Stock Market is the market for security where organized issuance and trading of Stocks take place either through exchange or over the counter in electronic or physical form. It plays an important role in canalizing ca...Stock Market is the market for security where organized issuance and trading of Stocks take place either through exchange or over the counter in electronic or physical form. It plays an important role in canalizing capital from the investors to the business houses, which consequently leads to the availability of funds for business expansion. In this paper, we investigate to predict the daily excess returns of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) indices over the respective Treasury bill rate returns. Initially, we prove that the excess return time series do not fluctuate randomly. We are applying the prediction models of Autoregressive feed forward Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict the excess return time series using lagged value. For the Artificial Neural Networks model using a Genetic Algorithm is constructed to choose the optimal topology. This paper examines the feasibility of the prediction task and provides evidence that the markets are not fluctuating randomly and finally, to apply the most suitable prediction model and measure their efficiency.展开更多
Prediction of the age of each individual is possible using the changing pattern of DNA methylation with age.In this paper an age prediction approach to work out multivariate regression problems using DNA methylation d...Prediction of the age of each individual is possible using the changing pattern of DNA methylation with age.In this paper an age prediction approach to work out multivariate regression problems using DNA methylation data is developed.In this research study a convolutional neural network(CNN)-based model optimised by the genetic algorithm(GA)is addressed.This paper contributes to enhancing age prediction as a regression problem using a union of two CNNs and exchanging knowledge be-tween them.This specifically re-starts the training process from a possibly higher-quality point in different iterations and,consequently,causes potentially yeilds better results at each iteration.The method proposed,which is called cooperative deep neural network(Co-DeepNet),is tested on two types of age prediction problems.Sixteen datasets containing 1899 healthy blood samples and nine datasets containing 2395 diseased blood samples are employed to examine the method's efficiency.As a result,the mean absolute deviation(MAD)is 1.49 and 3.61 years for training and testing data,respectively,when the healthy data is tested.The diseased blood data show MAD results of 3.81 and 5.43 years for training and testing data,respectively.The results of the Co-DeepNet are compared with six other methods proposed in previous studies and a single CNN using four prediction accuracy measurements(R^(2),MAD,MSE and RMSE).The effectiveness of the Co-DeepNet and superiority of its results is proved through the statistical analysis.展开更多
Enhancing the accuracy of real-time ship roll prediction is crucial for maritime safety and operational efficiency.To address the challenge of accurately predicting the ship roll status with nonlinear time-varying dyn...Enhancing the accuracy of real-time ship roll prediction is crucial for maritime safety and operational efficiency.To address the challenge of accurately predicting the ship roll status with nonlinear time-varying dynamic characteristics,a real-time ship roll prediction scheme is proposed on the basis of a data preprocessing strategy and a novel stochastic trainer-based feedforward neural network.The sliding data window serves as a ship time-varying dynamic observer to enhance model prediction stability.The variational mode decomposition method extracts effective information on ship roll motion and reduces the non-stationary characteristics of the series.The energy entropy method reconstructs the mode components into high-frequency,medium-frequency,and low-frequency series to reduce model complexity.An improved black widow optimization algorithm trainer-based feedforward neural network with enhanced local optimal avoidance predicts the high-frequency component,enabling accurate tracking of abrupt signals.Additionally,the deterministic algorithm trainer-based neural network,characterized by rapid processing speed,predicts the remaining two mode components.Thus,real-time ship roll forecasting can be achieved through the reconstruction of mode component prediction results.The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid prediction scheme for ship roll motion are demonstrated through the measured data of a full-scale ship trial.The proposed prediction scheme achieves real-time ship roll prediction with superior prediction accuracy.展开更多
A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an import...A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an important means for reservoir evaluation.Based on the characteristics of large quantity and complexity of estimating process,we have attempted to design a nonlinear back propagation neural network model optimized by genetic algorithm(BPNNGA)for reservoir porosity prediction.This model is with the advantages of self-learning and self-adaption of back propagation neural network(BPNN),structural parameters optimizing and global searching optimal solution of genetic algorithm(GA).The model is applied to the Chang 8 oil group tight sandstone of Yanchang Formation in southwestern Ordos Basin.According to the correlations between well logging data and measured core porosity data,5 well logging curves(gamma ray,deep induction,density,acoustic,and compensated neutron)are selected as the input neurons while the measured core porosity is selected as the output neurons.The number of hidden layer neurons is defined as 20 by the method of multiple calibrating optimizations.Modeling results demonstrate that the average relative error of the model output is 10.77%,indicating the excellent predicting effect of the model.The predicting results of the model are compared with the predicting results of conventional multivariate stepwise regression algorithm,and BPNN model.The average relative errors of the above models are 12.83%,12.9%,and 13.47%,respectively.Results show that the predicting results of the BPNNGA model are more accurate than that of the other two,and BPNNGA is a more applicable method to estimate the reservoir porosity parameters in the study area.展开更多
Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural netw...Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural networks for nonlinear systems, and combined with LM algorithm, a multi layer forward networks is adopted to predict the seismic responses of structure. The networks is trained in batch by the shaking table test data of three floor reinforced concrete structure firstly, then the seismic responses of structure are predicted under the unused excitation data, and the predict responses are compared with the experiment responses. The error curves between the prediction and the experimental results show the efficiency of the method. Conclusion LM algorithm has very good convergence rate, and the neural networks can predict the seismic response of the structure well.展开更多
Introduction:Nowadays,the most significant challenges in the stock market is to predict the stock prices.The stock price data represents a financial time series data which becomes more difficult to predict due to its ...Introduction:Nowadays,the most significant challenges in the stock market is to predict the stock prices.The stock price data represents a financial time series data which becomes more difficult to predict due to its characteristics and dynamic nature.Case description:Support Vector Machines(SVM)and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN)are widely used for prediction of stock prices and its movements.Every algorithm has its way of learning patterns and then predicting.Artificial Neural Network(ANN)is a popular method which also incorporate technical analysis for making predictions in financial markets.Discussion and evaluation:Most common techniques used in the forecasting of financial time series are Support Vector Machine(SVM),Support Vector Regression(SVR)and Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN).In this article,we use neural networks based on three different learning algorithms,i.e.,Levenberg-Marquardt,Scaled Conjugate Gradient and Bayesian Regularization for stock market prediction based on tick data as well as 15-min data of an Indian company and their results compared.Conclusion:All three algorithms provide an accuracy of 99.9%using tick data.The accuracy over 15-min dataset drops to 96.2%,97.0%and 98.9%for LM,SCG and Bayesian Regularization respectively which is significantly poor in comparison with that of results obtained using tick data.展开更多
The advantages and disadvantages of genetic algorithm and BP algorithm are introduced. A neural network based on GA-BP algorithm is proposed and applied in the prediction of protein secondary structure, which combines...The advantages and disadvantages of genetic algorithm and BP algorithm are introduced. A neural network based on GA-BP algorithm is proposed and applied in the prediction of protein secondary structure, which combines the advantages of BP and GA. The prediction and training on the neural network are made respectively based on 4 structure classifications of protein so as to get higher rate of predication---the highest prediction rate 75.65%,the average prediction rate 65.04%.展开更多
As the traditional non-linear systems generally based on gradient descent optimization method have some shortage in the field of groundwater level prediction, the paper, according to structure, algorithm and shortcomi...As the traditional non-linear systems generally based on gradient descent optimization method have some shortage in the field of groundwater level prediction, the paper, according to structure, algorithm and shortcoming of the conventional radial basis function neural network （RBF NN）, presented a new improved genetic algorithm （GA）： hybrid hierarchy genetic algorithm （HHGA）. In training RBF NN, the algorithm can automatically determine the structure and parameters of RBF based on the given sample data. Compared with the traditional groundwater level prediction model based on back propagation （BP） or RBF NN, the new prediction model based on HHGA and RBF NN can greatly increase the convergence speed and precision.展开更多
The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding t...The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.展开更多
