The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward...The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward-looking information of key wind farms in a cluster under different weather conditions is an effective method to improve the accuracy of ultrashort-term cluster power forecasting.To this end,this paper proposes a refined modeling method for ultrashort-term wind power cluster forecasting based on a convergent cross-mapping algorithm.From the perspective of causality,key meteorological forecasting factors under different cluster power fluctuation processes were screened,and refined training modeling was performed for different fluctuation processes.First,a wind process description index system and classification model at the wind power cluster level are established to realize the classification of typical fluctuation processes.A meteorological-cluster power causal relationship evaluation model based on the convergent cross-mapping algorithm is pro-posed to screen meteorological forecasting factors under multiple types of typical fluctuation processes.Finally,a refined modeling meth-od for a variety of different typical fluctuation processes is proposed,and the strong causal meteorological forecasting factors of each scenario are used as inputs to realize high-precision modeling and forecasting of ultra-short-term wind cluster power.An example anal-ysis shows that the short-term wind power cluster power forecasting accuracy of the proposed method can reach 88.55%,which is 1.57-7.32%higher than that of traditional methods.展开更多
To counter the defect of traditional genetic algorithms, an improved adaptivegenetic algorithm with the criterion of premature convergence is provided. The occurrence ofpremature convergence is forecasted using colony...To counter the defect of traditional genetic algorithms, an improved adaptivegenetic algorithm with the criterion of premature convergence is provided. The occurrence ofpremature convergence is forecasted using colony entropy and colony variance. When prematureconvergence occurs, new individuals are generated in proper scale randomly based on superiorindividuals in the colony. We use these new individuals to replace some individuals in the oldcolony. The updated individuals account for 30 percent - 40 percent of all individuals and the sizeof scale is related to the distribution of the extreme value of the target function. Simulationtests show that there is much improvement in the speed of convergence and the probability of globalconvergence.展开更多
Selection, crossover, and mutation are three main operators of the canonical genetic algorithm (CGA). This paper presents a new approach to the genetic algorithm. This new approach applies only to mutation and selecti...Selection, crossover, and mutation are three main operators of the canonical genetic algorithm (CGA). This paper presents a new approach to the genetic algorithm. This new approach applies only to mutation and selection operators. The paper proves that the search process of the non-crossover genetic algorithm (NCGA) is an ergodic homogeneous Markov chain. The proof of its convergence to global optimum is presented. Some nonlinear multi-modal optimization problems are applied to test the efficacy of the NCGA. NP-hard traveling salesman problem (TSP) is cited here as the benchmark problem to test the efficiency of the algorithm. The simulation result shows that NCGA achieves much faster convergence speed than CGA in terms of CPU time. The convergence speed per epoch of NCGA is also faster than that of CGA.展开更多
An adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation, which combines adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation was proposed. By means of homogeneous finite Markov chains, it is proved that adaptive gene...An adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation, which combines adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation was proposed. By means of homogeneous finite Markov chains, it is proved that adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation and genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation converge to the global optimum if they maintain the best solutions, and the convergence of adaptive genetic algorithms with adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation was studied. The performances of the above algorithms in optimizing several unimodal and multimodal functions were compared. The results show that for multimodal functions the average convergence generation of the adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation is about 900 less than that of (adaptive) genetic algorithm with adaptive probabilities and genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation, and the adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation does not lead to premature convergence. It is also shown that the better balance between overcoming premature convergence and quickening convergence speed can be gotten.展开更多
This paper discussed CGA population Markov chain with mutation probability. For premature convergence of this algorithm, one concerned, we give its analysis of Markov chain.
