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Research on the Application of Cash Flow Forecasting Models in Enterprise Investment and Financing Decisions
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作者 Chenxu Wang 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2025年第5期162-168,共7页
Cash flow is a core element for enterprises to maintain operations and development.Cash flow forecasting models,through systematic analysis of an enterprise’s historical cash flow data,trends in operating activities,... Cash flow is a core element for enterprises to maintain operations and development.Cash flow forecasting models,through systematic analysis of an enterprise’s historical cash flow data,trends in operating activities,and external environmental factors,scientifically predict the scale,direction,and fluctuation of cash flow within a certain period in the future.This article focuses on the application of cash flow forecasting models in enterprise investment and financing decisions,sorts out the types and core functions of the models,analyzes their specific roles in investment project screening,financing plan formulation,risk prevention and control,and fund allocation,points out the existing problems in current applications,and proposes optimization paths.Research shows that the scientific application of cash flow forecasting models can enhance the accuracy and rationality of enterprises’investment and financing decisions,and help enterprises achieve sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 cash flow forecasting model Enterprise investment decision-making Enterprise financing decisions Capital allocation Risk prevention and control
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Analysis of XCMG's Capital Return Payment Capability from the Perspective of Free Cash Flow
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作者 Qinzhao Luo Yuqiang Chen +1 位作者 Haojie Liao Kangqiao Xu 《Journal of Frontier in Economic and Management Research》 2025年第1期350-362,共13页
This study investigates the dynamic evolutionary trajectory of XCMG's capital return payment capacity through the lens of free cash flow(FCF),leveraging the company’s financial data spanning the period from 1998 ... This study investigates the dynamic evolutionary trajectory of XCMG's capital return payment capacity through the lens of free cash flow(FCF),leveraging the company’s financial data spanning the period from 1998 to 2024.By integrating free cash flow metrics with indicators of debt-servicing capability and profit quality,the research conducts a systematic analysis of the core determinants that shape the firm’s ability to meet capital return obligations.The findings reveal that both FCF1 and FCF2 of XCMG exhibit pronounced cyclical volatility;moreover,the rigid growth of interest expenses has the effect of amplifying cash flow gaps,which in turn renders the capital return payment capacity highly sensitive to external financing sources during periods of industry downturn.In light of these results,the paper puts forward a set of recommendations,including the compression of leverage ratios,the optimization of investment pacing,and the strengthening of cash recovery mechanisms,with the aim of providing empirical evidence to support the construction machinery industry in enhancing free cash flow creativity and realizing high-quality development. 展开更多
关键词 free cash flow(FCF) capital return payment ability debt repayment ability earnings quality
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Research on the Impact of Free Cash Flow on Corporate Financing Constraints
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作者 TianHao Li HaoJie Liao YaoChen Wen 《Journal of Frontier in Economic and Management Research》 2025年第1期338-349,共12页
Free cash flow and financing constraints can exert significant influences on the operational development of enterprises.Based on the pecking order theory and using data from A-share listed companies in China,this pape... Free cash flow and financing constraints can exert significant influences on the operational development of enterprises.Based on the pecking order theory and using data from A-share listed companies in China,this paper employs fixed-effects models and moderation effect models to examine the relationship and mechanisms between enterprises'free cash flow generation capacity and their financing constraints.The study found that:(1)Free cash flow can alleviate corporate financing constraints.(2)Corporate performance plays a positive moderating role in the impact of free cash flow on financing constraints.(3)The impact of free cash flow on financing constraints is weaker in state-owned enterprises compared to non-state-owned enterprises.The findings of this paper imply that free cash flow can have a significant impact on corporate financing activities.Therefore,enterprises should pay more attention to their cash flow indicators,signaling their operational stability and risk management capabilities to the outside world,thereby reducing the level of financing constraints faced by the enterprise. 展开更多
关键词 Free cash flow Financing Constraints Signaling Effect
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Alternative measure of financial development and investment-cash flow sensitivity:evidence from an emerging economy 被引量:1
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作者 Gaurav Gupta Jitendra Mahakud 《Financial Innovation》 2019年第1期1-28,共28页
