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Smart cities,smart systems:A comprehensive review of system dynamics model applications in urban studies in the big data era 被引量:1
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作者 Gift Fabolude Charles Knoble +1 位作者 Anvy Vu Danlin Yu 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第1期25-36,共12页
This paper addresses urban sustainability challenges amid global urbanization, emphasizing the need for innova tive approaches aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. While traditional tools and linear models ... This paper addresses urban sustainability challenges amid global urbanization, emphasizing the need for innova tive approaches aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. While traditional tools and linear models offer insights, they fall short in presenting a holistic view of complex urban challenges. System dynamics (SD) models that are often utilized to provide holistic, systematic understanding of a research subject, like the urban system, emerge as valuable tools, but data scarcity and theoretical inadequacy pose challenges. The research reviews relevant papers on recent SD model applications in urban sustainability since 2018, categorizing them based on nine key indicators. Among the reviewed papers, data limitations and model assumptions were identified as ma jor challenges in applying SD models to urban sustainability. This led to exploring the transformative potential of big data analytics, a rare approach in this field as identified by this study, to enhance SD models’ empirical foundation. Integrating big data could provide data-driven calibration, potentially improving predictive accuracy and reducing reliance on simplified assumptions. The paper concludes by advocating for new approaches that reduce assumptions and promote real-time applicable models, contributing to a comprehensive understanding of urban sustainability through the synergy of big data and SD models. 展开更多
关键词 Urban sustainability Smart cities System dynamics models Big data analytics Urban system complexity Data-driven urbanism
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Contact Dynamics Modeling and Control During the Combination Process of Air-Ground Robots
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作者 Xueying Jin Haoyuan Liu +2 位作者 Guiyu Dong Kun Xu Xilun Ding 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2025年第1期306-322,共17页
In recent years,there has been a surge of interest in air-ground collaborative robotics technologies.Our research group designs a novel combination-separation air-ground robot(CSAGR),which exhibits rapid automatic com... In recent years,there has been a surge of interest in air-ground collaborative robotics technologies.Our research group designs a novel combination-separation air-ground robot(CSAGR),which exhibits rapid automatic combination and separation capabilities.During the combination process,contact effects between robots,as well as between robots and the environment,are unavoidable.Therefore,it is essential to conduct detailed and accurate modeling and analysis of the collision impact intensity and transmission pathways within the robotic system to ensure the successful execution of the combination procedure.This paper addresses the intricate surface geometries and multi-point contact challenges present in the contact regions of dual robots by making appropriate modifications to the traditional continuous contact force model and applying equivalent processing techniques.The validity of the developed model is confirmed through comparisons with results obtained from finite element analysis(FEA),which demonstrates its high fidelity.Additionally,the impact of this model on control performance is analyzed within the flight control system,thereby further ensuring the successful completion of the combination process.This research represents a pioneering application and validation of continuous contact theory in the dynamics of collisions within dual robot systems. 展开更多
关键词 Air-ground robot Combination-separation function Contact force Dynamic modeling Finite element analysis
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A review on DFACS(I):System design and dynamics modeling 被引量:2
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作者 Bohan JIAO Qifan LIU +12 位作者 Zhaohui DANG Xiaokui YUE Yonghe ZHANG Yuanqing XIA Li DUAN Qinglei HU Chenglei YUE Pengcheng WANG Ming GUO Zhansheng DUAN Bing CUI Chu ZHANG Xiaodong SHAO 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第5期92-119,共28页
