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Prediction of undrained shear strength using extreme gradient boosting and random forest based on Bayesian optimization 被引量:71
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作者 Wengang Zhang Chongzhi Wu +2 位作者 Haiyi Zhong Yongqin Li Lin Wang 《Geoscience Frontiers》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第1期469-477,共9页
Accurate assessment of undrained shear strength(USS)for soft sensitive clays is a great concern in geotechnical engineering practice.This study applies novel data-driven extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random fo... Accurate assessment of undrained shear strength(USS)for soft sensitive clays is a great concern in geotechnical engineering practice.This study applies novel data-driven extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)and random forest(RF)ensemble learning methods for capturing the relationships between the USS and various basic soil parameters.Based on the soil data sets from TC304 database,a general approach is developed to predict the USS of soft clays using the two machine learning methods above,where five feature variables including the preconsolidation stress(PS),vertical effective stress(VES),liquid limit(LL),plastic limit(PL)and natural water content(W)are adopted.To reduce the dependence on the rule of thumb and inefficient brute-force search,the Bayesian optimization method is applied to determine the appropriate model hyper-parameters of both XGBoost and RF.The developed models are comprehensively compared with three comparison machine learning methods and two transformation models with respect to predictive accuracy and robustness under 5-fold cross-validation(CV).It is shown that XGBoost-based and RF-based methods outperform these approaches.Besides,the XGBoostbased model provides feature importance ranks,which makes it a promising tool in the prediction of geotechnical parameters and enhances the interpretability of model. 展开更多
关键词 Undrained shear strength Extreme gradient boosting Random forest bayesian optimization k-fold CV
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Bottom hole pressure prediction based on hybrid neural networks and Bayesian optimization 被引量:2
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作者 Chengkai Zhang Rui Zhang +4 位作者 Zhaopeng Zhu Xianzhi Song Yinao Su Gensheng Li Liang Han 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第6期3712-3722,共11页
Many scholars have focused on applying machine learning models in bottom hole pressure (BHP) prediction. However, the complex and uncertain conditions in deep wells make it difficult to capture spatial and temporal co... Many scholars have focused on applying machine learning models in bottom hole pressure (BHP) prediction. However, the complex and uncertain conditions in deep wells make it difficult to capture spatial and temporal correlations of measurement while drilling (MWD) data with traditional intelligent models. In this work, we develop a novel hybrid neural network, which integrates the Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and the Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) for predicting BHP fluctuations more accurately. The CNN structure is used to analyze spatial local dependency patterns and the GRU structure is used to discover depth variation trends of MWD data. To further improve the prediction accuracy, we explore two types of GRU-based structure: skip-GRU and attention-GRU, which can capture more long-term potential periodic correlation in drilling data. Then, the different model structures tuned by the Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm are compared and analyzed. Results indicate that the hybrid models can extract spatial-temporal information of data effectively and predict more accurately than random forests, extreme gradient boosting, back propagation neural network, CNN and GRU. The CNN-attention-GRU model with BO algorithm shows great superiority in prediction accuracy and robustness due to the hybrid network structure and attention mechanism, having the lowest mean absolute percentage error of 0.025%. This study provides a reference for solving the problem of extracting spatial and temporal characteristics and guidance for managed pressure drilling in complex formations. 展开更多
关键词 bottom hole pressure Spatial-temporal information Improved GRU Hybrid neural networks bayesian optimization
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基于Bayesian-Bagging-XGBoost算法的GFRP增强混凝土柱轴向承载力预测
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作者 唐培根 李小亮 +2 位作者 何鑫 马国辉 张祥 《复合材料科学与工程》 北大核心 2025年第9期98-109,共12页
由于钢筋与玻璃纤维增强聚合物(Glass Fiber Reinforced Polymer,GFRP)筋力学特性的差异,GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力计算不能简单套用钢筋混凝土柱计算方法。为提高GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力预测模型的准确性,以253组试验数据作... 由于钢筋与玻璃纤维增强聚合物(Glass Fiber Reinforced Polymer,GFRP)筋力学特性的差异,GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力计算不能简单套用钢筋混凝土柱计算方法。为提高GFRP筋增强混凝土柱轴压承载力预测模型的准确性,以253组试验数据作为极限梯度提升(XGBoost)算法建模的数据基础,并采用Bayesian优化算法、Bagging算法对XGBoost算法进行了优化,以提高模型的预测精度、稳定性和训练效率。采用决定系数(R^(2))、平均绝对误差(MAE)和相对根均方误差(RRSE)等指标对模型进行评价,并将其与现有预测模型进行对比分析。研究发现,Bayesian优化算法和Bagging算法可有效提高模型的训练效率、预测精度。所提出的Bayesian-Bagging-XGBoost模型的R^(2),MAE,RRSE值分别为0.6916,418.1629,0.5553,远优于现有预测模型指标,可为GFRP筋增强混凝土柱的工程应用提供更加准确的参考。 展开更多
