In the era of intelligent economy, the click-through rate(CTR) prediction system can evaluate massive service information based on user historical information, and screen out the products that are most likely to be fa...In the era of intelligent economy, the click-through rate(CTR) prediction system can evaluate massive service information based on user historical information, and screen out the products that are most likely to be favored by users, thus realizing customized push of information and achieve the ultimate goal of improving economic benefits. Sequence modeling is one of the main research directions of CTR prediction models based on deep learning. The user's general interest hidden in the entire click history and the short-term interest hidden in the recent click behaviors have different influences on the CTR prediction results, which are highly important. In terms of capturing the user's general interest, existing models paid more attention to the relationships between item embedding vectors(point-level), while ignoring the relationships between elements in item embedding vectors(union-level). The Lambda layer-based Convolutional Sequence Embedding(LCSE) model proposed in this paper uses the Lambda layer to capture features from click history through weight distribution, and uses horizontal and vertical filters on this basis to learn the user's general preferences from union-level and point-level. In addition, we also incorporate the user's short-term preferences captured by the embedding-based convolutional model to further improve the prediction results. The AUC(Area Under Curve) values of the LCSE model on the datasets Electronic, Movie & TV and MovieLens are 0.870 7, 0.903 6 and 0.946 7, improving 0.45%, 0.36% and 0.07% over the Caser model, proving the effectiveness of our proposed model.展开更多
In recent years,deep learning has been widely applied in the fields of recommendation systems and click-through rate(CTR)prediction,and thus recommendation models incorporating deep learning have emerged.In addition,t...In recent years,deep learning has been widely applied in the fields of recommendation systems and click-through rate(CTR)prediction,and thus recommendation models incorporating deep learning have emerged.In addition,the design and implementation of recommendation models using information related to user behavior sequences is an important direction of current research in recommendation systems,and models calculate the likelihood of users clicking on target items based on their behavior sequence information.In order to explore the relationship between features,this paper improves and optimizes on the basis of deep interest network(DIN)proposed by Ali’s team.Based on the user behavioral sequences information,the attentional factorization machine(AFM)is integrated to obtain richer and more accurate behavioral sequence information.In addition,this paper designs a new way of calculating attention weights,which uses the relationship between the cosine similarity of any two vectors and the absolute value of their modal length difference to measure their relevance degree.Thus,a novel deep learning CTR prediction mode is proposed,that is,the CTR prediction network based on user behavior sequence and feature interactions deep interest and machines network(DIMN).We conduct extensive comparison experiments on three public datasets and one private music dataset,which are more recognized in the industry,and the results show that the DIMN obtains a better performance compared with the classical CTR prediction model.展开更多
BACKGROUND Heart rate variability(HRV)represents efferent vagus nerve activity,which is suggested to be related to fundamental mechanisms of tumorigenesis and to be a predictor of prognosis in various cancers.Therefor...BACKGROUND Heart rate variability(HRV)represents efferent vagus nerve activity,which is suggested to be related to fundamental mechanisms of tumorigenesis and to be a predictor of prognosis in various cancers.Therefore,this study hypothesized that HRV monitoring could predict perioperative complication(PC)in colorectal cancer(CRC)patients.AIM To investigate the prognostic value of HRV in hospitalized CRC patients.METHODS The observational studies included 87 patients who underwent CRC surgical procedures under enhanced recovery after surgery programs in a first-class hospital.The HRV parameters were compared between the PC group and the non PC(NPC)group from preoperative day 1 to postoperative day(Pod)3.In addition,inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators were also analyzed.RESULTS The complication rate was 14.9%.HRV was markedly abnormal after surgery,especially in the PC group.The frequency-domain parameters(including pNN50)and time-domain parameters[including high-frequency(HF)]of HRV were significantly different between the two groups postoperatively.The pNN50 was significantly greater at Pod1 in the PC group than that in the NPC group and returned to baseline at Pod2,suggesting that patients with complications exhibited autonomic nerve dysfunction in the early postoperative period.In the PC group,HFs were also enhanced from Pod1 and were significantly higher than in the NPC group;inflammatory biomarkers were significantly elevated at Pod2 and Pod3;the levels of nutritional indicators were significantly lower at Pod1 and Pod2;and the white blood cell count was slightly elevated at Pod3.CONCLUSION HRV is independently associated with postoperative complications in patients with CRC.Abnormal HRV could predicted an increased risk of postoperative complications in CRC patients.Continuous HRV could be used to monitor complications in patients with CRC during the perioperative period.展开更多
This study presents a machine learning-based method for predicting fragment velocity distribution in warhead fragmentation under explosive loading condition.The fragment resultant velocities are correlated with key de...This study presents a machine learning-based method for predicting fragment velocity distribution in warhead fragmentation under explosive loading condition.The fragment resultant velocities are correlated with key design parameters including casing dimensions and detonation positions.The paper details the finite element analysis for fragmentation,the characterizations of the dynamic hardening and fracture models,the generation of comprehensive datasets,and the training of the ANN model.The results show the influence of casing dimensions on fragment velocity distributions,with the tendencies indicating increased resultant velocity with reduced thickness,increased length and diameter.The model's predictive capability is demonstrated through the accurate predictions for both training and testing datasets,showing its potential for the real-time prediction of fragmentation performance.展开更多
This work constructed a machine learning(ML)model to predict the atmospheric corrosion rate of low-alloy steels(LAS).The material properties of LAS,environmental factors,and exposure time were used as the input,while ...This work constructed a machine learning(ML)model to predict the atmospheric corrosion rate of low-alloy steels(LAS).The material properties of LAS,environmental factors,and exposure time were used as the input,while the corrosion rate as the output.6 dif-ferent ML algorithms were used to construct the proposed model.Through optimization and filtering,the eXtreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost)model exhibited good corrosion rate prediction accuracy.The features of material properties were then transformed into atomic and physical features using the proposed property transformation approach,and the dominant descriptors that affected the corrosion rate were filtered using the recursive feature elimination(RFE)as well as XGBoost methods.The established ML models exhibited better predic-tion performance and generalization ability via property transformation descriptors.In addition,the SHapley additive exPlanations(SHAP)method was applied to analyze the relationship between the descriptors and corrosion rate.The results showed that the property transformation model could effectively help with analyzing the corrosion behavior,thereby significantly improving the generalization ability of corrosion rate prediction models.展开更多
