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Effects of climate change and human activity on lake shrinkage in Gonghe Basin of northeastern Tibetan Plateau during the past 60 years 被引量:7
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作者 WU Duo CHEN Fahu +3 位作者 LI Kai XIE Yaowen ZHANG Jiawu ZHOU Aifeng 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第4期479-491,共13页
Changes in the status of freshwater resources are a topic of major global, regional and local concern. This is especially so in the arid and semi-arid regions of China, where shortage of water resources plays a crucia... Changes in the status of freshwater resources are a topic of major global, regional and local concern. This is especially so in the arid and semi-arid regions of China, where shortage of water resources plays a crucial role in limiting sustainable socioeconomic development, as well as in sustaining natural ecosystems. Recent climate change, as well as the effects of localized human activity, such as the use of water for irrigation agriculture, may have significant effects on the status of the water resources in the region. Here, we report the results of a study of changes in the areas of lakes in Gonghe Basin, northeastern Tibetan Plateau of China, over the last 60 years. The data were acquired from optical satellite images and demonstrate that the total water area of lakes in Gonghe Basin decreased significantly from the 1950s to 1980s. The cause is ascribed mainly to human activity including exploitation of farmland, against a background of increasing population; in addition, climatic data for the region demonstrate a minor drying trend during this period as the temperature increased slightly. After the construction of several reservoirs, significant amounts of water were redistributed to promote irrigation agriculture and we conclude that this caused a significant shrinkage of the natural lakes. However, both the area of farmland and the population size remained approximately constant after 1990. We conclude that the variation of the total area of lakes during the second period was mainly controlled by climatic factors (precipitation and temperature). As the regional temperature reached a new high, the area of some of the lakes decreased sharply before finally maintaining a relatively steady state. We emphasize that anthropogenic climate change and human activity have both significantly influenced the status of water resources in the arid and semi-arid regions of China. 展开更多
关键词 Gonghe Basin lake shrinkage climate change human activity
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The 2nd IALE Asia-Pacific Region Conference Landscape Change and Human Activity
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《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2001年第2期244-,共1页
关键词 The 2nd IALE Asia-Pacific Region Conference Landscape Change and human activity lake ASIA
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Shrinking and Drying up of Baiyangdian Lake Wetland:A Natural or Human Cause? 被引量:12
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作者 LIU Chunlan XIE Gaodi HUANG Heqing 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2006年第4期314-319,共6页
