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The Confidence Distribution Method to the Behrens-Fisher Problem
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作者 Wenyong Tao Wanzhou Ye 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2016年第2期286-293,共8页
We use the methods of “The Welch-Satterthwaite test”, “The Cochran-Cox test”, “The Generalized p-value test”, “Computational Approach test” to structure different Confidence Distributions, and use the Confiden... We use the methods of “The Welch-Satterthwaite test”, “The Cochran-Cox test”, “The Generalized p-value test”, “Computational Approach test” to structure different Confidence Distributions, and use the Confidence Distributions to give an new solution the confidence interval of the difference between two population means where the populations are assumed to be normal with unknown and unequal variances. Finally, we find the most effective solution through the numerical simulation. 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher problem Confidence Distribution Interval Estimation Component
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The Combining Confidence Distribution Method to the Behrens-Fisher Problem
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作者 Wenyong Tao Wanzhou Ye 《Advances in Pure Mathematics》 2016年第8期532-536,共5页
Based on the Confidence Distribution method to the Behrens-Fisher problem, we consider two approaches of combining Confidence Distributions: P Combination and AN Combination to solve the Behrens-Fisher problem. Firstl... Based on the Confidence Distribution method to the Behrens-Fisher problem, we consider two approaches of combining Confidence Distributions: P Combination and AN Combination to solve the Behrens-Fisher problem. Firstly, we provide some Confidence Distributions to the Behrens-Fisher problem, and then we give the Confidence Distribution method to the Behrens-Fisher problem. Finally, we compare the “combination” and the “single” through the numerical simulation. 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher problem Combining Confidence Distribution Interval Estimation Component
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On Analysis of the Behrens-Fisher Problem Based on Bayesian Evidence
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作者 Nengak Emmanuel Goltong Sani Ibrahim Doguwa 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2019年第1期1-14,共14页
In this paper we have demonstrated the ability of the new Bayesian measure of evidence of Yin (2012, Computational Statistics, 27: 237-249) to solve both the Behrens-Fisher problem and Lindley's paradox. We have p... In this paper we have demonstrated the ability of the new Bayesian measure of evidence of Yin (2012, Computational Statistics, 27: 237-249) to solve both the Behrens-Fisher problem and Lindley's paradox. We have provided a general proof that for any prior which yields a linear combination of two independent t random variables as posterior distribution of the di erence of means, the new Bayesian measure of evidence given that prior will solve Lindleys' paradox thereby serving as a general proof for the works of Yin and Li (2014, Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2014(978691)) and Goltong?and Doguwa (2018, Open Journal of Statistics, 8: 902-914).?Using the Pareto prior as an example, we have shown by the use of?simulation results that the new Bayesian measure of evidence solves?Lindley's paradox. 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher problem Lindley's PARADOX METROPOLIS-HASTINGS Algorithm PARETO Prior t Distribution
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Bayesian Analysis of the Behrens-Fisher Problem under a Gamma Prior
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作者 Nengak Emmanuel Goltong Sani Ibrahim Doguwa 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2018年第6期902-914,共13页
Yin [1] has developed a new Bayesian measure of evidence for testing a point null hypothesis which agrees with the frequentist p-value thereby, solving Lindley’s paradox. Yin and Li [2] extended the methodology of Yi... Yin [1] has developed a new Bayesian measure of evidence for testing a point null hypothesis which agrees with the frequentist p-value thereby, solving Lindley’s paradox. Yin and Li [2] extended the methodology of Yin [1] to the case of the Behrens-Fisher problem by assigning Jeffreys’ independent prior to the nuisance parameters. In this paper, we were able to show both analytically and through the results from simulation studies that the methodology of Yin?[1] solves simultaneously, the Behrens-Fisher problem and Lindley’s paradox when a Gamma prior is assigned to the nuisance parameters. 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher problem Lindley’s PARADOX METROPOLIS-HASTINGS Algorithm INFORMATIVE PRIORS