The traditional prediction methods of element yield rate can be divided into experience method and data-driven method.But in practice,the experience formulae are found to work only under some specific conditions,and t...The traditional prediction methods of element yield rate can be divided into experience method and data-driven method.But in practice,the experience formulae are found to work only under some specific conditions,and the sample data that are used to establish data-driven models are always insufficient.Aiming at this problem,a combined method of genetic algorithm(GA) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) is proposed and applied to element yield rate prediction in ladle furnace(LF).In order to get rid of the over reliance upon data in data-driven method and act as a supplement of inadequate samples,smelting experience is integrated into prediction model as fuzzy empirical rules by using the improved ANFIS method.For facilitating the combination of fuzzy rules,feature construction method based on GA is used to reduce input dimension,and the selection operation in GA is improved to speed up the convergence rate and to avoid trapping into local optima.The experimental and practical testing results show that the proposed method is more accurate than other prediction methods.展开更多
The method of developing GM（1,1） model is extended on the basis of grey system theory. Conditions for the transfer function that improve smoothness of original data sequence and decrease the revert error are given. ...The method of developing GM（1,1） model is extended on the basis of grey system theory. Conditions for the transfer function that improve smoothness of original data sequence and decrease the revert error are given. The grey dynamic model is first combined with the transfer function to predict the leaching rate in heap leaching process. The results show that high prediction accuracy can be expected by using the proposed method. This provides a new approach to realize prediction and control of the future behavior of leaching kinetics.展开更多
Lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide and in China, has a 19.7% five-year survival rate due to terminal-stage diagnosis^([1-3]).Although low-dose computed tomography(CT) screening can reduce mortal...Lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide and in China, has a 19.7% five-year survival rate due to terminal-stage diagnosis^([1-3]).Although low-dose computed tomography(CT) screening can reduce mortality, high false positive rates can create economic and psychological burdens.展开更多
This paper introduces a slurry suspension settlement prediction model for cohesive sediment in a still water environment. With no sediment input and a still water environment condition, control forces between settling...This paper introduces a slurry suspension settlement prediction model for cohesive sediment in a still water environment. With no sediment input and a still water environment condition, control forces between settling particles are significantly different in the process of sedimentation rate attenuation, and the settlement process includes the free sedimentation stage, the log-linear attenuation stage, and the stable consolidation stage according to sedimentation rate attenuation. Settlement equations for sedimentation height and time were established based on sedimentation rate attenuation properties of different sedimentation stages. Finally, a slurry suspension settlement prediction model based on slurry parameters was set up with a foundation being that the model parameters were determined by the basic parameters of slurry. The results of the settlement prediction model show good agreement with those of the settlement column experiment and reflect the main characteristics of cohesive sediment. The model can be applied to the prediction of cohesive soil settlement in still water environments.展开更多
Rate of penetration(ROP) of a tunnel boring machine(TBM) in a rock environment is generally a key parameter for the successful accomplishment of a tunneling project. The objectives of this work are to compare the accu...Rate of penetration(ROP) of a tunnel boring machine(TBM) in a rock environment is generally a key parameter for the successful accomplishment of a tunneling project. The objectives of this work are to compare the accuracy of prediction models employing partial least squares(PLS) regression and support vector machine(SVM) regression technique for modeling the penetration rate of TBM. To develop the proposed models, the database that is composed of intact rock properties including uniaxial compressive strength(UCS), Brazilian tensile strength(BTS), and peak slope index(PSI), and also rock mass properties including distance between planes of weakness(DPW) and the alpha angle(α) are input as dependent variables and the measured ROP is chosen as an independent variable. Two hundred sets of data are collected from Queens Water Tunnel and Karaj-Tehran water transfer tunnel TBM project. The accuracy of the prediction models is measured by the coefficient of determination(R2) and root mean squares error(RMSE) between predicted and observed yield employing 10-fold cross-validation schemes. The R2 and RMSE of prediction are 0.8183 and 0.1807 for SVMR method, and 0.9999 and 0.0011 for PLS method, respectively. Comparison between the values of statistical parameters reveals the superiority of the PLSR model over SVMR one.展开更多
The reliability of electrical connectors has critical impact on electronic systems. It is usually characterized by failure rate prediction value according to standard MIL-HDBK-217(or GJB-299 C in Chinese) in engineeri...The reliability of electrical connectors has critical impact on electronic systems. It is usually characterized by failure rate prediction value according to standard MIL-HDBK-217(or GJB-299 C in Chinese) in engineering practice. Given to their limitations and mislead results, a new failure rate prediction models needs to be presented. The presented model aims at the mechanism of increase of film thickness which leads to the increase of contact resistance. The estimated failure rate value can be given at different environmental conditions,and some of the factors affecting the reliability are taken into account. Accelerated degradation test(ADT) was conducted on GJB599 III series electrical connector. The failure rate prediction model can be simply formed and convenient to calculate the expression of failure rate changing with time at various temperature and vibration conditions. This model gives an objective assessment in short time, which makes it convenient to be applied to the engineering.展开更多
