching a maximum value of 0.83.Additional verifications by station observations show that the model hits most station anomalies,achieving a mean predictive skill score of 90.展开更多
Dear Editor,This letter presents a model predictive control(MPC)scheme for human-robot interaction(HRI)in a multi-joint exoskeleton robot(ER)driven by series elastic actuator(SEA).The proposed scheme in robot-in-charg...Dear Editor,This letter presents a model predictive control(MPC)scheme for human-robot interaction(HRI)in a multi-joint exoskeleton robot(ER)driven by series elastic actuator(SEA).The proposed scheme in robot-in-charge(RIC)mode facilitates the ER driven by SEA to provide the required assistance and support for the subject.展开更多
To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the stre...To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.展开更多
Objective To develop a prognostic prediction model for early-stage triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC)using H&E-stained pathological images and to investigate its underlying biological interpretability.Methods A d...Objective To develop a prognostic prediction model for early-stage triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC)using H&E-stained pathological images and to investigate its underlying biological interpretability.Methods A deep learning model was trained on 340 WSIs and externally validated using 81 TCGA cases.Image-derived features extracted through convolutional neural networks were integrated with clinicopathological variables.Model performance was assessed using ROC curve analysis,and interpretability was evaluated by correlating image features with mRNA-seq data and characteristics of the immune microenvironment.Results The model achieved AUCs of 0.86 and 0.75 in the training and validation cohorts,respectively.Analysis using HoVer-Net indicated that lymphocyte abundance was associated with recurrence risk.Texture-related features showed significant correlations with immune cell infiltration and prognostic gene expression profiles.Conclusion This study demonstrates that deep learning can enable accurate prognostic prediction in early-stage TNBC,with interpretable image features that reflect the tumor immune microenvironment and gene expression profiles.展开更多
Anthropogenic ammonia emissions primarily originate from agriculture,especially field fertilization.These emissions represent nitrogen loss for farmers and contribute to air pollution,posing risks to human health and ...Anthropogenic ammonia emissions primarily originate from agriculture,especially field fertilization.These emissions represent nitrogen loss for farmers and contribute to air pollution,posing risks to human health and the environment.Estimating ammonia emissions is crucial for national inventories and policy-making.Various models exist for predicting emissions,including mechanistic,empirical,and semi-empirical approaches.While machine learning(ML)is widely used in environmental science,its application to ammonia emissions remains limited.In this study,we used 5939 ammonia emission data from 538 trials,extracted from the ALFAM2 database,to train three machine learning methods-random forest,gradient boosting,and lasso-for predicting cumulative ammonia emissions 72 h after manure application.These methods were compared to the semi-empirical ALFAM2 model using an independent test dataset.Random forest(RMSE=4.51,r=0.94,MAE=3.28,Bias=0.92)and gradient boosting(RMSE=6.19,r=0.89,MAE=4.10,Bias=0.51)showed the best performance,while the lasso log-linear model(RMSE=7.30,r=0.84,MAE=5.57,Bias=-1.38)performed worst.Both random forest and gradient boosting outperformed the semi-empirical ALFAM2 model,which showed performance comparable to the lasso model.We then used these models and the ALFAM2 model to compare five slurry management techniques,varying in application method(trailing hoses,trailing shoes,and open slot)and post-application incorporation,across 128 scenarios with different manure types and weather conditions.Compared to broadcast application,alternative techniques reduced emissions by a median of-13.6%to-61.7%.This study highlights the promise of ML models in assessing ammonia emission reduction methods,while emphasizing the importance of evaluating model sensitivity to algorithm choice.展开更多
文摘Customer churn is the rate at which customers discontinue doing business with a company over a given time period.It is an essential measure for businesses to monitor high churn rates,as they often indicate underlying issues with services,products,or customer experience,resulting in considerable income loss.Prediction of customer churn is a crucial task aimed at retaining customers and maintaining revenue growth.Traditional machine learning(ML)models often struggle to capture complex temporal dependencies in client behavior data.To address this,an optimized deep learning(DL)approach using a Regularized Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(RBiLSTM)model is proposed to mitigate overfitting and improve generalization error.The model integrates dropout,L2-regularization,and early stopping to enhance predictive accuracy while preventing over-reliance on specific patterns.Moreover,this study investigates the effect of optimization techniques on boosting the training efficiency of the developed model.Experimental results on a recent public customer churn dataset demonstrate that the trained model outperforms the traditional ML models and some other DL models,such as Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)and Deep Neural Network(DNN),in churn prediction performance and stability.The proposed approach achieves 96.1%accuracy,compared with LSTM and DNN,which attain 94.5%and 94.1%accuracy,respectively.These results confirm that the proposed approach can be used as a valuable tool for businesses to identify at-risk consumers proactively and implement targeted retention strategies.
