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CMA-CPEFS模式产品在贵州飞机增雨作业中的适用性检验
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作者 许弋 李枚曼 +1 位作者 彭雪昶 喻乙耽 《海洋气象学报》 2025年第4期87-96,共10页
针对贵州复杂地形区人工增雨作业中云模式预报产品的适用性难题,基于中国气象局(China Meteorological Administration,CMA)人工影响天气中心研发的云降水显示预报系统(Cloud and Precipitation Explicit Forecasting System,简记为“CM... 针对贵州复杂地形区人工增雨作业中云模式预报产品的适用性难题,基于中国气象局(China Meteorological Administration,CMA)人工影响天气中心研发的云降水显示预报系统(Cloud and Precipitation Explicit Forecasting System,简记为“CMA-CPEFS”)模式的定量预报产品,采用地基雷达、静止卫星、探空廓线等多源观测数据融合诊断方法,对2020—2021年贵州地区30次飞机增雨个例的模式预报性能开展检验。结果表明:(1)模式云系相态判别的准确率达93%(28/30),作业高度层与催化剂类型配置的匹配度分别为93%(28/30)和100%(30/30),证实模式对云物理参量场的表征能力达到业务实用标准。(2)0℃层高度出现系统性正偏差,平均偏差误差为+108 m,通过95%的置信水平检验,置信区间为(+108±97)m,p<0.01,平均绝对误差为+205 m;云系水平移向预报准确率为80%,略高于云系水平移速准确率(77%)。(3)增雨潜力区TS(threat score)评分达0.67,但存在显著空间外延偏差(预报范围较实况扩大18%±3%),与主观分析误差和模式过高预估云水含量(偏差为+0.15 g·m^(-3))显著相关(R^(2)=0.82,p<0.001)。此研究可为分布在贵州的喀斯特地貌区人工影响天气数值模式优化提供关键物理约束。 展开更多
关键词 cma-cpefs模式 飞机增雨 云物理特征 多源数据融合检验
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2023年6月2日贵州降雹过程CMA-CPEFS V1.0模式产品应用分析
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作者 崔蕾 张小娟 黄钰 《价值工程》 2025年第27期121-123,共3页
针对贵州省2023年6月2日贵州降雹过程,将CMA-CPEFS V1.0模式预报云宏观场产品与卫星、雷达实况进行直观对比,对比云系的位置、覆盖范围、移动方向及移动速度、云系性质等,定性检验预报的云系宏观发展演变特征。结果表明:CMA-CPEFS V1.0... 针对贵州省2023年6月2日贵州降雹过程,将CMA-CPEFS V1.0模式预报云宏观场产品与卫星、雷达实况进行直观对比,对比云系的位置、覆盖范围、移动方向及移动速度、云系性质等,定性检验预报的云系宏观发展演变特征。结果表明:CMA-CPEFS V1.0模式较好地预报了贵州省此次强对流天气过程,但对降水过程的预报不够理想。在云的性质、云系的发展演变、对流云源地、云垂直结构特征、雷达回波特征等方面的预报效果较好,雨区的范围、贵州省内对流云系生命期、云系的位置及覆盖范围与观测结果还有一定的差距。 展开更多
关键词 降雹过程 cma-cpefs V1.0模式产品 应用检验
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CMA-CPEFS模式对陕西地区云宏观参量的预报性能检验
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作者 王瑾 吴懿璇 +8 位作者 崔丛欣 李燕 杜川利 左爱文 宋嘉尧 岳治国 李金辉 吴林荣 张乐琪 《气候与环境研究》 北大核心 2025年第6期621-640,共20页
为评估CPEFS模式对陕西地区云宏观参量的预报性能,结合FY-4B卫星、雷达、探空、雨量、云雷达及微波辐射计等多源探测数据,针对CPEFS模式预报的2024年3月23日陕西地区云产品开展系统性检验,主要结论是CPEFS模式对云带和降水宏观参量的预... 为评估CPEFS模式对陕西地区云宏观参量的预报性能,结合FY-4B卫星、雷达、探空、雨量、云雷达及微波辐射计等多源探测数据,针对CPEFS模式预报的2024年3月23日陕西地区云产品开展系统性检验,主要结论是CPEFS模式对云带和降水宏观参量的预报能力总体良好。在云带方面,模式预报的云系位置与卫星监测结果基本一致,但在陕北地区存在漏报现象。降水方面,模式能够较准确地把握降水的大致范围、演变趋势和量级分布,但在具体落区和降水量级上仍存在一定偏差。在云顶参数方面,CPEFS模式预报的云顶高度和温度与卫星反演结果基本吻合,但高值区的空间分布与实况存在差异。其中,陕北地区出现空报和漏报,而关中和陕南地区的一致性较高。在云高模拟方面,CPEFS模式模拟的云底高度与云雷达和探空结果较为接近,其表现优于对云顶高度的模拟。模式对连续云层的演变也表现出较好的模拟能力。CPEFS对温度的模拟效果优于相对湿度。在垂直方向上,模式能够较好地反映温度与相对湿度的高低空配置特征及其日变化规律。 展开更多
关键词 模式检验 云降水预报模式 人工影响天气
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Agri-Eval:Multi-level Large Language Model Valuation Benchmark for Agriculture
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作者 WANG Yaojun GE Mingliang +2 位作者 XU Guowei ZHANG Qiyu BIE Yuhui 《农业机械学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期290-299,共10页
Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLM... Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture. 展开更多
关键词 large language models assessment systems agricultural knowledge agricultural datasets
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Ecological Dynamics of a Logistic Population Model with Impulsive Age-selective Harvesting
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作者 DAI Xiangjun JIAO Jianjun 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第1期72-79,共8页
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy... In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting. 展开更多
关键词 The logistic population model Selective harvesting Asymptotic stability EXTINCTION
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Ecosystem service models are indeed being validated:A response to Pereira et al.(2025)
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作者 James M.Bullock Danny A.P.Hooftman +1 位作者 John W.Redhead Simon Willcock 《Geography and Sustainability》 2026年第1期247-248,共2页
In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation ... In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation is provided”and that“the validation step is largely overlooked”.This assertion may have been true several years ago,for example,when Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona(2017)made a similar observation.However,there has been much work on ES model validation over the last decade. 展开更多
关键词 evaluation MAPPING modeling es model ecosystem services VALIDATION
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Modeling of Precipitation over Africa:Progress,Challenges,and Prospects
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作者 A.A.AKINSANOLA C.N.WENHAJI +21 位作者 R.BARIMALALA P.-A.MONERIE R.D.DIXON A.T.TAMOFFO M.O.ADENIYI V.ONGOMA I.DIALLO M.GUDOSHAVA C.M.WAINWRIGHT R.JAMES K.C.SILVERIO A.FAYE S.S.NANGOMBE M.W.POKAM D.A.VONDOU N.C.G.HART I.PINTO M.KILAVI S.HAGOS E.N.RAJAGOPAL R.K.KOLLI S.JOSEPH 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期59-86,共28页
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha... In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain. 展开更多
