This paper applies the newest emission scenarios of the sulfur and greenhouse gases, namely IPCC SRES A2 and B2 scenarios, to investigate the change of the North China climate with an atmosphere-ocean coupled general ...This paper applies the newest emission scenarios of the sulfur and greenhouse gases, namely IPCC SRES A2 and B2 scenarios, to investigate the change of the North China climate with an atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model. In the last three decades of the 21st century, the global warming enlarges the land-sea thermal contrast, and hence, causes the East Asian summer (winter) monsoon circulation to he strengthened (weakened). The rainfall seasonality strengthens and the summer precipitation increases significantly in North China. It is suggested that the East Asian rainy area would expand northward to North China in the last three decades of the 21st century. In addition, the North China precipitation would increase significantly in September. In July, August, and September, the interannual variability of the precipitation enlarges evidently over North China, implying a risk of flooding in the future.展开更多
Changes in the climate of the Arctic and of the Antarctic have been of great concern to the international scientific and social communities since the release in 2007 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fo...Changes in the climate of the Arctic and of the Antarctic have been of great concern to the international scientific and social communities since the release in 2007 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report （IPCC AR4）. Since then, many new findings have been reported from observations and research carried out in the Arctic and Antarctic during the fourth International Polar Year （IPY）. There is evidence that global warming is inducing rapid changes in the Arctic and Antarctic, in both a quantitative and qualitative sense, and that these regional changes could be used as indicators of global climate change. Declining Arctic sea ice could affect winter snowfall across much of the Northern Hemisphere by bringing harsher winters. Projections suggest that summertime Arctic sea ice will disappear by 2037. By the 2070s, the Antarctic ozone hole will recover to the level of the early 1980s, following the ban on the production of Freon earlier this century. With the loss of the shielding effect of the ozone hole, Antarctic surface temperatures will increase, ice sheets in East Antarctica will begin to melt, and the Antarctic sea ice will retreat. Therefore, sea level rise will become an increasingly serious issue this century. As sea surface temperature rises, the Southern Ocean will become less effective as a sink for atmospheric CO2 and the increase of surface CO2 will be faster than that in the atmosphere. Increased surface CO2 would lead to ocean acidification and affect ecological systems and food chains.展开更多
Because of the environmental and socioeconomic impacts of anthropogenic sea level rise （SLR）, it is very important to understand the processes leading to past and present SLRs towards more reliable future SLR projec...Because of the environmental and socioeconomic impacts of anthropogenic sea level rise （SLR）, it is very important to understand the processes leading to past and present SLRs towards more reliable future SLR projections. A regional ocean general circulation model （ROGCM）, with a grid refinement in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas （BYECSs）, was set up to project SLR induced by the ocean dynamic change in the 21st century. The model does not consider the contributions from ice sheets and glacier melting. Data of all forcing terms required in the model came from the simulation of the Community Climate System Model version 3.0 （CCSM3） under the International Panel on Climate Change （IPCC）-A2 scenario. Simulation results show that at the end of the 21st century, the sea level in the BYECSs will rise about 0.12 to 0.20 m. The SLR in the BYECSs during the 21st century is mainly caused by the ocean mass redistribution due to the ocean dynamic change of the Pacific Ocean, which means that water in the Pacific Ocean tends to move to the continental shelves of the BYECSs, although the local steric sea level change is another factor.展开更多
The existence and iteration of positive solution for classical Gelfand models are considered, where the coefficient of nonlinear term is allowed to change sign in [0, 1]. By using the monotone iterative technique, an ...The existence and iteration of positive solution for classical Gelfand models are considered, where the coefficient of nonlinear term is allowed to change sign in [0, 1]. By using the monotone iterative technique, an existence theorem of positive solution is obtained, corresponding iterative process and convergence rate are given. This iterative process starts off with zero function, hence the process is simple, feasible and effective.展开更多