关键词 bayesian优化 XGboost算法 GFRP增强混凝土柱 轴向承载力 预测
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Bayesian Optimization for Field-Scale Geological Carbon Storage 被引量:1
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作者 Xueying Lu Kirk E.Jordan +2 位作者 Mary F.Wheeler Edward O.Pyzer-Knapp Matthew Benatan 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS 2022年第11期96-104,共9页
We present a framework that couples a high-fidelity compositional reservoir simulator with Bayesian optimization(BO)for injection well scheduling optimization in geological carbon sequestration.This work represents on... We present a framework that couples a high-fidelity compositional reservoir simulator with Bayesian optimization(BO)for injection well scheduling optimization in geological carbon sequestration.This work represents one of the first at tempts to apply BO and high-fidelity physics models to geological carbon storage.The implicit parallel accurate reservoir simulator(IPARS)is utilized to accurately capture the underlying physical processes during CO_(2)sequestration.IPARS provides a framework for several flow and mechanics models and thus supports both stand-alone and coupled simulations.In this work,we use the compositional flow module to simulate the geological carbon storage process.The compositional flow model,which includes a hysteretic three-phase relative permeability model,accounts for three major CO_(2)trapping mechanisms:structural trapping,residual gas trapping,and solubility trapping.Furthermore,IPARS is coupled to the International Business Machines(IBM)Corporation Bayesian Optimization Accelerator(BOA)for parallel optimizations of CO_(2)injection strategies during field-scale CO_(2)sequestration.BO builds a probabilistic surrogate for the objective function using a Bayesian machine learning algorithm-the Gaussian process regression,and then uses an acquisition function that leverages the uncertainty in the surrogate to decide where to sample.The IBM BOA addresses the three weaknesses of standard BO that limits its scalability in that IBM BOA supports parallel(batch)executions,scales better for high-dimensional problems,and is more robust to initializations.We demonstrate these merits by applying the algorithm in the optimization of the CO_(2)injection schedule in the Cranfield site in Mississippi,USA,using field data.The optimized injection schedule achieves 16%more gas storage volume and 56%less water/surfactant usage compared with the baseline.The performance of BO is compared with that of a genetic algorithm(GA)and a covariance matrix adaptation(CMA)-evolution strategy(ES).The results demonstrate the superior performance of BO,in that it achieves a competitive objective function value with over 60%fewer forward model evaluations. 展开更多
关键词 Compositional flow bayesian optimization Geological carbon storage CCUS Machine learning AI for science
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Bayesian optimization of operational and geometric parameters of microchannels for targeted droplet generation
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作者 Zifeng Li Xiaoping Guan +3 位作者 Jingchang Zhang Qiang Guo Qiushi Xu Ning Yang 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 2025年第8期244-253,共10页
Integrating Bayesian Optimization with Volume of Fluid (VOF) simulations, this work aims to optimize the operational conditions and geometric parameters of T-junction microchannels for target droplet sizes. Bayesian O... Integrating Bayesian Optimization with Volume of Fluid (VOF) simulations, this work aims to optimize the operational conditions and geometric parameters of T-junction microchannels for target droplet sizes. Bayesian Optimization utilizes Gaussian Process (GP) as its core model and employs an adaptive search strategy to efficiently explore and identify optimal combinations of operational parameters within a limited parameter space, thereby enabling rapid optimization of the required parameters to achieve the target droplet size. Traditional methods typically rely on manually selecting a series of operational parameters and conducting multiple simulations to gradually approach the target droplet size. This process is time-consuming and prone to getting trapped in local optima. In contrast, Bayesian Optimization adaptively adjusts its search strategy, significantly reducing computational costs and effectively exploring global optima, thus greatly improving optimization efficiency. Additionally, the study investigates the impact of rectangular rib structures within the T-junction microchannel on droplet generation, revealing how the channel geometry influences droplet formation and size. After determining the target droplet size, we further applied Bayesian Optimization to refine the rib geometry. The integration of Bayesian Optimization with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) offers a promising tool and provides new insights into the optimal design of microfluidic devices. 展开更多
