In traditional sensing,each parameter is treated as a real number in the signal demodulation,whereas the electric field of light is a complex number.The real and imaginary parts obey the Kramers-Kronig relationship,wh...In traditional sensing,each parameter is treated as a real number in the signal demodulation,whereas the electric field of light is a complex number.The real and imaginary parts obey the Kramers-Kronig relationship,which is expected to help further enhance sensing precision.We propose a self-Bayesian estimate of the method,aiming at reducing measurement variance.This method utilizes the intensity and phase of the parameter to be measured,achieving statistical optimization of the estimated value through Bayesian inference,effectively reducing the measurement variance.To demonstrate the effectiveness of this method,we adopted an optical fiber heterodyne interference sensing vibration measurement system.The experimental results show that the signal-to-noise ratio is effectively improved within the frequency range of 200 to 500 kHz.Moreover,it is believed that the self-Bayesian estimation method holds broad application prospects in various types of optical sensing.展开更多
The estimation of quantum phase differences plays an important role in quantum simulation and quantum computation,yet existing quantum phase estimation algorithms face critical limitations in noisy intermediate-scale ...The estimation of quantum phase differences plays an important role in quantum simulation and quantum computation,yet existing quantum phase estimation algorithms face critical limitations in noisy intermediate-scale quantum(NISQ)devices due to their excessive depth and circuit complexity.We demonstrate a high-precision phase difference estimation protocol based on the Bayesian phase difference estimation algorithm and single-photon projective measurement.The iterative framework of the algorithm,combined with the independence from controlled unitary operations,inherently mitigates circuit depth and complexity limitations.Through an experimental realization on the photonic system,we demonstrate high-precision estimation of diverse phase differences,showing root-mean-square errors(RMSE)below the standard quantum limit𝒪(1/√N)and reaching the Heisenberg scaling𝒪(1/N)after a certain number of iterations.Our scheme provides a critical advantage in quantum resource-constrained scenarios,and advances practical implementations of quantum information tasks under realistic hardware constraints.展开更多
Most of the existing direction of arrival(DOA)estimation algorithms are applied under the assumption that the array manifold is ideal.In practical engineering applications,the existence of non-ideal conditions such as...Most of the existing direction of arrival(DOA)estimation algorithms are applied under the assumption that the array manifold is ideal.In practical engineering applications,the existence of non-ideal conditions such as mutual coupling between array elements,array amplitude and phase errors,and array element position errors leads to defects in the array manifold,which makes the performance of the algorithm decline rapidly or even fail.In order to solve the problem of DOA estimation in the presence of amplitude and phase errors and array element position errors,this paper introduces the first-order Taylor expansion equivalent model of the received signal under the uniform linear array from the Bayesian point of view.In the solution,the amplitude and phase error parameters and the array element position error parameters are regarded as random variables obeying the Gaussian distribution.At the same time,the expectation-maximization algorithm is used to update the probability distribution parameters,and then the two error parameters are solved alternately to obtain more accurate DOA estimation results.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is verified by simulation and experiment.展开更多
Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB ...Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering.Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive(ST-CAR)model.Results Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000in 2019.Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong,particularly in Heyuan,Shanwei,and Shantou,while Shenzhen,Dongguan,and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta.The STCAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP)[Relative Risk(RR),0.91;95%Confidence Interval(CI):0.86–0.98],more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90-0.98),and higher per capita public expenditure(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90–0.97),with a marginal effect of population density(RR,0.86;95%CI:0.86–1.00).Conclusion The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally.Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection.Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control.展开更多
The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has signifi...The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has significantly advanced the analysis of ocular disease images,there is a need for a probabilistic model to generate the distributions of potential outcomes and thusmake decisions related to uncertainty quantification.Therefore,this study implements a Bayesian Convolutional Neural Networks(BCNN)model for predicting cataracts by assigning probability values to the predictions.It prepares convolutional neural network(CNN)and BCNN models.The proposed BCNN model is CNN-based in which reparameterization is in the first and last layers of the CNN model.This study then trains them on a dataset of cataract images filtered from the ocular disease fundus images fromKaggle.The deep CNN model has an accuracy of 95%,while the BCNN model has an accuracy of 93.75% along with information on uncertainty estimation of cataracts and normal eye conditions.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it can be a promising solution for cataract prediction with uncertainty estimation.展开更多
Dear Editor,The letter deals with the distributed state and fault estimation of the whole physical layer for cyber-physical systems(CPSs) when the cyber layer suffers from DoS attacks. With the advancement of embedded...Dear Editor,The letter deals with the distributed state and fault estimation of the whole physical layer for cyber-physical systems(CPSs) when the cyber layer suffers from DoS attacks. With the advancement of embedded computing, communication and related hardware technologies, CPSs have attracted extensive attention and have been widely used in power system, traffic network, refrigeration system and other fields.展开更多