An analytics method of predicting the annual variation rate (AVR) of global sea-level (GSL) is developed.Through the calculation by using the mean sea-level data collected from the tidal gauge stations over the world,...An analytics method of predicting the annual variation rate (AVR) of global sea-level (GSL) is developed.Through the calculation by using the mean sea-level data collected from the tidal gauge stations over the world, a GSL rise of 0. 15～0. 16 cm/a is obtained. The predicted values of AVR of GSL for the 21st century are presented. The authors' results have been compared to those reported by other scientists at home and abroad. The method proposedhere is more convenient and precise.展开更多
In recent times,financial globalization has drastically increased in different ways to improve the quality of services with advanced resources.The successful applications of bitcoin Blockchain(BC)techniques enable the...In recent times,financial globalization has drastically increased in different ways to improve the quality of services with advanced resources.The successful applications of bitcoin Blockchain(BC)techniques enable the stockholders to worry about the return and risk of financial products.The stockholders focused on the prediction of return rate and risk rate of financial products.Therefore,an automatic return rate bitcoin prediction model becomes essential for BC financial products.The newly designed machine learning(ML)and deep learning(DL)approaches pave the way for return rate predictive method.This study introduces a novel Jellyfish search optimization based extreme learning machine with autoencoder(JSO-ELMAE)for return rate prediction of BC financial products.The presented JSO-ELMAE model designs a new ELMAE model for predicting the return rate of financial products.Besides,the JSO algorithm is exploited to tune the parameters related to the ELMAE model which in turn boosts the classification results.The application of JSO technique assists in optimal parameter adjustment of the ELMAE model to predict the bitcoin return rates.The experimental validation of the JSO-ELMAE model was executed and the outcomes are inspected in many aspects.The experimental values demonstrated the enhanced performance of the JSO-ELMAE model over recent state of art approaches with minimal RMSE of 0.1562.展开更多
A model to predict photosynthetic carbon assimilation rate(A)with high accuracy is important for forecasting crop yield and productivity.Long short-term memory(LSTM),a neural network suitable for time-series data,enab...A model to predict photosynthetic carbon assimilation rate(A)with high accuracy is important for forecasting crop yield and productivity.Long short-term memory(LSTM),a neural network suitable for time-series data,enables prediction with high accuracy but requires mesophyll variables.In addition,for practical use,it is desirable to have a technique that can predict A from easily available information.In this study,we propose a BLSTM augmented LSTM(BALSTM)model,which utilizes bi-directional LSTM(BLSTM)to indirectly reproduce the mesophyll variables required for LSTM.The most significant feature of the proposed model is that its hybrid architecture uses only three relatively easy-to-collect external environmental variables—photosynthetic photon flux density(Q_(in)),ambient CO_(2) concentration(C_(a)),and temperature(T_(air))—to generate mesophyll CO_(2) concentration(C_(i))and stomatal conductance to water vapor(g_(sw))as intermediate outputs.Then,A is predicted by applying the obtained intermediate outputs to the learning model.Accordingly,in this study,1)BALSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))had a significantly higher A prediction accuracy than LSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))in case of using only Q_(in),C_(a),and T_(air);2)BALSTMC_(i),g_(sw),which had C_(i) and g_(sw) as intermediate products,had the highest A prediction accuracy compared with other candidates;and 3)for samples where LSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))had poor prediction accuracy,BALSTMC_(i),g_(sw)(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))clearly improved the results.However,it was found that incorrect predictions may be formed when certain factors are not reflected in the data(e.g.,timing,cultivar,and growth stage)or when the training data distribution that accounts for these factors differs from the predicted data distribution.Therefore,a robust model should be constructed in the future to improve the prediction accuracy of A by conducting gasexchange measurements(including a wide range of external environmental values)and by increasing the number of training data samples.展开更多
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between %HRmax and %vVO2max at constant efforts made at different intensities. In randomized order, males healthy subjects (Age: 25 ± 7 years, Weight: 70 ...The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between %HRmax and %vVO2max at constant efforts made at different intensities. In randomized order, males healthy subjects (Age: 25 ± 7 years, Weight: 70 ± 11 kg, VO2max: 55 ± 8 ml·kg–1·min–1) were divided into two groups, a trained one with more than 3 training sessions per week (n = 10) a moderately trained one with 3 drives or less per week (n = 15). The difference between the two groups corresponds to a time to exhaustion above and below 40 min at 80% vVO2max. All subjects performed 5 tests with a gradual increase in speed of 1 km·h–1 every 2 min and 4 constant speed tests at 60%, 70%, 80% and 90% VO2max. All test were performed at the same time of day (i.e., 18:00 h). The results of this study showed that eighteen collective regressions including different independent variables were developed to predict %HRmax. The individual equations developed, have r values between 0.974 and 0.993 and Syx, between 1.2 and 1.9 ml·kg–1·min–1, they are more accurate than the collective equations (one equation for all subjects) with r values between 0.81 to 0.89 and Syx, between 4.1 and 5.3 ml·kg–1·min–1. In conclusion, this study has demonstrated that the model of predictions of %HRmax from %vVO2max in triangular tests were not appropriate for rectangular efforts. From the equations developed, we find that the time to exhaustion at 90% vVO2max is the best predictor of level of endurance then the time limit to 80% vVO2max.展开更多
A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax depositi...A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.展开更多
A groundbreaking method is introduced to leverage machine learn-ing algorithms to revolutionize the prediction of success rates for science fiction films.In the captivating world of the film industry,extensive researc...A groundbreaking method is introduced to leverage machine learn-ing algorithms to revolutionize the prediction of success rates for science fiction films.In the captivating world of the film industry,extensive research and accurate forecasting are vital to anticipating a movie’s triumph prior to its debut.Our study aims to harness the power of available data to estimate a film’s early success rate.With the vast resources offered by the internet,we can access a plethora of movie-related information,including actors,directors,critic reviews,user reviews,ratings,writers,budgets,genres,Facebook likes,YouTube views for movie trailers,and Twitter followers.The first few weeks of a film’s release are crucial in determining its fate,and online reviews and film evaluations profoundly impact its opening-week earnings.Hence,our research employs advanced supervised machine learning techniques to predict a film’s triumph.The Internet Movie Database(IMDb)is a comprehensive data repository