关键词 bayesian optimization VOF Microchannels CFD Rib structure Optimal design
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Low orbit regional enhanced navigation constellation for BDS3 design based on Bayesian optimization algorithm
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作者 Chunhua Jiang Zhenyu Luo +1 位作者 Meiqian Guan Huizhong Zhu 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2025年第5期558-568,共11页
The application of Low Earth Orbit(LEO)satellite navigation can enhance geometric structure,increase observations and contribute to navigation and positioning.To improve the performance of the navigation constellation... The application of Low Earth Orbit(LEO)satellite navigation can enhance geometric structure,increase observations and contribute to navigation and positioning.To improve the performance of the navigation constellation in China,this study proposes an optimized method of LEO-enhanced navigation constellation for BDS based on Bayesian optimization algorithm.In this paper,four different optimal LEO constellation configurations are designed,and their enhancements to BDS3 navigation performance are analyzed,including Geometric Dilution of Precision(GDOP),the numbers of visible satellites,and the rapid convergence of precision point positioning(PPP).Additionally,the enhancement advantages in China compared to other regions are further discussed.The results demonstrate that regional enhanced constellations with 70,72,80,and 81 satellites at an altitude of 1000 km can significantly improve the navigation performance of the navigation constellation.Globally,the addition of optimized LEO constellations has reduced the hybrid constellation GDOP by 19.0%,18.3%,19.9%,and 20.3%.Similar results can be obtained using the genetic algorithm(GA),but the computational efficiency of Bayesian optimization algorithm is 53.9%higher than that of the genetic algorithm.The number of visible satellites of enhanced constellations in China has increased by more than four on average,which is better than that in other regions.In the PPP experiment,the convergence time of the stations in China and other regions is shortened by 83.0%and 76.2%,respectively,and the navigation performance of hybrid constellations in China is better. 展开更多
关键词 LEO constellation design Orbit optimization bayesian optimization Precision point positioning(PPP)
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Bayesian optimization and explainable machine learning for High-dimensional multi-objective optimization of biodegradable magnesium alloys
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作者 Peng Peng Yi Peng +6 位作者 Fuguo Liu Shuai Long Cheng Zhang Aitao Tang Jia She Jianyue Zhang Fusheng Pan 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 2025年第35期132-145,共14页
Designing compositions and processing of biodegradable magnesium(Mg)alloys to synergistically en-hance mechanical properties and corrosion resistance using conventional trial-and-error method is a challenging task.Thi... Designing compositions and processing of biodegradable magnesium(Mg)alloys to synergistically en-hance mechanical properties and corrosion resistance using conventional trial-and-error method is a challenging task.This study presents a Bayesian optimization(BO)-based multi-objective framework inte-grated with explainable machine learning(ML)to efficiently explore and optimize the high-dimensional design space of biodegradable Mg alloys.Using ultimate tensile strength(UTS),elongation(EL)and cor-rosion potential(E_(corr))as objective properties,the framework balances these conflicting objectives and identifies optimal solutions.A novel biodegradable Mg alloy(Mg-4.6Zn-0.3Y-0.2Mn-0.1Nd-0.1Gd,wt.%)was successfully designed,demonstrating a UTS of 320 MPa,EL of 22%and E_(corr) of−1.60 V(tested in 37℃ simulated body fluid).Compared to JDBM,the UTS has increased by 13 MPa,the EL has improved by 6.1%,and the E_(corr) has risen by 0.02 V.The experimental results presented close agreement with predicted values,validating the proposed framework.The Shapley Additive Explanation method was em-ployed to interpret the ML models,revealing extrusion temperature and Zn content as key parameters driving the optimization design.The strategy provided in this study is universal and offers a potential approach for addressing high-dimensional multi-objective optimization challenges in material develop-ment. 展开更多
关键词 Biodegradable magnesium Alloy design Machine learning Multi-objective bayesian optimization
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Parameter sensitivity analysis and optimization of carbon and water fluxes in grassland ecosystems based on the Biome-BGCMuSo Model
