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On the fecundity of the bogue Boops boops(Linnaeus,1758)in the Turkish Aegean Sea
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作者 Burcu Taylan Bahar Bayhan 《Journal of Coastal Life Medicine》 2015年第8期589-591,共3页
Objective:To determine the fecundity of Boops boops(B.boops)from Aegean Sea coast of Turkey.Methods:A total of 470 specimens of B.boops were collected monthly from November in 2008 to October of 2009 in Izmir Bay(cent... Objective:To determine the fecundity of Boops boops(B.boops)from Aegean Sea coast of Turkey.Methods:A total of 470 specimens of B.boops were collected monthly from November in 2008 to October of 2009 in Izmir Bay(central Aegean Sea).Total length and total weight of each fish were measured and the maturity stages of gonads were determined.About 30 mature ovariums were taken to determine fecundity and oocysts were counted by using gravimetric method.Results:About 210 were females(44.7%)and 226 males(48.1%)while 34(7.2%)were hermafrodite in terms of sexuality with sex ratio(female:male)of 0.93:1.00.The fecundity of the bogue was assessed by the gravimetric method with 30 ovaries from females between the total length of 19.6 and 27.6 cm[(mean:23.5±2.1)cm].Estimates of total fecundity varied between 33072 and 66123 oocytes(mean:49008±8826)and fecundity-total length,fecundity-weight relationships were expressed as:F=8207.6e^(0.075TL),F=30297e^(0.003TW)respectively.Conclusions:The results of the study will contribute to the reproductive biology of B.boops and will be useful for management of fisheries. 展开更多
关键词 bogue Boops boops FECUNDITY REPRODUCTION Izmir Bay AEGEAN SEA
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台风“卡努”的数值模拟试验 被引量:11
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作者 邢建勇 宋学家 +1 位作者 杨学联 赵洪 《海洋预报》 2006年第2期1-9,共9页
台风“卡努”(Khanun,200515)是近年来登陆台风中给沿途造成重大灾害的台风之一。本文以第五代中尺度气象模式(MM5V3)为基础,采用三重嵌套的高分辨率网格设置,分别用四种初始化方案,对台风“卡努”进行了数值模拟试验,分析和探讨了模式... 台风“卡努”(Khanun,200515)是近年来登陆台风中给沿途造成重大灾害的台风之一。本文以第五代中尺度气象模式(MM5V3)为基础,采用三重嵌套的高分辨率网格设置,分别用四种初始化方案,对台风“卡努”进行了数值模拟试验,分析和探讨了模式的初始化对预报效果的影响。结果表明,MM5模式对台风的模拟预报具有一定的能力,按照常规的方法利用Bogus人造台风涡旋对初始场进行调整以及加入常规观测资料,路径和强度的预报效果都有明显的改进;再加入Quikscat卫星海面风非常规资料,能够减小台风路径预报逐小时预报误差,台风的强度预报也有所改善。 展开更多
关键词 数值模拟 初始化 MM5模式 BOGUS Quikscat卫星资料
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近海海温对再入海台风数值模拟影响的研究 被引量:3
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作者 王坚红 邵彩霞 +2 位作者 苗春生 钟青 吴云荣 《热带海洋学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第5期106-115,共10页
以WRF(weather research forecasting)模式模拟了登陆后再入海0713号台风韦帕,同时考虑了中纬度过程不变与过程时变的各类SST海温场对模拟效果的作用。试验中重点分析热力影响因子[即模式的两种微物理方案LIN(Purdue Lin scheme)、WSM6(... 以WRF(weather research forecasting)模式模拟了登陆后再入海0713号台风韦帕,同时考虑了中纬度过程不变与过程时变的各类SST海温场对模拟效果的作用。试验中重点分析热力影响因子[即模式的两种微物理方案LIN(Purdue Lin scheme)、WSM6(WRF single-moment 6-class scheme)]以及动力影响因子(即模式的台风BOGUS模型)对各类SST海温场的反应。分别并综合研究了热力、动力、及海温因子对再入海台风的路径及强度模拟所产生的影响。多项成组试验显示,台风过程时变的SST场的使用能够更好地诊断和模拟台风区海气相互作用并改善对再入海台风路径与强度的预测。对0713号台风模拟而言,微物理过程WSM6方案给出的结果(包括路径、气压、风力、以及感热和潜热等要素)比LIN方案更好。采用BOGUS模型对再入海台风的路径模拟有较明显改善。在台风再入海阶段,模拟的海气界面感热通量与潜热通量分布显示,正的感热通量高值区为台风生存提供能量,并对台风移动有较好的指示性;台风潜热通量高值区位于台风风力辐合增强区,此处潜热高值区与台风结构配合,对入海台风活动的持续有正贡献。而过程时变的SST场的使用对台风预测是有利的,其中6h时变的SST较日平均SST效果更显著。 展开更多
关键词 再入海台风 海表温度(SST) 模式微物理方案 台风BOGUS方案
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台风数值模拟中bogus涡旋四维变分同化的研究 被引量:10
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作者 王栋梁 梁旭东 《南京气象学院学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2004年第4期502-510,共9页