The shrinking and drying up of wetlands in arid and semiarid areas of China have been widely observed in the recent years, but there has been no consensus on whether the aggravation is caused by human activities or by... The shrinking and drying up of wetlands in arid and semiarid areas of China have been widely observed in the recent years, but there has been no consensus on whether the aggravation is caused by human activities or by global climate warming. For a better understanding of the cause, this study investigates the dynamic changes of Baiyangdian Lake wetland over the last 40 years. It is shown that since the 1980s, Baiyangdian Lake has suffered from an insufficient water input and shrunk considerably. By using SPSS 11.0, this study urines a detailed Analysis on the signifficance of the effects of the possible driving factors for the degradation. It is identified that the North China Plain has been warrnin~ up significantly in recent years, which causes a significant reduction in the precipitation and inflow to the lake. Although human disturbances such as the irrigation and storage of water in reservoirs do not play a decisive role, they accelerate the degradation and their effects should be minimized. 展开更多
关键词 climate change human activities Baiyangdian lake wetland hydrologic process North China Plain
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Impact assessment of climate change and human activities on annual highest water level of Taihu Lake 被引量:9
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作者 Qing-fang HU Yin-tang WANG 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2009年第1期1-15,共15页
The annual highest water level of Taihu Lake (Zm) is very significant for flood management in the Taihu Basin. This paper first describes the inter-annual and intra-annual traits of Zm from 1956 to 2000. Then, using... The annual highest water level of Taihu Lake (Zm) is very significant for flood management in the Taihu Basin. This paper first describes the inter-annual and intra-annual traits of Zm from 1956 to 2000. Then, using the Mann-Kenall (MK) and Spearman (SP) nonparametric tests, the long-term change trends of area precipitation and pan evaporation in the Taihu Basin are determined. Meanwhile, using the Morlet wavelet transformation, the fluctuation patterns and change points of precipitation and pan evaporation are analyzed. Also, human activities in the Taihu Basin are described, including land use change and hydraulic project construction. Finally, the relationship between Zm, the water level of Taihu Lake 30 days prior to the day of Zm (Z0), and the 30-day total precipitation and pan evaporation prior to the day of Zm (P and E0, respectively) is described based on multi-linear regression equations. The relative influence of climate change and human activities on the change of Zm is quantitatively ascertained. The results demonstrate that: (1) Zm was distinctly higher during the 1980-2000 period than during the 1956-1979 period, and the 30 days prior to the day of Zm are the key phase influencing Zm every year; (2) P increased significantly at a confidence level of 95% during the 1956-2000 period, while the reverse was true for E0; (3) The relationship between Zm, P and E0 distinctly changed after 1980; (4) Climate change and human activities together caused frequent occurrences of high Zm after 1980; (5) Climate change caused a substantially greater Zm difference between the 1956-1979 and 1980-2000 periods than human activities. Climate change, as represented by P and E0, was the dominant factor raising Zm, with a relative influence ratio of 83.6%, while human activities had a smaller influence ratio of 16.4%. 展开更多
