With the European Union(EU)introducing the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM),accurately forecasting EU carbon price is crucial for exporters to estimate export costs,plan low-carbon strategies,and mitigate trad...With the European Union(EU)introducing the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM),accurately forecasting EU carbon price is crucial for exporters to estimate export costs,plan low-carbon strategies,and mitigate trade risks.In the petroleum sector,carbon pricing directly influences upstream investment returns and carbon intensity targets,thereby closely linking emissions markets with fossil energy strategies.Existing models often fail to fully capture the nonlinear,non-stationary nature of carbon prices and their dependence on external factors.This study proposes a novel hybrid framework that combines improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise(ICEEMDAN)with gated recurrent unit-convolutional neural network-long short-term memory network-Bayesian optimization(GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO).Empirical results based on the EU emissions trading system(ETS)market demonstrate that the proposed model significantly improves forecasting accuracy.Among all experiments,the proposed GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO framework achieves the best performance,yielding the lowest MAE(1.3872),RMSE(1.7038),MAPE(0.0166),and MSPE(0.0004),as well as the highest R2(0.9400).Compared to all benchmark models,the GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO model achieves reductions in MAE and RMSE ranging from 5.38%to 63.65%and 8.97%to 64.41%,respectively.To further validate the generalization ability and predictive performance of the proposed model,it is also applied to China's ETS.The results show that the GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO model also performs very well in China's ETS.展开更多
Accurate assessment of undrained shear strength(USS)for soft sensitive clays is a great concern in geotechnical engineering practice.This study applies novel data-driven extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random fo...Accurate assessment of undrained shear strength(USS)for soft sensitive clays is a great concern in geotechnical engineering practice.This study applies novel data-driven extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random forest(RF)ensemble learning methods for capturing the relationships between the USS and various basic soil parameters.Based on the soil data sets from TC304 database,a general approach is developed to predict the USS of soft clays using the two machine learning methods above,where five feature variables including the preconsolidation stress(PS),vertical effective stress(VES),liquid limit(LL),plastic limit(PL)and natural water content(W)are adopted.To reduce the dependence on the rule of thumb and inefficient brute-force search,the Bayesian optimization method is applied to determine the appropriate model hyper-parameters of both XGBoost and RF.The developed models are comprehensively compared with three comparison machine learning methods and two transformation models with respect to predictive accuracy and robustness under 5-fold cross-validation(CV).It is shown that XGBoost-based and RF-based methods outperform these approaches.Besides,the XGBoostbased model provides feature importance ranks,which makes it a promising tool in the prediction of geotechnical parameters and enhances the interpretability of model.展开更多
Many scholars have focused on applying machine learning models in bottom hole pressure (BHP) prediction. However, the complex and uncertain conditions in deep wells make it difficult to capture spatial and temporal co...Many scholars have focused on applying machine learning models in bottom hole pressure (BHP) prediction. However, the complex and uncertain conditions in deep wells make it difficult to capture spatial and temporal correlations of measurement while drilling (MWD) data with traditional intelligent models. In this work, we develop a novel hybrid neural network, which integrates the Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and the Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) for predicting BHP fluctuations more accurately. The CNN structure is used to analyze spatial local dependency patterns and the GRU structure is used to discover depth variation trends of MWD data. To further improve the prediction accuracy, we explore two types of GRU-based structure: skip-GRU and attention-GRU, which can capture more long-term potential periodic correlation in drilling data. Then, the different model structures tuned by the Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm are compared and analyzed. Results indicate that the hybrid models can extract spatial-temporal information of data effectively and predict more accurately than random forests, extreme gradient boosting, back propagation neural network, CNN and GRU. The CNN-attention-GRU model with BO algorithm shows great superiority in prediction accuracy and robustness due to the hybrid network structure and attention mechanism, having the lowest mean absolute percentage error of 0.025%. This study provides a reference for solving the problem of extracting spatial and temporal characteristics and guidance for managed pressure drilling in complex formations.展开更多
We present a framework that couples a high-fidelity compositional reservoir simulator with Bayesian optimization(BO)for injection well scheduling optimization in geological carbon sequestration.This work represents on...We present a framework that couples a high-fidelity compositional reservoir simulator with Bayesian optimization(BO)for injection well scheduling optimization in geological carbon sequestration.This work represents one of the first at tempts to apply BO and high-fidelity physics models to geological carbon storage.The implicit parallel accurate reservoir simulator(IPARS)is utilized to accurately capture the underlying physical processes during CO_(2)sequestration.IPARS provides a framework for several flow and mechanics models and thus supports both stand-alone and coupled simulations.In this work,we use the compositional flow module to simulate the geological carbon storage process.The compositional flow model,which includes a hysteretic three-phase relative permeability model,accounts for three major CO_(2)trapping mechanisms:structural trapping,residual gas trapping,and solubility trapping.Furthermore,IPARS is coupled to the International Business Machines(IBM)Corporation Bayesian Optimization Accelerator(BOA)for parallel optimizations of CO_(2)injection strategies during field-scale CO_(2)sequestration.BO builds a probabilistic surrogate for the objective function using a Bayesian machine learning algorithm-the Gaussian process regression,and then uses an acquisition function that leverages the uncertainty in the surrogate to decide where to sample.The IBM BOA addresses the three weaknesses of standard BO that limits its scalability in that IBM BOA supports parallel(batch)executions,scales better for high-dimensional problems,and is more robust to initializations.We demonstrate these merits by applying the algorithm in the optimization of the CO_(2)injection schedule in the Cranfield site in Mississippi,USA,using field data.The optimized injection schedule achieves 16%more gas storage volume and 56%less water/surfactant usage compared with the baseline.The performance of BO is compared with that of a genetic algorithm(GA)and a covariance matrix adaptation(CMA)-evolution strategy(ES).The results demonstrate the superior performance of BO,in that it achieves a competitive objective function value with over 60%fewer forward model evaluations.展开更多