This study examines the impact of financial development on corporate investment in terms of their influence on financing constraints.This study also tries to find the effect of financial development on the investment-... This study examines the impact of financial development on corporate investment in terms of their influence on financing constraints.This study also tries to find the effect of financial development on the investment-cash flow sensitivity across the size,degree of financial constraints and group affiliation of the firm.This study employs dynamic panel data model or more specifically system generalized method of moments(GMM)estimation technique.The estimation results reveal that cash flow affects the investment decision of the company positively,which implies that Indian firms are financially constrained.Also,we observe that financial development reduces the investment-cash flow sensitivity and the effect of financial development is more prominent for small size and standalone firms.The results are robust across the period and,for both financially constrained and unconstrained firms.This study contributes to the existing literature by analyzing the impact of financial development on the role of cash flow in determining investments undertaken by the Indian firms,which is an unexplored issue from an emerging market perspective. 展开更多
关键词 Business groups cash flow Corporate investment Financial constraints Financial development Firm size Generalized method of moments
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Financial reporting of cash flow: Arbitrary items and management preferences 被引量:1
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作者 Lau Chee Kwong 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2010年第4期1-14,25,共15页
The international financial reporting standard for cash flow statement (IAS 7) provides options for the classification of certain cash flow items (arbitrary items). Therefore, business firms may classify the arbit... The international financial reporting standard for cash flow statement (IAS 7) provides options for the classification of certain cash flow items (arbitrary items). Therefore, business firms may classify the arbitrary items using the option that would maximize their own interest. This reduces the comparability of financial statements amongst business firms. This study aims to investigate the factors explaining management preferences in the selection of financial reporting practices on the arbitrary cash flow items. It concludes that managers tend to magnify the CFO reported in order to maximize the shareholders' wealth, which in turn would maximize their compensation. Managers of business firms with a relatively smaller size of CFO tend to classify interest paid and dividends paid as non-CFO in order to magnify their CFO. They also tend to classify interest received as CFO in order to inflate their relatively smaller size of CFO up to expectation. Similarly, managers of business firms with a relative larger size of dividends paid would classify the dividends paid outside CFO. 展开更多
关键词 cash flow reporting arbitrary items management preference
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Financial frictions and the cash flow – external financing sensitivity: evidence from a panel of Pakistani firms
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作者 Abdul Rashid Noshaba Jabeen 《Financial Innovation》 2018年第1期222-241,共20页
This paper uses a large panel of Pakistani non-financial firms over the period 2000-2013 to examine the role of financial constraints in establishing the relationship between cash flow and external financing.The resul... This paper uses a large panel of Pakistani non-financial firms over the period 2000-2013 to examine the role of financial constraints in establishing the relationship between cash flow and external financing.The results reveal that there exists a negative and significant relationship between external financing and cash flow.The finding of the substitutionary relation between internal funds availability and external financing has been viewed as evidence supporting the pecking order theory of capital structure.Yet,we show that this negative relationship is weak in case of financially constrained firms.We also analyze how credit multiplier affects external financing decisions of financially constrained and unconstrained firms.The results show that for financially unconstrained firms,the negative sensitively of external financing increases with asset tangibility.However,for financially constrained firms,the negative sensitivity of external financing to cash flow either decreases or turns positive as the tangibility of assets increases.This finding implies that financially constrained firms benefit more from investing in tangible assets because such assets not only help relax financial constraints but also having a potential to be a direct source of funds in periods of negative cash flow shocks. 展开更多
关键词 External financing cash flows Internally generated funds Financial constraints Investment Credit multiplier
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An empirical study on information content of accounting earnings and cash flow
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作者 JIANG Bo 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2009年第7期44-48,共5页
Based on deep analyzing the colluding and checking relation of income statement and cash flow statement, this paper chooses and designs the corresponding profit index, carries on the comparative study of information c... Based on deep analyzing the colluding and checking relation of income statement and cash flow statement, this paper chooses and designs the corresponding profit index, carries on the comparative study of information content between accounting earnings and cash flows. The paper utilizes the financial data of Chinese listed company in manufacturing industry from 2003 to 2005, adopts the price model and analyzes empirical study about two kinds of profit indexes and value relevance. Studies have suggested: accounting earnings and cash flows all have relevant relations to stock prices; however, the relevance between cash flow and stock price is stronger, and cash flows have higher information quality. 展开更多