for nearly all movies.A robust predictive classification approach is developed by employing various machine learning algorithms,such as fine,medium,coarse,cosine,cubic,and weighted KNN.To determine the best model,the performance of each feature was evaluated based on composite metrics.Moreover,the significant influences of social media platforms were recognized including Twitter,Instagram,and Facebook on shaping individuals’opinions.A hybrid success rating prediction model is obtained by integrating the proposed prediction models with sentiment analysis from available platforms.The findings of this study demonstrate that the chosen algorithms offer more precise estimations,faster execution times,and higher accuracy rates when compared to previous research.By integrating the features of existing prediction models and social media sentiment analysis models,our proposed approach provides a remarkably accurate prediction of a movie’s success.This breakthrough can help movie producers and marketers anticipate a film’s triumph before its release,allowing them to tailor their promotional activities accordingly.Furthermore,the adopted research lays the foundation for developing even more accurate prediction models,considering the ever-increasing significance of social media platforms in shaping individ-uals’opinions.In conclusion,this study showcases the immense potential of machine learning algorithms in predicting the success rate of science fiction films,opening new avenues for the film industry.展开更多
We performed this meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive value of different parameters in the sperm retrieval rate （SRR） of microdissection testicular sperm extraction （TESE） in patients with nonobstructive azoo...We performed this meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive value of different parameters in the sperm retrieval rate （SRR） of microdissection testicular sperm extraction （TESE） in patients with nonobstructive azoospermia （NOA）. All relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and EBSCO. We chose three parameters to perform the meta-analysis： follicle-stimulating hormone （FSH）, testicular volume, and testicular histopathological findings which included three patterns： hypospermatogenesis （HS）, maturation arrest （MA）, and Sertoli-cell-only syndrome （SCOS）. If there was a threshold effect, only the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve （AUSROC） was calculated. Otherwise, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio （PLR）, negative likelihood ratio （NLR）, and the diagnostic odds ratio （DOR） were also calculated. Twenty-one articles were included in our study finally. There was a threshold effect among studies investigating FSH and SCOS. The AUSROCs of FSH, testicular volume, HS, MA, and SCOS were 0.6119, 0.6389, 0.6758, 0.5535, and 0.2763, respectively. The DORs of testicular volume, HS, and MA were 1.98, 16.49, and 1.26, respectively. The sensitivities of them were 0.80, 0.30, and 0.27, while the specificities of them were 0.35, 0.98, and 0.76, respectively. The PLRs of them were 1.49, 10.63, and 1.15, respectively. And NLRs were 0.73, 0.72, and 0.95, respectively. All the investigated factors in our study had limited predictive value. However, the histopathological findings were helpful to some extent. Most patients with HS could get sperm by microdissection TESE.展开更多
A pplication o f m echanical excavators is one o f th e m o st com m only used excavation m eth o d s because itcan bring th e p ro ject m ore productivity, accuracy and safety. A m ong th e m echanical excavators, ro...A pplication o f m echanical excavators is one o f th e m o st com m only used excavation m eth o d s because itcan bring th e p ro ject m ore productivity, accuracy and safety. A m ong th e m echanical excavators, roadhead ers are m echanical m iners w h ich have b een extensively u se d in tu n n elin g , m ining an d civil indu stries. Perform ance pred ictio n is an im p o rta n t issue for successful ro a d h e a d e r application andgenerally deals w ith m achine selection, p ro d u ctio n rate an d b it consu m p tio n . The m ain aim o f thisresearch is to investigate th e c u ttin g p erfo rm an ce （in stan tan eo u s c u ttin g rates （ICRs）） o f m ed iu m -d u tyro ad h ead ers by using artificial neural n etw o rk （ANN） approach. T here are d ifferent categories forANNs, b u t based o n train in g alg o rith m th e re are tw o m ain k in d s： supervised and u n su p erv ised . Them u lti-lay er p ercep tro n （MLP） an d K ohonen self-organizing feature m ap （KSOFM） are th e m o st w idelyused neu ral netw o rk s for supervised an d u n su p erv ised ones, respectively. For gaining this goal, ad atab ase w as prim arily provided from ro ad h e a d e rs＇ p erfo rm an ce an d geom echanical characteristics o frock form ations in tu n n els and d rift galleries in Tabas coal m ine, th e larg est an d th e only fullymech an ized coal m ine in Iran. T hen th e datab ase w as analyzed in o rd e r to yield th e m ost im p o rtan tfactor for ICR by using relatively im p o rta n t factor in w hich G arson eq u atio n w as utilized. The MLPn etw o rk w as train ed by 3 in p u t p ara m e te rs including rock m ass pro p erties, rock quality d esignation（RQD）, in tact rock p ro p erties such as uniaxial com pressive stre n g th （UCS） an d Brazilian ten sile stren g th（BTS）, and o n e o u tp u t p a ra m e te r （ICR）. In o rd e r to have m ore v alidation o n MLP o u tp u ts, KSOFM visualizationw as applied. The m ean square e rro r （MSE） an d regression coefficient （R ） o f MLP w e re found tobe 5.49 an d 0.97, respectively. M oreover, KSOFM n etw o rk has a m ap size o f 8 x 5 and final qu an tizatio nan d topographic erro rs w e re 0.383 an d 0.032, respectively. The results show th a t MLP neural n etw orkshave a strong capability to p red ict an d ev alu ate th e perfo rm an ce o f m ed iu m -d u ty ro ad h ead ers in coalm easu re rocks. Furtherm ore, it is concluded th a t KSOFM neural n etw o rk is an efficient w ay for u n d e rstand in g system beh av io r an d know ledge extraction. Finally, it is indicated th a t UCS has m ore influenceo n ICR b y applying th e b e st train ed MLP n etw o rk w eig h ts in G arson eq u atio n w h ich is also confirm ed byKSOFM.展开更多
A reliable and accurate prediction of the tunnel boring machine(TBM)performance can assist in minimizing the relevant risks of high capital costs and in scheduling tunneling projects.This research aims to develop six ...A reliable and accurate prediction of the tunnel boring machine(TBM)performance can assist in minimizing the relevant risks of high capital costs and in scheduling tunneling projects.This research aims to develop six hybrid models of extreme gradient boosting(XGB)which are optimized by gray wolf optimization(GWO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),social spider optimization(SSO),sine cosine algorithm(SCA),multi verse optimization(MVO)and moth flame optimization(MFO),for estimation of the TBM penetration rate(PR).To do this,a comprehensive database with 1286 data samples was established where seven parameters including the rock quality designation,the rock mass rating,Brazilian tensile strength(BTS),rock mass weathering,the uniaxial compressive strength(UCS),revolution per minute and trust force per cutter(TFC),were set as inputs and TBM PR was selected as model output.Together with the mentioned six hybrid models,four single models i.e.,artificial neural network,random forest regression,XGB and support vector regression were also built to estimate TBM PR for comparison purposes.These models were designed conducting several parametric studies on their most important parameters and then,their performance capacities were assessed through the use of root mean square error,coefficient of determination,mean absolute percentage error,and a10-index.Results of this study confirmed that the best predictive model of PR goes to the PSO-XGB technique with system error of(0.1453,and 0.1325),R^(2) of(0.951,and 0.951),mean absolute percentage error(4.0689,and 3.8115),and a10-index of(0.9348,and 0.9496)in training and testing phases,respectively.The developed hybrid PSO-XGB can be introduced as an accurate,powerful and applicable technique in the field of TBM performance prediction.By conducting sensitivity analysis,it was found that UCS,BTS and TFC have the deepest impacts on the TBM PR.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (62272214)。