To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)...To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)were developed using an I-optimal design,where machine learning tools(XGBoost/Bayesian optimization and self-validated ensemble(SVEM))were used to optimize the process and predict lipid mix ratio.The investigation included material attributes,their respective ratios,and process attributes.The critical responses like particle size(PS),polydispersity index(PDI),Zeta potential,pKa,heat trend cycle,encapsulation efficiency(EE),recovery ratio,and encapsulated mRNA were evaluated.Overall prediction of SVEM(>97%)was comparably better than that of XGBoost/Bayesian optimization(>94%).Moreover,in actual experimental outcomes,SVEM prediction is close to the actual data as confirmed by the experimental PS(94-96 nm)is close to the predicted one(95-97 nm).The other parameters including PDI and EE were also close to the actual experimental data.展开更多
Integrating Bayesian Optimization with Volume of Fluid (VOF) simulations, this work aims to optimize the operational conditions and geometric parameters of T-junction microchannels for target droplet sizes. Bayesian O...Integrating Bayesian Optimization with Volume of Fluid (VOF) simulations, this work aims to optimize the operational conditions and geometric parameters of T-junction microchannels for target droplet sizes. Bayesian Optimization utilizes Gaussian Process (GP) as its core model and employs an adaptive search strategy to efficiently explore and identify optimal combinations of operational parameters within a limited parameter space, thereby enabling rapid optimization of the required parameters to achieve the target droplet size. Traditional methods typically rely on manually selecting a series of operational parameters and conducting multiple simulations to gradually approach the target droplet size. This process is time-consuming and prone to getting trapped in local optima. In contrast, Bayesian Optimization adaptively adjusts its search strategy, significantly reducing computational costs and effectively exploring global optima, thus greatly improving optimization efficiency. Additionally, the study investigates the impact of rectangular rib structures within the T-junction microchannel on droplet generation, revealing how the channel geometry influences droplet formation and size. After determining the target droplet size, we further applied Bayesian Optimization to refine the rib geometry. The integration of Bayesian Optimization with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) offers a promising tool and provides new insights into the optimal design of microfluidic devices.展开更多
The application of Low Earth Orbit(LEO)satellite navigation can enhance geometric structure,increase observations and contribute to navigation and positioning.To improve the performance of the navigation constellation...The application of Low Earth Orbit(LEO)satellite navigation can enhance geometric structure,increase observations and contribute to navigation and positioning.To improve the performance of the navigation constellation in China,this study proposes an optimized method of LEO-enhanced navigation constellation for BDS based on Bayesian optimization algorithm.In this paper,four different optimal LEO constellation configurations are designed,and their enhancements to BDS3 navigation performance are analyzed,including Geometric Dilution of Precision(GDOP),the numbers of visible satellites,and the rapid convergence of precision point positioning(PPP).Additionally,the enhancement advantages in China compared to other regions are further discussed.The results demonstrate that regional enhanced constellations with 70,72,80,and 81 satellites at an altitude of 1000 km can significantly improve the navigation performance of the navigation constellation.Globally,the addition of optimized LEO constellations has reduced the hybrid constellation GDOP by 19.0%,18.3%,19.9%,and 20.3%.Similar results can be obtained using the genetic algorithm(GA),but the computational efficiency of Bayesian optimization algorithm is 53.9%higher than that of the genetic algorithm.The number of visible satellites of enhanced constellations in China has increased by more than four on average,which is better than that in other regions.In the PPP experiment,the convergence time of the stations in China and other regions is shortened by 83.0%and 76.2%,respectively,and the navigation performance of hybrid constellations in China is better.展开更多
Designing compositions and processing of biodegradable magnesium(Mg)alloys to synergistically en-hance mechanical properties and corrosion resistance using conventional trial-and-error method is a challenging task.Thi...Designing compositions and processing of biodegradable magnesium(Mg)alloys to synergistically en-hance mechanical properties and corrosion resistance using conventional trial-and-error method is a challenging task.This study presents a Bayesian optimization(BO)-based multi-objective framework inte-grated with explainable machine learning(ML)to efficiently explore and optimize the high-dimensional design space of biodegradable Mg alloys.Using ultimate tensile strength(UTS),elongation(EL)and cor-rosion potential(E_(corr))as objective properties,the framework balances these conflicting objectives and identifies optimal solutions.A novel biodegradable Mg alloy(Mg-4.6Zn-0.3Y-0.2Mn-0.1Nd-0.1Gd,wt.%)was successfully designed,demonstrating a UTS of 320 MPa,EL of 22%and E_(corr) of−1.60 V(tested in 37℃ simulated body fluid).Compared to JDBM,the UTS has increased by 13 MPa,the EL has improved by 6.1%,and the E_(corr) has risen by 0.02 V.The experimental results presented close agreement with predicted values,validating the proposed framework.The Shapley Additive Explanation method was em-ployed to interpret the ML models,revealing extrusion temperature and Zn content as key parameters driving the optimization design.The strategy provided in this study is universal and offers a potential approach for addressing high-dimensional multi-objective optimization challenges in material develop-ment.展开更多