关键词 RAINFALL MONSOON climate modeling CORDEX CMIP6 convection-permitting models
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Preferences of Chinese Dermatologists for Large Language Model Responses in Clinical Psoriasis Scenarios:A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Survey in China
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作者 Jungang Yang Jingkai Xu +6 位作者 Xuejiao Song Chengxu Li Lili Chen Lingbo Bi Tingting Jiang Xianbo Zuo Yong Cui 《Health Care Science》 2026年第1期40-48,共9页
Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the prefere... Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the preferences of Chinese dermatologists regarding LLM-generated responses in clinical psoriasis scenarios and to assess how they prioritize key quality dimensions,including accuracy,traceability,and logicality.Methods:A cross-sectional,web-based survey was conducted between December 25,2024,and January 22,2025,following the Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys guidelines.A total of 1247 valid responses were collected from practicing dermatologists across 33 of China's provincial-level administrative divisions.Participants evaluated responses to five categories of clinical questions(etiology,clinical presentation,differential diagnosis,treatment,and case study)generated by five LLMs:ChatGPT-4o,Kimi.ai,Doubao,ZuoYiGPT,and Lingyi-agent.Statistical associations between participant characteristics and model preferences were examined using chi-square tests.Results:ChatGPT-4o(Model 1)emerged as the most preferred model across all clinical tasks,consistently receiving the highest number of votes in case study(n=740),clinical presentation(n=666),differential diagnosis(n=707),etiology(n=602),and treatment(n=656).Significant variation in model preference by professional title was observed only for the differential diagnosis task(χ^(2)=21.13,df=12,p=0.0485),while no significant differences were found across hospital tiers(p>0.05).In terms of evaluation dimensions,accuracy was most frequently rated as“very important”(n=635).A significant association existed between hospital tier and the most valued dimension(χ^(2)=27.667,df=9,p=0.0011),with dermatologists in primary hospitals prioritizing traceability more than their peers in higher-tier hospitals.No significant associations were found across professional titles(p=0.127).Conclusions:Chinese dermatologists suggest a strong preference for ChatGPT-4o over domestic LLMs in psoriasis-related clinical tasks.While accuracy remains the primary criterion,traceability and logicality are also critical,particularly for clinicians in lower-tier hospitals.These findings suggest that future clinical LLMs should prioritize not only content accuracy but also source transparency and structural clarity to meet the diverse needs of different clinical settings. 展开更多
关键词 DERMATOLOGY large language model model evaluation
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Stability of k-ε model in Kolmogorov flow
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作者 Jiashuo GUO Le FANG 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2026年第1期165-184,共20页
The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpec... The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM. 展开更多
关键词 k-εmodel Kolmogorov flow INSTABILITY turbulence model
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Design optimization and FEA of B-6 and B-7 levels ballistics armor:A modelling approach
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作者 Muhammad Naveed CHU Jinkui +1 位作者 Atif Ur Rehman Arsalan Hyder 《大连理工大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期66-77,共12页
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl... Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor. 展开更多
关键词 radiator armor ballistics simulation Johnson-Cook model armor-piercing projectile perforated D-shaped armor plate
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Residual-based neural network for unmodeled distortions in 2D coordinate transformation
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作者 Vinicius Francisco Rofatto Luiz Felipe Rodrigues de Almeida +3 位作者 Marcelo Tomio Matsuoka Ivandro Klein Mauricio Roberto Veronez Luiz Gonzaga Da Silveira Junior 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2026年第1期104-119,共16页
Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correc... Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correction(RBNC)strategy,in which a neural network learns to model only the systematic distortions left by an initial geometric transformation.By focusing solely on residual patterns,RBNC reduces model complexity and improves performance,particularly in scenarios with sparse or structured control point configurations.We evaluate the method using both simulated datasets(with varying distortion intensities and sampling strategies)and real-world image georeferencing tasks.Compared with direct neural network coordinate converters and classical transformation models,RBNC delivers more accurate and stable results under challenging conditions,while maintaining comparable performance in ideal cases.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of residual modelling as a light-weight and robust alternative for improving coordinate transformation accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence Machine learning modelLING Nonlinear systems model selection Explainable AI
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CIT-Rec:Enhancing Sequential Recommendation System with Large Language Models
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作者 Ziyu Li Zhen Chen +2 位作者 Xuejing Fu Tong Mo Weiping Li 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期2328-2343,共16页
Recommendation systems are key to boosting user engagement,satisfaction,and retention,particularly on media platforms where personalized content is vital.Sequential recommendation systems learn from user-item interact... Recommendation systems are key to boosting user engagement,satisfaction,and retention,particularly on media platforms where personalized content is vital.Sequential recommendation systems learn from user-item interactions to predict future items of interest.However,many current methods rely on unique user and item IDs,limiting their ability to represent users and items effectively,especially in zero-shot learning scenarios where training data is scarce.With the rapid development of Large Language Models(LLMs),researchers are exploring their potential to enhance recommendation systems.However,there is a semantic gap between the linguistic semantics of LLMs and the collaborative semantics of recommendation systems,where items are typically indexed by IDs.Moreover,most research focuses on item representations,neglecting personalized user modeling.To address these issues,we propose a sequential recommendation framework using LLMs,called CIT-Rec,a model that integrates Collaborative semantics for user representation and Image and Text information for item representation to enhance Recommendations.Specifically,by aligning intuitive image information with text containing semantic features,we can more accurately represent items,improving item representation quality.We focus not only on item representations but also on user representations.To more precisely capture users’personalized preferences,we use traditional sequential recommendation models to train on users’historical interaction data,effectively capturing behavioral patterns.Finally,by combining LLMs and traditional sequential recommendation models,we allow the LLM to understand linguistic semantics while capturing collaborative semantics.Extensive evaluations on real-world datasets show that our model outperforms baseline methods,effectively combining user interaction history with item visual and textual modalities to provide personalized recommendations. 展开更多
关键词 Large language models vision language models sequential recommendation instruction tuning
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Lithospheric magnetic variations on the Tibetan Plateau based on a 3D surface spline model,compared with strong earthquake occurrences
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作者 PengTao Zhang Jun Yang +3 位作者 LiLi Feng Xia Li YuHong Zhao YingFeng Ji 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 2026年第1期30-43,共14页
The National Geophysical Data Center(NGDC)of the United States has collected aeromagnetic data for input into a series of geomagnetic models to improve model resolution;however,in the Tibetan Plateau region,ground-bas... The National Geophysical Data Center(NGDC)of the United States has collected aeromagnetic data for input into a series of geomagnetic models to improve model resolution;however,in the Tibetan Plateau region,ground-based observations remain insufficient to clearly reflect the characteristics of the region’s lithospheric magnetism.In this study,we evaluate the lithospheric magnetism of the Tibetan Plateau by using a 3D surface spline model based on observations from>200 newly constructed repeat stations(portable stations)to determine the spatial distribution of plateau geomagnetism,as well as its correlation with the tectonic features of the region.We analyze the relationships between M≥5 earthquakes and lithospheric magnetic field variations on the Tibetan Plateau and identify regions susceptible to strong earthquakes.We compare the geomagnetic results with those from an enhanced magnetic model(EMM2015)developed by the NGDC and provide insights into improving lithospheric magnetic field calculations in the Tibetan Plateau region.Further research reveals that these magnetic anomalies exhibit distinct differences from the magnetic-seismic correlation mechanisms observed in other tectonic settings;here,they are governed primarily by the combined effects of compressional magnetism,thermal magnetism,and deep thermal stress.This study provides new evidence of geomagnetic anomalies on the Tibetan Plateau,interprets them physically,and demonstrates their potential for identifying seismic hazard zones on the Plateau. 展开更多
