We examine possible funding sources for constructing Climate Change Haven Communities on a global basis. Areas of the planet that have the potential to house persons migrating to “safe havens” in their own or other ...We examine possible funding sources for constructing Climate Change Haven Communities on a global basis. Areas of the planet that have the potential to house persons migrating to “safe havens” in their own or other countries will require the rapid construction of communities capable of supporting them, their families, businesses and farms. However, different political-economic conditions are found across the areas which can serve as locations for these Climate Change Haven Communities. We develop funding and construction strategies for the United States (free-market capitalism), France and Spain (European Union supported economies), and Taiwan region (state-directed economy). The proposals for the Taiwan region should also be applicable to the rest of China.展开更多
The G20 Youth Summit(Y20)took place in Johannesburg,South Africa,from 18 to 23 August.Sun Ruoshui,a research assistant from the Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development,Tsinghua University,was appointed...The G20 Youth Summit(Y20)took place in Johannesburg,South Africa,from 18 to 23 August.Sun Ruoshui,a research assistant from the Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development,Tsinghua University,was appointed by the All-China Youth Federation to represent China in the discussions on Climate and Environmental Sustainability.Specialising in global climate governance,international climate negotiation and climate policy,Sun has previously served as a member of the Chinese delegation to the 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference(COP28)and 2024 Bonn Subsidiary Bodies Meeting.展开更多
To address climate change and highlight its global nature,the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)was adopted for the first time in history within the UN framework on May 9,1992,clearly establ...To address climate change and highlight its global nature,the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)was adopted for the first time in history within the UN framework on May 9,1992,clearly establishing the obligations of developed countries to take the lead in emission reduction and provide financial,technological,and capacity-building support to developing countries.Particularly since the 2015 Paris Agreement,successive UN climate conferences have placed high emphasis on financial and technological matters,with financial arrangements demonstrating an increasingly specific trend in recent years.The Glasgow Climate Pact adopted in 2021 urges developed country Parties to deliver on their commitment to the goal of providing USD 100 billion to developing country prties,while also urging developed country parties to at least double their provision of climate finance to developing country parties by 2025 compared to 2019 levels.展开更多
The Arctic and Antarctica are important components of the Earth system,and the snow and ice over the polar regions make the interactions between the spheres there extremely sensitive to climate change,with an amplifyi...The Arctic and Antarctica are important components of the Earth system,and the snow and ice over the polar regions make the interactions between the spheres there extremely sensitive to climate change,with an amplifying effect on climate warming.Polar regions are the forefront of global climate and ecosystem changes.More than half of the identified climate tipping elements in our planet occur in the polar regions,with the losses of Arctic sea ice,Greenland ice sheet,permafrost,and western Antarctic ice sheet,being considered as tipping elements with global impacts that have already occurred(McKay et al.,2022).These changes in the polar regions affect the heat and material transfer,water and carbon cycles,as well as biological diversity at a global scale,closely related to global sustainable development.Therefore,polar regions are also considered the limiting factors in achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals(Li et al.,2025).展开更多
The accelerated pace of natural and human-driven climate change presents profound challenges for Earth's systems.Oceans and ice sheets are critical regulators of climate systems,functioning as carbon sinks and the...The accelerated pace of natural and human-driven climate change presents profound challenges for Earth's systems.Oceans and ice sheets are critical regulators of climate systems,functioning as carbon sinks and thermal reservoirs.However,they are increasingly vulnerable to warming and greenhouse gas emissions.展开更多
Climate change has well-documented psychological consequences for society.However,the emotional experiences of frontline conservation professionals remain underexplored.As key knowledge producers and participants in d...Climate change has well-documented psychological consequences for society.However,the emotional experiences of frontline conservation professionals remain underexplored.As key knowledge producers and participants in decision-making processes,conservation researchers play a crucial role in shaping and implementing adaptation and mitigation efforts,which are pivotal for effective climate planning.Understanding their emotional responses is essential for enhancing the success of these strategies and supporting climate action.This study aims to identify the most prevalent emotions experienced by conservation researchers regarding climate change across various countries and to examine the qualitative and quantitative factors shaping these emotions.An online survey was conducted with 362 participants from 98 academic and research institutions,utilising both closed and open-ended questions to capture demographic data,climate knowledge,stances on mitigation and adaptation,and emotional responses.Data analysis revealed that feelings of powerlessness,guilt,and concern were most frequently reported,driven by a profound sense of inability to halt climate change,frustration with perceived inaction by governments and industries,and self-assessed personal shortcomings.Age and stances on climate adaptation were identified as primary factors influencing emotional responses,particularly among individuals aged 20–50 and 61–70,with opposition to adaptation correlating with stronger emotional reactions.Demographic factors such as region,place of residence,and mitigation stances played a minor role.These findings provide valuable insights into the psychological well-being of conservation researchers related to climate change.展开更多
Forests play a critical role in mitigating cli-mate change by sequestering carbon,yet their responses to environmental shifts remain complex and multifaceted.This special issue,“Tree Rings,Forest Carbon Sink,and Clim...Forests play a critical role in mitigating cli-mate change by sequestering carbon,yet their responses to environmental shifts remain complex and multifaceted.This special issue,“Tree Rings,Forest Carbon Sink,and Climate Change,”compiles 41 interdisciplinary studies exploring forest-climate interactions through dendrochro-nological and ecological approaches.It addresses climate reconstruction(e.g.,temperature,precipitation,isotopes)using tree-ring proxies,species-specific and age-dependent growth responses to warming and drought,anatomical adap-tations,and methodological innovations in isotope analysis and multi-proxy integration.Key findings reveal ENSO/AMO modulation of historical climates,elevation-and latitude-driven variability in tree resilience,contrasting carbon dynamics under stress,and projected habitat shifts for vulnerable species.The issue underscores forests’dual role as climate archives and carbon regulators,offering insights for adaptive management and nature-based climate solutions.Contributions bridge micro-scale physiological processes to macro-scale ecological modeling,advancing sustainable strategies amid global environmental challenges.展开更多