Accurate quantification of carbon and water fluxes dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems is a critical scientific challenge for regional carbon neutrality assessments and sustainable water resource management.In t...Accurate quantification of carbon and water fluxes dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems is a critical scientific challenge for regional carbon neutrality assessments and sustainable water resource management.In this study,we developed a multi-flux global sensitivity discriminant index(D_(sen))by integrating the Biome-BGCMuSo model with eddy covariance flux observations.This index was combined with a Bayesian optimization algorithm to conduct parameter optimization.The results demonstrated that:(1)Sensitivity analysis identified 13 highly sensitive parameters affecting carbon and water fluxes.Among these,the canopy light extinction coefficient(k)and the fraction of leaf N in Rubisco(FLNR)exhibited significantly higher sensitivity to carbon fluxes(GPP,NEE,Reco;D_(sen)>10%)compared to water flux(ET).This highlights the strong dependence of carbon cycle simulations on vegetation physiological parameters.(2)The Bayesian optimization framework efficiently converged 30 parameter spaces within 50 iterations,markedly improving carbon fluxes simulation accuracy.The Kling-Gupta efficiency(KGE)values for Gross Primary Production(GPP),Net Ecosystem Exchange(NEE),and Total Respiration(Reco)increased by 44.94%,69.23%and 123%,respectively.The optimization prioritized highly sensitive parameters,underscoring the necessity of parameter sensitivity stratification.(3)The optimized model effectively reproduced carbon sink characteristics in mountain meadows during the growing season(cumulative NEE=-375 g C/m^(2)).It revealed synergistic carbon-water fluxes interactions governed by coupled photosynthesis-stomatal pathways and identified substrate supply limitations on heterotrophic respiration.This study proposes a novel multi-flux sensitivity index and an efficient optimization framework,elucidating the coupling mechanisms between vegetation physiological regulation(k,FLNR)and environmental stressors(VPD,SWD)in carbonwater cycles.The methodology offers a practical approach for arid ecosystem model optimization and provides theoretical insights for grassland management through canopy structure regulation and water-use efficiency enhancement.展开更多
Advanced programmable metamaterials with heterogeneous microstructures have become increasingly prevalent in scientific and engineering disciplines attributed to their tunable properties.However,exploring the structur...Advanced programmable metamaterials with heterogeneous microstructures have become increasingly prevalent in scientific and engineering disciplines attributed to their tunable properties.However,exploring the structure-property relationship in these materials,including forward prediction and inverse design,presents substantial challenges.The inhomogeneous microstructures significantly complicate traditional analytical or simulation-based approaches.Here,we establish a novel framework that integrates the machine learning(ML)-encoded multiscale computational method for forward prediction and Bayesian optimization for inverse design.Unlike prior end-to-end ML methods limited to specific problems,our framework is both load-independent and geometry-independent.This means that a single training session for a constitutive model suffices to tackle various problems directly,eliminating the need for repeated data collection or training.We demonstrate the efficacy and efficiency of this framework using metamaterials with designable elliptical holes or lattice honeycombs microstructures.Leveraging accelerated forward prediction,we can precisely customize the stiffness and shape of metamaterials under diverse loading scenarios,and extend this capability to multi-objective customization seamlessly.Moreover,we achieve topology optimization for stress alleviation at the crack tip,resulting in a significant reduction of Mises stress by up to 41.2%and yielding a theoretical interpretable pattern.This framework offers a general,efficient and precise tool for analyzing the structure-property relationships of novel metamaterials.展开更多
The packaging quality of coaxial laser diodes(CLDs)plays a pivotal role in determining their optical performance and long-term reliability.As the core packaging process,high-precision laser welding requires precise co...The packaging quality of coaxial laser diodes(CLDs)plays a pivotal role in determining their optical performance and long-term reliability.As the core packaging process,high-precision laser welding requires precise control of process parameters to suppress optical power loss.However,the complex nonlinear relationship between welding parameters and optical power loss renders traditional trial-and-error methods inefficient and imprecise.To address this challenge,a physics-informed(PI)and data-driven collaboration approach for welding parameter optimization is proposed.First,thermal-fluid-solid coupling finite element method(FEM)was employed to quantify the sensitivity of welding parameters to physical characteristics,including residual stress.This analysis facilitated the identification of critical factors contributing to optical power loss.Subsequently,a Gaussian process regression(GPR)model incorporating finite element simulation prior knowledge was constructed based on the selected features.By introducing physics-informed kernel(PIK)functions,stress distribution patterns were embedded into the prediction model,achieving high-precision optical power loss prediction.Finally,a Bayesian optimization(BO)algorithm with an adaptive sampling strategy was implemented for efficient parameter space exploration.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposedmethod effectively establishes explicit physical correlations between welding parameters and optical power loss.The optimized welding parameters reduced optical power loss by 34.1%,providing theoretical guidance and technical support for reliable CLD packaging.展开更多
Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of t...Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task.展开更多
Accurate identification of unknown internal parameters in photovoltaic(PV)cells is crucial and significantly affects the subsequent system-performance analysis and control.However,noise,insufficient data acquisition,a...Accurate identification of unknown internal parameters in photovoltaic(PV)cells is crucial and significantly affects the subsequent system-performance analysis and control.However,noise,insufficient data acquisition,and loss of recorded data can deteriorate the extraction accuracy of unknown parameters.Hence,this study proposes an intelligent parameter-identification strategy that integrates artificial ecosystem optimization(AEO)and a Bayesian neural network(BNN)for PV cell parameter extraction.A BNN is used for data preprocessing,including data denoising and prediction.Furthermore,the AEO algorithm is utilized to identify unknown parameters in the single-diode model(SDM),double-diode model(DDM),and three-diode model(TDM).Nine other metaheuristic algorithms(MhAs)are adopted for an unbiased and comprehensive validation.Simulation results show that BNN-based data preprocessing com-bined with effective MhAs significantly improve the parameter-extraction accuracy and stability compared with methods without data preprocessing.For instance,under denoised data,the accuracies of the SDM,DDM,and TDM increase by 99.69%,99.70%,and 99.69%,respectively,whereas their accuracy improvements increase by 66.71%,59.65%,and 70.36%,respectively.展开更多
Miniature air quality sensors are widely used in urban grid-based monitoring due to their flexibility in deployment and low cost.However,the raw data collected by these devices often suffer from low accuracy caused by...Miniature air quality sensors are widely used in urban grid-based monitoring due to their flexibility in deployment and low cost.However,the raw data collected by these devices often suffer from low accuracy caused by environmental interference and sensor drift,highlighting the need for effective calibration methods to improve data reliability.This study proposes a data correction method based on Bayesian Optimization Support Vector Regression(BO-SVR),which combines the nonlinear modeling capability of Support Vector Regression(SVR)with the efficient global hyperparameter search of Bayesian Optimization.By introducing cross-validation loss as the optimization objective and using Gaussian process modeling with an Expected Improvement acquisition strategy,the approach automatically determines optimal hyperparameters for accurate pollutant concentration prediction.Experiments on real-world micro-sensor datasets demonstrate that BO-SVR outperforms traditional SVR,grid search SVR,and random forest(RF)models across multiple pollutants,including PM_(2.5),PM_(10),CO,NO_(2),SO_(2),and O_(3).The proposed method achieves lower prediction residuals,higher fitting accuracy,and better generalization,offering an efficient and practical solution for enhancing the quality of micro-sensor air monitoring data.展开更多