研究用MM5四维变分同化系统同化bogus涡旋变量对台风数值模拟的影响,对2002年13号台风Phanfone进行48h预报,结果表明:用四维变分方法同化bogus涡旋变量效果优于在背景场中直接植入模型涡旋的传统bogus技术。同时同化bogus涡旋的风、气... 研究用MM5四维变分同化系统同化bogus涡旋变量对台风数值模拟的影响,对2002年13号台风Phanfone进行48h预报,结果表明:用四维变分方法同化bogus涡旋变量效果优于在背景场中直接植入模型涡旋的传统bogus技术。同时同化bogus涡旋的风、气压、温度和比湿效果不如只同化气压和其中任一变量。同化bogus涡旋的气压和比湿,能够调整模式初始场的其他变量,得到结构更清晰、与环境场更协调的初始涡旋,从而在一定程度上提高了台风Phanfone路径和强度预报的准确性。 展开更多
关键词 四维变分同化 台风 BOGUS 数值模拟
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热带气旋的云系结构对其移动影响的数值试验 被引量:3
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作者 王学忠 沙文钰 端义宏 《热带海洋学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2003年第3期52-60,共9页
应用上海台风研究所发展的东海热带气旋模式,根据热带云团的特点,设计了积云模型并叠加到台风中去,研究台风云系结构对其路径的影响。理想试验表明,只考虑温度场扰动,台风的移动偏向于密闭云区方向;而仅考虑湿度场扰动,台风的移动无固... 应用上海台风研究所发展的东海热带气旋模式,根据热带云团的特点,设计了积云模型并叠加到台风中去,研究台风云系结构对其路径的影响。理想试验表明,只考虑温度场扰动,台风的移动偏向于密闭云区方向;而仅考虑湿度场扰动,台风的移动无固定的偏向。对9414号台风19940810的初始场,叠加积云模型的试验表明,预报路径较好地反映了其运动的特征。 展开更多
关键词 台风模型(Bogus) 热带云团 积云模型
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非对称Bogus台风与QuikSCAT风场资料的三维变分同化应用对台风数值模拟影响研究 被引量:2
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作者 王亮 张云 +1 位作者 臧增亮 章立标 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第B12期59-68,共10页
针对台风Bogus三维变分同化现有方法所存在的不足,引入台风移向、移速等客观因素构造出非对称台风风场模型,并与QuikSCAT风场产品相结合共同改善模式初始场。通过对比初始场增量发现,同化台风Bogus资料能较好地订正出包括高空反气旋环... 针对台风Bogus三维变分同化现有方法所存在的不足,引入台风移向、移速等客观因素构造出非对称台风风场模型,并与QuikSCAT风场产品相结合共同改善模式初始场。通过对比初始场增量发现,同化台风Bogus资料能较好地订正出包括高空反气旋环流在内的整层大气环流特征,而QuikSCAT风场资料则主要改善了底层环流特征,修正了台风中心位置,并且部分弥补了Bogus资料影响范围有限这一不足。接着通过设计试验方案对"云娜"台风加强阶段进行了模拟研究,结果表明:在变分同化系统的约束下,背景场、Bogus资料与QuikSCAT风场资料较协调地结合在一起,提高了台风路径及强度模拟水平,尤其是底层内外物理量的共同改进,对台风的模拟效果有明显的正效应。 展开更多
关键词 数值模拟 台风预报 资料变分同化 QuikSCAT风场 非对称Bogus台风
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TOVS中热带气旋结构及其在数值预报中的应用 被引量:5
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作者 万齐林 何溪澄 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2002年第2期97-103,共7页
利用TOVS资料分析了2000年几个热带气旋的结构,发现与经典概念模型所描述的结构有一定的差异,主要表现在:(1)在水平结构上,非对称结构呈多样性,高度场的低层低值中心(或高层高值中心)与温度场的高值中心并不一定重合;(2)在垂直结... 利用TOVS资料分析了2000年几个热带气旋的结构,发现与经典概念模型所描述的结构有一定的差异,主要表现在:(1)在水平结构上,非对称结构呈多样性,高度场的低层低值中心(或高层高值中心)与温度场的高值中心并不一定重合;(2)在垂直结构上,高度场的低层低值距平与高层高值距平的配置也呈多样性,特别是存在上、下层距平中心倾斜,或高层只是处于高压区的边缘,不存在明显的高值距平中心与热带气旋相对应。 还参照TOVS中的热带气旋结构,进行了修订热带气旋数值预报模式系统中人造台风模型(台风BOGUS)结构的研究,发现修订后的台风BOGUS能够更好地与环境场协调,并且能对热带气旋的路径预报取得较好的效果。这一方面说明了台风BOGUS的结构对其路径预报有较大的影响,另一方面也说明利用TOVS资料中的热带气旋结构能改善热带气旋路径预报。这也为台风BOGUS的修订和发展提供了依据。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋结构 台风BOGUS 热带气旋路径数值预报
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台风Bogus资料的四维变分同化试验 被引量:1
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作者 王举 刘宇迪 《海洋科学进展》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第1期81-91,共11页
给出人造台风(即Bogus)资料同化方案,并用于生成台风的初始结构,同时用9608号台风进行了测试,资料同化和预报均采用第5代中尺度模式系统(The Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model,简称MM5),结果发现该方案能产生成熟台风... 给出人造台风(即Bogus)资料同化方案,并用于生成台风的初始结构,同时用9608号台风进行了测试,资料同化和预报均采用第5代中尺度模式系统(The Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model,简称MM5),结果发现该方案能产生成熟台风的许多结构特征,对9608号台风的预报也有明显改进。模式的初始场更适合于预报模式,能有效抑制积分初期的旋转加强(即Spinup)现象;强度预报和路径预报都得到改善,Bogus资料同化方案的各时次路径预报误差均比Bogus资料直接嵌入方案的误差要小。 展开更多
关键词 台风 变分同化 BOGUS
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台风Bogus合成场的质量场调整试验 被引量:2
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作者 李健军 陈德辉 王诗文 《中山大学学报论丛》 1994年第5期54-60,共7页
利用国家气象中心现行的台风路径预报模式系统,引入Kurihara的台风初值化方法,对台风初值形成过程进行了质量场调整的试验.其结果表明,质量场调整有助于改善台风初始质量场与流场间的协调性和初始台风三维结构的合理性,从而有助于... 利用国家气象中心现行的台风路径预报模式系统,引入Kurihara的台风初值化方法,对台风初值形成过程进行了质量场调整的试验.其结果表明,质量场调整有助于改善台风初始质量场与流场间的协调性和初始台风三维结构的合理性,从而有助于提高模式对台风路径的预报能力和水平. 展开更多
关键词 台风BOGUS 台风Bogus 合成场 场调整 台风模式 大尺度环境场 路径预报 初始分析 国家气象中心 暖心结构
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Inter-comparative Study of Quantitative Methods of Industrial Clinker
