Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty i...Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty in climate projections remains to be evaluated in detail.In this study,we comprehensively assessed the historical simulations and future projections of climate change in South China based on CMIP5/CMIP6 models.We show evidence that CMIP5/CMIP6 models can skillfully reproduce the observed distributions of annual/seasonal mean temperature but show much lower skill for precipitation.CMIP6 outperforms CMIP5 in the historical simulations,as evidenced by more models with lower bias magnitude and higher skill scores.During 2021–2100,the annual mean temperature over South China is projected to increase significantly at a rate of 0.53(0.42–0.63)and 0.59(0.52–0.66)℃(10 yr)^(-1),while precipitation is projected to increase slightly at a rate of 0.78(0.15–1.56)and 1.52(0.91–2.30)%(10 yr)^(-1),under the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively.CMIP6 models project larger annual/seasonal mean temperature and precipitation trends than CMIP5 models under equivalent scenarios.The temperature in South China is projected to increase robustly by more than1.5℃during 2041–2060 under RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5,but by 4.5℃during 2081–2100,under RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 with respect to 1850–1900.The uncertainty in temperature projections is mainly dominated by model uncertainty and scenario uncertainty,while internal uncertainty contributes some of the uncertainty during the near-term.The uncertainty in precipitation projection stems mainly from internal uncertainty and model uncertainty.For both the temperature and precipitation projection uncertainty,the relative sizes of contributions from the main contributors vary with time and show obvious seasonal differences.展开更多
A prior observational study indicated an asymmetric link between sea surface temperature(SST)in the Tasman Sea and ENSO during austral summer.Specifically,El Niño is associated with a dipolar SST anomaly pattern,...A prior observational study indicated an asymmetric link between sea surface temperature(SST)in the Tasman Sea and ENSO during austral summer.Specifically,El Niño is associated with a dipolar SST anomaly pattern,featuring warming in the northwest and cooling in the southeast,whereas La Niña corresponds to basin-scale warming.This study employs the experiments of coupled models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)to assess ENSO’s impact on Tasman Sea SST.While all 15 models capture the observed dipolar SST anomalies(SSTAs)in the Tasman Sea during El Niño years,only 7 models capture the basin-scale warmth in the Tasman Sea during La Niña years.Consequently,the models are bifurcated into two groups:group-one models yield one physically reasonable asymmetric connection as observed,including the asymmetry of oceanic heat transport,especially the Ekman meridional transport anomalies induced by zonal wind stress driven by the asymmetric atmospheric circulation over the Tasman Sea.However,due to abnormal responses to ENSO and systematic biases in model simulations,including jet and storm tracks,oceanic heat fluxes,ocean currents,and SST,the group-two models fail to reproduce the asymmetric connection between the Tasman Sea and ENSO.This study not only validates the observational asymmetric connection of SSTAs in the Tasman Sea with respect to the two opposite ENSO phases,but also provides evidence and clues to reduce the bias in group-two models.展开更多
The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern O...The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)asymmetry and equate the variance of ENSO to the magnitude of El Nino.Moreover,previous evaluations are more focused on the surface manifestation of El Nino.Here,we quantify the magnitudes of El Nino and La Nina separately,both at the surface and subsurface levels.At the surface,we find that while the magnitude of La Nina events in most models is generally stronger than observed,the magnitude of El Nino is more diverse to observations.In fact,in many models,El Nino is weaker than observed.This bias in the magnitude of El Nino is more pronounced in the subsurface.We attribute this weakness in the subsurface to the generally weaker coupling strength and the apparent stronger ENSO at the surface to a lack of sufficiently strong negative feedback from the surface heat flux in the models.When normalized by the variance of ENSO,the lack of exceptionally strong El Nino events in the models is more common and pronounced.We further studied the lifespan of El Nino and La Nina events and have found that multi-year duration is not confined to just La Nina events.There are also El Nino events that last more than one year.Moreover,we have found that multi-year long La Nina events tend to occur over the decades with strong El Nino events.The study also briefly explores the impact of global warming on the duration of ENSO events through the use of a simple model and simulations by CMIP6 models.It has been found that the frequency of multi-year El Nino and La Nina events increases with global warming.展开更多
Against the backdrop of climate change,the activity of tropical cyclones(TCs)has captured widespread attention.Observational datasets indicate a declining trend in the genesis longitude of western North Pacific(WNP)TC...Against the backdrop of climate change,the activity of tropical cyclones(TCs)has captured widespread attention.Observational datasets indicate a declining trend in the genesis longitude of western North Pacific(WNP)TCs.This study investigates the zonal changes of WNP TCs with CMIP6-HighResMIP models.These models capture the genesis density of WNP TCs fairly well.The results reveal a westward shift in TC genesis longitude.This trend is associated with the significant reduction in the TC frequency over the southeastern WNP.The study also discusses changes in large-scale circulation patterns and the impact of the strengthening Pacific Walker circulation.展开更多
Pronounced climatic differences occur over subtropical South China(SC)and tropical South China Sea(SCS)and understanding the key cloud-radiation characteristics is essential to simulating East Asian climate.This study...Pronounced climatic differences occur over subtropical South China(SC)and tropical South China Sea(SCS)and understanding the key cloud-radiation characteristics is essential to simulating East Asian climate.This study investigated cloud fractions and cloud radiative effects(CREs)over SC and SCS simulated by CMIP6 atmospheric models.Remarkable differences in cloud-radiation characteristics appeared over these two regions.In observations,considerable amounts of low-middle level clouds and cloud radiative cooling effect appeared over SC.In contrast,high clouds prevailed over SCS,where longwave and shortwave CREs offset each other,resulting in a weaker net cloud radiative effect(NCRE).The models underestimated NCRE over SC mainly due to weaker shortwave CRE and less cloud fractions.Conversely,most models overestimated NCRE over SCS because of stronger shortwave CRE and weaker longwave CRE.Regional CREs were closely linked to their dominant cloud fractions.Both observations and simulations showed a negative spatial correlation between total(low)cloud fraction and shortwave CRE over SC,especially in winter,and exhibited a positive correlation between high cloud fraction and longwave CRE over these two regions.Compared with SCS,most models overestimated the spatial correlation between low(high)cloud fraction and SWCRE(LWCRE)over SC,with larger bias ranges among models,indicating the exaggerated cloud radiative cooling(warming)effect caused by low(high)clouds.Moreover,most models struggled to describe regional ascent and its connection with CREs over SC while they can better reproduce these connections over SCS.This study further suggests that reasonable circulation conditions are crucial to simulating well cloud-radiation characteristics over the East Asian regions.展开更多
