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Funding Climate Change Haven Communities across the Political Spectrum: From Free-Market Capitalism to State-Directed Economies
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作者 Elizabeth C. Hirschman Emma Arnoux +3 位作者 Tze-Wei Huang Inez Latapia Hugo Rodriquez Carmen Vacas 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2025年第2期180-210,共31页
We examine possible funding sources for constructing Climate Change Haven Communities on a global basis. Areas of the planet that have the potential to house persons migrating to “safe havens” in their own or other ... We examine possible funding sources for constructing Climate Change Haven Communities on a global basis. Areas of the planet that have the potential to house persons migrating to “safe havens” in their own or other countries will require the rapid construction of communities capable of supporting them, their families, businesses and farms. However, different political-economic conditions are found across the areas which can serve as locations for these Climate Change Haven Communities. We develop funding and construction strategies for the United States (free-market capitalism), France and Spain (European Union supported economies), and Taiwan region (state-directed economy). The proposals for the Taiwan region should also be applicable to the rest of China. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change Haven Communities European Union France Climate change Spain Climate change Taiwan Region Climate change United States Climate change Free-Market Capitalism Industrial Revolution State-Directed Economies
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Promoting Climate Change Response through Green Financial Innovation
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作者 Feng Baoguo 《China Oil & Gas》 2025年第4期12-19,共8页
To address climate change and highlight its global nature,the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)was adopted for the first time in history within the UN framework on May 9,1992,clearly establ... To address climate change and highlight its global nature,the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)was adopted for the first time in history within the UN framework on May 9,1992,clearly establishing the obligations of developed countries to take the lead in emission reduction and provide financial,technological,and capacity-building support to developing countries.Particularly since the 2015 Paris Agreement,successive UN climate conferences have placed high emphasis on financial and technological matters,with financial arrangements demonstrating an increasingly specific trend in recent years.The Glasgow Climate Pact adopted in 2021 urges developed country Parties to deliver on their commitment to the goal of providing USD 100 billion to developing country prties,while also urging developed country parties to at least double their provision of climate finance to developing country parties by 2025 compared to 2019 levels. 展开更多
关键词 Paris Agreement emission reduction framework convention United Nations Framework Convention Climate change climate change unfccc green financial innovation un climate conferences climate change
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血清IL-6联合MoCA评分、CHANGE风险评分对急性脑卒中后认知障碍的多维度预测模型研究
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作者 郭莞莹 舒可 +2 位作者 王若怡 亚金蓉 杨鹤云 《现代生物医学进展》 2025年第18期2981-2987,共7页
目的:探讨血清白细胞介素-6(interleukin-6,IL-6)联合蒙特利尔认知评估量表(Montreal Cognitive Assessment,Mo CA)评分、CHANGE风险评分在急性脑卒中后认知障碍(post-stroke cognitive impairment,PSCI)的预测价值,为高风险患者早期识... 目的:探讨血清白细胞介素-6(interleukin-6,IL-6)联合蒙特利尔认知评估量表(Montreal Cognitive Assessment,Mo CA)评分、CHANGE风险评分在急性脑卒中后认知障碍(post-stroke cognitive impairment,PSCI)的预测价值,为高风险患者早期识别及干预提供依据。方法:回顾性分析2022年10月至2024年9月我院收治的200例急性脑卒中患者的一般资料,根据急性脑卒中后3个月是否发生PSCI分为PSCI组(49例)和非PSCI组(151例)。对比两组的一般资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析PSCI影响因素,并使用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线评估血清IL-6、MoCA评分及CHANGE风险评分对PSCI发生的预测效能。结果:两组年龄、受教育程度比较差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。PSCI组血清IL-6水平及CHANGE风险评分高于非PSCI组,MoCA评分低于非PSCI组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归显示IL-6水平升高(OR=1.851,P=0.001)、CHANGE风险评分升高(OR=1.076,P=0.016)是PSCI发生的独立危险因素,MoCA评分升高(OR=0.806,P=0.001)是保护因素(P<0.05)。IL-6水平、MoCA评分及CHANGE风险评分均对预测PSCI发生有较高的效能,三者单独预测PSCI发生的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)分别为0.783、0.825、0.857,三者联合检测AUC为0.912,显著高于各指标单独检测。结论:血清IL-6升高、MoCA评分降低及CHANGE风险评分升高是PSCI的危险因素,三者联合检测模型对PSCI发生的预测效能最高,可为临床早期干预提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 急性脑卒中 卒中后认知障碍 白细胞介素-6 蒙特利尔认知评估量表 changE风险评分
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Growth rates of three common South Florida tree species affected by climate change and urbanization
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作者 Manuel Bernal-Escobar James HSpeer +1 位作者 Lauren Coombs Kenneth JFeeley 《Journal of Forestry Research》 2025年第5期90-102,共13页
South Florida’s natural forest ecosystems,including pine rocklands and hardwood hammocks,are threatened by land use change and urbanization,invasive species,and climate change.It is critical to understand the respons... South Florida’s natural forest ecosystems,including pine rocklands and hardwood hammocks,are threatened by land use change and urbanization,invasive species,and climate change.It is critical to understand the responses of these ecosystems to anthropogenic disturbances to conserve the remnants of the USA natural subtropical forests.Using dendrochronology,long-term growth patterns were characterized in three dominant native tree species:Bursera simaruba,Swietenia mahagoni,and Pinus elliottii.Core samples were collected from>30 individuals of each species in hardwood hammocks(B.simaruba and S.mahagoni)and pine rocklands(P.elliottii)to examine growth patterns.Relationships between annual tree growth rates and climatic variables were assessed to address three questions:(1)What are the climatic drivers of growth in these three South Florida tree species?