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作者 Benmohamed Mohamed Galai Haykel +3 位作者 Alouani Rabah Bejaoui Marouene Ben Haj Amara Abdessalem Ben Rhaim Hafsia 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS 2017年第6期1250-1260,共11页
Impurities from the raw materials, the grinding and the homogenization of the raw materials, the kiln instability and the complexity of the cooling step, all these factors make it difficult to obtain a perfect evaluat... Impurities from the raw materials, the grinding and the homogenization of the raw materials, the kiln instability and the complexity of the cooling step, all these factors make it difficult to obtain a perfect evaluation of the mineralogical composition of Portland clinker. We studied the limitations of the most commonly used quantitative methods and recommend some procedures to obtain reliable and reproducible results of quantitative analyses. Different clinker samples(provided by the Bizerte Cement Company(Tunisia)) were subjected to an elemental analysis by X-ray fluorescence and the mineralogical composition was determined by the Bogue calculation and by X-ray powder diffraction combined with the Rietveld method(Different softwares were used: XPert High Score Plus version 2.0 and TOPAS version 4.2). We then compared the results obtained by the Rietveld method and the Bogue calculation to the specific peak areas of each phase. The content of each phase, determined by the Rietveld method, varied proportionally to the change in peak area; a significant difference in these results was found by using the elementary Bogue calculation. 展开更多
关键词 portland clinker bogue calculation rietveld method QUANTITATIVE MINERALOGY specificpeaks different software
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台湾岛南部西行台风影响福建近海海域风场分布的数值模拟分析
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作者 高珊 何小宁 凌士兵 《福建气象》 2006年第2期1-6,共6页
本文分析从台湾岛南部西行台风影响福建近海海域风场的分布特点,以0313号台风为例,通过用MM5加入一个人造台风涡旋(Bogus TC)和改变台湾地形方面的模拟试验,结果发现地形诱生低压效应和峡管效应对近海海域风场的分布起重要作用。
关键词 台风风场 地形诱生低压效应 BOGUS TC MM5
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边界层参数化方案对台风SANBA初生阶段影响的数值模拟研究 被引量:13
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作者 温晓培 隆霄 +1 位作者 张述文 李丹华 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第3期346-357,共12页
台风的形成和发展与边界层中低涡扰动的形成和发展密切相关。利用中尺度WRF模式,采用数值敏感性试验的方法来研究不同边界层方案对台风SANBA初生阶段的移动路径、强度及物理量场分布等方面的影响,结果表明:在台风形成初期,不同边界层方... 台风的形成和发展与边界层中低涡扰动的形成和发展密切相关。利用中尺度WRF模式,采用数值敏感性试验的方法来研究不同边界层方案对台风SANBA初生阶段的移动路径、强度及物理量场分布等方面的影响,结果表明:在台风形成初期,不同边界层方案对模拟的SANBA台风的强度和路径具有明显影响;未引入Bogus方案时,采用QNSE和ACM2边界层参数化方案的模拟结果与最佳路径资料最为接近。采用Bogus方法在初始场中引入热带扰动有关信息后,五种边界层参数化方案模拟的台风路径均有显著改进,其中QNSE和ACM2方案对台风路径和强度模拟结果的改进效果较其他几种边界层参数化方案的模拟结果改进小,说明这两种边界层参数化方案对SANBA台风发展初期边界层过程的处理较完善,能够较好地处理边界层过程和边界层热带扰动的形成和发展;对比分析表明由于不同边界层参数化方案对边界层过程处理的差异,导致SANBA台风发展到强盛阶段时近地层的有关物理量及自由大气中的物理场分布出现一定的差异,即使模拟效果较好的QNSE与ACM2边界层参数化方案模拟的台风垂直结构之间也存在一定的差异。数值试验也表明MYJ参数化方案对此次台风的模拟效果最差,在进行相关研究时应慎用该边界层参数化方案。 展开更多
关键词 天气学 台风 边界层参数化方案 Bogus方案 初生阶段
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非对称台风bogus方案设计和初步试验 被引量:15
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作者 瞿安祥 麻素红 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第3期380-387,共8页
国家气象中心台风路径数值预报模式自1996年6月投入业务运行以来,一直在背景场中采用经验平滑滤波技术消除浅台风和嵌入轴对称的台风bogus涡旋技术。但事实上,在采用经验平滑技术消除背景场中弱的位置不准确的浅台风涡旋同时,也滤除了... 国家气象中心台风路径数值预报模式自1996年6月投入业务运行以来,一直在背景场中采用经验平滑滤波技术消除浅台风和嵌入轴对称的台风bogus涡旋技术。但事实上,在采用经验平滑技术消除背景场中弱的位置不准确的浅台风涡旋同时,也滤除了台风中心周围一些宝贵的非对称气流结构,同时,由于实际的台风涡旋结构是非对称的,因而对采用轴对称涡旋的模式初始场而言,或多或少的贡献了一些模式预报结果的路径误差。为了调查这部分非对称结构对台风预报路径误差的影响,从T213L31全球谱模式提供的背景场中抽取浅台风周围的非对称流场,将之加入到轴对称的台风bogus涡旋中。初步的个例试验发现,加入非对称流场后,能有效地减少台风路径预报误差。 展开更多
关键词 台风bogus涡旋 轴对称结构 非对称结构
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Initialization and Simulation of a Typhoon Using 4-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation——Research on Typhoon Herb (1996) 被引量:6
