Following global catastrophic infrastructure loss(GCIL),traditional electricity networks would be damaged and unavailable for energy supply,necessitating alternative solutions to sustain critical services.These altern...Following global catastrophic infrastructure loss(GCIL),traditional electricity networks would be damaged and unavailable for energy supply,necessitating alternative solutions to sustain critical services.These alternative solutions would need to run without damaged infrastructure and would likely need to be located at the point of use,such as decentralized electricity generation from wood gas.This study explores the feasibility of using modified light duty vehicles to self-sustain electricity generation by producing wood chips for wood gasification.A 2004 Ford Falcon Fairmont was modified to power a woodchipper and an electrical generator.The vehicle successfully produced wood chips suitable for gasification with an energy return on investment(EROI)of 3.7 and sustained a stable output of 20 kW electrical power.Scalability analyses suggest such solutions could provide electricity to the critical water sanitation sector,equivalent to 4%of global electricity demand,if production of woodchippers was increased postcatastrophe.Future research could investigate the long-term durability of modified vehicles and alternative electricity generation,and quantify the scalability of wood gasification in GCIL scenarios.This work provides a foundation for developing resilient,decentralized energy systems to ensure the continuity of critical services during catastrophic events,leveraging existing vehicle infrastructure to enhance disaster preparedness.展开更多
This paper uses a new statistical method for studying self-organization in order to explain the origins of global catastrophes, namely the exceeding of the critical level of the planet’s organization. This method dif...This paper uses a new statistical method for studying self-organization in order to explain the origins of global catastrophes, namely the exceeding of the critical level of the planet’s organization. This method differs from traditional methods, because it uses specific notions such as the “entrostat” and “critical level of the organization of the open system”.展开更多
A variety of phenomena of a catastrophic order and fear of their consequences served as the reason that until now the properties of disasters remained incomprehensible.We found out the properties of natural catastroph...A variety of phenomena of a catastrophic order and fear of their consequences served as the reason that until now the properties of disasters remained incomprehensible.We found out the properties of natural catastrophes.It is shown that knowledge of these properties is of great importance,because it contributes to the formation of an objective judgment on natural processes and phenomena.展开更多
According to Density wave theory, catastrophes can be related to spiral arms in galaxy. Each time solar system entered into the spiral arms corresponds to impact events, respectively. The spiral arms would impose an i...According to Density wave theory, catastrophes can be related to spiral arms in galaxy. Each time solar system entered into the spiral arms corresponds to impact events, respectively. The spiral arms would impose an influence on Earth and the solar system.展开更多
The literature suggests there is about a 1 % risk per year of a 10 % global agricultural shortfall due to catastrophes such as a large volcanic eruption, a medium asteroid or comet impact, regional nuclear war, abrupt...The literature suggests there is about a 1 % risk per year of a 10 % global agricultural shortfall due to catastrophes such as a large volcanic eruption, a medium asteroid or comet impact, regional nuclear war, abrupt climate change, and extreme weather causing multiple breadbasket failures. This shortfall has an expected mortality of about 500 million people. To prevent such mass starvation, alternate foods can be deployed that utilize stored biomass. This study developed a model with literature values for variables and, where no values existed,used large error bounds to recognize uncertainty. Then Monte Carlo analysis was performed on three interventions: planning, research, and development. The results show that even the upper bound of USD 400 per life saved by these interventions is far lower than what is typically paid to save a life in a less-developed country. Furthermore, every day of delay on the implementation of these interventions costs 100–40,000 expected lives(number of lives saved multiplied by the probability that alternate foods would be required). These interventions plus training would save 1–300 million expected lives. In general, these solutions would reduce the possibility of civilization collapse, could assist in providing food outside of catastrophic situations, and would result in billions of dollars per year of return.展开更多
We consider an MX/M/c queue with catastrophes and state- dependent control at idle time. Properties of the queues which terminate when the servers become idle are first studied. Recurrence, equilibrium distribution, a...We consider an MX/M/c queue with catastrophes and state- dependent control at idle time. Properties of the queues which terminate when the servers become idle are first studied. Recurrence, equilibrium distribution, and equilibrium queue-size structure are studied for the case of resurrection and no catastrophes. All of these properties and the first effective catastrophe occurrence time are then investigated for the case of resurrection and catastrophes. In particular, we obtain the Laplace transform of the transition probability for the absorbing MX/M/c queue.展开更多
