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Kinetics for Describing the Creaming of Protein-Stabilized O/W Emulsions by Multiple Light Scattering
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作者 Luis Alberto Panizzolo Luis Eduardo Mussio María Cristina Anon 《Journal of Food Science and Engineering》 2014年第5期236-243,共8页
In the present work, new kinetics to describe the creaming stability of oil-in-water emulsions determined by backscattering measurements (BS) is proposed. The emulsions assayed exhibited a different backscattering p... In the present work, new kinetics to describe the creaming stability of oil-in-water emulsions determined by backscattering measurements (BS) is proposed. The emulsions assayed exhibited a different backscattering profiles regarding creaming destabilization hyperbolic and sigmoid one. Hyperbolic behavior can be described by a second order kinetics, where k_h could be equaled to a rate constant that describes the creaming process and its values would indicate the stability of emulsions. While for the sigmoid BS pattern, kinetics with two terms, is adequate to describe the creaming process in contrast to kinetics previously reported in the literature. The kh value has the same meaning as before, and ks indicates the delaying effect on the creaming rate. 展开更多
关键词 EMULSION PROTEINS creaming KINETIC multiple light scattering.
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基于CREAM-FCE的适老化车载信息系统交互设计研究
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作者 李永锋 林巧仪 朱丽萍 《包装工程》 北大核心 2026年第2期47-58,共12页
目的为了提高老年人使用车载信息系统的认知可靠性,设计符合用户认知需求的适老化车载信息系统。方法提出基于CREAM(认知可靠性与失误分析方法)和FCE(模糊综合评价)的适老化车载信息系统交互设计方法。首先,确定通用性能条件,进行层次... 目的为了提高老年人使用车载信息系统的认知可靠性,设计符合用户认知需求的适老化车载信息系统。方法提出基于CREAM(认知可靠性与失误分析方法)和FCE(模糊综合评价)的适老化车载信息系统交互设计方法。首先,确定通用性能条件,进行层次任务分析,构建认知需求模型,获取认知失效概率的基本值,分析通用性能条件的评价因素,运用模糊综合评价法得到评价矩阵,分析通用性能条件水平;其次,计算通用性能条件和老年人内在因素对认知功能失效的影响权重,结合认知失效概率的基本值,计算老年人使用车载信息系统的认知失效概率,探究人因差错发生的根本原因,制定优化策略并进行设计改良;最后,通过A/B测试验证改良效果。结果分析老年人使用车载导航功能的认知可靠性,显著地降低了老年人与车载信息系统交互的认知失效概率。结论该方法能够系统地探究老年驾驶员使用车载信息系统的认知需求,有效地获取人机交互过程中产生人因差错的原因,为设计师提供适老化车载信息系统的改良依据。 展开更多
关键词 交互设计 认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM) 模糊综合评价(FCE) 车载信息系统 老年人
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基于CREAM的GPWS告警人因差错概率分析
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作者 汪磊 李诺捷 张楠 《安全》 2026年第1期54-60,共7页
为降低可控飞行撞地(CFIT)事故风险,量化近地告警系统(GPWS)告警场景下飞行员操作差错概率,本文基于认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM)的核心逻辑,结合任务特性优化9项共同绩效条件(CPC)因子,采用结构熵权法构建飞行员人因差错概率模型,... 为降低可控飞行撞地(CFIT)事故风险,量化近地告警系统(GPWS)告警场景下飞行员操作差错概率,本文基于认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM)的核心逻辑,结合任务特性优化9项共同绩效条件(CPC)因子,采用结构熵权法构建飞行员人因差错概率模型,并利用49名飞行员问卷数据开展模型验证,通过纳皮尔对数模型拟合工作环境与人因可靠性的非线性关系,推导人因差错概率表达式。结果表明:修正CPC因子适配GPWS告警场景;所有飞行员均为战术型认知控制模式,平均人因差错概率为0.49%;差错概率分布呈右偏态,多数集中于0.45%~0.50%区间;针对高差错概率群体实施定向训练干预,对系统可靠性提升效果更显著。 展开更多
关键词 CREAM模型 人因差错 GPWS告警 差错概率 风险评估
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基于FTA-CREAM的老年人智能汽车多模态交互设计研究
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作者 蔡怡欣 李永锋 朱丽萍 《包装工程》 北大核心 2026年第6期18-30,共13页
目的降低老年人驾驶智能汽车进行多模态交互时的风险,提升老年人的用户体验。方法提出基于FTA(故障树分析)和CREAM(认知可靠性与失误分析方法)的老年人智能汽车多模态交互设计方法。首先,对老年人多模态交互过程进行情境分析;其次,开展... 目的降低老年人驾驶智能汽车进行多模态交互时的风险,提升老年人的用户体验。方法提出基于FTA(故障树分析)和CREAM(认知可靠性与失误分析方法)的老年人智能汽车多模态交互设计方法。首先,对老年人多模态交互过程进行情境分析;其次,开展层次任务分析,探究CREAM的通用性能条件和情境影响指数确定各子任务的控制模式,获取子任务的认知失效概率;再次,建立老年人多模态交互故障树,通过定性分析得出最小割集,将子任务认知失效概率作为故障树的基本事件概率,计算故障树的顶事件概率,并对基本事件的重要度进行排序;最后,根据排序结果,从认知因素、生理条件和技术接受性三个维度出发,制定改良措施,进行设计改良,并对结果进行验证。结果有效降低了老年人的驾驶活动负荷,减少了多模态交互风险。结论所提出的方法可以有效地对老年人智能汽车多模态交互进行风险评估,合理地分析差错行为产生的原因,从而改良交互设计,使老年人获得更好的交互体验。 展开更多
