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Bi-level model for shared parking decision-making based on parking lot assignment simulation 被引量:7
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作者 冉江宇 过秀成 +1 位作者 唐亮 张晔 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第3期322-327,共6页
In order to carry out comprehensive decision-making of multi-class shared parking measures within a region, a bilevel model assisting decision-making is proposed. The upper level selects parkers' average satisfaction... In order to carry out comprehensive decision-making of multi-class shared parking measures within a region, a bilevel model assisting decision-making is proposed. The upper level selects parkers' average satisfaction and the violation rate during peak hours as indices in object function, and sets probability distribution models describing dynamic parking demand of each site, the feasibility of shared parking scenarios and occupancy requirements during peak hours of each parking lot as restrictions. The simulation model in the lower level sets up rules to assign each parker in the random parking demand series to the proper parking lot. An iterative method is proposed to confirm the state of each parking lot at the start of formal simulations. Besides, two patterns linking initialization and formal simulation are presented to acquire multiple solutions. The results of the numerical examples indicate the effectiveness of the model and solution methods. 展开更多
关键词 shared parking DECISION-MAKING bi-level model SIMULATION iterative method
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Bi-level programming model and algorithm for optimizing headway of public transit line
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作者 张健 李文权 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2010年第3期471-474,共4页
Due to the fact that headway is a key factor to be considered in bus scheduling, this paper proposes a bi-level programming model for optimizing bus headway in public transit lines. In this model, with the interests o... Due to the fact that headway is a key factor to be considered in bus scheduling, this paper proposes a bi-level programming model for optimizing bus headway in public transit lines. In this model, with the interests of bus companies and passengers in mind, the upper-level model's objective is to minimize the total cost, which is affected by frequency settings, both in time and economy in the transit system. The lower-level model is a transit assignment model used to describe the assignment of passengers' trips to the network based on the optimal bus headway. In order to solve the proposed model, a hybrid genetic algorithm, namely the genetic algorithm and the simulated annealing algorithm (GA-SA), is designed. Finally, the model and the algorithm are tested against the transit data, by taking some of the bus lines of Changzhou city as an example. Results indicate that the proposed model allows supply and demand to be linked, which is reasonable, and the solving algorithm is effective. 展开更多
关键词 HEADWAY bi-level model transit assignment hybrid genetic algorithm
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Bi-level programming model for reconstruction of urban branch road network 被引量:6
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作者 史峰 黄恩厚 +1 位作者 陈群 王英姿 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2009年第1期172-176,共5页
Considering the decision-making variables of the capacities of branch roads and the optimization targets of lowering the saturation of arterial roads and the reconstruction expense of branch roads, the bi-level progra... Considering the decision-making variables of the capacities of branch roads and the optimization targets of lowering the saturation of arterial roads and the reconstruction expense of branch roads, the bi-level programming model for reconstructing the branch roads was set up. The upper level model was for determining the enlarged capacities of the branch roads, and the lower level model was for calculating the flows of road sections via the user equilibrium traffic assignment method. The genetic algorithm for solving the bi-level model was designed to obtain the reconstruction capacities of the branch roads. The results show that by the bi-level model and its algorithm, the optimum scheme of urban branch roads reconstruction can be gained, which reduces the saturation of arterial roads apparently, and alleviates traffic congestion. In the data analysis the arterial saturation decreases from 1.100 to 0.996, which verifies the micro-circulation transportation's function of urban branch road network. 展开更多
关键词 branch road RECONSTRUCTION bi-level programming model micro-circulation traffic
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Bi-Level Energy Management Model of Grid-Connected Microgrid Community
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作者 Haibin Cao Houqi Dong +3 位作者 Yongjie Ren Yuqing Wang Na Li Ming Zeng 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2022年第3期965-984,共20页