We consider the problem of population estimation using capture-recapture data, where capture probabilities can vary between sampling occasions and behavioural responses. The original model is not identifiable without ...We consider the problem of population estimation using capture-recapture data, where capture probabilities can vary between sampling occasions and behavioural responses. The original model is not identifiable without further restrictions. The novelty of this article is to expand the current research practice by developing a hierarchical Bayesian approach with the assumption that the odds of recapture bears a constant relationship to the odds of initial capture. A real-data example of deer mice population is given to illustrate the proposed method. Three simulation studies are developed to inspect the performance of the proposed Bayesian estimates. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimates discussed in Chao et al. (2000), the hierarchical Bayesian estimate provides reasonably better population estimation with less mean square error;moreover, it is sturdy to underline relationship between the initial and re-capture probabilities. The sensitivity study shows that the proposed Bayesian approach is robust to the choice of hyper-parameters. The third simulation study reveals that both relative bias and relative RMSE approach zero as population size increases. A R-package is developed and used in both data example and simulation.展开更多
Gravity anomalies reflect the geophysical response to subsurface density structures.Traditionally,the terrain density is assumed to be a constant when calculating Bouguer gravity anomaly.But deviations from this assum...Gravity anomalies reflect the geophysical response to subsurface density structures.Traditionally,the terrain density is assumed to be a constant when calculating Bouguer gravity anomaly.But deviations from this assumption may induce high-frequency signals in the Bouguer gravity anomaly.This study introduces a Bayesian method for computing Bouguer gravity anomaly.It incorporates a smoothness prior for the Bouguer gravity anomaly and estimates near-surface density parameters to minimize the Akaike's Bayesian Information Criterion(ABIC)value.The effectiveness of this method is validated through theoretical model tests and calculations on two observed gravity profiles in Yunnan.The results indicate that the Bouguer gravity anomaly profiles estimated using the Bayesian approach need no extra filtering,exhibit correlations with the crustal structure along the profiles,and effectively reveal subsurface crustal density variations.Moreover,the obtained density variations offer insights into the near-surface rock density in different geological periods.Specifically,Cenozoic formations have a density of roughly 2.65–2.90 g·cm^(-3),Mesozoic formations 2.61-2.91 g·cm^(-3),and Paleozoic formations 2.61–2.92 g·cm^(-3).Magmatic rock regions generally show higher density values.Additionally,these estimated densities show a positive correlation with the global VS30 seismic velocity estimates,suggesting a new geophysical approach for seismic site classification.The findings of this study are significantly valuable for near-surface density estimation and Bouguer gravity anomaly calculations.展开更多
A machine learning approach based on Bayesian neural networks was developed to predict the complete fusion cross-sections of weakly bound nuclei.This method was trained and validated using 475 experimental data points...A machine learning approach based on Bayesian neural networks was developed to predict the complete fusion cross-sections of weakly bound nuclei.This method was trained and validated using 475 experimental data points from 39 reaction systems induced by ^(6,7)Li,^(9)Be,and ^(10)B.The constructed Bayesian neural network demonstrated a high degree of accuracy in evaluating complete fusion cross-sections.By comparing the predicted cross-sections with those obtained from a single-barrier penetration model,the suppression effect of ^(6,7)Li and ^(9)Be with a stable nucleus was systematically analyzed.In the cases of ^(6)Li and ^(7)Li,less suppression was predicted for relatively light-mass targets than for heavy-mass targets,and a notably distinct dependence relationship was identified,suggesting that the predominant breakup mechanisms might change in different mass target regions.In addition,minimum suppression factors were predicted to occur near target nuclei with neutron-closed shell.展开更多
An improved estimation of distribution algorithm(IEDA)is proposed in this paper for efficient design of metamaterial absorbers.This algorithm establishes a probability model through the selected dominant groups and sa...An improved estimation of distribution algorithm(IEDA)is proposed in this paper for efficient design of metamaterial absorbers.This algorithm establishes a probability model through the selected dominant groups and samples from the model to obtain the next generation,avoiding the problem of building-blocks destruction caused by crossover and mutation.Neighboring search from artificial bee colony algorithm(ABCA)is introduced to enhance the local optimization ability and improved to raise the speed of convergence.The probability model is modified by boundary correction and loss correction to enhance the robustness of the algorithm.The proposed IEDA is compared with other intelligent algorithms in relevant references.The results show that the proposed IEDA has faster convergence speed and stronger optimization ability,proving the feasibility and effectiveness of the algorithm.展开更多
Quantum phase estimation reveals the power of quantum resources to beat the standard quantum limit and has been widely used in many fields.To improve the precision of phase estimation,we discuss the optimal probe stat...Quantum phase estimation reveals the power of quantum resources to beat the standard quantum limit and has been widely used in many fields.To improve the precision of phase estimation,we discuss the optimal probe states for phase estimation with a fixed mean particle number.By searching for the maximum quantum Fisher information,we optimize the probe states,which are superior to the path-entangled Fock states.Comparing the mean particle number(n)with the dimension of the probe states in Fock space(N+1),when n≤N,our optimal probe states can provide a better performance than the n00n states.When n>N,our optimal probe states can also remain optimal if the dimension of the probe states is large enough.展开更多