关键词 多模态交互设计 认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM) 故障树分析(FTA) 智能汽车 老年人
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基于改进CREAM的着舰阶段复杂任务环境飞行员人因失误预测
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作者 刘威成 孙有朝 +1 位作者 金恒 陈梓畅 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期44-51,共8页
为提高着舰阶段安全性,基于认知可靠性和失误分析法(CREAM)开展着舰阶段复杂任务环境下飞行员人因失误预测研究。结合着舰阶段飞行员动作流程,修正原始CREAM方法中共同绩效因子(CPC)定义,提出基于改进CREAM方法的飞行员人因失误概率预... 为提高着舰阶段安全性,基于认知可靠性和失误分析法(CREAM)开展着舰阶段复杂任务环境下飞行员人因失误预测研究。结合着舰阶段飞行员动作流程,修正原始CREAM方法中共同绩效因子(CPC)定义,提出基于改进CREAM方法的飞行员人因失误概率预测方法,描述着舰阶段飞行员所处的情景环境;引入环境影响指数与效应影响指数,表征不同任务环境对飞行员认知功能的影响;结合着舰阶段实际情景环境,设计并开展模拟着舰评估试验;通过分析被试人员的脑电、眼动、心电、肌电数据及美国航空航天局任务负荷指数(NASA-TLX)量表数据等特征指标,评估被试人员在不同环境下的负荷水平,进而计算不同认知功能的效应影响指数,预测人因失误概率。研究结果表明:所提出的飞行员人因失误概率预测方法,使用客观数据评估替代专家主观评价,能够提高预测结果真实性,该方法可以预测20种不同环境因素影响下飞行员人因失误概率。 展开更多
关键词 认知可靠性和失误分析法(CREAM) 着舰阶段 飞行员 复杂任务环境 人因失误 认知功能
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DELICIOUS WHIPPED CREAM
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作者 Maria Chiu 《空中英语教室(初级版.大家说英语)》 2026年第1期10-11,50,51,共4页
Whipped cream is a delicious topping.You can make it at home or buy it in a can.People often put it on desserts such as cakes and pies.Whipped cream is great on ice cream and fruit,too.Do you like cream puffs?Some hav... Whipped cream is a delicious topping.You can make it at home or buy it in a can.People often put it on desserts such as cakes and pies.Whipped cream is great on ice cream and fruit,too.Do you like cream puffs?Some have whipped cream in them.Whipped cream is also good on hot chocolate and coffee.So,enjoy whipped cream on desserts and hot drinks today.It's National Whipped Cream Day! 展开更多
关键词 hot drinks whipped cream ice cream DESSERTS hot chocolate cream puffssome cream puffs
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基于FRAM-模糊CREAM的危化品实验人因安全量化分析
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作者 张人友 施梦洁 +3 位作者 李冉 刘亭 张洁 陈梓恺 《实验技术与管理》 北大核心 2025年第11期250-256,共7页
量化实验事故的人因安全水平是预防危险化学品实验事故的关键。该文基于功能共振分析法(functional resonance analysis method,FRAM),融合模糊的认知可靠性和失误分析法(cognitive reliability and error analysis method,CREAM)、人... 量化实验事故的人因安全水平是预防危险化学品实验事故的关键。该文基于功能共振分析法(functional resonance analysis method,FRAM),融合模糊的认知可靠性和失误分析法(cognitive reliability and error analysis method,CREAM)、人因可靠性分析法、贝叶斯网络,以概率的方式揭示危险化学品实验中的人因安全水平。研究首先依托实验任务人因FRAM模型,系统识别关键功能及其耦合关系;其次,运用模糊CREAM方法量化模型中各环节的人因可靠性;最后,通过贝叶斯网络表述FRAM模型并吸收各环节的人因可靠性水平,实现对系统整体人因安全的概率量化。研究表明,该方法可量化分析危险化学品实验中的人为因素,同时赋予FRAM方法以概率量化分析功能。 展开更多
关键词 危险化学品实验 人因安全量化 FRAM 模糊CREAM
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Three English Conversations
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作者 黎嘉琪 《疯狂英语(双语世界)》 2025年第3期9-12,34,共5页
Tom:Hi,Lily!What's the weather like today?Lily:It's sunny and warm.The sky is blue.Tom:That's great!I like sunny days.We can play outside.Lily:Yes!Let's go to the park after school.Tom:Good idea!What&#... Tom:Hi,Lily!What's the weather like today?Lily:It's sunny and warm.The sky is blue.Tom:That's great!I like sunny days.We can play outside.Lily:Yes!Let's go to the park after school.Tom:Good idea!What's your favourite season?Lily:I like winter.I can play in the snow and make a snowman.Tom:I like spring.The flowers are beautiful,and the weather is nice.Lily:Do you like summer?Tom:It's too hot,but I like eating ice cream!Lily:Haha!Me too.Ice cream is the best in summer! 展开更多