As the proportion of renewable energy power generation continues to increase,the number of grid-connected microgrids is gradually increasing,and geographically adjacent microgrids can be interconnected to form a Micro... As the proportion of renewable energy power generation continues to increase,the number of grid-connected microgrids is gradually increasing,and geographically adjacent microgrids can be interconnected to form a Micro-Grid Community(MGC).In order to reduce the operation and maintenance costs of a single micro grid and reduce the adverse effects caused by unnecessary energy interaction between the micro grid and the main grid while improving the overall economic benefits of the micro grid community,this paper proposes a bi-level energy management model with the optimization goal of maximizing the social welfare of the micro grid community and minimizing the total electricity cost of a single micro grid.The lower-level model optimizes the output of each equipment unit in the system and the exchange power between the system and the external grid with the goal of minimizing the operating cost of each microgrid.The upper-level model optimizes the goal ofmaximizing the socialwelfare of themicrogrid.Taking amicrogrid community with four microgrids as an example,the simulation analysis shows that the proposed optimization model is beneficial to reduce the operating cost of a single microgrid,improve the overall revenue of the microgrid community,and reduce the power interaction pressure on the main grid. 展开更多
关键词 Renewable energy grid-connected micro-grid community bi-level energy management model
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Model and algorithm of optimizing alternate traffic restriction scheme in urban traffic network 被引量:1
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作者 徐光明 史峰 +1 位作者 刘冰 黄合来 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第12期4742-4752,共11页
An optimization model and its solution algorithm for alternate traffic restriction(ATR) schemes were introduced in terms of both the restriction districts and the proportion of restricted automobiles. A bi-level progr... An optimization model and its solution algorithm for alternate traffic restriction(ATR) schemes were introduced in terms of both the restriction districts and the proportion of restricted automobiles. A bi-level programming model was proposed to model the ATR scheme optimization problem by aiming at consumer surplus maximization and overload flow minimization at the upper-level model. At the lower-level model, elastic demand, mode choice and multi-class user equilibrium assignment were synthetically optimized. A genetic algorithm involving prolonging codes was constructed, demonstrating high computing efficiency in that it dynamically includes newly-appearing overload links in the codes so as to reduce the subsequent searching range. Moreover,practical processing approaches were suggested, which may improve the operability of the model-based solutions. 展开更多
关键词 urban traffic congestion alternate traffic restriction equilibrium analysis bi-level programming model
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Bi-Level Programming for the Optimal Nonlinear Distance-Based Transit Fare Structure Incorporating Principal-Agent Game
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作者 Xin Sun Shuyan Chen Yongfeng Ma 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 CAS 2022年第5期69-77,共9页
The urban transit fare structure and level can largely affect passengers’travel behavior and route choices.The commonly used transit fare policies in the present transit network would lead to the unbalanced transit a... The urban transit fare structure and level can largely affect passengers’travel behavior and route choices.The commonly used transit fare policies in the present transit network would lead to the unbalanced transit assignment and improper transit resources distribution.In order to distribute transit passenger flow evenly and efficiently,this paper introduces a new distance-based fare pattern with Euclidean distance.A bi-level programming model is developed for determining the optimal distance-based fare pattern,with the path-based stochastic transit assignment(STA)problem with elastic demand being proposed at the lower level.The upper-level intends to address a principal-agent game between transport authorities and transit enterprises pursing maximization of social welfare and financial interest,respectively.A genetic algorithm(GA)is implemented to solve the bi-level model,which is verified by a numerical example to illustrate that the proposed nonlinear distance-based fare pattern presents a better financial performance and distribution effect than other fare structures. 展开更多
关键词 bi-level programming model principal-agent game nonlinear distance-based fare path-based stochastic transit assignment
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云环境下基于任务分类和LPM优化模型的调度算法 被引量:2
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作者 张以利 杨万扣 《微型电脑应用》 2013年第10期5-8,共4页
针对用户任务预算不足或期望完成时间较短,云服务方无法保障任务全部完成,提出基于任务分类和线性规划优化模型调度策略,使任务完成数最大化,同时考虑任务重要性。算法根据任务长短及重要性进行分类,然后建立任务计算资源关系矩阵及3个... 针对用户任务预算不足或期望完成时间较短,云服务方无法保障任务全部完成,提出基于任务分类和线性规划优化模型调度策略,使任务完成数最大化,同时考虑任务重要性。算法根据任务长短及重要性进行分类,然后建立任务计算资源关系矩阵及3个相关约束条件,以任务完成数最大化为目标函数,搭建线性规划模型,并给出算法实现。模拟实验表明,在同样的用户任务预算和期望完成时间条件下,该算法任务完成数最大值明显高于经典算法。 展开更多
关键词 云计算 调度算法 线性规划 优化模型 任务预算
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竞争条件下高速铁路定价方法研究 被引量:6
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作者 周焱 李鹏飞 +1 位作者 朱绪斐 张小强 《交通运输工程与信息学报》 2016年第1期101-106,共6页
商品定价是市场经济下对商品价值衡量的一个量化指标。传统的高铁单一票价已逐渐不适应当今市场竞争的环境。本文应用灵敏度分析方法及双层规划模型,研究了成渝客运通道间公路与高铁竞争条件下高铁票价的制定方案。选用价格、快速性、... 商品定价是市场经济下对商品价值衡量的一个量化指标。传统的高铁单一票价已逐渐不适应当今市场竞争的环境。本文应用灵敏度分析方法及双层规划模型,研究了成渝客运通道间公路与高铁竞争条件下高铁票价的制定方案。选用价格、快速性、方便性、舒适度、安全性这五个衡量指标来计算广义出行费用,构造双层规划模型,求得旅客与高铁决策部门之间的平衡点。该模型得出的最优票价收益高于传统单位里程定价模式获得的收益。 展开更多
关键词 双层规划模型 极大似然估计 灵敏度分析 高铁定价
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Coordination of Multi-leaders and Multi-followers in Supply Chain of Value-Added Telecom Services 被引量:5