The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spat...The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal evolution of ES functions,as well as the trade-offs and synergies among these functions,remain poorly understood,constraining effective watershed-scale management.To address this challenge,this study quantified four ES functions,i.e.,water yield(WY),carbon storage(CS),habitat quality(HQ),and soil conservation(SC)in the Wuding River Basin from 1990 to 2020 using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff(InVEST)model,and proposed an innovative integration of InVEST with a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)to nonlinearly identify trade-off and synergy relationships among ES functions through probabilistic inference.A trade-off and synergy index(TSI)was developed to assess the spatial interaction intensity among ES functions,while sensitivity and scenario analyses were employed to determine key driving factors,followed by spatial optimization to delineate functional zones.Results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations:WY increased from 98.69 to 120.52 mm;SC rose to an average of 3.05×10^(4) t/hm^(2);CS remained relatively stable(about 15.50 t/km^(2));and HQ averaged 0.51 with localized declines.The BBN achieved a high accuracy of 81.9%and effectively identified strong synergies between WY and SC,as well as between CS and HQ,while clear trade-offs were observed between WY and SC versus CS and HQ.Sensitivity analysis indicated precipitation(variance reduction of 9.4%),land use(9.8%),and vegetation cover(9.1%)as key driving factors.Spatial optimization further showed that core supply and ecological regulation zones are concentrated in the central-southern and southeastern basin,while ecological strengthening and optimization core zones dominate the central-northern and southeastern margins,highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity.Overall,this study advances ES research by combining process-based quantification with probabilistic modeling,offering a robust framework for studying nonlinear interactions,driving mechanisms,and optimization strategies,and providing a transferable paradigm for watershed-scale ES management and ecological planning in arid and semi-arid areas.展开更多
Gastric cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality and remains a major global health issue^([1]).Annually,approximately 479,000individuals in China are diagnosed with gastric cancer,accounting for a...Gastric cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality and remains a major global health issue^([1]).Annually,approximately 479,000individuals in China are diagnosed with gastric cancer,accounting for almost 45%of all new cases worldwide^([2]).展开更多
For target tracking and localization in bearing-only sensor network,it is an essential and significant challenge to solve the problem of plug-and-play expansion while stably enhancing the accuracy of state estimation....For target tracking and localization in bearing-only sensor network,it is an essential and significant challenge to solve the problem of plug-and-play expansion while stably enhancing the accuracy of state estimation.This paper pro-poses a distributed state estimation method based on two-layer factor graph.Firstly,the measurement model of the bearing-only sensor network is constructed,and by investigating the observ-ability and the Cramer-Rao lower bound of the system model,the preconditions are analyzed.Subsequently,the location fac-tor graph and cubature information filtering algorithm of sensor node pairs are proposed for localized estimation.Building upon this foundation,the mechanism for propagating confidence mes-sages within the fusion factor graph is designed,and is extended to the entire sensor network to achieve global state estimation.Finally,groups of simulation experiments are con-ducted to compare and analyze the results,which verifies the rationality,effectiveness,and superiority of the proposed method.展开更多
Cyber-physical systems(CPSs)are regarded as the backbone of the fourth industrial revolution,in which communication,physical processes,and computer technology are integrated.In modern industrial systems,CPSs are widel...Cyber-physical systems(CPSs)are regarded as the backbone of the fourth industrial revolution,in which communication,physical processes,and computer technology are integrated.In modern industrial systems,CPSs are widely utilized across various domains,such as smart grids,smart healthcare systems,smart vehicles,and smart manufacturing,among others.Due to their unique spatial distribution,CPSs are highly vulnerable to cyber-attacks,which may result in severe performance degradation and even system instability.Consequently,the security concerns of CPSs have attracted significant attention in recent years.In this paper,a comprehensive survey on the security issues of CPSs under cyber-attacks is provided.Firstly,mathematical descriptions of various types of cyberattacks are introduced in detail.Secondly,two types of secure estimation and control processing schemes,including robust methods and active methods,are reviewed.Thirdly,research findings related to secure control and estimation problems for different types of CPSs are summarized.Finally,the survey is concluded by outlining the challenges and suggesting potential research directions for the future.展开更多
The social progress index(SPI)measures social and environmental performance beyond traditional economic indicators,providing transparent and actionable insights into the true condition of societies.This study investig...The social progress index(SPI)measures social and environmental performance beyond traditional economic indicators,providing transparent and actionable insights into the true condition of societies.This study investigates the interdependencies among SPI components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance.Using a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)approach,the analysis explores the interdependencies among 12 SPI components(including advanced education,basic education,environmental quality,freedom and choice,health,housing,inclusive society,information and communications,nutrition and medical care,rights and voice,safety,and water and sanitation)and their collective influence on sustainability performance.Data from the Sustainable Development Report and SPI datasets,covering 162 countries(including Australia,China,United Arab Emirates,United Kingdom,United States,and so on),were used to assess the relative importance of each SPI component.The key findings indicate that advanced education,inclusive society,and freedom and choice make substantial contributions to high sustainability performance,whereas deficiencies in nutrition and medical care,water and sanitation,and freedom and choice are associated with poor sustainability performance.The results reveal that sustainability performance is shaped by a network of interlinked SPI components,with education and inclusion emerging as key levers for progress.The study emphasizes that targeted improvements in specific SPI components can significantly enhance a country’s overall sustainability performance.Rather than visualizing countries’progress through composite indicator-based heat maps,this study explores the interdependencies among SPI components and their role in sustainability performance at the global level.The study underscores the importance of a multidimensional policy approach that addresses social and environmental factors to enhance sustainability.The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how SPI components interact and shape sustainable development.展开更多