In [1] the unconstrained minimization problem was considered and presented an algorithm without derivative. But the terminative conditions and convergence proof of the algorithm were not given. In this paper, we prese...In [1] the unconstrained minimization problem was considered and presented an algorithm without derivative. But the terminative conditions and convergence proof of the algorithm were not given. In this paper, we present a revised algorithm and prove its convergence.展开更多
A trust region algorithm for equality constrained optimization is given in this paper.The algorithm does not enforce strict monotonicity of the merit function for every iteration.Global convergence of the algorithm i...A trust region algorithm for equality constrained optimization is given in this paper.The algorithm does not enforce strict monotonicity of the merit function for every iteration.Global convergence of the algorithm is proved under the same conditions of usual trust region method.展开更多
An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed based on the analysis of population diversity within the framework of Markov chain. The chaos operator to combat premature convergence concerning two goals of maintaining...An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed based on the analysis of population diversity within the framework of Markov chain. The chaos operator to combat premature convergence concerning two goals of maintaining diversity in the population and sustaining the convergence capacity of the GA is introduced. In the CHaos Genetic Algorithm (CHGA), the population is recycled dynamically whereas the most highly fit chromosome is intact so as to restore diversity and reserve the best schemata which may belong to the optimal solution. The characters of chaos as well as advanced operators and parameter settings can improve both exploration and exploitation capacities of the algorithm. The results of multimodal function optimization show that CHGA performs simple genetic algorithms and effectively alleviates the problem of premature convergence.展开更多
With its wide use in different fields, the problem of the convergence of simple genetic algorithms (GAs) has been concerned. In the past, the research on the convergence of GAs was based on Holland's model theorem...With its wide use in different fields, the problem of the convergence of simple genetic algorithms (GAs) has been concerned. In the past, the research on the convergence of GAs was based on Holland's model theorem. The diversity of the evolutionary population and the convergence of GAs are studied by using the concept of negentropy based on the discussion of the characteristic of GA. Some test functions are used to test the convergence of GAs, and good results have been obtained. It is shown that the global optimization may be obtained by selecting appropriate parameters of simple GAs if the evolution time is enough.展开更多
This paper presents a new adaptive mutation approach for fastening the convergence of immune algorithms (IAs). This method is adopted to realize the twin goals of maintaining diversity in the population and sustaining...This paper presents a new adaptive mutation approach for fastening the convergence of immune algorithms (IAs). This method is adopted to realize the twin goals of maintaining diversity in the population and sustaining the convergence capacity of the IA. In this method, the mutation rate (pm) is adaptively varied depending on the fitness values of the solutions. Solutions of high fitness are protected, while solutions with sub-average fitness are totally disrupted. A solution to the problem of deciding the optimal value of pm is obtained. Experiments are carried out to compare the proposed approach to traditional one on a set of optimization problems. These are namely: 1) an exponential multi-variable function;2) a rapidly varying multimodal function and 3) design of a second order 2-D narrow band recursive LPF. Simulation results show that the proposed method efficiently improves IA’s performance and prevents it from getting stuck at a local optimum.展开更多
In this paper, a mathematical model of real-time simulation is given, and the problem of convergence on real-time Runge-Kutta algorithms is analysed. At last a theorem on the relation between the order of compensation...In this paper, a mathematical model of real-time simulation is given, and the problem of convergence on real-time Runge-Kutta algorithms is analysed. At last a theorem on the relation between the order of compensation and the convergent order of real-time algorithm is proved.展开更多
Some properties of a class of quasi-differentiable functions（the difference of two finite convex functions） are considered in this paper. And the convergence of the steepest descent algorithm for unconstrained and c...Some properties of a class of quasi-differentiable functions（the difference of two finite convex functions） are considered in this paper. And the convergence of the steepest descent algorithm for unconstrained and constrained quasi-differentiable programming is proved.展开更多
With the widespread application of distributed systems, many problems need to be solved urgently. How to design distributed optimization strategies has become a research hotspot. This article focuses on the solution r...With the widespread application of distributed systems, many problems need to be solved urgently. How to design distributed optimization strategies has become a research hotspot. This article focuses on the solution rate of the distributed convex optimization algorithm. Each agent in the network has its own convex cost function. We consider a gradient-based distributed method and use a push-pull gradient algorithm to minimize the total cost function. Inspired by the current multi-agent consensus cooperation protocol for distributed convex optimization algorithm, a distributed convex optimization algorithm with finite time convergence is proposed and studied. In the end, based on a fixed undirected distributed network topology, a fast convergent distributed cooperative learning method based on a linear parameterized neural network is proposed, which is different from the existing distributed convex optimization algorithms that can achieve exponential convergence. The algorithm can achieve finite-time convergence. The convergence of the algorithm can be guaranteed by the Lyapunov method. The corresponding simulation examples also show the effectiveness of the algorithm intuitively. Compared with other algorithms, this algorithm is competitive.展开更多