(2)Are their growth rates stable or changing through time?and(3)Are tree growth rates affected by urbanization?Standardized growth rates of the three species have changed through time,with small young trees showing accelerated growth through time,whereas larger,older trees showed declining growth rates.S.mahagoni and B.simaruba grew faster in urbanized parks than in more natural parks,whereas P.elliottii grew slower in urban parks.There were positive correlations between tree growth and the current year’s fall precipitation and no discernable effects of the current year’s monthly temperatures on growth rates of any of the species.These results suggest that the foundational tree species of the southern USA endangered pine rocklands and hardwood hammocks may be vulnerable to ongoing changes in precipitation and temperature as well as other environmental effects associated with urbanization. 展开更多
关键词 SUBTROPICS Dendrochronology Growth rate changes Climate change URBANIZATION
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Spatiotemporal Variations in Climatic Factors,Catchment Characteristic Induced Runoff Changes with Multi-Time Scales across the Contiguous United States
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作者 Xinglong Gong Shuping Du +1 位作者 Fengyu Li Yibo Ding 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第1期146-160,共15页
Previous works were mainly concentrated on long-term average runoff alterations,and extreme temperatures and watershed conditions are little analyzed.In this study,we collected gauged river flow and meteorological dat... Previous works were mainly concentrated on long-term average runoff alterations,and extreme temperatures and watershed conditions are little analyzed.In this study,we collected gauged river flow and meteorological data time series from 1916 to 2015 and 1941 to 2015 across the contiguous United States(CONUS)for 188 catchments to investigate the temporal trends and spatial features of runoff changes at multi-time scales.We also analyzed the relationships between runoff changes and climatic factors.Median descriptive statistics and Budyko coupled climate elasticity methods were used to calculate runoff elasticity in each time scale.The original Mann-Kendall trend test was used to test their trend significance in four time-scale(11,20,40,and 60 a),respectively.The results show that the trend of runoff changes is more significant in high time scales;total changes are heterogeneous over CONUS.After the 1970s,increases of up to 27%decade-1 were mainly concentrated in the mid-northern regions.Maximum temperature and catchment characteristics are vital factors for runoff alteration;runoff changes are independent of rainfall,and wet regions tend to have lower changes.These findings could help develop better regional water resource planning and management. 展开更多
关键词 catchment characteristics climate change slipping window runoff changes trend analysis runoff elasticity
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Climate change-based dynamic simulation of land use and carbon storage in urban agglomerations of the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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作者 PAN Sipei LIANG Jiale +3 位作者 GUO Jie CHEN Wanxu OU Minghao DE VRIES Walter T 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第7期1432-1458,共27页
Low-carbon urban development in China can pave the way to achieve the dualcarbon goal.Exploring how land use changes(LUCs)impact carbon storage(CS)under multi-climate scenarios in different urban agglomerations helps ... Low-carbon urban development in China can pave the way to achieve the dualcarbon goal.Exploring how land use changes(LUCs)impact carbon storage(CS)under multi-climate scenarios in different urban agglomerations helps to formulate differential scientific carbon mitigation policies.In this regard,this study constructs an integrated model of SD-PLUS-InVEST to simulate LUCs and CS changes under multi-climate change-based scenarios(SSP126,SSP245,SSP585)for three major urban agglomerations(3UAs)in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Results demonstrate that land use demand in the 3UAs changes considerably in each scenario.Construction land in the 3UAs remains the most important growth category for the coming decade,but its increase varies in different scenarios.CS in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration(YRDUA)and Mid-Yangtze River Urban Agglomeration(MYRUA)shows a similar downward trend under different scenarios,with scenario SSP245 decreasing the most,to 184,713.526 Tg and 384,459.729 Tg,respectively.CS in the Cheng-Yu(Chengdu-Chongqing)Urban Agglomeration(CYUA)exhibits the opposite upward trend,with scenario SSP126 increasing the most to 153,007.973 Tg.The major cause of CS loss remains the conversion of forest land to construction land in the YRDUA and MYRUA under different scenarios.However,in the CYUA,the conversion of forest land to cultivated land is the major driver of CS loss under scenario SSP126.In contrast,the conversion of cultivated land to construction land dominantly drives CS loss under scenarios SSP245 and SSP585.The conversion of water body to other land use types is the major cause of CS gain in the YRDUA and MYRUA under different scenarios.At the same time,in the CYUA,the driver is the conversion of cultivated land to forest land.These findings demonstrate the significance of the low-carbon development in urban agglomerations at different development stages at home and abroad. 展开更多
关键词 carbon storage land use change climate change SD-PLUS-InVEST model urban agglomerations China
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Runoff changes and influencing factors in the Nyang River Basin in Xizang