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作者 TIAN Yujie JING Changqing +2 位作者 SHAO Yuqing WANG Xiaoyi ZHU Yuhao 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第11期3964-3977,共14页
Accurate quantification of carbon and water fluxes dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems is a critical scientific challenge for regional carbon neutrality assessments and sustainable water resource management.In t... Accurate quantification of carbon and water fluxes dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems is a critical scientific challenge for regional carbon neutrality assessments and sustainable water resource management.In this study,we developed a multi-flux global sensitivity discriminant index(D_(sen))by integrating the Biome-BGCMuSo model with eddy covariance flux observations.This index was combined with a Bayesian optimization algorithm to conduct parameter optimization.The results demonstrated that:(1)Sensitivity analysis identified 13 highly sensitive parameters affecting carbon and water fluxes.Among these,the canopy light extinction coefficient(k)and the fraction of leaf N in Rubisco(FLNR)exhibited significantly higher sensitivity to carbon fluxes(GPP,NEE,Reco;D_(sen)>10%)compared to water flux(ET).This highlights the strong dependence of carbon cycle simulations on vegetation physiological parameters.(2)The Bayesian optimization framework efficiently converged 30 parameter spaces within 50 iterations,markedly improving carbon fluxes simulation accuracy.The Kling-Gupta efficiency(KGE)values for Gross Primary Production(GPP),Net Ecosystem Exchange(NEE),and Total Respiration(Reco)increased by 44.94%,69.23%and 123%,respectively.The optimization prioritized highly sensitive parameters,underscoring the necessity of parameter sensitivity stratification.(3)The optimized model effectively reproduced carbon sink characteristics in mountain meadows during the growing season(cumulative NEE=-375 g C/m^(2)).It revealed synergistic carbon-water fluxes interactions governed by coupled photosynthesis-stomatal pathways and identified substrate supply limitations on heterotrophic respiration.This study proposes a novel multi-flux sensitivity index and an efficient optimization framework,elucidating the coupling mechanisms between vegetation physiological regulation(k,FLNR)and environmental stressors(VPD,SWD)in carbonwater cycles.The methodology offers a practical approach for arid ecosystem model optimization and provides theoretical insights for grassland management through canopy structure regulation and water-use efficiency enhancement. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon flux Water flux Biome-BGCMuSo model Sensitivity analysis bayesian optimization Grassland ecosystems
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Machine learning-encoded multiscale modelling and Bayesian optimization framework to design programmable metamaterials
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作者 Yizhe Liu Xiaoyan Li +1 位作者 Yuli Chen Bin Ding 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 2025年第1期226-245,共20页
Advanced programmable metamaterials with heterogeneous microstructures have become increasingly prevalent in scientific and engineering disciplines attributed to their tunable properties.However,exploring the structur... Advanced programmable metamaterials with heterogeneous microstructures have become increasingly prevalent in scientific and engineering disciplines attributed to their tunable properties.However,exploring the structure-property relationship in these materials,including forward prediction and inverse design,presents substantial challenges.The inhomogeneous microstructures significantly complicate traditional analytical or simulation-based approaches.Here,we establish a novel framework that integrates the machine learning(ML)-encoded multiscale computational method for forward prediction and Bayesian optimization for inverse design.Unlike prior end-to-end ML methods limited to specific problems,our framework is both load-independent and geometry-independent.This means that a single training session for a constitutive model suffices to tackle various problems directly,eliminating the need for repeated data collection or training.We demonstrate the efficacy and efficiency of this framework using metamaterials with designable elliptical holes or lattice honeycombs microstructures.Leveraging accelerated forward prediction,we can precisely customize the stiffness and shape of metamaterials under diverse loading scenarios,and extend this capability to multi-objective customization seamlessly.Moreover,we achieve topology optimization for stress alleviation at the crack tip,resulting in a significant reduction of Mises stress by up to 41.2%and yielding a theoretical interpretable pattern.This framework offers a general,efficient and precise tool for analyzing the structure-property relationships of novel metamaterials. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial neural network Multiscale computation bayesian optimization Inverse design Programmable metamaterials
