Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts ...Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine （SVM）, a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.展开更多
In the context of advancing towards dual carbon goals,numerous factories are actively engaging in energy efficiency upgrades and transformations.To accurately pinpoint energy efficiency bottlenecks within factories an...In the context of advancing towards dual carbon goals,numerous factories are actively engaging in energy efficiency upgrades and transformations.To accurately pinpoint energy efficiency bottlenecks within factories and prioritize renovation sequences,it is crucial to conduct comprehensive evaluations of the energy performance across various workshops.Therefore,this paper proposes an evaluation model for workshop energy efficiency based on the drive-state-response(DSR)framework combined with the fuzzy BORDA method.Firstly,an in-depth analysis of the relationships between different energy efficiency indicators was conducted.Based on the DSR model,evaluation criteria were selected from three dimensions-drive factors,state characteristics,and response measures-to establish a robust energy efficiency indicator system.Secondly,three distinct assessment techniques were selected:Grey Relational Analysis(GRA),Entropy Weight Method(EWM),and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)forming a diversified set of evaluation methods.Subsequently,by introducing the fuzzy BORDA method,a comprehensive energy efficiency evaluation model was developed,aimed at quantitatively ranking the energy performance status of each workshop.Using a real-world factory as a case study,applying our proposed evaluationmodel yielded detailed scores and rankings for each workshop.Furthermore,post hoc testing was performed using the Spearman correlation coefficient,revealing a statistic value of 10.209,which validates the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed evaluation model.This model not only assists in identifying underperforming workshops within the factory but also provides solid data support and a decision-making basis for future energy efficiency optimization strategies.展开更多
基金support from "973 Project" (Contract No. 2010CB226706)
文摘Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine （SVM）, a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.
基金funded by the National Social Science Fund of China(Grant No.23BGL234).
文摘In the context of advancing towards dual carbon goals,numerous factories are actively engaging in energy efficiency upgrades and transformations.To accurately pinpoint energy efficiency bottlenecks within factories and prioritize renovation sequences,it is crucial to conduct comprehensive evaluations of the energy performance across various workshops.Therefore,this paper proposes an evaluation model for workshop energy efficiency based on the drive-state-response(DSR)framework combined with the fuzzy BORDA method.Firstly,an in-depth analysis of the relationships between different energy efficiency indicators was conducted.Based on the DSR model,evaluation criteria were selected from three dimensions-drive factors,state characteristics,and response measures-to establish a robust energy efficiency indicator system.Secondly,three distinct assessment techniques were selected:Grey Relational Analysis(GRA),Entropy Weight Method(EWM),and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)forming a diversified set of evaluation methods.Subsequently,by introducing the fuzzy BORDA method,a comprehensive energy efficiency evaluation model was developed,aimed at quantitatively ranking the energy performance status of each workshop.Using a real-world factory as a case study,applying our proposed evaluationmodel yielded detailed scores and rankings for each workshop.Furthermore,post hoc testing was performed using the Spearman correlation coefficient,revealing a statistic value of 10.209,which validates the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed evaluation model.This model not only assists in identifying underperforming workshops within the factory but also provides solid data support and a decision-making basis for future energy efficiency optimization strategies.
