Heat exchangers are widely used in the process engineering such as the chemical industries, the petroleum industries, and the HVAC applications etc. An optimally designed heat exchanger cannot only help the optimizati...Heat exchangers are widely used in the process engineering such as the chemical industries, the petroleum industries, and the HVAC applications etc. An optimally designed heat exchanger cannot only help the optimization of the equipment size but also the reduction of the power consumption. In this paper, a new optimization approach called algorithms of changes (AOC) is proposed for design and optimization of the shell-tube heat exchanger. This new optimization technique is developed based on the concept of the book of changes (I Ching) which is one of the oldest Chinese classic texts. In AOC, the hexagram operations in I Ching are generalized to binary string case and an iterative process, which imitates the I Ching inference, is defined. Before applying the AOC to the heat exchanger design problem, the new optimization method is examined by the benchmark optimization problems such as the global optimization test functions and the travelling salesman problem (TSP). Based on the TSP results, the AOC is shown to be superior to the genetic algorithms (GA). The AOC is then used in the optimal design of heat exchanger. The shell inside diameter, tube outside diameter, and baffles spacing are treated as the design (or optimized) variables. The cost of the heat exchanger is arranged as the objective function. For the heat exchanger design problem, the results show that the AOC is comparable to the GA method. Both methods can find the optimal solution in a short period of time.展开更多
The Negative Binomial Multiple Change Point Algorithm is a hybrid change detection and estimation approach that works well for overdispersed and equidispersed count data. This simulation study assesses the performance...The Negative Binomial Multiple Change Point Algorithm is a hybrid change detection and estimation approach that works well for overdispersed and equidispersed count data. This simulation study assesses the performance of the NBMCPA under varying sample sizes and locations of true change points. Various performance metrics are calculated based on the change point estimates and used to assess how well the model correctly identifies change points. Errors in estimation of change points are obtained as absolute deviations of known change points from the change points estimated under the algorithm. Algorithm robustness is evaluated through error analysis and visualization techniques including kernel density estimation and computation of metrics such as change point location accuracy, precision, sensitivity and false positive rate. The results show that the model consistently detects change points that are present and does not erroneously detect changes where there are none. Change point location accuracy and precision of the NBMCPA increases with sample size, with best results for medium and large samples. Further model accuracy and precision are highest for changes located in the middle of the dataset compared to changes located in the periphery.展开更多
Forest carbon sinks are crucial for mitigating urban climate change.Their effectiveness depends on the balance between gross carbon losses and gains.However,quantitative and continuous monitoring of forest change/dist...Forest carbon sinks are crucial for mitigating urban climate change.Their effectiveness depends on the balance between gross carbon losses and gains.However,quantitative and continuous monitoring of forest change/disturbance carbon fluxes is still insufficient.To address this gap,we integrated an improved spatial carbon bookkeeping(SBK)model with the continuous change detection and classification(CCDC)algorithm,long-term Landsat observations,and ground measurements to track carbon emissions,uptakes,and net changes from forest cover changes in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)of China from 2000 to 2020.The SBK model was refined by incorporating heterogeneous carbon response functions.Our results reveal that carbon emissions(-3.88 Tg C·year^(-1))were four times greater than carbon uptakes(0.93 Tg C·year^(-1))from forest cover changes in the YRD during 2000-2020,despite a net forest cover gain of 10.95×10^(4) ha.These findings indicate that the carbon effect per hectare of forest cover loss is approximately 4.5 times that of forest cover gain.The asymmetric carbon effect suggests that forest cover change may act as a carbon source even with net-zero or net-positive forest cover change.Furthermore,carbon uptakes from forest gains in the YRD during 2000-2020 could only offset 0.28% of energy-related carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019.Urban and agricultural expansions accounted for 37% and 10% of carbon emissions,respectively,while the Grain for Green Project contributed to 45% of carbon uptakes.Our findings underscore the necessity of understanding the asymmetric carbon effects of forest cover loss and gain to accurately assess the capacity of forest carbon sinks.展开更多
Gravitational search algorithm(GSA) is a newly developed and promising algorithm based on the law of gravity and interaction between masses. This paper proposes an improved gravitational search algorithm(IGSA) to impr...Gravitational search algorithm(GSA) is a newly developed and promising algorithm based on the law of gravity and interaction between masses. This paper proposes an improved gravitational search algorithm(IGSA) to improve the performance of the GSA, and first applies it to the field of dynamic neural network identification. The IGSA uses trial-and-error method to update the optimal agent during the whole search process. And in the late period of the search, it changes the orbit of the poor agent and searches the optimal agent s position further using the coordinate descent method. For the experimental verification of the proposed algorithm,both GSA and IGSA are testified on a suite of four well-known benchmark functions and their complexities are compared. It is shown that IGSA has much better efficiency, optimization precision, convergence rate and robustness than GSA. Thereafter, the IGSA is applied to the nonlinear autoregressive exogenous(NARX) recurrent neural network identification for a magnetic levitation system.Compared with the system identification based on gravitational search algorithm neural network(GSANN) and other conventional methods like BPNN and GANN, the proposed algorithm shows the best performance.展开更多