Objective:To explore the relationship between pain degree and pain catastrophe and medical coping mode in patients with chronic pain.Methods:A visual analogue score scale,medical coping style questionnaire and pain ca...Objective:To explore the relationship between pain degree and pain catastrophe and medical coping mode in patients with chronic pain.Methods:A visual analogue score scale,medical coping style questionnaire and pain catastrophe scale were used to survey 200 patients in the pain department.Results:The average scores of pain degree of patients with chronic pain were(5.97±2.29),the average score of the total score of the Pain Catastrophe Scale was(21.21±11.56),and the average scores of facing,avoidance and surrender in the Medical Response Style Questionnaire were(17.93±3.4),(16.82±2.4),and(8.87±2.83),respectively.Pain degree was positively correlated with the yield dimension in pain catastrophe and medical coping(p<0.05).The yield dimension of medical coping was positively correlated with pain catastrophe(p<0.05).Medical coping methods played a partial mediating role between pain degree and pain catastrophe,and the mediating effect accounted for 21.59%of the total effect.Conclusion:The pain level of chronic pain patients can affect the level of pain catastrophe through medical coping,and clinical medical staff should guide patients to adopt positive coping methods to promote their healthy recovery.展开更多
The field of biometric identification has seen significant advancements over the years,with research focusing on enhancing the accuracy and security of these systems.One of the key developments is the integration of d...The field of biometric identification has seen significant advancements over the years,with research focusing on enhancing the accuracy and security of these systems.One of the key developments is the integration of deep learning techniques in biometric systems.However,despite these advancements,certain challenges persist.One of the most significant challenges is scalability over growing complexity.Traditional methods either require maintaining and securing a growing database,introducing serious security challenges,or relying on retraining the entiremodelwhen new data is introduced-a process that can be computationally expensive and complex.This challenge underscores the need for more efficient methods to scale securely.To this end,we introduce a novel approach that addresses these challenges by integrating multimodal biometrics,cancelable biometrics,and incremental learning techniques.This work is among the first attempts to seamlessly incorporate deep cancelable biometrics with dynamic architectural updates,applied incrementally to the deep learning model as new users are enrolled,achieving high performance with minimal catastrophic forgetting.By leveraging a One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network(1D-CNN)architecture combined with a hybrid incremental learning approach,our system achieves high recognition accuracy,averaging 98.98% over incrementing datasets,while ensuring user privacy through cancelable templates generated via a pre-trained CNN model and random projection.The approach demonstrates remarkable adaptability,utilizing the least intrusive biometric traits like facial features and fingerprints,ensuring not only robust performance but also long-term serviceability.展开更多
As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique ...As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique advantages in maintaining the stability of rock mass,the disaster evolution processes and multi-source information response characteristics in deep roadways with 4D support remain unclear.Consequently,a large-scale physical model testing system and self-designed 4D support components were employed to conduct similarity model tests on the surrounding rock failure process under unsupported(U-1),traditional bolt-mesh-cable support(T-2),and 4D support(4D-R-3)conditions.Combined with multi-source monitoring techniques,including stress–strain,digital image correlation(DIC),acoustic emission(AE),microseismic(MS),parallel electric(PE),and electromagnetic radiation(EMR),the mechanical behavior and multi-source information responses were comprehensively analyzed.The results show that the peak stress and displacement of the models are positively correlated with the support strength.The multi-source information exhibits distinct response characteristics under different supports.The response frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof AE,MS,and EMR signals,along with the apparent resistivity(AR)high-resistivity zone,follow the trend U-1>T-2>4D-R-3.Furthermore,multi-source information exhibits significantdifferences in sensitivity across different phases.The AE,MS,and EMR signals exhibit active responses to rock mass activity at each phase.However,AR signals are only sensitive to the fracture propagation during the plastic yield and failure phases.In summary,the 4D support significantlyenhances the bearing capacity and plastic deformation of the models,while substantially reducing the frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof multi-source signals.展开更多
Cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)continue to present a leading cause ofmortalityworldwide,emphasizing the importance of early and accurate prediction.Electrocardiogram(ECG)signals,central to cardiac monitoring,have increa...Cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)continue to present a leading cause ofmortalityworldwide,emphasizing the importance of early and accurate prediction.Electrocardiogram(ECG)signals,central to cardiac monitoring,have increasingly been integratedwithDeep Learning(DL)for real-time prediction of CVDs.However,DL models are prone to performance degradation due to concept drift and to catastrophic forgetting.To address this issue,we propose a realtime CVDs prediction approach,referred to as ADWIN-GFR that combines Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)layers,for spatial feature extraction,with Gated Recurrent Units(GRU),for temporal modeling,alongside adaptive drift detection and mitigation mechanisms.The proposed approach integratesAdaptiveWindowing(ADWIN)for realtime concept drift detection,a fine-tuning strategy based on Generative Features Replay(GFR)to preserve previously acquired knowledge,and a dynamic replay buffer ensuring variance,diversity,and data distribution coverage.Extensive experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset demonstrate that ADWIN-GFR outperforms standard fine-tuning techniques,achieving an average post-drift accuracy of 95.4%,amacro F1-score of 93.9%,and a remarkably low forgetting score of 0.9%.It also exhibits an average drift detection delay of 12 steps and achieves an adaptation gain of 17.2%.These findings underscore the potential of ADWIN-GFR for deployment in real-world cardiac monitoring systems,including wearable ECG devices and hospital-based patient monitoring platforms.展开更多
In order to study the failure mechanism of backfill and the reasonable matches between backfill and rock mass, and to achieve the object of safe and efficient mining in metal mine, four types of backfills were tested ...In order to study the failure mechanism of backfill and the reasonable matches between backfill and rock mass, and to achieve the object of safe and efficient mining in metal mine, four types of backfills were tested under uniaxial compression loading, with cement?tailing ratios of 0.250:1, 0.125:1, 0.100:1 and 0.083:1, respectively. With the help of the stress?strain curves, the deformation and failure characteristics of different backfills with differing cement?tailing ratios were analyzed. Based on the experimental results, the damage constitutive equations of cemented backfills with four cement?tailing ratios were proposed on the basis of damage mechanics. Moreover, comparative analysis of constitutive model and experimental results were made to verify the reliability of the damage model. In addition, an energy model using catastrophe theory to obtain the instability criteria of system was established to study the interaction between backfill and rock mass, and then the system instability criterion was deduced. The results show that there are different damage characteristics for different backfills, backfills with lower cement?tailing ratio tend to have a lower damage value when stress reaches peak value, and damage more rapidly and more obviously in failure process after peak value of stress; the stiffness and elastic modulus of rock mass with lower strength are more likely to lead to system instability. The results of this work provide a scientific basis for the rational strength design of backfill mine.展开更多
Renovation system of urban villages in Xi'an City was evaluated. Influence factors of urban village renovation were analyzed on the basis of brittleness theory, and an evaluation index system established through m...Renovation system of urban villages in Xi'an City was evaluated. Influence factors of urban village renovation were analyzed on the basis of brittleness theory, and an evaluation index system established through multi-level inconsistency decomposing. By incorporating the catastrophe theory with fuzzy mathematical theory, the mathematic model was created, and catastrophe membership function was obtained as well as evaluation results. Policies for the renovation of urban villages and new direction of the renovation were interpreted. The application case proved that catastrophe progression method was objective and effective and it could provide new concepts for the evaluation and adjustment of urban village renovation. Moreover, application of brittleness theory in the research on urban village renovation is of great instruction and reference value for the present urban construction.展开更多
Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods\ Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is...Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods\ Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is used as the state variable for analysis. Results and Conclusion\ A risk analysis model named the cusp model is presented. Various states regarding the safety of the system such as the accident state, no accident state and miss state can be represented at will on the cusp model.展开更多
This study comprehensively assessed long-term vegetation changes and forest fragmentation dynamics in the Himalayan temperate region of Pakistan from 1989 to 2019.Four satellite images,including Landsat-5 TM and Lands...This study comprehensively assessed long-term vegetation changes and forest fragmentation dynamics in the Himalayan temperate region of Pakistan from 1989 to 2019.Four satellite images,including Landsat-5 TM and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager(OLI),were chosen for subsequent assessments in October 1989,2001,2011 and 2019.The classified maps of 1989,2001,2011 and 2019 were created using the maximum likelihood classifier.Post-classification comparison showed an overall accuracy of 82.5%and a Kappa coefficient of 0.79 for the 2019 map.Results revealed a drastic decrease in closed-canopy and open-canopy forests by 117.4 and 271.6 km^(2),respectively,and an increase in agriculture/farm cultivation by 1512.8 km^(2).The two-way ANOVA test showed statistically significant differences in the area of various cover classes.Forest fragmentation was evaluated using the Landscape Fragmentation Tool(LFT v2.0)between 1989 and 2019.The large forest core(>2.00 km^(2))decreased from 149.4 to 296.7 km^(2),and a similar pattern was observed in medium forest core(1.00-2.00 km^(2))forests.On the contrary,the small core(<1.00 km^(2))forest increased from 124.8 to 145.3 km^(2) in 2019.The perforation area increased by 296.9 km^(2),and the edge effect decreased from 458.9 to 431.7 km^(2).The frequency of patches also increased by 119.1 km^(2).The closed and open canopy classes showed a decreasing trend with an annual rate of 0.58%and 1.35%,respectively.The broad implications of these findings can be seen in the studied region as well as other global ecological areas.They serve as an imperative baseline for afforestation and reforestation operations,highlighting the urgent need for efficient management,conservation,and restoration efforts.Based on these findings,sustainable land-use policies may be put into place that support local livelihoods,protect ecosystem services,and conserve biodiversity.展开更多