Due to the different microstructures caused by the heat source effect,welding joints exhibit significant differences in mechanical properties compared to the base material.Precise characterization of the constitutive ...Due to the different microstructures caused by the heat source effect,welding joints exhibit significant differences in mechanical properties compared to the base material.Precise characterization of the constitutive characteristics of the welded joint requires a large number of repetitive experiments,which are costly,inefficient,and have limited accuracy improvements.This paper proposes an integrated experimental-simulation-based inverse calibration method,which establishes a calibration optimization problem based on the corresponding constitutive model and a finite element calculation model built by the distribution of hardness in the weldment.Using the global tensile force-displacement curve of the MIG-welded 6005A-T6 aluminum alloy specimen and the experimental data of local deformation with time change obtained from DIC(Digital Image Correlation),the parameters involved in the constitutive models are optimized accordingly.This method can directly obtain the constitutive characteristics of the weldment under conditions of limited experiments and insufficient data.Additionally,the adaptability of the constitutive model to the calibration method and the influence of optimization results are discussed and analyzed.The results indicate that the global force-displacement response of the non-saturated Ramberg-Osgood(R-O)model is in the best agreement with that of the experimental data,and the energy error is only 2.62%,followed by the MPL model,while the saturation-based Voce model shows the largest simulation error in terms of the presented object.Furthermore,the simulation results of R-O,Voce,and MPL models in the local area are far superior to traditional fitting methods.展开更多
A novel digital twin(DT)enabled channel model for 6G vehicular communications in Beijing Central Business District(Beijing CBD)is proposed,which can support the design of intelligent transportation systems(ITSs).A DT ...A novel digital twin(DT)enabled channel model for 6G vehicular communications in Beijing Central Business District(Beijing CBD)is proposed,which can support the design of intelligent transportation systems(ITSs).A DT space for Beijing CBD is constructed,and two typical transportation periods,i.e.,peak and off-peak hours,are considered to characterize the vehicular communication channel better.Based on the constructed DT space,a DT-enabled vehicular communication dataset is developed,including light detection and ranging(LiDAR)point clouds,RGB images,and channel information.With the assistance of LiDAR point clouds and RGB images,the scatterer parameters,including number,distance,angle,power,and velocity,are analyzed under different transportation periods.The channel non-stationarity and consistency are mimicked in the proposed model.The key channel statistical properties are derived and simulated.Compared to ray-tracing(RT)results,the accuracy of the proposed model is verified.展开更多
A“water”accelerated metal-free catalytic system has been discovered for the Mukaiyama-aldol reaction.The system involves the use of B(C_(6)F_(5))_(3) as a catalyst,which is water-tolerant and able to activate the ca...A“water”accelerated metal-free catalytic system has been discovered for the Mukaiyama-aldol reaction.The system involves the use of B(C_(6)F_(5))_(3) as a catalyst,which is water-tolerant and able to activate the carbonyl group through a hydrogen bonding network generated by the catalyst.This activation method allows the reactions to be performed with very low catalyst loading,as low as 0.5 mol%.The scope of substrates is broad and a wide variety of functional groups are well tolerated.Diverse aliphatic aldehydes,aromatic aldehydes,unsaturated aldehydes and aromatic ketones coupled with silyl enol ethers/silyl ketone acetals to generate their correspondingβ-hydroxy carbonyl compounds in moderate to good yields.This discovery represents a significant advancement in the field of organic synthesis,as it provides a new,practical and sustainable solution for carbon-carbon bond formation in water.展开更多
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha...In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.展开更多
Numerical control（NC） warm bending is a proven strategy to form the large diameter thin-walled（LDTW） Ti-6 Al-4 V tubes, which are typical light-weight and high-performance structural components urgently required i...Numerical control（NC） warm bending is a proven strategy to form the large diameter thin-walled（LDTW） Ti-6 Al-4 V tubes, which are typical light-weight and high-performance structural components urgently required in many industries. In virtue of unveiling the thermo-mechanical coupled deformation behaviors, uniaxial tensile tests were conducted on Ti-6 Al-4 V tube within wide ranges of temperatures（25-600 ℃） and strain rates（0.00067-0.1 s～（-1））. Moreover, a modified Johnson-Cook（JC） model is proposed with a consideration of nonlinear strain rate hardening and the interaction between strain hardening and thermal softening. Resultantly, the present model gives more accurate predictions for flow stress over the entire deformation ranges and the maximum error decreases by about 90%. By employing proposed model to NC warm bending, preferable precision is obtained in predicting forming defects including fracture, wrinkling and over thinning. The present work lays foundation for the forming limit prediction and process optimization in NC warm bending of LDTW Ti-6 Al-4 V tubes.展开更多
Aim To investigate the effects of FDP on different liver injury models to explore the possibility of FDP used as an oral liver protective agent. Methods Chronic liver injury model in rats was induced by carbon tetrach...Aim To investigate the effects of FDP on different liver injury models to explore the possibility of FDP used as an oral liver protective agent. Methods Chronic liver injury model in rats was induced by carbon tetrachloride （ CCl4 ） ; Acute liver injury model in mice was induced by aminogalactose （GAIN） or lipopolysaccharide （LPS）. Results In CCl4-induced chronic liver injury model, FDP （1 , 4 g·kg^-1·d^-1, q.d., for 10 weeks） significantly lowered ALT, AST,γ-glutamyl transpeptidase （γ-GT）, alkaline phosphatase （ALP）, and total bilirubin （T-BIL） in serum compared with vehicle; simultaneously it evidently elevated abnormal total protein （TP）, albumin （ALB） and total cholesterol （ T-CHO ） levels in serum; it also dose-dependently reduced hydroxyproline contents in hepatic tissue. 4 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP apparently decreased incidence of hepatic cirrhosis, and alleviated pathological changes of liver tissue. In GaiN-induced model, 1.0 - 4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP （ bid, for 3 d ） significantly lowered alanine aminotransferase （ ALT ） and aspartate aminotransferase （ AST ） levels in serum ; it also decreased liver coefficient. 4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP significantly alleviated pathological changes of cell ultra-structures. In LPS-induced model, only high dose of FDP （4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1, bid, for 12 d） significantly decreased ALT level in serum. Conclusion This study first demonstrated the protective effect of oral FDP on chronic liver injury caused by CCl4, and confirmed its effect on acute liver injury at the same time, suggesting that Long-term oral FDP is efficacious against liver injury induced by different factors and can be used as an oral liver protective agent in clinic.展开更多