The Drag-Free and Attitude Control System(DFACS)is a critical platform for various space missions,including high precision satellite navigation,geoscience and gravity field measurement,and space scientific experiments... The Drag-Free and Attitude Control System(DFACS)is a critical platform for various space missions,including high precision satellite navigation,geoscience and gravity field measurement,and space scientific experiments.This paper presents a comprehensive review of over sixty years of research on the design and dynamics model of DFACS.Firstly,we examine the open literature on DFACS and its applications in Drag-Free missions,providing readers with necessary background information on the field.Secondly,we analyze the system configurations and main characteristics of different DFACSs,paying particular attention to the coupling mechanism between the system configuration and dynamics model.Thirdly,we summarize the dynamics modeling methods and main dynamics models of DFACS from multiple perspectives,including common fundamentals and specific applications.Lastly,we identify current challenges and technological difficulties in the system design and dynamics modeling of DFACS,while suggesting potential avenues for future research.This paper aims to provide readers with a comprehensive understanding of the state-of-the-art in DFACS research,as well as the future prospects and challenges in this field. 展开更多
关键词 Drag-Free DFACS System Design dynamics modeling Control design
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Dynamic optimal allocation of energy storage systems integrated within photovoltaic based on a dual timescale dynamics model
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作者 Kecun Li Zhenyu Huang +2 位作者 Youbo Liu Yaser Qudaih Junyong Liu 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2024年第4期415-428,共14页
Energy storage systems(ESSs)operate as independent market participants and collaborate with photovoltaic(PV)generation units to enhance the flexible power supply capabilities of PV units.However,the dynamic variations... Energy storage systems(ESSs)operate as independent market participants and collaborate with photovoltaic(PV)generation units to enhance the flexible power supply capabilities of PV units.However,the dynamic variations in the profitability of ESSs in the electricity market are yet to be fully understood.This study introduces a dual-timescale dynamics model that integrates a spot market clearing(SMC)model into a system dynamics(SD)model to investigate the profit-aware capacity growth of ESSs and compares the profitability of independent energy storage systems(IESSs)with that of an ESS integrated within a PV(PV-ESS).Furthermore,this study aims to ascertain the optimal allocation of the PV-ESS.First,SD and SMC models were set up.Second,the SMC model simulated on an hourly timescale was incorporated into the SD model as a subsystem,a dual-timescale model was constructed.Finally,a development simulation and profitability analysis was conducted from 2022 to 2040 to reveal the dynamic optimal range of PV-ESS allocation.Additionally,negative electricity prices were considered during clearing processes.The simulation results revealed differences in profitability and capacity growth between IESS and PV-ESS,helping grid investors and policymakers to determine the boundaries of ESSs and dynamic optimal allocation of PV-ESSs. 展开更多
关键词 Optimal allocation Profitability analysis PHOTOVOLTAIC Energy storage system Dual timescale dynamics model Spot market clearing
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Dynamics modeling and optimal control for multi-information diffusion in Social Internet of Things
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作者 Yaguang Lin Xiaoming Wang +1 位作者 Liang Wang Pengfei Wan 《Digital Communications and Networks》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期655-665,共11页
As an ingenious convergence between the Internet of Things and social networks,the Social Internet of Things(SIoT)can provide effective and intelligent information services and has become one of the main platforms for... As an ingenious convergence between the Internet of Things and social networks,the Social Internet of Things(SIoT)can provide effective and intelligent information services and has become one of the main platforms for people to spread and share information.Nevertheless,SIoT is characterized by high openness and autonomy,multiple kinds of information can spread rapidly,freely and cooperatively in SIoT,which makes it challenging to accurately reveal the characteristics of the information diffusion process and effectively control its diffusion.To this end,with the aim of exploring multi-information cooperative diffusion processes in SIoT,we first develop a dynamics model for multi-information cooperative diffusion based on the system dynamics theory in this paper.Subsequently,the characteristics and laws of the dynamical evolution process of multi-information cooperative diffusion are theoretically investigated,and the diffusion trend is predicted.On this basis,to further control the multi-information cooperative diffusion process efficiently,we propose two control strategies for information diffusion with control objectives,develop an optimal control system for the multi-information cooperative diffusion process,and propose the corresponding optimal control method.The optimal solution distribution of the control strategy satisfying the control system constraints and the control budget constraints is solved using the optimal control theory.Finally,extensive simulation experiments based on real dataset from Twitter validate the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed model,strategy and method. 展开更多