关键词 Tibetan Plateau magnetic variation SEISMICITY surface spline model enhanced magnetic model
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UAV-to-Ground Channel Modeling:(Quasi-)Closed-Form Channel Statistics and Manual Parameter Estimation
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作者 Zeng Linzhou Liao Xuewen +3 位作者 Xie Wenwu Ma Zhangfeng Xiong Baiping Jiang Hao 《China Communications》 2026年第1期47-66,共20页
(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbi... (Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description. 展开更多
关键词 channel characteristics geometry-based stochastic model manual parameter estimation UAV channel modeling
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Ecological restoration model selection for abandoned mines in the Luo River Basin,Eastern Qinling Mountains
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作者 HUANG Yuming GAO Ningze +1 位作者 ZHANG Hanyuan ZHENG Wenlong 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2026年第1期358-369,共12页
Effective management of mining areas in the Luo River Basin,located in the eastern Qinling Mountains,is vital for the integrated protection and restoration needed to support the high-quality development of the Yellow ... Effective management of mining areas in the Luo River Basin,located in the eastern Qinling Mountains,is vital for the integrated protection and restoration needed to support the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.Using the‘cupball'model,this study analyzes the limiting factors and restoration characteristics across four mining areas and proposes a conceptual model for selecting appropriate restoration approaches.A second conceptual model is then introduced to address regional development needs,incorporating ecological conservation,safety protection,and people's wellbeing.The applicability of the integrated model selection framework is demonstrated through a case study on the south bank of the Qinglongjian River.The results indicate that:(1)The key limiting factors are similar across cases,but the degree of ecological degradation varies.(2)Mildly degraded areas are represented by a shallower and narrower‘cup',where natural recovery is the preferred approach,whereas moderately and severely degraded systems call for assisted regeneration and ecological reconstruction,respectively.(3)When the restoration models determined based on limiting factors and development needs are consistent,the model is directly applicable;if they differ,the option involving less artificial intervention is preferred;(4)Monitoring of the restored mining area on the Qinglongjian River's south bank confirms significant improvements in soil erosion control and vegetation coverage.This study provides a transferable methodology for balancing resource extraction with ecosystem conservation,offering practical insights for other ecologically vulnerable mining regions. 展开更多
关键词 Luo River Basin Cup-ball model Mine restoration Ecological degradation Conceptual model Development needs
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A Deep Learning–Based Bias Correction Model for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity towards Forecasting of the TianXing Large Weather Model
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作者 Shijin YUAN Xingzhou WANG +3 位作者 Bin MU Guansong WANG Zeyi NIU Hao LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第3期612-630,共19页
Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks and intensities is essential.Although the TianXing large weather model,a six-hourly forecasting model surpassing operational forecasts,exhibits superior performance,i... Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks and intensities is essential.Although the TianXing large weather model,a six-hourly forecasting model surpassing operational forecasts,exhibits superior performance,its TC forecasts still require enhancement.Prediction errors persist due to biases in the training data and smoothing effects in data-driven methods.To address this,we introduce CycloneBCNet,a deep-learning model designed to correct TianXing’s TC forecast biases by leveraging spatial and temporal data.CycloneBCNet utilizes the SimVP(simpler yet better video prediction)framework with spatial attention to highlight cyclone core regions in forecast fields.It also incorporates TC trend information(center position,maximum wind speed,and minimum sea level pressure)via an LSTM(long short-term memory)module.These