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Extending the Behrens-Fisher Problem to Testing Equality of Slopes in Linear Regression: The Bayesian Approach
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作者 Mohamed Shoukri Futwan Al-Mohanna 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2018年第2期284-301,共18页
Testing the equality of means of two normally distributed random variables when their variances are unequal is known in the statistical literature as the “Behrens-Fisher problem”. It is well-known that the posterior... Testing the equality of means of two normally distributed random variables when their variances are unequal is known in the statistical literature as the “Behrens-Fisher problem”. It is well-known that the posterior distributions of the parameters of interest are the primitive of Bayesian statistical inference. For routine implementation of statistical procedures based on posterior distributions, simple and efficient approaches are required. Since the computation of the exact posterior distribution of the Behrens-Fisher problem is obtained using numerical integration, several approximations are discussed and compared. Tests and Bayesian Highest-Posterior Density (H.P.D) intervals based upon these approximations are discussed. We extend the proposed approximations to test of parallelism in simple linear regression models. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian Inference POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTIONS behrens-fisher problem POSTERIOR MOMENTS Edgeworth Expansion Monte-Carlo Integration
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Testing High-Dimensional Nonparametric Behrens-Fisher Problem
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作者 MENG Zhen LI Na YUAN Ao 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第3期1098-1115,共18页
For high-dimensional nonparametric Behrens-Fisher problem in which the data dimension is larger than the sample size,the authors propose two test statistics in which one is U-statistic Rankbased Test(URT)and another i... For high-dimensional nonparametric Behrens-Fisher problem in which the data dimension is larger than the sample size,the authors propose two test statistics in which one is U-statistic Rankbased Test(URT)and another is Cauchy Combination Test(CCT).CCT is analogous to the maximumtype test,while URT takes into account the sum of squares of differences of ranked samples in different dimensions,which is free of shapes of distributions and robust to outliers.The asymptotic distribution of URT is derived and the closed form for calculating the statistical significance of CCT is given.Extensive simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the finite sample power performance of the statistics by comparing with the existing method.The simulation results show that our URT is robust and powerful method,meanwhile,its practicability and effectiveness can be illustrated by an application to the gene expression data. 展开更多
关键词 Cauchy combination test nonparametric behrens-fisher problem rank-based test U-STATISTIC
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Graph Guide Diffusion Solvers with Noises for Travelling Salesman Problem
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作者 Yan Kong Xinpeng Guo Chih-Hsien Hsia 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期689-707,共19页
With the development of technology,diffusion model-based solvers have shown significant promise in solving Combinatorial Optimization(CO)problems,particularly in tackling Non-deterministic Polynomial-time hard(NP-hard... With the development of technology,diffusion model-based solvers have shown significant promise in solving Combinatorial Optimization(CO)problems,particularly in tackling Non-deterministic Polynomial-time hard(NP-hard)problems such as the Traveling Salesman Problem(TSP).However,existing diffusion model-based solvers typically employ a fixed,uniform noise schedule(e.g.,linear or cosine annealing)across all training instances,failing to fully account for the unique characteristics of each problem instance.To address this challenge,we present GraphGuided Diffusion Solvers(GGDS),an enhanced method for improving graph-based diffusion models.GGDS leverages Graph Neural Networks(GNNs)to capture graph structural information embedded in node coordinates and adjacency matrices,dynamically adjusting the noise levels in the diffusion model.This study investigates the TSP by examining two distinct time-step noise generation strategies:cosine annealing and a Neural Network(NN)-based approach.We evaluate their performance across different problem scales,particularly after integrating graph structural information.Experimental results indicate that GGDS outperforms previous methods with average performance improvements of 18.7%,6.3%,and 88.7%on TSP-500,TSP-100,and TSP-50,respectively.Specifically,GGDS demonstrates superior performance on TSP-500 and TSP-50,while its performance on TSP-100 is either comparable to or slightly better than that of previous methods,depending on the chosen noise schedule and decoding strategy. 展开更多