:Machine Learning(ML)algorithms have been widely used for financial time series prediction and trading through bots.In this work,we propose a Predictive Error Compensated Wavelet Neural Network(PEC-WNN)ML model that i...:Machine Learning(ML)algorithms have been widely used for financial time series prediction and trading through bots.In this work,we propose a Predictive Error Compensated Wavelet Neural Network(PEC-WNN)ML model that improves the prediction of next day closing prices.In the proposed model we use multiple neural networks where the first one uses the closing stock prices from multiple-scale time-domain inputs.An additional network is used for error estimation to compensate and reduce the prediction error of the main network instead of using recurrence.The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using six different stock data samples in the New York stock exchange.The results have demonstrated significant improvement in forecasting accuracy in all cases when the second network is used in accordance with the first one by adding the outputs.The RMSE error is 33%improved when the proposed PEC-WNN model is used compared to the Long ShortTerm Memory(LSTM)model.Furthermore,through the analysis of training mechanisms,we found that using the updated training the performance of the proposed model is improved.The contribution of this study is the applicability of simultaneously different time frames as inputs.Cascading the predictive error compensation not only reduces the error rate but also helps in avoiding overfitting problems.展开更多
A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax depositi...A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.展开更多
Neural network and genetic algorithms are complementary technologies in the design of adaptive intelligent system. Neural network learns from scratch by adjusting the interconnections betweens layers. Genetic algorith...Neural network and genetic algorithms are complementary technologies in the design of adaptive intelligent system. Neural network learns from scratch by adjusting the interconnections betweens layers. Genetic algorithms are a popular computing framework that uses principals from natural population genetics to evolve solutions to problems. Various forecasting methods have been developed on the basis of neural network, but accuracy has been matter of concern in these forecasts. In neural network methods forecasted values depend to the choose of neural predictor structure, the number of the input, the lag. To remedy to these problem, in this paper, the authors are investing the applicability of an automatic design of a neural predictor realized by real Genetic Algorithms to predict the future value of a time series. The prediction method is tested by using meteorology time series that are daily and weekly mean temperatures in Melbourne, Australia, 1980-1990.展开更多
There are many factors to influence stock prices indeed. The research method combining models and examples is applied to study how the factors affect stock prices here. Firstly, the principal component analysis is use...There are many factors to influence stock prices indeed. The research method combining models and examples is applied to study how the factors affect stock prices here. Firstly, the principal component analysis is used to deal with a set of variables as the input of a BP Neural Network. Therefore, not only is the number of variables less, but also most of the information of original variables is kept. Then, the BP Neural Network is established to analyze and predict stock prices. Finally, the analysis of Chinese stock market illustrates that the method predicting stock prices is satisfying and feasible.展开更多
Considering the complexity of vegetables price forecast,the prediction model of vegetables price was set up by applying the neural network based on genetic algorithm and using the characteristics of genetic algorithm ...Considering the complexity of vegetables price forecast,the prediction model of vegetables price was set up by applying the neural network based on genetic algorithm and using the characteristics of genetic algorithm and neural work.Taking mushrooms as an example,the parameters of the model are analyzed through experiment.In the end,the results of genetic algorithm and BP neural network are compared.The results show that the absolute error of prediction data is in the scale of 10%;in the scope that the absolute error in the prediction data is in the scope of 20% and 15%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neutral network is higher than the BP neutral network model,especially the absolute error of prediction data is within the scope of 20%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neural network is obviously better than BP neural network model,which represents the favorable generalization capability of the model.展开更多
A kind of predictive control based on the neural network(NN) for nonlinear systems with time delay is addressed.The off line NN model is obtained by using hierarchical genetic algorithms (HGA) to train a sequence da...A kind of predictive control based on the neural network(NN) for nonlinear systems with time delay is addressed.The off line NN model is obtained by using hierarchical genetic algorithms (HGA) to train a sequence data of input and output.Output predictions are obtained by recursively mapping the NN model.The error rectification term is introduced into a performance function that is directly optimized while on line control so that it overcomes influences of the mismatched model and disturbances,etc.Simulations show the system has good dynamic responses and robustness.展开更多
Accurate prediction of chemical composition of vacuum gas oil （VGO） is essential for the routine operation of refineries. In this work, a new approach for auto-design of artificial neural networks （ANN） based on a...Accurate prediction of chemical composition of vacuum gas oil （VGO） is essential for the routine operation of refineries. In this work, a new approach for auto-design of artificial neural networks （ANN） based on a genetic algorithm （GA） is developed for predicting VGO saturates. The number of neurons in the hidden layer, the momentum and the learning rates are determined by using the genetic algorithm. The inputs for the artificial neural networks model are five physical properties, namely, average boiling point, density, molecular weight, viscosity and refractive index. It is verified that the genetic algorithm could find the optimal structural parameters and training parameters of ANN. In addition, an artificial neural networks model based on a genetic algorithm was tested and the results indicated that the VGO saturates can be efficiently predicted. Compared with conventional artificial neural networks models, this approach can improve the prediction accuracy.展开更多