The datasets of two Ocean Model Intercomparison Project(OMIP)simulation experiments from the LASG/IAP Climate Ocean Model,version 3(LICOM3),forced by two different sets of atmospheric surface data,are described in thi...The datasets of two Ocean Model Intercomparison Project(OMIP)simulation experiments from the LASG/IAP Climate Ocean Model,version 3(LICOM3),forced by two different sets of atmospheric surface data,are described in this paper.The experiment forced by CORE-II(Co-ordinated Ocean–Ice Reference Experiments,Phase II)data(1948–2009)is called OMIP1,and that forced by JRA55-do(surface dataset for driving ocean–sea-ice models based on Japanese 55-year atmospheric reanalysis)data(1958–2018)is called OMIP2.First,the improvement of LICOM from CMIP5 to CMIP6 and the configurations of the two experiments are described.Second,the basic performances of the two experiments are validated using the climatological-mean and interannual time scales from observation.We find that the mean states,interannual variabilities,and long-term linear trends can be reproduced well by the two experiments.The differences between the two datasets are also discussed.Finally,the usage of these data is described.These datasets are helpful toward understanding the origin system bias of the fully coupled model.展开更多
Using the historical simulations from 27 models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)and 27 models in phase 6(CMIP6),the authors evaluated the differences between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in sim...Using the historical simulations from 27 models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)and 27 models in phase 6(CMIP6),the authors evaluated the differences between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in simulating the climate mean of extreme temperature over China through comparison with observations during 1979–2005.The CMIP6 models reproduce well the spatial distribution of annual maxima of daily maximum temperature(TXx),annual minima of daily minimum temperature(TNn),and frost days(FD).The model spread in CMIP6 is reduced relative to CMIP5 for some temperature indices,such as TXx,warm spell duration index(WSDI),and warm days(TX90 p).The multimodel median ensembles also capture the observed trend of extreme temperature.However,the CMIP6 models still have low skill in capturing TX90 p and cold nights(TN10 p)and have obvious cold biases or warm biases over the Tibetan Plateau.The ability of individual models varies for different indices,although some models outperform the others in terms of the average of all indices considered for different models.By comparing different version models from the same organization,the updated CMIP6 models show no significant difference from their counterparts from CMIP5 for some models.Compared with individual models,the median ensembles show better agreement with the observations for temperature indices and their means.展开更多
The thermomechanical behavior of precipitation-hardened aluminum alloy AA7022-T6 was studied using isothermal compression at temperatures of 623−773 K and strain rates of 0.01−1 s^−1.The experimental results indicated...The thermomechanical behavior of precipitation-hardened aluminum alloy AA7022-T6 was studied using isothermal compression at temperatures of 623−773 K and strain rates of 0.01−1 s^−1.The experimental results indicated that dynamic recrystallization(DRX)is a predominant hot deformation mechanism,especially at elevated temperatures and low strain rates.The modified Johnson−Cook(J−C)and the strain compensated Arrhenius-type models were developed to predict the hot flow behavior under different deformation conditions.The correlation coefficients of modified J−C model and the strain compensated Arrhenius-type models were 0.9914 and 0.9972,respectively,their average relative errors(ARE)were 6.074%and 4.465%,respectively,and their root mean square errors(RMSE)were 10.611 and 1.665 MPa,respectively,indicating that the strain compensated Arrhenius-type model can predict the hot flow stress of AA7022-T6 aluminum alloy with an appropriate accuracy.展开更多
Terahertz(THz)communications are envisioned as a key technology for the sixth-generation wireless communication system(6G).However,it is not practical to perform large-scale channel measurements with high degrees of f...Terahertz(THz)communications are envisioned as a key technology for the sixth-generation wireless communication system(6G).However,it is not practical to perform large-scale channel measurements with high degrees of freedom at THz frequency band.This makes empirical or stochastic modeling approaches relying on measurements no longer stand.In order to break through the bottleneck of scarce fulldimensional channel sounding measurements,this paper presents a novel paradigm for THz channel modeling towards 6G.With the core of high-performance ray tracing(RT),the presented paradigm requires merely quite limited channel sounding to calibrate the geometry and material electromagnetic(EM)properties of the three-dimensional(3D)environment model in the target scenarios.Then,through extensive RT simulations,the parameters extracted from RT simulations can be fed into either ray-based novel stochastic channel models or cluster-based standard channel model families.Verified by RT simulations,these models can generate realistic channels that are valuable for the design and evaluation of THz systems.Representing two ends of 6G THz use cases from microscopy to macroscopy,case studies are made for close-proximity communications,wireless connections on a desktop,and smart rail mobility,respectively.Last but not least,new concerns on channel modeling resulting from distinguishing features of THz wave are discussed regarding propagation,antenna array,and device aspects,respectively.展开更多
