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Computational Experiments for Complex Social Systems:Experiment Design and Generative Explanation 被引量:2
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作者 Xiao Xue Deyu Zhou +5 位作者 Xiangning Yu Gang Wang Juanjuan Li Xia Xie Lizhen Cui Fei-Yue Wang 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第4期1022-1038,共17页
Powered by advanced information technology,more and more complex systems are exhibiting characteristics of the cyber-physical-social systems(CPSS).In this context,computational experiments method has emerged as a nove... Powered by advanced information technology,more and more complex systems are exhibiting characteristics of the cyber-physical-social systems(CPSS).In this context,computational experiments method has emerged as a novel approach for the design,analysis,management,control,and integration of CPSS,which can realize the causal analysis of complex systems by means of“algorithmization”of“counterfactuals”.However,because CPSS involve human and social factors(e.g.,autonomy,initiative,and sociality),it is difficult for traditional design of experiment(DOE)methods to achieve the generative explanation of system emergence.To address this challenge,this paper proposes an integrated approach to the design of computational experiments,incorporating three key modules:1)Descriptive module:Determining the influencing factors and response variables of the system by means of the modeling of an artificial society;2)Interpretative module:Selecting factorial experimental design solution to identify the relationship between influencing factors and macro phenomena;3)Predictive module:Building a meta-model that is equivalent to artificial society to explore its operating laws.Finally,a case study of crowd-sourcing platforms is presented to illustrate the application process and effectiveness of the proposed approach,which can reveal the social impact of algorithmic behavior on“rider race”. 展开更多
关键词 Agent-based modeling computational experiments cyber-physical-social systems(CPSS) generative deduction generative experiments meta model
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Optimization of Grouping Evacuation Strategy in High-rise Building Fires Based on Graph Theory and Computational Experiments 被引量:5
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作者 Yuling Hu Xiwei Liu 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第6期1104-1112,共9页
It is difficult to rescue people from outside, and emergency evacuation is still a main measure to decrease casualties in high-rise building fires. To improve evacuation efficiency, a valid and easily manipulated grou... It is difficult to rescue people from outside, and emergency evacuation is still a main measure to decrease casualties in high-rise building fires. To improve evacuation efficiency, a valid and easily manipulated grouping evacuation strategy is proposed. Occupants escape in groups according to the shortest evacuation route is determined by graph theory. In order to evaluate and find the optimal grouping, computational experiments are performed to design and simulate the evacuation processes. A case study shown the application in detail and quantitative research conclusions is obtained. The thoughts and approaches of this study can be used to guide actual high-rise building evacuation processes in future. 展开更多
关键词 computational experiments grouping evacuation graph theory high-rise building fire management strategies
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A framework for equipment systems-of-systems effectiveness evaluation using parallel experiments approach 被引量:8
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作者 Zilong Cheng Li Fan Yulin Zhang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第2期292-300,共9页
Equipment systems-of-systems (SOS) effectiveness evaluation can provide important reference for construction and optimization of the equipment SoS. After discussing the basic theory and methods of parallel experimen... Equipment systems-of-systems (SOS) effectiveness evaluation can provide important reference for construction and optimization of the equipment SoS. After discussing the basic theory and methods of parallel experiments, we depict an SoS effectiveness analysis and evaluation method using parallel expe- riments theory in detail. A case study is carried out which takes the missile defense system as an example. An artificial system of the missile defense system is constructed with the multi-agent modeling method. Then, single factor, multiple factors and defense position deployment computational experiments are carried out and evaluated with the statistical analysis method. Experiment re- sults show that the altitude of the secondary interception missile is not the key factor which affects SoS effectiveness and putting the defense position ahead will increase defense effectiveness. The case study demonstrates the feasibility of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 agent based modeling parallel experiments computational experiments missile defense system effectiveness evaluation
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Research Progress of Parallel Control and Management 被引量:5
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作者 Gang Xiong Xisong Dong +1 位作者 Hao Lu Dayong Shen 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 EI CSCD 2020年第2期355-367,共13页
Based on ACP(artificial systems,computational experiments,and parallel execution)methodology,parallel control and management has become a popularly systematic and complete solution for the control and management of co... Based on ACP(artificial systems,computational experiments,and parallel execution)methodology,parallel control and management has become a popularly systematic and complete solution for the control and management of complex systems.This paper focuses on summarizing comprehensive review of the research literature of parallel control and management achieved in the recent years including the theoretical framework,core technologies,and the application demonstration.The future research,application directions,and suggestions are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 ACP methodology artificial systems computational experiments parallel control parallel management parallel systems