The aim of the thesis is to utilize essential theory of heat transfer,to use correlative expressions to calculate average convection heat change coefficient and heating temperature of strip in Jet Preheat Furnace (JPF...The aim of the thesis is to utilize essential theory of heat transfer,to use correlative expressions to calculate average convection heat change coefficient and heating temperature of strip in Jet Preheat Furnace (JPF),make the calculating results accordant with production data,and make the calculation to be used the process of production.The method is to collect:entry temperature and speed of strip,temperature and speed of N_2 - H_2,to analyse heat transfer according to length and thickness of strip,jet hole and mutual position of jet piping in JPF,to analyse heat transfer and built the physical model.In mathematic model, Martin correlative expressions are tried to calculate using the data from production,and are modified in part properly.At the same time,heat boundary condition is analysed with theory of impact jet and production data.The conclusion is obtained that boundary condition is rarely average numerical value of temperature of strip and N_2 - H_2 with impact jet condition,instead of a relation of function of temperature of strip, temperature and speed of N_2- H_2,array of jet holes,diameter of hole,distance between hole and strip,and acquired a calculating expression.In calculation of examples,the thesis collected and calculated 15 kinds of strips.The thickness of strips are 2=0.51~1.41 mm,material DQ - IF、DDQ,EDDQ,SEDDQ and 340DDQ.Main assess numerical value is temperature value after strip is heated with certain speed and within section of time.Maximum error in 9 groups of numerical value in the thesis is 3.36%comparing with production data.The correlative expressions can be used in production to adjust temperature of strip through changing speed and temperature of N_2 - H_2 and speed of strip.The correlative expressions are compiled computer process.The process can be applied in on line control of production by rapid calculating speed.展开更多
The influence of phase-change coefficients variations in the Singhal cavitation model on the calculation results has been numerically studied. By comparing the numerical results and experimental data, the relationship...The influence of phase-change coefficients variations in the Singhal cavitation model on the calculation results has been numerically studied. By comparing the numerical results and experimental data, the relationship between the coefficients and cavitation numbers is obtained. The calculation results of 2d axisymmetrical cylinder with 45-degree cone cavitator show that under different cavitation numbers, there are three typical kind of cavities, which are respectively main cavity, secondary cavity and rear cavity. The coefficients variations have a great influence respectively on the three type cavities in shape, collapse position, collapse strength, etc, and different cavitation numbers are corresponding to different phase-change coefficients. The cavitation flow field can be divided into three typical zones according to the cavitation number: weak-cavitation zone, secondary-cavitation zone and supercavitation zone. For 45-degree cone cavitator cylinder, the evaporation coefficients will firstly decrease and then increase with the decrease of cavitation numbers in secondary-cavitation zone, while the condensation coefficients keep relatively lower and almost unchanged. In weak-cavitation zone, there only exists the smaller main cavity attached to the model head or there is no obvious cavity. In supercavitation zone, the secondary cavity attached to the model will fall off and merge into the new rear cavity.展开更多
利用CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)气候系统模式模拟20世纪海平面变化,在IPCC SRES A2(IPCC,2001)情景假设下预测21世纪全球海平面长期趋势变化。模拟显示20世纪海平面上升约4.0cm,且存在0.004 8mm/a2的加速度,这个...利用CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)气候系统模式模拟20世纪海平面变化,在IPCC SRES A2(IPCC,2001)情景假设下预测21世纪全球海平面长期趋势变化。模拟显示20世纪海平面上升约4.0cm,且存在0.004 8mm/a2的加速度,这个结果仅为热盐比容的贡献。在A2情景假设下,21世纪海平面上升存在很大的区域特征,呈纬向带状分布;总体上北冰洋上升大,南大洋高纬度海区上升小,大西洋上升值比太平洋的大;整个21世纪全球平均比容海平面上升了约30cm,且呈加速上升的趋势。同时发现,中深层水温度和盐度变化对区域比容海平面变化具有重要贡献。北太平洋增暖主要集中在上层700m以内,而北大西洋的增暖可达2 500m的深度,南大洋南极绕极流海区热盐变化则是发生在整个深度。展开更多
基金supported by the Key Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(KZCX2-SW-210)the Key Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(KZCX2-203)the National Key Programme for Developing Basic Sciences(G1998040904).