With the research of the upcoming sixth generation(6 G) systems, new technologies will require wider bandwidth, larger scale antenna arrays and more diverse wireless communication scenarios on the future channel model...With the research of the upcoming sixth generation(6 G) systems, new technologies will require wider bandwidth, larger scale antenna arrays and more diverse wireless communication scenarios on the future channel modeling. Considering channel model is prerequisite for system design and performance evaluation of 6 G technologies, we face a challenging task: how to accurately and efficiently model 6 G channel for various scenarios? This paper tries to answer it. Firstly, the features of cluster-nuclei(CN) and principle of cluster-nuclei based channel model(CNCM) are introduced. Then, a novel modeling framework is proposed to implement CNCM,which consists four steps: propagation environment reconstruction, cluster-nuclei identification, multipath parameters generation, and channel coefficients generation. Three-dimensional environment with material information is utilized to map CN with scatterers in the propagation pathway. CN are identified by geometrical and electric field calculation based on environmental mapping, and multipath components within CN are calculated by statistical characteristics of angle, power and delay domains. Finally, we present a three-level verification structure to investigate the accuracy and complexity of channel modeling comprehensively. Simulation results reveal that CNCM can perform higher accuracy than geometrybased stochastic model while lower complexity compared with ray-tracing model for practical propagation environment.展开更多
Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau(TP)is important to local and downstream ecosystems.Based on a weighting method considering model skill and independence,changes in the TP precipitation for near-term(2021-40),mid...Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau(TP)is important to local and downstream ecosystems.Based on a weighting method considering model skill and independence,changes in the TP precipitation for near-term(2021-40),mid-term(2041-60)and long-term(2081-2100)under shared socio-economic pathways(SSP1-1.9,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSSP3-7.0,SSP5-8.5)are projected with 27 models from the latest Sixth Phase of the Couple Model Intercomparison Project.The annual mean precipitation is projected to increase by 7.4%-21.6%under five SSPs with a stronger change in the northern TP by the end of the 21st century relative to the present climatology.Changes in the TP precipitation at seasonal scales show a similar moistening trend to that of annual mean precipitation,except for the drying trend in winter precipitation along the southern edges of the TP.Weighting generally suggests a slightly stronger increase in TP precipitation with reduced model uncertainty compared to equally-weighted projections.The effect of weighting exhibits spatial and seasonal differences.Seasonally,weighting leads to a prevailing enhancement of increase in spring precipitation over the TP.Spatially,the influence of weighting is more remarkable over the northwestern TP regarding the annual,summer and autumn precipitation.Differences between weighted and original MMEs can give us more confidence in a stronger increase in precipitation over the TP,especially for the season of spring and the region of the northwestern TP,which requires additional attention in decision making.展开更多
The three-member historical simulations by the Chinese Academy of Sciences Flexible Global Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System model,version f3-L(CAS FGOALS-f3-L),which is contributing to phase 6 of the Coupled Model Inter...The three-member historical simulations by the Chinese Academy of Sciences Flexible Global Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System model,version f3-L(CAS FGOALS-f3-L),which is contributing to phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6),are described in this study.The details of the CAS FGOALS-f3-L model,experiment settings and output datasets are briefly introduced.The datasets include monthly and daily outputs from the atmospheric,oceanic,land and sea-ice component models of CAS FGOALS-f3-L,and all these data have been published online in the Earth System Grid Federation(ESGF,https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/projects/cmip6/).The three ensembles are initialized from the 600th,650th and 700th model year of the preindustrial experiment(piControl)and forced by the same historical forcing provided by CMIP6 from 1850 to 2014.The performance of the coupled model is validated in comparison with some recent observed atmospheric and oceanic datasets.It is shown that CAS FGOALS-f3-L is able to reproduce the main features of the modern climate,including the climatology of air surface temperature and precipitation,the long-term changes in global mean surface air temperature,ocean heat content and sea surface steric height,and the horizontal and vertical distribution of temperature in the ocean and atmosphere.Meanwhile,like other state-of-the-art coupled GCMs,there are still some obvious biases in the historical simulations,which are also illustrated.This paper can help users to better understand the advantages and biases of the model and the datasets。展开更多
基金jointly supported by the Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2242203)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41905070)+4 种基金the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant Nos.2021A1515011421,2023A1515240067,2023B1515020009)the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2018YFC1505801)supported by the Guangdong Provincial Marine Meteorology Science Data Center(2024B1212070014)the China Meteorology Administration Key Innovation Team of Tropical Meteorology(Grant No.CMA2023ZD08)State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography,South China Sea Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences(Project No.LTO2311)。
文摘Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty in climate projections remains to be evaluated in detail.In this study,we comprehensively assessed the historical simulations and future projections of climate change in South China based on CMIP5/CMIP6 models.We show evidence that CMIP5/CMIP6 models can skillfully reproduce the observed distributions of annual/seasonal mean temperature but show much lower skill for precipitation.CMIP6 outperforms CMIP5 in the historical simulations,as evidenced by more models with lower bias magnitude and higher skill scores.During 2021–2100,the annual mean temperature over South China is projected to increase significantly at a rate of 0.53(0.42–0.63)and 0.59(0.52–0.66)℃(10 yr)^(-1),while precipitation is projected to increase slightly at a rate of 0.78(0.15–1.56)and 1.52(0.91–2.30)%(10 yr)^(-1),under the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively.CMIP6 models project larger annual/seasonal mean temperature and precipitation trends than CMIP5 models under equivalent scenarios.The temperature in South China is projected to increase robustly by more than1.5℃during 2041–2060 under RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5,but by 4.5℃during 2081–2100,under RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 with respect to 1850–1900.The uncertainty in temperature projections is mainly dominated by model uncertainty and scenario uncertainty,while internal uncertainty contributes some of the uncertainty during the near-term.The uncertainty in precipitation projection stems mainly from internal uncertainty and model uncertainty.For both the temperature and precipitation projection uncertainty,the relative sizes of contributions from the main contributors vary with time and show obvious seasonal differences.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2023YFF0805101)the National Natural Science Founda-tion of China(Grant Nos.42376250 and 42405068).