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Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression with Bayesian Optimization for Laser Welding Quality Control in Coaxial Laser Diodes
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作者 Ziyang Wang Lian Duan +2 位作者 Lei Kuang Haibo Zhou Ji’an Duan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第8期2587-2604,共18页
The packaging quality of coaxial laser diodes(CLDs)plays a pivotal role in determining their optical performance and long-term reliability.As the core packaging process,high-precision laser welding requires precise co... The packaging quality of coaxial laser diodes(CLDs)plays a pivotal role in determining their optical performance and long-term reliability.As the core packaging process,high-precision laser welding requires precise control of process parameters to suppress optical power loss.However,the complex nonlinear relationship between welding parameters and optical power loss renders traditional trial-and-error methods inefficient and imprecise.To address this challenge,a physics-informed(PI)and data-driven collaboration approach for welding parameter optimization is proposed.First,thermal-fluid-solid coupling finite element method(FEM)was employed to quantify the sensitivity of welding parameters to physical characteristics,including residual stress.This analysis facilitated the identification of critical factors contributing to optical power loss.Subsequently,a Gaussian process regression(GPR)model incorporating finite element simulation prior knowledge was constructed based on the selected features.By introducing physics-informed kernel(PIK)functions,stress distribution patterns were embedded into the prediction model,achieving high-precision optical power loss prediction.Finally,a Bayesian optimization(BO)algorithm with an adaptive sampling strategy was implemented for efficient parameter space exploration.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposedmethod effectively establishes explicit physical correlations between welding parameters and optical power loss.The optimized welding parameters reduced optical power loss by 34.1%,providing theoretical guidance and technical support for reliable CLD packaging. 展开更多
关键词 Coaxial laser diodes laser welding physics-informed Gaussian process regression bayesian optimization
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Bayesian-based ant colony optimization algorithm for edge detection
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作者 YU Yongbin ZHONG Yuanjingyang +6 位作者 FENG Xiao WANG Xiangxiang FAVOUR Ekong ZHOU Chen CHENG Man WANG Hao WANG Jingya 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第4期892-902,共11页
Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of t... Ant colony optimization(ACO)is a random search algorithm based on probability calculation.However,the uninformed search strategy has a slow convergence speed.The Bayesian algorithm uses the historical information of the searched point to determine the next search point during the search process,reducing the uncertainty in the random search process.Due to the ability of the Bayesian algorithm to reduce uncertainty,a Bayesian ACO algorithm is proposed in this paper to increase the convergence speed of the conventional ACO algorithm for image edge detection.In addition,this paper has the following two innovations on the basis of the classical algorithm,one of which is to add random perturbations after completing the pheromone update.The second is the use of adaptive pheromone heuristics.Experimental results illustrate that the proposed Bayesian ACO algorithm has faster convergence and higher precision and recall than the traditional ant colony algorithm,due to the improvement of the pheromone utilization rate.Moreover,Bayesian ACO algorithm outperforms the other comparative methods in edge detection task. 展开更多
关键词 ant colony optimization(ACO) bayesian algorithm edge detection transfer function.
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Efficient identification of photovoltaic cell parameters via Bayesian neural network-artificial ecosystem optimization algorithm
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作者 Bo Yang Ruyi Zheng +2 位作者 Yucun Qian Boxiao Liang Jingbo Wang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2025年第2期316-337,共22页