A brain tumor is a disease in which abnormal cells form a tumor in the brain.They are rare and can take many forms,making them difficult to treat,and the survival rate of affected patients is low.Magnetic resonance im...A brain tumor is a disease in which abnormal cells form a tumor in the brain.They are rare and can take many forms,making them difficult to treat,and the survival rate of affected patients is low.Magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)is a crucial tool for diagnosing and localizing brain tumors.However,themanual interpretation of MRI images is tedious and prone to error.As artificial intelligence advances rapidly,DL techniques are increasingly used in medical imaging to accurately detect and diagnose brain tumors.In this study,we introduce a deep convolutional neural network(DCNN)framework for brain tumor classification that uses EfficientNet-B6 as the backbone architecture and adds additional layers.The model achieved an accuracy of 99.10%on the public Brain Tumor MRI datasets,and we performed an ablation study to determine the optimal batch size,optimizer,loss function,and learning rate to maximize the accuracy and robustness of the model,followed by K-Fold cross-validation and testing the model on an independent dataset,and tuning Hyperparameters with Bayesian Optimization to further enhance the performance.When comparing our model to other deep learning(DL)models such as VGG19,MobileNetv2,ResNet50,InceptionV3,and DenseNet201,aswell as variants of the EfficientNetmodel(B1–B7),the results showthat our proposedmodel outperforms all othermodels.Our investigational results demonstrate superiority in terms of precision,recall/sensitivity,accuracy,specificity,and F1-score.Such innovations can potentially enhance clinical decision-making and patient treatment in neurooncological settings.展开更多
Machine learning(ML)has strong potential for soil settlement prediction,but determining hyperparameters for ML models is often intricate and laborious.Therefore,we apply Bayesian optimization to determine the optimal ...Machine learning(ML)has strong potential for soil settlement prediction,but determining hyperparameters for ML models is often intricate and laborious.Therefore,we apply Bayesian optimization to determine the optimal hyperparameter combinations,enhancing the effectiveness of ML models for soil parameter inversion.The ML models are trained using numerical simulation data generated with the modified Cam-Clay(MCC)model in ABAQUS software,and their performance is evaluated using ground settlement monitoring data from an airport runway.Five optimized ML models—decision tree(DT),random forest(RF),support vector regression(SVR),deep neural network(DNN),and one-dimensional convolutional neural network(1D-CNN)—are compared in terms of their accuracy for soil parameter inversion and settlement prediction.The results indicate that Bayesian optimization efficiently utilizes prior knowledge to identify the optimal hyperparameters,significantly improving model performance.Among the evaluated models,the 1D-CNN achieves the highest accuracy in soil parameter inversion,generating settlement predictions that closely match real monitoring data.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for soil parameter inversion and settlement prediction,and reveal how Bayesian optimization can refine the model selection process.展开更多
The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spat...The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal evolution of ES functions,as well as the trade-offs and synergies among these functions,remain poorly understood,constraining effective watershed-scale management.To address this challenge,this study quantified four ES functions,i.e.,water yield(WY),carbon storage(CS),habitat quality(HQ),and soil conservation(SC)in the Wuding River Basin from 1990 to 2020 using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff(InVEST)model,and proposed an innovative integration of InVEST with a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)to nonlinearly identify trade-off and synergy relationships among ES functions through probabilistic inference.A trade-off and synergy index(TSI)was developed to assess the spatial interaction intensity among ES functions,while sensitivity and scenario analyses were employed to determine key driving factors,followed by spatial optimization to delineate functional zones.Results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations:WY increased from 98.69 to 120.52 mm;SC rose to an average of 3.05×10^(4) t/hm^(2);CS remained relatively stable(about 15.50 t/km^(2));and HQ averaged 0.51 with localized declines.The BBN achieved a high accuracy of 81.9%and effectively identified strong synergies between WY and SC,as well as between CS and HQ,while clear trade-offs were observed between WY and SC versus CS and HQ.Sensitivity analysis indicated precipitation(variance reduction of 9.4%),land use(9.8%),and vegetation cover(9.1%)as key driving factors.Spatial optimization further showed that core supply and ecological regulation zones are concentrated in the central-southern and southeastern basin,while ecological strengthening and optimization core zones dominate the central-northern and southeastern margins,highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity.Overall,this study advances ES research by combining process-based quantification with probabilistic modeling,offering a robust framework for studying nonlinear interactions,driving mechanisms,and optimization strategies,and providing a transferable paradigm for watershed-scale ES management and ecological planning in arid and semi-arid areas.展开更多
In laser wakefield acceleration,injecting an external electron beam at a certain energy is a promising approach for achieving a high-quality electron beam with low energy spread and low emittance.In this paper,the pro...In laser wakefield acceleration,injecting an external electron beam at a certain energy is a promising approach for achieving a high-quality electron beam with low energy spread and low emittance.In this paper,the process of laser wakefield acceleration with an external injection at 10 pC has been studied in simulations.A Bayesian optimization method is used to optimize the key laser and plasma parameters so that the electron beam is accelerated to the expected energy with a small emittance and energy spread growth.The effect of the rising edge of the plasma on the transverse properties of the electron beam is simulated and optimized in order to ensure that the external electron beam is injected into the plasma without significant emittance growth.Finally,a high-quality electron beam with an energy of 1.5 GeV,a normalized transverse emittance of 0.5 mm·mrad and a relative energy spread of 0.5%at 10 pC is obtained.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.72401011).
