The temporal variations during 1948-2010 and vertical structures of the summer Somali and Australia cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） and the implications for the Asian summer monsoon were explored in this study. The st...The temporal variations during 1948-2010 and vertical structures of the summer Somali and Australia cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） and the implications for the Asian summer monsoon were explored in this study. The strongest southerly and northerly CEFs exist at 925 hPa and 150 hPa level, respectively. The low-level Somali （LLS） CEFs were significantly connected with the rainfall in most regions of India （especially the monsoon regions）, except in a small area in southwest India. In comparison to the climatology, the low- level Australia （LLA） CEFs exhibited stronger variations at interannual time scale and are more closely connected to the East Asian summer monsoon circulation than to the LLS CEFs. The East Asian summer monsoon circulation anomalies related to stronger LLA CEFs were associ- ated with less water vapor content and less rainfall in the region between the middle Yellow River and Yangtze River and with more water vapor and more rainfall in southern China. The sea-surface tempera- ture anomalies east of Australia related to summer LLA CEFs emerge in spring and persist into summer, with implications for the seasonal prediction of summer rainfall in East Asia. The connection between the LLA CEFs and East Asian summer monsoon rainfall may be partly due to its linkage with E1 Nino-Southern Oscillation. In addition, both the LLA and LLS CEFs .exhibited interdecadal shifts in the late 1970s and the late 1990s, consistent with the phase shifts of Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO）.展开更多
The summer mean water vapor transport （WVT） and cross-equatorial flow （CEF） over the Asian- Australian monsoon region simulated by 22 coupled atmospheric-oceanic general circulation models （AOGCMs） from the Worl...The summer mean water vapor transport （WVT） and cross-equatorial flow （CEF） over the Asian- Australian monsoon region simulated by 22 coupled atmospheric-oceanic general circulation models （AOGCMs） from the World Climate Research Programme＇s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5） were evaluated. Based on climatology of the twentieth-century simulations, most of models have a reason- ably realistic representation of summer monsoon WVT characterized by southeast water vapor conveyor belt over the South Indian Ocean and southwest belt from the Arabian Sea to the East Asian. The correlation coefficients between NCEP reanalysis and simulations of BCC-CSMI-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, FGOALS-s2, MIROC4h and MPI-ESM-LR are up to 0.8. The simulated CEF depicted by the meridional wind along the equator includes the Somali jet and eastern CEF in low atmosphere and the reverse circulation in upper atmosphere, which were generally consistent with NCEP reanalysis. Multi-model ensemble means （MME） can reproduce more reasonable climatological features in spatial distribution both of WVT and CEF. Ten models with more reasonable WVT simulations were selected for future projection studies, including BCC- CSMI-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, CCSM4, FGOALS-s2, FIO-ESM, GFDL-ESM2G, MRIOCS, MPI-ESM-LR and NorESM-1M. Analysis based on the future projection experiments in RCP （Representative Concentra- tion Pathway） 2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6 and RCP8.5 show that the global warming forced by different RCP scenarios will results in enhanced WVT over the Indian area and the west Pacific and weaken WVT in the low latitudes of tropical Indian Ocean.展开更多
The purpose of this paper is to explore how a tropical cyclone forms from a pre-existing large-scale depression which has been observed and associated with cross-equatorial surges in the western North Pacific. Tropica...The purpose of this paper is to explore how a tropical cyclone forms from a pre-existing large-scale depression which has been observed and associated with cross-equatorial surges in the western North Pacific. Tropical cyclone Bilis(2000) was selected as the case to study.The research data used are from the results of the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model(MM5),which has successfully simulated the transformation of a pre-existing weak large-scale tropical depression into a strong tropical storm.The scale separation technique is used to separate the synoptic-scale and sub-synoptic-scale fields from the model output fields. The scale-separated fields show that the pre-existing synoptic-scale tropical depression and the subsynoptic scale tropical cyclone formed later were different scale systems from beginning to end.It is also shown that the pre-existing synoptic-scale tropical depression did not contract to become the tropical cyclone. A series of weak,sub-synoptic-scale low and high pressure systems appeared and disappeared in the synopticscale depression,with one of the low systems near the center of the synoptic-scale depression having deepened to become the tropical cyclone. The roles of the synoptic-scale flow and the sub-synoptic scale disturbances in the formation of the tropical cyclone are investigated by diagnoses of the scale-separated vertical vorticity equation.The results show that the early development of the sub-synoptic scale vortex was fundamentally dependent on the strengthening synoptic-scale environmental depression.The depression was strengthened by cross-equatorial surges,which increased the convergence of the synoptic-scale depression at low levels and triggered the formation of the tropical cyclone.展开更多
Impacts of regional sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies on the interdecadal variation of the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)in Eastern Hemisphere are studied using numerical simulations with a global atmospheric circul...Impacts of regional sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies on the interdecadal variation of the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)in Eastern Hemisphere are studied using numerical simulations with a global atmospheric circulation model(NCAR CAM3)driven with 1950-2000 monthly SSTs in different marine areas(the globe,extratropics,tropics,tropical Indian Ocean-Pacific,and tropical Pacific)and ERA-40reanalysis data.Results show that all simulations,except the one driven with extratropical SSTs,can simulate the interdecadal strengthening of CEFs around Somali,120oE,and 150oE that occurred in the midand late-1970s.Among those simulated CEFs,the interdecadal variability in Somali and its interdecadal relationship with the East Asian summer monsoon are in better agreement with the observations,suggesting that changes in the SSTs of tropical oceans,especially the tropical Pacific,play a crucial role in the interdecadal variability of CEFs in Somali.The interdecadal change of CEFs in Somali is highly associated with the interdecadal variation of tropical Pacific SST.As the interdecadal warmer(colder)SST happens in the tropical Pacific,a"sandwich"pattern of SST anomalies,i.e."+,-,+"("-,+,-"),will occur in the eastern tropical Pacific from north to south with a pair of anomalous anticyclone(cyclone)at the lower troposphere;the pair links to another pair of anomalous cyclone(anticyclone)in the tropical Indian Ocean through an atmospheric bridge,and thus strengthens(weakens)the CEFs in Somali.展开更多