An attempt is made to locate nuclear technology within a logical context considering history, risks, societal catastrophes and perspectives: the need is identified for a new direction in the exploitation in order to r...An attempt is made to locate nuclear technology within a logical context considering history, risks, societal catastrophes and perspectives: the need is identified for a new direction in the exploitation in order to restore the role in energy production. We depict the situation coming from a marvelous history of discoveries started at the beginning of the XX century;heroes are recalled who made possible something that is inconceivable today: design, construction and production of electricity in a few years;that history was tainted by intentional nuclear explosions, </span><i><span style="font-size:12px;font-family:Verdana;">i.e.</span></i><span style="font-size:12px;font-family:Verdana;"> the original sin that we are now paying. Then, we attempt to show that the societal risk is an inherent part of the civilization. Restoring the public trust (towards nuclear fission technology) by matching nuclear safety with the current technological status and advancers in risk assessment is the key objective. The </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">“</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">independent assessment</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">”</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">, or a principle for the exploitation of nuclear energy already stated in the 50’s of the previous century, shall then re-appear. This is used to erect the signpost for a </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">“</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">dynamic barricade</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">”</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;"> to further reduce the risk of operation of nuclear reactors and to match the design with current technological capabilities and with the frontiers of the research.展开更多
This article is the memoirs of the author’s long-time research on the Neo-Confucian history of the Chosun dynasty Korea.The author recalled his academic achievement of the several stages of the historical changes of ...This article is the memoirs of the author’s long-time research on the Neo-Confucian history of the Chosun dynasty Korea.The author recalled his academic achievement of the several stages of the historical changes of Korean society with the Neo-Confucianism.The time range covered from the late 14th century to the nineteenth century.The research position was adhered to the view of the positive function of Confucianism which aimed to overcome the negative understanding highly influenced by the Japanese colonialism.He examined the socio-economic development accompanied with the Neo-Confucianism at the first stage.In the part of the sixteenth century the formation of Sarim group was interpreted as critical forces and the prevailed factionalism as the principle of politics rather than the chronic political strife.The author introduced his unique achievement that the ideology of the Neo-Confucianism had been strongly intensified with the response to the long term natural catastrophes of the Little Ice Age(c.1490-1760).The republican concept of 18th-century impartial rulers,the most important achievement of Korean Neo-Confucianism,was viewed as the result of effort to overcome the natural disasters.This topic was connected to the concept of republic which shows in a diagram of the Korean national flag.展开更多
Collapse shape of tunnel floor in Hoek-Brown rock media is investigated with the functional catastrophe theory. The stability of rock system in tunnel floor, which is determined by thickness, half collapse width, half...Collapse shape of tunnel floor in Hoek-Brown rock media is investigated with the functional catastrophe theory. The stability of rock system in tunnel floor, which is determined by thickness, half collapse width, half length of cave and detaching curve, has great secure and economic significance in practical engineering. To investigate the failure mechanisms and the outline of detaching block, a reliable damage model is presumed by making reference to the limit analysis theory. The analytical solutions of detaching curve, half collapse width on tunnel floor and the critical and maximum values of collapse thickness are derived based on Hoek-Brown criterion and functional catastrophe theory. The result shows that 0.5 is a most probable condition for instability, and the shape of detaching curve is a part of parabola. It is reasonable by comparing with previous theory and analogous experiments. The effects of major factors on thickness and half collapse width are further discussed. Numerical calculations and parametric analysis are carried out to illustrate the effects of different parameters on the mechanism, which is significant to the stability analysis of tunnel floor in rock media.展开更多
基金This work was funded in part by the Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters(ALLFED).