Sentiment word embedding has been extensively studied and used in sentiment analysis tasks.However,most existing models have failed to differentiate high-frequency and low-frequency words.Accordingly,the sentiment inf...Sentiment word embedding has been extensively studied and used in sentiment analysis tasks.However,most existing models have failed to differentiate high-frequency and low-frequency words.Accordingly,the sentiment information of low-frequency words is insufficiently captured,thus resulting in inaccurate sentiment word embedding and degradation of overall performance of sentiment analysis.A Bayesian estimation-based sentiment word embedding(BESWE)model,which aims to precisely extract the sentiment information of low-frequency words,has been proposed.In the model,a Bayesian estimator is constructed based on the co-occurrence probabilities and sentiment proba-bilities of words,and a novel loss function is defined for sentiment word embedding learning.The experimental results based on the sentiment lexicons and Movie Review dataset show that BESWE outperforms many state-of-the-art methods,for example,C&W,CBOW,GloVe,SE-HyRank and DLJT1,in sentiment analysis tasks,which demonstrate that Bayesian estimation can effectively capture the sentiment information of low-frequency words and integrate the sentiment information into the word embedding through the loss function.In addition,replacing the embedding of low-frequency words in the state-of-the-art methods with BESWE can significantly improve the performance of those methods in sentiment analysis tasks.展开更多
The state estimation of the flexible multibody systems is a vital issue since it is the base of effective control and condition monitoring.The research on the state estimation method of flexible multibody system with ...The state estimation of the flexible multibody systems is a vital issue since it is the base of effective control and condition monitoring.The research on the state estimation method of flexible multibody system with large deformation and large rotation remains rare.In this investigation,a state estimator based on multiple nonlinear Kalman filtering algorithms was designed for the flexible multibody systems containing large flexibility components that were discretized by absolute nodal coordinate formulation(ANCF).The state variable vector was constructed based on the independent coordinates which are identified through the constraint Jacobian.Three types of Kalman filters were used to compare their performance in the state estimation for ANCF.Three cases including flexible planar rotating beam,flexible four-bar mechanism,and flexible rotating shaft were employed to verify the proposed state estimator.According to the different performances of the three types of Kalman filter,suggestions were given for the construction of the state estimator for the flexible multibody system.展开更多
A distributed bearing-only target tracking algorithm based on variational Bayesian inference(VBI)under random measurement anomalies is proposed for the problem of adverse effect of random measurement anomalies on the ...A distributed bearing-only target tracking algorithm based on variational Bayesian inference(VBI)under random measurement anomalies is proposed for the problem of adverse effect of random measurement anomalies on the state estimation accuracy of moving targets in bearing-only tracking scenarios.Firstly,the measurement information of each sensor is complemented by using triangulation under the distributed framework.Secondly,the Student-t distribution is selected to model the measurement likelihood probability density function,and the joint posteriori probability density function of the estimated variables is approximately decoupled by VBI.Finally,the estimation results of each local filter are sent to the fusion center and fed back to each local filter.The simulation results show that the proposed distributed bearing-only target tracking algorithm based on VBI in the presence of abnormal measurement noise comprehensively considers the influence of system nonlinearity and random anomaly of measurement noise,and has higher estimation accuracy and robustness than other existing algorithms in the above scenarios.展开更多
Advancements in animal behavior quantification methods have driven the development of computational ethology,enabling fully automated behavior analysis.Existing multianimal pose estimation workflows rely on tracking-b...Advancements in animal behavior quantification methods have driven the development of computational ethology,enabling fully automated behavior analysis.Existing multianimal pose estimation workflows rely on tracking-bydetection frameworks for either bottom-up or top-down approaches,requiring retraining to accommodate diverse animal appearances.This study introduces InteBOMB,an integrated workflow that enhances top-down approaches by incorporating generic object tracking,eliminating the need for prior knowledge of target animals while maintaining broad generalizability.InteBOMB includes two key strategies for tracking and segmentation in laboratory environments and two techniques for pose estimation in natural settings.The“background enhancement”strategy optimizesforeground-backgroundcontrastiveloss,generating more discriminative correlation maps.The“online proofreading”strategy stores human-in-the-loop long-term memory and dynamic short-term memory,enabling adaptive updates to object visual features.The“automated labeling suggestion”technique reuses the visual features saved during tracking to identify representative frames for training set labeling.Additionally,the“joint behavior analysis”technique integrates these features with multimodal data,expanding the latent space for behavior classification and clustering.To evaluate the framework,six datasets of mice and six datasets of nonhuman primates were compiled,covering laboratory and natural scenes.Benchmarking results demonstrated a24%improvement in zero-shot generic tracking and a 21%enhancement in joint latent space performance across datasets,highlighting the effectiveness of this approach in robust,generalizable behavior analysis.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Plan of China(Grant No.2022YFB3207402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U1833104 and 61735011).