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Agent-based Simulation Systems for Emergency Management 被引量:1
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作者 Zhi-Chao Song Yuan-Zheng Ge +1 位作者 Hong Duan Xiao-Gang Qiu 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI CSCD 2016年第2期89-98,共10页
Emergencies, which are very difficult to be forecasted, would always bring about huge harm to people. Therefore, to find ways to reduce such devastating effects, researches on emergency management have turned to be pa... Emergencies, which are very difficult to be forecasted, would always bring about huge harm to people. Therefore, to find ways to reduce such devastating effects, researches on emergency management have turned to be paramount. Nowadays, the rapid development of computer technology has supplied a new and effective idea for the researches of emergency management, namely that the researches can be done in computers by performing simulation experiments according to the artificial societies, computational experiments, parallel execution (ACP) approach. Guided by this approach, this paper has proposed one agent-based prototype simulation system to research emergency management. Firstly, structure of the simulation system oriented to emergency management was analyzed and designed. Then a simulation system oriented to public health emergency management was constructed to study the transmission of infectious diseases. Finally, several experiments were carried out based on the system, with several significant conclusions having also been obtained. 展开更多
关键词 Agent-based simulation emergency management artificial societies computational experiments parallel execution (ACP) simulation system public health transmission of infectious diseases.
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A Modified Projection Method for Linear Feasibility Problems
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作者 Yi-Ju Wang Hong-Yu Zhang 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI 2009年第4期401-405,共5页
In this paper, we present a modified projection method for the linear feasibility problems (LFP). Compared with the existing methods, the new method adopts a surrogate technique to obtain new iteration instead of th... In this paper, we present a modified projection method for the linear feasibility problems (LFP). Compared with the existing methods, the new method adopts a surrogate technique to obtain new iteration instead of the line search procedure with fixed stepsize. For the new method, we first show its global convergence under the condition that the solution set is nonempty, and then establish its linear convergence rate. Preliminary numerical experiments show that this method has good performance. 展开更多
关键词 Linear feasibility problem (LFP) projection method global convergence convergence rate computational experiments
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An Optimal Resource Provision Policy in Cloud Computing Based on Customer Profiles
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作者 ZHOU Jingcai ZHANG Huying CHEN Yibo 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2014年第3期213-220,共8页
Conventional resource provision algorithms focus on how to maximize resource utilization and meet a fixed constraint of response time which be written in service level agreement(SLA).Unfortunately,the expected respo... Conventional resource provision algorithms focus on how to maximize resource utilization and meet a fixed constraint of response time which be written in service level agreement(SLA).Unfortunately,the expected response time is highly variable and it is usually longer than the value of SLA.So,it leads to a poor resource utilization and unnecessary servers migration.We develop a framework for customer-driven dynamic resource allocation in cloud computing.Termed CDSMS(customer-driven service manage system),and the framework’s contributions are twofold.First,it can reduce the total migration times by adjusting the value of parameters of response time dynamically according to customers’profiles.Second,it can choose a best resource provision algorithm automatically in different scenarios to improve resource utilization.Finally,we perform a serious experiment in a real cloud computing platform.Experimental results show that CDSMS provides a satisfactory solution for the prediction of expected response time and the interval period between two tasks and reduce the total resource usage cost. 展开更多
关键词 cloud computing service level agreement quality of experience resource provision policy customers profiles
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About One Discrete Mathematical Model of Perfect Fluid
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作者 Konstantin Eduardovich Plokhotnikov 《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 2016年第3期129-167,共40页