关键词 climate change human activities annual highest water level Taihu lake
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Impacts of climate change and human activities on water resources in the Ebinur Lake Basin, Northwest China 被引量:6
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作者 WANG Yuejian GU Xinchen +2 位作者 YANG Guang YAO Junqiang LIAO Na 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第6期581-598,共18页
Changing climatic conditions and extensive human activities have influenced the global water cycle.In recent years,significant changes in climate and land use have degraded the watershed ecosystem of the Ebinur Lake B... Changing climatic conditions and extensive human activities have influenced the global water cycle.In recent years,significant changes in climate and land use have degraded the watershed ecosystem of the Ebinur Lake Basin in Xinjiang,Northwest China.In this paper,variations of runoff,temperature,precipitation,reference evapotranspiration,lake area,socio-economic water usage,groundwater level and water quality in the Ebinur Lake Basin from 1961 to 2015 were systematically analyzed by the Mann-Kendall test methods(M-K)mutation test,the cumulative levelling method,the climate-sensitive method and land-use change index.In addition,we evaluated the effects of human activities on land use change and water quality.The results reveal that there was a significant increase in temperature and precipitation from 1961 to 2015,despite a decrease in reference evapotranspiration.The Wenquan station was not significantly affected by human activities as it is situated at a higher altitude.Runoff at this station increased significantly with climate warming.In contrast,runoff at the Jinghe station was severely affected by numerous human activities.Runoff decreased without obvious fluctuations.The contributions of climate change to runoff variation at the Jinghe and Wenquan stations were 46.87%and 58.94%,respectively;and the contributions of human activities were 53.13%and 41.06%,respectively.Land-use patterns in the basin have changed significantly between 1990 and 2015:urban and rural constructed lands,saline-alkali land,bare land,cultivated land,and forest land have expanded,while areas under grassland,lake,ice/snow and river/channel have declined.Human activities have dramatically intensified land degradation and desertification.From 1961 to 2015,both the inflow into the Ebinur Lake and the area of the lake have declined year by year;groundwater levels have dropped significantly,and the water quality has deteriorated during the study period.In the oasis irrigation area below the runoff pass,human activities mainly influenced the utilization mode and quantity of water resources.Changes in the hydrology and quantity of water resources were driven primarily by the continuous expansion of cultivated land and oasis,as well as the growth of population and the construction of hydraulic engineering projects.After 2015,the effects of some ecological protection projects were observed.However,there was no obvious sign of ecological improvement in the basin,and some environmental problems continue to persist.On this basis,this study recommends that the expansion of oasis should be limited according to the carrying capacity of the local water bodies.Moreover,in order to ensure the ecological security of the basin,it is necessary to determine the optimal oasis area for sustainable development and improve the efficiency of water resources exploitation and utilization. 展开更多