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作者 CAO Liang DONG Shi +2 位作者 WANG Yuyan LI Xingran CAO Pengxi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第10期3706-3720,共15页
This study aims to construct a large-scale hydrological Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model based on temperature and precipitation at high altitudes,while elucidating the applicability of the model for hydrologic... This study aims to construct a large-scale hydrological Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model based on temperature and precipitation at high altitudes,while elucidating the applicability of the model for hydrological simulation and analyzing the factors affecting runoff volume.Runoff volume and runoff depth were simulated using the VIC model and its performance was evaluated.Meanwhile,the factors affecting runoff volume were analyzed using Spearman correlation.The following model sensitivity parameters were obtained based on the China Natural Runoff Grid Point Dataset(CNRD v1.0):The variable infiltration curve parameter was 0.3,the Dsmax fraction where non-linear baseflow begins was 0.02,the maximum baseflow velocity was 15 mm/d,the maximum soil moisture where non-linear baseflow occurred was 0.7,the second soil moisture layer thickness was 0.3,and the thickness of the third soil moisture layer was 1.5.The surface runoff values in the Nyang River basin were similar in the first and fourth quarters(1.05–2.27 mm and 2.38–4.77 mm,respectively),and the surface runoff values were similar in the second and third quarters when the surface runoff was greater(23.46–52.20 mm and 60.59–85.63 mm,respectively).Watershed area,temperature,and precipitation significantly influenced the amount of runoff from the Nyang River.The applicability of the model to the Nyang River basin was confirmed using two different rate models.In some areas,precipitation and temperature did not have a dominating influence on runoff.Although the VIC model has significant advantages in runoff simulation,it requires a wealth of meteorological,soil,and hydrological data that may be difficult to obtain in some areas. 展开更多
关键词 Runoff changes Nyang river VIC model Meteorological changes Spearman correlation
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Dynamic changes of gravity field before the Luding Ms6.8 earthquake and its crustal material migration characteristics
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作者 Qingqing Tan Chongyang Shen +5 位作者 Jiapei Wang Xiong Yang Wen Jin Minghui Zhang Hongbo Tan Guangliang Yang 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2025年第2期214-222,共9页
On September 5, 2022, an earthquake of magnitude M_(S)6.8 occurred in Luding County, Sichuan Province.This earthquake occurred at the key part of the southeast-clockwise extrusion of material on the eastern margin of ... On September 5, 2022, an earthquake of magnitude M_(S)6.8 occurred in Luding County, Sichuan Province.This earthquake occurred at the key part of the southeast-clockwise extrusion of material on the eastern margin of the Qinghai Plateau, the Y-shaped confluence of the Xianshuihe, Longmenshan and Anninghe fault zones. In this study, the three-dimensional dynamic crustal density changes in the earthquake area are obtained by the typical gravity change data from 2019 to 2022 before the earthquake and gravity inversion by growing bodies. The results indicate that gravity changes presented an obvious fourquadrant and gradient belt distribution in the Luding area before the earthquake. The threedimensional density horizontal slices show that small density changes occurred at the epicenter in the mid-to-upper crust between 2019.9-2020.9 and 2019.9-2021.9. At the same time, the surrounding areas exhibited a positive and negative quadrant distribution. These observations indicate that the source region was likely in a stable locked state, with locking-in shear forces oriented in the NW and NE directions. From 2021.9 to 2022.8, the epicentral region showed negative density changes, indicating that the source region was in the expansion stage, approaching a near-seismic state. The three-dimensional density vertical slices reveal a southeastward migration of positive and negative densities near the epicenter and on the western of the Xianshuihe Fault Zone, indicating that the material is flowing out to the southeast. The observed local negative density changes at the epicenter along the Longmenshan Fault Zone are likely associated with the NE-oriented extensional stress shown by the seismic source mechanism. The above results can provide a basis for interpreting pre-earthquake gravity and density changes,thereby contributing to the advancement of earthquake precursor theory. 展开更多
关键词 Luding earthquake Gravity changes Three-dimensional density changes Gravity inversion
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Historical and future climate changes impact global solar photovoltaic power potential:Role of key meteorological variables
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作者 Chang Liu Lei Chen +4 位作者 Ke Li Xipeng Jin Xi Chen Wenhao Qiao Hong Liao 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第6期58-64,共7页