Given the reality of climate-driven migration,the net effectiveness of existing spatially fixed protected areas(PAs)to biodiversity conservation is expected to decline,while the potential of non-PA habitats(non-PAs,i....Given the reality of climate-driven migration,the net effectiveness of existing spatially fixed protected areas(PAs)to biodiversity conservation is expected to decline,while the potential of non-PA habitats(non-PAs,i.e.,natural,altered,or artificial ecosystems that are not formally designated as PAs)for biodiversity conservation is gaining attention.However,the contribution of non-PAs to biodiversity conservation remains poorly understood.With the aim of comprehensively assessing the effectiveness of non-PAs as transient refugia and steppingstones during future climate-change-induced migration of species in China,a six-metric integrated framework was applied and statistics of these metrics for PAs and non-PAs are compared.Results reveal that,a greater area of non-PAs has a low velocity of climate change(VoCC)compared to that of PAs,and can therefore serve as temporary refugia for species.The disappearing climate index(DCI)and novel climate index(NCI)results show that some 17%of the subdivided climate classes within the PAs have changed.However,the displacement index(DI)results imply that nearly half(48.98%)of the PAs need non-PAs to provide transient refugia for climate-driven migration of species in PAs.The higher ratio of effective steppingstones measured using the climate corridor score(CCS)and landscape current flow(LCF)further emphasizes that non-PAs play a more significant role as steppingstones for climate driven migration than do PAs in terms of both their structural and functional connectivity.Our research further demonstrates that a conservation approach that improves connectivity among PAs and considers Other Effective area-based Conservation Measures(OECMs)is essential for long-term biodiversity adaptation to climate change.展开更多
Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives ...Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.展开更多
Extreme temperature events have intensified across Jordan over the past 40 a,increasing risks to agriculture,water availability,urban infrastructure,and public health.The purpose of this study is to assess the long-te...Extreme temperature events have intensified across Jordan over the past 40 a,increasing risks to agriculture,water availability,urban infrastructure,and public health.The purpose of this study is to assess the long-term spatial trends and regime shifts in extreme temperature indicators across Jordan's climate zones to explore climate adaptation strategies.This study presents a high-resolution and spatially explicit assessment of thermal extremes using daily data from 1982 to 2024 across 45 grid-based study points in Jordan.Thirteen temperature indices,including percentile-based thresholds,duration metrics,and absolute extremes,were computed using RClimDex and analyzed across four Köppen climate zones:hot desert(BWh),hot semi-arid(BSh),cold desert(BWk),and Mediterranean(Csa)climates.The analysis confirmed a statistically significant warming trend:annual mean maximum temperatures increased by 2.198°C,while annual mean minimum temperatures rose by 2.035°C.Cold extremes have sharply declined,with cold days(TX10p)decreasing by 70.0%–80.0%,and the cold spell duration indicator(CSDI)dropping from 12.6 to 4.0 d/a,particularly in the BWk zone.Heat indices intensified across all zones,with warm days(TX90p)increasing by over 300.0%in BWh,warm nights(TN90p)rising by 38.1%,and the warm spell duration indicator(WSDI)extending fourfold,indicating prolonged exposure to heatwaves.Mean value of maximum temperature(TXx)reached 45.600°C in most arid areas,while minimum temperature(TNx)exceeded 31.600°C,highlighting increased nocturnal heat stress.Change-point analysis indicated that 1998 was a pivotal year,marking a structural transition in both cold and warm temperature indices.Subsequent intensifications after 2010 in TN90p,TNx,and mean of daily maximum temperature(Tmaxmean)reflected an ongoing trend toward sustained thermal extremes.In addition to time-series trends,the study employed network-based correlation analysis to explore the coherence among climate indices.Strong positive correlations were observed among TXx,TX90p,and mean of daily minimum temperature(Tminmean)(r≥0.94),as well as among TN90p,Tminmean,and TNx(r≥0.87),indicating a tightly clustered heat subsystem.Duration metrics like the WSDI showed a close alignment with percentile extremes(between WSDI and TX90p;r=0.88),suggesting integrated heatwave behavior.In contrast,cold indices(TX10p,TN90p,frost days,and CSDI)exhibited weak or negative correlations and displayed peripheral positioning in the climate network,indicating their limited role under a warming regime.Absolute extremes showed weak internal linkages,suggesting episodic rather than systemic response characteristics.This structural realignment indicated a shift from a previously balanced thermal profile to a heat-dominated climate system.Regional variations revealed that BWh and BSh were experiencing the steepest warming,while Csa was transitioning more slowly but was showing signs of reduced winter cooling and increased irrigation demands.The findings establish a robust climate baseline for Jordan and offer actionable insights for climate adaptation planning.Recommended measures include precision irrigation,the development of heat-resilient crops,improvements to urban cooling infrastructure,and early warning systems for thermal extremes.By integrating spatial climate zoning,regime shift analysis,and inter-index correlation structures,this study provides a replicable framework for monitoring climatic transformations and informing resilience strategies in arid and semi-arid areas.展开更多
In recent decades,large ensemble simulation(LENS)or super-large ensemble simulation(SLENS)experiments with climate models,including the simulation of both the historical and future climate,have been increasingly explo...In recent decades,large ensemble simulation(LENS)or super-large ensemble simulation(SLENS)experiments with climate models,including the simulation of both the historical and future climate,have been increasingly exploited in the fields of climate change,climate variability,climate projection,and beyond.This paper provides an overview of LENS in climate systems.It delves into its definition,initialization,significance,and scientific concerns.Additionally,its development history and relevant theories,methods,and primary fields of application are also reviewed.Conclusions obtained from single-model LENS can be more robust compared with those from ensemble simulations with smaller numbers of members.The interactions among model biases,forced responses,and internal variabilities,which serve as the added value in LENS,are highlighted.Finally,we put forward the future trajectory of LENS with climate or Earth system models(ESMs).Super-large ensemble simulation,high-resolution LENS,LENS employing ESMs,and combining LENS with artificial intelligence,will greatly promote the study of climate and related applications.展开更多
This study investigates the impacts of climate change on temperature and precipitation patterns across four governorates in southern Iraq—Basrah,Thi Qar,Al Muthanna,and Messan—using an inte-grated modeling framework...This study investigates the impacts of climate change on temperature and precipitation patterns across four governorates in southern Iraq—Basrah,Thi Qar,Al Muthanna,and Messan—using an inte-grated modeling framework that combines the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator(LARS-WG)with three CMIP5-based Global Climate Models(Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2-Earth System(HadGEM2-ES)),European Community Earth-System Model(EC-Earth),and Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 5(MIROC5).Projections were generated for three future time periods(2021–2040,2041–2060,and 2061–2080)under two Representative Concentration Pathways(RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).By integrating high-resolution climate simulations with localized drought risk analy-sis,this study provides a detailed outlook on climate change trends in the region.The novelty of this research lies in its high-resolution,station-level analysis and its integration of localized statistical downscal-ing techniques to enhance the spatial applicability of coarse GCM outputs.Model calibration and validation 2 were performed using historical climate data(1990–2020),resulting in high accuracy across all stations(R=0.91–0.99;RMSE=0.19–2.78),thus reinforcing the robustness of the projections.Results indicate a significant rise in average annual maximum and minimum temperatures,with increases ranging from 0.88°C to 3.68°C by the end of the century,particularly under the RCP8.5 scenario.Precipitation patterns exhibit pronounced interannual variability,with the highest predicted increases reaching up to 19.26 mm per season,depending on the model and location.These shifts suggest heightened vulnerability to drought and water scarcity,particularly in already arid regions such as Muthanna and Thi Qar.The findings under-score the urgent need for adaptive strategies in water resource management and agricultural planning,providing decision-makers with region-specific climate insights critical for sustainable development under changing climate conditions.展开更多