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作者 张晓艳 王斌 +2 位作者 季仲贞 肖庆农 张昕 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第4期612-622,共11页
The MM5 and its four dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) system are used in this paper. Based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) re... The MM5 and its four dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) system are used in this paper. Based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data, the authors generate an optimal initial condition for a typhoon by using the bogus data assimilation (BDA) scheme. BDA is able to recover many of the structural features of typhoons including a warm-core vertex, the correct center position, and the strong circulation. As a result of BDA using a bogus surface low, dramatic improvement is achieved in the 72 h prediction of typhoon Herb. Through several cases, the initialization by BDA effectively generates the harmonious inner structure of the typhoon, but which is lacking in the original analysis field. Therefore the intensity forecast is improved greatly. Some improvements are made in the track forecast, but more work still needs to be done. 展开更多
关键词 variational data assimilation bogus scheme BDA Typhoon Herb numerical simulation
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多源资料循环同化在台风“潭美”预报中的应用 被引量:6
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作者 董海萍 袁炳 罗雨 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期433-441,共9页
为了检验不同观测资料在台风预报中的作用,以美国NCEP(National Centers for Environmental prediction)业务同化系统GSI(Grid Statistical Interpolation)为平台,选取2013年路径较复杂且登陆后降水持续较强的"潭美"台风过程... 为了检验不同观测资料在台风预报中的作用,以美国NCEP(National Centers for Environmental prediction)业务同化系统GSI(Grid Statistical Interpolation)为平台,选取2013年路径较复杂且登陆后降水持续较强的"潭美"台风过程为例,分别加入常规地面和高空观测资料、极轨卫星NOAA18、NOAA19、METOP-A和METOP-B资料,以及多普勒雷达基数据资料,探讨不同观测资料同化对台风的预报效果。同时,对台风采用Bogus初始化方案以及循环资料同化对台风路径和强度预报效果进行了对比分析。结果表明:常规观测资料对台风路径预报改善效果最明显,卫星资料的融入对海上台风路径的修正较好,而雷达资料则对台风登陆后的路径预报有改善;并且多源资料的融入效果最好。同时,采用Bogus方案可有效调整初始台风的位置和强度,从而对后期台风路径和强度预报有正效应。采用间隔6 h资料循环同化方法,可有效利用各时段资料,对台风路径和强度预报有较好的改善。 展开更多
关键词 多源资料 GSI-3Dvar 台风预报 Bogus方案 循环同化
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NUMERICAL STUDIES OF PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES ON SUPER TYPHOON SANBA(2012)DURING ITS INITIAL STAGE 被引量:6
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作者 WEN Xiao-pei LONG Xiao +1 位作者 ZHANG Shu-wen LI Dan-hua 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2018年第3期288-299,共12页
The formation and development of typhoons are closely related to the disturbed low vortexes at the planetary boundary layer(PBL). The effects of five PBL parameterization schemes(PBL schemes hereinafter) on the trajec... The formation and development of typhoons are closely related to the disturbed low vortexes at the planetary boundary layer(PBL). The effects of five PBL parameterization schemes(PBL schemes hereinafter) on the trajectory,intensity, and distribution of physical quantities are studied using the mesoscale WRF model on Super Typhoon Sanba(2012) during its initial stage. Results show that the five PBL schemes exhibit significant different effects on the simulated intensity and path. The results simulated by QNSE and ACM2 without the Bogus method are close to the best track data in the numerical experiments. When the Bogus method is adopted, the simulated trajectories improve significantly because the initial field is close to the true data. Among the five PBL schemes, QNSE and ACM2 with the Bogus method present improved simulated path