交通运输业减排是实现全局减排目标的关键。研究基于改进的随机性环境影响评估(Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population,Affluence,and Technology,STIRPAT)模型分析影响交通运输业碳排放的主要因素,设置低碳、基准和高碳3种...交通运输业减排是实现全局减排目标的关键。研究基于改进的随机性环境影响评估(Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population,Affluence,and Technology,STIRPAT)模型分析影响交通运输业碳排放的主要因素,设置低碳、基准和高碳3种情景方案,利用卷积神经网络-长短期记忆网络-注意力机制(Convolutional Neural Networks-Long short-Term Memory-Attention Mec.hanism,CNN-LSTM-Attention)交通运输业碳排放预测模型对中国30个省、自治区、直辖市2022—2035年交通运输业碳排放进行预测。结果显示:人口情况、经济水平和交通运输等3个维度的影响因素对交通运输业碳排放具有正向驱动作用,能源技术维度的影响因素则起负向驱动作用;CNN-LSTM-Attention交通运输业碳排放预测模型提升了模型在小样本数据集的预测能力,预测效果较好;低碳、基准和高碳3种情景下中国交通运输业的碳排放峰值将晚于2030年的总排放峰值目标实现;各省在碳排放峰值和达峰时间上存在异质性,应采取差异化、精准化的政策策略,局部上分区域、分梯次达峰,以整体上实现碳达峰目标。展开更多
Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion...Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion algorithm took advantage of the fast optimization ability of PSO to optimize the population screening link of GA.The Simulink simulation results showed that the convergence of the fitness function of the fusion algorithm was accelerated,the system response adjustment time was reduced,and the overshoot was almost zero.Then the algorithm was applied to the steering test of agricultural robot in various scenes.After modeling the steering system of agricultural robot,the steering test results in the unloaded suspended state showed that the PID control based on fusion algorithm reduced the rise time,response adjustment time and overshoot of the system,and improved the response speed and stability of the system,compared with the artificial trial and error PID control and the PID control based on GA.The actual road steering test results showed that the PID control response rise time based on the fusion algorithm was the shortest,about 4.43 s.When the target pulse number was set to 100,the actual mean value in the steady-state regulation stage was about 102.9,which was the closest to the target value among the three control methods,and the overshoot was reduced at the same time.The steering test results under various scene states showed that the PID control based on the proposed fusion algorithm had good anti-interference ability,it can adapt to the changes of environment and load and improve the performance of the control system.It was effective in the steering control of agricultural robot.This method can provide a reference for the precise steering control of other robots.展开更多
文章主要探讨了一种将卷积神经网络、长短时记忆网络以及注意力机制相结合的方法在新能源发电量预测中的应用及其有效性。随着新能源发电量受外部环境影响而表现出较大波动性和复杂性,传统预测模型难以全面捕捉其中的复杂模式和长期依...文章主要探讨了一种将卷积神经网络、长短时记忆网络以及注意力机制相结合的方法在新能源发电量预测中的应用及其有效性。随着新能源发电量受外部环境影响而表现出较大波动性和复杂性,传统预测模型难以全面捕捉其中的复杂模式和长期依赖性。因此,文章提出了一个集成多种深度学习方法的组合模型(CNN-LSTM-Attention模型),该模型首先通过卷积层提取数据中的局部特征,随后利用长短时记忆网络建模时间序列的长期依赖关系,最后通过注意力机制增强对重要信息的关注度。实验选取了2024年1月1日至6月30日期间的甘肃省风力发电和水力发电数据,进行了特征提取和模型训练。结果显示,相较于单独使用卷积神经网络或长短时记忆网络,结合了注意力机制的组合模型在多个评估指标上均表现出更高的预测准确性和更好的拟合效果。此外,还引入了孤立森林算法对预测误差进行异常值检测,并结合风险等级进行了详细的分类分析,进一步验证了该模型在实际应用中的有效性。本研究为新能源发电系统的预测和管理提供了一种新思路和方法,有助于提高系统运行的可靠性和安全性。This paper mainly discusses the application and effectiveness of a method combining convolutional neural networks, long short-term memory networks, and attention mechanisms in new energy power generation predictions. As new energy generation is affected by the external environment and shows great volatility and complexity, it is difficult to fully capture complex patterns and long-term dependencies using traditional forecasting models. Therefore, this paper proposes a combined model integrating multiple deep learning methods (CNN-LSTM-Attention model), which firstly extracts local features from the data through convolutional layers, then models the long-term dependencies of time series by long short-term memory networks and finally enhances the focus on important information through attention mechanisms. The experiment selected the wind power and hydroelectric power generation data of Gansu Province from January 1 to June 30, 2024, and carried out feature extraction and model training. The results show that compared with convolutional neural networks or long short-term memory networks alone, the combined model with attention mechanism has higher prediction accuracy and better fitting effect on multiple evaluation indicators. In addition, this paper introduces the isolation forest algorithm for outlier detection of the prediction errors and carries out a detailed classification analysis combined with the risk level, further verifying the effectiveness of the model in practical application. The research in this paper provides a new idea and method for the prediction and management of a new energy power generation system, which is helpful in improving the reliability and safety of the whole system operation.展开更多
Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting...Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.展开更多
This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the compl...This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the complexities,simulation time cost and convergence problems of detailed PV power station models.First,the amplitude–frequency curves of different filter parameters are analyzed.Based on the results,a grouping parameter set for characterizing the external filter characteristics is established.These parameters are further defined as clustering parameters.A single PV inverter model is then established as a prerequisite foundation.The proposed equivalent method combines the global search capability of PSO with the rapid convergence of KMC,effectively overcoming the tendency of KMC to become trapped in local optima.This approach enhances both clustering accuracy and numerical stability when determining equivalence for PV inverter units.Using the proposed clustering method,both a detailed PV power station model and an equivalent model are developed and compared.Simulation and hardwarein-loop(HIL)results based on the equivalent model verify that the equivalent method accurately represents the dynamic characteristics of PVpower stations and adapts well to different operating conditions.The proposed equivalent modeling method provides an effective analysis tool for future renewable energy integration research.展开更多
Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from...Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from effectively extracting features while maintaining detection accuracy.This paper proposes an industrial Internet ofThings intrusion detection feature selection algorithm based on an improved whale optimization algorithm(GSLDWOA).The aim is to address the problems that feature selection algorithms under high-dimensional data are prone to,such as local optimality,long detection time,and reduced accuracy.First,the initial population’s diversity is increased using the Gaussian Mutation mechanism.Then,Non-linear Shrinking Factor balances global exploration and local development,avoiding premature convergence.Lastly,Variable-step Levy Flight operator and Dynamic Differential Evolution strategy are introduced to improve the algorithm’s search efficiency and convergence accuracy in highdimensional feature space.Experiments on the NSL-KDD and WUSTL-IIoT-2021 datasets demonstrate that the feature subset selected by GSLDWOA significantly improves detection performance.Compared to the traditional WOA algorithm,the detection rate and F1-score increased by 3.68%and 4.12%.On the WUSTL-IIoT-2021 dataset,accuracy,recall,and F1-score all exceed 99.9%.展开更多
Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious an...Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious and they are numerous,resulting in low detection accuracy by deep learning models.Therefore,we proposed a new multi-scale fusion crater detection algorithm(MSF-CDA)based on the YOLO11 to improve the accuracy of lunar impact crater detection,especially for small craters with a diameter of<1 km.Using the images taken by the LROC(Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera)at the Chang’e-4(CE-4)landing area,we constructed three separate datasets for craters with diameters of 0-70 m,70-140 m,and>140 m.We then trained three submodels separately with these three datasets.Additionally,we designed a slicing-amplifying-slicing strategy to enhance the ability to extract features from small craters.To handle redundant predictions,we proposed a new Non-Maximum Suppression with Area Filtering method to fuse the results in overlapping targets within the multi-scale submodels.Finally,our new MSF-CDA method achieved high detection performance,with the Precision,Recall,and F1 score having values of 0.991,0.987,and 0.989,respectively,perfectly addressing the problems induced by the lesser features and sample imbalance of small craters.Our MSF-CDA can provide strong data support for more in-depth study of the geological evolution of the lunar surface and finer geological age estimations.This strategy can also be used to detect other small objects with lesser features and sample imbalance problems.We detected approximately 500,000 impact craters in an area of approximately 214 km2 around the CE-4 landing area.By statistically analyzing the new data,we updated the distribution function of the number and diameter of impact craters.Finally,we identified the most suitable lighting conditions for detecting impact crater targets by analyzing the effect of different lighting conditions on the detection accuracy.展开更多