TC vectors are derived from post-processed TianXing forecasts.By fusing features from forecast fields and TC vectors,CycloneBCNet corrects biases across multiple lead times.At a 96-h lead time,the track error reduces from 162.4 to 86.4 km,the wind speed error from 17.2 to 6.69 m s^(-1),and the pressure error from 22.2 to 9.36 hPa.Interpretability analysis shows that CycloneBCNet adjusts its attention across forecast lead times.Intensity corrections prioritize inner-core dynamics,particularly the eye and eyewall,while track corrections shift from lower-level variables and the cyclone’s core to broader environmental factors and mid-to upper-level features as the forecast duration increases.These findings demonstrate that CycloneBCNet effectively captures key TC dynamics consistent with meteorological principles,including the dominance of near-surface conditions for intensity and the increasing influence of steering currents on track prediction. 展开更多
关键词 tropical cyclone TianXing large weather model bias correction interpretability analysis deep learning-based model
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Do Higher Horizontal Resolution Models Perform Better?
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作者 Shoji KUSUNOKI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期259-262,共4页
Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(... Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(2025)].In relation to seasonal forecasting and climate projection in the East Asian summer monsoon season,proper simulation of the seasonal migration of rain bands by models is a challenging and limiting factor[section 7.1 in Wang et al.(2025)]. 展开更多
关键词 enhancing model resolution refinement data assimilation systems section climate model climate projection higher horizontal resolution seasonal forecasting simulation seasonal migration rain bands model resolution
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SDNet:A self-supervised bird recognition method based on large language models and diffusion models for improving long-term bird monitoring
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作者 Zhongde Zhang Nan Su +3 位作者 Chenxun Deng Yandong Zhao Weiping Liu Qiaoling Han 《Avian Research》 2026年第1期200-215,共16页
The collection and annotation of lar ge-scale bird datasets are resource-intensive and time-consuming processes that significantly limit the scalability and accuracy of biodiversity monitoring systems.While self-super... The collection and annotation of lar ge-scale bird datasets are resource-intensive and time-consuming processes that significantly limit the scalability and accuracy of biodiversity monitoring systems.While self-supervised learning(SSL)has emerged as a promising approach for leveraging unannotated data,current SSL methods face two critical challenges in bird species recognition:(1)long-tailed data distributions that result in poor performance on underrepresented species;and(2)domain shift issues caused by data augmentation strategies designed to mitigate class imbalance.Here we present SDNet,a novel SSL-based bird recognition framework that integrates diffusion models with large language models(LLMs)to overcome these limitations.SDNet employs LLMs to generate semantically rich textual descriptions for tail-class species by prompting the models with species taxonomy,morphological attributes,and habitat information,producing detailed natural language priors that capture fine-grained visual characteristics(e.g.,plumage patterns,body proportions,and distinctive markings).These textual descriptions are subsequently used by a conditional diffusion model to synthesize new bird image samples through cross-attention mechanisms that fuse textual embeddings with intermediate visual feature representations during the denoising process,ensuring generated images preserve species-specific morphological details while maintaining photorealistic quality.Additionally,we incorporate a Swin Transformer as the feature extraction backbone whose hierarchical window-based attention mechanism and shifted windowing scheme enable multi-scale local feature extraction that proves particularly effective at capturing finegrained discriminative patterns(such as beak shape and feather texture)while mitigating domain shift between synthetic and original images through consistent feature representations across both data sources.SDNet is validated on both a self-constructed dataset(Bird_BXS)an d a publicly available benchmark(Birds_25),demonstrating substantial improvements over conventional SSL approaches.Our results indicate that the synergistic integration of LLMs,diffusion models,and the Swin Transformer architecture contributes significantly to recognition accuracy,particularly for rare and morphologically similar species.These findings highlight the potential of SDNet for addressing fundamental limitations of existing SSL methods in avian recognition tasks and establishing a new paradigm for efficient self-supervised learning in large-scale ornithological vision applications. 展开更多