and intensity compared with the three other schemes. This finding indicates that the two schemes deal with the initial PBL process satisfactorily, especially in the formation and development of disturbed low vortexes. The differences in the treatment methods of the five PBL schemes affect the surface layer physical quantities and the middle and upper atmospheres during the middle to late periods of the typhoon.Although QNSE and ACM2 present better simulation results than other schemes, they exhibit a few differences in the internal structure of the typhoon. The results simulated by MYJ are worse, and this method may be unsuitable for studying the formation and development of typhoons. 展开更多
关键词 TYPHOON PBL parameterization schemes the Bogus method initial stage
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THE STRUCTURE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TOVS AND ITS APPLICATION IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION 被引量:4
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作者 万齐林 何溪澄 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2002年第2期218-224,共7页
The TOVS data are used to study the structure of a number of tropical cyclones for the year 2000. Differences are found to some extent between what is found and classic conceptual models in that (1) the horizontal str... The TOVS data are used to study the structure of a number of tropical cyclones for the year 2000. Differences are found to some extent between what is found and classic conceptual models in that (1) the horizontal structure is asymmetric and variable so that the low-value centers at low levels of the geopotential height field (or the high-value centers at high levels) do not necessarily coincide with the high-value centers of the temperature field; (2) the vertical structure is also variable in the allocation of the anomalies of the geopotential height field between low values at low levels and high values at high levels. It is especially noted that the centers of the anomalies are tilting at both high and low levels or the high level is only at the edge of a high-pressure zone. There is not any significant high-value anomalous center in a corresponding location with the tropical cyclone. The structure of tropical cyclone in the TOVS is also used as reference to modify the structure of typhoon BOGUS in the numerical prediction model system of tropical cyclones. It is found that the modified BOGUS performs better in coordinating with the environment and predicting the track of the tropical cyclone. The demonstration is two-fold the structure of the typhoon BOGUS is such that it means much in the track prediction and the use of the TOVS-based tropical cyclone structure really helps in improving it. It provides the foundation for modification and evolution of typhoon BOGUS. 展开更多
关键词 structure of tropical cyclones typhoon BOGUS numerical prediction of tropical cyclone track
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CORRECTION OF ASYMMETRIC STRENGTHENING OF QUIKSCAT WIND FIELD AND ASSIMILATION APPLICATION IN TYPHOON SIMULATION 被引量:4
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作者 王亮 陆汉城 +1 位作者 潘晓滨 张云 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2009年第1期78-82,共5页