Improving the accuracy of solar power forecasting is crucial to ensure grid stability,optimize solar power plant operations,and enhance grid dispatch efficiency.Although hybrid neural network models can effectively ad...Improving the accuracy of solar power forecasting is crucial to ensure grid stability,optimize solar power plant operations,and enhance grid dispatch efficiency.Although hybrid neural network models can effectively address the complexities of environmental data and power prediction uncertainties,challenges such as labor-intensive parameter adjustments and complex optimization processes persist.Thus,this study proposed a novel approach for solar power prediction using a hybrid model(CNN-LSTM-attention)that combines a convolutional neural network(CNN),long short-term memory(LSTM),and attention mechanisms.The model incorporates Bayesian optimization to refine the parameters and enhance the prediction accuracy.To prepare high-quality training data,the solar power data were first preprocessed,including feature selection,data cleaning,imputation,and smoothing.The processed data were then used to train a hybrid model based on the CNN-LSTM-attention architecture,followed by hyperparameter optimization employing Bayesian methods.The experimental results indicated that within acceptable model training times,the CNN-LSTM-attention model outperformed the LSTM,GRU,CNN-LSTM,CNN-LSTM with autoencoders,and parallel CNN-LSTM attention models.Furthermore,following Bayesian optimization,the optimized model demonstrated significantly reduced prediction errors during periods of data volatility compared to the original model,as evidenced by MRE evaluations.This highlights the clear advantage of the optimized model in forecasting fluctuating data.展开更多
为了更迅速、准确地识别出高压电缆的局部放电故障,本文提出一种基于卷积长短期注意力(convolutional long short-term attention,CNN-LSTM-Attention)神经网络的高压电缆局部放电预测方法.首先,对高压电缆局部放电信号进行实时监测,并...为了更迅速、准确地识别出高压电缆的局部放电故障,本文提出一种基于卷积长短期注意力(convolutional long short-term attention,CNN-LSTM-Attention)神经网络的高压电缆局部放电预测方法.首先,对高压电缆局部放电信号进行实时监测,并用小波分析将其离散,把长信号切分成多段信号且提取每段信号的统计特征量;其次,根据特征量构建神经网络分类模型,其由能够提取轮廓特征的卷积层、提取信号时序特征的长短期记忆层以及具有时序重要部分捕捉能力的注意力层构成;最后,通过实际数据进行仿真.结果表明:所提方法能准确识别较高采样率的异常放电信号,且相比传统神经网络,CNN-LSTM-Attention神经网络的故障识别准确率有明显提高,其马修斯相关系数(Matthews correlation coefficient,MCC)为0.87103.展开更多
Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,curr...Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,current SOH estimation methods often overlook the valuable temperature information that can effectively characterize battery aging during capacity degradation.Additionally,the Elman neural network,which is commonly employed for SOH estimation,exhibits several drawbacks,including slow training speed,a tendency to become trapped in local minima,and the initialization of weights and thresholds using pseudo-random numbers,leading to unstable model performance.To address these issues,this study addresses the challenge of precise and effective SOH detection by proposing a method for estimating the SOH of lithium-ion batteries based on differential thermal voltammetry(DTV)and an SSA-Elman neural network.Firstly,two health features(HFs)considering temperature factors and battery voltage are extracted fromthe differential thermal voltammetry curves and incremental capacity curves.Next,the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)is employed to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the Elman neural network,forming the SSA-Elman neural network model.To validate the performance,various neural networks,including the proposed SSA-Elman network,are tested using the Oxford battery aging dataset.The experimental results demonstrate that the method developed in this study achieves superior accuracy and robustness,with a mean absolute error(MAE)of less than 0.9%and a rootmean square error(RMSE)below 1.4%.展开更多
Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently...Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently,enhancing the robustness of scale-free networks has become a pressing issue.To address this problem,this paper proposes a Multi-Granularity Integration Algorithm(MGIA),which aims to improve the robustness of scale-free networks while keeping the initial degree of each node unchanged,ensuring network connectivity and avoiding the generation of multiple edges.The algorithm generates a multi-granularity structure from the initial network to be optimized,then uses different optimization strategies to optimize the networks at various granular layers in this structure,and finally realizes the information exchange between different granular layers,thereby further enhancing the optimization effect.We propose new network refresh,crossover,and mutation operators to ensure that the optimized network satisfies the given constraints.Meanwhile,we propose new network similarity and network dissimilarity evaluation metrics to improve the effectiveness of the optimization operators in the algorithm.In the experiments,the MGIA enhances the robustness of the scale-free network by 67.6%.This improvement is approximately 17.2%higher than the optimization effects achieved by eight currently existing complex network robustness optimization algorithms.展开更多
Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,th...Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.展开更多
In disaster relief operations,multiple UAVs can be used to search for trapped people.In recent years,many researchers have proposed machine le arning-based algorithms,sampling-based algorithms,and heuristic algorithms...In disaster relief operations,multiple UAVs can be used to search for trapped people.In recent years,many researchers have proposed machine le arning-based algorithms,sampling-based algorithms,and heuristic algorithms to solve the problem of multi-UAV path planning.The Dung Beetle Optimization(DBO)algorithm has been widely applied due to its diverse search patterns in the above algorithms.However,the update strategies for the rolling and thieving dung beetles of the DBO algorithm are overly simplistic,potentially leading to an inability to fully explore the search space and a tendency to converge to local optima,thereby not guaranteeing the discovery of the optimal path.To address these issues,we propose an improved DBO algorithm guided by the Landmark Operator(LODBO).Specifically,we first use tent mapping to update the population strategy,which enables the algorithm to generate initial solutions with enhanced diversity within the search space.Second,we expand the search range of the rolling ball dung beetle by using the landmark factor.Finally,by using the adaptive factor that changes with the number of iterations.,we improve the global search ability of the stealing dung beetle,making it more likely to escape from local optima.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,extensive simulation experiments are conducted,and the result shows that the LODBO algorithm can obtain the optimal path using the shortest time compared with the Genetic Algorithm(GA),the Gray Wolf Optimizer(GWO),the Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA)and the original DBO algorithm in the disaster search and rescue task set.展开更多
Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered so...Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered soils remains a complex challenge.This study presents a novel application of five ensemble machine(ML)algorithms-random forest(RF),gradient boosting machine(GBM),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),and categorical boosting(CatBoost)-to predict the undrained bearing capacity factor(Nc)of circular open caissons embedded in two-layered clay on the basis of results from finite element limit analysis(FELA).The input dataset consists of 1188 numerical simulations using the Tresca failure criterion,varying in geometrical and soil parameters.The FELA was performed via OptumG2 software with adaptive meshing techniques and verified against existing benchmark studies.The ML models were trained on 70% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 30%.Their performance was evaluated using six statistical metrics:coefficient of determination(R²),mean absolute error(MAE),root mean squared error(RMSE),index of scatter(IOS),RMSE-to-standard deviation ratio(RSR),and variance explained factor(VAF).The results indicate that all the models achieved high accuracy,with R²values exceeding 97.6%and RMSE values below 0.02.Among them,AdaBoost and CatBoost consistently outperformed the other methods across both the training and testing datasets,demonstrating superior generalizability and robustness.The proposed ML framework offers an efficient,accurate,and data-driven alternative to traditional methods for estimating caisson capacity in stratified soils.This approach can aid in reducing computational costs while improving reliability in the early stages of foundation design.展开更多