By using monthly NCEP/NCAR meridional gridpoint wind data at the levels of 1000, 850, 700, 600, 500, 400, 300, 200, 150 and 100 hPa from 1948 to 2004, the intensity of global cross-equatorial flows is calculated. The ...By using monthly NCEP/NCAR meridional gridpoint wind data at the levels of 1000, 850, 700, 600, 500, 400, 300, 200, 150 and 100 hPa from 1948 to 2004, the intensity of global cross-equatorial flows is calculated. The spatial and temporal variation of global cross-equatorial flows at the 850-hPa level are shown and discussed. The results show that the strength of the 850-hPa global cross-equatorial flows represent obvious long-term variation and interdecadal change during the period. Evidence suggests that the cross-equatorial flow of the passages at 45 - 50 °E in June to August, 105 - 115 °E in May to September, 130 - 140 °E in May to September and May to November and 20 - 25 °E in February to April intensified and that the cross-equatorial flow of the passages at 50 - 35 °W in June to August weaken in the past 57 years, with an increase of 0.25m/s/10a for summer Somali Jet and increase of 0.32 m/s/10a for cross- equatorial flow at 130 - 140 °E in May to September The results of Singular Spectrum Analysis （SSA） for the time series indicate that for the cross-equatorial flow at 850 hPa, the interdecadal and long-term trend changes are 35% - 45%, and the interarmual variation is no more than 30%, in variance contribution. The results also reveal that the interarmual variation of intensity of the summer cross-equatorial flows in the Pacific is significantly correlated with Southern Oscillation. With weak Southern Oscillation, strong crossequatorial flows in Pacific will happen, though the summer Somali Jet is only a little positively correlated with North Atlantic Oscillation （NAO）.展开更多
This study investigates the vertical structure of variability in the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean in boreal summer,based on three reanalysis datasets:ERA-Interim,JRA-55 and ...This study investigates the vertical structure of variability in the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean in boreal summer,based on three reanalysis datasets:ERA-Interim,JRA-55 and NCEP-2.The results show a high consistency in the interannual variability among the reanalysis datasets,especially between ERAInterim and JRA-55,while great uncertainty exists in the decadal or long-term changes of CEFs.Further analyses on the interannual variability in CEFs indicate that there is a significant negative relationship between the upper-and lower-level CEFs over the Maritime Continent—that is,the northerlies at the upper level and southerlies at the lower level are both enhanced or weakened.This seesaw pattern is also significantly related to the CEFs over the Indian Ocean at the upper level and lower level(i.e.,the Somali jet).This close relationship between the upper-and lower-level CEFs and between the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean is manifested as the leading mode of equatorial meridional winds in the vertical-zonal section over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean.Finally,it is found that ENSO is closely related to the vertical leading mode,and to all the CEFs at the upper and lower levels over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean.展开更多
This paper reports study focusing on the effects of sloping bottom on the deep cross-equatorial boundary current, and discusses model and laboratory experiment results showing that the southward that the southward int...This paper reports study focusing on the effects of sloping bottom on the deep cross-equatorial boundary current, and discusses model and laboratory experiment results showing that the southward that the southward intrusion distance and flow speed of the western boundary current depend on the bottom slope variation rate,the difference between and and are the current thickness at eastward edge and westward edge, respectively), and the net mass transport.展开更多
The decadal variation of the intensity of the interannual opposite connection （seesaw） between the Somali and Australian cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） is investigated. During the period prior to the mid-1960s, and...The decadal variation of the intensity of the interannual opposite connection （seesaw） between the Somali and Australian cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） is investigated. During the period prior to the mid-1960s, and after the early-2000s, the intensity of the interannual seesaw connection is significantly weaker relative to the period between. Such interdecadal shifts in the interannual seesaw intensity bear a resemblance to the decadal shift in ENSO＇s strength, and can be further attributed to the phase transition of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation （AMO）. When the AMO is in a positive phase, the ENSO amplitude reduces and the seesaw strength becomes weakened, and vice versa.The historical simulation outputs of the CMIP5 models are used to verify the connection, and a similar result was obtained. Thus, the notion that the intensity of the interannual opposite connection （seesaw） between the CEFs is modulated by the AMO is robust.展开更多
The NCEP/NCAR global reanalysis data were used to analyze the interannual variation characteristics of the cross-equatorial flow (CEF) and its concurrent relationships with temperature and rainfall in China. The resul...The NCEP/NCAR global reanalysis data were used to analyze the interannual variation characteristics of the cross-equatorial flow (CEF) and its concurrent relationships with temperature and rainfall in China. The results indicated that CEF changes more in summer than in winter. As the main flow channel in summer, the Somali CEF changes in a way that does not markedly influence the changes in the CEF total except for winter. The summer CEF total has two sudden increases and one sudden decrease during the last century while the winter total has just one decrease. Long-period data show that the correlation between CEF and summer rainfall in China is not very significant, but is different before and after the 1970s, which is due to CEF's close links with the East Asia summer monsoon. Winter CEF's correlation with concurrent winter temperature in northern and southern China varies with the relationship between CEF and sea-level pressure in different areas.展开更多