Formulizations of mutation and crossover operators independent of representation of solutions are proposed. A kind of precisely quantitative Markov chain of populations of standard genetic algorithms is modeled. It is...Formulizations of mutation and crossover operators independent of representation of solutions are proposed. A kind of precisely quantitative Markov chain of populations of standard genetic algorithms is modeled. It is proved that inadequate parameters of mutation and crossover probabilities degenerate standard genetic algorithm to a class of random search algorithms without selection bias toward any solution based on fitness. After introducing elitist reservation, the stochastic matrix of Markov chain of the best-so-far individual with the highest fitness is derived.The average convergence velocity of genetic algorithms is defined as the mathematical expectation of the mean absorbing time steps that the best-so-far individual transfers from any initial solution to the global optimum. Using the stochastic matrix of the best-so-far individual, a theoretic method and the computing process of estimating the average convergence velocity are proposed.展开更多
Although ant colony algorithm for the heuristic solution of hard combinational optimization problems enjoy a rapidly growing popularity, but little is known about its convergence properties. Based on the introduction ...Although ant colony algorithm for the heuristic solution of hard combinational optimization problems enjoy a rapidly growing popularity, but little is known about its convergence properties. Based on the introduction of the basic principle and mathematical model, a novel approach to the convergence proof that applies directly to the ant colony algorithm is proposed in this paper. Then, a MATLAB GUI- based ant colony algorithm simulation platform is developed, and the interface of this simulation platform is very friendly, easy to use and to modify.展开更多
In this article, the problem on the estimation of the convolution model parameters is considered. The recursive algorithm for estimating model parameters is introduced from the orthogonal procedure of the data, the co...In this article, the problem on the estimation of the convolution model parameters is considered. The recursive algorithm for estimating model parameters is introduced from the orthogonal procedure of the data, the convergence of this algorithm is theoretically discussed, and a sufficient condition for the convergence criterion of the orthogonal procedure is given. According to this condition, the recursive algorithm is convergent to model wavelet A- = （1, α1,..., αq）.展开更多
This paper introduces drift analysis approach in studying the convergence and hitting times of evolutionary algorithms. First the methodology of drift analysis is introduced, which links evolutionary algorithms with M...This paper introduces drift analysis approach in studying the convergence and hitting times of evolutionary algorithms. First the methodology of drift analysis is introduced, which links evolutionary algorithms with Markov chains or supermartingales. Then the drift conditions which guarantee the convergence of evolutionary algorithms are described. And next the drift conditions which are used to estimate the hitting times of evolutionary algorithms are presented. Finally an example is given to show how to analyse hitting times of EAs by drift analysis approach.展开更多
There has been a growing interest in mathematical models to character the evolutionary algorithms. The best-known one of such models is the axiomatic model colled the abstract evolutionary algorithm. In this paper, we...There has been a growing interest in mathematical models to character the evolutionary algorithms. The best-known one of such models is the axiomatic model colled the abstract evolutionary algorithm. In this paper, we first introduce the definitions of the abhstract selection and evolution operators, and that of the abstract evolutionary algorithm, which describes the evolution as an abstract stochastic process composed of these two fundamental abstract operators. In particular, a kind of abstract evolutionary algorithms based on a special selection mechansim is discussed. According to the sorting for the state space, the properties of the single step transition matrix for the algorithm are anaylzed. In the end, we prove that the limit probability distribution of the Markov chains exists. The present work provides a big step toward the establishment of a unified theory of evolutionary computation.展开更多
The essence of the linear search is one-dimension nonlinear minimization problem, which is an important part of the multi-nonlinear optimization, it will be spend the most of operation count for solving optimization p...The essence of the linear search is one-dimension nonlinear minimization problem, which is an important part of the multi-nonlinear optimization, it will be spend the most of operation count for solving optimization problem. To improve the efficiency, we set about from quadratic interpolation, combine the advantage of the quadratic convergence rate of Newton's method and adopt the idea of Anderson-Bjorck extrapolation, then we present a rapidly convergence algorithm and give its corresponding convergence conclusions. Finally we did the numerical experiments with the some well-known test functions for optimization and the application test of the ANN learning examples. The experiment results showed the validity of the algorithm.展开更多