关键词 spring ice cream ice cream lily haha me WEATHER SEASON WINTER SUNNY SUMMER
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Formulation of a hydrating cream containing Echinacea extract as a preservative and antimicrobial agent
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作者 Zahra Mirzapour Zahra Zaregheshlaghi +1 位作者 Ebrahim Soleiman Dehkordi Modarres Dehghani 《Journal of Dermatologic Science and Cosmetic Technology》 2025年第4期52-59,共8页
Objective:The purpose of this article is to investigate the performance of Echinacea extract as a preservative and antimicrobial agent in a hydrating cream.Methods:The hydrating cream was prepared by mixing the oil an... Objective:The purpose of this article is to investigate the performance of Echinacea extract as a preservative and antimicrobial agent in a hydrating cream.Methods:The hydrating cream was prepared by mixing the oil and water phases at a temperature of 75±2℃.Then,physicochemical and microbial analyses were performed on the prepared cream using different devices.Results:For proper evaluation and a more detailed examination of the prepared cream,each experiment was performed three times(n≥3),and the average data are reported.The results of the prepared cream indicate that it has a high skin absorption capacity,and the Echinacea extract has given it antimicrobial properties.Other advantages of making this hydrating cream include high hydration to human skin,formulation stability,and a long-lasting effect without creating a two-phase state.Conclusion:Creams have been evaluated as a primary component of cosmetic products as topical preparations from time immemorial due to their ease of use and removal from the skin.In this article,we report the formulation of a hydrating cream using various ingredients.The results obtained from this article demonstrate that this extract can maintain its properties under accelerated stability conditions for 6 months.Also,the prepared cream can eliminate bacteria over 28 days in an effective antimicrobial preservative test. 展开更多
关键词 COSMETICS Hydrating cream Stability testing Formulation development Echinacea extract Antimicrobial efficacy Natural preservative
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Formulation and evaluation of banana peel-based herbal cream for antibacterial and antifungal applications in cosmetic products
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作者 Esther Offiong Asuquoa Endurance Egwu Ukam +1 位作者 Emmanuel Emmanuel Edet Victoria Onem Ufala 《Journal of Dermatologic Science and Cosmetic Technology》 2025年第3期52-59,共8页
This study aimed to develop and evaluate antimicrobial herbal creams formulated with fresh and dried banana peel(FBP and DBP)extracts for cosmetic applications.Given the abundance of lignocellulosic and bioactive comp... This study aimed to develop and evaluate antimicrobial herbal creams formulated with fresh and dried banana peel(FBP and DBP)extracts for cosmetic applications.Given the abundance of lignocellulosic and bioactive compounds in banana peels,their use in skincare products may provide a natural alternative to synthetic antimicrobial agents.Creams were prepared using standardized formulations containing either fresh or dried banana peel extract.Antimicrobial activity was tested against Staphylococcus aureus,Pseudomonas aeruginosa,Aspergillus niger,and Candida albicans using the agar well diffusion method.Physical properties,including spreadability,pH,homogeneity,and stability,were also evaluated and compared to a commercial cream.The