文摘In the era of intelligent economy, the click-through rate(CTR) prediction system can evaluate massive service information based on user historical information, and screen out the products that are most likely to be favored by users, thus realizing customized push of information and achieve the ultimate goal of improving economic benefits. Sequence modeling is one of the main research directions of CTR prediction models based on deep learning. The user's general interest hidden in the entire click history and the short-term interest hidden in the recent click behaviors have different influences on the CTR prediction results, which are highly important. In terms of capturing the user's general interest, existing models paid more attention to the relationships between item embedding vectors(point-level), while ignoring the relationships between elements in item embedding vectors(union-level). The Lambda layer-based Convolutional Sequence Embedding(LCSE) model proposed in this paper uses the Lambda layer to capture features from click history through weight distribution, and uses horizontal and vertical filters on this basis to learn the user's general preferences from union-level and point-level. In addition, we also incorporate the user's short-term preferences captured by the embedding-based convolutional model to further improve the prediction results. The AUC(Area Under Curve) values of the LCSE model on the datasets Electronic, Movie & TV and MovieLens are 0.870 7, 0.903 6 and 0.946 7, improving 0.45%, 0.36% and 0.07% over the Caser model, proving the effectiveness of our proposed model.
文摘In recent years,deep learning has been widely applied in the fields of recommendation systems and click-through rate(CTR)prediction,and thus recommendation models incorporating deep learning have emerged.In addition,the design and implementation of recommendation models using information related to user behavior sequences is an important direction of current research in recommendation systems,and models calculate the likelihood of users clicking on target items based on their behavior sequence information.In order to explore the relationship between features,this paper improves and optimizes on the basis of deep interest network(DIN)proposed by Ali’s team.Based on the user behavioral sequences information,the attentional factorization machine(AFM)is integrated to obtain richer and more accurate behavioral sequence information.In addition,this paper designs a new way of calculating attention weights,which uses the relationship between the cosine similarity of any two vectors and the absolute value of their modal length difference to measure their relevance degree.Thus,a novel deep learning CTR prediction mode is proposed,that is,the CTR prediction network based on user behavior sequence and feature interactions deep interest and machines network(DIMN).We conduct extensive comparison experiments on three public datasets and one private music dataset,which are more recognized in the industry,and the results show that the DIMN obtains a better performance compared with the classical CTR prediction model.
基金Supported by The Natural Science Foundation of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine,No.XZR2021019The Outstanding Young Doctor Program of Jiangsu Province of Chinese Medicine,No.2023QB0140+1 种基金Project of National Clinical Research Base of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Jiangsu Province,No.JD2022SZ18The Natural Science Foundation of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine,No.KYCX21_1710.
文摘BACKGROUND Heart rate variability(HRV)represents efferent vagus nerve activity,which is suggested to be related to fundamental mechanisms of tumorigenesis and to be a predictor of prognosis in various cancers.Therefore,this study hypothesized that HRV monitoring could predict perioperative complication(PC)in colorectal cancer(CRC)patients.AIM To investigate the prognostic value of HRV in hospitalized CRC patients.METHODS The observational studies included 87 patients who underwent CRC surgical procedures under enhanced recovery after surgery programs in a first-class hospital.The HRV parameters were compared between the PC group and the non PC(NPC)group from preoperative day 1 to postoperative day(Pod)3.In addition,inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators were also analyzed.RESULTS The complication rate was 14.9%.HRV was markedly abnormal after surgery,especially in the PC group.The frequency-domain parameters(including pNN50)and time-domain parameters[including high-frequency(HF)]of HRV were significantly different between the two groups postoperatively.The pNN50 was significantly greater at Pod1 in the PC group than that in the NPC group and returned to baseline at Pod2,suggesting that patients with complications exhibited autonomic nerve dysfunction in the early postoperative period.In the PC group,HFs were also enhanced from Pod1 and were significantly higher than in the NPC group;inflammatory biomarkers were significantly elevated at Pod2 and Pod3;the levels of nutritional indicators were significantly lower at Pod1 and Pod2;and the white blood cell count was slightly elevated at Pod3.CONCLUSION HRV is independently associated with postoperative complications in patients with CRC.Abnormal HRV could predicted an increased risk of postoperative complications in CRC patients.Continuous HRV could be used to monitor complications in patients with CRC during the perioperative period.
基金supported by Poongsan-KAIST Future Research Center Projectthe fund support provided by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(Grant No.2023R1A2C2005661)。
文摘This study presents a machine learning-based method for predicting fragment velocity distribution in warhead fragmentation under explosive loading condition.The fragment resultant velocities are correlated with key design parameters including casing dimensions and detonation positions.The paper details the finite element analysis for fragmentation,the characterizations of the dynamic hardening and fracture models,the generation of comprehensive datasets,and the training of the ANN model.The results show the influence of casing dimensions on fragment velocity distributions,with the tendencies indicating increased resultant velocity with reduced thickness,increased length and diameter.The model's predictive capability is demonstrated through the accurate predictions for both training and testing datasets,showing its potential for the real-time prediction of fragmentation performance.
基金the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2021YFB3701705).