The variation features of the cross-equatorial flow and its impact on the ridge position of the subtropical high have been analyzed in this paper. It is shown as follows. (1) The intensity of the Somali cross-equatori...The variation features of the cross-equatorial flow and its impact on the ridge position of the subtropical high have been analyzed in this paper. It is shown as follows. (1) The intensity of the Somali cross-equatorial flow is increasing in winter and summer in the past 44 years and the airflow of Northern Hemisphere exchanges more and more intensively with that of Southern Hemisphere. (2) The Somali cross-equatorial flow in May has the most impact on the ridge position of the subtropical high in the typhoon season, presenting a positive correlation. (3) The diagnosis is consistent with the real situation in 2005.展开更多
The interannual variability of cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Asian–Australian monsoon(AAM)region during boreal summer was analyzed by applying the empirical orthogonal function(EOF)method to the meridional win...The interannual variability of cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Asian–Australian monsoon(AAM)region during boreal summer was analyzed by applying the empirical orthogonal function(EOF)method to the meridional wind at 925 h Pa.The first mode(EOF1)exhibits an in-phase relationship among different CEF channels over the AAM region,which has received much attention owing to its tight linkage with ENSO.By contrast,the second mode(EOF2)possesses an out-of-phase relationship between the Bay of Bengal(BOB)CEF(90°E)and Australian CEF,among which the New Guinea CEF near 150°E shows the most significant opposite correlation with the BOB CEF.Observational and numerical model results suggest that the equatorially asymmetric heat source(sink)over the western(eastern)Maritime Continent,closely associated with the in-situ sea surface temperature anomaly,can induce cross-equatorial northerly(southerly)flow into the heating hemisphere,which dominates the out-of-phase relationship between the BOB and New Guinea CEFs.Furthermore,an equatorially symmetric heating over the central Pacific may indirectly change the CEFs by modulating the zonal atmospheric circulation near the Maritime Continent.展开更多
Based on the developed Anderson and Moore's theory about cross-equatorial inertial jets and a nonlinear equivalence shallow water model, new universal functions are determined by the characters of the vortical lar...Based on the developed Anderson and Moore's theory about cross-equatorial inertial jets and a nonlinear equivalence shallow water model, new universal functions are determined by the characters of the vortical large-scale air flow (atmosphere) or ocean current (ocean) related to the jet, then the potential vorticity and energy conservation equations along the streamline in the cross-equatorial in-ertial jets can be obtained. Because the governing equations are nonlinear, some limited multiple equi-libria of cross-equatorial inertial jets may exist. According to the character of large-scale air flow or ocean current outside the jets, the existent criterion for multiple eqnilibria in cross-equatorial inertial jets is discussed, and two examples for multiple equilibia of nonlinear governing equations are given.展开更多
Based on reanalysis data from 1979 to 2021,this study explores the spatial distribution of the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD)and its individual and synergistic effects with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(EN...Based on reanalysis data from 1979 to 2021,this study explores the spatial distribution of the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD)and its individual and synergistic effects with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on summer precipitation in China.The inverse phase spatial distribution of sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTAs)in the southwest and northeast of the southern Indian Ocean is defined as the SIOD.Positive SIOD events(positive SSTAs in the southwest,negative SSTAs in the northeast)are associated with La Niña events(Central Pacific(CP)type),while negative SIOD events(negative SSTAs in the southwest,positive SSTAs in the northeast)are associated with El Niño events(Eastern Pacific(EP)type).Both SIOD and ENSO have certain impacts on summer precipitation in China.Precipitation in the Yangtze River basin decreases,while precipitation in southern China increases during pure positive SIOD(P_PSIOD)events.During pure negative SIOD(P_NSIOD)events,the changes in precipitation are exactly the opposite of those during P_PSIOD events,which may be due to differences in the cross-equatorial flow in the southern Indian Ocean,particularly in low-level Australian cross-equatorial flow.When positive SIOD and CP-type La Niña events occur simultaneously(PSIOD+La_Niña),precipitation increases in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin,while it decreases in northern China.When negative SIOD and EP-type El Niño events occur simultaneously(NSIOD+El_Niño),precipitation in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin is significantly lower than during P_NSIOD events.This is caused by differences in water vapor originating from the Pacific Ocean during different events.展开更多
The Australian monsoon system plays a pivotal role in the tropical climate system by modulating the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)development through multi-scale ocean-atmosphere interactions.This study ident...The Australian monsoon system plays a pivotal role in the tropical climate system by modulating the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)development through multi-scale ocean-atmosphere interactions.This study identifies a significant decadal weakening of the Australian cross-equatorial flow intensity over the past two decades,attributed to the concurrent westward shift of the Australian High(AH)during austral winter.These decadal changes in the Australian monsoon reduce tropical Pacific atmospheric convection and the associated westerly wind anomalies over the centralto-western Pacific,which are crucial precursors for ENSO development.This process diminishes air-sea coupling feedback,including the thermocline feedback and the Ekman feedback,ultimately decreasing the strength of warm ENSO(El Niño)events.Using the Community Earth System Model,we confirm the close linkage between the Australian monsoon and ENSO on the decadal timescale.These findings provide new insights into the coupled relationship between ENSO and monsoon variability,offering a valuable framework for understanding ENSO’s longterm modulation and improving future climate predictions.展开更多