基金funded by Scion's Strategic Science Investment Fund(SSIF)the Forest Growers Levy Trust(FGLT)through the Resilient Forests Programme(Task No.A89220)。
文摘Pinus radiata(D.Don)dominates New Zealand's forestry industry,constituting 91%of plantations,and is among the world's most important plantation species.Given the socio-economic and environmental importance of this species,it is important to have accurate and precise projections over time to make efficient decisions for forest management and greenfield investments in afforestation projects,especially for permanent carbon forests.Future projections of any natural resource systems rely on modeling;however,the acceleration of climate change makes future projections of yield less certain.These challenges also impact national expectations of the contribution planted forests will provide to address climate change and meet international commitments under the Paris Agreement.Using a large national-scale set of contemporary ground-measured data(2013–2023),this study investigates the performance of two growth models developed over 30 years ago that are widely used by NZ plantation growers:1)the Pumice Plateau Model 1988(PPM88)and 2)the 300-index(including a model variant of regional drift).Model simulations were made using the FORECASTER modeling suite with geographic boundaries to adjust for drift in space and time.Basal area(BA,m^(2)⋅ha^(-1))and volume(m^(3)⋅ha^(-1))were simulated,and standard errors and goodness-of-fit metrics calculated up to a typical rotation age of 30 years.Model residuals were then separated and analysed for the main plantation growing regions.The models overpredicted observed growth by between 6.8%and 16.2%,but model predictions and errors varied significantly between regions.The results of this study provided clear evidence of divergence between the outputs of both models and the measured data.Finally,this study suggests future measures to address challenges posed by these discrepancies that will provide better information for forest management and investment decisions in a changing climate.
基金Construction and Application of Frailty Trajectory Prediction Model for Middle-aged and Elderly Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding,Project Source:Sichuan Vocational College of Nursing(Project No.:2024ZRY25)。
文摘Objective:To investigate the impact of targeted nursing interventions based on frailty prediction models on peri-hospitalization clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding(UGIB).Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted,and 126 middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB admitted from August 2024 to August 2025 were selected as the study subjects.The patients were divided into the intervention group(63 cases)and the control group(63 cases)based on whether they received nursing intervention based on frailty prediction models.The control group received routine care,while the intervention group,on the basis of routine care,used the FRAIL scale combined with laboratory indicators(albumin,hemoglobin,etc.)to establish a predictive model to evaluate patients within 24 hours of admission,and implemented multi-dimensional targeted nursing intervention for pre-frailty or frailty patients screened out.The incidence of frailty,rebleeding rate,average length of stay,hospitalization cost,and nursing satisfaction during hospitalization were compared between the two groups.Results:The incidence of frailty during hospitalization in the intervention group was 11.1%(7 cases/63 cases),significantly lower than 31.7%(20 cases/63 cases)in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(p<0.05).The rebleeding rate of 4.8%vs 12.7%,the average length of stay of(7.2±1.5)days vs(9.1±2.2)days,and the average hospitalization cost of(23,000±6,000)yuan vs(28,000±7,000)yuan in the intervention group were all lower than those in the control group(all p<0.05).The nursing satisfaction score of the intervention group(93.5±4.2)points was higher than that of the control group(86.3±5.8)points(p<0.05).Conclusion:The frailty prediction model applied to the peri-hospitalization care of middle-aged and elderly patients with UGIB can effectively identify frailty risk.Through early targeted intervention,the incidence of frailty and rebleeding rate can be reduced,the length of hospital stay can be shortened,medical expenses can be reduced,and nursing satisfaction can be improved,which has clinical promotion value.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(No.2023YFC2809101)the Laoshan Laboratory Technology Innovation Project(No.LSKJ202202301)。
文摘Arctic sea ice concentration(SIC)prediction on a subseasonal scale plays an important role in polar navigation.To reduce the high uncertainty of daily forecasts,three time series prediction models are combined with empirical orthogonal function(EOF)decomposition to forecast Arctic pentad-mean SIC,where each month is divided into six pentad-means–the first five each span five days,and the last encompasses the remaining days,which may vary in length.The models were trained on SIC data from 1989 to2018 and tested from 2019 to 2023,with lead times ranging from 1 to 12 pentad-means.Model skill was evaluated based on SIC spatial patterns,sea ice area(SIA),and the sea ice edge in September from 2019 to 2023.The moving-averaged 2-m temperature helps reduce the long short-term memory model's error in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas.Based on the models'scores for each EOF time series,weighted ensemble prediction results were obtained.These results outperform two benchmark models across all lead times.In addition,the ensemble prediction better reproduces the seasonal cycle of the SIA,with relative errors ranging from 1.04%to 3.85%.The predicted September ice edge closely matches observations,with binary accuracy consistently above 90%.Forecast models show the lowest errors in the central Arctic,while relatively higher errors appear in the Barents and Kara Seas.