Mechanical property prediction of hot rolled strip is one of the hotspots in material processing research. To avoid the local infinitesimal defect and slow constringency in pure BP algorithm, a kind of global optimiza...Mechanical property prediction of hot rolled strip is one of the hotspots in material processing research. To avoid the local infinitesimal defect and slow constringency in pure BP algorithm, a kind of global optimization algorithm-particle swarm optimization （PSO） is adopted. The algorithm is combined with the BP rapid training algorithm, and then, a kind of new neural network （NN） called PSO-BP NN is established. With the advantages of global optimization ability and the rapid constringency of the BP rapid training algorithm, the new algorithm fully shows the ability of nonlinear approach of multilayer feedforward network, improves the performance of NN, and provides a favorable basis for further online application of a comprehensive model.展开更多
In order to forecast the strength of filling material exactly, the main factors affecting the strength of filling material are analyzed. The model of predicting the strength of filling material was established by appl...In order to forecast the strength of filling material exactly, the main factors affecting the strength of filling material are analyzed. The model of predicting the strength of filling material was established by applying the theory of artificial neural net- works. Based on cases related to our test data of filling material, the predicted results of the model and measured values are com- pared and analyzed. The results show that the model is feasible and scientifically justified to predict the strength of filling material, which provides a new method for forecasting the strength of filling material for paste filling in coal mines.展开更多
The present study proposed an enhanced cuckoo search(ECS) algorithm combined with artificial neural network(ANN) as the surrogate model to solve structural reliability problems. In order to enhance the accuracy and co...The present study proposed an enhanced cuckoo search(ECS) algorithm combined with artificial neural network(ANN) as the surrogate model to solve structural reliability problems. In order to enhance the accuracy and convergence rate of the original cuckoo search(CS) algorithm, the main parameters namely, abandon probability of worst nests paand search step sizeα0 are dynamically adjusted via nonlinear control equations. In addition, a global-best guided equation incorporating the information of global best nest is introduced to the ECS to enhance its exploitation. Then, the proposed ECS is linked to the well-trained ANN model for structural reliability analysis. The computational capability of the proposed algorithm is validated using five typical structural reliability problems and an engineering application. The comparison results show the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed algorithm.展开更多
In the real world, the inputs of many complicated systems are time-varying functions or processes. In order to predict the outputs of these systems with high speed and accuracy, this paper proposes a time series predi...In the real world, the inputs of many complicated systems are time-varying functions or processes. In order to predict the outputs of these systems with high speed and accuracy, this paper proposes a time series prediction model based on the wavelet process neural network, and develops the corresponding learning algorithm based on the expansion of the orthogonal basis functions. The effectiveness of the proposed time series prediction model and its learning algorithm is proved by the Macke-Glass time series prediction, and the comparative prediction results indicate that the proposed time series prediction model based on the wavelet process neural network seems to perform well and appears suitable for using as a good tool to predict the highly complex nonlinear time series.展开更多
文摘Stock Market is the market for security where organized issuance and trading of Stocks take place either through exchange or over the counter in electronic or physical form. It plays an important role in canalizing capital from the investors to the business houses, which consequently leads to the availability of funds for business expansion. In this paper, we investigate to predict the daily excess returns of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) indices over the respective Treasury bill rate returns. Initially, we prove that the excess return time series do not fluctuate randomly. We are applying the prediction models of Autoregressive feed forward Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict the excess return time series using lagged value. For the Artificial Neural Networks model using a Genetic Algorithm is constructed to choose the optimal topology. This paper examines the feasibility of the prediction task and provides evidence that the markets are not fluctuating randomly and finally, to apply the most suitable prediction model and measure their efficiency.
基金supported by the Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia(DIP-2016-024).