文摘In traditional sensing,each parameter is treated as a real number in the signal demodulation,whereas the electric field of light is a complex number.The real and imaginary parts obey the Kramers-Kronig relationship,which is expected to help further enhance sensing precision.We propose a self-Bayesian estimate of the method,aiming at reducing measurement variance.This method utilizes the intensity and phase of the parameter to be measured,achieving statistical optimization of the estimated value through Bayesian inference,effectively reducing the measurement variance.To demonstrate the effectiveness of this method,we adopted an optical fiber heterodyne interference sensing vibration measurement system.The experimental results show that the signal-to-noise ratio is effectively improved within the frequency range of 200 to 500 kHz.Moreover,it is believed that the self-Bayesian estimation method holds broad application prospects in various types of optical sensing.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(Grant Nos.BK20233001 and BK20243060)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62288101)。
文摘The estimation of quantum phase differences plays an important role in quantum simulation and quantum computation,yet existing quantum phase estimation algorithms face critical limitations in noisy intermediate-scale quantum(NISQ)devices due to their excessive depth and circuit complexity.We demonstrate a high-precision phase difference estimation protocol based on the Bayesian phase difference estimation algorithm and single-photon projective measurement.The iterative framework of the algorithm,combined with the independence from controlled unitary operations,inherently mitigates circuit depth and complexity limitations.Through an experimental realization on the photonic system,we demonstrate high-precision estimation of diverse phase differences,showing root-mean-square errors(RMSE)below the standard quantum limit𝒪(1/√N)and reaching the Heisenberg scaling𝒪(1/N)after a certain number of iterations.Our scheme provides a critical advantage in quantum resource-constrained scenarios,and advances practical implementations of quantum information tasks under realistic hardware constraints.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (62071144)
文摘Most of the existing direction of arrival(DOA)estimation algorithms are applied under the assumption that the array manifold is ideal.In practical engineering applications,the existence of non-ideal conditions such as mutual coupling between array elements,array amplitude and phase errors,and array element position errors leads to defects in the array manifold,which makes the performance of the algorithm decline rapidly or even fail.In order to solve the problem of DOA estimation in the presence of amplitude and phase errors and array element position errors,this paper introduces the first-order Taylor expansion equivalent model of the received signal under the uniform linear array from the Bayesian point of view.In the solution,the amplitude and phase error parameters and the array element position error parameters are regarded as random variables obeying the Gaussian distribution.At the same time,the expectation-maximization algorithm is used to update the probability distribution parameters,and then the two error parameters are solved alternately to obtain more accurate DOA estimation results.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is verified by simulation and experiment.
基金supported by the Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Tuberculosis(No.2020B1111170014)。
文摘Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering.Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive(ST-CAR)model.Results Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000in 2019.Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong,particularly in Heyuan,Shanwei,and Shantou,while Shenzhen,Dongguan,and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta.The STCAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP)[Relative Risk(RR),0.91;95%Confidence Interval(CI):0.86–0.98],more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90-0.98),and higher per capita public expenditure(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90–0.97),with a marginal effect of population density(RR,0.86;95%CI:0.86–1.00).Conclusion The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally.Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection.Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control.
基金Saudi Arabia for funding this work through Small Research Group Project under Grant Number RGP.1/316/45.
文摘The effective and timely diagnosis and treatment of ocular diseases are key to the rapid recovery of patients.Today,the mass disease that needs attention in this context is cataracts.Although deep learning has significantly advanced the analysis of ocular disease images,there is a need for a probabilistic model to generate the distributions of potential outcomes and thusmake decisions related to uncertainty quantification.Therefore,this study implements a Bayesian Convolutional Neural Networks(BCNN)model for predicting cataracts by assigning probability values to the predictions.It prepares convolutional neural network(CNN)and BCNN models.The proposed BCNN model is CNN-based in which reparameterization is in the first and last layers of the CNN model.This study then trains them on a dataset of cataract images filtered from the ocular disease fundus images fromKaggle.The deep CNN model has an accuracy of 95%,while the BCNN model has an accuracy of 93.75% along with information on uncertainty estimation of cataracts and normal eye conditions.When compared with other methods,the proposed work reveals that it can be a promising solution for cataract prediction with uncertainty estimation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62303273,62373226)the National Research Foundation,Singapore through the Medium Sized Center for Advanced Robotics Technology Innovation(WP2.7)
文摘Dear Editor,The letter deals with the distributed state and fault estimation of the whole physical layer for cyber-physical systems(CPSs) when the cyber layer suffers from DoS attacks. With the advancement of embedded computing, communication and related hardware technologies, CPSs have attracted extensive attention and have been widely used in power system, traffic network, refrigeration system and other fields.