关键词 Combinatorial optimization problem diffusion model noise schedule traveling salesman problem
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Mindfulness and internalizing/externalizing problems among adolescents:Ethnicity moderation and psychological capital mediation
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作者 Jia Wu Wei Luo +4 位作者 Qianguo Xiao Qinhong Xie Xiaodong Li Taiyong Bi Hui Kou 《Journal of Psychology in Africa》 2026年第1期97-106,共10页
This study examines the mediating role of positive psychological capital and the moderating role of ethnicity in the relationship between mindfulness and internalizing/externalizing problems among adolescents.The stud... This study examines the mediating role of positive psychological capital and the moderating role of ethnicity in the relationship between mindfulness and internalizing/externalizing problems among adolescents.The study sample comprized Chinese adolescents(N=637 ethnic minority;females=40.97%,meam age=12.68,SD=0.49 years;N=636 Han;females=49.06%,mean age=12.71,SD=0.47 years).The participants completed the Child and Adolescent Mindfulness Measure,the Positive Psycap Questionnaire,and the Youth Self-Report.Results from the moderated mediation analysis showed mindfulness was negatively associated with both internalizing and externalizing problems.Ethnicity moderated the relationship between mindfulness and internalizing problems to be stronger for Han adolescents compared to ethnic minority adolescents.Psychological capital mediated the relationship between mindfulness and internalizing problems in both groups,with a negative direction.Findings support the Conservation of Resources theory and highlight mindfulness as a personal resource fostering adolescent well-being in multicultural contexts. 展开更多
关键词 Ethnic minority adolescent MINDFULNESS positive psychological capital internalizing problems externalizing problems
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Solutions of three-body problem based on an equivalent system approach
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作者 Jing Tang Xing 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 2026年第1期292-309,共18页
Generalised reduced masses with a set of equations governing the three relative motions between two of 3-bodies in their gravitational field are established,of which the dynamic characteristics of 3-body dynamics,fund... Generalised reduced masses with a set of equations governing the three relative motions between two of 3-bodies in their gravitational field are established,of which the dynamic characteristics of 3-body dynamics,fundamental bases of this paper,are revealed.Based on these findings,an equivalent system is developed,which is a 2-body system with its total mass,constant angular momentum,kinetic and potential energies same as the total ones of three relative motions,so that it can be solved using the well-known theory of the 2-body system.From the solution of an equivalent system with the revealed characteristics of three relative motions,the general theoretical solutions of the 3-body system are obtained in the curve-integration forms along the orbits in the imaged radial motion space.The possible periodical orbits with generalised Kepler’s law are presented.Following the description and mathematical demonstrations of the proposed methods,the examples including Euler’s/Lagrange’s problems,and a reported numerical one are solved to validate the proposed methods.The methods derived from the 3-body system are extended to N-body problems. 展开更多
关键词 Three-body problem Equivalent system with solutions Orbit-equation of a conic section Generalised reduced mass Chaotic motions Generalised Kepler’s law N-body problem
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Collaborative scheduling problem pertaining to launch and recovery operations for carrier aircraft
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作者 GUO Fang HAN Wei +3 位作者 LIU Yujie SU Xichao LIU Jie LI Changjiu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2026年第1期287-306,共20页