文摘Prediction of the age of each individual is possible using the changing pattern of DNA methylation with age.In this paper an age prediction approach to work out multivariate regression problems using DNA methylation data is developed.In this research study a convolutional neural network(CNN)-based model optimised by the genetic algorithm(GA)is addressed.This paper contributes to enhancing age prediction as a regression problem using a union of two CNNs and exchanging knowledge be-tween them.This specifically re-starts the training process from a possibly higher-quality point in different iterations and,consequently,causes potentially yeilds better results at each iteration.The method proposed,which is called cooperative deep neural network(Co-DeepNet),is tested on two types of age prediction problems.Sixteen datasets containing 1899 healthy blood samples and nine datasets containing 2395 diseased blood samples are employed to examine the method's efficiency.As a result,the mean absolute deviation(MAD)is 1.49 and 3.61 years for training and testing data,respectively,when the healthy data is tested.The diseased blood data show MAD results of 3.81 and 5.43 years for training and testing data,respectively.The results of the Co-DeepNet are compared with six other methods proposed in previous studies and a single CNN using four prediction accuracy measurements(R^(2),MAD,MSE and RMSE).The effectiveness of the Co-DeepNet and superiority of its results is proved through the statistical analysis.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52231014 and 52271361)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province of China(Grant No.2023A1515010684).
文摘Enhancing the accuracy of real-time ship roll prediction is crucial for maritime safety and operational efficiency.To address the challenge of accurately predicting the ship roll status with nonlinear time-varying dynamic characteristics,a real-time ship roll prediction scheme is proposed on the basis of a data preprocessing strategy and a novel stochastic trainer-based feedforward neural network.The sliding data window serves as a ship time-varying dynamic observer to enhance model prediction stability.The variational mode decomposition method extracts effective information on ship roll motion and reduces the non-stationary characteristics of the series.The energy entropy method reconstructs the mode components into high-frequency,medium-frequency,and low-frequency series to reduce model complexity.An improved black widow optimization algorithm trainer-based feedforward neural network with enhanced local optimal avoidance predicts the high-frequency component,enabling accurate tracking of abrupt signals.Additionally,the deterministic algorithm trainer-based neural network,characterized by rapid processing speed,predicts the remaining two mode components.Thus,real-time ship roll forecasting can be achieved through the reconstruction of mode component prediction results.The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid prediction scheme for ship roll motion are demonstrated through the measured data of a full-scale ship trial.The proposed prediction scheme achieves real-time ship roll prediction with superior prediction accuracy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41002045)。
文摘A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an important means for reservoir evaluation.Based on the characteristics of large quantity and complexity of estimating process,we have attempted to design a nonlinear back propagation neural network model optimized by genetic algorithm(BPNNGA)for reservoir porosity prediction.This model is with the advantages of self-learning and self-adaption of back propagation neural network(BPNN),structural parameters optimizing and global searching optimal solution of genetic algorithm(GA).The model is applied to the Chang 8 oil group tight sandstone of Yanchang Formation in southwestern Ordos Basin.According to the correlations between well logging data and measured core porosity data,5 well logging curves(gamma ray,deep induction,density,acoustic,and compensated neutron)are selected as the input neurons while the measured core porosity is selected as the output neurons.The number of hidden layer neurons is defined as 20 by the method of multiple calibrating optimizations.Modeling results demonstrate that the average relative error of the model output is 10.77%,indicating the excellent predicting effect of the model.The predicting results of the model are compared with the predicting results of conventional multivariate stepwise regression algorithm,and BPNN model.The average relative errors of the above models are 12.83%,12.9%,and 13.47%,respectively.Results show that the predicting results of the BPNNGA model are more accurate than that of the other two,and BPNNGA is a more applicable method to estimate the reservoir porosity parameters in the study area.
文摘Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural networks for nonlinear systems, and combined with LM algorithm, a multi layer forward networks is adopted to predict the seismic responses of structure. The networks is trained in batch by the shaking table test data of three floor reinforced concrete structure firstly, then the seismic responses of structure are predicted under the unused excitation data, and the predict responses are compared with the experiment responses. The error curves between the prediction and the experimental results show the efficiency of the method. Conclusion LM algorithm has very good convergence rate, and the neural networks can predict the seismic response of the structure well.
文摘Introduction:Nowadays,the most significant challenges in the stock market is to predict the stock prices.The stock price data represents a financial time series data which becomes more difficult to predict due to its characteristics and dynamic nature.Case description:Support Vector Machines(SVM)and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN)are widely used for prediction of stock prices and its movements.Every algorithm has its way of learning patterns and then predicting.Artificial Neural Network(ANN)is a popular method which also incorporate technical analysis for making predictions in financial markets.Discussion and evaluation:Most common techniques used in the forecasting of financial time series are Support Vector Machine(SVM),Support Vector Regression(SVR)and Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN).In this article,we use neural networks based on three different learning algorithms,i.e.,Levenberg-Marquardt,Scaled Conjugate Gradient and Bayesian Regularization for stock market prediction based on tick data as well as 15-min data of an Indian company and their results compared.Conclusion:All three algorithms provide an accuracy of 99.9%using tick data.The accuracy over 15-min dataset drops to 96.2%,97.0%and 98.9%for LM,SCG and Bayesian Regularization respectively which is significantly poor in comparison with that of results obtained using tick data.