关键词 Social Internet of Things Information diffusion dynamics modeling Trend prediction Optimal control
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Dynamics Modeling and Parameter Identification for a Coupled-Drive Dual-Arm Nursing Robot 被引量:1
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作者 Hao Lu Zhiqiang Yang +2 位作者 Deliang Zhu Fei Deng Shijie Guo 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期243-257,共15页
A dual-arm nursing robot can gently lift patients and transfer them between a bed and a wheelchair.With its lightweight design,high load-bearing capacity,and smooth surface,the coupled-drive joint is particularly well... A dual-arm nursing robot can gently lift patients and transfer them between a bed and a wheelchair.With its lightweight design,high load-bearing capacity,and smooth surface,the coupled-drive joint is particularly well suited for these robots.However,the coupled nature of the joint disrupts the direct linear relationship between the input and output torques,posing challenges for dynamic modeling and practical applications.This study investigated the transmission mechanism of this joint and employed the Lagrangian method to construct a dynamic model of its internal dynamics.Building on this foundation,the Newton-Euler method was used to develop a dynamic model for the entire robotic arm.A continuously differentiable friction model was incorporated to reduce the vibrations caused by speed transitions to zero.An experimental method was designed to compensate for gravity,inertia,and modeling errors to identify the parameters of the friction model.This method establishes a mapping relationship between the friction force and motor current.In addition,a Fourier series-based excitation trajectory was developed to facilitate the identification of the dynamic model parameters of the robotic arm.Trajectory tracking experiments were conducted during the experimental validation phase,demonstrating the high accuracy of the dynamic model and the parameter identification method for the robotic arm.This study presents a dynamic modeling and parameter identification method for coupled-drive joint robotic arms,thereby establishing a foundation for motion control in humanoid nursing robots. 展开更多
关键词 Nursing-care robot Coupled-drive joint Dynamic modeling Parameter identification
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Molecular dynamics modeling of hydrogen-induced plastic deformation and cracking of ɑ-iron
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作者 Xiao Xing Fengying Li +3 位作者 Jianguo Liu Gan Cui Zili Li Y.Frank Cheng 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第9期119-131,共13页
In this work,molecular dynamics modeling was conducted to study hydrogen(H)-induced plastic deformation and cracking of polycrystalα-Fe.Under cyclic loading,the number of vacancies and the stress intensity increase w... In this work,molecular dynamics modeling was conducted to study hydrogen(H)-induced plastic deformation and cracking of polycrystalα-Fe.Under cyclic loading,the number of vacancies and the stress intensity increase with H atom concentration and the number of loading cycles.However,the effect of cyclic loading on cracking is not as significant as the increment of H concentration.As the H concentration increases,the dislocation generation and emission are enhanced in the{110}<111>slip system,but are inhibited in other slip systems.There is a critical H atom concentration,below which the plastic deformation ofα-Fe is facilitated by H atoms.When the critical H concentration is exceeded,the dislocation emission is inhibited by H atoms at grain boundaries,where the H atoms can pin dislocations,causing piling-up of the dislocations to generate a stress concentration. 展开更多
关键词 Hydrogen atoms Dislocations Grain boundary Cyclic loading Molecular dynamic modeling
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Multi-Body Dynamics Modeling of Heavy Goods Vehicle-Rail Interaction
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作者 Lili Liu Jianhua Liu Jihong Zuo 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2024年第7期1715-1722,共8页
Based on the principle of vehicle-track coupling dynamics, SIMPACK multi-body dynamics software is used to establish a C80 wagon line-coupled multi-body dynamics model with 73 degrees of freedom. And the reasonablenes... Based on the principle of vehicle-track coupling dynamics, SIMPACK multi-body dynamics software is used to establish a C80 wagon line-coupled multi-body dynamics model with 73 degrees of freedom. And the reasonableness of the line-coupled dynamics model is verified by using the maximum residual acceleration, the nonlinear critical speed of the wagon. The experimental results show that the established vehicle line coupling dynamics model meets the requirements of vehicle line coupling dynamics modeling. 展开更多
关键词 Vehicle-Rail Coupling Dynamic modeling Wheel-Rail Interaction Forces
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Dynamics models of soil organic carbon 被引量:8