Accurate identification of unknown internal parameters in photovoltaic(PV)cells is crucial and significantly affects the subsequent system-performance analysis and control.However,noise,insufficient data acquisition,a... Accurate identification of unknown internal parameters in photovoltaic(PV)cells is crucial and significantly affects the subsequent system-performance analysis and control.However,noise,insufficient data acquisition,and loss of recorded data can deteriorate the extraction accuracy of unknown parameters.Hence,this study proposes an intelligent parameter-identification strategy that integrates artificial ecosystem optimization(AEO)and a Bayesian neural network(BNN)for PV cell parameter extraction.A BNN is used for data preprocessing,including data denoising and prediction.Furthermore,the AEO algorithm is utilized to identify unknown parameters in the single-diode model(SDM),double-diode model(DDM),and three-diode model(TDM).Nine other metaheuristic algorithms(MhAs)are adopted for an unbiased and comprehensive validation.Simulation results show that BNN-based data preprocessing com-bined with effective MhAs significantly improve the parameter-extraction accuracy and stability compared with methods without data preprocessing.For instance,under denoised data,the accuracies of the SDM,DDM,and TDM increase by 99.69%,99.70%,and 99.69%,respectively,whereas their accuracy improvements increase by 66.71%,59.65%,and 70.36%,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Photovoltaic cell bayesian neural network Artificial ecosystem optimization Parameter identification
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Research on an Air Pollutant Data Correction Method Based on Bayesian Optimization Support Vector Machine
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作者 Xingfu Ou Miao Zhang Wenfeng Chen 《Journal of Electronic Research and Application》 2025年第4期190-203,共14页
Miniature air quality sensors are widely used in urban grid-based monitoring due to their flexibility in deployment and low cost.However,the raw data collected by these devices often suffer from low accuracy caused by... Miniature air quality sensors are widely used in urban grid-based monitoring due to their flexibility in deployment and low cost.However,the raw data collected by these devices often suffer from low accuracy caused by environmental interference and sensor drift,highlighting the need for effective calibration methods to improve data reliability.This study proposes a data correction method based on Bayesian Optimization Support Vector Regression(BO-SVR),which combines the nonlinear modeling capability of Support Vector Regression(SVR)with the efficient global hyperparameter search of Bayesian Optimization.By introducing cross-validation loss as the optimization objective and using Gaussian process modeling with an Expected Improvement acquisition strategy,the approach automatically determines optimal hyperparameters for accurate pollutant concentration prediction.Experiments on real-world micro-sensor datasets demonstrate that BO-SVR outperforms traditional SVR,grid search SVR,and random forest(RF)models across multiple pollutants,including PM_(2.5),PM_(10),CO,NO_(2),SO_(2),and O_(3).The proposed method achieves lower prediction residuals,higher fitting accuracy,and better generalization,offering an efficient and practical solution for enhancing the quality of micro-sensor air monitoring data. 展开更多
关键词 Air quality monitoring Data calibration Support vector regression bayesian optimization Machine learning
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Trade-off and synergy effects,driving factors,and spatial optimization of ecosystem services in the Wuding River Basin of China:A study based on the Bayesian Belief Network approach
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作者 FAN Liangwei WANG Ni +3 位作者 WANG Tingting LIU Zheng WAN Yong LI Zhiwei 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第12期1669-1693,共25页
The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spat... The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal evolution of ES functions,as well as the trade-offs and synergies among these functions,remain poorly understood,constraining effective watershed-scale management.To address this challenge,this study quantified four ES functions,i.e.,water yield(WY),carbon storage(CS),habitat quality(HQ),and soil conservation(SC)in the Wuding River Basin from 1990 to 2020 using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff(InVEST)model,and proposed an innovative integration of InVEST with a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)to nonlinearly identify trade-off and synergy relationships among ES functions through probabilistic inference.A trade-off and synergy index(TSI)was developed to assess the spatial interaction intensity among ES functions,while sensitivity and scenario analyses were employed to determine key driving factors,followed by spatial optimization to delineate functional zones.Results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations:WY increased from 98.69 to 120.52 mm;SC rose to an average of 3.05×10^(4) t/hm^(2);CS remained relatively stable(about 15.50 t/km^(2));and HQ averaged 0.51 with localized declines.The BBN achieved a high accuracy of 81.9%and effectively identified strong synergies between WY and SC,as well as between CS and HQ,while clear trade-offs were observed between WY and SC versus CS and HQ.Sensitivity analysis indicated precipitation(variance reduction of 9.4%),land use(9.8%),and vegetation cover(9.1%)as key driving factors.Spatial optimization further showed that core supply and ecological regulation zones are concentrated in the central-southern and southeastern basin,while ecological strengthening and optimization core zones dominate the central-northern and southeastern margins,highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity.Overall,this study advances ES research by combining process-based quantification with probabilistic modeling,offering a robust framework for studying nonlinear interactions,driving mechanisms,and optimization strategies,and providing a transferable paradigm for watershed-scale ES management and ecological planning in arid and semi-arid areas. 展开更多