In work, it is constructed a discrete mathematical model of motion of a perfect fluid. The fluid is represented as an ensemble of identical so-called liquid particles, which are in the form of extended geometrical obj... In work, it is constructed a discrete mathematical model of motion of a perfect fluid. The fluid is represented as an ensemble of identical so-called liquid particles, which are in the form of extended geometrical objects: circles and spheres for two-dimensional and three-dimensional cases, respectively. The mechanism of interaction between the liquid particles on a binary level and on the level of the n-cluster is formulated. This mechanism has previously been found by the author as part of the mathematical modeling of turbulent fluid motion. In the turbulence model was derived and investigated the potential interaction of pairs of liquid particles, which contained a singularity of the branch point. Exactly, this is possible to build in this article discrete stochastic-deterministic model of an ideal fluid. The results of computational experiment to simulate various kinds of flows in two-dimensional and three-dimensional ensembles of liquid particles are presented. Modeling was carried out in the areas of quadratic or cubic form. On boundary of a region satisfies the condition of elastic reflection liquid particles. The flows with spontaneous separation of particles in a region, various kinds of eddy streams, with the quite unexpected statistical properties of an ensemble of particles characteristic for the Fermi-Pasta-Ulam effect were found. We build and study the flow in which the velocity of the particles is calibrated. It was possible using the appropriate flows of liquid particles of the ensemble to demonstrate the possibility to reproduce any prescribed image by manipulating the parameters of the interaction. Calculations of the flows were performed with using MATLAB software package according to the algorithms presented in this article. 展开更多
关键词 Perfect Fluid Discrete Model Liquid Particle Branch Point TURBULENCE Interaction in the Cluster The Laws of Conservation Stochastic and Deterministic Components of the Flow computational Experiment The Separation of Particles The Effect of the Fermi-Pasta-Ulam Calibration of Particle Velocities
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Hierarchical Causal Model for Analysis of Complex Social System
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作者 Jun Qian Jinwei Miao Xiao Sun 《Tsinghua Science and Technology》 2025年第6期2606-2624,共19页
Currently,various rapidly developing information technologies are gradually transforming traditional social systems into Complex Social Systems(CSS).On the one hand,individuals'ability to make decisions and access... Currently,various rapidly developing information technologies are gradually transforming traditional social systems into Complex Social Systems(CSS).On the one hand,individuals'ability to make decisions and access information is increasing,making their behaviors more unpredictable.On the other hand,technology is facilitating an increase in the intensity and scope of individual interactions,with cascade effects making the outcomes of interactions difficult to estimate.To improve the performance of CSS,it is essential to examine the causal laws that determine what kind of performance the system exhibits.However,researches on the causal laws of CSS remain scarce,leading to the lack of foundations for analyzing such systems.Inspired by computational experiments and causal analysis,this paper proposes a Hierarchical Causal Model(HCM)with three layers,each of which presents,extracts,and applies the causality.We apply the proposed model to enhance the system performance in a typical CSS,a software-enabled small-scale plant.Experimental results show that 98.38%of the working days have better system performance than the actual performance after applying our proposed model,and the mean of the median improvement reaches 41.38%.These results validate the proposed model,demonstrating that this work provides a feasible method for the analysis of CSS. 展开更多
关键词 Complex Social System(CSS) causality key element computational experiments
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HOW TASK ALLOCATION STRATEGY AFFECTS TEAM PERFOR- MANCE: A COMPUTATIONAL EXPERIMENT
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作者 Shaoni Wang Yanzhong Dang Jiangning Wu 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第5期656-676,共21页
This paper studies how to determine task allocation schemes according to the status and require-ments of various teams, to achieve optimal performance for a knowledge-intensive team (KIT), whichis different from tra... This paper studies how to determine task allocation schemes according to the status and require-ments of various teams, to achieve optimal performance for a knowledge-intensive team (KIT), whichis different from traditional task assignment. The way to allocate tasks to a team affects task processingand, in turn, influences the team itself after the task is processed. Considering the knowledge require-ment of tasks as a driving force and that knowledge exchange is pivotal, we build a KIT system modelbased on complex adaptive system theory and agent modeling technology, design task allocation strat-egies (TASs) and a team performance measurement scale utilizing computational experiment, and an-alyze how different TASs impact the different performance indicators of KITs. The experimental re-sults show the recommend TAS varies under different conditions, such as the knowledge levels ofmembers, team structures, and tasks to be assigned, particularly when the requirements to the team aredifferent. In conclusion, we put forward a new way of thinking and methodology for real task alloca-tion problems and provide support for allocation decision makers. 展开更多
关键词 Knowledge intensive team (KIT) task allocation strategies (TASs) knowledge exchange team performance computational experiment
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A Parallel Control Method for Zero-Sum Game with Unknown Time-Varying System
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作者 Qinglai Wei Zhenhua Zhu +1 位作者 Jie Zhang Fei-Yue Wang 《The International Journal of Intelligent Control and Systems》 2024年第1期37-41,共5页