关键词 climate change human activities RUNOFF water resources groundwater level climate-sensitive method Ebinur lake Basin
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A Review of Paleoenvironmental Reconstruction Using Crater Lake Sediments in Monsoonal China
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作者 Xuanqiao Liu Shiwei Jiang +7 位作者 Luyao Tu Dorcas B.Oyebanji Xiaoyan Liu Yufeng Yuan Xiangzhong Li Ming Ji Guangcheng Zhang Xin Zhou 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第6期2730-2747,共18页
The sediments of crater lakes are one of the ideal archives for high-resolution paleoenvironmental reconstruction.This paper presents sedimentary records of 21 crater lakes in monsoonal China and systematically discus... The sediments of crater lakes are one of the ideal archives for high-resolution paleoenvironmental reconstruction.This paper presents sedimentary records of 21 crater lakes in monsoonal China and systematically discusses the geographical distribution and formation ages of these crater lakes.Sediment provenance of the crater lakes and its influencing factors were analyzed,and paleoenvironmental sequences and human activities records on different timescales reconstructed by crater lake sediments in monsoonal China were reviewed.The following points are highlighted:(1)Crater lakes in monsoonal China have been shown to preserve continuous long-time sediments that can exceed even 400 ka,although the chronology of some sediments in the southern part is debated and there were currently fewer long time records from the northern part;(2)the sediment provenance of crater lakes in northern China(e.g.,aeolian inputs)was different from that in the south(e.g.,the volcanic-lake rim),due to the different location and deposition conditions of crater lakes;(3)crater lake sediments have been used to reconstruct the history of climate changes on different timescales,but reconstruction studies of glacial-interglacial and decadal-annual scale records and studies of spatial comparisons of records on different timescales still need to be strengthened;(4)the anthropogenic signals,which include cultivation,logging,and industrial activity,are well documented in crater lake sediments from different areas and can therefore provide key evidence for the study of the Anthropocene. 展开更多
关键词 crater lake sediments MONSOON climate change human activities
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内蒙古黄旗海近1600年来生态系统演化及驱动机制
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作者 程菲 王倩 +2 位作者 隆浩 张恩楼 王荣 《湖泊科学》 北大核心 2026年第2期857-874,I0066,共19页
黄旗海位于东亚季风边缘的干旱-半干旱过渡带,是对气候变化与人类活动高度敏感的典型湖泊生态系统。厘清气候驱动的自然演变过程与人类活动引起的生态变化之间的差异,是理解该区域湖泊生态系统响应机制的核心科学问题。本研究以黄旗海... 黄旗海位于东亚季风边缘的干旱-半干旱过渡带,是对气候变化与人类活动高度敏感的典型湖泊生态系统。厘清气候驱动的自然演变过程与人类活动引起的生态变化之间的差异,是理解该区域湖泊生态系统响应机制的核心科学问题。本研究以黄旗海为对象,基于沉积物中可见-反射光谱(VRS)重建的叶绿素a含量和可见-近红外光谱(VNIR)重建的湖水总有机碳(TOC)含量,追溯了过去约1600年来浮游植物初级生产力与湖泊营养状态的历史演变。结合沉积物中的TOC、总氮、总磷、粒度、磁化率及地球化学元素等多种环境代用指标,系统探讨了黄旗海生态系统的演变过程及其主要驱动因素。结果显示,约820 AD之前,尽管气候湿润,东亚夏季风增强,流域径流导致水体透明度下降,抑制了湖泊初级生产力。820-1500 AD期间,气候温暖湿润促进了流域植被的发育,湖泊营养盐显著增加,突破了生态系统响应阈值,显著提升了浮游植物生产力和湖水TOC浓度,生态系统结构发生显著变化。1500 AD以来,尽管气候转为冷干,但流域农业活动增强导致土壤侵蚀和养分输入增加,维持了相对稳定的藻类生产力状态。进入20世纪后,在气候变暖与蒸发增强的自然驱动力,以及地下水超采、湖泊资源过度开发等人为活动加剧的共同作用下,湖泊水位明显下降,藻类生产力显著降低,表明生态系统面临显著退化趋势。本研究揭示了黄旗海生态系统在气候变化与人类活动双重作用下的非线性、阶段性演化特征,突出强调了土地利用、地下水调控与水文过程对干旱-半干旱区湖泊系统稳定性的影响,为区域湖泊生态系统的恢复管理与水资源适应性调控提供了科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 沉积叶绿素a 湖水总有机碳 湖泊生态系统 黄旗海 气候变化 人类活动