文摘Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion algorithm took advantage of the fast optimization ability of PSO to optimize the population screening link of GA.The Simulink simulation results showed that the convergence of the fitness function of the fusion algorithm was accelerated,the system response adjustment time was reduced,and the overshoot was almost zero.Then the algorithm was applied to the steering test of agricultural robot in various scenes.After modeling the steering system of agricultural robot,the steering test results in the unloaded suspended state showed that the PID control based on fusion algorithm reduced the rise time,response adjustment time and overshoot of the system,and improved the response speed and stability of the system,compared with the artificial trial and error PID control and the PID control based on GA.The actual road steering test results showed that the PID control response rise time based on the fusion algorithm was the shortest,about 4.43 s.When the target pulse number was set to 100,the actual mean value in the steady-state regulation stage was about 102.9,which was the closest to the target value among the three control methods,and the overshoot was reduced at the same time.The steering test results under various scene states showed that the PID control based on the proposed fusion algorithm had good anti-interference ability,it can adapt to the changes of environment and load and improve the performance of the control system.It was effective in the steering control of agricultural robot.This method can provide a reference for the precise steering control of other robots.
文摘文章主要探讨了一种将卷积神经网络、长短时记忆网络以及注意力机制相结合的方法在新能源发电量预测中的应用及其有效性。随着新能源发电量受外部环境影响而表现出较大波动性和复杂性,传统预测模型难以全面捕捉其中的复杂模式和长期依赖性。因此,文章提出了一个集成多种深度学习方法的组合模型(CNN-LSTM-Attention模型),该模型首先通过卷积层提取数据中的局部特征,随后利用长短时记忆网络建模时间序列的长期依赖关系,最后通过注意力机制增强对重要信息的关注度。实验选取了2024年1月1日至6月30日期间的甘肃省风力发电和水力发电数据,进行了特征提取和模型训练。结果显示,相较于单独使用卷积神经网络或长短时记忆网络,结合了注意力机制的组合模型在多个评估指标上均表现出更高的预测准确性和更好的拟合效果。此外,还引入了孤立森林算法对预测误差进行异常值检测,并结合风险等级进行了详细的分类分析,进一步验证了该模型在实际应用中的有效性。本研究为新能源发电系统的预测和管理提供了一种新思路和方法,有助于提高系统运行的可靠性和安全性。This paper mainly discusses the application and effectiveness of a method combining convolutional neural networks, long short-term memory networks, and attention mechanisms in new energy power generation predictions. As new energy generation is affected by the external environment and shows great volatility and complexity, it is difficult to fully capture complex patterns and long-term dependencies using traditional forecasting models. Therefore, this paper proposes a combined model integrating multiple deep learning methods (CNN-LSTM-Attention model), which firstly extracts local features from the data through convolutional layers, then models the long-term dependencies of time series by long short-term memory networks and finally enhances the focus on important information through attention mechanisms. The experiment selected the wind power and hydroelectric power generation data of Gansu Province from January 1 to June 30, 2024, and carried out feature extraction and model training. The results show that compared with convolutional neural networks or long short-term memory networks alone, the combined model with attention mechanism has higher prediction accuracy and better fitting effect on multiple evaluation indicators. In addition, this paper introduces the isolation forest algorithm for outlier detection of the prediction errors and carries out a detailed classification analysis combined with the risk level, further verifying the effectiveness of the model in practical application. The research in this paper provides a new idea and method for the prediction and management of a new energy power generation system, which is helpful in improving the reliability and safety of the whole system operation.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2023YFC3006704National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42171047CAS-CSIRO Partnership Joint Project of 2024,No.177GJHZ2023097MI。
文摘Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.
基金supported by the Research Project of China Southern Power Grid(No.056200KK52222031).