FBP-based cream exhibited strong antibacterial activity,particularly against S.aureus and P.aeruginosa,with inhibition zones up to 40.73 mm.In contrast,the DBP-based cream showed superior antifungal activity against C.albicans and A.niger,with zones up to 49.63 mm.FBP creams also demonstrated better spreadability(34.0 g·cm/s)and uniformity compared to DBP.The results suggest that banana peel extracts possess significant antimicrobial properties and are suitable for use in topical formulations.FBP is more effective for antibacterial applications,while DBP shows stronger antifungal activity.Combining both may offer broad-spectrum protection.Further work should include compound characterization and formulation controls to optimize efficacy. 展开更多
关键词 Banana peel Herbal cream ANTIBACTERIAL ANTIFUNGAL Cosmetic products
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Dermatoprotective Effect of Ocoxin Cream® in Cancer Patients Treated with Radiation Therapy. Case Series
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作者 Iris B. Inguanzo-Valdés Helga Candanedo-Pazo +7 位作者 Aixa Ulloa-Balmaseda Oslay Cervantes-Hernández Acralis de La Cruz-Galguera Martha Lugioyo-Lugo Rosa M. Ortiz-Reyes Mircea Betancourt-Cabeza Jorge Luis Soriano-García Ramón Ropero-Toirac 《Case Reports in Clinical Medicine》 2025年第1期25-39,共15页
Background: The effects of radiation therapy can impact patients’ quality of life, leading to treatment interruptions and therefore sub-optimal outcomes. The main aim was to evaluate the preliminary effects of Ocoxin... Background: The effects of radiation therapy can impact patients’ quality of life, leading to treatment interruptions and therefore sub-optimal outcomes. The main aim was to evaluate the preliminary effects of Ocoxin cream® in the prevention of radiation therapy. Methods: Fifty patients were enrolled in an observational, longitudinal, prospective, single-centre clinical trial in the Department of Radiation Therapy at the National Institute of Oncology and Radiobiology in Havana, Cuba. The Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) toxicity criteria were used to classify the radiation therapy, and the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) instrument was used to assess quality of life. Results: Patients who met the inclusion criteria were enrolled consecutively and were treated with teletherapy using a 60Co source with 1.25 MeV energy. 70.0% of the patients were head and neck cancer patients. No grade 3 - 4 radiation therapy was reported, nor were there any interruptions in radiation treatment due to skin toxicity. Radiation therapy was observed in only 14.0% of patients, and of these, only two patients developed grade 2 toxicity. The perception of quality of life before vs. after radiation therapy remained within an average range of “no effect” (at the start of radiation therapy) to “small effect” (at the end of radiation therapy). Conclusions: This clinical study is the first report of the use of Ocoxin cream® in cancer patients and demonstrates that it is able to prevent radiation therapy and reduce the severity of toxicity of treatment with ionising radiation. 展开更多
关键词 DERMATITIS Radiation Therapy Ocoxin Cream® Quality of Life
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DSR Taiko Berhad:High-hanging Fruit
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《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第9期61-61,共1页