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作者 杨丽霞 潘剑君 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第4期323-330,共8页
As the largest pool of terrestrial organic carbon, soils interact strongly with atmosphere composition, climate, and land change. Soil organic carbon dynamics in ecosystem plays a great role in global carbon cycle and... As the largest pool of terrestrial organic carbon, soils interact strongly with atmosphere composition, climate, and land change. Soil organic carbon dynamics in ecosystem plays a great role in global carbon cycle and global change. With development of mathematical models that simulate changes in soil organic carbon, there have been considerable advances in understanding soil organic carbon dynamics. This paper mainly reviewed the composition of soil organic matter and its influenced factors, and recommended some soil organic matter models worldwide. Based on the analyses of the developed results at home and abroad, it is suggested that future soil organic matter models should be developed toward based-process models, and not always empirical ones. The models are able to reveal their interaction between soil carbon systems, climate and land cover by technique and methods of GIS (Geographical Information System) and RS (Remote Sensing). These models should be developed at a global scale, in dynamically describing the spatial and temporal changes of soil organic matter cycle. Meanwhile, the further researches on models should be strengthen for providing theory basis and foundation in making policy of green house gas emission in China. 展开更多
关键词 Soil carbon Soil organic carbon Dynamic model
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Dynamics modeling and control of a transport aircraft for ultra-low altitude airdrop 被引量:25
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作者 Liu Ri Sun Xiuxia Dong Wenhan 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期478-487,共10页
The nonlinear aircraft model with heavy cargo moving inside is derived by using the sep- aration body method, which can describe the influence of the moving cargo on the aircraft attitude and altitude accurately. Furt... The nonlinear aircraft model with heavy cargo moving inside is derived by using the sep- aration body method, which can describe the influence of the moving cargo on the aircraft attitude and altitude accurately. Furthermore, the nonlinear system is decoupled and linearized through the input^utput feedback linearization method. On this basis, an iterative quasi-sliding mode (SM) flight controller for speed and pitch angle control is proposed. At the first-level SM, a global dynamic switching function is introduced thus eliminating the reaching phase of the sliding motion. At the second-level SM, a nonlinear function with the property of "smaUer errors correspond to bigger gains and bigger errors correspond to saturated gains" is designed to form an integral sliding manifold, and the overcompensation of the integral term to big errors is weakened. Lyapunov- based analysis shows that the controller with strong robustness can reject both constant and time-varying model uncertainties. The performance of the proposed control strategy is verified in a maximum load airdrop mission. 展开更多
关键词 dynamics modeling Feedback liaearization Flight control Nonlinear system Sliding mode control UNCERTAINTY
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Kinematics and Dynamics Model of GH4169 Alloy for Thermal Deformation 被引量:15
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作者 WANG Zhong-tang ZHANG Shi-hong +2 位作者 CHENG Ming LI De-fu YANG Xiao-hong 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第7期75-78,共4页
The stress-strain curves and microstructure properties of superalloy GH4169 was tested by thermal simulation experiment with different parameters,which were deformation temperature and strain rate and strain and origi... The stress-strain curves and microstructure properties of superalloy GH4169 was tested by thermal simulation experiment with different parameters,which were deformation temperature and strain rate and strain and original grain size.The influence of technology parameters on crystal grain size of dynamic recrystallization(DRC)was analyzed.The kinematics model of superalloy GH4169 was established,in which the relation between grain size of dynamic recrystallization and function Z(Zener-Hollomon)and parameters was described.The dynamics model of superalloy GH4169 was put forward,which described the relation between the quantity of dynamic recrystallization and function Z and parameters.The research results showed that the grain size of dynamic recrystallization increased with increasing the temperature and decreasing the strain rate.And the grain size of DRC bore no relationship to original grain size.And the quantity of dynamic recrystallization decreased with increasing the original grain size. 展开更多
关键词 GH4169 superalloy kinematics model dynamics model thermal deformation