关键词 ecosystem service functions trade-offs and synergies bayesian Belief Network spatial pattern optimization Wuding River Basin
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Simulation of laser plasma wakefield acceleration with external injection based on Bayesian optimization
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作者 Jianhua ZHONG Jiabao GUAN +3 位作者 Lanxin LIU Guoxing XIA Jike WANG Yuancun NIE 《Plasma Science and Technology》 2025年第4期22-29,共8页
In laser wakefield acceleration,injecting an external electron beam at a certain energy is a promising approach for achieving a high-quality electron beam with low energy spread and low emittance.In this paper,the pro... In laser wakefield acceleration,injecting an external electron beam at a certain energy is a promising approach for achieving a high-quality electron beam with low energy spread and low emittance.In this paper,the process of laser wakefield acceleration with an external injection at 10 pC has been studied in simulations.A Bayesian optimization method is used to optimize the key laser and plasma parameters so that the electron beam is accelerated to the expected energy with a small emittance and energy spread growth.The effect of the rising edge of the plasma on the transverse properties of the electron beam is simulated and optimized in order to ensure that the external electron beam is injected into the plasma without significant emittance growth.Finally,a high-quality electron beam with an energy of 1.5 GeV,a normalized transverse emittance of 0.5 mm·mrad and a relative energy spread of 0.5%at 10 pC is obtained. 展开更多
关键词 laser wakefield acceleration bayesian optimization external injection high quality electron beam(Some figures may appear in colour only in the online journal)
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Prediction on compression indicators of clay soils using XGBoost with Bayesian optimization
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作者 WU Hong-tao ZHANG Zi-long Daniel DIAS 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3914-3929,共16页
The determination of the compressibility of clay soils is a major concern during the design and construction of geotechnical engineering projects.Directly acquiring precise values of compression indicators from consol... The determination of the compressibility of clay soils is a major concern during the design and construction of geotechnical engineering projects.Directly acquiring precise values of compression indicators from consolidation tests is cumbersome and time-consuming.Based on experimental results from a series of index tests,this study presents a hybrid method that combines the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)model with the Bayesian optimization strategy to show the potential for achieving higher accuracy in predicting the compressibility indicators of clay soils.The results show that the proposed XGBoost model selected by Bayesian optimization can predict compression indicators more accurately and reliably than the artificial neural network(ANN)and support vector machine(SVM)models.In addition to the lowest prediction error,the proposed XGBoost-based method enhances the interpretability by feature importance analysis,which indicates that the void ratio is the most important factor when predicting the compressibility of clay soils.This paper highlights the promising prospect of the XGBoost model with Bayesian optimization for predicting unknown property parameters of clay soils and its capability to benefit the entire life cycle of engineering projects. 展开更多
关键词 machine learning clay soils compression indicators XGboost bayesian optimization
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Machine learning-driven optimization of mRNA-lipid nanoparticle vaccine quality with XGBoost/Bayesian method and ensemble model approaches
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作者 Ravi Maharjan Ki Hyun Kim +2 位作者 Kyeong Lee Hyo-Kyung Han Seong Hoon Jeong 《Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis》 CSCD 2024年第11期1645-1660,共16页