Renewable energy,especially solar power,is vital for mitigating global warming,while climate change also impacts solar photovoltaic potential(PVpot).This study analyzes historical(1985–2014)and future(2015–2100)clim... Renewable energy,especially solar power,is vital for mitigating global warming,while climate change also impacts solar photovoltaic potential(PVpot).This study analyzes historical(1985–2014)and future(2015–2100)climate effects on PVpot,and quantifies contributions from changed radiation,temperature,and wind speed.Historically,global PVpot increased by 0.42‰,with notable rises in eastern China(+7.1‰)and southern Europe(+3.5‰).By the end of the century,increased radiation-induced PVpot(+1.27‰)offsets temperatureinduced PVpot loss(−0.54‰)under SSP1-2.6,yielding a net PVpot increase(+0.74‰).Under SSP2-4.5,the temperature-induced PVpot decline(−1.50‰)drives the final PVpot reduction(−1.15‰).Under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5,combined radiation-induced(−1.94‰and−1.99‰)and temperature-induced PVpot changes(−2.67‰and−3.41‰)result in significant PVpot declines(−4.57‰and−5.31‰).Regional analysis reveals that eastern China(+0.7‰to+8.6‰),southern Europe(+0.3‰to+2.5‰),and Northwest South America(+0.6‰to+2.1‰)retain positive changes in future PVpot across all climate scenarios,which may be due to reduced aerosols and cloud cover,suggesting these areas can remain suitable for photovoltaic installations despite climate changes.In contrast,temperature-driven PVpot declines over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(−9.1‰to−4.3‰)and northern Africa(−9.3‰to−4.9‰)under future high-emission scenarios indicate that these historically advantageous regions will become less suitable for solar energy deployment.The findings underscore that climate changes driven by sustainable development pathways will generate more PVpot in the future for better global warming mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 Solar photovoltaic power potential Climate change Meteorological impact Historical and future change
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Coulomb stressing rate changes and seismicity dynamics associated with slow slip events in south-central Alaska
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作者 ShanShan Li XingLei Li Bing Xu 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 2025年第2期289-308,共20页
Two long-term slow slip events(SSEs) in Lower Cook Inlet, Alaska, were identified by Li SS et al.(2016). The earlier SSE lasted at least 9 years with M_(w) ~7.8 and had an average slip rate of ~82 mm/year. The latter ... Two long-term slow slip events(SSEs) in Lower Cook Inlet, Alaska, were identified by Li SS et al.(2016). The earlier SSE lasted at least 9 years with M_(w) ~7.8 and had an average slip rate of ~82 mm/year. The latter SSE, occurring in a similar area, lasted approximately 2 years with M_(w) ~7.2 and an average slip rate of ~91 mm/year. To test whether these SSEs triggered earthquakes near the slow slip area, we calculated the Coulomb stressing rate changes on receiver faults by using two fault geometry definitions: nodal planes of focal mechanism solutions of past earthquakes, and optimally oriented fault planes. Regions in the shallow slab(30–60 km) that experienced a significant increase in the Coulomb stressing rate due to slip by the SSEs showed an increase in seismicity rates during SSE periods. No correlation was found in the volumes that underwent a significant increase in the Coulomb stressing rate during the SSE within the crust and the intermediate slab. We modeled variations in seismicity rates by using a combination of the Coulomb stress transfer model and the framework of rate-and-state friction. Our model indicated that the SSEs increased the Coulomb stress changes on adjacent faults,thereby increasing the seismicity rates even though the ratio of the SSE stressing rate to the background stressing rate was small. Each long-term SSE in Alaska brought the megathrust updip of the SSE areas closer to failure by up to 0.1–0.15 MPa. The volumes of significant Coulomb stress changes caused by the Upper and Lower Cook Inlet SSEs did not overlap. 展开更多
关键词 slow slip events Coulomb stressing rate change seismicity rate change receiver fault rate–state stress transfer model seismogenic zone megathrust failure
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Effects of Future Climate and Cropland Use Changes on Rice Potential Yields in Hainan Island, China
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作者 PU Luoman XIANG Mengjun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2025年第3期438-453,共16页
Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop produc... Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop production.This study first simulates the climate scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 under the four Socio-economic Pathways(SSPs)based on the climate models in ScenarioMIP of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6),and then simulates the land use scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 based on the Cellular Automata(CA)-Markov model.Finally,based on the Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model,the rice potential yield in Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 are simulated,and the effects of future climate and cropland use changes on rice potential yields are investigated.The results show that:1)from 2020 to 2050,mean maximum temperature first decreases and then increases,while mean minimum temperature increase sharply followed by a leveling off under the four SSPs.Precipitation decreases and then increases under other three SSPs except SSP2-4.5.Net solar radiation increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,2-4.5,and 5-8.5,and has the lowest simulated values under SSP3-7.0.Mean wind speed increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,fluctuates more under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5,and increases slowly and then decreases sharply under SSP3-7.0.Relative humidity basically decreases continuously under the four SSPs.2)Areas of paddy field are 302.49 thousand,302.41 thousand and 302.71 thou-sand ha for 2030,2040 and 2050,respectively,all less than that in 2020.Paddy field is mainly converted into built-up land and wood-land.As for the conversion of other land types to paddy field,woodland is the main source.3)Under the effects of future climate and cropland use changes,the mean potential productions in Hainan Island under the four SSPs increase 1.17 million,1.13 million and 1.11 million t,respectively,and the mean potential yields increase 3873.21,3766.71 and 3672.38 kg/ha,respectively for the three periods.The largest increases in mean rice potential production and mean potential yield are 1.21 million t and 4008.00 kg/ha,1.16 million t and 3846.65 kg/ha,as well as 1.13 million t and 3732.75 kg/ha,respectively under SSP 3-7.0,indicating that SSP3-7.0 is the most suitable scenario for rice growth.This study could provide scientific basis for crop planting planning and agricultural policy adjustment. 展开更多