The proliferation of carrier aircraft and the integration of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)on aircraft carriers present new challenges to the automation of launch and recovery operations.This paper investigates a coll... The proliferation of carrier aircraft and the integration of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)on aircraft carriers present new challenges to the automation of launch and recovery operations.This paper investigates a collaborative scheduling problem inherent to the operational processes of carrier aircraft,where launch and recovery tasks are conducted concurrently on the flight deck.The objective is to minimize the cumulative weighted waiting time in the air for recovering aircraft and the cumulative weighted delay time for launching aircraft.To tackle this challenge,a multiple population self-adaptive differential evolution(MPSADE)algorithm is proposed.This method features a self-adaptive parameter updating mechanism that is contingent upon population diversity,an asynchronous updating scheme,an individual migration operator,and a global crossover mechanism.Additionally,comprehensive experiments are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm.Ultimately,a comparative analysis with existing operation modes confirms the enhanced efficiency of the collaborative operation mode. 展开更多
关键词 carrier aircraft collaborative scheduling problem LAUNCH RECOVERY multiple population differential evolution
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Centralized Circumcentered-Reflection Method for Solving the Convex Feasibility Problem in Sparse Signal Recovery
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作者 Chunmei LI Bangjun CHEN Xuefeng DUAN 《Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications》 2026年第1期119-133,共15页
Convex feasibility problems are widely used in image reconstruction, sparse signal recovery, and other areas. This paper is devoted to considering a class of convex feasibility problem arising from sparse signal recov... Convex feasibility problems are widely used in image reconstruction, sparse signal recovery, and other areas. This paper is devoted to considering a class of convex feasibility problem arising from sparse signal recovery. We first derive the projection formulas for a vector onto the feasible sets. The centralized circumcentered-reflection method is designed to solve the convex feasibility problem. Some numerical experiments demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, showing superior performance compared to conventional alternating projection methods. 展开更多
关键词 convex feasibility problem centralized circumcentered-re ection method sparse signal recovery compressed sensing
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Quality-guaranteed Dubins Path Planning for USV Based on Mixed-integer Piecewise linear Programming for Addressing the Extended Minimum-time Intercept Problem
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作者 Xing Zhou Kelin Zhu +3 位作者 Shuang Liu Zhaoqing Li Wenxin Zhang Kang Du 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 2026年第1期216-227,共12页
During the use of robotics in applications such as antiterrorism or combat,a motion-constrained pursuer vehicle,such as a Dubins unmanned surface vehicle(USV),must get close enough(within a prescribed zero or positive... During the use of robotics in applications such as antiterrorism or combat,a motion-constrained pursuer vehicle,such as a Dubins unmanned surface vehicle(USV),must get close enough(within a prescribed zero or positive distance)to a moving target as quickly as possible,resulting in the extended minimum-time intercept problem(EMTIP).Existing research has primarily focused on the zero-distance intercept problem,MTIP,establishing the necessary or sufficient conditions for MTIP optimality,and utilizing analytic algorithms,such as root-finding algorithms,to calculate the optimal solutions.However,these approaches depend heavily on the properties of the analytic algorithm,making them inapplicable when problem settings change,such as in the case of a positive effective range or complicated target motions outside uniform rectilinear motion.In this study,an approach employing a high-accuracy and quality-guaranteed mixed-integer piecewise-linear program(QG-PWL)is proposed for the EMTIP.This program can accommodate different effective interception ranges and complicated target motions(variable velocity or complicated trajectories).The high accuracy and quality guarantees of QG-PWL originate from elegant strategies such as piecewise linearization and other developed operation strategies.The approximate error in the intercept path length is proved to be bounded to h^(2)/(4√2),where h is the piecewise length. 展开更多
关键词 Minimum-time intercept problem Dubins vehicle Mixed-integer piecewise-linear program LINEARIZATION Approximate error trigonometric function USV
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Cooperative Metaheuristics with Dynamic Dimension Reduction for High-Dimensional Optimization Problems
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作者 Junxiang Li Zhipeng Dong +2 位作者 Ben Han Jianqiao Chen Xinxin Zhang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第1期1484-1502,共19页