文摘This paper applies the newest emission scenarios of the sulfur and greenhouse gases, namely IPCC SRES A2 and B2 scenarios, to investigate the change of the North China climate with an atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model. In the last three decades of the 21st century, the global warming enlarges the land-sea thermal contrast, and hence, causes the East Asian summer (winter) monsoon circulation to he strengthened (weakened). The rainfall seasonality strengthens and the summer precipitation increases significantly in North China. It is suggested that the East Asian rainy area would expand northward to North China in the last three decades of the 21st century. In addition, the North China precipitation would increase significantly in September. In July, August, and September, the interannual variability of the precipitation enlarges evidently over North China, implying a risk of flooding in the future.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant nos.40531007,41230529)the National High-tech Research & Development Program of China (Grant no.2008AA121703)+3 种基金the International Cooperation Project supported by Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant no.2009DFA22920)the International Cooperation Project supported by Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Administration (Grant nos.IC201013,IC201114,IC201201,and IC201308)the Chinese Polar Environmental Comprehensive Investigation and Assessment Programs (Grant nos.CHINARE2012-01-04-02,CHINARE2012-02-01,and CHINARE2012-03-04-02)the Ocean Public Welfare Scientific Research Project of China (Grant no.2004DIB5J178)
文摘Changes in the climate of the Arctic and of the Antarctic have been of great concern to the international scientific and social communities since the release in 2007 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report （IPCC AR4）. Since then, many new findings have been reported from observations and research carried out in the Arctic and Antarctic during the fourth International Polar Year （IPY）. There is evidence that global warming is inducing rapid changes in the Arctic and Antarctic, in both a quantitative and qualitative sense, and that these regional changes could be used as indicators of global climate change. Declining Arctic sea ice could affect winter snowfall across much of the Northern Hemisphere by bringing harsher winters. Projections suggest that summertime Arctic sea ice will disappear by 2037. By the 2070s, the Antarctic ozone hole will recover to the level of the early 1980s, following the ban on the production of Freon earlier this century. With the loss of the shielding effect of the ozone hole, Antarctic surface temperatures will increase, ice sheets in East Antarctica will begin to melt, and the Antarctic sea ice will retreat. Therefore, sea level rise will become an increasingly serious issue this century. As sea surface temperature rises, the Southern Ocean will become less effective as a sink for atmospheric CO2 and the increase of surface CO2 will be faster than that in the atmosphere. Increased surface CO2 would lead to ocean acidification and affect ecological systems and food chains.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants No.41206021 and 41276018)the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2012CB955601)+2 种基金the Young Scientist Foundation of the State Oceanic Administration,China(Grant No.2012251)the U.S.National Science Foundation Belmont Forum Program(Grant No.ICER-1342644)the GASI-03-01-01-09
文摘Because of the environmental and socioeconomic impacts of anthropogenic sea level rise （SLR）, it is very important to understand the processes leading to past and present SLRs towards more reliable future SLR projections. A regional ocean general circulation model （ROGCM）, with a grid refinement in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas （BYECSs）, was set up to project SLR induced by the ocean dynamic change in the 21st century. The model does not consider the contributions from ice sheets and glacier melting. Data of all forcing terms required in the model came from the simulation of the Community Climate System Model version 3.0 （CCSM3） under the International Panel on Climate Change （IPCC）-A2 scenario. Simulation results show that at the end of the 21st century, the sea level in the BYECSs will rise about 0.12 to 0.20 m. The SLR in the BYECSs during the 21st century is mainly caused by the ocean mass redistribution due to the ocean dynamic change of the Pacific Ocean, which means that water in the Pacific Ocean tends to move to the continental shelves of the BYECSs, although the local steric sea level change is another factor.