This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercompa...This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)models.The results reveal that the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD),characterized by contrasting SST anomalies in the northeast and southwest regions,acts as a predictor for Chinese summer precipitation patterns,namely floods in the south and drought in the north.In a positive SIOD event,the southwestern Indian Ocean exhibits warmer SSTs,while the northeastern region remains cooler.A negative SIOD event shows the opposite pattern.During the positive phase of the SIOD,the winter SST distribution strengthens the 850-hPa cross-equatorial airflow,generating a robust low-level westerly jet that enhances water vapor transport to the Bay of Bengal(BoB).These air-sea interactions maintain lower SSTs in the northeastern region,which significantly increase the land-sea temperature contrast in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer.This strengthened thermal gradient intensifies the southwest monsoon,establishing a strong convergence zone near the South China Sea and amplifying monsoon-driven precipitation in South China.Additionally,CMIP6 models,such as NorESM2-LM and NorCPM1,which accurately simulate the SIOD pattern,effectively capture the seasonal response of cross-equatorial airflow driven by SST anomalies of Southern Indian Ocean.The result highlights the essential role of cross-equatorial airflow generated by the SIOD in forecasting crossseasonal precipitation patterns.展开更多
Global gridded daily mean data from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis(1948-2012) are used to obtain the onset date,retreat date and duration time series of the South China Sea summer monsoon(SCSSM) for the past 65 years.The su...Global gridded daily mean data from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis(1948-2012) are used to obtain the onset date,retreat date and duration time series of the South China Sea summer monsoon(SCSSM) for the past 65 years.The summer monsoon onset(retreat) date is defined as the time when the mean zonal wind at 850 hPa shifts steadily from easterly(westerly) to westerly(easterly) and the pseudo-equivalent potential temperature at the same level remains steady at greater than 335 K(less than 335 K) in the South China Sea area[110-120°E(10-20°N)].The clockwise vortex of the equatorial Indian Ocean region,together with the cross-equatorial flow and the subtropical high,plays a decisive role in the burst of the SCSSM.The onset date of the SCSSM is closely related to its intensity.With late(early) onset of the summer monsoon,its intensity is relatively strong(weak),and the zonal wind undergoes an early(late) abrupt change in the upper troposphere.Climate warming significantly affects the onset and retreat dates of the SCSSM and its intensity.With climate warming,the number of early-onset(-retreat) years of the SCSSM is clearly greater(less),and the SCSSM is clearly weakened.展开更多
Tropical cyclone （TC） Nargis （2008） made landfall in Myanmar on 02 May 2008, bringing a storm surge, major flooding, and resulting in a significant death toll. TC Nargis （2008） displayed abnormal features, inclu...Tropical cyclone （TC） Nargis （2008） made landfall in Myanmar on 02 May 2008, bringing a storm surge, major flooding, and resulting in a significant death toll. TC Nargis （2008） displayed abnormal features, including rare eastward motion in its late stage, rapid intensification before landing. Using reanalysis data and a numerical model, we investigated how a low-latitude westerly wind modulated TC Nargis’ （2008） track and provided favorable atmospheric conditions for its rapid intensification. More importantly, we found a possible counterbalance effect of flows from the two hemispheres on the TC track in the Bay of Bengal. Our analysis indicates that a strong westerly wind burst across the Bay of Bengal, resulting in TC Nargis’ （2008） eastward movement after its recurvature. This sudden enhancement of westerly wind was mainly due to the rapidly intensified mid-level cross-equatorial flow. Our results show that a high-pressure system in the Southern Hemisphere induced this strong, mid-level, cross-equatorial flow. During the rapid intensification period of TC Nargis （2008）, this strong and broad westerly wind also transported a large amount of water vapor to TC Nargis （2008）. Sufficient water vapor gave rise to continuously high and increased mid-level relative humidity, which was favorable to TC Nargis’ （2008） intensification. Condensation of water vapor increased the energy supply, which eventuated the intensification of TC Nargis （2008） to a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale.展开更多
The relationship between the intensity of the South China Sea summer monsoon （SCSSM） and the Nino3.4 index and anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns associated with a strong and weak SCSSM are investigated usin...The relationship between the intensity of the South China Sea summer monsoon （SCSSM） and the Nino3.4 index and anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns associated with a strong and weak SCSSM are investigated using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature （ERSST） data and Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation （CMAP） data. The SCSSM is significantly positively correlated with the Nino3.4 index in the succeeding northern autumn and winter. In the strong minus weak SCSSM composite, a positive East Asia-Pacific teleconnection （EAP） pattern and a negative Europe-Asian-Pacific teleconnection （EUP） pattern appear in the 500 hPa height difference field; low-level cross-equatorial flows are strengthened over the Maritime Continent （MC） region; positive （negative） precipitation anomalies occur in the South China Sea and western north Pacific （MC）. A possible mechanism through which SCSSM affects ENSO is proposed. A strong （weak） SCSSM strengthens （weakens） cross-equatorial flows over the MC. The anomalous cross-equatorial flows cool （warm） the SST around the MC through enhanced （reduced） surface latent heat fluxes. The cooling （warming） further leads to suppressed （enhanced） convection over the MC, and causes the anomalous westerly （easterly） in the equatorial western Pacific, which favors the onset of E1 Nino （La Nina） through modulating the positive air-sea feedback process.展开更多
In 1998, the annual frequency of typhoon (including tropical storms) genesis created a minimum value — 14, far lower than the minimum of 20 in 1950 over North-West Pacific, while in the Atlantic Ocean, the annual fre...In 1998, the annual frequency of typhoon (including tropical storms) genesis created a minimum value — 14, far lower than the minimum of 20 in 1950 over North-West Pacific, while in the Atlantic Ocean, the annual frequency of hurricanes (including the tropical storm) created a maximum value — 14, far higher than the average number — 9.2. In this paper, an analysis on the relationship between the generation of Typhoon, Hurricane and the Cross-Equatorial Flow was done by using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for 1979 – 1995. It is pointed out that the anomalies of the CEF over the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean is the main cause for the 1998 annual frequency anomalies of Typhoon and Hurricane, respectively.展开更多