As the impact of climate change intensifies,climate migration(climate change-induced migration)has become a pressing global issue that requires effective adaptation strategies to lessen its effects.Therefore,this stud...As the impact of climate change intensifies,climate migration(climate change-induced migration)has become a pressing global issue that requires effective adaptation strategies to lessen its effects.Therefore,this study delved into the complex relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration with food insecurity serving as a mediating factor.We collected sample data through face-to-face interviews in Khorramabad City,Iran from February to May in 2023.Using the Structural Equation Modeling(SEM),we explored how food insecurity influences the relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration.The findings showed that while climate change adaptation strategies can boost community resilience,their success is closely tied to levels of food insecurity.About 78.72%of the surveyed households experienced certain levels of food insecurity,increasing the risk of displacement due to climate-related disasters.Climate change adaptation strategies including economic strategies,irrigation management strategies,organic-oriented strategies,sustainable development-oriented strategies,and crop variety management strategies played a significant role in reducing climate migration.Moreover,we found that climate change adaptation strategies not only impact food security,but also shape migration decisions.This research underscores the importance of an integrated approach that links climate change adaptation strategies,climate migration,and food insecurity.This study emphasizes the importance of food security for formulating sustainable adaptation strategies.展开更多
Enterprises are the primary entities responsible for the multi-governance of climate risks.Nevertheless,the obligations and duty performance systems for directors,as outlined in the new Company Law of the People’s Re...Enterprises are the primary entities responsible for the multi-governance of climate risks.Nevertheless,the obligations and duty performance systems for directors,as outlined in the new Company Law of the People’s Republic of China(the new Company Law),fall short of adequately addressing the internal demands necessary for effectively managing climate risks.Therefore,it is essential to enhance these systems by incorporating specific duties for directors related to climate issues.The accountability of directors for a company’s liability regarding damages caused by climate change is rooted in the evolving purpose of China’s Company Law,the directors’duty of diligence,and the practical demand for emission reduction.Pursuant to the directors’duties set forth by the Company Law,directors’climate responsibilities mainly include two aspects:diligence and loyalty.Diligence primarily involves the total or partial failure to consider and manage foreseeable significant climate risks.Loyalty pertains to the intentional neglect of significant climate-related risks or to decision-making that does not align with the principle of maximizing the company’s interests.To enforce directors’climate responsibilities,it is necessary to introduce provisions within the Company Law that address directors’duties to control climate risks and establish appropriate compensatory measures.Furthermore,developing evidence standards for directors’liability and overcoming the limitations associated with the objects of directors’fiduciary duties is crucial.In light of the“dual carbon”goals and the foreseeability of significant financial risks posed by climate change,directors are obliged to integrate climate change considerations into corporate strategy,supervision,and disclosure,thereby contributing to the restructure of the regulatory framework governing directors’responsibilities towards green and low-carbon transformation.展开更多
Understanding the impacts of climate change on the future growth of tree species is particularly important for conserving endemic species with limited geographic distributions,such as Serbian spruce(Picea omorika(Panc...Understanding the impacts of climate change on the future growth of tree species is particularly important for conserving endemic species with limited geographic distributions,such as Serbian spruce(Picea omorika(Pancic)Purk.).This study describes an approach to assessing the effects of future climate conditions on the growth and the implications for future management to conserve this endangered species on the IUCN Red List.To investigate the climate-growth relationship,age structure and diameter growth trends,we have sampled 231 trees across 11 locations at National Park"Tara"in western Serbia.The existence of heterogeneous age structures suggests that Serbian spruce poses considerable potential for continual regeneration in stands with open canopy.Conducted dendroclimatological analysis exhibits exceptional coherence in growth patterns within populations(Rxy 0.67–0.78),allowing the established climate-sensitive mixed-effect model to achieve conditional R^(c)^(2)=0.683.It is revealed that the radial increment of Serbian spruce is dominantly regulated by water deficit in the summer season.The rainfall amount during the spring is another meaningful climatic factor for growth trends,while minimal winter temperatures and previous autumn water balance show varying influences.Finally,the growth projections under climate change scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 foreseen reductions of up to one-third and almost half from the historical mean growth rate.The given estimations should be seen as a critical warning signal calling for immediate conversion from passive to active protection to preserve this unique species.展开更多
Climate change severely challenges our ecosystem and society,affecting urban residents’socioeconomic activities.Thus,assessing severe weather risk is crucial for evaluating urban sustainability;understanding trends,c...Climate change severely challenges our ecosystem and society,affecting urban residents’socioeconomic activities.Thus,assessing severe weather risk is crucial for evaluating urban sustainability;understanding trends,causes,and impacts on socioeconomic development;and supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal(SDG)13.Using meteorological data from 1980 to 2020,we investigate five disaster-causing severe weather events in China and construct a comprehensive index of extreme climate risk(CIECR)at the county,city,province,and national levels.The CIECR can identify high-risk regions and primary severe weather events and provide early warnings.We empirically test the impact of extreme climate risks on agricultural production,industrial structure,and labor employment.The results show high risks in Xinjiang,northern Inner Mongolia,and southern regions,with high temperatures,low temperatures,and high winds as the leading risks.At the national level,the extreme climate risk fluctuates,indicating climate warming.While risks reduce agricultural production and employment,they promote modern agriculture,industrial production,and urbanization.The novelty of the study lies in its development of the county-level CIECR,which can capture heterogeneity characteristics and provide microdata support for urban climate change research and efforts toward SDG 13.This study aids in mitigating climate risks;responding to climate change;and comprehensively analyzing the causes,trends,and impacts of extreme climate risks.展开更多