“This durian smells amazing!What variety is it?”“Do you offer any discounts for buying ice cream in bulk?”“One durian pizza and one portion of fresh durian,please!”At a tropical-themed shop in Nanning East Stati... “This durian smells amazing!What variety is it?”“Do you offer any discounts for buying ice cream in bulk?”“One durian pizza and one portion of fresh durian,please!”At a tropical-themed shop in Nanning East Station,a chorus of customer questions filled the air.Student clerks smiled as they answered inquiries,swiftly packing each order. 展开更多
关键词 bulk discount ice cream customer inquiry tropical themed shop durian pizza DURIAN
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Dermal Targeting of Stevioside-Photoglycoside Liquid Crystal Creams
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作者 Lei Shufan Wang Yan +3 位作者 Wen Junxiong Song Chunjing Zhang Xiujun Wang Lifeng 《China Detergent & Cosmetics》 2025年第4期30-38,共9页
Using the back skin of the mice as the test object,UPLC was used to determine the retention rate of Glabridin(GLA)in the skin and subcutaneous fat pf mice with different dosage forms and different administration times... Using the back skin of the mice as the test object,UPLC was used to determine the retention rate of Glabridin(GLA)in the skin and subcutaneous fat pf mice with different dosage forms and different administration times,and to investigate the transdermal absorption effect of liquid crystal cream.The experimental results showed that the 0.5,1,2,4,6 and 8h skin retention rates of GLA in the liquid crystal cream group were 1.67,0.79,1.73,1.47,1.17 and 1.15 times higher than those of the ordinary cream group under the same dosage of administration,respectively.The 0.5,1,2,4,6 and 8 h fat retention rates of GLA in the normal cream group were 0.86,1.87,1.37,1.20,1.35 and 1.19 times higher than those in the liquid crystal group,respectively.Liquid crystal cream can significantly improve the skin retention of GLA,with certain slow and controlled release,and possesses certain skin targeting properties. 展开更多
关键词 liquid crystal cream GLABRIDIN STEVIOSIDE skin targeting properties
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Comparative Effectiveness of Medical Radiation Protection Spray and Triethanolamine Cream in Preventing and Treating Radiodermatitis in Breast Cancer Patients
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作者 Yuge Ran Chan Liu +6 位作者 Lanhui Yuan Huibin Yang Lei Su Kunjie Wang Qianqian Han Xiaoxi Wu Hongyun Shi 《Proceedings of Anticancer Research》 2025年第1期62-67,共6页
Objective:This study investigates the preventive and therapeutic effects of medical radiation protection spray(Bergmann)compared to triethanolamine cream in patients undergoing radiotherapy following breast cancer sur... Objective:This study investigates the preventive and therapeutic effects of medical radiation protection spray(Bergmann)compared to triethanolamine cream in patients undergoing radiotherapy following breast cancer surgery.Methods:Ninety patients with breast cancer who received postoperative radiotherapy between July 2018 and July 2021 were randomly divided into the Bergmann treatment(experimental)group and the triethanolamine cream treatment(control)group,with 45 patients in each group.Radiodermatitis severity was assessed using the RTOG radiodermatitis grading standards.Results:The radiation dose required to develop grade I radiodermatitis was significantly higher in the experimental group compared to the control group,at(36.13±1.17 Gy)and(25.38±0.63 Gy),respectively.At a radiation