关键词 accounting earnings cash flow earnings index listed company value relevance
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The Impact of Carbon Emissions on Asset Values and Operating Cash Flows: Evidence From Australian Listed Companies
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作者 Li Yongqing Ian Eddie Liu Jinghui 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2013年第1期94-111,共18页
In November 2011, the Australian government approved the legislation (Clean Energy Act 2011) to introduce a reduction plan of carbon emissions in Australia. This plan will be implemented from July 2012. This is one ... In November 2011, the Australian government approved the legislation (Clean Energy Act 2011) to introduce a reduction plan of carbon emissions in Australia. This plan will be implemented from July 2012. This is one of the first accounting studies to investigate the potential impacts of this plan on long-lived asset values and operating cash flows for Australian listed companies. A sample of Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 indexed companies from 2'006 to 2010 is used. Hypotheses are tested based on Heckman's (1979) two-stage approach. Three regression models are developed to examine the association between carbon emissions and asset values/operating cash flows. This study finds that asset values and operating cash flows will be adversely affected, if the reduction plan is implemented. Specifically, this study finds that the book value of long-lived assets will decrease, if listed companies are considered to be emissions-liable. The book value of long-lived assets is further found to be negatively associated with listed companies' carbon emission levels. This study also demonstrates that operating cash flows of emissions-liable companies will be adversely affected. However, this study does not find a relationship between operating cash flows and companies' emission levels. The empirical findings from Australian listed companies provide the evidence that the reduction plan of carbon emissions will adversely affect corporate entities' asset values and operating cash flows. The results further indicate that the magnitude of the impact will be proportional to the companies' emission levels. The implications of these empirical findings for listed companies, for the accounting profession, and for carbon emission regulators are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 carbon emissions reduction asset values operating cash flows AUSTRALIA
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Evaluation of the asset's value by using fuzzy two-stage discounted cash flow model
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作者 LI Yao-kuang ZHANG Xiao-wei ANG Chao-wen 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2009年第11期19-27,共9页
This paper establishes the fuzzy discounted cash flow model to settle the uncertainties of the cash flow and discount rate in two-stage DCF model, to take the imprecise of the time period of the supernormal growth pha... This paper establishes the fuzzy discounted cash flow model to settle the uncertainties of the cash flow and discount rate in two-stage DCF model, to take the imprecise of the time period of the supernormal growth phase with considering the investor's attitude to risk. Firstly, the discount rate and the growth rate are fuzzified as triangular fuzzy numbers in this fuzzy discounted cash flow model. Then the intrinsic value of an asset can be evaluated by the arithmetic operation on interval and λ- signed distance method under the framework of DCF approach. Finally, a listed company at Shanghai Stock Exchange is analyzed as the case to demonstrate the process of stock value calculation by the fuzzy discounted cash flow model. 展开更多
关键词 cash flow triangular fuzzy number INTERVAL λ - signed distance method
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Continuing Value Calculation with Discounted Cash Flows Method: An Application Example for Tekart Tourism Establishment Whose Shares Are Dealt in Istanbul Stock Exchange
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作者 Eda Rukiye Donbak Ismail Ukav 《Journal of Tourism and Hospitality Management》 2016年第3期139-145,共7页
Valuation is stated as monetary value belonging to firm assets (Verginis & Taylor, 2004). According to M. L. Rock, R. H. Rock, and Sikora (1994), valuation is the answer of the following questions: What is the m... Valuation is stated as monetary value belonging to firm assets (Verginis & Taylor, 2004). According to M. L. Rock, R. H. Rock, and Sikora (1994), valuation is the answer of the following questions: What is the maximum price that will be paid for the firm? What are the risk areas? What are the results of cash flows, profitability, and balance-sheet? Chambers (2005, p. 5), on the other hand, estimated a probable price that will be paid for the goods and service at a specific time. For the calculation of continuing value (CV), Verginis and Taylor (2004) used discounted cash flows (DCF) method and Onal, Karadeniz, and Kandlr (2005) used economic profit method. Klrh (2005) suggested Continuous and Constant Growing Model (Gordon Model), Value Driver Model, and Economic Profit Model. In this study, DCF which is suggested by Onal et al. (2005) and Verginis and Taylor (2004) is used for the aim of determining CV of the firm at issue. In this study, analyses are made by using the financial statement data of a tourism business whose shares are dealt in Istanbul Stock Exchange. In consequence of the calculations, CV of the examined firm is found to be 7,485,402 TL and firm value is found to be 15,195,366 TL. 展开更多