文摘We consider the problem of population estimation using capture-recapture data, where capture probabilities can vary between sampling occasions and behavioural responses. The original model is not identifiable without further restrictions. The novelty of this article is to expand the current research practice by developing a hierarchical Bayesian approach with the assumption that the odds of recapture bears a constant relationship to the odds of initial capture. A real-data example of deer mice population is given to illustrate the proposed method. Three simulation studies are developed to inspect the performance of the proposed Bayesian estimates. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimates discussed in Chao et al. (2000), the hierarchical Bayesian estimate provides reasonably better population estimation with less mean square error;moreover, it is sturdy to underline relationship between the initial and re-capture probabilities. The sensitivity study shows that the proposed Bayesian approach is robust to the choice of hyper-parameters. The third simulation study reveals that both relative bias and relative RMSE approach zero as population size increases. A R-package is developed and used in both data example and simulation.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFE0101800)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Young Scientists Fund,42450233,General Program,42474120)+3 种基金the Basic Scientific Research Fund Special Project of the Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration(DQJB24B20)the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing(Grant No.1242033)the Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin(25JCQNJC00540)the National Science and Technology Major Project for Deep Earth Probe and Mineral Resources Exploration(2024ZD1002700).
文摘Gravity anomalies reflect the geophysical response to subsurface density structures.Traditionally,the terrain density is assumed to be a constant when calculating Bouguer gravity anomaly.But deviations from this assumption may induce high-frequency signals in the Bouguer gravity anomaly.This study introduces a Bayesian method for computing Bouguer gravity anomaly.It incorporates a smoothness prior for the Bouguer gravity anomaly and estimates near-surface density parameters to minimize the Akaike's Bayesian Information Criterion(ABIC)value.The effectiveness of this method is validated through theoretical model tests and calculations on two observed gravity profiles in Yunnan.The results indicate that the Bouguer gravity anomaly profiles estimated using the Bayesian approach need no extra filtering,exhibit correlations with the crustal structure along the profiles,and effectively reveal subsurface crustal density variations.Moreover,the obtained density variations offer insights into the near-surface rock density in different geological periods.Specifically,Cenozoic formations have a density of roughly 2.65–2.90 g·cm^(-3),Mesozoic formations 2.61-2.91 g·cm^(-3),and Paleozoic formations 2.61–2.92 g·cm^(-3).Magmatic rock regions generally show higher density values.Additionally,these estimated densities show a positive correlation with the global VS30 seismic velocity estimates,suggesting a new geophysical approach for seismic site classification.The findings of this study are significantly valuable for near-surface density estimation and Bouguer gravity anomaly calculations.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12105080 and 12375123)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2023M731015)Natural Science Foundation of Henan Province(No.242300422048).
文摘A machine learning approach based on Bayesian neural networks was developed to predict the complete fusion cross-sections of weakly bound nuclei.This method was trained and validated using 475 experimental data points from 39 reaction systems induced by ^(6,7)Li,^(9)Be,and ^(10)B.The constructed Bayesian neural network demonstrated a high degree of accuracy in evaluating complete fusion cross-sections.By comparing the predicted cross-sections with those obtained from a single-barrier penetration model,the suppression effect of ^(6,7)Li and ^(9)Be with a stable nucleus was systematically analyzed.In the cases of ^(6)Li and ^(7)Li,less suppression was predicted for relatively light-mass targets than for heavy-mass targets,and a notably distinct dependence relationship was identified,suggesting that the predominant breakup mechanisms might change in different mass target regions.In addition,minimum suppression factors were predicted to occur near target nuclei with neutron-closed shell.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(2021YFB3502500).