dose of 30 Gy,the proportion of grade I radiodermatitis cases in the experimental group was significantly lower than in the control group(P=0.002).At radiation doses of 40 Gy and 50 Gy,the proportion of grade II radiodermatitis cases in the experimental group was also significantly lower than in the control group(P<0.001).No cases of grade III or higher radiodermatitis were observed in the experimental group,while three cases of grade III radiodermatitis occurred in the control group,although the difference was not statistically significant.No patients in the experimental group discontinued treatment due to radiodermatitis or mucosal reactions,whereas two patients in the control group interrupted treatment due to these reactions but eventually completed therapy.Conclusion:Bergmann spray effectively prevents radiodermatitis in patients undergoing radiotherapy after breast cancer surgery and is more effective than triethanolamine cream in treating skin lesions.Its ease of use improves the quality of life for patients undergoing radiotherapy and ensures successful treatment completion.Bergmann is suitable for clinical promotion and application. 展开更多
关键词 Breast cancer surgery Radiodermatitis Triethanolamine cream Medical radiation protection spray
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Compound lidocaine cream with warm compress for pain relief in ultrasound-guided peripherally inserted central catheter placement for cancer patients
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作者 Yan Wang Xue-Ni Yang +4 位作者 Sheng Ji Yu-Mei Zhang Yi Wang Yan-Mei Wang Yue-Xia Gu 《World Journal of Clinical Oncology》 2025年第7期217-223,共7页
BACKGROUND Ultrasound-guided peripherally inserted central catheter(PICC)placement is vital for cancer therapy,but lidocaine infiltration faces limitations like puncture pain and vasospasm.AIM To assess the clinical e... BACKGROUND Ultrasound-guided peripherally inserted central catheter(PICC)placement is vital for cancer therapy,but lidocaine infiltration faces limitations like puncture pain and vasospasm.AIM To assess the clinical efficacy of a no-pain intervention-combining compound lidocaine cream with warm compress-in reducing pain during ultrasound-guided PICC placement in cancer patients.METHODS A retrospective cohort study analyzed 88 cancer patients undergoing PICC placement(Shanghai Fourth People’s Hospital,2024).Patients were divided into control(lidocaine infiltration,n=44)and intervention(cream+warm compress,n=44)groups.Primary outcomes:Pain scores(numerical rating scale),procedural time,complications;secondary outcome:Satisfaction.RESULTS The intervention group showed significantly lower pain scores(1.2±0.4 vs 3.8±1.2,P=0.012)with comparable first-attempt success(95.5%vs 90.9%)and safety(P=0.672).Thermal activation of transient receptor potential vanilloid 1 channel enhanced drug penetration,achieving anesthesia within 8-10 minutes.Patient satisfaction reached 97.7%.CONCLUSION The combination of compound lidocaine cream with warm compress significantly alleviates procedural pain and enhances patient satisfaction during ultrasound-guided PICC placement in cancer patients,supporting its clinical application. 展开更多
关键词 ULTRASOUND-GUIDED Peripherally inserted central catheter placement Pain relief Compound lidocaine cream Warm compress Retrospective study Cancer patients
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基于人因可靠性-贝叶斯网络模型的单一飞行员飞行认知失效预测与诊断研究
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作者 汪磊 田昱 洪瑞 《人类工效学》 2025年第5期49-57,共9页