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SCENARIOS SIMULATION OF COUPLING SYSTEM BETWEEN URBANIZATION AND ECO-ENVIRONMENT IN JIANGSU PROVINCE BASED ON SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL 被引量:7
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作者 LIU Yao-bin LI Ren-dong LI Chun-hua 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第3期219-226,共8页
By means of ISM (Interpretative Structural Modeling) and SD (System Dynamics) methods, this paper made a system dynamics model of urbanization and eco-environment coupling in Jiangsu Province according to the implicat... By means of ISM (Interpretative Structural Modeling) and SD (System Dynamics) methods, this paper made a system dynamics model of urbanization and eco-environment coupling in Jiangsu Province according to the implication and PSR (Pressure State Response) framework of urbanization and eco-environment coupling. Moreover, five typical scenarios during 2000-2015 have been simulated and analyzed based on the time serial statistical data during 1990-2003 in Jiangsu, which indicates: firstly, there are significant differences between the results and the scenarios, and the five coupling models all have comparative advantages and drawbacks; secondly, in terms of the characteristics and regional development disparities of Jiangsu and the general rule of world urbanization process, this paper reveals that only when either population urbanization model or social urbanization model to be correspondingly adopted, the sustainable development among population, economy, urbanization and eco-environment can be realized. 展开更多
关键词 URBANIZATION ECO-ENVIRONMENT system dynamics model SIMULATION Jiangsu Province
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Dynamics model of underwater robot motion control in 6 degrees of freedom 被引量:18
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作者 李晔 刘建成 沈明学 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2005年第4期456-459,共4页
In order to analyze underwater robot control system dynamics features, a system 6-DOF dynamics model was founded. Underwater robot linear and nonlinear hydrodynamics were analyzed by Taylor series, based on general mo... In order to analyze underwater robot control system dynamics features, a system 6-DOF dynamics model was founded. Underwater robot linear and nonlinear hydrodynamics were analyzed by Taylor series, based on general motion equation. Special control system motion equation was deduced by cluster of inertial items and non-inertial items. For program convenience, motion equation matrix format was presented. Experimental principles of screw propellers, rudders and wings were discussed. Experimental data least-square curve fitting, interpolation and their corresponding traditional equation helped us to obtain the whole system dynamic response procedure. A series of simulation experiments show that the dynamics model is correct and reliable. The model can provide theory proof for analyzing underwater robot motion control system physics characters and provide a mathematic model for traditional control method. 展开更多
关键词 underwater robot dynamics model motion control
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DYNAMICS MODEL AND SIMULATION OF FLAT VALVE SYSTEM OF INTERNAL COMBUSTION WATER PUMP 被引量:39
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作者 Zhang Hongxin Zhang Tiezhu +2 位作者 Wang Yushun Zhao Hong Huo Wei 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第3期411-414,共4页
The dynamics differential equations are constructed, and the initial conditions are also given. Simulation shows the following conclusions: The water pressure in cylinder has great instantaneous pulsation and phase s... The dynamics differential equations are constructed, and the initial conditions are also given. Simulation shows the following conclusions: The water pressure in cylinder has great instantaneous pulsation and phase step when outlet valve or inlet valve opens, but is more gently in other time; The volume efficiency is influenced by the output pressure slightly, and decreases as the working rotational speed increases; When the inherent frequency of the valves is integer multiple of the working frequency, the volume efficiency of system will decrease evidently. 展开更多
关键词 Check valve Simulation dynamics model Internal combustion water pump(ICWP)
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Fractional Birkhoffian Dynamics Based on Quasi-fractional Dynamics Models and Its Lie Symmetry 被引量:3
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作者 JIA Yundie ZHANG Yi 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2021年第1期84-95,共12页