文摘Following global catastrophic infrastructure loss(GCIL),traditional electricity networks would be damaged and unavailable for energy supply,necessitating alternative solutions to sustain critical services.These alternative solutions would need to run without damaged infrastructure and would likely need to be located at the point of use,such as decentralized electricity generation from wood gas.This study explores the feasibility of using modified light duty vehicles to self-sustain electricity generation by producing wood chips for wood gasification.A 2004 Ford Falcon Fairmont was modified to power a woodchipper and an electrical generator.The vehicle successfully produced wood chips suitable for gasification with an energy return on investment(EROI)of 3.7 and sustained a stable output of 20 kW electrical power.Scalability analyses suggest such solutions could provide electricity to the critical water sanitation sector,equivalent to 4%of global electricity demand,if production of woodchippers was increased postcatastrophe.Future research could investigate the long-term durability of modified vehicles and alternative electricity generation,and quantify the scalability of wood gasification in GCIL scenarios.This work provides a foundation for developing resilient,decentralized energy systems to ensure the continuity of critical services during catastrophic events,leveraging existing vehicle infrastructure to enhance disaster preparedness.
文摘This paper uses a new statistical method for studying self-organization in order to explain the origins of global catastrophes, namely the exceeding of the critical level of the planet’s organization. This method differs from traditional methods, because it uses specific notions such as the “entrostat” and “critical level of the organization of the open system”.
文摘A variety of phenomena of a catastrophic order and fear of their consequences served as the reason that until now the properties of disasters remained incomprehensible.We found out the properties of natural catastrophes.It is shown that knowledge of these properties is of great importance,because it contributes to the formation of an objective judgment on natural processes and phenomena.
文摘According to Density wave theory, catastrophes can be related to spiral arms in galaxy. Each time solar system entered into the spiral arms corresponds to impact events, respectively. The spiral arms would impose an influence on Earth and the solar system.
文摘The literature suggests there is about a 1 % risk per year of a 10 % global agricultural shortfall due to catastrophes such as a large volcanic eruption, a medium asteroid or comet impact, regional nuclear war, abrupt climate change, and extreme weather causing multiple breadbasket failures. This shortfall has an expected mortality of about 500 million people. To prevent such mass starvation, alternate foods can be deployed that utilize stored biomass. This study developed a model with literature values for variables and, where no values existed,used large error bounds to recognize uncertainty. Then Monte Carlo analysis was performed on three interventions: planning, research, and development. The results show that even the upper bound of USD 400 per life saved by these interventions is far lower than what is typically paid to save a life in a less-developed country. Furthermore, every day of delay on the implementation of these interventions costs 100–40,000 expected lives(number of lives saved multiplied by the probability that alternate foods would be required). These interventions plus training would save 1–300 million expected lives. In general, these solutions would reduce the possibility of civilization collapse, could assist in providing food outside of catastrophic situations, and would result in billions of dollars per year of return.
基金This work was substantially supported by the National Natural Sciences Foundations of China （Grant Nos. 11371374, 11771452, 11701489, 11571372）, the National Natural Science Foundation of China-Tian Yuan （Grant No. 11626203）, and the Natural Sciences Foundations of Hunan Province （No. 2017JJ2328）.
文摘We consider an MX/M/c queue with catastrophes and state- dependent control at idle time. Properties of the queues which terminate when the servers become idle are first studied. Recurrence, equilibrium distribution, and equilibrium queue-size structure are studied for the case of resurrection and no catastrophes. All of these properties and the first effective catastrophe occurrence time are then investigated for the case of resurrection and catastrophes. In particular, we obtain the Laplace transform of the transition probability for the absorbing MX/M/c queue.
文摘Objective:To explore the relationship between pain degree and pain catastrophe and medical coping mode in patients with chronic pain.Methods:A visual analogue score scale,medical coping style questionnaire and pain catastrophe scale were used to survey 200 patients in the pain department.Results:The average scores of pain degree of patients with chronic pain were(5.97±2.29),the average score of the total score of the Pain Catastrophe Scale was(21.21±11.56),and the average scores of facing,avoidance and surrender in the Medical Response Style Questionnaire were(17.93±3.4),(16.82±2.4),and(8.87±2.83),respectively.Pain degree was positively correlated with the yield dimension in pain catastrophe and medical coping(p<0.05).The yield dimension of medical coping was positively correlated with pain catastrophe(p<0.05).Medical coping methods played a partial mediating role between pain degree and pain catastrophe,and the mediating effect accounted for 21.59%of the total effect.Conclusion:The pain level of chronic pain patients can affect the level of pain catastrophe through medical coping,and clinical medical staff should guide patients to adopt positive coping methods to promote their healthy recovery.
基金the Deputyship for Research&Innovation,Ministry of Education in Saudi Arabia for funding this research work through project number RI-44-0833.