关键词 rice potential yield climate change cropland use change Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model CA-Markov mod-el Hainan Island China
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Impact of climate change and land use/cover change on water yield in the Liaohe River Basin,Northeast China
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作者 LYU Leting JIANG Ruifeng +1 位作者 ZHENG Defeng LIANG Liheng 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第2期182-199,共18页
The Liaohe River Basin(LRB)in Northeast China,a critical agricultural and industrial zone,has faced escalating water resource pressures in recent decades due to rapid urbanization,intensified land use changes,and clim... The Liaohe River Basin(LRB)in Northeast China,a critical agricultural and industrial zone,has faced escalating water resource pressures in recent decades due to rapid urbanization,intensified land use changes,and climate variability.Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of water yield and its driving factors is essential for sustainable water resource management in this ecologically sensitive region.This study employed the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)model to quantify the spatiotemporal patterns of water yield in the LRB(dividing into six sub-basins from east to west:East Liaohe River Basin(ELRB),Taizi River Basin(TRB),Middle Liaohe River Basin(MLRB),West Liaohe River Basin(WLRB),Xinkai River Basin(XRB),and Wulijimuren River Basin(WRB))from 1993 to 2022,with a focus on the impacts of climate change and land use cover change(LUCC).Results revealed that the LRB had an average annual precipitation of 483.15 mm,with an average annual water yield of 247.54 mm,both showing significant upward trend over the 30-a period.Spatially,water yield demonstrated significant heterogeneity,with higher values in southeastern sub-basins and lower values in northwestern sub-basins.The TRB exhibited the highest water yield due to abundant precipitation and favorable topography,while the WRB recorded the lowest water yield owing to arid conditions and sparse vegetation.Precipitation played a significant role in shaping the annual fluctuations and total volume of water yield,with its variability exerting substantially greater impacts than actual evapotranspiration(AET)and LUCC.However,LUCC,particularly cultivated land expansion and grassland reduction,significantly reshaped the spatial distribution of water yield by modifying surface runoff and infiltration patterns.This study provides critical insights into the spatiotemporal dynamics of water yield in the LRB,emphasizing the synergistic effects of climate change and land use change,which are pivotal for optimizing water resource management and advancing regional ecological conservation. 展开更多
关键词 Liaohe River Basin water yield Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)model climate change land use cover change(LUCC)
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Near real-time monitoring of carbon effects from continuous forest change in rapidly urbanizing region of China from 2000 to 2020
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作者 Dou Zhang Xiaojing Tang +5 位作者 Shuaizhi Lu Xiaolei Geng Zhaowu Yu Yujing Xie Si Peng Xiangrong Wang 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第4期688-700,共13页
Forest carbon sinks are crucial for mitigating urban climate change.Their effectiveness depends on the balance between gross carbon losses and gains.However,quantitative and continuous monitoring of forest change/dist... Forest carbon sinks are crucial for mitigating urban climate change.Their effectiveness depends on the balance between gross carbon losses and gains.However,quantitative and continuous monitoring of forest change/disturbance carbon fluxes is still insufficient.To address this gap,we integrated an improved spatial carbon bookkeeping(SBK)model with the continuous change detection and classification(CCDC)algorithm,long-term Landsat observations,and ground measurements to track carbon emissions,uptakes,and net changes from forest cover changes in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)of China from 2000 to 2020.The SBK model was refined by incorporating heterogeneous carbon response functions.Our results reveal that carbon emissions(-3.88 Tg C·year^(-1))were four times greater than carbon uptakes(0.93 Tg C·year^(-1))from forest cover changes in the YRD during 2000-2020,despite a net forest cover gain of 10.95×10^(4) ha.These findings indicate that the carbon effect per hectare of forest cover loss is approximately 4.5 times that of forest cover gain.The asymmetric carbon effect suggests that forest cover change may act as a carbon source even with net-zero or net-positive forest cover change.Furthermore,carbon uptakes from forest gains in the YRD during 2000-2020 could only offset 0.28% of energy-related carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019.Urban and agricultural expansions accounted for 37% and 10% of carbon emissions,respectively,while the Grain for Green Project contributed to 45% of carbon uptakes.Our findings underscore the necessity of understanding the asymmetric carbon effects of forest cover loss and gain to accurately assess the capacity of forest carbon sinks. 展开更多