To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)... To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)were developed using an I-optimal design,where machine learning tools(XGBoost/Bayesian optimization and self-validated ensemble(SVEM))were used to optimize the process and predict lipid mix ratio.The investigation included material attributes,their respective ratios,and process attributes.The critical responses like particle size(PS),polydispersity index(PDI),Zeta potential,pKa,heat trend cycle,encapsulation efficiency(EE),recovery ratio,and encapsulated mRNA were evaluated.Overall prediction of SVEM(>97%)was comparably better than that of XGBoost/Bayesian optimization(>94%).Moreover,in actual experimental outcomes,SVEM prediction is close to the actual data as confirmed by the experimental PS(94-96 nm)is close to the predicted one(95-97 nm).The other parameters including PDI and EE were also close to the actual experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 Vaccine manufacturing Microfluidic device XGboost bayesian optimization Self-validated ensemble model
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Intelligent evaluation of mean cutting force of conical pick by boosting trees and Bayesian optimization
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作者 LIU Zi-da LIU Yong-ping +3 位作者 SUN Jing YANG Jia-ming YANG Bo LI Di-yuan 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3948-3964,共17页
Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important f... Conical picks are important tools for rock mechanical excavation.Mean cutting force(MCF)of conical pick determines the suitability of the target rock for mechanical excavation.Accurate evaluation of MCF is important for pick design and rock cutting.This study proposed hybrid methods composed of boosting trees and Bayesian optimization(BO)for accurate evaluation of MCF.220 datasets including uniaxial compression strength,tensile strength,tip angle(θ),attack angle,and cutting depth,were collected.Four boosting trees were developed based on the database to predict MCF.BO optimized the hyper-parameters of these boosting trees.Model evaluation suggested that the proposed hybrid models outperformed many commonly utilized machine learning models.The hybrid model composed of BO and categorical boosting(BO-CatBoost)was the best.Its outstanding performance was attributed to its advantages in dealing with categorical features(θincluded 6 types of angles and could be considered as categorical features).A graphical user interface was developed to facilitate the application of BO-CatBoost for the estimation of MCF.Moreover,the influences of the input parameters on the model and their relationship with MCF were analyzed.Whenθincreased from 80°to 90°,it had a significant contribution to the increase of MCF. 展开更多
关键词 rock cutting conical pick mean cutting force boosting trees bayesian optimization
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基于BO-XGBoost模型的衢州市浅层滑坡易发性评价 被引量:1
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作者 王凯 邬礼扬 +3 位作者 殷坤龙 曾韬睿 谢小旭 龚泉冰 《安全与环境工程》 北大核心 2025年第3期197-209,共13页
机器学习模型作为评估滑坡易发性的先进工具,其精度的提高是获得高质量易发性区划图的核心。为优化机器学习模型,克服传统模型在预测浅层滑坡方面的不足,提出了一种基于贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)的极端梯度提升树(extreme g... 机器学习模型作为评估滑坡易发性的先进工具,其精度的提高是获得高质量易发性区划图的核心。为优化机器学习模型,克服传统模型在预测浅层滑坡方面的不足,提出了一种基于贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)的极端梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)模型,用以评价衢州市的浅层滑坡易发性。首先,基于衢州市682处浅层滑坡的基础数据,选取坡度、坡向等10个指标构建指标因子体系;然后构建XGBoost模型,使用贝叶斯算法进行超参数优化;最后使用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线以及统计方式进行精度分析,并与其他的机器学习模型进行对比。结果表明:①BO-XGBoost模型(AUC=0.874)预测精度最高,比XGBoost模型性能提升了4.17%,且根据浅层滑坡在各易发性等级的分布情况,BO-XGBoost模型在极高易发区中浅层滑坡数占比最高,为36.80%,滑坡比率最高,为3.92;②衢州市浅层滑坡极高和高易发区主要分布于北部、南部和中部山区的道路和水系沿线区域;③土地利用类型为草地、居民点距离小于400 m、道路距离与水系距离小于150 m是衢州市浅层滑坡发育的主要影响因素。研究提出的模型显著优于传统方法,提高了滑坡易发性评价的准确性,为东部沿海山区的浅层滑坡易发性评价提供了一种新颖的技术方案。 展开更多
关键词 浅层滑坡 易发性评价 极端梯度提升树(XGboost) 贝叶斯优化(bo)
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基于BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost的阶跃式滑坡位移预测 被引量:1
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作者 周伟 李景娟 +3 位作者 李炎隆 蔡咏东 郑州 温立峰 《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第3期703-714,共12页
为精准预测阶跃式滑坡位移,建立贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)、变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)、极限梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和多项式(polynomial,P)的滑坡位移预测混合模型BOVMD-P... 为精准预测阶跃式滑坡位移,建立贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization,BO)、变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)、极限梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和多项式(polynomial,P)的滑坡位移预测混合模型BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost。采用BO优化VMD和K-means分解并重构监测位移为趋势位移和周期位移,轮廓系数用于确定K-means最佳簇数。考虑趋势位移和周期位移各自变化特性,利用多项式和BO优化XGBoost分别预测趋势位移和周期位移,将二者预测值的和作为最终预测值并进行精度评价。周期位移预测考虑了库水位、累积降雨、前期位移影响,并通过相关性矩阵和构造动态输入特征获得BOXGBoost模型的输入数据。基于白水河滑坡实例,验证BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost预测阶跃式滑坡位移的有效性和准确性。结果表明:BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost预测值和滑坡位移真实值相似度较高,表现出较高准确性和优异的泛化性能。因此,采用BOVMD-P-BOXGBoost能够精准预测阶跃式滑坡潜在位移,为滑坡风险防控提供参考借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 阶跃式滑坡 位移预测 贝叶斯优化 XGboost VMD
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