文摘The advantages and disadvantages of genetic algorithm and BP algorithm are introduced. A neural network based on GA-BP algorithm is proposed and applied in the prediction of protein secondary structure, which combines the advantages of BP and GA. The prediction and training on the neural network are made respectively based on 4 structure classifications of protein so as to get higher rate of predication---the highest prediction rate 75.65%,the average prediction rate 65.04%.
文摘As the traditional non-linear systems generally based on gradient descent optimization method have some shortage in the field of groundwater level prediction, the paper, according to structure, algorithm and shortcoming of the conventional radial basis function neural network （RBF NN）, presented a new improved genetic algorithm （GA）： hybrid hierarchy genetic algorithm （HHGA）. In training RBF NN, the algorithm can automatically determine the structure and parameters of RBF based on the given sample data. Compared with the traditional groundwater level prediction model based on back propagation （BP） or RBF NN, the new prediction model based on HHGA and RBF NN can greatly increase the convergence speed and precision.
文摘The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.
基金This study is based on the research project“Development of Cyberdroid based on Cognitive Intelligent system applications”(2019–2020)funded by Crypttech company(https://www.crypttech.com/en/)within the contract by ITUNOVA,Istanbul Technical University Technology Transfer Office.
文摘:Machine Learning(ML)algorithms have been widely used for financial time series prediction and trading through bots.In this work,we propose a Predictive Error Compensated Wavelet Neural Network(PEC-WNN)ML model that improves the prediction of next day closing prices.In the proposed model we use multiple neural networks where the first one uses the closing stock prices from multiple-scale time-domain inputs.An additional network is used for error estimation to compensate and reduce the prediction error of the main network instead of using recurrence.The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using six different stock data samples in the New York stock exchange.The results have demonstrated significant improvement in forecasting accuracy in all cases when the second network is used in accordance with the first one by adding the outputs.The RMSE error is 33%improved when the proposed PEC-WNN model is used compared to the Long ShortTerm Memory(LSTM)model.Furthermore,through the analysis of training mechanisms,we found that using the updated training the performance of the proposed model is improved.The contribution of this study is the applicability of simultaneously different time frames as inputs.Cascading the predictive error compensation not only reduces the error rate but also helps in avoiding overfitting problems.
文摘A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.
文摘Neural network and genetic algorithms are complementary technologies in the design of adaptive intelligent system. Neural network learns from scratch by adjusting the interconnections betweens layers. Genetic algorithms are a popular computing framework that uses principals from natural population genetics to evolve solutions to problems. Various forecasting methods have been developed on the basis of neural network, but accuracy has been matter of concern in these forecasts. In neural network methods forecasted values depend to the choose of neural predictor structure, the number of the input, the lag. To remedy to these problem, in this paper, the authors are investing the applicability of an automatic design of a neural predictor realized by real Genetic Algorithms to predict the future value of a time series. The prediction method is tested by using meteorology time series that are daily and weekly mean temperatures in Melbourne, Australia, 1980-1990.
文摘There are many factors to influence stock prices indeed. The research method combining models and examples is applied to study how the factors affect stock prices here. Firstly, the principal component analysis is used to deal with a set of variables as the input of a BP Neural Network. Therefore, not only is the number of variables less, but also most of the information of original variables is kept. Then, the BP Neural Network is established to analyze and predict stock prices. Finally, the analysis of Chinese stock market illustrates that the method predicting stock prices is satisfying and feasible.
文摘Considering the complexity of vegetables price forecast,the prediction model of vegetables price was set up by applying the neural network based on genetic algorithm and using the characteristics of genetic algorithm and neural work.Taking mushrooms as an example,the parameters of the model are analyzed through experiment.In the end,the results of genetic algorithm and BP neural network are compared.The results show that the absolute error of prediction data is in the scale of 10%;in the scope that the absolute error in the prediction data is in the scope of 20% and 15%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neutral network is higher than the BP neutral network model,especially the absolute error of prediction data is within the scope of 20%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neural network is obviously better than BP neural network model,which represents the favorable generalization capability of the model.