文摘The field of biometric identification has seen significant advancements over the years,with research focusing on enhancing the accuracy and security of these systems.One of the key developments is the integration of deep learning techniques in biometric systems.However,despite these advancements,certain challenges persist.One of the most significant challenges is scalability over growing complexity.Traditional methods either require maintaining and securing a growing database,introducing serious security challenges,or relying on retraining the entiremodelwhen new data is introduced-a process that can be computationally expensive and complex.This challenge underscores the need for more efficient methods to scale securely.To this end,we introduce a novel approach that addresses these challenges by integrating multimodal biometrics,cancelable biometrics,and incremental learning techniques.This work is among the first attempts to seamlessly incorporate deep cancelable biometrics with dynamic architectural updates,applied incrementally to the deep learning model as new users are enrolled,achieving high performance with minimal catastrophic forgetting.By leveraging a One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network(1D-CNN)architecture combined with a hybrid incremental learning approach,our system achieves high recognition accuracy,averaging 98.98% over incrementing datasets,while ensuring user privacy through cancelable templates generated via a pre-trained CNN model and random projection.The approach demonstrates remarkable adaptability,utilizing the least intrusive biometric traits like facial features and fingerprints,ensuring not only robust performance but also long-term serviceability.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U22A20598 and 52104107)the"Qinglan Project"of Jiangsu Colleges and Universities,Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.TJ-2023-086).
文摘As coal mining progresses to greater depths,controlling the stability of surrounding rock in deep roadways has become an increasingly complex challenge.Although four-dimensional(4D)support theoretically offers unique advantages in maintaining the stability of rock mass,the disaster evolution processes and multi-source information response characteristics in deep roadways with 4D support remain unclear.Consequently,a large-scale physical model testing system and self-designed 4D support components were employed to conduct similarity model tests on the surrounding rock failure process under unsupported(U-1),traditional bolt-mesh-cable support(T-2),and 4D support(4D-R-3)conditions.Combined with multi-source monitoring techniques,including stress–strain,digital image correlation(DIC),acoustic emission(AE),microseismic(MS),parallel electric(PE),and electromagnetic radiation(EMR),the mechanical behavior and multi-source information responses were comprehensively analyzed.The results show that the peak stress and displacement of the models are positively correlated with the support strength.The multi-source information exhibits distinct response characteristics under different supports.The response frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof AE,MS,and EMR signals,along with the apparent resistivity(AR)high-resistivity zone,follow the trend U-1>T-2>4D-R-3.Furthermore,multi-source information exhibits significantdifferences in sensitivity across different phases.The AE,MS,and EMR signals exhibit active responses to rock mass activity at each phase.However,AR signals are only sensitive to the fracture propagation during the plastic yield and failure phases.In summary,the 4D support significantlyenhances the bearing capacity and plastic deformation of the models,while substantially reducing the frequency,energy,and fluctuationsof multi-source signals.
基金supported by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number(PNURSP2025R196)Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘Cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)continue to present a leading cause ofmortalityworldwide,emphasizing the importance of early and accurate prediction.Electrocardiogram(ECG)signals,central to cardiac monitoring,have increasingly been integratedwithDeep Learning(DL)for real-time prediction of CVDs.However,DL models are prone to performance degradation due to concept drift and to catastrophic forgetting.To address this issue,we propose a realtime CVDs prediction approach,referred to as ADWIN-GFR that combines Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)layers,for spatial feature extraction,with Gated Recurrent Units(GRU),for temporal modeling,alongside adaptive drift detection and mitigation mechanisms.The proposed approach integratesAdaptiveWindowing(ADWIN)for realtime concept drift detection,a fine-tuning strategy based on Generative Features Replay(GFR)to preserve previously acquired knowledge,and a dynamic replay buffer ensuring variance,diversity,and data distribution coverage.Extensive experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset demonstrate that ADWIN-GFR outperforms standard fine-tuning techniques,achieving an average post-drift accuracy of 95.4%,amacro F1-score of 93.9%,and a remarkably low forgetting score of 0.9%.It also exhibits an average drift detection delay of 12 steps and achieves an adaptation gain of 17.2%.These findings underscore the potential of ADWIN-GFR for deployment in real-world cardiac monitoring systems,including wearable ECG devices and hospital-based patient monitoring platforms.