基金financially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2023YFB3812601)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51925401)the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST, China (No. 2022QNRC001)。
文摘Machine learning-assisted methods for rapid and accurate prediction of temperature field,mushy zone,and grain size were proposed for the heating−cooling combined mold(HCCM)horizontal continuous casting of C70250 alloy plates.First,finite element simulations of casting processes were carried out with various parameters to build a dataset.Subsequently,different machine learning algorithms were employed to achieve high precision in predicting temperature fields,mushy zone locations,mushy zone inclination angle,and billet grain size.Finally,the process parameters were quickly optimized using a strategy consisting of random generation,prediction,and screening,allowing the mushy zone to be controlled to the desired target.The optimized parameters are 1234℃for heating mold temperature,47 mm/min for casting speed,and 10 L/min for cooling water flow rate.The optimized mushy zone is located in the middle of the second heat insulation section and has an inclination angle of roughly 7°.
基金co-supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52275165 and 52305146)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program,China(Nos.2023YFG0165 and 2023NSFSC0372)+1 种基金the Sichuan Province Engineering Technology Research Center of General Aircraft Maintenance Project,China(No.GAMRC2023ZD03)the Student Innovation Fund Project,China(No.24CAFUC10202)。
文摘This paper investigates the‘‘brush-like”deformation phenomenon of the contact interface at the bolt-hole during the interference-fit installation of high-locking bolts under static loading in CFRP connection structures.An innovative theoretical model is proposed to predict axial installation force,specifically designed for moderate interference-fit.This model is based on the‘‘brush-like”deformation of the hole wall,with the axial installation force predicted through force analysis and theoretical calculations,effectively overcoming the limitations of prior models that idealized the contact interface at the bolt-hole.The predictions generated by this theoretical model align closely with experimental data,confirming its efficacy in accurately forecasting the curve of installation force for interferencefit bolts during the static installation within the moderate interference-fit range.Additionally,a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between deformation of the hole wall and curves of installation force across small,moderate,and large interference-fit levels are presented.It is demonstrated that the degree of deformation within the moderate interference-fit range is more suitable than that in the small and large interference-fit ranges,making it a reliable alternative for installation force tests within this range during static installation.The moderate interference-fit domain[1.00%,1.24%]is established as a validated and optimal range of interference-fit bolts for the static installation.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42577209 and U22A20239)the Key R&D Program of Hunan Province(No.2024WK2004)the Key Technologies for Accurate Diagnosis and Intelligent Prevention and Control of Slope Hazards in Open pit Mines,181 Major R&D projects of Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd。
文摘Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2022YFE0106800]an Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)[grant number 311024001]+3 种基金a project supported by the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)[grant number SML2023SP209]a Research Council of Norway funded project(MAPARC)[grant number 328943]a Nansen Center´s basic institutional funding[grant number 342624]the high-performance computing support from the School of Atmospheric Science at Sun Yat-sen University。
文摘Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12301672)the Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan(Yangfan Special Project),China(No.23YF1401300)。
文摘The micro-riblet structures have been demonstrated effective in controlling the Total Pressure Loss(TPL)of aero-engine blades.However,due to the considerable scale gap between micro-texture and an actual aero-engine blade,wind tunnel tests and numerical simulations with massive grids directly describing the global flow field are costly for aerodynamic evaluation.Furthermore,the fine micro surface structure brings unavoidable manufacturing errors,and the probability prediction contributes to gaining the confidence interval of the results.Therefore,a novel relay-based probabilistic model for multi-fidelity scenarios in the TPL prediction of a compressor cascade with micro-riblet surfaces is proposed to trade off accuracy and efficiency.Combined with the low-fidelity flow data generated by an aerodynamic solution strategy using the boundary surrogate model and the high-fidelity flow data from the experiment,the relay-based modeling has been achieved through knowledge transferring,and the confidence interval can be provided by the Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)model.The TPL of compressor cascades with micro-riblet surfaces under different surface structures at March number Ma=0.64,0.74,0.84 have been evaluated using the Relay-Based Probabilistic(RBP)model.The results illustrate that the RBP model could provide higher accuracy than the Single-Fidelity-Data-Driven(SFDD)prediction model,which show the promising potential of multi-fidelity scenarios data fusion in the aerodynamic evaluation of multi-scale configurations.