文摘This work constructed a machine learning(ML)model to predict the atmospheric corrosion rate of low-alloy steels(LAS).The material properties of LAS,environmental factors,and exposure time were used as the input,while the corrosion rate as the output.6 dif-ferent ML algorithms were used to construct the proposed model.Through optimization and filtering,the eXtreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost)model exhibited good corrosion rate prediction accuracy.The features of material properties were then transformed into atomic and physical features using the proposed property transformation approach,and the dominant descriptors that affected the corrosion rate were filtered using the recursive feature elimination(RFE)as well as XGBoost methods.The established ML models exhibited better predic-tion performance and generalization ability via property transformation descriptors.In addition,the SHapley additive exPlanations(SHAP)method was applied to analyze the relationship between the descriptors and corrosion rate.The results showed that the property transformation model could effectively help with analyzing the corrosion behavior,thereby significantly improving the generalization ability of corrosion rate prediction models.
基金Projects(2007AA041401,2007AA04Z194) supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China
文摘The traditional prediction methods of element yield rate can be divided into experience method and data-driven method.But in practice,the experience formulae are found to work only under some specific conditions,and the sample data that are used to establish data-driven models are always insufficient.Aiming at this problem,a combined method of genetic algorithm(GA) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) is proposed and applied to element yield rate prediction in ladle furnace(LF).In order to get rid of the over reliance upon data in data-driven method and act as a supplement of inadequate samples,smelting experience is integrated into prediction model as fuzzy empirical rules by using the improved ANFIS method.For facilitating the combination of fuzzy rules,feature construction method based on GA is used to reduce input dimension,and the selection operation in GA is improved to speed up the convergence rate and to avoid trapping into local optima.The experimental and practical testing results show that the proposed method is more accurate than other prediction methods.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50574099)the National Science Foundation for Innovative Research Group(No.50321402)and the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(No.06JJ30024)
文摘The method of developing GM（1,1） model is extended on the basis of grey system theory. Conditions for the transfer function that improve smoothness of original data sequence and decrease the revert error are given. The grey dynamic model is first combined with the transfer function to predict the leaching rate in heap leaching process. The results show that high prediction accuracy can be expected by using the proposed method. This provides a new approach to realize prediction and control of the future behavior of leaching kinetics.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant numbers 82204127 and 72204172)。
文摘Lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide and in China, has a 19.7% five-year survival rate due to terminal-stage diagnosis^([1-3]).Although low-dose computed tomography(CT) screening can reduce mortality, high false positive rates can create economic and psychological burdens.
基金supported by the Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No. 2009B13514)the Doctoral Fund of the Ministry of Education of China (Grant No. 20100094110002)
文摘This paper introduces a slurry suspension settlement prediction model for cohesive sediment in a still water environment. With no sediment input and a still water environment condition, control forces between settling particles are significantly different in the process of sedimentation rate attenuation, and the settlement process includes the free sedimentation stage, the log-linear attenuation stage, and the stable consolidation stage according to sedimentation rate attenuation. Settlement equations for sedimentation height and time were established based on sedimentation rate attenuation properties of different sedimentation stages. Finally, a slurry suspension settlement prediction model based on slurry parameters was set up with a foundation being that the model parameters were determined by the basic parameters of slurry. The results of the settlement prediction model show good agreement with those of the settlement column experiment and reflect the main characteristics of cohesive sediment. The model can be applied to the prediction of cohesive soil settlement in still water environments.
基金Project(2010CB732004)supported by the National Basic Research Program of ChinaProjects(50934006,41272304)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Rate of penetration(ROP) of a tunnel boring machine(TBM) in a rock environment is generally a key parameter for the successful accomplishment of a tunneling project. The objectives of this work are to compare the accuracy of prediction models employing partial least squares(PLS) regression and support vector machine(SVM) regression technique for modeling the penetration rate of TBM. To develop the proposed models, the database that is composed of intact rock properties including uniaxial compressive strength(UCS), Brazilian tensile strength(BTS), and peak slope index(PSI), and also rock mass properties including distance between planes of weakness(DPW) and the alpha angle(α) are input as dependent variables and the measured ROP is chosen as an independent variable. Two hundred sets of data are collected from Queens Water Tunnel and Karaj-Tehran water transfer tunnel TBM project. The accuracy of the prediction models is measured by the coefficient of determination(R2) and root mean squares error(RMSE) between predicted and observed yield employing 10-fold cross-validation schemes. The R2 and RMSE of prediction are 0.8183 and 0.1807 for SVMR method, and 0.9999 and 0.0011 for PLS method, respectively. Comparison between the values of statistical parameters reveals the superiority of the PLSR model over SVMR one.
文摘The reliability of electrical connectors has critical impact on electronic systems. It is usually characterized by failure rate prediction value according to standard MIL-HDBK-217(or GJB-299 C in Chinese) in engineering practice. Given to their limitations and mislead results, a new failure rate prediction models needs to be presented. The presented model aims at the mechanism of increase of film thickness which leads to the increase of contact resistance. The estimated failure rate value can be given at different environmental conditions,and some of the factors affecting the reliability are taken into account. Accelerated degradation test(ADT) was conducted on GJB599 III series electrical connector. The failure rate prediction model can be simply formed and convenient to calculate the expression of failure rate changing with time at various temperature and vibration conditions. This model gives an objective assessment in short time, which makes it convenient to be applied to the engineering.
文摘An analytics method of predicting the annual variation rate (AVR) of global sea-level (GSL) is developed.Through the calculation by using the mean sea-level data collected from the tidal gauge stations over the world, a GSL rise of 0. 15～0. 16 cm/a is obtained. The predicted values of AVR of GSL for the 21st century are presented. The authors' results have been compared to those reported by other scientists at home and abroad. The method proposedhere is more convenient and precise.
基金supported in part by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)funded by the Ministry of Education(NRF-2021R1A6A1A03039493)by the NRF grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(NRF-2022R1A2C1004401).