Climate change is significantly altering viticultural practices worldwide,with profound implications for the accumulation of polyphenolic compounds that determine wine’s sensory and health properties.This review summ...Climate change is significantly altering viticultural practices worldwide,with profound implications for the accumulation of polyphenolic compounds that determine wine’s sensory and health properties.This review summarizes the effects of climate change,particularly rising temperatures,shifting precipitation patterns,and altered light conditions-on polyphenol synthesis in Vitis amurensis(V.amurensis)grapes from Northeast China,the country’s highest-latitude wine region.Key findings reveal that:(1)Temperature increases accelerate phenological stages but differentially impact polyphenols,suppressing anthocyanins and flavonols while promoting tannins;(2)Precipitation variability induces water stress that can enhance anthocyanin content under moderate drought but reduce quality during extreme events;(3)Declining sunshine duration may limit polyphenol production,though certain cultivars(e.g.,Beibinghong)exhibit adaptability to low light conditions.The region’s unique climatic trends-stronger winter warming and reduced summer precipitation-paradoxically offer potential benefits by extending the growing season while minimizing heat stress during critical ripening periods.It is highlighted how V.amurensis,with its cold hardiness and naturally high polyphenol content(notably anthocyanins and resveratrol),could become increasingly valuable under climate change.However,strategic adaptation through cultivar selection,vineyard management,and stress-responsive breeding will be critical to maintain wine quality.This synthesis provides a framework for understanding climate-polyphenol dynamics in cool-climate viticulture and outlines research priorities to safeguard the future of Northeast China’s distinctive wine industry.展开更多
Climate change poses substantial challenges to agricultural productivity and sustainability,particularly in Mediterranean and Sub-Saharan Africa regions.Local smallholder farmers’adaptation strategies to climate chan...Climate change poses substantial challenges to agricultural productivity and sustainability,particularly in Mediterranean and Sub-Saharan Africa regions.Local smallholder farmers’adaptation strategies to climate change are crucial for mitigating these impacts.Therefore,this study investigated the socioeconomic factors influencing smallholder farmers’perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change in four countries(Morocco,Egypt,Italy,and Senegal)of Mediterranean and Sub-Saharan Africa regions using a binary logistic regression(BLR)model.The results indicated that educational level,farming experience,agricultural income,farm size,participation in agricultural workshops,and training in Good Agricultural Practices(GAPs)significantly impacted smallholder farmers’perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change(such as smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops).Higher educational level was linked to the greater possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops in Italy and Egypt,while gaps in rural education limited the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops in Morocco and Senegal.Farming experience and agricultural income also enhanced the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops,with notable variations across countries due to systemic barriers such as limited infrastructure in Senegal.Larger farm size and participation in agricultural workshops further improved the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops,particularly in Morocco and Egypt.The findings highlighted the importance of tailored interventions and policy measures to support smallholder farmers in effectively responding to the challenges of climate change under diverse agricultural contexts.By understanding the specific needs and circumstances of smallholder farmers in these countries,policymakers can develop more effective adaptation strategies to enhance agricultural resilience and sustainability under the context of climate change.展开更多
There is a need for more focus in understanding the economic benefits of Climate-Smart Agriculture(CSA)interventions,particularly in sub-Saharan Africa,where extreme climate events are significantly affecting agricult...There is a need for more focus in understanding the economic benefits of Climate-Smart Agriculture(CSA)interventions,particularly in sub-Saharan Africa,where extreme climate events are significantly affecting agriculture and rural livelihoods.This study used the Net Present Value(NPV),Internal Rate of Return(IRR),Benefit-Cost Ratio(BCR),and payback period to evaluate the economic viability of the adopted CSA interventions in the three villages(Doggoh,Jeffiri,and Wulling)of the dryland farming systems of northern Ghana,where CSA interventions were mostly practiced.Data were collected from 161 farm households by the questionnaire survey.The results showed that CSA interventions including livestock-crop integration,mixed cropping,crop rotation,nutrient integration,and tie ridging enhanced crop yield and the household income of smallholder farmers.The five CSA interventions selected by smallholders were in the following order of priority:livestock-crop integration(BCR=2.87),mixed cropping(BCR=2.54),crop rotation(BCR=2.24),nutrient integration(BCR=1.98),and tie ridging(BCR=1.42).Results further showed that livestock-crop integration was the most profitable CSA intervention even under a pessimistic assumption with a long payback period of 5.00 a.Moreover,this study indicated that the implementation of CSA interventions,on average,was relatively profitable and had a nominal financial risk for smallholder farmers.Understanding the economic viability of CSA interventions will help in decision-making process toward selecting the right CSA interventions for resilience development.展开更多
Agriculture extension and advisory services(AEAS)are integral to smart agricultural systems and play a pivotal role in supporting sustainable agricultural development.The study aimed to assess the role of AEAS in stre...Agriculture extension and advisory services(AEAS)are integral to smart agricultural systems and play a pivotal role in supporting sustainable agricultural development.The study aimed to assess the role of AEAS in strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system to enhance coastal agricultural sustainability.A mixed-methods study was conducted in the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh in 2023,which involved administering a structured questionnaire and conducing face-to-face interviews with 390 farmers.Perceived role index(PRI)was employed to assess the potential role of AEAS.To forecast the perceived role outcomes,the machine learning model was undertaken by utilizing suitable algorithms.Additionally,feature importance was calculated to underpin the significant factors of perceived role outcomes.The findings showed that coastal farming communities held a comprehensive understanding of the role of AEAS.Key roles included diffusion of agricultural innovations,acting as a bridge between farmers and research organizations,using demonstration techniques to educate farmers,training farmers on food storage,processing,and utilization,and promoting awareness and adoption of best practices.The machine learning model exposed a significant relationship between farmers’socio-economic characteristics and their perception behavior.The results identified that factors like innovativeness,awareness,training exposure,access to AEAS,and access to information significantly influenced how farmers perceived the efficacy of AEAS in promoting a smart coastal farming system.However,farmers confronted multiple constraints in receiving demand-driven services and maintaining coastal farm sustainability.These insights can guide concerned authorities and policy-makers in providing AEAS for the purpose of strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system,particularly with a special focus on capacity building programs and machine learning application.Moreover,the outcomes of this study can assist the authorities of similar coastal systems throughout the world to initiate potential strategies for enhancing region-specific agricultural sustainability.展开更多
文摘We examine possible funding sources for constructing Climate Change Haven Communities on a global basis. Areas of the planet that have the potential to house persons migrating to “safe havens” in their own or other countries will require the rapid construction of communities capable of supporting them, their families, businesses and farms. However, different political-economic conditions are found across the areas which can serve as locations for these Climate Change Haven Communities. We develop funding and construction strategies for the United States (free-market capitalism), France and Spain (European Union supported economies), and Taiwan region (state-directed economy). The proposals for the Taiwan region should also be applicable to the rest of China.