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作者 戴建华 白秀广 舒华英 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第5期157-164,共8页
In order to study supply chain of the telecom value-added service,a multi-leaders and multi-followers Stackelberg game model with multiple telecom operators and multiple service providers whose income is composed of i... In order to study supply chain of the telecom value-added service,a multi-leaders and multi-followers Stackelberg game model with multiple telecom operators and multiple service providers whose income is composed of information fee division and advertisement was constructed.Then a demonstration was simulated,and the results were compared with the situation of service providers' income only from information fee division.The simulated and compared results indicate that,the enterprises in the supply chain have the nature of pursuing the maximum profits in capital markets;meanwhile,first-mover advantages and some enterprise can get more profits with the information asymmetry. 展开更多
关键词 telecom service supply chain coordination multi-leaders multi-followers Stackelberg model bi-level programming
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Bi-level Optimal Operation Model of Mobile Energy Storage System in Coupled Transportation-power Networks 被引量:5
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作者 Weiqing Sun Wei Liu +1 位作者 Jie Zhang Kunpeng Tian 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第6期1725-1737,共13页
The operation characteristics of energy storage can help the distribution network absorb more renewable energy while improving the safety and economy of the power system.Mobile energy storage systems(MESSs)have a broa... The operation characteristics of energy storage can help the distribution network absorb more renewable energy while improving the safety and economy of the power system.Mobile energy storage systems(MESSs)have a broad application market compared with stationary energy storage systems and electric vehicles due to their flexible mobility and good dispatch ability.However,when urban traffic flows rise,the congested traffic environment will prolong the transit time of MESS,which will ultimately affect the operation state of the power networks and the economic benefits of MESS.This paper proposes a bi-level optimization model for the economic operation of MESS in coupled transportation-power networks,considering road congestion and the operation constraints of the power networks.The upper-level model depicts the daily operation scheme of MESS devised by the distribution network operator(DNO)in order to maximize the total revenue of the system.With fuzzy time windows and fuzzy road congestion indexes,the lower-level model optimizes the route for the transit problem of MESS.Therefore,road congestion that affects the transit time of MESS can be fully incorporated in the optimal operation scheme.Both the IEEE 33-bus distribution network and the 29-node transportation network are used to verify and examine the effectiveness of the proposed model.The simulation results demonstrate that the operation scheme of MESS will avoid the congestion period when considering road congestion.Besides,the transit energy consumption and the impact of the traffic environment on the economic benefits of MESS can be reduced. 展开更多
关键词 Mobile energy storage system economic dispatch bi-level optimization model road congestion fuzzy constraint
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Bi-level optimization model applications in managing air emissions from ships:A review 被引量:2
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作者 Jingwen Qi Shuaian Wang Harilaos Psaraftis 《Communications in Transportation Research》 2021年第1期171-175,共5页
Ship air emissions are recognized as one of the key concerns of the maritime industry.Competent authorities have issued various regulations to manage air emissions from ships.Although the authorities are policy makers... Ship air emissions are recognized as one of the key concerns of the maritime industry.Competent authorities have issued various regulations to manage air emissions from ships.Although the authorities are policy makers,the effectiveness of policies is up to the shipping industry who operates the vessels and terminals to fulfill maritime transportation works.Given this characteristic,bi-level optimization model has been widely adopted in studies that optimize policy design or evaluate its effectiveness.The framework of a typical bi-level optimization model for ship emission management problem is given to show the basic structure of similar issues.A series of applications of bi-level optimization model in managing ship emissions is reviewed,including cases of Energy Efficiency Design Index,Emissions Control Area,Market Based Measure,Carbon Intensity Indicator,and Vessel Speed Reduction Incentive Program.We hope this paper can enlighten scholars interested in this area and provide help for them. 展开更多
关键词 bi-level optimization model Ship air emissions Fleet deployment Ship operation
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Flexible Load Participation in Peaking Shaving and Valley Filling Based on Dynamic Price Incentives 被引量:2
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作者 Lifeng Wang Jing Yu Wenlu Ji 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第2期523-540,共18页