As an approach to the technological problem that the wind data of QuikSCAT scatterometer cannot accurately describe the zone of typhoon-level strong wind speed, some objective factors such as the typhoon moving speed,... As an approach to the technological problem that the wind data of QuikSCAT scatterometer cannot accurately describe the zone of typhoon-level strong wind speed, some objective factors such as the typhoon moving speed, direction and friction are introduced in this study to construct the asymmetric strengthening of the QuikSCAT wind field. Then by adopting a technology of four-dimensional data assimilation, an experiment that includes both the assimilation and forecasting phases is designed to simulate Typhoon Rananim numerically. The results show that with model constraints and adjustment, this technology can incorporate the QuikSCAT wind data to the entire column of the model atmosphere, improve greatly the simulating effects of the whole-column wind, pressure field and the track as well as the simulated typhoon intensity covered by the forecast phase, and work positively for the forecasting of landfall locations. 展开更多
关键词 Numerical simulation typhoon forecast data assimilation QuikSCAT wind field asymmetric bogus model
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A New Typhoon Bogus Data Assimilation and its Sampling Method:A Case Study 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Shu-Dong LIU Juan-Juan WANG Bin 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2011年第5期276-280,共5页
In this study,the authors introduce a new bogus data assimilation method based on the dimension-reduced projection 4-DVar,which can resolve the cost function directly in low-dimensional space.The authors also try a ne... In this study,the authors introduce a new bogus data assimilation method based on the dimension-reduced projection 4-DVar,which can resolve the cost function directly in low-dimensional space.The authors also try a new method to improve the quality of samples,which are the base of dimension-reduced space projection bogus data assimilation (DRP-BDA).By running a number of numerical weather models with different model parameterization combinations on the typhoon Sinlaku,the authors obtained two groups of samples with different spreads and similarities.After DRP-BDA,the results show that,compared with the control runs,the simulated typhoon center pressure can be deepened by more than 20 hPa to 30 hPa and that the intensity can last as long as 60 hours.The mean track error is improved after DRP-BDA,and the structure of the typhoon is also improved.The wind near the typhoon center is enhanced dramatically,while the warm core is moderate. 展开更多
关键词 TYPHOON DRP-4-DVar bogus data assimilation PARAMETERIZATION
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TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION EXPERIMENTS USING T_(106)L_(19) 被引量:1
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作者 麻素红 万丰 +1 位作者 陈德辉 王诗文 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2003年第2期215-224,共10页
A series of 96-h typhoon track prediction experiments were carried out using medium range forecasting system of NMC by adding BOGUS typhoon (simplified as B-TC) into the first guess field or the analysis field in orde... A series of 96-h typhoon track prediction experiments were carried out using medium range forecasting system of NMC by adding BOGUS typhoon (simplified as B-TC) into the first guess field or the analysis field in order to provide longer time typhoon track forecast. The results show that T106L19 could provide a better forecast to typhoon tracks when the B-TC was added, especially when the typhoon vortex is even weaker. The sensitive experiments on where to add the B-TC show that the results from adding the B-TC into the first guess field are better. The results also show that the initialization smoothes the B-TC a lot and this will affect the typhoon track prediction. 展开更多
关键词 global spectral model typhoon track prediction BOGUS typhoon
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