文摘The G20 Youth Summit(Y20)took place in Johannesburg,South Africa,from 18 to 23 August.Sun Ruoshui,a research assistant from the Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development,Tsinghua University,was appointed by the All-China Youth Federation to represent China in the discussions on Climate and Environmental Sustainability.Specialising in global climate governance,international climate negotiation and climate policy,Sun has previously served as a member of the Chinese delegation to the 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference(COP28)and 2024 Bonn Subsidiary Bodies Meeting.
文摘To address climate change and highlight its global nature,the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)was adopted for the first time in history within the UN framework on May 9,1992,clearly establishing the obligations of developed countries to take the lead in emission reduction and provide financial,technological,and capacity-building support to developing countries.Particularly since the 2015 Paris Agreement,successive UN climate conferences have placed high emphasis on financial and technological matters,with financial arrangements demonstrating an increasingly specific trend in recent years.The Glasgow Climate Pact adopted in 2021 urges developed country Parties to deliver on their commitment to the goal of providing USD 100 billion to developing country prties,while also urging developed country parties to at least double their provision of climate finance to developing country parties by 2025 compared to 2019 levels.
文摘The Arctic and Antarctica are important components of the Earth system,and the snow and ice over the polar regions make the interactions between the spheres there extremely sensitive to climate change,with an amplifying effect on climate warming.Polar regions are the forefront of global climate and ecosystem changes.More than half of the identified climate tipping elements in our planet occur in the polar regions,with the losses of Arctic sea ice,Greenland ice sheet,permafrost,and western Antarctic ice sheet,being considered as tipping elements with global impacts that have already occurred(McKay et al.,2022).These changes in the polar regions affect the heat and material transfer,water and carbon cycles,as well as biological diversity at a global scale,closely related to global sustainable development.Therefore,polar regions are also considered the limiting factors in achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals(Li et al.,2025).
文摘The accelerated pace of natural and human-driven climate change presents profound challenges for Earth's systems.Oceans and ice sheets are critical regulators of climate systems,functioning as carbon sinks and thermal reservoirs.However,they are increasingly vulnerable to warming and greenhouse gas emissions.
基金funded the Ecuadorian National Secretary of Higher Education,Science and Technology(SENESCYT),through the Scholarship Programme 2012.
文摘Climate change has well-documented psychological consequences for society.However,the emotional experiences of frontline conservation professionals remain underexplored.As key knowledge producers and participants in decision-making processes,conservation researchers play a crucial role in shaping and implementing adaptation and mitigation efforts,which are pivotal for effective climate planning.Understanding their emotional responses is essential for enhancing the success of these strategies and supporting climate action.This study aims to identify the most prevalent emotions experienced by conservation researchers regarding climate change across various countries and to examine the qualitative and quantitative factors shaping these emotions.An online survey was conducted with 362 participants from 98 academic and research institutions,utilising both closed and open-ended questions to capture demographic data,climate knowledge,stances on mitigation and adaptation,and emotional responses.Data analysis revealed that feelings of powerlessness,guilt,and concern were most frequently reported,driven by a profound sense of inability to halt climate change,frustration with perceived inaction by governments and industries,and self-assessed personal shortcomings.Age and stances on climate adaptation were identified as primary factors influencing emotional responses,particularly among individuals aged 20–50 and 61–70,with opposition to adaptation correlating with stronger emotional reactions.Demographic factors such as region,place of residence,and mitigation stances played a minor role.These findings provide valuable insights into the psychological well-being of conservation researchers related to climate change.
基金supported by the Outstanding Action Plan of Chinese Sci-tech Journals(Grant No.OAP-C-077).
文摘Forests play a critical role in mitigating cli-mate change by sequestering carbon,yet their responses to environmental shifts remain complex and multifaceted.This special issue,“Tree Rings,Forest Carbon Sink,and Climate Change,”compiles 41 interdisciplinary studies exploring forest-climate interactions through dendrochro-nological and ecological approaches.It addresses climate reconstruction(e.g.,temperature,precipitation,isotopes)using tree-ring proxies,species-specific and age-dependent growth responses to warming and drought,anatomical adap-tations,and methodological innovations in isotope analysis and multi-proxy integration.Key findings reveal ENSO/AMO modulation of historical climates,elevation-and latitude-driven variability in tree resilience,contrasting carbon dynamics under stress,and projected habitat shifts for vulnerable species.The issue underscores forests’dual role as climate archives and carbon regulators,offering insights for adaptive management and nature-based climate solutions.Contributions bridge micro-scale physiological processes to macro-scale ecological modeling,advancing sustainable strategies amid global environmental challenges.
基金financially supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grants No.2022YFC3802604,2022YFF1303102)the Global Engagement for Strategic Partnership project of Nanjing University.