Considering the widening of the peak-valley difference in the power grid and the difficulty of the existing fixed time-of-use electricity price mechanism in meeting the energy demand of heterogeneous users at various ... Considering the widening of the peak-valley difference in the power grid and the difficulty of the existing fixed time-of-use electricity price mechanism in meeting the energy demand of heterogeneous users at various moments or motivating users,the design of a reasonable dynamic pricing mechanism to actively engage users in demand response becomes imperative for power grid companies.For this purpose,a power grid-flexible load bilevel model is constructed based on dynamic pricing,where the leader is the dispatching center and the lower-level flexible load acts as the follower.Initially,an upper-level day-ahead dispatching model for the power grid is established,considering the lowest power grid dispatching cost as the objective function and incorporating the power grid-side constraints.Then,the lower level comprehensively considers the load characteristics of industrial load,energy storage,and data centers,and then establishes a lower-level flexible load operation model with the lowest user power-consuming cost as the objective function.Finally,the proposed method is validated using the IEEE-118 system,and the findings indicate that the dynamic pricing mechanism for peaking shaving and valley filling can effectively guide users to respond actively,thereby reducing the peak-valley difference and decreasing users’purchasing costs. 展开更多
关键词 Demand response fixed time-of-use electricity price mechanism dynamic price incentives mechanism bi-level model flexible load
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Optimal Nonlinear Distance Toll for Cordon-Based Congestion Pricing Considering Equity Issue
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作者 Xin Sun Di Huang Qixiu Cheng 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2016年第6期73-79,共7页
In order to address the optimal distance toll design problem for cordon-based congestion pricing incorporating the issue of equity,this paper presents a toll user equilibrium( TUE) model based on a transformed network... In order to address the optimal distance toll design problem for cordon-based congestion pricing incorporating the issue of equity,this paper presents a toll user equilibrium( TUE) model based on a transformed network with elastic demand,to evaluate any given toll charge function. A bi-level programming model is developed for determining the optimal toll levels,with the TUE being represented at the lower level.The upper level optimizes the total equity level over the transport network,represented by the Gini coefficient,where a constraint is imposed to the total travel impedance of each OD pair after the levy. A genetic algorithm( GA) is implemented to solve the bi-level model,which is verified by a numerical example. 展开更多
关键词 congestion pricing optimal tolls equity issue bi-level model distance-based pricing
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Coordinated optimal allocation of water resources and industrial structure in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions of China
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作者 Dan Wu Mengyao Liu 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2022年第4期392-401,共10页
Optimizing the allocation of water resources is critical for promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and coordinated development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions of China.Based on specific... Optimizing the allocation of water resources is critical for promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and coordinated development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions of China.Based on specific regional and water conditions,to strengthen the constraints on water resources,the“three-step”adaptive management approach of“scheme design-scheme diagnosis-scheme optimization”of water resource allocation are adopted to facilitate the coordinated optimal allocation of water resources and industrial structure in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions.First,from the level of overall industry,a water resource allocation scheme for the regions is designed by applying the master-slave hierarchical mode and a bi-level optimal model to determine the ideal amount of water resource allocation for the regions and respective industries.Second,the diagnostic criteria of spatial balance,structural matching,and coordinated development are constructed to determine the rationality of the water resource allocation scheme.Then a benefit compensation function with water market transactions is developed,to adaptively adjust the water resource allocation scheme.Finally,the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure are promoted to improve water consumption efficiency and the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions.The study can provide reference for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regions to realize the comprehensive optimal allocation of water resources in the regions and improve the adaptability of water resources and industrial structure optimization. 展开更多
关键词 Water resources Industrial structure bi-level optimal allocation model Diagnostic criteria Benefit compensation
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Bus frequency optimization in a large-scale multi-modal transportation system:integrating 3D-MFD and dynamic traffic assignment
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作者 Kai Yuan Dandan Cui Jiancheng Long 《Digital Transportation and Safety》 2023年第4期241-252,共12页