关键词 Continuous forest cover change Asymmetric carbon effects Continuous change detection and classification(CCDC)algorithm Improved spatial carbon bookkeeping(SBK)model Google Earth Engine(GEE)
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Lamina combination characteristics and differential shale oil enrichment mechanisms of continental organic-rich shale:A case study of Triassic Yanchang Formation Chang 73 sub-member,Ordos Basin,NW China
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作者 NIU Xiaobing LYU Chengfu +5 位作者 FENG Shengbin ZHOU Qianshan XIN Honggang XIAO Yueye LI Cheng DAN Weidong 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 2025年第2期316-329,共14页
The lamina(combination)types,reservoir characteristics and shale oil occurrence states of organic-rich shale in the Triassic Yanchang Formation Chang 73 sub-member in the Ordos Basin were systematically investigated t... The lamina(combination)types,reservoir characteristics and shale oil occurrence states of organic-rich shale in the Triassic Yanchang Formation Chang 73 sub-member in the Ordos Basin were systematically investigated to reveal the main controlling factors of shale oil occurrence under different lamina combinations.The differential enrichment mechanisms and patterns of shale oil were discussed using the shale oil micro-migration characterization and evaluation methods from the perspectives of relay hydrocarbon supply,stepwise migration,and multi-stage differentiation.The results are obtained in five aspects.First,Chang 73 shale mainly develops five types of lamina combination,i.e.non-laminated shale,sandy laminated shale,tuffaceous laminated shale,mixed laminated shale,and organic-rich laminated shale.Second,shales with different lamina combinations are obviously different in the reservoir space.Specifically,shales with sandy laminae and tuffaceous laminae have a large number of intergranular pores,dissolution pores and hydrocarbon generation-induced fractures.The multi-scale pore and fracture system constitutes the main place for liquid hydrocarbon occurrence.Third,the occurrence and distribution of shale oil in shale with different lamina combinations are jointly controlled by organic matter abundance,reservoir property,thermal evolution degree,mineral composition and laminae scale.The micro-nano-scale pore-fracture networks within shales containing rigid laminae,particularly sandy and tuffaceous laminations,primarily contain free-state light hydrocarbon components.In contrast,adsorption-phase heavy hydrocarbon components predominantly occupy surfaces of organic matter assemblages,clay mineral matrices,and framework mineral particulates.Fourth,there is obvious shale oil micro-migration between shales with different lamina combinations in Chang 73.Generally,such micro-migration is stepwise in a sequence of organic-rich laminated shale→tuffaceous laminated shale→mixed laminated shale→sandy lamiated shale→non-laminated shale.Fifth,the relay hydrocarbon supply of organic matter under the control of the spatial superposition of shales with various laminae,the stepwise migration via multi-scale pore and fracture network,and the multi-differentiation in shales with different lamina combinations under the control of organic-inorganic interactions fundamentally decide the differences of shale oil components between shales with different lamina combinations. 展开更多
关键词 organic-rich shale lamina combination characteristics differential enrichment mechanism shale oil chang 73 sub-member Triassic Yanchang Formation Ordos Basin
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Theories and applications of phase-change related rock mechanics in oil and gas reservoirs
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作者 JIN Yan LIN Botao +3 位作者 GAO Yanfang PANG Huiwen GUO Xuyang SHENTU Junjie 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 2025年第1期157-169,共13页
Considering the three typical phase-change related rock mechanics phenomena during drilling and production in oil and gas reservoirs,which include phase change of solid alkane-related mixtures upon heating,sand liquef... Considering the three typical phase-change related rock mechanics phenomena during drilling and production in oil and gas reservoirs,which include phase change of solid alkane-related mixtures upon heating,sand liquefaction induced by sudden pressure release of the over-pressured sand body,and formation collapse due to gasification of pore fillings from pressure reduction,this study first systematically analyzes the progress of theoretical understanding,experimental methods,and mathematical representation,then discusses the engineering application scenarios corresponding to the three phenomena and reveals the mechanical principles and application effectiveness.Based on these research efforts,the study further discusses the significant challenges,potential developmental trends,and research approaches that require urgent exploration.The findings disclose that various phase-related rock mechanics phenomena require specific experimental and mathematical methods that can produce multi-field coupling mechanical mechanisms,which will eventually instruct the control on resource exploitation,evaluation on disaster level,and analysis of formation stability.To meet the development needs of the principle,future research efforts should focus on mining more phase-change related rock mechanics phenomena during oil and gas resources exploitation,developing novel experimental equipment,and using techniques of artificial intelligence and digital twins to implement real-time simulation and dynamic visualization of phase-change related rock mechanics. 展开更多
关键词 oil and gas reservoir phase-change related rock mechanics phase change engineering application multi-field coupling experimental device artificial intelligence