文摘Given the reality of climate-driven migration,the net effectiveness of existing spatially fixed protected areas(PAs)to biodiversity conservation is expected to decline,while the potential of non-PA habitats(non-PAs,i.e.,natural,altered,or artificial ecosystems that are not formally designated as PAs)for biodiversity conservation is gaining attention.However,the contribution of non-PAs to biodiversity conservation remains poorly understood.With the aim of comprehensively assessing the effectiveness of non-PAs as transient refugia and steppingstones during future climate-change-induced migration of species in China,a six-metric integrated framework was applied and statistics of these metrics for PAs and non-PAs are compared.Results reveal that,a greater area of non-PAs has a low velocity of climate change(VoCC)compared to that of PAs,and can therefore serve as temporary refugia for species.The disappearing climate index(DCI)and novel climate index(NCI)results show that some 17%of the subdivided climate classes within the PAs have changed.However,the displacement index(DI)results imply that nearly half(48.98%)of the PAs need non-PAs to provide transient refugia for climate-driven migration of species in PAs.The higher ratio of effective steppingstones measured using the climate corridor score(CCS)and landscape current flow(LCF)further emphasizes that non-PAs play a more significant role as steppingstones for climate driven migration than do PAs in terms of both their structural and functional connectivity.Our research further demonstrates that a conservation approach that improves connectivity among PAs and considers Other Effective area-based Conservation Measures(OECMs)is essential for long-term biodiversity adaptation to climate change.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2342208)support from NSF/Climate Dynamics Award#2025057。
文摘Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.
文摘Extreme temperature events have intensified across Jordan over the past 40 a,increasing risks to agriculture,water availability,urban infrastructure,and public health.The purpose of this study is to assess the long-term spatial trends and regime shifts in extreme temperature indicators across Jordan's climate zones to explore climate adaptation strategies.This study presents a high-resolution and spatially explicit assessment of thermal extremes using daily data from 1982 to 2024 across 45 grid-based study points in Jordan.Thirteen temperature indices,including percentile-based thresholds,duration metrics,and absolute extremes,were computed using RClimDex and analyzed across four Köppen climate zones:hot desert(BWh),hot semi-arid(BSh),cold desert(BWk),and Mediterranean(Csa)climates.The analysis confirmed a statistically significant warming trend:annual mean maximum temperatures increased by 2.198°C,while annual mean minimum temperatures rose by 2.035°C.Cold extremes have sharply declined,with cold days(TX10p)decreasing by 70.0%–80.0%,and the cold spell duration indicator(CSDI)dropping from 12.6 to 4.0 d/a,particularly in the BWk zone.Heat indices intensified across all zones,with warm days(TX90p)increasing by over 300.0%in BWh,warm nights(TN90p)rising by 38.1%,and the warm spell duration indicator(WSDI)extending fourfold,indicating prolonged exposure to heatwaves.Mean value of maximum temperature(TXx)reached 45.600°C in most arid areas,while minimum temperature(TNx)exceeded 31.600°C,highlighting increased nocturnal heat stress.Change-point analysis indicated that 1998 was a pivotal year,marking a structural transition in both cold and warm temperature indices.Subsequent intensifications after 2010 in TN90p,TNx,and mean of daily maximum temperature(Tmaxmean)reflected an ongoing trend toward sustained thermal extremes.In addition to time-series trends,the study employed network-based correlation analysis to explore the coherence among climate indices.Strong positive correlations were observed among TXx,TX90p,and mean of daily minimum temperature(Tminmean)(r≥0.94),as well as among TN90p,Tminmean,and TNx(r≥0.87),indicating a tightly clustered heat subsystem.Duration metrics like the WSDI showed a close alignment with percentile extremes(between WSDI and TX90p;r=0.88),suggesting integrated heatwave behavior.In contrast,cold indices(TX10p,TN90p,frost days,and CSDI)exhibited weak or negative correlations and displayed peripheral positioning in the climate network,indicating their limited role under a warming regime.Absolute extremes showed weak internal linkages,suggesting episodic rather than systemic response characteristics.This structural realignment indicated a shift from a previously balanced thermal profile to a heat-dominated climate system.Regional variations revealed that BWh and BSh were experiencing the steepest warming,while Csa was transitioning more slowly but was showing signs of reduced winter cooling and increased irrigation demands.The findings establish a robust climate baseline for Jordan and offer actionable insights for climate adaptation planning.Recommended measures include precision irrigation,the development of heat-resilient crops,improvements to urban cooling infrastructure,and early warning systems for thermal extremes.By integrating spatial climate zoning,regime shift analysis,and inter-index correlation structures,this study provides a replicable framework for monitoring climatic transformations and informing resilience strategies in arid and semi-arid areas.
基金This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2342228)the National Key Program for Developing Basic Sciences(Grant No.2020YFA0608902)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.92358302,and 42242018)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDB0500303).
文摘In recent decades,large ensemble simulation(LENS)or super-large ensemble simulation(SLENS)experiments with climate models,including the simulation of both the historical and future climate,have been increasingly exploited in the fields of climate change,climate variability,climate projection,and beyond.This paper provides an overview of LENS in climate systems.It delves into its definition,initialization,significance,and scientific concerns.Additionally,its development history and relevant theories,methods,and primary fields of application are also reviewed.Conclusions obtained from single-model LENS can be more robust compared with those from ensemble simulations with smaller numbers of members.The interactions among model biases,forced responses,and internal variabilities,which serve as the added value in LENS,are highlighted.Finally,we put forward the future trajectory of LENS with climate or Earth system models(ESMs).Super-large ensemble simulation,high-resolution LENS,LENS employing ESMs,and combining LENS with artificial intelligence,will greatly promote the study of climate and related applications.
文摘This study investigates the impacts of climate change on temperature and precipitation patterns across four governorates in southern Iraq—Basrah,Thi Qar,Al Muthanna,and Messan—using an inte-grated modeling framework that combines the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator(LARS-WG)with three CMIP5-based Global Climate Models(Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2-Earth System(HadGEM2-ES)),European Community Earth-System Model(EC-Earth),and Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 5(MIROC5).Projections were generated for three future time periods(2021–2040,2041–2060,and 2061–2080)under two Representative Concentration Pathways(RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).By integrating high-resolution climate simulations with localized drought risk analy-sis,this study provides a detailed outlook on climate change trends in the region.The novelty of this research lies in its high-resolution,station-level analysis and its integration of localized statistical downscal-ing techniques to enhance the spatial applicability of coarse GCM outputs.Model calibration and validation 2 were performed using historical climate data(1990–2020),resulting in high accuracy across all stations(R=0.91–0.99;RMSE=0.19–2.78),thus reinforcing the robustness of the projections.Results indicate a significant rise in average annual maximum and minimum temperatures,with increases ranging from 0.88°C to 3.68°C by the end of the century,particularly under the RCP8.5 scenario.Precipitation patterns exhibit pronounced interannual variability,with the highest predicted increases reaching up to 19.26 mm per season,depending on the model and location.These shifts suggest heightened vulnerability to drought and water scarcity,particularly in already arid regions such as Muthanna and Thi Qar.The findings under-score the urgent need for adaptive strategies in water resource management and agricultural planning,providing decision-makers with region-specific climate insights critical for sustainable development under changing climate conditions.