基金supported by the Special Project-Original Exploration(Grant No.42450163)the National Youth Science Foundation of China Project(Grant No.4240050560)the Research and Development of Key Technologies for Artificial Intelligence Regional Typhoon Forecasting Model project.
文摘This study traces the development of the Shanghai Typhoon Model(SHTM)from a traditional physics-based regional model toward a data-driven,machine-learning typhoon forecasting system.After upgrading its initial and boundary conditions,SHTM now leverages large-scale constraints from machine-learning weather prediction(MLWP)models,resulting in an ML–physics hybrid framework.During Typhoon Danas(2025),the hybrid SHTM achieves substantially lower track errors than both the advanced ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System(IFS)and leading MLWP models such as PanGu and FuXi.Furthermore,the hybrid SHTM consistently maintains mean track errors below 200 km up to a forecast lead time of 108 hours,representing a significant advancement in forecast accuracy.In addition,this study highlights the technical roadmap for transitioning from a physics-based typhoon model to a fully data-driven ML typhoon forecast system.It also emphasizes that advances in the physical modeling framework provide a critical foundation for further improving the performance of future data-driven ML typhoon models.
文摘This paper aims to conduct a systematic literature review(SLR)using an artificial intelligence(AI)approach to predict and diagnose diabetes mellitus.After reviewing the literature published from 2015–2025,the paper aims to identify the most effective AI techniques,the most used datasets,the most widely used data preprocessing techniques,and the most common issues.After analyzing the literature,it has been found that convolutional neural networks(CNNs)and long short-term memory(LSTM)networks are deep learning models that have shown high accuracy in diabetes prediction.Recursive feature elimination(RFE)and SMOTE are feature selection techniques that have significantly improved model accuracy,training time,and interpretability.Amidst this technological advancement,some existing issues persist:data imbalance,the inapplicability of techniques,computational limitations,and a lack of real-time application in a healthcare environment.The literature review has also identified the need for robust,interpretable,and scalable AI systems capable of handling large volumes of data,including real-world data,in the healthcare industry.Furthermore,it has been identified that the benefits should be integrated with wearable health monitoring systems and the development of privacy-preserving models to ensure continuous,secure,and proactive diabetes management.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82272202)the Wenzhou HighLevel Innovation Team (2024R3002)the Provincial Advantageous Characteristic Discipline of Wenzhou Medical University (Clinical Medicine)。
文摘BACKGROUND:Sepsis survivors experience poor long-term quality of life post-discharge.The aim of this study was to analyze the factors that impact the long-term quality of life of sepsis survivors and develop a clinical prediction model.METHODS:A total of 442 sepsis patients from the Emergency Intensive Care Unit of a tertiary hospital in Wenzhou were included.These patients were assigned to the training set or the validation set at a ratio of 7:3.The European Quality of Life 5 Dimensions 5 Level Version(EQ-5D-5L) questionnaire was used to evaluate the quality of life in sepsis survivors one year after discharge.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors,which were then used to develop the prediction model and subsequently derive a scoring system.The model's effectiveness was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve,calibration curves,and clinical decision analysis.RESULTS:Of the 442 patients included,70 died one year after discharge,and 372 completed the questionnaire.A total of 46.6% of sepsis survivors have poor quality of life one year after discharge in the training set.Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age,platelet,serum albumin,serum urea,and C-reactive protein were independent risk factors for poor quality of life in sepsis survivors.The area under the curve of the scoring system was 0.777(95% CI:0.726–0.828).The calibration curves showed that it was well calibrated.Decision curve analysis indicated that the scoring system provided good clinical usefulness.The internal validation also demonstrated its effectiveness.CONCLUSION:The prediction model incorporating five risk factors may predict quality of life one year after discharge in sepsis survivors,which provides a measure to develop post-discharge rehabilitation and follow-up plans for this patient population.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Innovation and Demonstration Project of the Department of Transport of Yunnan Province(Project No.2023-166).