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末次冰盛期以来的东北地区湖泊记录——气候变迁、生态演变与人类活动印迹
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作者 王珧 孟先强 +4 位作者 李陈志 王倩 张文防 孙伟伟 张恩楼 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期266-284,共19页
我国东北地区处于东亚季风北缘与西风带交汇区,对全球气候变化响应敏感,区内的湖泊沉积连续性强且信息载体丰富,是重建古环境和古生态演变的理想载体。本文系统综述了末次冰盛期以来东北地区湖泊记录的气候演变、生态系统响应及人类活... 我国东北地区处于东亚季风北缘与西风带交汇区,对全球气候变化响应敏感,区内的湖泊沉积连续性强且信息载体丰富,是重建古环境和古生态演变的理想载体。本文系统综述了末次冰盛期以来东北地区湖泊记录的气候演变、生态系统响应及人类活动影响历史。研究表明:东北地区气候呈现末次冰盛期干冷而全新世暖湿的整体趋势,但在千年尺度上,末次冰消期以来水文气候可能存在时空异质性,温度定量重建的结果亦存在较大的不确定性和区域差异;东北地区粉尘主要源自中国北方沙地及蒙古干旱区,其通量和强度变化与气候变化及人类活动密切相关,沉积记录中远源粉尘与当地流域物质在地球化学、矿物学及粒度组成上的差异,表明东北地区粉尘主要源自中国北方沙地及蒙古干旱区,其通量和强度变化与气候变化及人类活动密切相关;植被由末次冰盛期的寒带草原逐步演替为全新世的针阔混交林,湖泊生态系统则随水文与营养状态发生阶段性转型。近现代以来,人类活动已成为环境变化的重要驱动力,导致湖泊污染物累积、粉尘输入增加及区域生态系统退化。未来研究应加强高分辨率多指标集成、人类-自然耦合过程的识别,以及模型与数据的融合,以深化对区域环境演变机制的理解,并提升未来预测能力。 展开更多
关键词 中国东北地区 湖泊沉积 全新世 气候变化 生态响应 人类活动 末次冰盛期
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基于GAMLSS模型的资水流域最大日径流研究
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作者 夏琳蓉 唐颖 +2 位作者 隆院男 宋昕熠 黄春福 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2026年第1期183-191,共9页
【目的】受全球气候变化和人类活动共同影响,资水流域极端气象水文事件日益增加,导致水文过程的一致性受到破坏,从而使得传统水文频率计算方法得到的计算结果存在不确定性。【方法】因此,基于资水流域桃江站1963—2022年水文气象资料,采... 【目的】受全球气候变化和人类活动共同影响,资水流域极端气象水文事件日益增加,导致水文过程的一致性受到破坏,从而使得传统水文频率计算方法得到的计算结果存在不确定性。【方法】因此,基于资水流域桃江站1963—2022年水文气象资料,采用GAMLSS模型构建多协变量组合不同分布的非一致模型,综合比较各模型的拟合优度,选择最优模型计算不同设计频率下的年最大日径流设计值。【结果】结果表明,降水对径流变化的贡献率为66.52%,是导致资水流域年最大日径流序列上升的主要原因。此外,以降水、气温以及水库指数为协变量的GA分布模型拟合效果最优,可有效阐述降水变化和人类活动影响下资水流域年最大日径流的动态变化特征。【结论】随着城市发展资水流域的年最大日径流受到降水显著影响,洪涝威胁日趋增大,研究结果可为变化环境下资水流域水资源管理和水安全维护提供一定参考。 展开更多
关键词 GAMLSS模型 协变量 年最大日径流 气候变化 人类活动 降水 水文过程 极端降雨
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Lake evolution and its implication for environmental changes in China during 1950-2000 被引量:2
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作者 HUANG Zhihua XUE Bin +1 位作者 YAO Shuchun PANG Yong 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第2期131-141,共11页
Lakes in China have undergone considerable environmental changes during the past 50 years, e.g. lake level, water area changes, as did in the past several thousands years. The enhanced human activities, such as land r... Lakes in China have undergone considerable environmental changes during the past 50 years, e.g. lake level, water area changes, as did in the past several thousands years. The enhanced human activities, such as land reclamation, application of chemical fertilizer, land use and cover, irrigation and industrialization in the catchment etc., have played an important role on the recent decades' changes of these lakes, although constrained to a great extent by the natural impact. Comparative study on variations of lake volume (water level, depth and area) in the eastern and western lake regions of China during 1950-2000 indicated that, lake volume in the eastern region had approximately undergone a two-stage change, i.e. a dramatic decrease from the 1950s to 1970s, and a continuous increase between the 1980s and 1990s; while, in the western region, lake volume had been decreasing nearly all the time. Further studies on some typical lakes concluded that, climatic change was a primary factor for the variations of lake volume during the past 50 years, although human activities showed important effect. 展开更多