基金Projects(2013BAB02B05,2012BAB08B01)supported by the National Science and Technology Support Program of ChinaProject(2013JSJJ029)supported by the Teacher Foundation of Central South University,ChinaProject(51074177)supported by the Joint Funding of National Natural Science Foundation and Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation,China
文摘In order to study the failure mechanism of backfill and the reasonable matches between backfill and rock mass, and to achieve the object of safe and efficient mining in metal mine, four types of backfills were tested under uniaxial compression loading, with cement?tailing ratios of 0.250:1, 0.125:1, 0.100:1 and 0.083:1, respectively. With the help of the stress?strain curves, the deformation and failure characteristics of different backfills with differing cement?tailing ratios were analyzed. Based on the experimental results, the damage constitutive equations of cemented backfills with four cement?tailing ratios were proposed on the basis of damage mechanics. Moreover, comparative analysis of constitutive model and experimental results were made to verify the reliability of the damage model. In addition, an energy model using catastrophe theory to obtain the instability criteria of system was established to study the interaction between backfill and rock mass, and then the system instability criterion was deduced. The results show that there are different damage characteristics for different backfills, backfills with lower cement?tailing ratio tend to have a lower damage value when stress reaches peak value, and damage more rapidly and more obviously in failure process after peak value of stress; the stiffness and elastic modulus of rock mass with lower strength are more likely to lead to system instability. The results of this work provide a scientific basis for the rational strength design of backfill mine.
文摘Renovation system of urban villages in Xi'an City was evaluated. Influence factors of urban village renovation were analyzed on the basis of brittleness theory, and an evaluation index system established through multi-level inconsistency decomposing. By incorporating the catastrophe theory with fuzzy mathematical theory, the mathematic model was created, and catastrophe membership function was obtained as well as evaluation results. Policies for the renovation of urban villages and new direction of the renovation were interpreted. The application case proved that catastrophe progression method was objective and effective and it could provide new concepts for the evaluation and adjustment of urban village renovation. Moreover, application of brittleness theory in the research on urban village renovation is of great instruction and reference value for the present urban construction.
文摘Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods\ Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is used as the state variable for analysis. Results and Conclusion\ A risk analysis model named the cusp model is presented. Various states regarding the safety of the system such as the accident state, no accident state and miss state can be represented at will on the cusp model.
基金This research was supported by project number(RSP2024R384)King Saud University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘This study comprehensively assessed long-term vegetation changes and forest fragmentation dynamics in the Himalayan temperate region of Pakistan from 1989 to 2019.Four satellite images,including Landsat-5 TM and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager(OLI),were chosen for subsequent assessments in October 1989,2001,2011 and 2019.The classified maps of 1989,2001,2011 and 2019 were created using the maximum likelihood classifier.Post-classification comparison showed an overall accuracy of 82.5%and a Kappa coefficient of 0.79 for the 2019 map.Results revealed a drastic decrease in closed-canopy and open-canopy forests by 117.4 and 271.6 km^(2),respectively,and an increase in agriculture/farm cultivation by 1512.8 km^(2).The two-way ANOVA test showed statistically significant differences in the area of various cover classes.Forest fragmentation was evaluated using the Landscape Fragmentation Tool(LFT v2.0)between 1989 and 2019.The large forest core(>2.00 km^(2))decreased from 149.4 to 296.7 km^(2),and a similar pattern was observed in medium forest core(1.00-2.00 km^(2))forests.On the contrary,the small core(<1.00 km^(2))forest increased from 124.8 to 145.3 km^(2) in 2019.The perforation area increased by 296.9 km^(2),and the edge effect decreased from 458.9 to 431.7 km^(2).The frequency of patches also increased by 119.1 km^(2).The closed and open canopy classes showed a decreasing trend with an annual rate of 0.58%and 1.35%,respectively.The broad implications of these findings can be seen in the studied region as well as other global ecological areas.They serve as an imperative baseline for afforestation and reforestation operations,highlighting the urgent need for efficient management,conservation,and restoration efforts.Based on these findings,sustainable land-use policies may be put into place that support local livelihoods,protect ecosystem services,and conserve biodiversity.
文摘An attempt is made to locate nuclear technology within a logical context considering history, risks, societal catastrophes and perspectives: the need is identified for a new direction in the exploitation in order to restore the role in energy production. We depict the situation coming from a marvelous history of discoveries started at the beginning of the XX century;heroes are recalled who made possible something that is inconceivable today: design, construction and production of electricity in a few years;that history was tainted by intentional nuclear explosions, </span><i><span style="font-size:12px;font-family:Verdana;">i.e.</span></i><span style="font-size:12px;font-family:Verdana;"> the original sin that we are now paying. Then, we attempt to show that the societal risk is an inherent part of the civilization. Restoring the public trust (towards nuclear fission technology) by matching nuclear safety with the current technological status and advancers in risk assessment is the key objective. The </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">“</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">independent assessment</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">”</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">, or a principle for the exploitation of nuclear energy already stated in the 50’s of the previous century, shall then re-appear. This is used to erect the signpost for a </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">“</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">dynamic barricade</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;">”</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;"> to further reduce the risk of operation of nuclear reactors and to match the design with current technological capabilities and with the frontiers of the research.