文摘This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the complexities,simulation time cost and convergence problems of detailed PV power station models.First,the amplitude–frequency curves of different filter parameters are analyzed.Based on the results,a grouping parameter set for characterizing the external filter characteristics is established.These parameters are further defined as clustering parameters.A single PV inverter model is then established as a prerequisite foundation.The proposed equivalent method combines the global search capability of PSO with the rapid convergence of KMC,effectively overcoming the tendency of KMC to become trapped in local optima.This approach enhances both clustering accuracy and numerical stability when determining equivalence for PV inverter units.Using the proposed clustering method,both a detailed PV power station model and an equivalent model are developed and compared.Simulation and hardwarein-loop(HIL)results based on the equivalent model verify that the equivalent method accurately represents the dynamic characteristics of PVpower stations and adapts well to different operating conditions.The proposed equivalent modeling method provides an effective analysis tool for future renewable energy integration research.
基金supported by the Major Science and Technology Programs in Henan Province(No.241100210100)Henan Provincial Science and Technology Research Project(No.252102211085,No.252102211105)+3 种基金Endogenous Security Cloud Network Convergence R&D Center(No.602431011PQ1)The Special Project for Research and Development in Key Areas of Guangdong Province(No.2021ZDZX1098)The Stabilization Support Program of Science,Technology and Innovation Commission of Shenzhen Municipality(No.20231128083944001)The Key scientific research projects of Henan higher education institutions(No.24A520042).
文摘Existing feature selection methods for intrusion detection systems in the Industrial Internet of Things often suffer from local optimality and high computational complexity.These challenges hinder traditional IDS from effectively extracting features while maintaining detection accuracy.This paper proposes an industrial Internet ofThings intrusion detection feature selection algorithm based on an improved whale optimization algorithm(GSLDWOA).The aim is to address the problems that feature selection algorithms under high-dimensional data are prone to,such as local optimality,long detection time,and reduced accuracy.First,the initial population’s diversity is increased using the Gaussian Mutation mechanism.Then,Non-linear Shrinking Factor balances global exploration and local development,avoiding premature convergence.Lastly,Variable-step Levy Flight operator and Dynamic Differential Evolution strategy are introduced to improve the algorithm’s search efficiency and convergence accuracy in highdimensional feature space.Experiments on the NSL-KDD and WUSTL-IIoT-2021 datasets demonstrate that the feature subset selected by GSLDWOA significantly improves detection performance.Compared to the traditional WOA algorithm,the detection rate and F1-score increased by 3.68%and 4.12%.On the WUSTL-IIoT-2021 dataset,accuracy,recall,and F1-score all exceed 99.9%.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFF0711400)which provided valuable financial support and resources for my research and made it possible for me to deeply explore the unknown mysteries in the field of lunar geologythe National Space Science Data Center Youth Open Project(Grant No.NSSDC2302001),which has not only facilitated the smooth progress of my research,but has also built a platform for me to communicate and cooperate with experts in the field.
文摘Impact craters are important for understanding the evolution of lunar geologic and surface erosion rates,among other functions.However,the morphological characteristics of these micro impact craters are not obvious and they are numerous,resulting in low detection accuracy by deep learning models.Therefore,we proposed a new multi-scale fusion crater detection algorithm(MSF-CDA)based on the YOLO11 to improve the accuracy of lunar impact crater detection,especially for small craters with a diameter of<1 km.Using the images taken by the LROC(Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera)at the Chang’e-4(CE-4)landing area,we constructed three separate datasets for craters with diameters of 0-70 m,70-140 m,and>140 m.We then trained three submodels separately with these three datasets.Additionally,we designed a slicing-amplifying-slicing strategy to enhance the ability to extract features from small craters.To handle redundant predictions,we proposed a new Non-Maximum Suppression with Area Filtering method to fuse the results in overlapping targets within the multi-scale submodels.Finally,our new MSF-CDA method achieved high detection performance,with the Precision,Recall,and F1 score having values of 0.991,0.987,and 0.989,respectively,perfectly addressing the problems induced by the lesser features and sample imbalance of small craters.Our MSF-CDA can provide strong data support for more in-depth study of the geological evolution of the lunar surface and finer geological age estimations.This strategy can also be used to detect other small objects with lesser features and sample imbalance problems.We detected approximately 500,000 impact craters in an area of approximately 214 km2 around the CE-4 landing area.By statistically analyzing the new data,we updated the distribution function of the number and diameter of impact craters.Finally,we identified the most suitable lighting conditions for detecting impact crater targets by analyzing the effect of different lighting conditions on the detection accuracy.