关键词 variations of lake volume human activities climatic change China
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RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN QINGHAI LAKE LEVEL DESCENDING AND ARTIFICIAL WATER-CONSUMPTION
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作者 彭敏 陈桂琛 周立华 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 1995年第1期44-55,共12页
Qinghai Lake is the largest inland lake in China. It is a closed-drainage saline lake located at 3194m above sea level in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau. Qinghai Lake region, about 36°15' -38... Qinghai Lake is the largest inland lake in China. It is a closed-drainage saline lake located at 3194m above sea level in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau. Qinghai Lake region, about 36°15' -38°20' N and 97°50, - 101°20' E,is a closed basin 展开更多
关键词 QINGHAI-XIZANG Plateau (QXP) human activities lake LEVEL CHANGE climatic CHANGE
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近40年来坝上高原湖淖面积变化及其驱动力分析
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作者 王瑞君 李庆 +5 位作者 李秀娟 高士平 王仁德 蒋红军 苑依笑 付刚 《地理与地理信息科学》 北大核心 2025年第6期33-40,共8页
基于Landsat遥感数据提取1984—2022年坝上高原湖淖水面分布数据,结合气象和人类活动数据,采用趋势分析、多元回归等方法系统分析坝上高原湖淖的时空变化特征及其驱动因素,并量化各驱动因子的贡献。结果表明:①1984—2022年坝上高原湖... 基于Landsat遥感数据提取1984—2022年坝上高原湖淖水面分布数据,结合气象和人类活动数据,采用趋势分析、多元回归等方法系统分析坝上高原湖淖的时空变化特征及其驱动因素,并量化各驱动因子的贡献。结果表明:①1984—2022年坝上高原湖淖总体呈萎缩退化趋势,面积减幅近50%,经历了显著扩张—极显著萎缩—剧烈波动—缓慢恢复4个阶段的变化,湖淖萎缩主要受较大湖淖的萎缩、消亡影响,高原湖淖趋于小型化和破碎化。②空间分布上,西部湖淖消亡、萎缩特征异常显著,中部湖淖有所扩张,东部湖淖新增明显,高原西部湖淖的变化主导了整个高原的湖淖变化趋势。③气候变化对湖淖面积变化的贡献较小,人类活动是湖淖萎缩的主要驱动力,其中蔬菜产量与湖淖面积的相关系数(-0.82)最大,对湖淖萎缩的贡献率为55.6%。由此推断,1996年后高耗水蔬菜产业的快速扩张是导致坝上高原湖淖萎缩退化的主要原因。 展开更多
关键词 湖泊变化 驱动力 人类活动 坝上高原
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滇南异龙湖流域近150年森林火灾史及其驱动因素
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作者 王敏 孙启发 +3 位作者 李希进 蒙红卫 黄林培 沈才明 《生态学杂志》 北大核心 2025年第2期441-450,共10页
重建森林火灾历史有助于对森林火灾发生规律及其驱动机制进行理解。滇南异龙湖37 cm湖泊岩芯沉积物的炭屑和花粉记录提供了湖泊流域过去150年森林火灾史和植被、气候背景,结合过去人口数量的变化,本研究探讨了异龙湖流域森林火灾发生规... 重建森林火灾历史有助于对森林火灾发生规律及其驱动机制进行理解。滇南异龙湖37 cm湖泊岩芯沉积物的炭屑和花粉记录提供了湖泊流域过去150年森林火灾史和植被、气候背景,结合过去人口数量的变化,本研究探讨了异龙湖流域森林火灾发生规律及其控制因素。结果表明,异龙湖流域地区性森林火灾发生频率在过去150年(1886—2013 AD)呈现总体升高的趋势,在2000—2013 AD达到最高。地方性森林火灾存在1925—1970 AD和1995—2013 AD两个峰值,但引起两个阶段地方性森林火灾频发的原因不同;1925—1970 AD地方性森林火灾的高发主要是因为气候干旱,尽管抗日战争期间的大轰炸也贡献了部分燃烧质炭屑,但并不是主因;1995—2013 AD高发的地方性森林火灾则主要归因于人类活动(如农业生产)。 展开更多
关键词 异龙湖流域 炭屑 花粉 森林火灾 气候变化 人类活动
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近40年来洞庭湖水位变化及其量化归因
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作者 徐宗学 张旭东 +1 位作者 廖如婷 温今甫 《人民长江》 北大核心 2025年第10期157-165,共9页
洞庭湖是中国第二大淡水湖泊,近几十年来受气候变化和人类活动影响,其水文情势发生了显著变化。运用非参数检验方法对洞庭湖水位的年际、年内变化特征及丰、枯水期时间的变化情况进行了定量分析,并运用双累积曲线法量化了气候变化和人... 洞庭湖是中国第二大淡水湖泊,近几十年来受气候变化和人类活动影响,其水文情势发生了显著变化。运用非参数检验方法对洞庭湖水位的年际、年内变化特征及丰、枯水期时间的变化情况进行了定量分析,并运用双累积曲线法量化了气候变化和人类活动对洞庭湖水位变化的贡献率。结果表明:①近40年来,洞庭湖水位呈现显著下降趋势。相比基准期(1980~2002年),变化期(2003~2022年)的湖水位明显降低。其中,西洞庭湖水位在7~11月下降较多,超过0.5 m;南洞庭湖水位在7~12月下降较多,超过0.7 m;东洞庭湖水位同样在7~12月下降较多,超过0.5 m,其中9~10月水位下降更是超过1.6 m。②相比基准期,变化期的枯水期天数明显增加,而丰水期天数明显减少。其中,南洞庭湖枯水期天数增加最多,约46 d;其次是西洞庭湖和东洞庭湖,分别增加约41 d和27 d。此外,西洞庭湖丰水期天数减少最多,约23 d,其次是南洞庭湖和东洞庭湖,分别减少约12 d和4 d。③气候变化使得洞庭湖水位有所上升,约0.20~0.48 m;相反,人类活动使得洞庭湖水位明显下降,约0.60~1.54 m。气候变化和人类活动对洞庭湖水位变化的相对贡献率分别为52.5%和-152.5%。相比气候变化,水库调蓄等人类活动对洞庭湖水位的影响更为显著,是造成洞庭湖水位下降的主要原因。 展开更多
关键词 洞庭湖 水位变化 气候变化 人类活动 量化归因
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气候变化和人类活动对中国典型湖泊流域植被动态影响 被引量:5
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作者 黄雯婷 戴强玉 +3 位作者 徐勇 冯宇希 邹滨 卢云贵 《环境科学》 北大核心 2025年第5期2987-2996,共10页