文摘Tunnel micro-deformation is a progressive mechanical response process of geotechnical media under the influence of stress redistribution,environmental loads,material aging and other factors.Its millimeterlevel dynamic evolution is difcult to eectively capture by traditional monitoring technologies.Based on the physical mechanism of microwave remote sensing,this paper uses Ground-Based Synthetic Aperture Radar(GB-SAR)for continuous,non-contact deformation perception of tunnel structures.The system transmits and receives coherent electromagnetic wave signals,and extracts millimeter-level even sub-millimeter-level deformation information by means of dierential interferometry technology.Combined with typical tunnel engineering cases,the study verifies the monitoring stability and reliability of the system under different geological conditions and complex environments.The results show that the system can realize real-time,highprecision monitoring of the full-section deformation eld of tunnels with high early warning accuracy and strong environmental adaptability,providing an effective geophysical technical means for tunnel structure health diagnosis and safe operation and maintenance.
基金supported by the Biological Breeding-Major Projects in National Science and Technology(No.2023ZD0404405)the Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System(No.CARS-pig-35)+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.3227284,32302708)the 2115 Talent Development Program of China Agricultural University,the Chinese Universities Scientific Fund(No.2023TC196)the Seed Industry Revitalization Action Project of Guangdong Province(No.2024-XPY-06-001)。
文摘Background Multibreed genomic prediction(MBGP)is crucial for improving prediction accuracy for breeds with small populations,for which limited data are often available.Recent studies have demonstrated that partitioning the genome into nonoverlapping blocks to model heterogeneous genetic(co)variance in multitrait models can achieve higher joint prediction accuracy.However,the block partitioning method,a key factor influencing model performance,has not been extensively explored.Results We introduce mbBayesABLD,a novel Bayesian MBGP model that partitions each chromosome into nonoverlapping blocks on the basis of linkage disequilibrium(LD)patterns.In this model,marker effects within each block are assumed to follow normal distributions with block-specific parameters.We employ simulated data as well as empirical datasets from pigs and beans to assess genomic prediction accuracy across different models using cross-validation.The results demonstrate that mbBayesABLD significantly outperforms conventional MBGP models,such as GBLUP and BayesR.For the meat marbling score trait in pigs,compared with GBLUP,which does not account for heterogeneous genetic(co)variance,mbBayesABLD improves the prediction accuracy for the small-population breed Landrace by 15.6%.Furthermore,our findings indicate that a moderate level of similarity in LD patterns between breeds(with an average correlation of 0.6)is sufficient to improve the prediction accuracy of the target breed.Conclusions This study presents a novel LD block-based approach for multibreed genomic prediction.Our work provides a practical tool for livestock breeding programs and offers new insights into leveraging genetic diversity across breeds for improved genomic prediction.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2342208)support from NSF/Climate Dynamics Award#2025057。
文摘Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFC3002803)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2024YFF0808402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42375169)。
文摘Northeast China serves as an important crop production region.Accurately forecasting summer precipitation in Northeast China(NEC-PR)has been a challenge due to its wide range of time scales influenced by varying climatic conditions.This study presents a scale separation hybrid statistical model with recurrent neural network(SS-RNN)to predict the summer monthly NEC-PR.The SS-RNN model decomposes the multiple scales of the NEC-PR into several spatiotemporal intrinsic mode functions covering annual to decadal time scales.This strategy provides a way to derive appropriate predictors and establish predictive models for the primary spatial modes of the NEC-PR at various time scales.Our results demonstrate substantial improvements by the SS-RNN model in predicting the summer monthly NEC-PR as compared with dynamic models,particularly in predicting the spatial pattern of the NEC-PR.In this paper we take August,the month of the highest NEC-PR,to assess our model skill.Independent forecasts of the August NEC-PR over the period 2021–24 achieve significant spatial anomaly correlation coefficients,reaching a maximum value of 0.83.Additional verifications by station observations show that the model hits most station anomalies,achieving a mean predictive skill score of 90.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62173048,62373065,61873304,62106023)the Key Science and Technology Projects of Jilin Province,China(20230204081YY)the Research and Innovation Team of Anhui Province(2024AH010023)。
文摘Dear Editor,This letter presents a model predictive control(MPC)scheme for human-robot interaction(HRI)in a multi-joint exoskeleton robot(ER)driven by series elastic actuator(SEA).The proposed scheme in robot-in-charge(RIC)mode facilitates the ER driven by SEA to provide the required assistance and support for the subject.