文摘A prior observational study indicated an asymmetric link between sea surface temperature(SST)in the Tasman Sea and ENSO during austral summer.Specifically,El Niño is associated with a dipolar SST anomaly pattern,featuring warming in the northwest and cooling in the southeast,whereas La Niña corresponds to basin-scale warming.This study employs the experiments of coupled models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)to assess ENSO’s impact on Tasman Sea SST.While all 15 models capture the observed dipolar SST anomalies(SSTAs)in the Tasman Sea during El Niño years,only 7 models capture the basin-scale warmth in the Tasman Sea during La Niña years.Consequently,the models are bifurcated into two groups:group-one models yield one physically reasonable asymmetric connection as observed,including the asymmetry of oceanic heat transport,especially the Ekman meridional transport anomalies induced by zonal wind stress driven by the asymmetric atmospheric circulation over the Tasman Sea.However,due to abnormal responses to ENSO and systematic biases in model simulations,including jet and storm tracks,oceanic heat fluxes,ocean currents,and SST,the group-two models fail to reproduce the asymmetric connection between the Tasman Sea and ENSO.This study not only validates the observational asymmetric connection of SSTAs in the Tasman Sea with respect to the two opposite ENSO phases,but also provides evidence and clues to reduce the bias in group-two models.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.42250710154。
文摘The magnitude of El Nino determines the level of its global impact.Yet,how well our state-of-the-art models simulate this key aspect of El Nino is not well documented.Previous studies tend to ignore El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)asymmetry and equate the variance of ENSO to the magnitude of El Nino.Moreover,previous evaluations are more focused on the surface manifestation of El Nino.Here,we quantify the magnitudes of El Nino and La Nina separately,both at the surface and subsurface levels.At the surface,we find that while the magnitude of La Nina events in most models is generally stronger than observed,the magnitude of El Nino is more diverse to observations.In fact,in many models,El Nino is weaker than observed.This bias in the magnitude of El Nino is more pronounced in the subsurface.We attribute this weakness in the subsurface to the generally weaker coupling strength and the apparent stronger ENSO at the surface to a lack of sufficiently strong negative feedback from the surface heat flux in the models.When normalized by the variance of ENSO,the lack of exceptionally strong El Nino events in the models is more common and pronounced.We further studied the lifespan of El Nino and La Nina events and have found that multi-year duration is not confined to just La Nina events.There are also El Nino events that last more than one year.Moreover,we have found that multi-year long La Nina events tend to occur over the decades with strong El Nino events.The study also briefly explores the impact of global warming on the duration of ENSO events through the use of a simple model and simulations by CMIP6 models.It has been found that the frequency of multi-year El Nino and La Nina events increases with global warming.
基金supported by a key project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 42192563]。
文摘Against the backdrop of climate change,the activity of tropical cyclones(TCs)has captured widespread attention.Observational datasets indicate a declining trend in the genesis longitude of western North Pacific(WNP)TCs.This study investigates the zonal changes of WNP TCs with CMIP6-HighResMIP models.These models capture the genesis density of WNP TCs fairly well.The results reveal a westward shift in TC genesis longitude.This trend is associated with the significant reduction in the TC frequency over the southeastern WNP.The study also discusses changes in large-scale circulation patterns and the impact of the strengthening Pacific Walker circulation.