监测植被动态并分离和量化气候变化与人类活动对植被覆盖变化的影响,可为维持区域生态平衡与生态修复科学规划提供理论支撑.以中国三大典型湖泊流域为研究对象,基于多时相归一化植被指数(NDVI)、气象和土地利用数据,结合趋势分析、一阶... 监测植被动态并分离和量化气候变化与人类活动对植被覆盖变化的影响,可为维持区域生态平衡与生态修复科学规划提供理论支撑.以中国三大典型湖泊流域为研究对象,基于多时相归一化植被指数(NDVI)、气象和土地利用数据,结合趋势分析、一阶差分多元回归分析和残差分析等方法,在区分自然区和人为区的基础上研究了2000~2022年洞庭湖流域、鄱阳湖流域和太湖流域植被NDVI变化的时空特征及驱动机制.结果表明,2000~2022年洞庭湖流域、鄱阳湖流域和太湖流域整体及其人为区和自然区植被均呈绿化态势.整体上,相较于降水和太阳辐射,三大湖泊流域植被NDVI对气温更敏感,三大湖泊流域植被生长对气温总体均为正敏感性,对降水则均主要表现为负敏感性.气候变化促进了三大湖泊流域植被NDVI提升,而在三大湖泊流域的人为区,人类活动主导了植被NDVI变化且影响表现出双向性,在洞庭湖流域和鄱阳湖流域对植被NDVI提升主要表现为积极作用,在太湖流域反之.研究结果可为湖泊流域因地制宜开展生态保护提供科学支撑. 展开更多
关键词 洞庭湖流域 鄱阳湖流域 太湖流域 归一化植被指数(NDVI) 气候变化 人类活动
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气候变化与人类活动对鄱阳湖流域入湖水沙变化的贡献率分析
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作者 赵雅楠 黄国鲜 +3 位作者 童思陈 王志超 许新发 李友辉 《水资源保护》 北大核心 2025年第6期113-122,148,共11页
为量化气候变化与人类活动对鄱阳湖流域入湖水沙变化的贡献率,基于1957—2023年鄱阳湖流域5大支流水文站水沙实测资料,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和累积距平法分析入湖水沙演变趋势及突变点,利用SWAT模型模拟流域突变点前后的水沙过程。结... 为量化气候变化与人类活动对鄱阳湖流域入湖水沙变化的贡献率,基于1957—2023年鄱阳湖流域5大支流水文站水沙实测资料,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和累积距平法分析入湖水沙演变趋势及突变点,利用SWAT模型模拟流域突变点前后的水沙过程。结果表明:鄱阳湖流域年均入湖径流量总体呈不显著增加趋势,年均入湖输沙量呈显著减少趋势;1990年为鄱阳湖流域入湖水沙突变点,以1957—1989年为基准期,1990—2023年年均入湖径流量较基准期增加了101.2亿m^(3),年均入湖输沙量减少了629.9万t;气候变化是导致鄱阳湖流域入湖径流量增加的主要驱动因素,贡献率为78.7%;人类活动是鄱阳湖流域入湖输沙量减少的主要驱动因素,贡献率为85.1%。 展开更多
关键词 水沙变化 气候变化 人类活动 SWAT模型 鄱阳湖流域
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江汉平原古云梦泽形成演化及其影响机制 被引量:2
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作者 顾延生 管硕 李越南 《地球科学》 北大核心 2025年第3期830-845,共16页
夏商以来,江汉平原发育的古云梦泽具有重要的历史、地理、文化与生态环境研究价值,但长久以来受到历史记载贫乏和钻孔调查精度的限制,古云梦泽的成因、分布、演化的时空格局尚不清晰.在前人历史文献和钻孔调查基础上,本文首次系统开展... 夏商以来,江汉平原发育的古云梦泽具有重要的历史、地理、文化与生态环境研究价值,但长久以来受到历史记载贫乏和钻孔调查精度的限制,古云梦泽的成因、分布、演化的时空格局尚不清晰.在前人历史文献和钻孔调查基础上,本文首次系统开展了钻孔高分辨率古环境演化研究,真实还原了4000年来古云梦泽形成演化历史,全面而深刻地揭示了古云梦泽沉积地貌过程与区域新构造运动、气候变化、河道变迁和人类活动的关系.多钻孔沉积学分析表明,古云梦泽发育时期沉积环境具有多样性,包括河床相、漫滩相、湖相和三角洲相,指示了“河流-湖泊-三角洲”复合沉积体系.沉积相自西向东分布呈现一定规律,西部以漫滩相、三角洲相为主,中部以漫滩相、三角洲、湖相为主,东部以湖相为主,古地理重建表明古云梦泽是江汉平原内部河间洼地发育的多变的湖群景观.根据历史文献与钻孔记录重建了古云梦泽形成演化的4个时期:鼎盛期(夏商时期)、淤浅期(周秦汉时期)、萎缩期(魏晋南北朝时期)和湮灭期(唐宋时期).结果表明,古云梦泽形成演化主要受到新构造运动、气候变化、洪水泛滥与河道变迁以及人类活动的叠加影响:(1)新构造沉降为古云梦泽分布创造了空间条件,长江主泓来水来沙为古云梦泽出现创造了可能,但后续长江主泓的南移对古云梦泽演化趋势影响显著;(2)ENSO(El Niño-Southern Oscillation)关联的季风异常降水与河道洪水泛滥作用推动了古云梦泽的兴盛,而荆江三角洲的推进与古云梦泽的於浅及萎缩有关;(3)唐宋以来,随着荆江统一河床的塑造、人为筑堤堵穴、围湖建垸和围湖造田加速了古云梦泽的湮灭.总之,本研究揭示了古云梦泽形成演化的时空格局及其复杂的影响机制,为存在已久的争议提供了可靠的答案,也为预测未来长江中游地区江湖关系演变和现代江汉湖群保护提供了重要参考. 展开更多
关键词 多变的湖群 河-湖-三角洲复合沉积体系 河道变迁 ENSO关联洪水 人类活动 淤积作用 沉积学 气候变化
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青海湖流域植被绿度时空变化及影响因素
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作者 王明宇 吴成永 陈克龙 《中国沙漠》 北大核心 2025年第5期289-300,共12页
为探究青海湖流域植被绿度时空变化及其对气候变化和人类活动的响应,基于2000—2023年MODIS归一化植被指数(NDVI)数据、气象数据,通过Sen+Mann-Kendall趋势分析、Hurst指数、相关分析以及残差分析等方法,分析青海湖流域植被绿度的时空... 为探究青海湖流域植被绿度时空变化及其对气候变化和人类活动的响应,基于2000—2023年MODIS归一化植被指数(NDVI)数据、气象数据,通过Sen+Mann-Kendall趋势分析、Hurst指数、相关分析以及残差分析等方法,分析青海湖流域植被绿度的时空变化规律和未来发展趋势,并评估气候变化与人类活动对植被绿度影响程度。结果显示:(1)2000—2023年青海湖流域NDVI年均值为0.45,时间上呈显著上升趋势,年变化速率为0.0022,改善区占研究区的86.22%,呈显著上升趋势,空间异质性明显。(2)植被绿度总体变化相对稳定,变异系数为0~1.7,平均值为0.08,展现出积极发展态势。(3)青海湖流域植被绿度与降水和气温均正相关,且与降水(r=0.196,P<0.05)的相关性强于气温(r=0.07,P<0.05),85.5%区域以降水驱动为主。(4)青海湖流域63.6%区域植被绿度受气候变化和人类活动双重影响,其中人类活动的相对贡献率为85.02%。 展开更多
关键词 植被绿度 时空变化 气候变化 人类活动 青海湖流域
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Human activities control the source of eroded organic carbon in lake sediments over the last 100 years:Evidence from stable isotope fingerprinting 被引量:1
