The quality of hot-rolled steel strip is directly affected by the strip crown.Traditional machine learning models have shown limitations in accurately predicting the strip crown,particularly when dealing with imbalanc...The quality of hot-rolled steel strip is directly affected by the strip crown.Traditional machine learning models have shown limitations in accurately predicting the strip crown,particularly when dealing with imbalanced data.This limitation results in poor production quality and efficiency,leading to increased production costs.Thus,a novel strip crown prediction model that uses the Boruta and extremely randomized trees(Boruta-ERT)algorithms to address this issue was proposed.To improve the accuracy of our model,we utilized the synthetic minority over-sampling technique to balance the imbalance data sets.The Boruta-ERT prediction model was then used to select features and predict the strip crown.With the 2160 mm hot rolling production lines of a steel plant serving as the research object,the experimental results showed that 97.01% of prediction data have an absolute error of less than 8 lm.This level of accuracy met the control requirements for strip crown and demonstrated significant benefits for the improvement in production quality of steel strip.展开更多
Stocks in the Chinese stock market can be divided into ST stocks and normal stocks, so to prevent investors from buying potential ST stocks, this paper first performs SMOTEENN oversampling data preprocessing for the S...Stocks in the Chinese stock market can be divided into ST stocks and normal stocks, so to prevent investors from buying potential ST stocks, this paper first performs SMOTEENN oversampling data preprocessing for the ST stock category, and selects 139 financial indicators and technical factor as predictive features. Then, it combines the Boruta algorithm and Copula entropy method for feature selection, effectively improving the machine learning model’s performance in ST stock classification, with the AUC values of the two models reaching 98% on the test set. In the model selection and optimization, this paper uses six major models, including logistic regression, XGBoost, AdaBoost, LightGBM, Catboost, and MLP, for modeling and optimizes them using the Optuna framework. Ultimately, XGBoost model is selected as the best model because its AUC value exceeds 95% and its running time is less. Finally, the XGBoost model is explained using the SHAP theory and the interaction between features is discovered, further improving the model’s accuracy and AUC value by about 0.6%, verifying the effectiveness of the model.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52074085,U21A20117 and U21A20475)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.N2004010)the Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program(XLYC1907065).
文摘The quality of hot-rolled steel strip is directly affected by the strip crown.Traditional machine learning models have shown limitations in accurately predicting the strip crown,particularly when dealing with imbalanced data.This limitation results in poor production quality and efficiency,leading to increased production costs.Thus,a novel strip crown prediction model that uses the Boruta and extremely randomized trees(Boruta-ERT)algorithms to address this issue was proposed.To improve the accuracy of our model,we utilized the synthetic minority over-sampling technique to balance the imbalance data sets.The Boruta-ERT prediction model was then used to select features and predict the strip crown.With the 2160 mm hot rolling production lines of a steel plant serving as the research object,the experimental results showed that 97.01% of prediction data have an absolute error of less than 8 lm.This level of accuracy met the control requirements for strip crown and demonstrated significant benefits for the improvement in production quality of steel strip.
文摘Stocks in the Chinese stock market can be divided into ST stocks and normal stocks, so to prevent investors from buying potential ST stocks, this paper first performs SMOTEENN oversampling data preprocessing for the ST stock category, and selects 139 financial indicators and technical factor as predictive features. Then, it combines the Boruta algorithm and Copula entropy method for feature selection, effectively improving the machine learning model’s performance in ST stock classification, with the AUC values of the two models reaching 98% on the test set. In the model selection and optimization, this paper uses six major models, including logistic regression, XGBoost, AdaBoost, LightGBM, Catboost, and MLP, for modeling and optimizes them using the Optuna framework. Ultimately, XGBoost model is selected as the best model because its AUC value exceeds 95% and its running time is less. Finally, the XGBoost model is explained using the SHAP theory and the interaction between features is discovered, further improving the model’s accuracy and AUC value by about 0.6%, verifying the effectiveness of the model.