基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)National Natural Science Foundation of China(72293604,42275026)Open Grants of the State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather(2023LASW-B09)。
文摘Pronounced climatic differences occur over subtropical South China(SC)and tropical South China Sea(SCS)and understanding the key cloud-radiation characteristics is essential to simulating East Asian climate.This study investigated cloud fractions and cloud radiative effects(CREs)over SC and SCS simulated by CMIP6 atmospheric models.Remarkable differences in cloud-radiation characteristics appeared over these two regions.In observations,considerable amounts of low-middle level clouds and cloud radiative cooling effect appeared over SC.In contrast,high clouds prevailed over SCS,where longwave and shortwave CREs offset each other,resulting in a weaker net cloud radiative effect(NCRE).The models underestimated NCRE over SC mainly due to weaker shortwave CRE and less cloud fractions.Conversely,most models overestimated NCRE over SCS because of stronger shortwave CRE and weaker longwave CRE.Regional CREs were closely linked to their dominant cloud fractions.Both observations and simulations showed a negative spatial correlation between total(low)cloud fraction and shortwave CRE over SC,especially in winter,and exhibited a positive correlation between high cloud fraction and longwave CRE over these two regions.Compared with SCS,most models overestimated the spatial correlation between low(high)cloud fraction and SWCRE(LWCRE)over SC,with larger bias ranges among models,indicating the exaggerated cloud radiative cooling(warming)effect caused by low(high)clouds.Moreover,most models struggled to describe regional ascent and its connection with CREs over SC while they can better reproduce these connections over SCS.This study further suggests that reasonable circulation conditions are crucial to simulating well cloud-radiation characteristics over the East Asian regions.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52202431,52172353)Talent Fund of Beijing Jiaotong University of China(Grant No.2024XKRC044).
文摘Due to the different microstructures caused by the heat source effect,welding joints exhibit significant differences in mechanical properties compared to the base material.Precise characterization of the constitutive characteristics of the welded joint requires a large number of repetitive experiments,which are costly,inefficient,and have limited accuracy improvements.This paper proposes an integrated experimental-simulation-based inverse calibration method,which establishes a calibration optimization problem based on the corresponding constitutive model and a finite element calculation model built by the distribution of hardness in the weldment.Using the global tensile force-displacement curve of the MIG-welded 6005A-T6 aluminum alloy specimen and the experimental data of local deformation with time change obtained from DIC(Digital Image Correlation),the parameters involved in the constitutive models are optimized accordingly.This method can directly obtain the constitutive characteristics of the weldment under conditions of limited experiments and insufficient data.Additionally,the adaptability of the constitutive model to the calibration method and the influence of optimization results are discussed and analyzed.The results indicate that the global force-displacement response of the non-saturated Ramberg-Osgood(R-O)model is in the best agreement with that of the experimental data,and the energy error is only 2.62%,followed by the MPL model,while the saturation-based Voce model shows the largest simulation error in terms of the presented object.Furthermore,the simulation results of R-O,Voce,and MPL models in the local area are far superior to traditional fitting methods.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.62371273,62125101 and 62341101the Taishan Scholars Program under Grant No.tsqn202312307+7 种基金the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST under Grant No.YESS20230372the Shandong Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.ZR2023YQ058the New Cornerstone Science Foundation through the Xplorer Prizethe Xiaomi Young Talents Programthe open research fund of National Mobile Communications Research Laboratory,Southeast University under Grant No.2025D04the China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents under Grant No.BX20240007the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation under Grant No.2024M760111the Beijing Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.4254067。
文摘A novel digital twin(DT)enabled channel model for 6G vehicular communications in Beijing Central Business District(Beijing CBD)is proposed,which can support the design of intelligent transportation systems(ITSs).A DT space for Beijing CBD is constructed,and two typical transportation periods,i.e.,peak and off-peak hours,are considered to characterize the vehicular communication channel better.Based on the constructed DT space,a DT-enabled vehicular communication dataset is developed,including light detection and ranging(LiDAR)point clouds,RGB images,and channel information.With the assistance of LiDAR point clouds and RGB images,the scatterer parameters,including number,distance,angle,power,and velocity,are analyzed under different transportation periods.The channel non-stationarity and consistency are mimicked in the proposed model.The key channel statistical properties are derived and simulated.Compared to ray-tracing(RT)results,the accuracy of the proposed model is verified.
基金financial support from the Start-up Grant of Nanjing Tech University(Nos.38274017103,38037037)financial support from Distinguished University Professor grant(Nanyang Technological University)+1 种基金the Agency for Science,Technology and Research(A∗STAR)under its MTC Individual Research Grants(No.M21K2c0114)RIE2025 MTC Programmatic Fund(No.M22K9b0049).
文摘A“water”accelerated metal-free catalytic system has been discovered for the Mukaiyama-aldol reaction.The system involves the use of B(C_(6)F_(5))_(3) as a catalyst,which is water-tolerant and able to activate the carbonyl group through a hydrogen bonding network generated by the catalyst.This activation method allows the reactions to be performed with very low catalyst loading,as low as 0.5 mol%.The scope of substrates is broad and a wide variety of functional groups are well tolerated.Diverse aliphatic aldehydes,aromatic aldehydes,unsaturated aldehydes and aromatic ketones coupled with silyl enol ethers/silyl ketone acetals to generate their correspondingβ-hydroxy carbonyl compounds in moderate to good yields.This discovery represents a significant advancement in the field of organic synthesis,as it provides a new,practical and sustainable solution for carbon-carbon bond formation in water.
基金the World Climate Research Programme(WCRP),Climate Variability and Predictability(CLIVAR),and Global Energy and Water Exchanges(GEWEX)for facilitating the coordination of African monsoon researchsupport from the Center for Earth System Modeling,Analysis,and Data at the Pennsylvania State Universitythe support of the Office of Science of the U.S.Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional&Global Model Analysis(RGMA)program area。
文摘In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.