目的提出单一飞行员驾驶(Single Pilot Operation,SPO)模式下飞行员认知失效模式及结构目的模型,识别并防控该模式下飞行员认知失效与人为差错。方法采用人因可靠性分析(Human Reliability Analysis,HRA)中的CREAM模型辨识与分类飞行员... 目的提出单一飞行员驾驶(Single Pilot Operation,SPO)模式下飞行员认知失效模式及结构目的模型,识别并防控该模式下飞行员认知失效与人为差错。方法采用人因可靠性分析(Human Reliability Analysis,HRA)中的CREAM模型辨识与分类飞行员认知失效模式,运用贝叶斯网络(Bayesian Network,BN)进行量化分析,并通过两个案例验证方法有效性。结果构建了包含感觉、知觉、决策、执行四个层级21种具体失效模式的HRA-BN模型;案例分析显示,误解人工智能和人机决策冲突会显著提升执行错误概率,且动作遗漏存在明确致因路径。结论融合HRA与BN的方法可有效分析SPO模式下飞行员认知失效模式,为驾驶舱人为差错分析提供新视角和方法,对探索人机协同机理及未来民机SPO设计与运行具有理论参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 航空交通工程 飞行安全 人因可靠性分析HRA 贝叶斯网络 CREAM模型 单一飞行员驾驶 认知失效模式 民航
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地铁盾构施工人因可靠性分析的加权模糊CREAM模型 被引量:11
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作者 王宁 杜修力 +2 位作者 张明聚 许成顺 卢鑫月 《天津大学学报(自然科学与工程技术版)》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第2期200-210,共11页
针对地铁盾构施工风险评估中人因可靠性分析(HRA)问题,构建了一种加权模糊CREAM模型.首先,利用复相关性分析和证据理论确定共同绩效条件因子(CPC)的合理权重.其次,基于现行规范编制CPC评价细则,利用统计方法得到了CPC水平隶属函数.在此... 针对地铁盾构施工风险评估中人因可靠性分析(HRA)问题,构建了一种加权模糊CREAM模型.首先,利用复相关性分析和证据理论确定共同绩效条件因子(CPC)的合理权重.其次,基于现行规范编制CPC评价细则,利用统计方法得到了CPC水平隶属函数.在此基础上,提出将离散基本控制模式图连续化的方法,建立了地铁盾构施工人因失误概率(HEP)点估计值预测模型,通过4条公理验证了模型的合理性和可靠性.结果表明:加权模糊CREAM模型将权重引入到CPC效应值计算和HEP推理中,能更好地反映不同CPC因子对人行为绩效的影响,可为地铁盾构施工HRA提供定量评估数据. 展开更多
关键词 盾构施工 人因可靠性分析 施工风险 CREAM
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河南省降雨侵蚀力时空变异与不同算法比较研究 被引量:9
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作者 吴明作 申冲 +2 位作者 杨喜田 张志方 张军 《水土保持研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2011年第2期10-13,20,共5页
利用河南省119个气象台站自建站至2003年间不同年限的逐日降雨量资料,采用不同方法分别计算了河南省各县(市)不同时段的降雨侵蚀力,对不同算法的时空差异进行了比较。结果表明:河南省多年平均降雨侵蚀力总体趋势是由北向南、由西向东递... 利用河南省119个气象台站自建站至2003年间不同年限的逐日降雨量资料,采用不同方法分别计算了河南省各县(市)不同时段的降雨侵蚀力,对不同算法的时空差异进行了比较。结果表明:河南省多年平均降雨侵蚀力总体趋势是由北向南、由西向东递增,最大值出现在南部的鸡公山、新县与商城;各地点的降雨侵蚀力在不同年份变异较大,无明显的周期性等规律;各种算法均可表现出时空变化特征,但具体数据差异较大。认为以逐日降雨量为基础的3种算法比较接近实际情况,其中CREAMS模型因其计算简便性可进行较广泛应用。 展开更多
关键词 河南省 降雨侵蚀力 日雨量模型 CREAMS模型 时空变异
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第二代人的可靠性分析方法的进展 被引量:20
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作者 高佳 沈祖培 何旭洪 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 2004年第2期15-19,共5页
在探讨第一代人的可靠性分析 (HRA)方法的局限性之后 ,笔者进而探讨第二代HRA方法的模型 ,建立在多种学科 (认知心理学、行为科学、可靠性工程等 )相互结合的基础上 ,又着重研究产生人的行为 /绩效的情景环境以及它们是如何影响人的行... 在探讨第一代人的可靠性分析 (HRA)方法的局限性之后 ,笔者进而探讨第二代HRA方法的模型 ,建立在多种学科 (认知心理学、行为科学、可靠性工程等 )相互结合的基础上 ,又着重研究产生人的行为 /绩效的情景环境以及它们是如何影响人的行为 /动作的 ,并与工业系统的运行经验和现场或模拟机获得的信息紧密结合。重点介绍了以“失误分析技术”(ATHEANA)和“认知可靠性和失误分析方法”(CREAM)为代表的第二代HRA方法。它们是当前HRA领域中的具有应用和发展前景的新框架思想。 展开更多
关键词 可靠性分析 HRA 失误分析技术 ATHEANA法 CREAM法 失误率预测技术 安全事故
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塔机作业模糊认知可靠性与失误分析方法研究 被引量:22
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作者 郑霞忠 郭雅薇 +2 位作者 石法起 陈述 晋良海 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期98-103,共6页
为提高建设工程塔式起重机作业可靠性,防止人因失误酿成事故,综合运用模糊数学和认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM),构建塔机作业人因可靠性分析模型。首先,剖析塔机作业环境特点,修正共同绩效条件(CPC),厘定各项CPC评估指标;其次,分析... 为提高建设工程塔式起重机作业可靠性,防止人因失误酿成事故,综合运用模糊数学和认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM),构建塔机作业人因可靠性分析模型。首先,剖析塔机作业环境特点,修正共同绩效条件(CPC),厘定各项CPC评估指标;其次,分析人因失误事故数据资料,构建高斯隶属度函数,模糊处理CPC评估指标;然后,融合CPC评估指标熵权,模糊计算塔机作业人员4类控制模式隶属度;最后,运用重心法进行控制模式隶属度去模糊化处理,实现塔机作业人因可靠性概率的量化评估。对湖北省某建筑企业施工现场塔机作业进行模糊认知可靠性与失误分析,验证模型有效性。结果表明:该建筑企业施工现场塔机作业人员控制模式为战略型,人因可靠性概率为99.83%。 展开更多
关键词 人因可靠性分析 塔机作业 认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM) 模糊理论 共同绩效条件(CPC) 重心法
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