文摘A kind of predictive control based on the neural network(NN) for nonlinear systems with time delay is addressed.The off line NN model is obtained by using hierarchical genetic algorithms (HGA) to train a sequence data of input and output.Output predictions are obtained by recursively mapping the NN model.The error rectification term is introduced into a performance function that is directly optimized while on line control so that it overcomes influences of the mismatched model and disturbances,etc.Simulations show the system has good dynamic responses and robustness.
文摘Accurate prediction of chemical composition of vacuum gas oil （VGO） is essential for the routine operation of refineries. In this work, a new approach for auto-design of artificial neural networks （ANN） based on a genetic algorithm （GA） is developed for predicting VGO saturates. The number of neurons in the hidden layer, the momentum and the learning rates are determined by using the genetic algorithm. The inputs for the artificial neural networks model are five physical properties, namely, average boiling point, density, molecular weight, viscosity and refractive index. It is verified that the genetic algorithm could find the optimal structural parameters and training parameters of ANN. In addition, an artificial neural networks model based on a genetic algorithm was tested and the results indicated that the VGO saturates can be efficiently predicted. Compared with conventional artificial neural networks models, this approach can improve the prediction accuracy.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Provincial Education Depart ment of China (2006KJ080A)
文摘Mechanical property prediction of hot rolled strip is one of the hotspots in material processing research. To avoid the local infinitesimal defect and slow constringency in pure BP algorithm, a kind of global optimization algorithm-particle swarm optimization （PSO） is adopted. The algorithm is combined with the BP rapid training algorithm, and then, a kind of new neural network （NN） called PSO-BP NN is established. With the advantages of global optimization ability and the rapid constringency of the BP rapid training algorithm, the new algorithm fully shows the ability of nonlinear approach of multilayer feedforward network, improves the performance of NN, and provides a favorable basis for further online application of a comprehensive model.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 50490270, 50774077, 50574089, 50490273)the New Century Excellent Personnel Training Program of the Ministry of Education of China (No. NCET-06-0475)+1 种基金the Special Funds of Universities outstanding doctoral dissertation (No. 200760) the Basic Research Program of China (No. 2006CB202204-3)
文摘In order to forecast the strength of filling material exactly, the main factors affecting the strength of filling material are analyzed. The model of predicting the strength of filling material was established by applying the theory of artificial neural net- works. Based on cases related to our test data of filling material, the predicted results of the model and measured values are com- pared and analyzed. The results show that the model is feasible and scientifically justified to predict the strength of filling material, which provides a new method for forecasting the strength of filling material for paste filling in coal mines.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51875465)
文摘The present study proposed an enhanced cuckoo search(ECS) algorithm combined with artificial neural network(ANN) as the surrogate model to solve structural reliability problems. In order to enhance the accuracy and convergence rate of the original cuckoo search(CS) algorithm, the main parameters namely, abandon probability of worst nests paand search step sizeα0 are dynamically adjusted via nonlinear control equations. In addition, a global-best guided equation incorporating the information of global best nest is introduced to the ECS to enhance its exploitation. Then, the proposed ECS is linked to the well-trained ANN model for structural reliability analysis. The computational capability of the proposed algorithm is validated using five typical structural reliability problems and an engineering application. The comparison results show the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed algorithm.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No 60572174)the Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China (Grant No 20070213072)+2 种基金the 111 Project (Grant No B07018)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No 20070410264)the Development Program for Outstanding Young Teachers in Harbin Institute of Technology (Grant No HITQNJS.2007.010)
文摘In the real world, the inputs of many complicated systems are time-varying functions or processes. In order to predict the outputs of these systems with high speed and accuracy, this paper proposes a time series prediction model based on the wavelet process neural network, and develops the corresponding learning algorithm based on the expansion of the orthogonal basis functions. The effectiveness of the proposed time series prediction model and its learning algorithm is proved by the Macke-Glass time series prediction, and the comparative prediction results indicate that the proposed time series prediction model based on the wavelet process neural network seems to perform well and appears suitable for using as a good tool to predict the highly complex nonlinear time series.