The computational uncertainty principle in nonlinear ordinary differential equations makes the numerical solution of the long-term behavior of nonlinear atmospheric equations have no meaning. The main reason is that, ...The computational uncertainty principle in nonlinear ordinary differential equations makes the numerical solution of the long-term behavior of nonlinear atmospheric equations have no meaning. The main reason is that, in the error analysis theory of present-day computational mathematics, the non-linear process between truncation error and rounding error is treated as a linear operation. In this paper, based on the operator equations of large-scale atmospheric movement, the above limitation is overcome by using the notion of cell mapping. Through studying the global asymptotic characteristics of the numerical pattern of the large-scale atmospheric equations, the definitions of the global convergence and an appropriate discrete algorithm of the numerical pattern are put forward. Three determinant theorems about the global convergence of the numerical pattern are presented, which provide the theoretical basis for constructing the globally convergent numerical pattern. Further, it is pointed out that only a globally convergent numerical pattern can improve the veracity of climatic prediction.展开更多
基金funded by the State Grid Science and Technology Project“Research on Key Technologies for Prediction and Early Warning of Large-Scale Offshore Wind Power Ramp Events Based on Meteorological Data Enhancement”(4000-202318098A-1-1-ZN).
文摘The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward-looking information of key wind farms in a cluster under different weather conditions is an effective method to improve the accuracy of ultrashort-term cluster power forecasting.To this end,this paper proposes a refined modeling method for ultrashort-term wind power cluster forecasting based on a convergent cross-mapping algorithm.From the perspective of causality,key meteorological forecasting factors under different cluster power fluctuation processes were screened,and refined training modeling was performed for different fluctuation processes.First,a wind process description index system and classification model at the wind power cluster level are established to realize the classification of typical fluctuation processes.A meteorological-cluster power causal relationship evaluation model based on the convergent cross-mapping algorithm is pro-posed to screen meteorological forecasting factors under multiple types of typical fluctuation processes.Finally,a refined modeling meth-od for a variety of different typical fluctuation processes is proposed,and the strong causal meteorological forecasting factors of each scenario are used as inputs to realize high-precision modeling and forecasting of ultra-short-term wind cluster power.An example anal-ysis shows that the short-term wind power cluster power forecasting accuracy of the proposed method can reach 88.55%,which is 1.57-7.32%higher than that of traditional methods.
基金The Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK99011).
文摘To counter the defect of traditional genetic algorithms, an improved adaptivegenetic algorithm with the criterion of premature convergence is provided. The occurrence ofpremature convergence is forecasted using colony entropy and colony variance. When prematureconvergence occurs, new individuals are generated in proper scale randomly based on superiorindividuals in the colony. We use these new individuals to replace some individuals in the oldcolony. The updated individuals account for 30 percent - 40 percent of all individuals and the sizeof scale is related to the distribution of the extreme value of the target function. Simulationtests show that there is much improvement in the speed of convergence and the probability of globalconvergence.
文摘Selection, crossover, and mutation are three main operators of the canonical genetic algorithm (CGA). This paper presents a new approach to the genetic algorithm. This new approach applies only to mutation and selection operators. The paper proves that the search process of the non-crossover genetic algorithm (NCGA) is an ergodic homogeneous Markov chain. The proof of its convergence to global optimum is presented. Some nonlinear multi-modal optimization problems are applied to test the efficacy of the NCGA. NP-hard traveling salesman problem (TSP) is cited here as the benchmark problem to test the efficiency of the algorithm. The simulation result shows that NCGA achieves much faster convergence speed than CGA in terms of CPU time. The convergence speed per epoch of NCGA is also faster than that of CGA.
文摘An adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation, which combines adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation was proposed. By means of homogeneous finite Markov chains, it is proved that adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation and genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation converge to the global optimum if they maintain the best solutions, and the convergence of adaptive genetic algorithms with adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation was studied. The performances of the above algorithms in optimizing several unimodal and multimodal functions were compared. The results show that for multimodal functions the average convergence generation of the adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation is about 900 less than that of (adaptive) genetic algorithm with adaptive probabilities and genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation, and the adaptive genetic algorithm with diversity-guided mutation does not lead to premature convergence. It is also shown that the better balance between overcoming premature convergence and quickening convergence speed can be gotten.