文摘The existence and iteration of positive solution for classical Gelfand models are considered, where the coefficient of nonlinear term is allowed to change sign in [0, 1]. By using the monotone iterative technique, an existence theorem of positive solution is obtained, corresponding iterative process and convergence rate are given. This iterative process starts off with zero function, hence the process is simple, feasible and effective.
文摘The aim of the thesis is to utilize essential theory of heat transfer,to use correlative expressions to calculate average convection heat change coefficient and heating temperature of strip in Jet Preheat Furnace (JPF),make the calculating results accordant with production data,and make the calculation to be used the process of production.The method is to collect:entry temperature and speed of strip,temperature and speed of N_2 - H_2,to analyse heat transfer according to length and thickness of strip,jet hole and mutual position of jet piping in JPF,to analyse heat transfer and built the physical model.In mathematic model, Martin correlative expressions are tried to calculate using the data from production,and are modified in part properly.At the same time,heat boundary condition is analysed with theory of impact jet and production data.The conclusion is obtained that boundary condition is rarely average numerical value of temperature of strip and N_2 - H_2 with impact jet condition,instead of a relation of function of temperature of strip, temperature and speed of N_2- H_2,array of jet holes,diameter of hole,distance between hole and strip,and acquired a calculating expression.In calculation of examples,the thesis collected and calculated 15 kinds of strips.The thickness of strips are 2=0.51~1.41 mm,material DQ - IF、DDQ,EDDQ,SEDDQ and 340DDQ.Main assess numerical value is temperature value after strip is heated with certain speed and within section of time.Maximum error in 9 groups of numerical value in the thesis is 3.36%comparing with production data.The correlative expressions can be used in production to adjust temperature of strip through changing speed and temperature of N_2 - H_2 and speed of strip.The correlative expressions are compiled computer process.The process can be applied in on line control of production by rapid calculating speed.
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51149003)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.HIT.NSRIF.2013033)
文摘The influence of phase-change coefficients variations in the Singhal cavitation model on the calculation results has been numerically studied. By comparing the numerical results and experimental data, the relationship between the coefficients and cavitation numbers is obtained. The calculation results of 2d axisymmetrical cylinder with 45-degree cone cavitator show that under different cavitation numbers, there are three typical kind of cavities, which are respectively main cavity, secondary cavity and rear cavity. The coefficients variations have a great influence respectively on the three type cavities in shape, collapse position, collapse strength, etc, and different cavitation numbers are corresponding to different phase-change coefficients. The cavitation flow field can be divided into three typical zones according to the cavitation number: weak-cavitation zone, secondary-cavitation zone and supercavitation zone. For 45-degree cone cavitator cylinder, the evaporation coefficients will firstly decrease and then increase with the decrease of cavitation numbers in secondary-cavitation zone, while the condensation coefficients keep relatively lower and almost unchanged. In weak-cavitation zone, there only exists the smaller main cavity attached to the model head or there is no obvious cavity. In supercavitation zone, the secondary cavity attached to the model will fall off and merge into the new rear cavity.
文摘利用CCSM3(Community Climate System Model version 3)气候系统模式模拟20世纪海平面变化,在IPCC SRES A2(IPCC,2001)情景假设下预测21世纪全球海平面长期趋势变化。模拟显示20世纪海平面上升约4.0cm,且存在0.004 8mm/a2的加速度,这个结果仅为热盐比容的贡献。在A2情景假设下,21世纪海平面上升存在很大的区域特征,呈纬向带状分布;总体上北冰洋上升大,南大洋高纬度海区上升小,大西洋上升值比太平洋的大;整个21世纪全球平均比容海平面上升了约30cm,且呈加速上升的趋势。同时发现,中深层水温度和盐度变化对区域比容海平面变化具有重要贡献。北太平洋增暖主要集中在上层700m以内,而北大西洋的增暖可达2 500m的深度,南大洋南极绕极流海区热盐变化则是发生在整个深度。