A properly designed public transport system is expected to improve traffic efficiency.A high-frequency bus service would decrease the waiting time for passengers,but the interaction between buses and cars might result... A properly designed public transport system is expected to improve traffic efficiency.A high-frequency bus service would decrease the waiting time for passengers,but the interaction between buses and cars might result in more serious congestion.On the other hand,a low-frequency bus service would increase the waiting time for passengers and would not reduce the use of private cars.It is important to strike a balance between high and low frequencies in order to minimize the total delays for all road users.It is critical to formulate the impacts of bus frequency on congestion dynamics and mode choices.However,as far as the authors know,most proposed bus frequency optimization formulations are based on static demand and the Bureau of Public Roads function,and do not properly consider the congestion dynamics and their impacts on mode choices.To fill this gap,this paper proposes a bi-level optimization model.A three-dimensional Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram based modeling approach is developed to capture the bi-modal congestion dynamics.A variational inequality model for the user equilibrium in mode choices is presented and solved using a double projection algorithm.A surrogate model-based algorithm is used to solve the bi-level programming problem. 展开更多
关键词 Three-dimensional macroscopic fundamental diagram Dynamic traffic assignment bi-level programming model Double projection algorithm Surrogate model-based algorithm
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Optimisation of a Bus Network Configuration and Frequency Considering the Common Lines Problem
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作者 Hiroshi Shimamoto Jan-Dirk Schmocker Fumitaka Kurauchi 《Journal of Transportation Technologies》 2012年第3期220-229,共10页
Public transportation network reorganisation can be a key measure in designing more efficient networks and increasing the number of passengers. To date, several authors have proposed models for the “transit route net... Public transportation network reorganisation can be a key measure in designing more efficient networks and increasing the number of passengers. To date, several authors have proposed models for the “transit route network design problem” (TRNDP), and many of them use a transit assignment model as one component. However, not all models have considered the “common lines problem,” which is an essential feature in transit network assignment and is based on the concept that the fastest way to get to a destination is to take the first vehicle arriving among an “attractive” set of lines. Thus, we sought to reveal the features of considering the common lines problem by comparing results with and without considering the problem in a transit assignment model. For comparison, a model similar to a previous one was used, formulated as a bi-level optimisation problem, the upper problem of which is described as a multi-objective problem. As a result, although the solutions with and without considering the common lines showed almost the same Pareto front, we confirmed that a more direct service is provided if the common lines problem is considered whereas a less direct service is provided if it is not. With a small network case study, we found that considering the common lines problem in the TRNDP is important as it allows operators to provide more direct services. 展开更多
关键词 Transit Network Configuration and Frequency Design bi-level Optimisation Formulation Transit Assignment model Common Lines Problem
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Coordinated Planning for Fast Charging Stations and Distribution Networks Based on an Improved Flow Capture Location Model 被引量:3
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作者 Shiqu Xiao Xia Lei +1 位作者 Tao Huang Xiang Wang 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第4期1505-1516,共12页
The increasing penetration of plug-in electric vehi-cles(PEVs)should lead to a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.Nevertheless,the development of PEVs is limited by the lack of charging facilities,which... The increasing penetration of plug-in electric vehi-cles(PEVs)should lead to a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.Nevertheless,the development of PEVs is limited by the lack of charging facilities,which is constrained by the coupled transportation-distribution network.This paper presents a stochastic bi-level model for the optimal allocation of fast charging stations(FCSs)and distribution network expansion planning(DNEP).First,a sequential capacitated flow-capturing location-allocation model(SCFCLM)is proposed at the lower level to optimize the allocation of FCSs on the transportation network.Monte-Carlo simulation(MCS)is utilized to estimate daily charging load requirements.Then,we propose an economic model for DNEP at the upper level,and the chance constrained method is employed to relax power flow constraints to address the uncertainties of loads.Numerical experiments are conducted to illustrate the proposed planning method.The influences of the flow capturing sequence and relaxed confidence level on the PEV charging load,FCS planning strategies and DNEP schemes are analyzed.Index Terms-Coordinated planning,fast charging station,flow-capturing model,plug-in electric vehicle,stochastic bi-level model. 展开更多
关键词 Coordinated planning fast charging station flow-capturing model plug-in electric vehicle stochastic bi-level model.