基金Projects(50905144,51275415)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University,China+1 种基金Project(3102014KYJD001)supported by Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,ChinaProject(B08040)supported by Program of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities("111"Project),China
文摘Numerical control（NC） warm bending is a proven strategy to form the large diameter thin-walled（LDTW） Ti-6 Al-4 V tubes, which are typical light-weight and high-performance structural components urgently required in many industries. In virtue of unveiling the thermo-mechanical coupled deformation behaviors, uniaxial tensile tests were conducted on Ti-6 Al-4 V tube within wide ranges of temperatures（25-600 ℃） and strain rates（0.00067-0.1 s～（-1））. Moreover, a modified Johnson-Cook（JC） model is proposed with a consideration of nonlinear strain rate hardening and the interaction between strain hardening and thermal softening. Resultantly, the present model gives more accurate predictions for flow stress over the entire deformation ranges and the maximum error decreases by about 90%. By employing proposed model to NC warm bending, preferable precision is obtained in predicting forming defects including fracture, wrinkling and over thinning. The present work lays foundation for the forming limit prediction and process optimization in NC warm bending of LDTW Ti-6 Al-4 V tubes.
文摘Aim To investigate the effects of FDP on different liver injury models to explore the possibility of FDP used as an oral liver protective agent. Methods Chronic liver injury model in rats was induced by carbon tetrachloride （ CCl4 ） ; Acute liver injury model in mice was induced by aminogalactose （GAIN） or lipopolysaccharide （LPS）. Results In CCl4-induced chronic liver injury model, FDP （1 , 4 g·kg^-1·d^-1, q.d., for 10 weeks） significantly lowered ALT, AST,γ-glutamyl transpeptidase （γ-GT）, alkaline phosphatase （ALP）, and total bilirubin （T-BIL） in serum compared with vehicle; simultaneously it evidently elevated abnormal total protein （TP）, albumin （ALB） and total cholesterol （ T-CHO ） levels in serum; it also dose-dependently reduced hydroxyproline contents in hepatic tissue. 4 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP apparently decreased incidence of hepatic cirrhosis, and alleviated pathological changes of liver tissue. In GaiN-induced model, 1.0 - 4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP （ bid, for 3 d ） significantly lowered alanine aminotransferase （ ALT ） and aspartate aminotransferase （ AST ） levels in serum ; it also decreased liver coefficient. 4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1 of FDP significantly alleviated pathological changes of cell ultra-structures. In LPS-induced model, only high dose of FDP （4. 0 g·kg^-1·d^-1, bid, for 12 d） significantly decreased ALT level in serum. Conclusion This study first demonstrated the protective effect of oral FDP on chronic liver injury caused by CCl4, and confirmed its effect on acute liver injury at the same time, suggesting that Long-term oral FDP is efficacious against liver injury induced by different factors and can be used as an oral liver protective agent in clinic.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program for Developing Basic Sciences (Grant Nos. 2016YFC1401401 and 2016YFC1401601)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDC01000000)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants Nos. 41576026, 41576025, 41776030, 41931183 and 41976026)
文摘The datasets of two Ocean Model Intercomparison Project(OMIP)simulation experiments from the LASG/IAP Climate Ocean Model,version 3(LICOM3),forced by two different sets of atmospheric surface data,are described in this paper.The experiment forced by CORE-II(Co-ordinated Ocean–Ice Reference Experiments,Phase II)data(1948–2009)is called OMIP1,and that forced by JRA55-do(surface dataset for driving ocean–sea-ice models based on Japanese 55-year atmospheric reanalysis)data(1958–2018)is called OMIP2.First,the improvement of LICOM from CMIP5 to CMIP6 and the configurations of the two experiments are described.Second,the basic performances of the two experiments are validated using the climatological-mean and interannual time scales from observation.We find that the mean states,interannual variabilities,and long-term linear trends can be reproduced well by the two experiments.The differences between the two datasets are also discussed.Finally,the usage of these data is described.These datasets are helpful toward understanding the origin system bias of the fully coupled model.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China grant number 2018YFC1509002the Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) grant number GML2019ZD0601。
文摘Using the historical simulations from 27 models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)and 27 models in phase 6(CMIP6),the authors evaluated the differences between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in simulating the climate mean of extreme temperature over China through comparison with observations during 1979–2005.The CMIP6 models reproduce well the spatial distribution of annual maxima of daily maximum temperature(TXx),annual minima of daily minimum temperature(TNn),and frost days(FD).The model spread in CMIP6 is reduced relative to CMIP5 for some temperature indices,such as TXx,warm spell duration index(WSDI),and warm days(TX90 p).The multimodel median ensembles also capture the observed trend of extreme temperature.However,the CMIP6 models still have low skill in capturing TX90 p and cold nights(TN10 p)and have obvious cold biases or warm biases over the Tibetan Plateau.The ability of individual models varies for different indices,although some models outperform the others in terms of the average of all indices considered for different models.By comparing different version models from the same organization,the updated CMIP6 models show no significant difference from their counterparts from CMIP5 for some models.Compared with individual models,the median ensembles show better agreement with the observations for temperature indices and their means.