关键词 firm evaluation continuing value (CV) discounted cash flows (DCF) discount rates
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Empirical Research on Accounting Profits and Net Cash Flow of Chinese Public Companies ——Analysis Based on Profitability
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作者 Dan Yang Fusheng Wang Xiaoli Du 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2006年第4期31-36,共6页
In traditional analysis,enterprises'performance evaluation largely depends on profits indices,which results in the public companies'strong pursuit of accounting profits and neglect of net cash flow.It is of gr... In traditional analysis,enterprises'performance evaluation largely depends on profits indices,which results in the public companies'strong pursuit of accounting profits and neglect of net cash flow.It is of great significance to study this phenomenon in public companies for it can help to evaluate their profitability correctly.By making an empirical research on the status quo of the medical public companies'accounting profits,net cash flow,receivable and prepaid items,it is found that the phenomenon that the current accounting profits and net cash flow are inconsistent universally exists in the public companies;the current growth rates of accounts receivable,notes receivable,other accounts receivable and accounts prepaid in the companies which the phenomenon exists in are higher than those in other companies and the industrial average,especially for the latter two items;this phenomenon in economically developed areas is more obvious than in other areas.How to avoid the contradiction of accounting profits and net cash flow in the public companies?Firstly,the credit risk awareness and management should be strengthened.Secondly,cash budget management should be enhanced.Finally,the index system of evaluation of the public companies'operating performance should be improved. 展开更多
关键词 accounting profits net cash flow public company
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Prediction Ability of Cash Flows, Net Income (NI), and Auditors
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作者 Tae G. Ryu Barbara Uliss 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2014年第2期147-154,共8页
The accounting information should help investors and creditors evaluate the amounts, timing, and uncertainty of firms' future cash receipts and disbursements. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) contend... The accounting information should help investors and creditors evaluate the amounts, timing, and uncertainty of firms' future cash receipts and disbursements. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) contends that accrual-based historical earnings are superior to cash flows in predicting future cash flows. But, Bowen, Burgstahler, and Daley (1986) showed that traditional measures of cash flows (net income (NI) plus depreciation and working capital from operations) appear to be better predictors of future cash flows than accrual accounting earnings. Since then, many researchers have articulated the importance of accounting data, especially cash flows and NI, in the predictive and forecasting processes. In this study, we empirically re-examined the ability of cash flows from operating activities (CFO) and accrual-based NI in predicting firms' bankruptcy. In the past, the results of this type of research were mixed. Differently from previous research, we focus on the timing of predictive ability, i.e., which indicator, cash flows or NI, is faster in predicting a firm's bankruptcy. We also investigate the timing of auditors' issuance of a going-concern opinion. The preliminary results show that the accrual-based NI is more accurate and faster than either CFO or audit opinion in predicting firms' failures. On average, NI signals a firm's bankruptcy 2.41 years before the bankruptcy filing, while CFO signals 1.48 years before filing. Auditors issued a going-concern opinion, another signal for firms' failure, to only 16 out of 41 bankrupt firms one year before bankruptcy, and no auditor issued the going-concern opinion two years before bankruptcy. 展开更多
关键词 prediction ability of bankruptcy net income (NI) cash flows from operating activities (CFO) auditopinion
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Governance Structure, Surplus Free Cash Flow (SFCF), and Earnings Quality: Evidence From Malaysia*
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作者 Redhwan Ahmed AL-Dhamari Ku Nor Izah Bt Ku Ismail 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2012年第10期1437-1452,共16页
Prior researches focus mainly on the relationship between governance structure and earnings quality. Unlike the previous researches, this study attempts to empirically examine the role of surplus free cash flow (SFCF... Prior researches focus mainly on the relationship between governance structure and earnings quality. Unlike the previous researches, this study attempts to empirically examine the role of surplus free cash flow (SFCF) as a moderator in the relationship with the new requirements of Malaysian code on corporate governance (MCCG). By using the estimated generalized least square (EGLS) upon a sample of Malaysian firms, the results show that firms with an independent chairman experience persistent earnings numbers. The results also demonstrate that the current earnings of finns with small boards and independent audit committee members are more likely to persist in the future, when SFCF is high. However, in contradiction to the authors' expectation is the significant, but negative and interactive effect of current earnings and audit committee competence on earnings persistence. The findings, though disappointing, suggest investors to consider both the governance structure and free cash flow (FCF) agency problem when evaluating the sustainability of firms' earnings. They also call for more independent directors, effective meetings, and more competent audit committee members. 展开更多