文摘With the European Union(EU)introducing the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM),accurately forecasting EU carbon price is crucial for exporters to estimate export costs,plan low-carbon strategies,and mitigate trade risks.In the petroleum sector,carbon pricing directly influences upstream investment returns and carbon intensity targets,thereby closely linking emissions markets with fossil energy strategies.Existing models often fail to fully capture the nonlinear,non-stationary nature of carbon prices and their dependence on external factors.This study proposes a novel hybrid framework that combines improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise(ICEEMDAN)with gated recurrent unit-convolutional neural network-long short-term memory network-Bayesian optimization(GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO).Empirical results based on the EU emissions trading system(ETS)market demonstrate that the proposed model significantly improves forecasting accuracy.Among all experiments,the proposed GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO framework achieves the best performance,yielding the lowest MAE(1.3872),RMSE(1.7038),MAPE(0.0166),and MSPE(0.0004),as well as the highest R2(0.9400).Compared to all benchmark models,the GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO model achieves reductions in MAE and RMSE ranging from 5.38%to 63.65%and 8.97%to 64.41%,respectively.To further validate the generalization ability and predictive performance of the proposed model,it is also applied to China's ETS.The results show that the GRU-CNN-LSTM-BO model also performs very well in China's ETS.
基金financial support from High-end Foreign Expert Introduction program(No.G20190022002)Chongqing Construction Science and Technology Plan Project(2019-0045)as well as Chongqing Engineering Research Center of Disaster Prevention&Control for Banks and Structures in Three Gorges Reservoir Area(Nos.SXAPGC18ZD01 and SXAPGC18YB03)。
文摘Accurate assessment of undrained shear strength(USS)for soft sensitive clays is a great concern in geotechnical engineering practice.This study applies novel data-driven extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random forest(RF)ensemble learning methods for capturing the relationships between the USS and various basic soil parameters.Based on the soil data sets from TC304 database,a general approach is developed to predict the USS of soft clays using the two machine learning methods above,where five feature variables including the preconsolidation stress(PS),vertical effective stress(VES),liquid limit(LL),plastic limit(PL)and natural water content(W)are adopted.To reduce the dependence on the rule of thumb and inefficient brute-force search,the Bayesian optimization method is applied to determine the appropriate model hyper-parameters of both XGBoost and RF.The developed models are comprehensively compared with three comparison machine learning methods and two transformation models with respect to predictive accuracy and robustness under 5-fold cross-validation(CV).It is shown that XGBoost-based and RF-based methods outperform these approaches.Besides,the XGBoostbased model provides feature importance ranks,which makes it a promising tool in the prediction of geotechnical parameters and enhances the interpretability of model.
基金The authors express their appreciation to National Key Research and Development Project“Key Scientific Issues of Revolutionary Technology”(2019YFA0708300)Strategic Cooperation Technology Projects of CNPC and CUPB(ZLZX2020-03)+1 种基金Distinguished Young Foundation of National Natural Science Foundation of China(52125401)Science Foundation of China University of Petroleum,Beijing(2462022SZBH002).
文摘Many scholars have focused on applying machine learning models in bottom hole pressure (BHP) prediction. However, the complex and uncertain conditions in deep wells make it difficult to capture spatial and temporal correlations of measurement while drilling (MWD) data with traditional intelligent models. In this work, we develop a novel hybrid neural network, which integrates the Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and the Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) for predicting BHP fluctuations more accurately. The CNN structure is used to analyze spatial local dependency patterns and the GRU structure is used to discover depth variation trends of MWD data. To further improve the prediction accuracy, we explore two types of GRU-based structure: skip-GRU and attention-GRU, which can capture more long-term potential periodic correlation in drilling data. Then, the different model structures tuned by the Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm are compared and analyzed. Results indicate that the hybrid models can extract spatial-temporal information of data effectively and predict more accurately than random forests, extreme gradient boosting, back propagation neural network, CNN and GRU. The CNN-attention-GRU model with BO algorithm shows great superiority in prediction accuracy and robustness due to the hybrid network structure and attention mechanism, having the lowest mean absolute percentage error of 0.025%. This study provides a reference for solving the problem of extracting spatial and temporal characteristics and guidance for managed pressure drilling in complex formations.
基金supported under the Center for Subsurface Modeling Affiliates Program,United States of America and the National Science Foundation,United States of America(1911320,Collaborative Research:High-Fidelity Modeling of Poromechanics with Strong Discontinuities)。
文摘We present a framework that couples a high-fidelity compositional reservoir simulator with Bayesian optimization(BO)for injection well scheduling optimization in geological carbon sequestration.This work represents one of the first at tempts to apply BO and high-fidelity physics models to geological carbon storage.The implicit parallel accurate reservoir simulator(IPARS)is utilized to accurately capture the underlying physical processes during CO_(2)sequestration.IPARS provides a framework for several flow and mechanics models and thus supports both stand-alone and coupled simulations.In this work,we use the compositional flow module to simulate the geological carbon storage process.The compositional flow model,which includes a hysteretic three-phase relative permeability model,accounts for three major CO_(2)trapping mechanisms:structural trapping,residual gas trapping,and solubility trapping.Furthermore,IPARS is coupled to the International Business Machines(IBM)Corporation Bayesian Optimization Accelerator(BOA)for parallel optimizations of CO_(2)injection strategies during field-scale CO_(2)sequestration.BO builds a probabilistic surrogate for the objective function using a Bayesian machine learning algorithm-the Gaussian process regression,and then uses an acquisition function that leverages the uncertainty in the surrogate to decide where to sample.The IBM BOA addresses the three weaknesses of standard BO that limits its scalability in that IBM BOA supports parallel(batch)executions,scales better for high-dimensional problems,and is more robust to initializations.We demonstrate these merits by applying the algorithm in the optimization of the CO_(2)injection schedule in the Cranfield site in Mississippi,USA,using field data.The optimized injection schedule achieves 16%more gas storage volume and 56%less water/surfactant usage compared with the baseline.The performance of BO is compared with that of a genetic algorithm(GA)and a covariance matrix adaptation(CMA)-evolution strategy(ES).The results demonstrate the superior performance of BO,in that it achieves a competitive objective function value with over 60%fewer forward model evaluations.