In order to investigate the dynamic behavior of non-conservative systems,the Lie symmetries and conserved quantities of fractional Birkhoffian dynamics based on quasi-fractional dynamics model are proposed and studied... In order to investigate the dynamic behavior of non-conservative systems,the Lie symmetries and conserved quantities of fractional Birkhoffian dynamics based on quasi-fractional dynamics model are proposed and studied.The quasi-fractional dynamics model here refers to the variational problem based on the definition of RiemannLiouville fractional integral(RLFI),the variational problem based on the definition of extended exponentially fractional integral(EEFI),and the variational problem based on the definition of fractional integral extended by periodic laws(FIEPL).First,the fractional Pfaff-Birkhoff principles based on quasi-fractional dynamics models are established,and the corresponding Birkhoff’s equations and the determining equations of Lie symmetry are obtained.Second,for fractional Birkhoffian systems based on quasi-fractional models,the conditions and forms of conserved quantities are given,and Lie symmetry theorems are proved.The Pfaff-Birkhoff principles,Birkhoff’s equations and Lie symmetry theorems of quasi-fractional Birkhoffian systems and classical Birkhoffian systems are special cases of this article.Finally,some examples are given. 展开更多
关键词 quasi-fractional dynamics model Lie symmetry conserved quantity fractional Birkhoffian system Riemann-Liouville derivative
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Dynamics modeling and simulation of mechanism with joint clearance 被引量:3
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作者 白争锋 田浩 赵阳 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2010年第5期706-710,共5页
The existence of clearance in the joints of mechanisms system is inevitable.The movements of the real mechanism are deflection from the ideal mechanism due to the clearances and the motion accuracy is decreased.The ef... The existence of clearance in the joints of mechanisms system is inevitable.The movements of the real mechanism are deflection from the ideal mechanism due to the clearances and the motion accuracy is decreased.The effects of the hinge clearance on the crank and rocker mechanism system are studied.The system dynamics equation with clearance is presented.The contact dynamics model is established using the nonlinear equivalent spring-damp model and the friction effect is considered by using Coulomb friction model.Then the models are incorporated into ADAMS,and based on the model,large numbers numeric simulations are made.The regularity of contact forces in clearance are studied in detail.And the effects of clearance size,clearance friction on the mechanism dynamics characteristic are analyzed.The simulation results can predict the effects of clearance on the mechanism dynamics characteristic preferably. 展开更多
关键词 CLEARANCE contact model dynamics modeling and simulation dynamics characteristic
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Dynamics Modeling and Stability Analysis of Tilt Wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicle During Transition 被引量:2
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作者 Yonghong Zhang Yunfei Deng +1 位作者 Yunping Liu Lihua Wang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2019年第6期833-851,共19页
In the transition mode of quad tilt wing-unmanned aerial vehicle(QTW-UAV),the system stability of UAV will change with the tilt angle changes,which will cause serious head drop down.Meanwhile,with the complex air flow... In the transition mode of quad tilt wing-unmanned aerial vehicle(QTW-UAV),the system stability of UAV will change with the tilt angle changes,which will cause serious head drop down.Meanwhile,with the complex air flow and other disturbances,the system is prone to side bias,frying,stall and other kinetic stability problems,hence the system stability analysis has become an urgent problem to be solved.To solve the stability problem,we need the quantitative criteria of system stability and effective tool of stability analysis,and can improve the stability of the motion control by optimizing the structural parameters of the aircraft.Therefore,based on the design of the mechanical structure,the quantitative relationship between the structure parameters of the aerial vehicle and kinetic stability of the system transition mode is established by the Lyapunov exponent method.In this paper,the dynamic modeling of the position and attitude angle is carried out and the stability of the system is analyzed by Lyapunov exponent,the results show that changing the mechanical structure of the system can improve the flight stability for the system transition mode and lay a theoretical foundation for the system stability analysis.Compared with the Lyapunov direct method,this method can be construct easily,has a simple calculation process and so on.We improve the flight stability by optimizing the structure and the experiment confirms that expanding area can enhance flight stability within limits. 展开更多
关键词 QTW-UAV TRANSITION STABILITY dynamics model lyapunov exponent
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Assessing China 2030 carbon emissions from fossil fuels:based on system dynamics model 被引量:3
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作者 佟贺丰 Qu Weishuang 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2015年第2期178-184,共7页