文摘In recent times,financial globalization has drastically increased in different ways to improve the quality of services with advanced resources.The successful applications of bitcoin Blockchain(BC)techniques enable the stockholders to worry about the return and risk of financial products.The stockholders focused on the prediction of return rate and risk rate of financial products.Therefore,an automatic return rate bitcoin prediction model becomes essential for BC financial products.The newly designed machine learning(ML)and deep learning(DL)approaches pave the way for return rate predictive method.This study introduces a novel Jellyfish search optimization based extreme learning machine with autoencoder(JSO-ELMAE)for return rate prediction of BC financial products.The presented JSO-ELMAE model designs a new ELMAE model for predicting the return rate of financial products.Besides,the JSO algorithm is exploited to tune the parameters related to the ELMAE model which in turn boosts the classification results.The application of JSO technique assists in optimal parameter adjustment of the ELMAE model to predict the bitcoin return rates.The experimental validation of the JSO-ELMAE model was executed and the outcomes are inspected in many aspects.The experimental values demonstrated the enhanced performance of the JSO-ELMAE model over recent state of art approaches with minimal RMSE of 0.1562.
基金the support of JST PRESTO(Grant No.JPMJPR16O3)JSPS KAKENHI(Grant Nos.16KK0169 and 19K15944).
文摘A model to predict photosynthetic carbon assimilation rate(A)with high accuracy is important for forecasting crop yield and productivity.Long short-term memory(LSTM),a neural network suitable for time-series data,enables prediction with high accuracy but requires mesophyll variables.In addition,for practical use,it is desirable to have a technique that can predict A from easily available information.In this study,we propose a BLSTM augmented LSTM(BALSTM)model,which utilizes bi-directional LSTM(BLSTM)to indirectly reproduce the mesophyll variables required for LSTM.The most significant feature of the proposed model is that its hybrid architecture uses only three relatively easy-to-collect external environmental variables—photosynthetic photon flux density(Q_(in)),ambient CO_(2) concentration(C_(a)),and temperature(T_(air))—to generate mesophyll CO_(2) concentration(C_(i))and stomatal conductance to water vapor(g_(sw))as intermediate outputs.Then,A is predicted by applying the obtained intermediate outputs to the learning model.Accordingly,in this study,1)BALSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))had a significantly higher A prediction accuracy than LSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))in case of using only Q_(in),C_(a),and T_(air);2)BALSTMC_(i),g_(sw),which had C_(i) and g_(sw) as intermediate products,had the highest A prediction accuracy compared with other candidates;and 3)for samples where LSTM(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))had poor prediction accuracy,BALSTMC_(i),g_(sw)(Q_(in),C_(a),T_(air))clearly improved the results.However,it was found that incorrect predictions may be formed when certain factors are not reflected in the data(e.g.,timing,cultivar,and growth stage)or when the training data distribution that accounts for these factors differs from the predicted data distribution.Therefore,a robust model should be constructed in the future to improve the prediction accuracy of A by conducting gasexchange measurements(including a wide range of external environmental values)and by increasing the number of training data samples.
文摘The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between %HRmax and %vVO2max at constant efforts made at different intensities. In randomized order, males healthy subjects (Age: 25 ± 7 years, Weight: 70 ± 11 kg, VO2max: 55 ± 8 ml·kg–1·min–1) were divided into two groups, a trained one with more than 3 training sessions per week (n = 10) a moderately trained one with 3 drives or less per week (n = 15). The difference between the two groups corresponds to a time to exhaustion above and below 40 min at 80% vVO2max. All subjects performed 5 tests with a gradual increase in speed of 1 km·h–1 every 2 min and 4 constant speed tests at 60%, 70%, 80% and 90% VO2max. All test were performed at the same time of day (i.e., 18:00 h). The results of this study showed that eighteen collective regressions including different independent variables were developed to predict %HRmax. The individual equations developed, have r values between 0.974 and 0.993 and Syx, between 1.2 and 1.9 ml·kg–1·min–1, they are more accurate than the collective equations (one equation for all subjects) with r values between 0.81 to 0.89 and Syx, between 4.1 and 5.3 ml·kg–1·min–1. In conclusion, this study has demonstrated that the model of predictions of %HRmax from %vVO2max in triangular tests were not appropriate for rectangular efforts. From the equations developed, we find that the time to exhaustion at 90% vVO2max is the best predictor of level of endurance then the time limit to 80% vVO2max.
文摘A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.
文摘A groundbreaking method is introduced to leverage machine learn-ing algorithms to revolutionize the prediction of success rates for science fiction films.In the captivating world of the film industry,extensive research and accurate forecasting are vital to anticipating a movie’s triumph prior to its debut.Our study aims to harness the power of available data to estimate a film’s early success rate.With the vast resources offered by the internet,we can access a plethora of movie-related information,including actors,directors,critic reviews,user reviews,ratings,writers,budgets,genres,Facebook likes,YouTube views for movie trailers,and Twitter followers.The first few weeks of a film’s release are crucial in determining its fate,and online reviews and film evaluations profoundly impact its opening-week earnings.Hence,our research employs advanced supervised machine learning techniques to predict a film’s triumph.The Internet Movie Database(IMDb)is a comprehensive data repository for nearly all movies.A robust predictive classification approach is developed by employing various machine learning algorithms,such as fine,medium,coarse,cosine,cubic,and weighted KNN.To determine the best model,the performance of each feature was evaluated based on composite metrics.Moreover,the significant influences of social media platforms were recognized including Twitter,Instagram,and Facebook on shaping individuals’opinions.A hybrid success rating prediction model is obtained by integrating the proposed prediction models with sentiment analysis from available platforms.The findings of this study demonstrate that the chosen algorithms offer more precise estimations,faster execution times,and higher accuracy rates when compared to previous research.By integrating the features of existing prediction models and social media sentiment analysis models,our proposed approach provides a remarkably accurate prediction of a movie’s success.This breakthrough can help movie producers and marketers anticipate a film’s triumph before its release,allowing them to tailor their promotional activities accordingly.Furthermore,the adopted research lays the foundation for developing even more accurate prediction models,considering the ever-increasing significance of social media platforms in shaping individ-uals’opinions.In conclusion,this study showcases the immense potential of machine learning algorithms in predicting the success rate of science fiction films,opening new avenues for the film industry.