基金supported by the Advance Production of Vaccine Raw Materials(Grant Nos.:20022404 and 20018168)funded by the Ministry of Trade,Industry&Energy(MOTIE,Korea)supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korean government(MSIT)(Grant No.:NRF-2018R1A5A2023127)Dongguk University Research Fund of 2023(Grant No.:S-2023-G0001-00099)。
文摘To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)were developed using an I-optimal design,where machine learning tools(XGBoost/Bayesian optimization and self-validated ensemble(SVEM))were used to optimize the process and predict lipid mix ratio.The investigation included material attributes,their respective ratios,and process attributes.The critical responses like particle size(PS),polydispersity index(PDI),Zeta potential,pKa,heat trend cycle,encapsulation efficiency(EE),recovery ratio,and encapsulated mRNA were evaluated.Overall prediction of SVEM(>97%)was comparably better than that of XGBoost/Bayesian optimization(>94%).Moreover,in actual experimental outcomes,SVEM prediction is close to the actual data as confirmed by the experimental PS(94-96 nm)is close to the predicted one(95-97 nm).The other parameters including PDI and EE were also close to the actual experimental data.
基金support from National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFC3905400)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA0490102)National Natural Science Foundation of China(22178354,2242100322408374).
文摘Integrating Bayesian Optimization with Volume of Fluid (VOF) simulations, this work aims to optimize the operational conditions and geometric parameters of T-junction microchannels for target droplet sizes. Bayesian Optimization utilizes Gaussian Process (GP) as its core model and employs an adaptive search strategy to efficiently explore and identify optimal combinations of operational parameters within a limited parameter space, thereby enabling rapid optimization of the required parameters to achieve the target droplet size. Traditional methods typically rely on manually selecting a series of operational parameters and conducting multiple simulations to gradually approach the target droplet size. This process is time-consuming and prone to getting trapped in local optima. In contrast, Bayesian Optimization adaptively adjusts its search strategy, significantly reducing computational costs and effectively exploring global optima, thus greatly improving optimization efficiency. Additionally, the study investigates the impact of rectangular rib structures within the T-junction microchannel on droplet generation, revealing how the channel geometry influences droplet formation and size. After determining the target droplet size, we further applied Bayesian Optimization to refine the rib geometry. The integration of Bayesian Optimization with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) offers a promising tool and provides new insights into the optimal design of microfluidic devices.
基金founded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42030109)the Startup Foundation for Doctors of Liaoning Province(2021-BS-275)+4 种基金the Scientific Study Project for Institutes of Higher LearningMinistry of EducationLiaoning Province(LJKMZ20220673)the Project supported by the State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earths'DynamicsInnovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology(SKLGED2023-3-2)。
文摘The application of Low Earth Orbit(LEO)satellite navigation can enhance geometric structure,increase observations and contribute to navigation and positioning.To improve the performance of the navigation constellation in China,this study proposes an optimized method of LEO-enhanced navigation constellation for BDS based on Bayesian optimization algorithm.In this paper,four different optimal LEO constellation configurations are designed,and their enhancements to BDS3 navigation performance are analyzed,including Geometric Dilution of Precision(GDOP),the numbers of visible satellites,and the rapid convergence of precision point positioning(PPP).Additionally,the enhancement advantages in China compared to other regions are further discussed.The results demonstrate that regional enhanced constellations with 70,72,80,and 81 satellites at an altitude of 1000 km can significantly improve the navigation performance of the navigation constellation.Globally,the addition of optimized LEO constellations has reduced the hybrid constellation GDOP by 19.0%,18.3%,19.9%,and 20.3%.Similar results can be obtained using the genetic algorithm(GA),but the computational efficiency of Bayesian optimization algorithm is 53.9%higher than that of the genetic algorithm.The number of visible satellites of enhanced constellations in China has increased by more than four on average,which is better than that in other regions.In the PPP experiment,the convergence time of the stations in China and other regions is shortened by 83.0%and 76.2%,respectively,and the navigation performance of hybrid constellations in China is better.
基金financially supported by the National Natu-ral Science Foundation of China(No.52301133)the China Post-doctoral Science Foundation(No.2023M730276)+1 种基金the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by China Association for Science and Technology(No.YESS20210415)the Graduate Innovation Pro-gram of Chongqing University of Science and Technology(No.YKJCX2320218).
文摘Designing compositions and processing of biodegradable magnesium(Mg)alloys to synergistically en-hance mechanical properties and corrosion resistance using conventional trial-and-error method is a challenging task.This study presents a Bayesian optimization(BO)-based multi-objective framework inte-grated with explainable machine learning(ML)to efficiently explore and optimize the high-dimensional design space of biodegradable Mg alloys.Using ultimate tensile strength(UTS),elongation(EL)and cor-rosion potential(E_(corr))as objective properties,the framework balances these conflicting objectives and identifies optimal solutions.A novel biodegradable Mg alloy(Mg-4.6Zn-0.3Y-0.2Mn-0.1Nd-0.1Gd,wt.%)was successfully designed,demonstrating a UTS of 320 MPa,EL of 22%and E_(corr) of−1.60 V(tested in 37℃ simulated body fluid).Compared to JDBM,the UTS has increased by 13 MPa,the EL has improved by 6.1%,and the E_(corr) has risen by 0.02 V.The experimental results presented close agreement with predicted values,validating the proposed framework.The Shapley Additive Explanation method was em-ployed to interpret the ML models,revealing extrusion temperature and Zn content as key parameters driving the optimization design.The strategy provided in this study is universal and offers a potential approach for addressing high-dimensional multi-objective optimization challenges in material develop-ment.