An inverted one-and-a-half layer reduced-gravity linear shallow-waer model with lin-early varied topography is formulated, in which a uniform mid-depth upweling is prescribed The analyti-cal particular solution of ord...An inverted one-and-a-half layer reduced-gravity linear shallow-waer model with lin-early varied topography is formulated, in which a uniform mid-depth upweling is prescribed The analyti-cal particular solution of order single equation in u1 showed that the linear topography inclinationforces the water column to move pole-ward with increased planetary vorticity or to produce relative vortici-ty, and hence to depress the cross-equatorial transport of deep western boundary current. It is notewnrthythat the topography Plays the same role as Newtonian Cooling in forcing on the absolute voricity.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant Nos. 2009CB421406 and 2010CB950304)the Special Fund for the Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology+1 种基金Grant Nos. GYHY201006022 and GYHY200906018)the strategic technological program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA05090405)
文摘The temporal variations during 1948-2010 and vertical structures of the summer Somali and Australia cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） and the implications for the Asian summer monsoon were explored in this study. The strongest southerly and northerly CEFs exist at 925 hPa and 150 hPa level, respectively. The low-level Somali （LLS） CEFs were significantly connected with the rainfall in most regions of India （especially the monsoon regions）, except in a small area in southwest India. In comparison to the climatology, the low- level Australia （LLA） CEFs exhibited stronger variations at interannual time scale and are more closely connected to the East Asian summer monsoon circulation than to the LLS CEFs. The East Asian summer monsoon circulation anomalies related to stronger LLA CEFs were associ- ated with less water vapor content and less rainfall in the region between the middle Yellow River and Yangtze River and with more water vapor and more rainfall in southern China. The sea-surface tempera- ture anomalies east of Australia related to summer LLA CEFs emerge in spring and persist into summer, with implications for the seasonal prediction of summer rainfall in East Asia. The connection between the LLA CEFs and East Asian summer monsoon rainfall may be partly due to its linkage with E1 Nino-Southern Oscillation. In addition, both the LLA and LLS CEFs .exhibited interdecadal shifts in the late 1970s and the late 1990s, consistent with the phase shifts of Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO）.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)under Grant 2010CB950500 and 2010CB950304the Scientific Research Foundation of the First Institute of Oceanography,State Oceanic Administration(Grant No.GY02-2001G26)the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.41206026
文摘The summer mean water vapor transport （WVT） and cross-equatorial flow （CEF） over the Asian- Australian monsoon region simulated by 22 coupled atmospheric-oceanic general circulation models （AOGCMs） from the World Climate Research Programme＇s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5） were evaluated. Based on climatology of the twentieth-century simulations, most of models have a reason- ably realistic representation of summer monsoon WVT characterized by southeast water vapor conveyor belt over the South Indian Ocean and southwest belt from the Arabian Sea to the East Asian. The correlation coefficients between NCEP reanalysis and simulations of BCC-CSMI-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, FGOALS-s2, MIROC4h and MPI-ESM-LR are up to 0.8. The simulated CEF depicted by the meridional wind along the equator includes the Somali jet and eastern CEF in low atmosphere and the reverse circulation in upper atmosphere, which were generally consistent with NCEP reanalysis. Multi-model ensemble means （MME） can reproduce more reasonable climatological features in spatial distribution both of WVT and CEF. Ten models with more reasonable WVT simulations were selected for future projection studies, including BCC- CSMI-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, CCSM4, FGOALS-s2, FIO-ESM, GFDL-ESM2G, MRIOCS, MPI-ESM-LR and NorESM-1M. Analysis based on the future projection experiments in RCP （Representative Concentra- tion Pathway） 2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6 and RCP8.5 show that the global warming forced by different RCP scenarios will results in enhanced WVT over the Indian area and the west Pacific and weaken WVT in the low latitudes of tropical Indian Ocean.
基金sponsored by the National Program on Key Basic Research Project(973 Program) under Grant No.2009CB421500the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.40675026.
文摘The purpose of this paper is to explore how a tropical cyclone forms from a pre-existing large-scale depression which has been observed and associated with cross-equatorial surges in the western North Pacific. Tropical cyclone Bilis(2000) was selected as the case to study.The research data used are from the results of the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model(MM5),which has successfully simulated the transformation of a pre-existing weak large-scale tropical depression into a strong tropical storm.The scale separation technique is used to separate the synoptic-scale and sub-synoptic-scale fields from the model output fields. The scale-separated fields show that the pre-existing synoptic-scale tropical depression and the subsynoptic scale tropical cyclone formed later were different scale systems from beginning to end.It is also shown that the pre-existing synoptic-scale tropical depression did not contract to become the tropical cyclone. A series of weak,sub-synoptic-scale low and high pressure systems appeared and disappeared in the synopticscale depression,with one of the low systems near the center of the synoptic-scale depression having deepened to become the tropical cyclone. The roles of the synoptic-scale flow and the sub-synoptic scale disturbances in the formation of the tropical cyclone are investigated by diagnoses of the scale-separated vertical vorticity equation.The results show that the early development of the sub-synoptic scale vortex was fundamentally dependent on the strengthening synoptic-scale environmental depression.The depression was strengthened by cross-equatorial surges,which increased the convergence of the synoptic-scale depression at low levels and triggered the formation of the tropical cyclone.
