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Long-term variabilities of thermodynamic structure of the East China Sea Cold Eddy in summer 被引量:15
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作者 陈永利 胡敦欣 王凡 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第3期224-230,共7页
Based on more than 30 years observed sectional temperature data since the 1960s, and compared with multi-year wind and Changjiang (Yangtze) River discharge data, spatial-temporal variations of the East China Sea Cold ... Based on more than 30 years observed sectional temperature data since the 1960s, and compared with multi-year wind and Changjiang (Yangtze) River discharge data, spatial-temporal variations of the East China Sea Cold Eddy (ECSCE) in summer was analyzed in relationship to ocean circulation and local atmospheric circulation. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) and Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) analyses were applied to this study. The results show that: 1) The ECSCE in summer possesses significant interannual variabilities, which are directly associated with oceanic and atmospheric circulation anomaly. Main fluctuations demonstrate their falling in basically with El Nino events (interannual) and interdecadal variability. 2) The ECSCE in summer is closely related to the variation of the Yellow Sea Warm Current (YSWC) and the Changjiang River discharge. The stronger the YSWC, the more intensive the ECSCE with its center shifting westward, and vice versa. However, a negative correlation between the Changjiang River discharge and the ECSCE strength is shown. The ECSCE was strengthened after the abrupt global climate change affected by the interdecadal variation of the YSWC. 3) SVD analysis suggested a high correlation between the variation of the ECSCE in summer and the anomalous cyclonic atmospheric circulation over the ECS. Intensification of the cyclonic wind strengthens the ECSCE, and vice versa. 4) The cyclonic atmospheric circulation has dominant influence on the interannual variation of the ECSCE, and the influence of the ocean circulation takes the second in. The ECSCE was usually stronger in El Nino years affected by strong cyclonic circulation in the atmosphere. The variation in strength of the ECSCE resulted from the joint effect of both oceanic and atmospheric circulation. 展开更多
关键词 ecsce interannual and interdecadal YSWC atmospheric circulation
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Long-term variability of the sharp thermocline in the Yellow and East China Seas 被引量:3
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作者 郝佳佳 陈永利 王凡 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第6期1016-1025,共10页
Based on observed temperature data since the 1950s, long-term variability of the summer sharp thermocline in the Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass (YSCWM) and East China Sea Cold Eddy (ECSCE) areas is examined. Relations... Based on observed temperature data since the 1950s, long-term variability of the summer sharp thermocline in the Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass (YSCWM) and East China Sea Cold Eddy (ECSCE) areas is examined. Relationships between the thermocline and atmospheric and oceanic forcing were investigated using multiyear wind, Kuroshio discharge and air temperature data. Results show that: 1) In the YSCWM area, thermocline strength shows about 4-year and 16-year period oscillations. There is high correlation between summer thermocline strength and local atmospheric temperature in summer and the previous winter; 2) In the ECSCE area, interannual oscillation of thermocline strength with about a 4-year period (stronger in El Nifio years) is strongly correlated with that of local wind stress. A transition from weak to strong thermocline during the mid 1970s is consistent with a 1976/1977 climate shift and Kuroshio volume transport; 3) Long-term changes of the thermocline in both regions are mainly determined by deep layer water, especially on the decadal timescale. However, surface water can modify the thermocline on an interannual timescale in the YSCWM area. 展开更多
关键词 THERMOCLINE long-term variability ECS Cold Eddy ecsce YS Cold Water Mass (YSCWM)
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基于消费者效用的电商供应链企业的产品质量和服务策略研究 被引量:31
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作者 胡劲松 纪雅杰 马德青 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2020年第10期2602-2616,共15页
基于消费者效用理论,将消费者参考质量效应和线上渠道接受程度的影响纳入到电商供应链(ECSC),利用微分博弈理论和连续型动态规划理论研究了制造商或零售商拥有线上开辟权两种渠道结构下的制造商质量策略和零售商产品服务策略.发现:于拥... 基于消费者效用理论,将消费者参考质量效应和线上渠道接受程度的影响纳入到电商供应链(ECSC),利用微分博弈理论和连续型动态规划理论研究了制造商或零售商拥有线上开辟权两种渠道结构下的制造商质量策略和零售商产品服务策略.发现:于拥有线上渠道开辟权的ECSC企业而言,其线上渠道的开设与否与消费者对线上渠道接受程度有关.数值算例对关键参数进行了敏感性分析,发现:1)制造商拥有线上渠道开辟权并以线上线下混合渠道销售可为消费者提供更高的产品质量并激励零售商的线下服务水平,为企业带来更高的品牌商誉.2)于企业各自利润而言,对方开辟线上渠道对自身更有利;于供应链整体而言,零售商线上线下混合的销售模式更有利于长远发展.3)提高消费者对线上渠道的接受程度,以线上渠道销售为主,线下服务为辅,降低消费者参考质量效应对供应链运营各方面的负向影响是企业的长久运营之道. 展开更多
关键词 ECSC 消费者效用 参考质量效应 线上接受程度 线上开辟权 微分博弈
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