文摘We performed this meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive value of different parameters in the sperm retrieval rate （SRR） of microdissection testicular sperm extraction （TESE） in patients with nonobstructive azoospermia （NOA）. All relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and EBSCO. We chose three parameters to perform the meta-analysis： follicle-stimulating hormone （FSH）, testicular volume, and testicular histopathological findings which included three patterns： hypospermatogenesis （HS）, maturation arrest （MA）, and Sertoli-cell-only syndrome （SCOS）. If there was a threshold effect, only the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve （AUSROC） was calculated. Otherwise, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio （PLR）, negative likelihood ratio （NLR）, and the diagnostic odds ratio （DOR） were also calculated. Twenty-one articles were included in our study finally. There was a threshold effect among studies investigating FSH and SCOS. The AUSROCs of FSH, testicular volume, HS, MA, and SCOS were 0.6119, 0.6389, 0.6758, 0.5535, and 0.2763, respectively. The DORs of testicular volume, HS, and MA were 1.98, 16.49, and 1.26, respectively. The sensitivities of them were 0.80, 0.30, and 0.27, while the specificities of them were 0.35, 0.98, and 0.76, respectively. The PLRs of them were 1.49, 10.63, and 1.15, respectively. And NLRs were 0.73, 0.72, and 0.95, respectively. All the investigated factors in our study had limited predictive value. However, the histopathological findings were helpful to some extent. Most patients with HS could get sperm by microdissection TESE.
文摘A pplication o f m echanical excavators is one o f th e m o st com m only used excavation m eth o d s because itcan bring th e p ro ject m ore productivity, accuracy and safety. A m ong th e m echanical excavators, roadhead ers are m echanical m iners w h ich have b een extensively u se d in tu n n elin g , m ining an d civil indu stries. Perform ance pred ictio n is an im p o rta n t issue for successful ro a d h e a d e r application andgenerally deals w ith m achine selection, p ro d u ctio n rate an d b it consu m p tio n . The m ain aim o f thisresearch is to investigate th e c u ttin g p erfo rm an ce （in stan tan eo u s c u ttin g rates （ICRs）） o f m ed iu m -d u tyro ad h ead ers by using artificial neural n etw o rk （ANN） approach. T here are d ifferent categories forANNs, b u t based o n train in g alg o rith m th e re are tw o m ain k in d s： supervised and u n su p erv ised . Them u lti-lay er p ercep tro n （MLP） an d K ohonen self-organizing feature m ap （KSOFM） are th e m o st w idelyused neu ral netw o rk s for supervised an d u n su p erv ised ones, respectively. For gaining this goal, ad atab ase w as prim arily provided from ro ad h e a d e rs＇ p erfo rm an ce an d geom echanical characteristics o frock form ations in tu n n els and d rift galleries in Tabas coal m ine, th e larg est an d th e only fullymech an ized coal m ine in Iran. T hen th e datab ase w as analyzed in o rd e r to yield th e m ost im p o rtan tfactor for ICR by using relatively im p o rta n t factor in w hich G arson eq u atio n w as utilized. The MLPn etw o rk w as train ed by 3 in p u t p ara m e te rs including rock m ass pro p erties, rock quality d esignation（RQD）, in tact rock p ro p erties such as uniaxial com pressive stre n g th （UCS） an d Brazilian ten sile stren g th（BTS）, and o n e o u tp u t p a ra m e te r （ICR）. In o rd e r to have m ore v alidation o n MLP o u tp u ts, KSOFM visualizationw as applied. The m ean square e rro r （MSE） an d regression coefficient （R ） o f MLP w e re found tobe 5.49 an d 0.97, respectively. M oreover, KSOFM n etw o rk has a m ap size o f 8 x 5 and final qu an tizatio nan d topographic erro rs w e re 0.383 an d 0.032, respectively. The results show th a t MLP neural n etw orkshave a strong capability to p red ict an d ev alu ate th e perfo rm an ce o f m ed iu m -d u ty ro ad h ead ers in coalm easu re rocks. Furtherm ore, it is concluded th a t KSOFM neural n etw o rk is an efficient w ay for u n d e rstand in g system beh av io r an d know ledge extraction. Finally, it is indicated th a t UCS has m ore influenceo n ICR b y applying th e b e st train ed MLP n etw o rk w eig h ts in G arson eq u atio n w h ich is also confirm ed byKSOFM.
基金funded by the National Science Foundation of China(41807259)the Innovation-Driven Project of Central South University(No.2020CX040)the Shenghua Lieying Program of Central South University(Principle Investigator:Dr.Jian Zhou)。
文摘A reliable and accurate prediction of the tunnel boring machine(TBM)performance can assist in minimizing the relevant risks of high capital costs and in scheduling tunneling projects.This research aims to develop six hybrid models of extreme gradient boosting(XGB)which are optimized by gray wolf optimization(GWO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),social spider optimization(SSO),sine cosine algorithm(SCA),multi verse optimization(MVO)and moth flame optimization(MFO),for estimation of the TBM penetration rate(PR).To do this,a comprehensive database with 1286 data samples was established where seven parameters including the rock quality designation,the rock mass rating,Brazilian tensile strength(BTS),rock mass weathering,the uniaxial compressive strength(UCS),revolution per minute and trust force per cutter(TFC),were set as inputs and TBM PR was selected as model output.Together with the mentioned six hybrid models,four single models i.e.,artificial neural network,random forest regression,XGB and support vector regression were also built to estimate TBM PR for comparison purposes.These models were designed conducting several parametric studies on their most important parameters and then,their performance capacities were assessed through the use of root mean square error,coefficient of determination,mean absolute percentage error,and a10-index.Results of this study confirmed that the best predictive model of PR goes to the PSO-XGB technique with system error of(0.1453,and 0.1325),R^(2) of(0.951,and 0.951),mean absolute percentage error(4.0689,and 3.8115),and a10-index of(0.9348,and 0.9496)in training and testing phases,respectively.The developed hybrid PSO-XGB can be introduced as an accurate,powerful and applicable technique in the field of TBM performance prediction.By conducting sensitivity analysis,it was found that UCS,BTS and TFC have the deepest impacts on the TBM PR.