基金support provided by the Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development,Faculty of Agriculture,Lorestan University,Iran.
文摘As the impact of climate change intensifies,climate migration(climate change-induced migration)has become a pressing global issue that requires effective adaptation strategies to lessen its effects.Therefore,this study delved into the complex relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration with food insecurity serving as a mediating factor.We collected sample data through face-to-face interviews in Khorramabad City,Iran from February to May in 2023.Using the Structural Equation Modeling(SEM),we explored how food insecurity influences the relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration.The findings showed that while climate change adaptation strategies can boost community resilience,their success is closely tied to levels of food insecurity.About 78.72%of the surveyed households experienced certain levels of food insecurity,increasing the risk of displacement due to climate-related disasters.Climate change adaptation strategies including economic strategies,irrigation management strategies,organic-oriented strategies,sustainable development-oriented strategies,and crop variety management strategies played a significant role in reducing climate migration.Moreover,we found that climate change adaptation strategies not only impact food security,but also shape migration decisions.This research underscores the importance of an integrated approach that links climate change adaptation strategies,climate migration,and food insecurity.This study emphasizes the importance of food security for formulating sustainable adaptation strategies.
基金funded by“Research on the Implementation and Compliance Mechanism of the Paris Agreement under the New Situation of International Climate Governance”(18SFB3047)a Young and Middle-aged Scholar Project of the Ministry of Justice.
文摘Enterprises are the primary entities responsible for the multi-governance of climate risks.Nevertheless,the obligations and duty performance systems for directors,as outlined in the new Company Law of the People’s Republic of China(the new Company Law),fall short of adequately addressing the internal demands necessary for effectively managing climate risks.Therefore,it is essential to enhance these systems by incorporating specific duties for directors related to climate issues.The accountability of directors for a company’s liability regarding damages caused by climate change is rooted in the evolving purpose of China’s Company Law,the directors’duty of diligence,and the practical demand for emission reduction.Pursuant to the directors’duties set forth by the Company Law,directors’climate responsibilities mainly include two aspects:diligence and loyalty.Diligence primarily involves the total or partial failure to consider and manage foreseeable significant climate risks.Loyalty pertains to the intentional neglect of significant climate-related risks or to decision-making that does not align with the principle of maximizing the company’s interests.To enforce directors’climate responsibilities,it is necessary to introduce provisions within the Company Law that address directors’duties to control climate risks and establish appropriate compensatory measures.Furthermore,developing evidence standards for directors’liability and overcoming the limitations associated with the objects of directors’fiduciary duties is crucial.In light of the“dual carbon”goals and the foreseeability of significant financial risks posed by climate change,directors are obliged to integrate climate change considerations into corporate strategy,supervision,and disclosure,thereby contributing to the restructure of the regulatory framework governing directors’responsibilities towards green and low-carbon transformation.
基金supported by the perennial project activities financed by National Park“Tara”(grants no.1159&1344)The research engagement of M.K.and B.S.was supported by the Ministry of Education,Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia within the framework of the program technological development(grant no.200169)+1 种基金The work of M.K.was also supported by the Science Fond of the Republic of Serbia,grant no.6686EO and in situ based information framework to support generating Carbon Credits in forestry-ForestCO2。
文摘Understanding the impacts of climate change on the future growth of tree species is particularly important for conserving endemic species with limited geographic distributions,such as Serbian spruce(Picea omorika(Pancic)Purk.).This study describes an approach to assessing the effects of future climate conditions on the growth and the implications for future management to conserve this endangered species on the IUCN Red List.To investigate the climate-growth relationship,age structure and diameter growth trends,we have sampled 231 trees across 11 locations at National Park"Tara"in western Serbia.The existence of heterogeneous age structures suggests that Serbian spruce poses considerable potential for continual regeneration in stands with open canopy.Conducted dendroclimatological analysis exhibits exceptional coherence in growth patterns within populations(Rxy 0.67–0.78),allowing the established climate-sensitive mixed-effect model to achieve conditional R^(c)^(2)=0.683.It is revealed that the radial increment of Serbian spruce is dominantly regulated by water deficit in the summer season.The rainfall amount during the spring is another meaningful climatic factor for growth trends,while minimal winter temperatures and previous autumn water balance show varying influences.Finally,the growth projections under climate change scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 foreseen reductions of up to one-third and almost half from the historical mean growth rate.The given estimations should be seen as a critical warning signal calling for immediate conversion from passive to active protection to preserve this unique species.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China under the theme“Construction of a data representation framework for sustainable development indicators”[Grant No.2022YFC3802903-01]the National Natural Science Foundation of China“An economic theory based on the new production function in carbon neutrality”[Grant No.72250064]the National Natural Science Foundation of China“Macroeconomics”[Grant No.72122011].
文摘Climate change severely challenges our ecosystem and society,affecting urban residents’socioeconomic activities.Thus,assessing severe weather risk is crucial for evaluating urban sustainability;understanding trends,causes,and impacts on socioeconomic development;and supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal(SDG)13.Using meteorological data from 1980 to 2020,we investigate five disaster-causing severe weather events in China and construct a comprehensive index of extreme climate risk(CIECR)at the county,city,province,and national levels.The CIECR can identify high-risk regions and primary severe weather events and provide early warnings.We empirically test the impact of extreme climate risks on agricultural production,industrial structure,and labor employment.The results show high risks in Xinjiang,northern Inner Mongolia,and southern regions,with high temperatures,low temperatures,and high winds as the leading risks.At the national level,the extreme climate risk fluctuates,indicating climate warming.While risks reduce agricultural production and employment,they promote modern agriculture,industrial production,and urbanization.The novelty of the study lies in its development of the county-level CIECR,which can capture heterogeneity characteristics and provide microdata support for urban climate change research and efforts toward SDG 13.This study aids in mitigating climate risks;responding to climate change;and comprehensively analyzing the causes,trends,and impacts of extreme climate risks.