文摘An improved estimation of distribution algorithm(IEDA)is proposed in this paper for efficient design of metamaterial absorbers.This algorithm establishes a probability model through the selected dominant groups and samples from the model to obtain the next generation,avoiding the problem of building-blocks destruction caused by crossover and mutation.Neighboring search from artificial bee colony algorithm(ABCA)is introduced to enhance the local optimization ability and improved to raise the speed of convergence.The probability model is modified by boundary correction and loss correction to enhance the robustness of the algorithm.The proposed IEDA is compared with other intelligent algorithms in relevant references.The results show that the proposed IEDA has faster convergence speed and stronger optimization ability,proving the feasibility and effectiveness of the algorithm.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12405026)the Natural Science Foundation of Hangzhou(Grant No.2024SZRYBA050001)。
文摘Quantum phase estimation reveals the power of quantum resources to beat the standard quantum limit and has been widely used in many fields.To improve the precision of phase estimation,we discuss the optimal probe states for phase estimation with a fixed mean particle number.By searching for the maximum quantum Fisher information,we optimize the probe states,which are superior to the path-entangled Fock states.Comparing the mean particle number(n)with the dimension of the probe states in Fock space(N+1),when n≤N,our optimal probe states can provide a better performance than the n00n states.When n>N,our optimal probe states can also remain optimal if the dimension of the probe states is large enough.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of Shaanxi Province Water Conservancy,China(2025slkj-10)the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province,China(S2025-JC-QN-2416).
文摘The Wuding River Basin,situated in the Loess Plateau of northern China,is an ecologically fragile region facing severe soil erosion and imbalanced ecosystem service(ES)functions.However,the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal evolution of ES functions,as well as the trade-offs and synergies among these functions,remain poorly understood,constraining effective watershed-scale management.To address this challenge,this study quantified four ES functions,i.e.,water yield(WY),carbon storage(CS),habitat quality(HQ),and soil conservation(SC)in the Wuding River Basin from 1990 to 2020 using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff(InVEST)model,and proposed an innovative integration of InVEST with a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)to nonlinearly identify trade-off and synergy relationships among ES functions through probabilistic inference.A trade-off and synergy index(TSI)was developed to assess the spatial interaction intensity among ES functions,while sensitivity and scenario analyses were employed to determine key driving factors,followed by spatial optimization to delineate functional zones.Results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations:WY increased from 98.69 to 120.52 mm;SC rose to an average of 3.05×10^(4) t/hm^(2);CS remained relatively stable(about 15.50 t/km^(2));and HQ averaged 0.51 with localized declines.The BBN achieved a high accuracy of 81.9%and effectively identified strong synergies between WY and SC,as well as between CS and HQ,while clear trade-offs were observed between WY and SC versus CS and HQ.Sensitivity analysis indicated precipitation(variance reduction of 9.4%),land use(9.8%),and vegetation cover(9.1%)as key driving factors.Spatial optimization further showed that core supply and ecological regulation zones are concentrated in the central-southern and southeastern basin,while ecological strengthening and optimization core zones dominate the central-northern and southeastern margins,highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity.Overall,this study advances ES research by combining process-based quantification with probabilistic modeling,offering a robust framework for studying nonlinear interactions,driving mechanisms,and optimization strategies,and providing a transferable paradigm for watershed-scale ES management and ecological planning in arid and semi-arid areas.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai(23ZR1463600)Shanghai Pudong New Area Health Commission Research Project(PW2021A-69)Research Project of Clinical Research Center of Shanghai Health Medical University(22MC2022002)。
文摘Gastric cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality and remains a major global health issue^([1]).Annually,approximately 479,000individuals in China are diagnosed with gastric cancer,accounting for almost 45%of all new cases worldwide^([2]).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62176214).
文摘For target tracking and localization in bearing-only sensor network,it is an essential and significant challenge to solve the problem of plug-and-play expansion while stably enhancing the accuracy of state estimation.This paper pro-poses a distributed state estimation method based on two-layer factor graph.Firstly,the measurement model of the bearing-only sensor network is constructed,and by investigating the observ-ability and the Cramer-Rao lower bound of the system model,the preconditions are analyzed.Subsequently,the location fac-tor graph and cubature information filtering algorithm of sensor node pairs are proposed for localized estimation.Building upon this foundation,the mechanism for propagating confidence mes-sages within the fusion factor graph is designed,and is extended to the entire sensor network to achieve global state estimation.Finally,groups of simulation experiments are con-ducted to compare and analyze the results,which verifies the rationality,effectiveness,and superiority of the proposed method.
文摘Cyber-physical systems(CPSs)are regarded as the backbone of the fourth industrial revolution,in which communication,physical processes,and computer technology are integrated.In modern industrial systems,CPSs are widely utilized across various domains,such as smart grids,smart healthcare systems,smart vehicles,and smart manufacturing,among others.Due to their unique spatial distribution,CPSs are highly vulnerable to cyber-attacks,which may result in severe performance degradation and even system instability.Consequently,the security concerns of CPSs have attracted significant attention in recent years.In this paper,a comprehensive survey on the security issues of CPSs under cyber-attacks is provided.Firstly,mathematical descriptions of various types of cyberattacks are introduced in detail.Secondly,two types of secure estimation and control processing schemes,including robust methods and active methods,are reviewed.Thirdly,research findings related to secure control and estimation problems for different types of CPSs are summarized.Finally,the survey is concluded by outlining the challenges and suggesting potential research directions for the future.