基金supported by the State Grid Science&Technology Project(5400-202224153A-1-1-ZN).
文摘Improving the accuracy of solar power forecasting is crucial to ensure grid stability,optimize solar power plant operations,and enhance grid dispatch efficiency.Although hybrid neural network models can effectively address the complexities of environmental data and power prediction uncertainties,challenges such as labor-intensive parameter adjustments and complex optimization processes persist.Thus,this study proposed a novel approach for solar power prediction using a hybrid model(CNN-LSTM-attention)that combines a convolutional neural network(CNN),long short-term memory(LSTM),and attention mechanisms.The model incorporates Bayesian optimization to refine the parameters and enhance the prediction accuracy.To prepare high-quality training data,the solar power data were first preprocessed,including feature selection,data cleaning,imputation,and smoothing.The processed data were then used to train a hybrid model based on the CNN-LSTM-attention architecture,followed by hyperparameter optimization employing Bayesian methods.The experimental results indicated that within acceptable model training times,the CNN-LSTM-attention model outperformed the LSTM,GRU,CNN-LSTM,CNN-LSTM with autoencoders,and parallel CNN-LSTM attention models.Furthermore,following Bayesian optimization,the optimized model demonstrated significantly reduced prediction errors during periods of data volatility compared to the original model,as evidenced by MRE evaluations.This highlights the clear advantage of the optimized model in forecasting fluctuating data.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under Grant(No.51677058).
文摘Precisely estimating the state of health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is essential for battery management systems(BMS),as it plays a key role in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of battery systems.However,current SOH estimation methods often overlook the valuable temperature information that can effectively characterize battery aging during capacity degradation.Additionally,the Elman neural network,which is commonly employed for SOH estimation,exhibits several drawbacks,including slow training speed,a tendency to become trapped in local minima,and the initialization of weights and thresholds using pseudo-random numbers,leading to unstable model performance.To address these issues,this study addresses the challenge of precise and effective SOH detection by proposing a method for estimating the SOH of lithium-ion batteries based on differential thermal voltammetry(DTV)and an SSA-Elman neural network.Firstly,two health features(HFs)considering temperature factors and battery voltage are extracted fromthe differential thermal voltammetry curves and incremental capacity curves.Next,the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)is employed to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the Elman neural network,forming the SSA-Elman neural network model.To validate the performance,various neural networks,including the proposed SSA-Elman network,are tested using the Oxford battery aging dataset.The experimental results demonstrate that the method developed in this study achieves superior accuracy and robustness,with a mean absolute error(MAE)of less than 0.9%and a rootmean square error(RMSE)below 1.4%.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(11971211,12171388).
文摘Complex network models are frequently employed for simulating and studyingdiverse real-world complex systems.Among these models,scale-free networks typically exhibit greater fragility to malicious attacks.Consequently,enhancing the robustness of scale-free networks has become a pressing issue.To address this problem,this paper proposes a Multi-Granularity Integration Algorithm(MGIA),which aims to improve the robustness of scale-free networks while keeping the initial degree of each node unchanged,ensuring network connectivity and avoiding the generation of multiple edges.The algorithm generates a multi-granularity structure from the initial network to be optimized,then uses different optimization strategies to optimize the networks at various granular layers in this structure,and finally realizes the information exchange between different granular layers,thereby further enhancing the optimization effect.We propose new network refresh,crossover,and mutation operators to ensure that the optimized network satisfies the given constraints.Meanwhile,we propose new network similarity and network dissimilarity evaluation metrics to improve the effectiveness of the optimization operators in the algorithm.In the experiments,the MGIA enhances the robustness of the scale-free network by 67.6%.This improvement is approximately 17.2%higher than the optimization effects achieved by eight currently existing complex network robustness optimization algorithms.