文摘This paper discussed CGA population Markov chain with mutation probability. For premature convergence of this algorithm, one concerned, we give its analysis of Markov chain.
文摘In [1] the unconstrained minimization problem was considered and presented an algorithm without derivative. But the terminative conditions and convergence proof of the algorithm were not given. In this paper, we present a revised algorithm and prove its convergence.
文摘A trust region algorithm for equality constrained optimization is given in this paper.The algorithm does not enforce strict monotonicity of the merit function for every iteration.Global convergence of the algorithm is proved under the same conditions of usual trust region method.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China !(No .699740 43 )
文摘An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is proposed based on the analysis of population diversity within the framework of Markov chain. The chaos operator to combat premature convergence concerning two goals of maintaining diversity in the population and sustaining the convergence capacity of the GA is introduced. In the CHaos Genetic Algorithm (CHGA), the population is recycled dynamically whereas the most highly fit chromosome is intact so as to restore diversity and reserve the best schemata which may belong to the optimal solution. The characters of chaos as well as advanced operators and parameter settings can improve both exploration and exploitation capacities of the algorithm. The results of multimodal function optimization show that CHGA performs simple genetic algorithms and effectively alleviates the problem of premature convergence.
文摘With its wide use in different fields, the problem of the convergence of simple genetic algorithms (GAs) has been concerned. In the past, the research on the convergence of GAs was based on Holland's model theorem. The diversity of the evolutionary population and the convergence of GAs are studied by using the concept of negentropy based on the discussion of the characteristic of GA. Some test functions are used to test the convergence of GAs, and good results have been obtained. It is shown that the global optimization may be obtained by selecting appropriate parameters of simple GAs if the evolution time is enough.
文摘This paper presents a new adaptive mutation approach for fastening the convergence of immune algorithms (IAs). This method is adopted to realize the twin goals of maintaining diversity in the population and sustaining the convergence capacity of the IA. In this method, the mutation rate (pm) is adaptively varied depending on the fitness values of the solutions. Solutions of high fitness are protected, while solutions with sub-average fitness are totally disrupted. A solution to the problem of deciding the optimal value of pm is obtained. Experiments are carried out to compare the proposed approach to traditional one on a set of optimization problems. These are namely: 1) an exponential multi-variable function;2) a rapidly varying multimodal function and 3) design of a second order 2-D narrow band recursive LPF. Simulation results show that the proposed method efficiently improves IA’s performance and prevents it from getting stuck at a local optimum.
文摘In this paper, a mathematical model of real-time simulation is given, and the problem of convergence on real-time Runge-Kutta algorithms is analysed. At last a theorem on the relation between the order of compensation and the convergent order of real-time algorithm is proved.
基金Supported by the State Foundations of Ph.D.Units(20020141013)Supported by the NSF of China(10001007)
文摘Some properties of a class of quasi-differentiable functions（the difference of two finite convex functions） are considered in this paper. And the convergence of the steepest descent algorithm for unconstrained and constrained quasi-differentiable programming is proved.
文摘With the widespread application of distributed systems, many problems need to be solved urgently. How to design distributed optimization strategies has become a research hotspot. This article focuses on the solution rate of the distributed convex optimization algorithm. Each agent in the network has its own convex cost function. We consider a gradient-based distributed method and use a push-pull gradient algorithm to minimize the total cost function. Inspired by the current multi-agent consensus cooperation protocol for distributed convex optimization algorithm, a distributed convex optimization algorithm with finite time convergence is proposed and studied. In the end, based on a fixed undirected distributed network topology, a fast convergent distributed cooperative learning method based on a linear parameterized neural network is proposed, which is different from the existing distributed convex optimization algorithms that can achieve exponential convergence. The algorithm can achieve finite-time convergence. The convergence of the algorithm can be guaranteed by the Lyapunov method. The corresponding simulation examples also show the effectiveness of the algorithm intuitively. Compared with other algorithms, this algorithm is competitive.