Owing to their global search capabilities and gradient-free operation,metaheuristic algorithms are widely applied to a wide range of optimization problems.However,their computational demands become prohibitive when ta... Owing to their global search capabilities and gradient-free operation,metaheuristic algorithms are widely applied to a wide range of optimization problems.However,their computational demands become prohibitive when tackling high-dimensional optimization challenges.To effectively address these challenges,this study introduces cooperative metaheuristics integrating dynamic dimension reduction(DR).Building upon particle swarm optimization(PSO)and differential evolution(DE),the proposed cooperative methods C-PSO and C-DE are developed.In the proposed methods,the modified principal components analysis(PCA)is utilized to reduce the dimension of design variables,thereby decreasing computational costs.The dynamic DR strategy implements periodic execution of modified PCA after a fixed number of iterations,resulting in the important dimensions being dynamically identified.Compared with the static one,the dynamic DR strategy can achieve precise identification of important dimensions,thereby enabling accelerated convergence toward optimal solutions.Furthermore,the influence of cumulative contribution rate thresholds on optimization problems with different dimensions is investigated.Metaheuristic algorithms(PSO,DE)and cooperative metaheuristics(C-PSO,C-DE)are examined by 15 benchmark functions and two engineering design problems(speed reducer and composite pressure vessel).Comparative results demonstrate that the cooperative methods achieve significantly superior performance compared to standard methods in both solution accuracy and computational efficiency.Compared to standard metaheuristic algorithms,cooperative metaheuristics achieve a reduction in computational cost of at least 40%.The cooperative metaheuristics can be effectively used to tackle both high-dimensional unconstrained and constrained optimization problems. 展开更多
关键词 Dimension reduction modified principal components analysis high-dimensional optimization problems cooperative metaheuristics metaheuristic algorithms
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Non-Newtonian rivulet flows on an inclined planar surface applying the 2nd Stokes problem
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作者 S.V.ERSHKOV E.S.BARANOVSKII A.V.YUDIN 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2026年第1期153-164,共12页
The newly formulated non-Newtonian rivulet flows streaming down an inclined planar surface,with additional periodic perturbations arising from the application of the 2nd Stokes problem to the investigation of rivulet ... The newly formulated non-Newtonian rivulet flows streaming down an inclined planar surface,with additional periodic perturbations arising from the application of the 2nd Stokes problem to the investigation of rivulet dynamics,are demonstrated in the current research.Hereby,the 2nd Stokes problem assumes that the surface,with a thin shared layer of the fluid on it,oscillates in a harmonic manner along the x-axis of the rivulet flow,which coincides with the main flow direction streaming down the underlying surface.We obtain the exact extension of the rivulet flow family,clarifying the structure of the pressure field,which fully absorbs the arising perturbation.The profile of the velocity field is assumed to be Gaussian-type with a non-zero level of plasticity.Hence,the absolutely non-Newtonian case of the viscoplastic flow solution,which satisfies the motion and continuity equations,is considered(with particular cases of exact solutions for pressure).The perturbed governing equations of motion for rivulet flows then result in the Riccati-type ordinary differential equation(ODE),describing the dynamics of the coordinate x(t).The approximated schematic dynamics are presented in graphical plots. 展开更多
关键词 rivulet flow non-Newtonian fluid creeping viscoplastic flow 1st/2nd Stokes problem
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AUGMENTED SUBSPACE SCHEME FOR EIGENVALUE PROBLEM BY WEAK GALERKIN FINITE ELEMENT METHOD
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作者 Yue Feng Zhijin Guan +1 位作者 Hehu Xie Chenguang Zhou, 《Journal of Computational Mathematics》 2026年第1期135-164,共30页