基金National Basic Research Program of China(2013CB4302022012CB955200)+2 种基金Special Program for China Meteorology Trade(GYHY201306020)Basic Natural Science Research of Jiangsu High Institutions(12KJB170007,10KJB170007)Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘Impacts of regional sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies on the interdecadal variation of the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)in Eastern Hemisphere are studied using numerical simulations with a global atmospheric circulation model(NCAR CAM3)driven with 1950-2000 monthly SSTs in different marine areas(the globe,extratropics,tropics,tropical Indian Ocean-Pacific,and tropical Pacific)and ERA-40reanalysis data.Results show that all simulations,except the one driven with extratropical SSTs,can simulate the interdecadal strengthening of CEFs around Somali,120oE,and 150oE that occurred in the midand late-1970s.Among those simulated CEFs,the interdecadal variability in Somali and its interdecadal relationship with the East Asian summer monsoon are in better agreement with the observations,suggesting that changes in the SSTs of tropical oceans,especially the tropical Pacific,play a crucial role in the interdecadal variability of CEFs in Somali.The interdecadal change of CEFs in Somali is highly associated with the interdecadal variation of tropical Pacific SST.As the interdecadal warmer(colder)SST happens in the tropical Pacific,a"sandwich"pattern of SST anomalies,i.e."+,-,+"("-,+,-"),will occur in the eastern tropical Pacific from north to south with a pair of anomalous anticyclone(cyclone)at the lower troposphere;the pair links to another pair of anomalous cyclone(anticyclone)in the tropical Indian Ocean through an atmospheric bridge,and thus strengthens(weakens)the CEFs in Somali.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China (40775060)Research Fund for Tropical and MarineMeteorology Key Open Laboratory on Tropical Monsoon, CMA
文摘By using monthly NCEP/NCAR meridional gridpoint wind data at the levels of 1000, 850, 700, 600, 500, 400, 300, 200, 150 and 100 hPa from 1948 to 2004, the intensity of global cross-equatorial flows is calculated. The spatial and temporal variation of global cross-equatorial flows at the 850-hPa level are shown and discussed. The results show that the strength of the 850-hPa global cross-equatorial flows represent obvious long-term variation and interdecadal change during the period. Evidence suggests that the cross-equatorial flow of the passages at 45 - 50 °E in June to August, 105 - 115 °E in May to September, 130 - 140 °E in May to September and May to November and 20 - 25 °E in February to April intensified and that the cross-equatorial flow of the passages at 50 - 35 °W in June to August weaken in the past 57 years, with an increase of 0.25m/s/10a for summer Somali Jet and increase of 0.32 m/s/10a for cross- equatorial flow at 130 - 140 °E in May to September The results of Singular Spectrum Analysis （SSA） for the time series indicate that for the cross-equatorial flow at 850 hPa, the interdecadal and long-term trend changes are 35% - 45%, and the interarmual variation is no more than 30%, in variance contribution. The results also reveal that the interarmual variation of intensity of the summer cross-equatorial flows in the Pacific is significantly correlated with Southern Oscillation. With weak Southern Oscillation, strong crossequatorial flows in Pacific will happen, though the summer Somali Jet is only a little positively correlated with North Atlantic Oscillation （NAO）.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41721004)
文摘This study investigates the vertical structure of variability in the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean in boreal summer,based on three reanalysis datasets:ERA-Interim,JRA-55 and NCEP-2.The results show a high consistency in the interannual variability among the reanalysis datasets,especially between ERAInterim and JRA-55,while great uncertainty exists in the decadal or long-term changes of CEFs.Further analyses on the interannual variability in CEFs indicate that there is a significant negative relationship between the upper-and lower-level CEFs over the Maritime Continent—that is,the northerlies at the upper level and southerlies at the lower level are both enhanced or weakened.This seesaw pattern is also significantly related to the CEFs over the Indian Ocean at the upper level and lower level(i.e.,the Somali jet).This close relationship between the upper-and lower-level CEFs and between the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean is manifested as the leading mode of equatorial meridional winds in the vertical-zonal section over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean.Finally,it is found that ENSO is closely related to the vertical leading mode,and to all the CEFs at the upper and lower levels over the Maritime Continent and Indian Ocean.
文摘This paper reports study focusing on the effects of sloping bottom on the deep cross-equatorial boundary current, and discusses model and laboratory experiment results showing that the southward that the southward intrusion distance and flow speed of the western boundary current depend on the bottom slope variation rate,the difference between and and are the current thickness at eastward edge and westward edge, respectively), and the net mass transport.
基金supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of China[grant number 973 Program,2015CB453202]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41375085],[grant number 41421004]
文摘The decadal variation of the intensity of the interannual opposite connection （seesaw） between the Somali and Australian cross-equatorial flows （CEFs） is investigated. During the period prior to the mid-1960s, and after the early-2000s, the intensity of the interannual seesaw connection is significantly weaker relative to the period between. Such interdecadal shifts in the interannual seesaw intensity bear a resemblance to the decadal shift in ENSO＇s strength, and can be further attributed to the phase transition of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation （AMO）. When the AMO is in a positive phase, the ENSO amplitude reduces and the seesaw strength becomes weakened, and vice versa.The historical simulation outputs of the CMIP5 models are used to verify the connection, and a similar result was obtained. Thus, the notion that the intensity of the interannual opposite connection （seesaw） between the CEFs is modulated by the AMO is robust.
基金Research on the Effect of Stratospheric Anomalies in North Pole on Weather and Climate of Asia and North Pacific–a key project of the Natural Science Foundation of China (40533016)
文摘The NCEP/NCAR global reanalysis data were used to analyze the interannual variation characteristics of the cross-equatorial flow (CEF) and its concurrent relationships with temperature and rainfall in China. The results indicated that CEF changes more in summer than in winter. As the main flow channel in summer, the Somali CEF changes in a way that does not markedly influence the changes in the CEF total except for winter. The summer CEF total has two sudden increases and one sudden decrease during the last century while the winter total has just one decrease. Long-period data show that the correlation between CEF and summer rainfall in China is not very significant, but is different before and after the 1970s, which is due to CEF's close links with the East Asia summer monsoon. Winter CEF's correlation with concurrent winter temperature in northern and southern China varies with the relationship between CEF and sea-level pressure in different areas.