基金jointly funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42161024)the Central Financial Forestry and Grassland Science and Technology Extension Demonstration Project(2025)(Grant No.Xin[2025]TG 09)。
文摘Accurate quantification of carbon and water fluxes dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems is a critical scientific challenge for regional carbon neutrality assessments and sustainable water resource management.In this study,we developed a multi-flux global sensitivity discriminant index(D_(sen))by integrating the Biome-BGCMuSo model with eddy covariance flux observations.This index was combined with a Bayesian optimization algorithm to conduct parameter optimization.The results demonstrated that:(1)Sensitivity analysis identified 13 highly sensitive parameters affecting carbon and water fluxes.Among these,the canopy light extinction coefficient(k)and the fraction of leaf N in Rubisco(FLNR)exhibited significantly higher sensitivity to carbon fluxes(GPP,NEE,Reco;D_(sen)>10%)compared to water flux(ET).This highlights the strong dependence of carbon cycle simulations on vegetation physiological parameters.(2)The Bayesian optimization framework efficiently converged 30 parameter spaces within 50 iterations,markedly improving carbon fluxes simulation accuracy.The Kling-Gupta efficiency(KGE)values for Gross Primary Production(GPP),Net Ecosystem Exchange(NEE),and Total Respiration(Reco)increased by 44.94%,69.23%and 123%,respectively.The optimization prioritized highly sensitive parameters,underscoring the necessity of parameter sensitivity stratification.(3)The optimized model effectively reproduced carbon sink characteristics in mountain meadows during the growing season(cumulative NEE=-375 g C/m^(2)).It revealed synergistic carbon-water fluxes interactions governed by coupled photosynthesis-stomatal pathways and identified substrate supply limitations on heterotrophic respiration.This study proposes a novel multi-flux sensitivity index and an efficient optimization framework,elucidating the coupling mechanisms between vegetation physiological regulation(k,FLNR)and environmental stressors(VPD,SWD)in carbonwater cycles.The methodology offers a practical approach for arid ecosystem model optimization and provides theoretical insights for grassland management through canopy structure regulation and water-use efficiency enhancement.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.12102021,12372105,12172026,and 12225201)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities and the Academic Excellence Foundation of BUAA for PhD Students.
文摘Advanced programmable metamaterials with heterogeneous microstructures have become increasingly prevalent in scientific and engineering disciplines attributed to their tunable properties.However,exploring the structure-property relationship in these materials,including forward prediction and inverse design,presents substantial challenges.The inhomogeneous microstructures significantly complicate traditional analytical or simulation-based approaches.Here,we establish a novel framework that integrates the machine learning(ML)-encoded multiscale computational method for forward prediction and Bayesian optimization for inverse design.Unlike prior end-to-end ML methods limited to specific problems,our framework is both load-independent and geometry-independent.This means that a single training session for a constitutive model suffices to tackle various problems directly,eliminating the need for repeated data collection or training.We demonstrate the efficacy and efficiency of this framework using metamaterials with designable elliptical holes or lattice honeycombs microstructures.Leveraging accelerated forward prediction,we can precisely customize the stiffness and shape of metamaterials under diverse loading scenarios,and extend this capability to multi-objective customization seamlessly.Moreover,we achieve topology optimization for stress alleviation at the crack tip,resulting in a significant reduction of Mises stress by up to 41.2%and yielding a theoretical interpretable pattern.This framework offers a general,efficient and precise tool for analyzing the structure-property relationships of novel metamaterials.
基金funded by the National Key R&D Program of China,Grant No.2024YFF0504904.
文摘The packaging quality of coaxial laser diodes(CLDs)plays a pivotal role in determining their optical performance and long-term reliability.As the core packaging process,high-precision laser welding requires precise control of process parameters to suppress optical power loss.However,the complex nonlinear relationship between welding parameters and optical power loss renders traditional trial-and-error methods inefficient and imprecise.To address this challenge,a physics-informed(PI)and data-driven collaboration approach for welding parameter optimization is proposed.First,thermal-fluid-solid coupling finite element method(FEM)was employed to quantify the sensitivity of welding parameters to physical characteristics,including residual stress.This analysis facilitated the identification of critical factors contributing to optical power loss.Subsequently,a Gaussian process regression(GPR)model incorporating finite element simulation prior knowledge was constructed based on the selected features.By introducing physics-informed kernel(PIK)functions,stress distribution patterns were embedded into the prediction model,achieving high-precision optical power loss prediction.Finally,a Bayesian optimization(BO)algorithm with an adaptive sampling strategy was implemented for efficient parameter space exploration.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposedmethod effectively establishes explicit physical correlations between welding parameters and optical power loss.The optimized welding parameters reduced optical power loss by 34.1%,providing theoretical guidance and technical support for reliable CLD packaging.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62276055).
文摘Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62263014)the Yunnan Provincial Basic Research Project(202301AT070443,202401AT070344).
文摘Accurate identification of unknown internal parameters in photovoltaic(PV)cells is crucial and significantly affects the subsequent system-performance analysis and control.However,noise,insufficient data acquisition,and loss of recorded data can deteriorate the extraction accuracy of unknown parameters.Hence,this study proposes an intelligent parameter-identification strategy that integrates artificial ecosystem optimization(AEO)and a Bayesian neural network(BNN)for PV cell parameter extraction.A BNN is used for data preprocessing,including data denoising and prediction.Furthermore,the AEO algorithm is utilized to identify unknown parameters in the single-diode model(SDM),double-diode model(DDM),and three-diode model(TDM).Nine other metaheuristic algorithms(MhAs)are adopted for an unbiased and comprehensive validation.Simulation results show that BNN-based data preprocessing com-bined with effective MhAs significantly improve the parameter-extraction accuracy and stability compared with methods without data preprocessing.For instance,under denoised data,the accuracies of the SDM,DDM,and TDM increase by 99.69%,99.70%,and 99.69%,respectively,whereas their accuracy improvements increase by 66.71%,59.65%,and 70.36%,respectively.