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Mechanisms of fine-grained sedimentation and reservoir characteristics of shale oil in continental freshwater lacustrine basin:A case study from Chang 7_(3) sub-member of Triassic Yanchang Formation in southwestern Ordos Basin,NW China
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作者 LIU Xianyang LIU Jiangyan +6 位作者 WANG Xiujuan GUO Qiheng Lv Qiqi YANG Zhi ZHANG Yan ZHANG Zhongyi ZHANG Wenxuan 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 2025年第1期95-111,共17页
Based on recent advancements in shale oil exploration within the Ordos Basin,this study presents a comprehensive investigation of the paleoenvironment,lithofacies assemblages and distribution,depositional mechanisms,a... Based on recent advancements in shale oil exploration within the Ordos Basin,this study presents a comprehensive investigation of the paleoenvironment,lithofacies assemblages and distribution,depositional mechanisms,and reservoir characteristics of shale oil of fine-grained sediment deposition in continental freshwater lacustrine basins,with a focus on the Chang 7_(3) sub-member of Triassic Yanchang Formation.The research integrates a variety of exploration data,including field outcrops,drilling,logging,core samples,geochemical analyses,and flume simulation.The study indicates that:(1)The paleoenvironment of the Chang 7_(3) deposition is characterized by a warm and humid climate,frequent monsoon events,and a large water depth of freshwater lacustrine basin.The paleogeomorphology exhibits an asymmetrical pattern,with steep slopes in the southwest and gentle slopes in the northeast,which can be subdivided into microgeomorphological units,including depressions and ridges in lakebed,as well as ancient channels.(2)The Chang 7_(3) sub-member is characterized by a diverse array of fine-grained sediments,including very fine sandstone,siltstone,mudstone and tuff.These sediments are primarily distributed in thin interbedded and laminated arrangements vertically.The overall grain size of the sandstone predominantly falls below 62.5μm,with individual layer thicknesses of 0.05–0.64 m.The deposits contain intact plant fragments and display various sedimentary structure,such as wavy bedding,inverse-to-normal grading sequence,and climbing ripple bedding,which indicating a depositional origin associated with density flows.(3)Flume simulation experiments have successfully replicated the transport processes and sedimentary characteristics associated with density flows.The initial phase is characterized by a density-velocity differential,resulting in a thicker,coarser sediment layer at the flow front,while the upper layers are thinner and finer in grain size.During the mid-phase,sliding water effects cause the fluid front to rise and facilitate rapid forward transport.This process generates multiple“new fronts”,enabling the long-distance transport of fine-grained sandstones,such as siltstone and argillaceous siltstone,into the center of the lake basin.(4)A sedimentary model primarily controlled by hyperpynal flows was established for the southwestern part of the basin,highlighting that the frequent occurrence of flood events and the steep slope topography in this area are primary controlling factors for the development of hyperpynal flows.(5)Sandstone and mudstone in the Chang 7_(3) sub-member exhibit micro-and nano-scale pore-throat systems,shale oil is present in various lithologies,while the content of movable oil varies considerably,with sandstone exhibiting the highest content of movable oil.(6)The fine-grained sediment complexes formed by multiple episodes of sandstones and mudstones associated with density flow in the Chang 7_(3) formation exhibit characteristics of“overall oil-bearing with differential storage capacity”.The combination of mudstone with low total organic carbon content(TOC)and siltstone is identified as the most favorable exploration target at present. 展开更多
关键词 fine-grained sedimentation density flow mode flume simulation experiments reservoir characteristics chang 7_(3)sub-member Triassic Yanchang Formation shale oil Ordos Basin
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木质素-稻草改良土的力学特性与修正Duncan-Chang模型 被引量:1
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作者 覃诗卉 江学良 +3 位作者 杨慧 陈晓洁 沈维焕 尹红乖 《湖南城市学院学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第1期8-15,共8页
木质素具有胶结土体的作用,稻草纤维也具备提高土体抗剪强度的能力,而采用木质素和稻草共同改良红黏土的研究相对较少。本文通过固结不排水三轴试验,获得了木质素-稻草改良土在不同围压和不同木质素掺量下的应力-应变曲线,并据此研究该... 木质素具有胶结土体的作用,稻草纤维也具备提高土体抗剪强度的能力,而采用木质素和稻草共同改良红黏土的研究相对较少。本文通过固结不排水三轴试验,获得了木质素-稻草改良土在不同围压和不同木质素掺量下的应力-应变曲线,并据此研究该改良土的力学特性;同时通过建立修正Duncan-Chang模型,来分析木质素掺量对模型参数的影响。研究结果表明:改良土主应力差随木质素掺量的增加先增大后减小,当木质素的掺量为0.7%时,其到达最大值;改良土初始变形模量Ei、极限偏应力(σ1-σ3)ult、黏聚力c、内摩擦角φ及参数K均随木质素掺量的增加先增大后减小,参数n随木质素掺量的增加而增大,而破坏比Rf受木质素掺量的影响较小。 展开更多
关键词 木质素 纤维加筋土 红黏土 三轴试验 应力-应变关系 修正Duncan-chang模型
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Carbon-based porous materials for performance-enhanced composite phase change materials in thermal energy storage:Materials,fabrication and applications 被引量:3
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作者 Lei Hu Li Zhang +4 位作者 Wei Cui Qinyou An Ting Ma Qiuwang Wang Liqiang Mai 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 2025年第7期204-226,共23页
