Typhoon Chaba was the most intense typhoon to strike western Guangdong since Typhoon Mujigae in 2015.According to the National Disaster Reduction Center of China,in the morning of July 7,2022,over 1.5 million people i...Typhoon Chaba was the most intense typhoon to strike western Guangdong since Typhoon Mujigae in 2015.According to the National Disaster Reduction Center of China,in the morning of July 7,2022,over 1.5 million people in Guangdong,Guangxi,and Hainan were affected by Typhoon Chaba.The typhoon also caused the“Fukui 001”ship to be in distress in the waters near Yangjiang,Guangdong,on July 2,resulting in big casualties.Studies have indicated that wind field forecast for Typhoon Chaba was not accurate.To better simulate typhoon events and assess their impacts,we proposed the use of a model wind field(Fujita-Takahashi)integrated with the Copernicus Marine and Environmental Monitoring Service(CMEMS)data to reconstruct effectively the overall wind field of Typhoon Chaba.The simulation result aligns well with the observations,particularly at the Dashu Island Station,showing consistent trends in wind speed changes.However,certain limitations were noted.The model shows that the attenuation of wind speed is slower when typhoon neared land than that observed,indicating that the model has a high simulation accuracy for the ocean wind field,but may have deviations near coastal areas.The result is accurate for open sea but deviated for near land due to the land friction effect.Therefore,we recommend to adjust the model to improve the accuracy for near coasts.展开更多
The choices of the parameterizations for each component in a microwave emission model have significant effects on the quality of brightness temperature (Tb) sim- ulation. How to reduce the uncertainty in the Tb simu...The choices of the parameterizations for each component in a microwave emission model have significant effects on the quality of brightness temperature (Tb) sim- ulation. How to reduce the uncertainty in the Tb simulation is investigated by adopting a statistical post-processing procedure with the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) ensemble approach. The simulations by the community microwave emission model (CMEM) cou- pled with the community land model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) over China's Mainland are con- ducted by the 24 configurations from four vegetation opacity parameterizations (VOPs), three soil dielectric constant parameterizations (SDCPs), and two soil roughness param- eterizations (SRPs). Compared with the simple arithmetical averaging (SAA) method, the BMA reconstructions have a higher spatial correlation coefficient (larger than 0.99) than the C-band satellite observations of the advanced microwave scanning radiometer on the Earth observing system (AMSR-E) at the vertical polarization. Moreover, the BMA product performs the best among the ensemble members for all vegetation classes, with a mean root-mean-square difference (RMSD) of 4 K and a temporal correlation coefficient of 0.64.展开更多
为了控制和研究机动车的排放状况,构建了stop and go模型,并结合模型预测控制,由目标车的运动状况可以获悉主车的实时运动情况,将车联网与stop and go模型相结合,利用车联网的通讯手段,更加便捷、安全、可靠地获取车辆间的交互状况。以...为了控制和研究机动车的排放状况,构建了stop and go模型,并结合模型预测控制,由目标车的运动状况可以获悉主车的实时运动情况,将车联网与stop and go模型相结合,利用车联网的通讯手段,更加便捷、安全、可靠地获取车辆间的交互状况。以速度最优和行程时间最短为控制目标,这两个控制目标的权重不同时,主车的运动状态也各不相同。以微观层面的机动车排放模型CMEM为结合点,将主车的速度和加速度等运动状况当做输入参数,从而获得行驶车辆的各种典型污染物排放量。选取CO、NOx及HC等作为污染排放的参考指标,对不同的控制目标权重状态下的排放状况进行了模拟,从而使排放达到最优。展开更多
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Nos.2021YFC3101801,2023YFC3008200)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42476219,41976200)+6 种基金the National Foreign Experts Program(No.S20240134)the Innovative Team Plan of the Department of Education of Guangdong Province(No.2023KCXTD015)the Tropical Ocean Environment in Western Coastal Waters Observation and Research Station of Guangdong Province(No.2024B1212040008)the Independent Research Project of the Southern Ocean Laboratory(No.SML2022SP301)the Shandong Innovation and Development Research Institute Think Tank Projectthe Guangdong Ocean University Scientific Research Program(No.060302032106)the Start-up Fund for Ph D Researchers(No.060302032104)。
文摘Typhoon Chaba was the most intense typhoon to strike western Guangdong since Typhoon Mujigae in 2015.According to the National Disaster Reduction Center of China,in the morning of July 7,2022,over 1.5 million people in Guangdong,Guangxi,and Hainan were affected by Typhoon Chaba.The typhoon also caused the“Fukui 001”ship to be in distress in the waters near Yangjiang,Guangdong,on July 2,resulting in big casualties.Studies have indicated that wind field forecast for Typhoon Chaba was not accurate.To better simulate typhoon events and assess their impacts,we proposed the use of a model wind field(Fujita-Takahashi)integrated with the Copernicus Marine and Environmental Monitoring Service(CMEMS)data to reconstruct effectively the overall wind field of Typhoon Chaba.The simulation result aligns well with the observations,particularly at the Dashu Island Station,showing consistent trends in wind speed changes.However,certain limitations were noted.The model shows that the attenuation of wind speed is slower when typhoon neared land than that observed,indicating that the model has a high simulation accuracy for the ocean wind field,but may have deviations near coastal areas.The result is accurate for open sea but deviated for near land due to the land friction effect.Therefore,we recommend to adjust the model to improve the accuracy for near coasts.
基金Project supported by the China Special Fund for Meteorological Research in the Public Interest(No.GYHY201306045)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41305066 and41575096)
文摘The choices of the parameterizations for each component in a microwave emission model have significant effects on the quality of brightness temperature (Tb) sim- ulation. How to reduce the uncertainty in the Tb simulation is investigated by adopting a statistical post-processing procedure with the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) ensemble approach. The simulations by the community microwave emission model (CMEM) cou- pled with the community land model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) over China's Mainland are con- ducted by the 24 configurations from four vegetation opacity parameterizations (VOPs), three soil dielectric constant parameterizations (SDCPs), and two soil roughness param- eterizations (SRPs). Compared with the simple arithmetical averaging (SAA) method, the BMA reconstructions have a higher spatial correlation coefficient (larger than 0.99) than the C-band satellite observations of the advanced microwave scanning radiometer on the Earth observing system (AMSR-E) at the vertical polarization. Moreover, the BMA product performs the best among the ensemble members for all vegetation classes, with a mean root-mean-square difference (RMSD) of 4 K and a temporal correlation coefficient of 0.64.
文摘为了控制和研究机动车的排放状况,构建了stop and go模型,并结合模型预测控制,由目标车的运动状况可以获悉主车的实时运动情况,将车联网与stop and go模型相结合,利用车联网的通讯手段,更加便捷、安全、可靠地获取车辆间的交互状况。以速度最优和行程时间最短为控制目标,这两个控制目标的权重不同时,主车的运动状态也各不相同。以微观层面的机动车排放模型CMEM为结合点,将主车的速度和加速度等运动状况当做输入参数,从而获得行驶车辆的各种典型污染物排放量。选取CO、NOx及HC等作为污染排放的参考指标,对不同的控制目标权重状态下的排放状况进行了模拟,从而使排放达到最优。