文摘The thermomechanical behavior of precipitation-hardened aluminum alloy AA7022-T6 was studied using isothermal compression at temperatures of 623−773 K and strain rates of 0.01−1 s^−1.The experimental results indicated that dynamic recrystallization(DRX)is a predominant hot deformation mechanism,especially at elevated temperatures and low strain rates.The modified Johnson−Cook(J−C)and the strain compensated Arrhenius-type models were developed to predict the hot flow behavior under different deformation conditions.The correlation coefficients of modified J−C model and the strain compensated Arrhenius-type models were 0.9914 and 0.9972,respectively,their average relative errors(ARE)were 6.074%and 4.465%,respectively,and their root mean square errors(RMSE)were 10.611 and 1.665 MPa,respectively,indicating that the strain compensated Arrhenius-type model can predict the hot flow stress of AA7022-T6 aluminum alloy with an appropriate accuracy.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities 2020JBZD005NSFC under Grant(61771036,61901029,U1834210,and 61725101)+4 种基金the State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety(Contract No.RCS2020ZZ005)Beijing Jiaotong Universitythe ZTE CorporationState Key Laboratory of Mobile Network and Mobile Multimedia TechnologyBeijing Natural Science Foundation under Grant L201023。
文摘Terahertz(THz)communications are envisioned as a key technology for the sixth-generation wireless communication system(6G).However,it is not practical to perform large-scale channel measurements with high degrees of freedom at THz frequency band.This makes empirical or stochastic modeling approaches relying on measurements no longer stand.In order to break through the bottleneck of scarce fulldimensional channel sounding measurements,this paper presents a novel paradigm for THz channel modeling towards 6G.With the core of high-performance ray tracing(RT),the presented paradigm requires merely quite limited channel sounding to calibrate the geometry and material electromagnetic(EM)properties of the three-dimensional(3D)environment model in the target scenarios.Then,through extensive RT simulations,the parameters extracted from RT simulations can be fed into either ray-based novel stochastic channel models or cluster-based standard channel model families.Verified by RT simulations,these models can generate realistic channels that are valuable for the design and evaluation of THz systems.Representing two ends of 6G THz use cases from microscopy to macroscopy,case studies are made for close-proximity communications,wireless connections on a desktop,and smart rail mobility,respectively.Last but not least,new concerns on channel modeling resulting from distinguishing features of THz wave are discussed regarding propagation,antenna array,and device aspects,respectively.
基金supported by National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars (No.61925102)Beijing University of Posts and TelecommunicationsChina Mobile Research Institute Joint Innovation Center。
文摘With the research of the upcoming sixth generation(6 G) systems, new technologies will require wider bandwidth, larger scale antenna arrays and more diverse wireless communication scenarios on the future channel modeling. Considering channel model is prerequisite for system design and performance evaluation of 6 G technologies, we face a challenging task: how to accurately and efficiently model 6 G channel for various scenarios? This paper tries to answer it. Firstly, the features of cluster-nuclei(CN) and principle of cluster-nuclei based channel model(CNCM) are introduced. Then, a novel modeling framework is proposed to implement CNCM,which consists four steps: propagation environment reconstruction, cluster-nuclei identification, multipath parameters generation, and channel coefficients generation. Three-dimensional environment with material information is utilized to map CN with scatterers in the propagation pathway. CN are identified by geometrical and electric field calculation based on environmental mapping, and multipath components within CN are calculated by statistical characteristics of angle, power and delay domains. Finally, we present a three-level verification structure to investigate the accuracy and complexity of channel modeling comprehensively. Simulation results reveal that CNCM can perform higher accuracy than geometrybased stochastic model while lower complexity compared with ray-tracing model for practical propagation environment.
基金the Strate-gic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sci-ences under Grant No.XDA20060102the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)program(Grant No 2019QZKK0102)the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.41988101 and K.C.WONG Education Foun-dation.
文摘Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau(TP)is important to local and downstream ecosystems.Based on a weighting method considering model skill and independence,changes in the TP precipitation for near-term(2021-40),mid-term(2041-60)and long-term(2081-2100)under shared socio-economic pathways(SSP1-1.9,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSSP3-7.0,SSP5-8.5)are projected with 27 models from the latest Sixth Phase of the Couple Model Intercomparison Project.The annual mean precipitation is projected to increase by 7.4%-21.6%under five SSPs with a stronger change in the northern TP by the end of the 21st century relative to the present climatology.Changes in the TP precipitation at seasonal scales show a similar moistening trend to that of annual mean precipitation,except for the drying trend in winter precipitation along the southern edges of the TP.Weighting generally suggests a slightly stronger increase in TP precipitation with reduced model uncertainty compared to equally-weighted projections.The effect of weighting exhibits spatial and seasonal differences.Seasonally,weighting leads to a prevailing enhancement of increase in spring precipitation over the TP.Spatially,the influence of weighting is more remarkable over the northwestern TP regarding the annual,summer and autumn precipitation.Differences between weighted and original MMEs can give us more confidence in a stronger increase in precipitation over the TP,especially for the season of spring and the region of the northwestern TP,which requires additional attention in decision making.
基金This study is jointly supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant Nos.XDA19060102 and XDB42010400)the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41530426,91958201 and 41931183).
文摘The three-member historical simulations by the Chinese Academy of Sciences Flexible Global Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System model,version f3-L(CAS FGOALS-f3-L),which is contributing to phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6),are described in this study.The details of the CAS FGOALS-f3-L model,experiment settings and output datasets are briefly introduced.The datasets include monthly and daily outputs from the atmospheric,oceanic,land and sea-ice component models of CAS FGOALS-f3-L,and all these data have been published online in the Earth System Grid Federation(ESGF,https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/projects/cmip6/).The three ensembles are initialized from the 600th,650th and 700th model year of the preindustrial experiment(piControl)and forced by the same historical forcing provided by CMIP6 from 1850 to 2014.The performance of the coupled model is validated in comparison with some recent observed atmospheric and oceanic datasets.It is shown that CAS FGOALS-f3-L is able to reproduce the main features of the modern climate,including the climatology of air surface temperature and precipitation,the long-term changes in global mean surface air temperature,ocean heat content and sea surface steric height,and the horizontal and vertical distribution of temperature in the ocean and atmosphere.Meanwhile,like other state-of-the-art coupled GCMs,there are still some obvious biases in the historical simulations,which are also illustrated.This paper can help users to better understand the advantages and biases of the model and the datasets。