基金Open Research Fund for Meteorological Science in Fujian Meteorological Bureau (2006K01)
文摘The variation features of the cross-equatorial flow and its impact on the ridge position of the subtropical high have been analyzed in this paper. It is shown as follows. (1) The intensity of the Somali cross-equatorial flow is increasing in winter and summer in the past 44 years and the airflow of Northern Hemisphere exchanges more and more intensively with that of Southern Hemisphere. (2) The Somali cross-equatorial flow in May has the most impact on the ridge position of the subtropical high in the typhoon season, presenting a positive correlation. (3) The diagnosis is consistent with the real situation in 2005.
基金jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2016YFA0600601]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42030601 and 41875087]。
文摘The interannual variability of cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)over the Asian–Australian monsoon(AAM)region during boreal summer was analyzed by applying the empirical orthogonal function(EOF)method to the meridional wind at 925 h Pa.The first mode(EOF1)exhibits an in-phase relationship among different CEF channels over the AAM region,which has received much attention owing to its tight linkage with ENSO.By contrast,the second mode(EOF2)possesses an out-of-phase relationship between the Bay of Bengal(BOB)CEF(90°E)and Australian CEF,among which the New Guinea CEF near 150°E shows the most significant opposite correlation with the BOB CEF.Observational and numerical model results suggest that the equatorially asymmetric heat source(sink)over the western(eastern)Maritime Continent,closely associated with the in-situ sea surface temperature anomaly,can induce cross-equatorial northerly(southerly)flow into the heating hemisphere,which dominates the out-of-phase relationship between the BOB and New Guinea CEFs.Furthermore,an equatorially symmetric heating over the central Pacific may indirectly change the CEFs by modulating the zonal atmospheric circulation near the Maritime Continent.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 4023012)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2006cb400500)
文摘Based on the developed Anderson and Moore's theory about cross-equatorial inertial jets and a nonlinear equivalence shallow water model, new universal functions are determined by the characters of the vortical large-scale air flow (atmosphere) or ocean current (ocean) related to the jet, then the potential vorticity and energy conservation equations along the streamline in the cross-equatorial in-ertial jets can be obtained. Because the governing equations are nonlinear, some limited multiple equi-libria of cross-equatorial inertial jets may exist. According to the character of large-scale air flow or ocean current outside the jets, the existent criterion for multiple eqnilibria in cross-equatorial inertial jets is discussed, and two examples for multiple equilibia of nonlinear governing equations are given.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41975087,U2242212,and 41975085]supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number U2242212]。
文摘Based on reanalysis data from 1979 to 2021,this study explores the spatial distribution of the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD)and its individual and synergistic effects with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)on summer precipitation in China.The inverse phase spatial distribution of sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTAs)in the southwest and northeast of the southern Indian Ocean is defined as the SIOD.Positive SIOD events(positive SSTAs in the southwest,negative SSTAs in the northeast)are associated with La Niña events(Central Pacific(CP)type),while negative SIOD events(negative SSTAs in the southwest,positive SSTAs in the northeast)are associated with El Niño events(Eastern Pacific(EP)type).Both SIOD and ENSO have certain impacts on summer precipitation in China.Precipitation in the Yangtze River basin decreases,while precipitation in southern China increases during pure positive SIOD(P_PSIOD)events.During pure negative SIOD(P_NSIOD)events,the changes in precipitation are exactly the opposite of those during P_PSIOD events,which may be due to differences in the cross-equatorial flow in the southern Indian Ocean,particularly in low-level Australian cross-equatorial flow.When positive SIOD and CP-type La Niña events occur simultaneously(PSIOD+La_Niña),precipitation increases in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin,while it decreases in northern China.When negative SIOD and EP-type El Niño events occur simultaneously(NSIOD+El_Niño),precipitation in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin is significantly lower than during P_NSIOD events.This is caused by differences in water vapor originating from the Pacific Ocean during different events.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 42105052 and 42376016the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)under contract No.SML2024SP012.
文摘The Australian monsoon system plays a pivotal role in the tropical climate system by modulating the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)development through multi-scale ocean-atmosphere interactions.This study identifies a significant decadal weakening of the Australian cross-equatorial flow intensity over the past two decades,attributed to the concurrent westward shift of the Australian High(AH)during austral winter.These decadal changes in the Australian monsoon reduce tropical Pacific atmospheric convection and the associated westerly wind anomalies over the centralto-western Pacific,which are crucial precursors for ENSO development.This process diminishes air-sea coupling feedback,including the thermocline feedback and the Ekman feedback,ultimately decreasing the strength of warm ENSO(El Niño)events.Using the Community Earth System Model,we confirm the close linkage between the Australian monsoon and ENSO on the decadal timescale.These findings provide new insights into the coupled relationship between ENSO and monsoon variability,offering a valuable framework for understanding ENSO’s longterm modulation and improving future climate predictions.
基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2442202)+1 种基金Key Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration“Climate Change Detection and Response”(CMA2022ZD03)National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFF0805104)。
文摘This study explores the impact of winter sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies in the Southern Indian Ocean on summer precipitation patterns in China,utilizing data from reanalysis sources and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)models.The results reveal that the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole(SIOD),characterized by contrasting SST anomalies in the northeast and southwest regions,acts as a predictor for Chinese summer precipitation patterns,namely floods in the south and drought in the north.In a positive SIOD event,the southwestern Indian Ocean exhibits warmer SSTs,while the northeastern region remains cooler.A negative SIOD event shows the opposite pattern.During the positive phase of the SIOD,the winter SST distribution strengthens the 850-hPa cross-equatorial airflow,generating a robust low-level westerly jet that enhances water vapor transport to the Bay of Bengal(BoB).These air-sea interactions maintain lower SSTs in the northeastern region,which significantly increase the land-sea temperature contrast in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer.This strengthened thermal gradient intensifies the southwest monsoon,establishing a strong convergence zone near the South China Sea and amplifying monsoon-driven precipitation in South China.Additionally,CMIP6 models,such as NorESM2-LM and NorCPM1,which accurately simulate the SIOD pattern,effectively capture the seasonal response of cross-equatorial airflow driven by SST anomalies of Southern Indian Ocean.The result highlights the essential role of cross-equatorial airflow generated by the SIOD in forecasting crossseasonal precipitation patterns.