Latent heat thermal energy storage(TES)effectively reduces the mismatch between energy supply and demand of renewable energy sources by the utilization of phase change materials(PCMs).However,the low thermal conductiv... Latent heat thermal energy storage(TES)effectively reduces the mismatch between energy supply and demand of renewable energy sources by the utilization of phase change materials(PCMs).However,the low thermal conductivity and poor shape stability are the main drawbacks in realizing the large-scale application of PCMs.Promisingly,developing composite PCM(CPCM)based on porous supporting mate-rial provides a desirable solution to obtain performance-enhanced PCMs with improved effective thermal conductivity and shape stability.Among all the porous matrixes as supports for PCM,three-dimensional carbon-based porous supporting material has attracted considerable attention ascribing to its high ther-mal conductivity,desirable loading capacity of PCMs,and excellent chemical compatibility with various PCMs.Therefore,this work systemically reviews the CPCMs with three-dimensional carbon-based porous supporting materials.First,a concise rule for the fabrication of CPCMs is illustrated in detail.Next,the experimental and computational research of carbon nanotube-based support,graphene-based support,graphite-based support and amorphous carbon-based support are reviewed.Then,the applications of the shape-stabilized CPCMs including thermal management and thermal conversion are illustrated.Last but not least,the challenges and prospects of the CPCMs are discussed.To conclude,introducing carbon-based porous materials can solve the liquid leakage issue and essentially improve the thermal conductivity of PCMs.However,there is still a long way to further develop a desirable CPCM with higher latent heat capacity,higher thermal conductivity,and more excellent shape stability. 展开更多
关键词 Thermal energy storage Phase change material Supporting material Carbon-based material Thermal conductivity Shape-stabilized composite
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Macular microvascular and structural changes on optical coherence tomography angiography in atypical optic neuritis 被引量:1
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作者 Chinmay Mahatme Madhurima Kaushik +2 位作者 Veerappan Rathinasabapathy Saravanan Karthik Kumar Virna M Shah 《World Journal of Methodology》 2025年第1期88-94,共7页
BACKGROUND Atypical optic neuritis,consisting of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders(NMOSD)or myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody disease(MOGAD),has a very similar presentation but different prognostic im... BACKGROUND Atypical optic neuritis,consisting of neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders(NMOSD)or myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody disease(MOGAD),has a very similar presentation but different prognostic implications and longterm management strategies.Vascular and metabolic factors are being thought to play a role in such autoimmune neuro-inflammatory disorders,apart from the obvious immune mediated damage.With the advent of optical coherence tomography angiography(OCTA),it is easy to pick up on these subclinical macular microvascular and structural changes.AIM To study the macular microvascular and structural changes on OCTA in atypical optic neuritis.METHODS This observational cross-sectional study involved 8 NMOSD and 17 MOGAD patients,diagnosed serologically,as well as 10 healthy controls.Macular vascular density(MVD)and ganglion cell+inner plexiform layer thickness(GCIPL)were studied using OCTA.RESULTS There was a significant reduction in MVD in NMOSD and MOGAD affected as well as unaffected eyes when compared with healthy controls.NMOSD and MOGAD affected eyes had significant GCIPL thinning compared with healthy controls.NMOSD unaffected eyes did not show significant GCIPL thinning compared to healthy controls in contrast to MOGAD unaffected eyes.On comparing NMOSD with MOGAD,there was no significant difference in terms of MVD or GCIPL in the affected or unaffected eyes.CONCLUSION Although significant microvascular and structural changes are present on OCTA between atypical optic neuritis and normal patients,they could not help in differentiating between NMOSD and MOGAD cases. 展开更多
关键词 Optical coherence tomography angiography Atypical optic neuritis Macular microvascular changes Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody disorder
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Exploring the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of vegetation changes in subtropical humid karst region under CO_(2)fertilization 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Meng ZHOU Qiuwen +1 位作者 PENG Dawei YAN Weihong 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第1期65-87,共23页
Terrestrial ecosystems heavily depend on vegetation,which responds to carbon dioxide(CO_(2))fertilization in hot and humid regions.The subtropical humid karst region is a hot and humid region;whether and to what exten... Terrestrial ecosystems heavily depend on vegetation,which responds to carbon dioxide(CO_(2))fertilization in hot and humid regions.The subtropical humid karst region is a hot and humid region;whether and to what extent CO_(2)fertilization affects vegetation changes in such regions remains unclear.In this study,we investigated the degree to which CO_(2)fertilization influences vegetation changes,along with their spatial and temporal differences,in the subtropical humid karst region using time-lag effect analysis,a random forest model,and multiple regression analysis.Results showed that CO_(2)fertilization plays an important role in vegetation changes,exhibiting clear spatial variations across different geomorphological zones,with its degree of influence ranging mainly between 11%and 25%.The highest contribution of CO_(2)fertilization was observed in the karst basin and non-karstic region,whereas the lowest contribution was found in the karst plateau region.Previous studies have primarily attributed vegetation changes in subtropical humid karst region to ecological engineering,leading to an overestimation of its contribution to these changes.The findings of this study enhance the understanding of the mechanism of vegetation changes in humid karst region and provide theoretical and practical insights for ecological and environmental protection in these regions. 展开更多
关键词 KARST vegetation changes NDVI driving factors carbon dioxide FERTILIZATION
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