基金supported by Yunnan Provincial Basic Research Project(202401AT070344,202301AT070443)National Natural Science Foundation of China(62263014,52207105)+1 种基金Yunnan Lancang-Mekong International Electric Power Technology Joint Laboratory(202203AP140001)Major Science and Technology Projects in Yunnan Province(202402AG050006).
文摘Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids.Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power,there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction.To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast,this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer,which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS(STL)and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm(IAOA).First,to fully extract the power data features,STL is used to decompose the original data into components with less redundant information.The extracted components as well as the weather data are then input into iTransformer for short-term wind power forecast.The final predicted short-term wind power curve is obtained by combining the predicted components.To improve the model accuracy,IAOA is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of iTransformer.The proposed approach is validated using real-generation data from different seasons and different power stations inNorthwest China,and ablation experiments have been conducted.Furthermore,to validate the superiority of the proposed approach under different wind characteristics,real power generation data fromsouthwestChina are utilized for experiments.Thecomparative results with the other six state-of-the-art prediction models in experiments show that the proposed model well fits the true value of generation series and achieves high prediction accuracy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62373027).
文摘In disaster relief operations,multiple UAVs can be used to search for trapped people.In recent years,many researchers have proposed machine le arning-based algorithms,sampling-based algorithms,and heuristic algorithms to solve the problem of multi-UAV path planning.The Dung Beetle Optimization(DBO)algorithm has been widely applied due to its diverse search patterns in the above algorithms.However,the update strategies for the rolling and thieving dung beetles of the DBO algorithm are overly simplistic,potentially leading to an inability to fully explore the search space and a tendency to converge to local optima,thereby not guaranteeing the discovery of the optimal path.To address these issues,we propose an improved DBO algorithm guided by the Landmark Operator(LODBO).Specifically,we first use tent mapping to update the population strategy,which enables the algorithm to generate initial solutions with enhanced diversity within the search space.Second,we expand the search range of the rolling ball dung beetle by using the landmark factor.Finally,by using the adaptive factor that changes with the number of iterations.,we improve the global search ability of the stealing dung beetle,making it more likely to escape from local optima.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,extensive simulation experiments are conducted,and the result shows that the LODBO algorithm can obtain the optimal path using the shortest time compared with the Genetic Algorithm(GA),the Gray Wolf Optimizer(GWO),the Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA)and the original DBO algorithm in the disaster search and rescue task set.
文摘Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered soils remains a complex challenge.This study presents a novel application of five ensemble machine(ML)algorithms-random forest(RF),gradient boosting machine(GBM),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),and categorical boosting(CatBoost)-to predict the undrained bearing capacity factor(Nc)of circular open caissons embedded in two-layered clay on the basis of results from finite element limit analysis(FELA).The input dataset consists of 1188 numerical simulations using the Tresca failure criterion,varying in geometrical and soil parameters.The FELA was performed via OptumG2 software with adaptive meshing techniques and verified against existing benchmark studies.The ML models were trained on 70% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 30%.Their performance was evaluated using six statistical metrics:coefficient of determination(R²),mean absolute error(MAE),root mean squared error(RMSE),index of scatter(IOS),RMSE-to-standard deviation ratio(RSR),and variance explained factor(VAF).The results indicate that all the models achieved high accuracy,with R²values exceeding 97.6%and RMSE values below 0.02.Among them,AdaBoost and CatBoost consistently outperformed the other methods across both the training and testing datasets,demonstrating superior generalizability and robustness.The proposed ML framework offers an efficient,accurate,and data-driven alternative to traditional methods for estimating caisson capacity in stratified soils.This approach can aid in reducing computational costs while improving reliability in the early stages of foundation design.