Climate is a critical factor affecting forest ecosystems and their capacity to produce goods and services. Effects of climate change on forests depend on ecosystem-specific factors including dimensions of climate （te...Climate is a critical factor affecting forest ecosystems and their capacity to produce goods and services. Effects of climate change on forests depend on ecosystem-specific factors including dimensions of climate （temperature, precipitation, drought, wind etc.）. Available infor- mation is not sufficient to support a quantitative assessment of the eco- logical, social and economic consequences. The present study assessed shifts in forest cover types of Western Himalayan Eco-region （700-4 500 m）. 100 randomly selected samples （75 for training and 25 for testing the model）, genetic algorithm of rule set parameters and climatic envelopes were used to assess the distribution of five prominent forest cover types （Temperate evergreen, Tropical semi-evergreen, Temperate conifer, Sub- tropical conifer, and Tropical moist deciduous forests）. Modelling was conducted for four different scenarios, current scenario, changed precipi- tation （8% increase）, changed temperature （1.07℃ increase）, and both changed temperature and precipitation. On increasing precipitation a downward shift in the temperate evergreen and tropical semi-evergreen was observed, while sub-tropical conifer and tropical moist-deciduous forests showed a slight upward shift and temperate conifer showed ＇no shift. On increasing temperatm＇e, an upward shift in all forest types was observed except sub-tropical conifer forests without significant changes. When both temperature and precipitation were changed, the actual dis- tribution was maintained and slight upward shift was observed in all the forest types except sub-tropical conifer. It is important to understand the likely impacts of the projected climate change on the forest ecosystems, so that better management and conservation strategies can be adopted for the biodiversity and forest dependent community. Knowledge of impact mechanisms also enables identification and mitigation of some of the conditions that increase vulnerability to climate change in the forest sector.展开更多
基金supported by Science and Technology Development Fund of Macao SAR (Grant No. 033/2008/A2)Research Grant of University of Macao, China (Grant No. RG081/09-10S/TSC/FST)
文摘Heat exchangers are widely used in the process engineering such as the chemical industries, the petroleum industries, and the HVAC applications etc. An optimally designed heat exchanger cannot only help the optimization of the equipment size but also the reduction of the power consumption. In this paper, a new optimization approach called algorithms of changes (AOC) is proposed for design and optimization of the shell-tube heat exchanger. This new optimization technique is developed based on the concept of the book of changes (I Ching) which is one of the oldest Chinese classic texts. In AOC, the hexagram operations in I Ching are generalized to binary string case and an iterative process, which imitates the I Ching inference, is defined. Before applying the AOC to the heat exchanger design problem, the new optimization method is examined by the benchmark optimization problems such as the global optimization test functions and the travelling salesman problem (TSP). Based on the TSP results, the AOC is shown to be superior to the genetic algorithms (GA). The AOC is then used in the optimal design of heat exchanger. The shell inside diameter, tube outside diameter, and baffles spacing are treated as the design (or optimized) variables. The cost of the heat exchanger is arranged as the objective function. For the heat exchanger design problem, the results show that the AOC is comparable to the GA method. Both methods can find the optimal solution in a short period of time.
文摘The Negative Binomial Multiple Change Point Algorithm is a hybrid change detection and estimation approach that works well for overdispersed and equidispersed count data. This simulation study assesses the performance of the NBMCPA under varying sample sizes and locations of true change points. Various performance metrics are calculated based on the change point estimates and used to assess how well the model correctly identifies change points. Errors in estimation of change points are obtained as absolute deviations of known change points from the change points estimated under the algorithm. Algorithm robustness is evaluated through error analysis and visualization techniques including kernel density estimation and computation of metrics such as change point location accuracy, precision, sensitivity and false positive rate. The results show that the model consistently detects change points that are present and does not erroneously detect changes where there are none. Change point location accuracy and precision of the NBMCPA increases with sample size, with best results for medium and large samples. Further model accuracy and precision are highest for changes located in the middle of the dataset compared to changes located in the periphery.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(No.ZCLQN25C0301)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC0502700)the General Program of Education Department of Zhejiang(No.23056209-F).