关键词 characteristics of board of director characteristics of audit committee surplus free cash flow (SFCF) earnings persistence
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Cash Flow from Operations, Accruals and Earnings Persistency
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作者 Lei Zhan Jingda Wang 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2006年第6期10-15,共6页
Persistency of earnings is an important measure of eamings quality. It is generally accepted that the more the persistency is, the higher the quality of earnings is. We analyze the characteristic factors influencing e... Persistency of earnings is an important measure of eamings quality. It is generally accepted that the more the persistency is, the higher the quality of earnings is. We analyze the characteristic factors influencing earnings persistency, use data of A-share listed companies during 1998-2004, and find that earnings persistency is significantly related to the nature of earnings, the cash content of earnings and the quality of accruals. 展开更多
关键词 earnings persistency cash flow from operations quality of accruals
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The Effect of Net Working Capital on Jordanian Industrial and Energy Sectors' Net Cash Flows Employed in Operating Activities
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作者 Lina Warrad 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2015年第3期168-174,共7页
The primary objective of the cash flow statement is to provide useful, meaningful, and relevant information about the cash receipts and cash payments of a firm during a given period of time. Decision makers can achiev... The primary objective of the cash flow statement is to provide useful, meaningful, and relevant information about the cash receipts and cash payments of a firm during a given period of time. Decision makers can achieve extra features of the change in net assets, the firms' financial position (liquidity and solvency), and the firm's ability to adapt to changing circumstances by affecting the amount and timing of cash flows. Cash flow statements improve comparability as they are not affected by differing accounting policies used for the same type of transactions or events. This study aims to verify the effect of net working capital (NWC), as an indicator of a company's short-term liquidity or its ability to meet short-term obligations, on Jordanian industrial and energy sectors' net operating cash flows (NOCF). A simple liner regression is used to test a period of 2008-2011 in order to conclude the extent of the effect on industrial and energy sectors. The study showed that there is a significant effect of the independent variable NWC on the dependent variable NOCF among industrial and energy sectors in Jordanian market. Whereas the adjusted R-squared of test is 0.854, changes in NOCF in Jordanian industrial and energy sectors have been described by NWC. Also, the study reached that the utilities and energy sector has the lowest NWC, while the mining and extraction sector has the highest. And, electrical industries sector has the lowest NOCF, while the mining and extraction sector has the highest. Moreover, the study showed that the printing and packaging sector has the lowest NWC, while the mining and extraction sector has the highest. And, glass and ceramic industries sector has the lowest NOCF, while the utilities and energy sector has the highest. 展开更多
关键词 net working capital (NWC) net operating cash flows (NOCF) Amman Stock Exchange (ASE)
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The Variance Analysis on Enterprise of Different Ways of Sales:Based on Analysis of Enterprise Tax Burden and Cash Flows
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作者 龚雅洁 绳朋云 靳继刚 《石家庄经济学院学报》 2016年第3期100-103,112,共5页
在目前竞争激烈的市场经济环境中,许多企业为了维持或扩大自己商品的市场份额,往往采取多种多样的销售方式,以达到促销的目的,而且随着经济的发展以及互联网时代的来临,销售形式也越来越多.基于企业税负与现金净流量的基础上对9 种销售... 在目前竞争激烈的市场经济环境中,许多企业为了维持或扩大自己商品的市场份额,往往采取多种多样的销售方式,以达到促销的目的,而且随着经济的发展以及互联网时代的来临,销售形式也越来越多.基于企业税负与现金净流量的基础上对9 种销售方式从企业税负与现金净流量两个方面进行了分析与研究.研究发现税负高的销售方式,可能其现金净流量也比较高,因此企业在经营销售过程中,不能只考虑税负的问题,还要考虑企业现金净流量的问题,甚至是企业的整体发展问题以及顾客对销售方式的接受程度. 展开更多
关键词 销售方式 纳税筹划 税负 现金净流量
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Development of Supply Chain Finance, Financial Constraints and Cash Flow Sensitivity
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作者 Huang Ruiyu 《International English Education Research》 2015年第1期92-95,共4页
This paper used the Chinese listing Corporation financial data (2003-2013) to study the relationship between the supply chain finance development, SME financing constraints and cash flow. The study found that the sm... This paper used the Chinese listing Corporation financial data (2003-2013) to study the relationship between the supply chain finance development, SME financing constraints and cash flow. The study found that the small and medium-sized enterprise has obvious cash flow sensitivity, explaining it is subjected to the larger financing constraints. The development of supply chain finance can alleviate the financing constraints of SMEs, but for large enterprises it is unable to play a corresponding role. 展开更多
关键词 Supply chain finance Financing constraints Small and medium-sized enterprises cash flow sensitivity.
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