基金National Key Basic Research and Development Planning Program of China(Program 973)(2013CB430202)Basic Research Program of Jiangsu Province,China(BK20130997)+1 种基金National Natural Science Fund of China(91337109)Project Funded by the Priority Academic program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘Global gridded daily mean data from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis(1948-2012) are used to obtain the onset date,retreat date and duration time series of the South China Sea summer monsoon(SCSSM) for the past 65 years.The summer monsoon onset(retreat) date is defined as the time when the mean zonal wind at 850 hPa shifts steadily from easterly(westerly) to westerly(easterly) and the pseudo-equivalent potential temperature at the same level remains steady at greater than 335 K(less than 335 K) in the South China Sea area[110-120°E(10-20°N)].The clockwise vortex of the equatorial Indian Ocean region,together with the cross-equatorial flow and the subtropical high,plays a decisive role in the burst of the SCSSM.The onset date of the SCSSM is closely related to its intensity.With late(early) onset of the summer monsoon,its intensity is relatively strong(weak),and the zonal wind undergoes an early(late) abrupt change in the upper troposphere.Climate warming significantly affects the onset and retreat dates of the SCSSM and its intensity.With climate warming,the number of early-onset(-retreat) years of the SCSSM is clearly greater(less),and the SCSSM is clearly weakened.
基金supportedby a grant from the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China(973Program)(No2011CB403500)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(NoU0733002)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province,China(No8351030101000002)
文摘Tropical cyclone （TC） Nargis （2008） made landfall in Myanmar on 02 May 2008, bringing a storm surge, major flooding, and resulting in a significant death toll. TC Nargis （2008） displayed abnormal features, including rare eastward motion in its late stage, rapid intensification before landing. Using reanalysis data and a numerical model, we investigated how a low-latitude westerly wind modulated TC Nargis’ （2008） track and provided favorable atmospheric conditions for its rapid intensification. More importantly, we found a possible counterbalance effect of flows from the two hemispheres on the TC track in the Bay of Bengal. Our analysis indicates that a strong westerly wind burst across the Bay of Bengal, resulting in TC Nargis’ （2008） eastward movement after its recurvature. This sudden enhancement of westerly wind was mainly due to the rapidly intensified mid-level cross-equatorial flow. Our results show that a high-pressure system in the Southern Hemisphere induced this strong, mid-level, cross-equatorial flow. During the rapid intensification period of TC Nargis （2008）, this strong and broad westerly wind also transported a large amount of water vapor to TC Nargis （2008）. Sufficient water vapor gave rise to continuously high and increased mid-level relative humidity, which was favorable to TC Nargis’ （2008） intensification. Condensation of water vapor increased the energy supply, which eventuated the intensification of TC Nargis （2008） to a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
基金National Science Foundation of China under contract (4067505440505019)China Meteorological Administration (CMATG2006L03)
文摘The relationship between the intensity of the South China Sea summer monsoon （SCSSM） and the Nino3.4 index and anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns associated with a strong and weak SCSSM are investigated using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature （ERSST） data and Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation （CMAP） data. The SCSSM is significantly positively correlated with the Nino3.4 index in the succeeding northern autumn and winter. In the strong minus weak SCSSM composite, a positive East Asia-Pacific teleconnection （EAP） pattern and a negative Europe-Asian-Pacific teleconnection （EUP） pattern appear in the 500 hPa height difference field; low-level cross-equatorial flows are strengthened over the Maritime Continent （MC） region; positive （negative） precipitation anomalies occur in the South China Sea and western north Pacific （MC）. A possible mechanism through which SCSSM affects ENSO is proposed. A strong （weak） SCSSM strengthens （weakens） cross-equatorial flows over the MC. The anomalous cross-equatorial flows cool （warm） the SST around the MC through enhanced （reduced） surface latent heat fluxes. The cooling （warming） further leads to suppressed （enhanced） convection over the MC, and causes the anomalous westerly （easterly） in the equatorial western Pacific, which favors the onset of E1 Nino （La Nina） through modulating the positive air-sea feedback process.
基金Research on Short-term Climatic Prediction Systems in China - a core scientific project inthe 9th five-year economic development plan Century-bridging Youth Academic Research Backbones from theChinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
文摘In 1998, the annual frequency of typhoon (including tropical storms) genesis created a minimum value — 14, far lower than the minimum of 20 in 1950 over North-West Pacific, while in the Atlantic Ocean, the annual frequency of hurricanes (including the tropical storm) created a maximum value — 14, far higher than the average number — 9.2. In this paper, an analysis on the relationship between the generation of Typhoon, Hurricane and the Cross-Equatorial Flow was done by using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for 1979 – 1995. It is pointed out that the anomalies of the CEF over the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean is the main cause for the 1998 annual frequency anomalies of Typhoon and Hurricane, respectively.
文摘An inverted one-and-a-half layer reduced-gravity linear shallow-waer model with lin-early varied topography is formulated, in which a uniform mid-depth upweling is prescribed The analyti-cal particular solution of order single equation in u1 showed that the linear topography inclinationforces the water column to move pole-ward with increased planetary vorticity or to produce relative vortici-ty, and hence to depress the cross-equatorial transport of deep western boundary current. It is notewnrthythat the topography Plays the same role as Newtonian Cooling in forcing on the absolute voricity.