In this paper,based on ACP(ACP:artificial societies,computational experiments,and parallel execution)approach,a parallel control method is proposed for zero-sum games of unknown time-varying systems.The process of con... In this paper,based on ACP(ACP:artificial societies,computational experiments,and parallel execution)approach,a parallel control method is proposed for zero-sum games of unknown time-varying systems.The process of constructing a sequence of artificial systems,implementing the computational experiments,and conducting the parallel execution is presented.The artificial systems are constructed to model the real system.Computational experiments adopting adaptive dynamic programming(ADP)are shown to derive control laws for a sequence of artificial systems.The purpose of the parallel execution step is to derive the control laws for the real system.Finally,simulation experiments are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Zero-sum games parallel control ACP(ACP:artificial societies computational experiments and parallel execution) adaptive dynamic programming(ADP)
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A GENERATOR AND A SIMPLEX SOLVER FOR NETWORK PIECEWISE LINEAR PROGRAMS
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作者 孙捷 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 1994年第2期177-185,共9页
This is a brief report on our recent work in network piecewise linear programming (NPLP),and it consists of two parts. In the first park, we describe a generator for NPLP problems which is derived from the classical n... This is a brief report on our recent work in network piecewise linear programming (NPLP),and it consists of two parts. In the first park, we describe a generator for NPLP problems which is derived from the classical network linear program generator NETGEN. The generator creates networks of the same topological structures as NETGEN, but each arc is associated with a convex piecewise linear cost. The purpose of this program is to provide a set of standard test problems which can be used to compare the performance of various algorithms for NPLP. In the second part,we introduce a network simplex method that directly solves a network piecewise linear program without reformulating it as a network linear program of higher dimension. Forty benchmark NPLP problems are solved by this method and a reformulation method. The computational results are in favor of the direct method and show that solving an NPLP problem is not much harder than solving a network linear program of the same dimension. 展开更多
关键词 computational experiments generator of test problems network programming piecewise linear programming simplex method.
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Social influence and spread dynamics in social networks 被引量:12
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作者 Xiaolong ZHENG Yongguang ZHONG +1 位作者 Daniel ZENG Fei-Yue WANG 《Frontiers of Computer Science》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第5期611-620,共10页
Social networks often serve as a critical medium for information dissemination, diffusion of epidemics, and spread of behavior, by shared activities or similarities be- tween individuals. Recently, we have witnessed a... Social networks often serve as a critical medium for information dissemination, diffusion of epidemics, and spread of behavior, by shared activities or similarities be- tween individuals. Recently, we have witnessed an explosion of interest in studying social influence and spread dynamics in social networks. To date, relatively little material has been provided on a comprehensive review in this field. This brief survey addresses this issue. We present the current significant empirical studies on real social systems, including network construction methods, measures of network, and newly em- pirical results. We then provide a concise description of some related social models from both macro- and micro-level per- spectives. Due to the difficulties in combining real data and simulation data for verifying and validating real social sys- tems, we further emphasize the current research results of computational experiments. We hope this paper can provide researchers significant insights into better understanding the characteristics of personal influence and spread patterns in large-scale social systems. 展开更多
关键词 social networks spread dynamics social influence computational experiment
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An Evolutionary Adaptive System for Prediction of Strategy Influence:A Case Study of Government Regulation Guided Brand Innovation
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作者 Jiali Lin Qiaomei Li +3 位作者 Guangsheng Lin Zhihui He Dazhi Jiang Hao Liu 《Complex System Modeling and Simulation》 2022年第3期197-212,共16页
Decision making is one of the common human activities.But in complex,interactive,and dynamic systems,it is extremely important to make decisions scientifically because the influence of the behavior after decision maki... Decision making is one of the common human activities.But in complex,interactive,and dynamic systems,it is extremely important to make decisions scientifically because the influence of the behavior after decision making is generally irreversible.The predictability of behavior influence is an effective way to improve the scientific decision making.As a new branch of computing,computational experiment is an emerging management method for research on complex systems.In this paper,based on particle swarm intelligence,an evolutionary adaptive system model of brand innovation in the toy industry cluster is constructed.By imitating the evolution process of the complex adaptive system,this method is helpful to analyze the impact of the management behavior brought to simulation system,predict the management behavior in real world,and finally choose the best management strategy.This simulation tried to figure out the affection of government regulation strategies and provide corresponding assessments and recommendations,which gives a new solution to assist the government to effectively judge the influence of the macro policy,as well as provides a new way of thinking of the related intelligent decision making. 展开更多
关键词 decision making behavior influence computational experiment evolution adaptive system brand innovation
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