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作者 Shilan Wang Xiaodong Nie +6 位作者 Fengwei Ran Wenfei Liao Changrong Yang Tao Xiao Yi Liu Yaojun Liu Zhongwu Li 《Fundamental Research》 2025年第3期1097-1106,共10页
Understanding the redistribution of soil organic carbon(OC)driven by erosion contributes to the global carbon budget and watershed management.Quantifying the sources of eroded OC in sediments provides new insights to ... Understanding the redistribution of soil organic carbon(OC)driven by erosion contributes to the global carbon budget and watershed management.Quantifying the sources of eroded OC in sediments provides new insights to addressing this issue.However,limited quantitative information on the factors influencing OC sources has constrained the behavior of regulating the OC exported from the watershed.Here,we explored the sources of OC in lake sediments over the last 100 years and quantified the effects of climate change and human activities on OC sources.Results from the stable isotope fingerprinting and MixSIAR model indicated that phragmites(30.34%)and croplands(21.48%)were consistently the main OC sources.Therefore,efforts should be concentrated on controlling soil erosion from cropland and managing the endogenous environment.In addition,the partial least squares pathways(PLS-PM)and random forests revealed that human activities(Path coefficients(r∂):0.45 to 0.61)have controlled the OC sources over the last hundred years.Agricultural activities,urbanization,and land use change altered the quality of OC sources by affecting the vegetation productivity in source areas.The quantity of OC sources was also influenced by underlying surface and surface connectivity changes.The effects of climate change(temperature(r∂):-0.41 to 0.1;precipitation(r∂):0.1 to 0.29)on OC sources have not been significant,but their long-term effects cannot be ignored.These findings provide a better insight into the origin and behavior of OC in lake sediments under global change,which is crucial for basin management and lake governance. 展开更多
关键词 Eroded organic carbon Source tracing lake sediment Land uses Climate change human activity
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青海湖流域陆地生态系统NEP时空格局及驱动因素定量分离
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作者 胡云云 何学高 +5 位作者 李国兴 闫鑫泽 魏江涛 刘欢 程炜 侯晓巍 《水土保持学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期254-266,共13页
[目的]量化气候变化和人类活动对青海湖流域陆地生态系统固碳的影响,为评估区域植被固碳能力、制定气候变化应对措施及实施生态修复提供科学依据。[方法]基于MODIS遥感数据估算净生态系统生产力(NEP),采用趋势分析、稳定性分析、Hurst... [目的]量化气候变化和人类活动对青海湖流域陆地生态系统固碳的影响,为评估区域植被固碳能力、制定气候变化应对措施及实施生态修复提供科学依据。[方法]基于MODIS遥感数据估算净生态系统生产力(NEP),采用趋势分析、稳定性分析、Hurst指数和重心迁移等方法,探究青海湖流域2000—2021年NEP时空格局和演替规律,利用偏相关、复相关及残差分析定量分离气候变化和人类活动驱动NEP时空分异的影响。[结果]1)青海湖流域2000—2021年NEP呈逐年上升趋势,增长速率为2.16 g/(m^(2)·a),表现为东南高西北低、以青海湖为中心辐散减弱的空间分布格局;近80%的区域NEP呈上升趋势,极显著上升、显著上升区域占比分别为61.50%、17.61%,NEP下降区域分布在环青海湖西、北沿岸和东北沿岸地区,零星分布在流域的北部;青海湖流域NEP极低波动和低波动变化区域面积占比77.32%;目前NEP增加的区域未来可能呈减少趋势,面积占比为89.19%;碳源的重心整体表现为由流域西北向东南青海湖沿岸迁移的趋势,迁移直线距离约为171.72 km;碳汇重心则由东向西迁移,迁移直线距离约为2.68 km。2)青海湖流域NEP年际变化与气温、降水、太阳辐射、地表温度的平均偏相关系数分别为0.1413、0.1247、-0.1829和-0.0022,气温和降水与NEP呈正相关,太阳辐射和地表温度与NEP呈负相关,显著性均不强。3)残差分析表明,气候变化和人类活动共同促进NEP提升的区域占95.10%。[结论]气候和人类活动共同影响NEP变化,2000—2021年,青海湖流域陆地生态系统大部分地区碳汇能力显著提升。流域内暖湿化气候背景下,青海省近年来贯彻落实封山禁牧措施、大力实施固沙种草造林等生态综合治理工程共同促进NEP不断提升,而人为活动的增加和建设开发活动频繁及青海湖水位升高、面积扩张可能抑制NEP提升。 展开更多
关键词 净生态系统生产力 气候变化 时空格局 人类活动 青海湖流域
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