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A bi-level optimization framework for charging station design problem considering heterogeneous charging modes 被引量:4
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作者 Le Zhang Ziling Zeng Kun Gao 《Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles》 2022年第1期8-16,共9页
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to optimize the design of charging station deployed at the terminal station for electric transit,with explicit consideration of heterogenous charging modes.Design/methodology/appr... Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to optimize the design of charging station deployed at the terminal station for electric transit,with explicit consideration of heterogenous charging modes.Design/methodology/approach–The authors proposed a bi-level model to optimize the decision-making at both tactical and operational levels simultaneously.Specifically,at the operational level(i.e.lower level),the service schedule and recharging plan of electric buses are optimized under specific design of charging station.The objective of lower-level model is to minimize total daily operational cost.This model is solved by a tailored column generation-based heuristic algorithm.At the tactical level(i.e.upper level),the design of charging station is optimized based upon the results obtained at the lower level.A tabu search algorithm is proposed subsequently to solve the upper-level model.Findings–This study conducted numerical cases to validate the applicability of the proposed model.Some managerial insights stemmed from numerical case studies are revealed and discussed,which can help transit agencies design charging station scientifically.Originality/value–The joint consideration of heterogeneous charging modes in charging station would further lower the operational cost of electric transit and speed up the market penetration of battery electric buses. 展开更多
关键词 Battery electric bus Charging station design Vehicle scheduling bi-level model Heterogeneous charging modes
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A Chaotic Approach for the Bi-level Discrete Equilibrium Network Design Problem
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《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 2006年第2期193-202,共10页
A chaotic algorithm for providing a solution to the bi-level Discrete Equilibrium Network Design Problem (NDP) is discussed following an introduction of the Discrete Network Design Problem (DNDP) model and Chaos O... A chaotic algorithm for providing a solution to the bi-level Discrete Equilibrium Network Design Problem (NDP) is discussed following an introduction of the Discrete Network Design Problem (DNDP) model and Chaos Optimization Algorithms (COA). A description of the chaotic approach for the DNDP model is described in details. Then a numerical example for the DNDP is carried out to investigate the chaotic approach. The results have been encouraging, indicating that the chaotic approach has great potential ability in finding the optimal solution of DNDP models. 展开更多
关键词 discrete equilibrium network design problem bi-level programming model chaos optimization algorithms
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Selecting vehicle dispatching plan for typhoon emergency evacuation based on fault-tolerance analysis
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作者 Zhao-ge Liu Xiang-yang Li 《Journal of Safety Science and Resilience》 2025年第3期465-473,共9页
Unexpected scenarios often occur during typhoon response,which is likely to cause the failure of evacuation vehicle dispatching and other preparedness plans.To solve this problem,a vehicle dispatching plan selecting m... Unexpected scenarios often occur during typhoon response,which is likely to cause the failure of evacuation vehicle dispatching and other preparedness plans.To solve this problem,a vehicle dispatching plan selecting method based on fault-tolerance analysis is proposed,which considers the bounded rationality of emergency decision-makers.The method improves the capability of responding to unexpected scenarios by increasing backup resources.First,under the expected scenarios,a bi-level programming model for arranging the quantities of each type of vehicle and their routes is established,with the goal of minimizing the expected total evacuation time.A corresponding solving algorithm is designed.Second,possible unexpected scenarios are preset by integrating local and non-local historical experiences,and the scenario influences on vehicle dispatching constraints are analyzed.Third,under unexpected scenarios,a fault-tolerance plan set is established considering the failure risk of vehicle dispatching and fault-tolerant cost.The optimal plan is selected by calculating and ranking fault-tolerant rates.Finally,a case study in Shenzhen,China is provided to verify the reasonability and effectiveness of the method.The results show that the proposed method can help discover and address the‘fault’of vehicle dispatching plans during emergency preparedness and thus improve evacuation capabilities in emergency response.The proposed method can be used to develop evacuation vehicle dispatching planning methods with comprehensive scenario adaptability and a precisely improved capability. 展开更多
关键词 Emergency preparedness Fault-tolerance analysis Typhoon emergency evacuation Vehicle dispatching bi-level programming model Case study
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