The Chinese government has set ambitious targets to reduce the per unit of GDP by 40% ~45% during 2005 to 2020 and achieve the intensity peaking of carbon emissions of CO2 emissions a- round 2030. The T21 national dev... The Chinese government has set ambitious targets to reduce the per unit of GDP by 40% ~45% during 2005 to 2020 and achieve the intensity peaking of carbon emissions of CO2 emissions a- round 2030. The T21 national development model for China was developed for the purpose of analy- zing the effects of long-term national policies that relate to carbon emissions, loss of farm land, water shortage, energy security, food security, and their contributions to this reduction target. The focus of this paper is on the policies that have substantial impacts on carbon emissions from fossil fuels. Four scenarios are developed with the model to simulate future carbon emissions : 1 ) the BAU ( busi- ness as usual) scenario, showing the likely results of continuing current policies; 2 ) the TECH (technology) scenario showing the effects of more investment in renewable energy sources and promoting more energy efficient technologies; 3 ) the BEHAVIOR scenario, showing how government tax and price policies, together with public education programs, would instigate behaviour changes towards more sustainable living; and 4 ) the TECH&BEHA scenario, which shows the results of combining scenarios 2 and 3. The simulation results show that CO2 emissions reduction targets of China are achievable, but also require great effort to put in. 展开更多
关键词 system dynamics model carbon emissions GDP carbon intensity system simulation
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A statistical dynamics model of the marine ecosystem and its application in Jiaozhou Bay 被引量:1
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作者 石洪华 王宗灵 +2 位作者 方国洪 郑伟 胡龙 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第4期905-911,共7页
Models of marine ecosystem dynamics play an important role in revealing the evolution mechanisms of marine ecosystems and in forecasting their future changes. Most traditional ecological dynamics models are establishe... Models of marine ecosystem dynamics play an important role in revealing the evolution mechanisms of marine ecosystems and in forecasting their future changes. Most traditional ecological dynamics models are established based on basic physical and biological laws, and have obvious dynamic characteristics and ecological significance. However, they are not flexible enough for the variability of environment conditions and ecological processes found in offshore marine areas, where it is often difficult to obtain parameters for the model, and the precision of the model is often low. In this paper, a new modeling method is introduced, which aims to establish an evolution model of marine ecosystems by coupling statistics with differential dynamics. Firstly, we outline the basic concept and method of inverse modeling of marine ecosystems. Then we set up a statistical dynamics model of marine ecosystems evolution according to annual ecological observation data from Jiaozhou Bay. This was done under the forcing conditions of sea surface temperature and surface irradiance and considering the state variables of phytoplankton, zooplankton and nutrients. This model is dynamic, makes the best of field observation data, and the average predicted precision can reach 90% or higher. A simpler model can be easily obtained through eliminating the terms with smaller contributions according to the weight coefficients of model differential items. The method proposed in this paper avoids the difficulties of obtaining and optimizing parameters, which exist in traditional research, and it provides a new path for research of marine ecological dynamics. 展开更多
关键词 statistical dynamics modeling inverse method marine ecosystem dynamics Jiaozhou Bay
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The Accumulation of He on a W Surface During keV-He Irradiation:Cluster Dynamics Modeling 被引量:1
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作者 李永钢 周望怀 +3 位作者 黄良锋 宁荣辉 曾雉 巨新 《Plasma Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第7期624-628,共5页
The accumulation of He on a W surface during keV-He ion irradiation has been simulated using cluster dynamics modeling. This is based mainly on rate theory and improved by involving different types of objects, adoptin... The accumulation of He on a W surface during keV-He ion irradiation has been simulated using cluster dynamics modeling. This is based mainly on rate theory and improved by involving different types of objects, adopting up-to-date parameters and complex reaction processes, as well as considering the diffusion process along with depth. These new features make the simulated results compare very well with the experimental ones. The accumulation and diffusion processes are analyzed, and the depth and size dependence of the He concentrations contributed by different types of He clusters is also discussed. The exploration of the trapping and diffusion effects of the He atoms is helpful in understanding the evolution of the damages in the near-surface of plasma-facing materials under He ion irradiation. 展开更多
关键词 cluster dynamics model rate diffusion theory helium in tungsten accumulation and
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