文摘目的基于上海市近年结核病诊疗费用减免政策,探索耐多药结核病(multidrug resistant tuberculosis,MDR-TB)患者疾病经济负担及其影响因素,为优化MDR-TB诊疗费用减免政策和综合管理模式提供依据。方法收集上海市2017—2019年确诊MDR-TB患者情况和诊疗费用减免情况数据,开展针对疾病经济负担的问卷调查,建立涵盖患者人口和社会经济情况、临床特征、疾病经济负担和诊疗费用减免情况数据库,明确患者疾病经济负担和灾难性卫生支出(catastrophic health expenditure)发生情况。以多元线性回归法分析可能影响患者疾病经济负担的因素,以多因素logistic回归法分析不同比例下灾难性卫生支出发生的影响因素。结果196例纳入研究分析的MDR-TB患者平均年龄为(44±16)岁,男性139例(占70.9%),上海户籍占46.4%,49%的患者为家庭主要劳动力。治疗期间,患者自付诊疗费用中位数为4.0(四分位数区间2.0~6.5)万元。113例患者获得减免诊疗,减免费用中位数为2.6(四分位数区间1.3~4.9)万元。若自付费用占家庭年收入的40%及以上,有47.8%的患者会发生灾难性支出;若不考虑减免政策,有59.8%的患者发生灾难性卫生支出。上海户籍(OR=0.3,95%CI为0.1~1.0)、更低家庭收入水平(P_(trend)=0.002)、医疗保险类型[(农村合作医疗保险/外来人口综合保险(OR=13.3,95%CI为1.0~171.2),无医疗保险(OR=17.5,95%CI为2.7~113.0)]和既往结核病治疗史(OR=3.3,95%CI为1.1~10.0)可能影响灾难性卫生支出的发生。结论上海市MDR-TB患者的自付诊疗费用较高。医疗保障力度较小和家庭经济情况不佳的患者更易发生高额自付费用,导致灾难性卫生支出。上海市MDR-TB诊疗费用减免政策有效降低了患者的经济负担。
文摘This article is the memoirs of the author’s long-time research on the Neo-Confucian history of the Chosun dynasty Korea.The author recalled his academic achievement of the several stages of the historical changes of Korean society with the Neo-Confucianism.The time range covered from the late 14th century to the nineteenth century.The research position was adhered to the view of the positive function of Confucianism which aimed to overcome the negative understanding highly influenced by the Japanese colonialism.He examined the socio-economic development accompanied with the Neo-Confucianism at the first stage.In the part of the sixteenth century the formation of Sarim group was interpreted as critical forces and the prevailed factionalism as the principle of politics rather than the chronic political strife.The author introduced his unique achievement that the ideology of the Neo-Confucianism had been strongly intensified with the response to the long term natural catastrophes of the Little Ice Age(c.1490-1760).The republican concept of 18th-century impartial rulers,the most important achievement of Korean Neo-Confucianism,was viewed as the result of effort to overcome the natural disasters.This topic was connected to the concept of republic which shows in a diagram of the Korean national flag.
基金Project(2013CB036004)supported by the National Basic Research Program of ChinaProject(51378510)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Collapse shape of tunnel floor in Hoek-Brown rock media is investigated with the functional catastrophe theory. The stability of rock system in tunnel floor, which is determined by thickness, half collapse width, half length of cave and detaching curve, has great secure and economic significance in practical engineering. To investigate the failure mechanisms and the outline of detaching block, a reliable damage model is presumed by making reference to the limit analysis theory. The analytical solutions of detaching curve, half collapse width on tunnel floor and the critical and maximum values of collapse thickness are derived based on Hoek-Brown criterion and functional catastrophe theory. The result shows that 0.5 is a most probable condition for instability, and the shape of detaching curve is a part of parabola. It is reasonable by comparing with previous theory and analogous experiments. The effects of major factors on thickness and half collapse width are further discussed. Numerical calculations and parametric analysis are carried out to illustrate the effects of different parameters on the mechanism, which is significant to the stability analysis of tunnel floor in rock media.