基金Funded by State Railway Administration Research Project(No.2023JS007)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52438002)+1 种基金Research and Development Programs for Science and Technology of China Railways Corporation(No.J2023G003)New Cornerstone Science Foundation through the XPLORER PRIZE。
文摘To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.
基金Supported by Capital’s Funds for Health Improvement and Research(CFH2024-1-4021)。
文摘Objective To develop a prognostic prediction model for early-stage triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC)using H&E-stained pathological images and to investigate its underlying biological interpretability.Methods A deep learning model was trained on 340 WSIs and externally validated using 81 TCGA cases.Image-derived features extracted through convolutional neural networks were integrated with clinicopathological variables.Model performance was assessed using ROC curve analysis,and interpretability was evaluated by correlating image features with mRNA-seq data and characteristics of the immune microenvironment.Results The model achieved AUCs of 0.86 and 0.75 in the training and validation cohorts,respectively.Analysis using HoVer-Net indicated that lymphocyte abundance was associated with recurrence risk.Texture-related features showed significant correlations with immune cell infiltration and prognostic gene expression profiles.Conclusion This study demonstrates that deep learning can enable accurate prognostic prediction in early-stage TNBC,with interpretable image features that reflect the tumor immune microenvironment and gene expression profiles.
基金the French state aid managed by the ANR under the“Investissements d’avenir”programme with the reference ANR-16-CONV-0003from the AgroEcoSystem department of INRAE.We are grateful to the INRAE MIGALE bioinformatics facility(MIGALE,INRAE,2020.Migale bioinformatics Facility,doi:10.15454/1.5572390655343293E12)for providing help and/or computing and/or storage resources.We are also grateful to Sasha Hafner for his help in reproducing some of the results of Hafner et al.(2019).
文摘Anthropogenic ammonia emissions primarily originate from agriculture,especially field fertilization.These emissions represent nitrogen loss for farmers and contribute to air pollution,posing risks to human health and the environment.Estimating ammonia emissions is crucial for national inventories and policy-making.Various models exist for predicting emissions,including mechanistic,empirical,and semi-empirical approaches.While machine learning(ML)is widely used in environmental science,its application to ammonia emissions remains limited.In this study,we used 5939 ammonia emission data from 538 trials,extracted from the ALFAM2 database,to train three machine learning methods-random forest,gradient boosting,and lasso-for predicting cumulative ammonia emissions 72 h after manure application.These methods were compared to the semi-empirical ALFAM2 model using an independent test dataset.Random forest(RMSE=4.51,r=0.94,MAE=3.28,Bias=0.92)and gradient boosting(RMSE=6.19,r=0.89,MAE=4.10,Bias=0.51)showed the best performance,while the lasso log-linear model(RMSE=7.30,r=0.84,MAE=5.57,Bias=-1.38)performed worst.Both random forest and gradient boosting outperformed the semi-empirical ALFAM2 model,which showed performance comparable to the lasso model.We then used these models and the ALFAM2 model to compare five slurry management techniques,varying in application method(trailing hoses,trailing shoes,and open slot)and post-application incorporation,across 128 scenarios with different manure types and weather conditions.Compared to broadcast application,alternative techniques reduced emissions by a median of-13.6%to-61.7%.This study highlights the promise of ML models in assessing ammonia emission reduction methods,while emphasizing the importance of evaluating model sensitivity to algorithm choice.