文摘Forest carbon sinks are crucial for mitigating urban climate change.Their effectiveness depends on the balance between gross carbon losses and gains.However,quantitative and continuous monitoring of forest change/disturbance carbon fluxes is still insufficient.To address this gap,we integrated an improved spatial carbon bookkeeping(SBK)model with the continuous change detection and classification(CCDC)algorithm,long-term Landsat observations,and ground measurements to track carbon emissions,uptakes,and net changes from forest cover changes in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)of China from 2000 to 2020.The SBK model was refined by incorporating heterogeneous carbon response functions.Our results reveal that carbon emissions(-3.88 Tg C·year^(-1))were four times greater than carbon uptakes(0.93 Tg C·year^(-1))from forest cover changes in the YRD during 2000-2020,despite a net forest cover gain of 10.95×10^(4) ha.These findings indicate that the carbon effect per hectare of forest cover loss is approximately 4.5 times that of forest cover gain.The asymmetric carbon effect suggests that forest cover change may act as a carbon source even with net-zero or net-positive forest cover change.Furthermore,carbon uptakes from forest gains in the YRD during 2000-2020 could only offset 0.28% of energy-related carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019.Urban and agricultural expansions accounted for 37% and 10% of carbon emissions,respectively,while the Grain for Green Project contributed to 45% of carbon uptakes.Our findings underscore the necessity of understanding the asymmetric carbon effects of forest cover loss and gain to accurately assess the capacity of forest carbon sinks.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundationof China(No.2011ZX05021-003)Science Foundation of ChinaUniversity of Petroleum
文摘Gravitational search algorithm(GSA) is a newly developed and promising algorithm based on the law of gravity and interaction between masses. This paper proposes an improved gravitational search algorithm(IGSA) to improve the performance of the GSA, and first applies it to the field of dynamic neural network identification. The IGSA uses trial-and-error method to update the optimal agent during the whole search process. And in the late period of the search, it changes the orbit of the poor agent and searches the optimal agent s position further using the coordinate descent method. For the experimental verification of the proposed algorithm,both GSA and IGSA are testified on a suite of four well-known benchmark functions and their complexities are compared. It is shown that IGSA has much better efficiency, optimization precision, convergence rate and robustness than GSA. Thereafter, the IGSA is applied to the nonlinear autoregressive exogenous(NARX) recurrent neural network identification for a magnetic levitation system.Compared with the system identification based on gravitational search algorithm neural network(GSANN) and other conventional methods like BPNN and GANN, the proposed algorithm shows the best performance.
文摘Climate is a critical factor affecting forest ecosystems and their capacity to produce goods and services. Effects of climate change on forests depend on ecosystem-specific factors including dimensions of climate （temperature, precipitation, drought, wind etc.）. Available infor- mation is not sufficient to support a quantitative assessment of the eco- logical, social and economic consequences. The present study assessed shifts in forest cover types of Western Himalayan Eco-region （700-4 500 m）. 100 randomly selected samples （75 for training and 25 for testing the model）, genetic algorithm of rule set parameters and climatic envelopes were used to assess the distribution of five prominent forest cover types （Temperate evergreen, Tropical semi-evergreen, Temperate conifer, Sub- tropical conifer, and Tropical moist deciduous forests）. Modelling was conducted for four different scenarios, current scenario, changed precipi- tation （8% increase）, changed temperature （1.07℃ increase）, and both changed temperature and precipitation. On increasing precipitation a downward shift in the temperate evergreen and tropical semi-evergreen was observed, while sub-tropical conifer and tropical moist-deciduous forests showed a slight upward shift and temperate conifer showed ＇no shift. On increasing temperatm＇e, an upward shift in all forest types was observed except sub-tropical conifer forests without significant changes. When both temperature and precipitation were changed, the actual dis- tribution was maintained and slight upward shift was observed in all the forest types except sub-tropical conifer. It is important to understand the likely impacts of the projected climate change on the forest ecosystems, so that better management and conservation strategies can be adopted for the biodiversity and forest dependent community. Knowledge of impact mechanisms also enables identification and mitigation of some of the conditions that increase vulnerability to climate change in the forest sector.