文摘Climate change is significantly altering viticultural practices worldwide,with profound implications for the accumulation of polyphenolic compounds that determine wine’s sensory and health properties.This review summarizes the effects of climate change,particularly rising temperatures,shifting precipitation patterns,and altered light conditions-on polyphenol synthesis in Vitis amurensis(V.amurensis)grapes from Northeast China,the country’s highest-latitude wine region.Key findings reveal that:(1)Temperature increases accelerate phenological stages but differentially impact polyphenols,suppressing anthocyanins and flavonols while promoting tannins;(2)Precipitation variability induces water stress that can enhance anthocyanin content under moderate drought but reduce quality during extreme events;(3)Declining sunshine duration may limit polyphenol production,though certain cultivars(e.g.,Beibinghong)exhibit adaptability to low light conditions.The region’s unique climatic trends-stronger winter warming and reduced summer precipitation-paradoxically offer potential benefits by extending the growing season while minimizing heat stress during critical ripening periods.It is highlighted how V.amurensis,with its cold hardiness and naturally high polyphenol content(notably anthocyanins and resveratrol),could become increasingly valuable under climate change.However,strategic adaptation through cultivar selection,vineyard management,and stress-responsive breeding will be critical to maintain wine quality.This synthesis provides a framework for understanding climate-polyphenol dynamics in cool-climate viticulture and outlines research priorities to safeguard the future of Northeast China’s distinctive wine industry.
基金an integral component of the TRUSTFARM Project,supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programThe TRUSTFARM Project was carried out under the European Research Area Network Cofund on Food Systems and Climate(ERA-NET FOSC,862555)+1 种基金built upon and supported by the experience from the Joint Programming Initiative on Agriculture,Food Security&Climate Change(FACCE-JPI)the European Research Area Network Cofund on Long-term Europe-Africa Partnership on Agricultural Research for Development(LEAP-Agri).
文摘Climate change poses substantial challenges to agricultural productivity and sustainability,particularly in Mediterranean and Sub-Saharan Africa regions.Local smallholder farmers’adaptation strategies to climate change are crucial for mitigating these impacts.Therefore,this study investigated the socioeconomic factors influencing smallholder farmers’perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change in four countries(Morocco,Egypt,Italy,and Senegal)of Mediterranean and Sub-Saharan Africa regions using a binary logistic regression(BLR)model.The results indicated that educational level,farming experience,agricultural income,farm size,participation in agricultural workshops,and training in Good Agricultural Practices(GAPs)significantly impacted smallholder farmers’perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change(such as smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops).Higher educational level was linked to the greater possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops in Italy and Egypt,while gaps in rural education limited the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops in Morocco and Senegal.Farming experience and agricultural income also enhanced the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops,with notable variations across countries due to systemic barriers such as limited infrastructure in Senegal.Larger farm size and participation in agricultural workshops further improved the possibility of smallholder farmers adopting drought-tolerant crops,particularly in Morocco and Egypt.The findings highlighted the importance of tailored interventions and policy measures to support smallholder farmers in effectively responding to the challenges of climate change under diverse agricultural contexts.By understanding the specific needs and circumstances of smallholder farmers in these countries,policymakers can develop more effective adaptation strategies to enhance agricultural resilience and sustainability under the context of climate change.
文摘There is a need for more focus in understanding the economic benefits of Climate-Smart Agriculture(CSA)interventions,particularly in sub-Saharan Africa,where extreme climate events are significantly affecting agriculture and rural livelihoods.This study used the Net Present Value(NPV),Internal Rate of Return(IRR),Benefit-Cost Ratio(BCR),and payback period to evaluate the economic viability of the adopted CSA interventions in the three villages(Doggoh,Jeffiri,and Wulling)of the dryland farming systems of northern Ghana,where CSA interventions were mostly practiced.Data were collected from 161 farm households by the questionnaire survey.The results showed that CSA interventions including livestock-crop integration,mixed cropping,crop rotation,nutrient integration,and tie ridging enhanced crop yield and the household income of smallholder farmers.The five CSA interventions selected by smallholders were in the following order of priority:livestock-crop integration(BCR=2.87),mixed cropping(BCR=2.54),crop rotation(BCR=2.24),nutrient integration(BCR=1.98),and tie ridging(BCR=1.42).Results further showed that livestock-crop integration was the most profitable CSA intervention even under a pessimistic assumption with a long payback period of 5.00 a.Moreover,this study indicated that the implementation of CSA interventions,on average,was relatively profitable and had a nominal financial risk for smallholder farmers.Understanding the economic viability of CSA interventions will help in decision-making process toward selecting the right CSA interventions for resilience development.
基金the Science and Technology Fellowship Trust, Bangladesh
文摘Agriculture extension and advisory services(AEAS)are integral to smart agricultural systems and play a pivotal role in supporting sustainable agricultural development.The study aimed to assess the role of AEAS in strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system to enhance coastal agricultural sustainability.A mixed-methods study was conducted in the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh in 2023,which involved administering a structured questionnaire and conducing face-to-face interviews with 390 farmers.Perceived role index(PRI)was employed to assess the potential role of AEAS.To forecast the perceived role outcomes,the machine learning model was undertaken by utilizing suitable algorithms.Additionally,feature importance was calculated to underpin the significant factors of perceived role outcomes.The findings showed that coastal farming communities held a comprehensive understanding of the role of AEAS.Key roles included diffusion of agricultural innovations,acting as a bridge between farmers and research organizations,using demonstration techniques to educate farmers,training farmers on food storage,processing,and utilization,and promoting awareness and adoption of best practices.The machine learning model exposed a significant relationship between farmers’socio-economic characteristics and their perception behavior.The results identified that factors like innovativeness,awareness,training exposure,access to AEAS,and access to information significantly influenced how farmers perceived the efficacy of AEAS in promoting a smart coastal farming system.However,farmers confronted multiple constraints in receiving demand-driven services and maintaining coastal farm sustainability.These insights can guide concerned authorities and policy-makers in providing AEAS for the purpose of strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system,particularly with a special focus on capacity building programs and machine learning application.Moreover,the outcomes of this study can assist the authorities of similar coastal systems throughout the world to initiate potential strategies for enhancing region-specific agricultural sustainability.
