Climate change significantly affects the arid/humid processes and patterns in China,directly impacting management decisions related to adaptive agriculture and water resources management,desertification control,and sp...Climate change significantly affects the arid/humid processes and patterns in China,directly impacting management decisions related to adaptive agriculture and water resources management,desertification control,and spatial ecological restoration.However,current studies primarily focus on changes in arid/humid climate variables,lacking quantitative characterization of the dynamic evolution of areal systems and their nonlinear responses.Based on the data of national meteorological stations from 1961 to 2020,we systematically quantified the nonlinear response of arid/humid patterns to climate change.The results revealed that 6.98%of eco-geographical arid/humid regions underwent type shifts over the past six decades,with 4.95%transitioning toward wetter conditions.Humid and semi-arid regions expanded significantly while sub-humid and arid regions contracted significantly.In the late 1990s,trends of the humid and sub-humid region shifted.Humid region contraction in northern China was driven primarily by precipitation decline,whereas the Tibetan Plateau responded to increasing potential evapotranspiration.During the same period,the retreat rate of the arid region slowed,linked to intensified aridification in the west part of northern China and a decelerating wetting trend in northwest China,both primarily driven by precipitation trends.Our study reveals the nonlinear response of the arid/humid patterns under climate change,providing a scientific basis for the improvement of regional climate resilience.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42377460。
文摘Climate change significantly affects the arid/humid processes and patterns in China,directly impacting management decisions related to adaptive agriculture and water resources management,desertification control,and spatial ecological restoration.However,current studies primarily focus on changes in arid/humid climate variables,lacking quantitative characterization of the dynamic evolution of areal systems and their nonlinear responses.Based on the data of national meteorological stations from 1961 to 2020,we systematically quantified the nonlinear response of arid/humid patterns to climate change.The results revealed that 6.98%of eco-geographical arid/humid regions underwent type shifts over the past six decades,with 4.95%transitioning toward wetter conditions.Humid and semi-arid regions expanded significantly while sub-humid and arid regions contracted significantly.In the late 1990s,trends of the humid and sub-humid region shifted.Humid region contraction in northern China was driven primarily by precipitation decline,whereas the Tibetan Plateau responded to increasing potential evapotranspiration.During the same period,the retreat rate of the arid region slowed,linked to intensified aridification in the west part of northern China and a decelerating wetting trend in northwest China,both primarily driven by precipitation trends.Our study reveals the nonlinear response of the arid/humid patterns under climate change,providing a scientific basis for the improvement of regional climate resilience.