文摘Miniature air quality sensors are widely used in urban grid-based monitoring due to their flexibility in deployment and low cost.However,the raw data collected by these devices often suffer from low accuracy caused by environmental interference and sensor drift,highlighting the need for effective calibration methods to improve data reliability.This study proposes a data correction method based on Bayesian Optimization Support Vector Regression(BO-SVR),which combines the nonlinear modeling capability of Support Vector Regression(SVR)with the efficient global hyperparameter search of Bayesian Optimization.By introducing cross-validation loss as the optimization objective and using Gaussian process modeling with an Expected Improvement acquisition strategy,the approach automatically determines optimal hyperparameters for accurate pollutant concentration prediction.Experiments on real-world micro-sensor datasets demonstrate that BO-SVR outperforms traditional SVR,grid search SVR,and random forest(RF)models across multiple pollutants,including PM_(2.5),PM_(10),CO,NO_(2),SO_(2),and O_(3).The proposed method achieves lower prediction residuals,higher fitting accuracy,and better generalization,offering an efficient and practical solution for enhancing the quality of micro-sensor air monitoring data.
基金funded by the King Saud University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia,for funding this work through the Researchers Supporting Research Funding program,(ORF-2025-1268).
文摘A brain tumor is a disease in which abnormal cells form a tumor in the brain.They are rare and can take many forms,making them difficult to treat,and the survival rate of affected patients is low.Magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)is a crucial tool for diagnosing and localizing brain tumors.However,themanual interpretation of MRI images is tedious and prone to error.As artificial intelligence advances rapidly,DL techniques are increasingly used in medical imaging to accurately detect and diagnose brain tumors.In this study,we introduce a deep convolutional neural network(DCNN)framework for brain tumor classification that uses EfficientNet-B6 as the backbone architecture and adds additional layers.The model achieved an accuracy of 99.10%on the public Brain Tumor MRI datasets,and we performed an ablation study to determine the optimal batch size,optimizer,loss function,and learning rate to maximize the accuracy and robustness of the model,followed by K-Fold cross-validation and testing the model on an independent dataset,and tuning Hyperparameters with Bayesian Optimization to further enhance the performance.When comparing our model to other deep learning(DL)models such as VGG19,MobileNetv2,ResNet50,InceptionV3,and DenseNet201,aswell as variants of the EfficientNetmodel(B1–B7),the results showthat our proposedmodel outperforms all othermodels.Our investigational results demonstrate superiority in terms of precision,recall/sensitivity,accuracy,specificity,and F1-score.Such innovations can potentially enhance clinical decision-making and patient treatment in neurooncological settings.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52378419 and 52478368).
文摘Machine learning(ML)has strong potential for soil settlement prediction,but determining hyperparameters for ML models is often intricate and laborious.Therefore,we apply Bayesian optimization to determine the optimal hyperparameter combinations,enhancing the effectiveness of ML models for soil parameter inversion.The ML models are trained using numerical simulation data generated with the modified Cam-Clay(MCC)model in ABAQUS software,and their performance is evaluated using ground settlement monitoring data from an airport runway.Five optimized ML models—decision tree(DT),random forest(RF),support vector regression(SVR),deep neural network(DNN),and one-dimensional convolutional neural network(1D-CNN)—are compared in terms of their accuracy for soil parameter inversion and settlement prediction.The results indicate that Bayesian optimization efficiently utilizes prior knowledge to identify the optimal hyperparameters,significantly improving model performance.Among the evaluated models,the 1D-CNN achieves the highest accuracy in soil parameter inversion,generating settlement predictions that closely match real monitoring data.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for soil parameter inversion and settlement prediction,and reveal how Bayesian optimization can refine the model selection process.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of Shaanxi Province Water Conservancy,China(2025slkj-10)the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province,China(S2025-JC-QN-2416).
文摘The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal evolution of ES functions,as well as the trade-offs and synergies among these functions,remain poorly understood,constraining effective watershed-scale management.To address this challenge,this study quantified four ES functions,i.e.,water yield(WY),carbon storage(CS),habitat quality(HQ),and soil conservation(SC)in the Wuding River Basin from 1990 to 2020 using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff(InVEST)model,and proposed an innovative integration of InVEST with a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)to nonlinearly identify trade-off and synergy relationships among ES functions through probabilistic inference.A trade-off and synergy index(TSI)was developed to assess the spatial interaction intensity among ES functions,while sensitivity and scenario analyses were employed to determine key driving factors,followed by spatial optimization to delineate functional zones.Results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations:WY increased from 98.69 to 120.52 mm;SC rose to an average of 3.05×10^(4) t/hm^(2);CS remained relatively stable(about 15.50 t/km^(2));and HQ averaged 0.51 with localized declines.The BBN achieved a high accuracy of 81.9%and effectively identified strong synergies between WY and SC,as well as between CS and HQ,while clear trade-offs were observed between WY and SC versus CS and HQ.Sensitivity analysis indicated precipitation(variance reduction of 9.4%),land use(9.8%),and vegetation cover(9.1%)as key driving factors.Spatial optimization further showed that core supply and ecological regulation zones are concentrated in the central-southern and southeastern basin,while ecological strengthening and optimization core zones dominate the central-northern and southeastern margins,highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity.Overall,this study advances ES research by combining process-based quantification with probabilistic modeling,offering a robust framework for studying nonlinear interactions,driving mechanisms,and optimization strategies,and providing a transferable paradigm for watershed-scale ES management and ecological planning in arid and semi-arid areas.
基金supported by Science and Technology Major Project of Hubei Province in China(No.2021AFB001)。
文摘In laser wakefield acceleration,injecting an external electron beam at a certain energy is a promising approach for achieving a high-quality electron beam with low energy spread and low emittance.In this paper,the process of laser wakefield acceleration with an external injection at 10 pC has been studied in simulations.A Bayesian optimization method is used to optimize the key laser and plasma parameters so that the electron beam is accelerated to the expected energy with a small emittance and energy spread growth.The effect of the rising edge of the plasma on the transverse properties of the electron beam is simulated and optimized in order to ensure that the external electron beam is injected into the plasma without significant emittance growth.Finally,a high-quality electron beam with an energy of 1.5 GeV,a normalized transverse emittance of 0.5 mm·mrad and a relative energy spread of 0.5%at 10 pC is obtained.