关键词 Biodiversity conservation Bird intelligent monitoring Diffusion models Large-scale language models Long-tailed learning Self-supervised learning
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A peridynamics modeling approach for pre-cracked rock cracking processes under impact by integrating Drucker-Prager plasticity model and efficient contact model
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作者 Jingzhi Tu Nengxiong Xu Gang Mei 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2026年第1期179-195,共17页
In rock engineering,natural cracks in rock masses subjected to external loads tend to initiate and propagate,leading to potential safety hazards.To investigate the effect of cracking behavior on the mechanical propert... In rock engineering,natural cracks in rock masses subjected to external loads tend to initiate and propagate,leading to potential safety hazards.To investigate the effect of cracking behavior on the mechanical properties of rocks,the cracking processes of pre-cracked rocks have been extensively studied using numerical modeling methods.The peridynamics(PD)exhibits advantages over other numerical methods due to the absence of the requirements for remeshing and external crack growth criterion.However,for modeling pre-cracked rock cracking processes under impact,current PD implementations lack generally applicable rock constitutive models and impact contact models,which leads to difficulties in determining rock material parameters and efficiently calculating impact loads.This paper proposes a non-ordinary state-based peridynamics(NOSBPD)modeling method integrating the Drucker-Prager(DP)plasticity model and an efficient contact model to address the above problems.In the proposed method,the Drucker-Prager plasticity model is integrated into the NOSBPD,thereby equipping NOSBPD with the capability to accurately characterize the nonlinear stress-strain relationship inherent in rocks.An efficient contact model between particles and meshes is designed to calculate the impact loads,which is essentially a coupling method of PD with the finite element method(FEM).The effectiveness of the proposed NOSBPD modeling method is verified by comparison with other numerical methods and experiments.Experimental results indicate that the proposed method can effectively and accurately predict the 3D cracking processes of pre-cracked cracks under impact loading,and the maximum principal stress is the key driver behind wing crack formation in pre-cracked rocks. 展开更多
关键词 Pre-cracked rocks Cracking processes Non-ordinary state-based peridynamics (NOSBPD) Drucker-Prager plasticity model Efficient contact model
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Secured-FL:Blockchain-Based Defense against Adversarial Attacks on Federated Learning Models
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作者 Bello Musa Yakubu Nor Shahida Mohd Jamail +1 位作者 Rabia Latif Seemab Latif 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期734-757,共24页
Federated Learning(FL)enables joint training over distributed devices without data exchange but is highly vulnerable to attacks by adversaries in the form of model poisoning and malicious update injection.This work pr... Federated Learning(FL)enables joint training over distributed devices without data exchange but is highly vulnerable to attacks by adversaries in the form of model poisoning and malicious update injection.This work proposes Secured-FL,a blockchain-based defensive framework that combines smart contract-based authentication,clustering-driven outlier elimination,and dynamic threshold adjustment to defend against adversarial attacks.The framework was implemented on a private Ethereum network with a Proof-of-Authority consensus algorithm to ensure tamper-resistant and auditable model updates.Large-scale simulation on the Cyber Data dataset,under up to 50%malicious client settings,demonstrates Secured-FL achieves 6%-12%higher accuracy,9%-15%lower latency,and approximately 14%less computational expense compared to the PPSS benchmark framework.Additional tests,including confusion matrices,ROC and Precision-Recall curves,and ablation tests,confirm the interpretability and robustness of the defense.Tests for scalability also show consistent performance up to 500 clients,affirming appropriateness to reasonably large deployments.These results make Secured-FL a feasible,adversarially resilient FL paradigm with promising potential for application in smart cities,medicine,and other mission-critical IoT deployments. 展开更多
关键词 Federated learning(FL) blockchain FL based privacy model defense FL model security ethereum smart contract
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