This study proposes a class of augmented subspace schemes for the weak Galerkin(WG)finite element method used to solve eigenvalue problems.The augmented subspace is built with the conforming linear finite element spac... This study proposes a class of augmented subspace schemes for the weak Galerkin(WG)finite element method used to solve eigenvalue problems.The augmented subspace is built with the conforming linear finite element space defined on the coarse mesh and the eigen-function approximations in the WG finite element space defined on the fine mesh.Based on this augmented subspace,solving the eigenvalue problem in the fine WG finite element space can be reduced to the solution of the linear boundary value problem in the same WG finite element space and a low dimensional eigenvalue problem in the augmented sub-space.The proposed augmented subspace techniques have the second order convergence rate with respect to the coarse mesh size,as demonstrated by the accompanying error esti-mates.Finally,a few numerical examples are provided to validate the proposed numerical techniques. 展开更多
关键词 Eigenvalue problem Augmented subspace scheme Weak Galerkin finite ele-ment method Second order convergence rate
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Neural boundary shape functions in physics-informed neural networks for discontinuous and high-frequency problems
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作者 P.T.NGUYEN K.A.LUONG J.H.LEE 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2026年第2期423-442,共20页
Physics-informed neural networks(PINNs)have been shown as powerful tools for solving partial differential equations(PDEs)by embedding physical laws into the network training.Despite their remarkable results,complicate... Physics-informed neural networks(PINNs)have been shown as powerful tools for solving partial differential equations(PDEs)by embedding physical laws into the network training.Despite their remarkable results,complicated problems such as irregular boundary conditions(BCs)and discontinuous or high-frequency behaviors remain persistent challenges for PINNs.For these reasons,we propose a novel two-phase framework,where a neural network is first trained to represent shape functions that can capture the irregularity of BCs in the first phase,and then these neural network-based shape functions are used to construct boundary shape functions(BSFs)that exactly satisfy both essential and natural BCs in PINNs in the second phase.This scheme is integrated into both the strong-form and energy PINN approaches,thereby improving the quality of solution prediction in the cases of irregular BCs.In addition,this study examines the benefits and limitations of these approaches in handling discontinuous and high-frequency problems.Overall,our method offers a unified and flexible solution framework that addresses key limitations of existing PINN methods with higher accuracy and stability for general PDE problems in solid mechanics. 展开更多
关键词 physics-informed neural network(PINN) boundary shape function(BSF) strong-form approach energy approach DISCONTINUITY high-frequency problem
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Behrens-Fisher问题的正态逼近 被引量:2
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作者 金华 郑圣听 陈伟权 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第11期106-108,共3页
本文提出用基于得分检验的正态逼近方法来解决Behrens-Fisher问题,即比较方差比未知时两正态总体的均值。模拟结果显示:在所有的研究情况下,这种方法都能很好地控制第一类错误,检验功效也不差;而最常用的Welch近似t检验在样本量不等时... 本文提出用基于得分检验的正态逼近方法来解决Behrens-Fisher问题,即比较方差比未知时两正态总体的均值。模拟结果显示:在所有的研究情况下,这种方法都能很好地控制第一类错误,检验功效也不差;而最常用的Welch近似t检验在样本量不等时大多数情况都不能控制第一类错误。 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher问题 Welch近似t检验 得分检验 正态逼近
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Behrens-Fisher问题的信赖与贝叶斯精确区间估计 被引量:1
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作者 周源泉 李宝盛 《中国空间科学技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2007年第4期53-56,65,共5页
两正态总体均值与标准差均未知时的均值差的区间估计问题,称为Behrens-Fisher问题。给出了问题的共轭型先验与无信息先验下的Bayes精确区间估计及其计算方法,并指出可信水平为γ时无信息先验的Bayes精确区间估计与Fisher的Fiducial水平... 两正态总体均值与标准差均未知时的均值差的区间估计问题,称为Behrens-Fisher问题。给出了问题的共轭型先验与无信息先验下的Bayes精确区间估计及其计算方法,并指出可信水平为γ时无信息先验的Bayes精确区间估计与Fisher的Fiducial水平为γ的Fiducial精确区间估计在数值上一致。将Welch&Aspin近似与无信息先验的Bayes精确区间估计作比较,结果显示此近似一般偏冒进,故对重要的工程问题建议使用Bayes(或Fiducial)精确区间估计。 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher问题 Bayes限 共轭型先验 无信息先验 Fiducial限
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基于Behrens-Fisher问题的灰色区间估计方法 被引量:1
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作者 李勇 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第19期169-170,共2页
Behrens-Fisher问题一直是统计界关注的经典问题,也是一个难题,尤其是在少数据情况下。借助于灰色系统的理论,在Neyman的置信区间理论基础上,建立灰色区间估计方法,从而对Behrens-Fisher问题进行灰色区间估计方法的研究,并应用于"... Behrens-Fisher问题一直是统计界关注的经典问题,也是一个难题,尤其是在少数据情况下。借助于灰色系统的理论,在Neyman的置信区间理论基础上,建立灰色区间估计方法,从而对Behrens-Fisher问题进行灰色区间估计方法的研究,并应用于"购买力平价"方法测度地区的实际生活水平。 展开更多
关键词 behrens-fisher问题 灰色统计 区间估计
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Behrens-Fisher问题的广义置信区间 被引量:1
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作者 许家清 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第2期29-30,共2页
文章给出了Behrens-Fisher问题的广义置信区间及其计算方法,通过模拟研究验证了方法的可行性,并与Welch&Aspin近似及Bayes精确区间估计方法进行了比较,结果显示广义置信区间方法有更高的精度。
关键词 behrens-fisher问题 广义置信区间 模拟研究
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