文摘Formulizations of mutation and crossover operators independent of representation of solutions are proposed. A kind of precisely quantitative Markov chain of populations of standard genetic algorithms is modeled. It is proved that inadequate parameters of mutation and crossover probabilities degenerate standard genetic algorithm to a class of random search algorithms without selection bias toward any solution based on fitness. After introducing elitist reservation, the stochastic matrix of Markov chain of the best-so-far individual with the highest fitness is derived.The average convergence velocity of genetic algorithms is defined as the mathematical expectation of the mean absorbing time steps that the best-so-far individual transfers from any initial solution to the global optimum. Using the stochastic matrix of the best-so-far individual, a theoretic method and the computing process of estimating the average convergence velocity are proposed.
文摘Although ant colony algorithm for the heuristic solution of hard combinational optimization problems enjoy a rapidly growing popularity, but little is known about its convergence properties. Based on the introduction of the basic principle and mathematical model, a novel approach to the convergence proof that applies directly to the ant colony algorithm is proposed in this paper. Then, a MATLAB GUI- based ant colony algorithm simulation platform is developed, and the interface of this simulation platform is very friendly, easy to use and to modify.
基金Project supported by Scientific Research Fund of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission (kj0604-16)
文摘In this article, the problem on the estimation of the convolution model parameters is considered. The recursive algorithm for estimating model parameters is introduced from the orthogonal procedure of the data, the convergence of this algorithm is theoretically discussed, and a sufficient condition for the convergence criterion of the orthogonal procedure is given. According to this condition, the recursive algorithm is convergent to model wavelet A- = （1, α1,..., αq）.
基金Supported by Engineering and Physical Science Research Courcil(GR/R52541/01)and State Laboratory of Software Engineering at Wuhan University
文摘This paper introduces drift analysis approach in studying the convergence and hitting times of evolutionary algorithms. First the methodology of drift analysis is introduced, which links evolutionary algorithms with Markov chains or supermartingales. Then the drift conditions which guarantee the convergence of evolutionary algorithms are described. And next the drift conditions which are used to estimate the hitting times of evolutionary algorithms are presented. Finally an example is given to show how to analyse hitting times of EAs by drift analysis approach.
基金Supported by the National Science Foundation of China(60133010)Supported by the Science Foundation of Henan Province(2000110019)
文摘There has been a growing interest in mathematical models to character the evolutionary algorithms. The best-known one of such models is the axiomatic model colled the abstract evolutionary algorithm. In this paper, we first introduce the definitions of the abhstract selection and evolution operators, and that of the abstract evolutionary algorithm, which describes the evolution as an abstract stochastic process composed of these two fundamental abstract operators. In particular, a kind of abstract evolutionary algorithms based on a special selection mechansim is discussed. According to the sorting for the state space, the properties of the single step transition matrix for the algorithm are anaylzed. In the end, we prove that the limit probability distribution of the Markov chains exists. The present work provides a big step toward the establishment of a unified theory of evolutionary computation.
文摘The essence of the linear search is one-dimension nonlinear minimization problem, which is an important part of the multi-nonlinear optimization, it will be spend the most of operation count for solving optimization problem. To improve the efficiency, we set about from quadratic interpolation, combine the advantage of the quadratic convergence rate of Newton's method and adopt the idea of Anderson-Bjorck extrapolation, then we present a rapidly convergence algorithm and give its corresponding convergence conclusions. Finally we did the numerical experiments with the some well-known test functions for optimization and the application test of the ANN learning examples. The experiment results showed the validity of the algorithm.
文摘The computational uncertainty principle in nonlinear ordinary differential equations makes the numerical solution of the long-term behavior of nonlinear atmospheric equations have no meaning. The main reason is that, in the error analysis theory of present-day computational mathematics, the non-linear process between truncation error and rounding error is treated as a linear operation. In this paper, based on the operator equations of large-scale atmospheric movement, the above limitation is overcome by using the notion of cell mapping. Through studying the global asymptotic characteristics of the numerical pattern of the large-scale atmospheric equations, the definitions of the global convergence and an appropriate discrete algorithm of the numerical pattern are put forward. Three determinant theorems about the global convergence of the numerical pattern are presented, which provide the theoretical basis for constructing the globally convergent numerical pattern. Further, it is pointed out that only a globally convergent numerical pattern can improve the veracity of climatic prediction.