基金the resources and support provided by the American University of Sharjah to conduct this research
文摘The social progress index(SPI)measures social and environmental performance beyond traditional economic indicators,providing transparent and actionable insights into the true condition of societies.This study investigates the interdependencies among SPI components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance.Using a Bayesian Belief Network(BBN)approach,the analysis explores the interdependencies among 12 SPI components(including advanced education,basic education,environmental quality,freedom and choice,health,housing,inclusive society,information and communications,nutrition and medical care,rights and voice,safety,and water and sanitation)and their collective influence on sustainability performance.Data from the Sustainable Development Report and SPI datasets,covering 162 countries(including Australia,China,United Arab Emirates,United Kingdom,United States,and so on),were used to assess the relative importance of each SPI component.The key findings indicate that advanced education,inclusive society,and freedom and choice make substantial contributions to high sustainability performance,whereas deficiencies in nutrition and medical care,water and sanitation,and freedom and choice are associated with poor sustainability performance.The results reveal that sustainability performance is shaped by a network of interlinked SPI components,with education and inclusion emerging as key levers for progress.The study emphasizes that targeted improvements in specific SPI components can significantly enhance a country’s overall sustainability performance.Rather than visualizing countries’progress through composite indicator-based heat maps,this study explores the interdependencies among SPI components and their role in sustainability performance at the global level.The study underscores the importance of a multidimensional policy approach that addresses social and environmental factors to enhance sustainability.The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how SPI components interact and shape sustainable development.
基金Funding information National Statistical Science Research Project of China,Grant/Award Number:2016LY98Science and Technology Department of Guangdong Province in China,Grant/Award Numbers:2016A010101020,2016A010101021,2016A010101022+2 种基金Characteristic Innovation Projects of Guangdong Colleges and Universities,Grant/Award Numbers:2018KTSCX049,2018GKTSCX069Science and Technology Plan Project of Guangzhou,Grant/Award Numbers:201802010033,201903010013Bidding Project of Laboratory of Language Engineering and Computing of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Grant/Award Number:LEC2019ZBKT005。
文摘Sentiment word embedding has been extensively studied and used in sentiment analysis tasks.However,most existing models have failed to differentiate high-frequency and low-frequency words.Accordingly,the sentiment information of low-frequency words is insufficiently captured,thus resulting in inaccurate sentiment word embedding and degradation of overall performance of sentiment analysis.A Bayesian estimation-based sentiment word embedding(BESWE)model,which aims to precisely extract the sentiment information of low-frequency words,has been proposed.In the model,a Bayesian estimator is constructed based on the co-occurrence probabilities and sentiment proba-bilities of words,and a novel loss function is defined for sentiment word embedding learning.The experimental results based on the sentiment lexicons and Movie Review dataset show that BESWE outperforms many state-of-the-art methods,for example,C&W,CBOW,GloVe,SE-HyRank and DLJT1,in sentiment analysis tasks,which demonstrate that Bayesian estimation can effectively capture the sentiment information of low-frequency words and integrate the sentiment information into the word embedding through the loss function.In addition,replacing the embedding of low-frequency words in the state-of-the-art methods with BESWE can significantly improve the performance of those methods in sentiment analysis tasks.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.12272123 and 12302047)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.BK20231185)the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.SJCX24_0192).
文摘The state estimation of the flexible multibody systems is a vital issue since it is the base of effective control and condition monitoring.The research on the state estimation method of flexible multibody system with large deformation and large rotation remains rare.In this investigation,a state estimator based on multiple nonlinear Kalman filtering algorithms was designed for the flexible multibody systems containing large flexibility components that were discretized by absolute nodal coordinate formulation(ANCF).The state variable vector was constructed based on the independent coordinates which are identified through the constraint Jacobian.Three types of Kalman filters were used to compare their performance in the state estimation for ANCF.Three cases including flexible planar rotating beam,flexible four-bar mechanism,and flexible rotating shaft were employed to verify the proposed state estimator.According to the different performances of the three types of Kalman filter,suggestions were given for the construction of the state estimator for the flexible multibody system.
基金Supported by the Science and Technology Key Project of Science and Technology Department of Henan Province(No.252102211041)the Key Research and Development Projects of Henan Province(No.231111212500).
文摘A distributed bearing-only target tracking algorithm based on variational Bayesian inference(VBI)under random measurement anomalies is proposed for the problem of adverse effect of random measurement anomalies on the state estimation accuracy of moving targets in bearing-only tracking scenarios.Firstly,the measurement information of each sensor is complemented by using triangulation under the distributed framework.Secondly,the Student-t distribution is selected to model the measurement likelihood probability density function,and the joint posteriori probability density function of the estimated variables is approximately decoupled by VBI.Finally,the estimation results of each local filter are sent to the fusion center and fed back to each local filter.The simulation results show that the proposed distributed bearing-only target tracking algorithm based on VBI in the presence of abnormal measurement noise comprehensively considers the influence of system nonlinearity and random anomaly of measurement noise,and has higher estimation accuracy and robustness than other existing algorithms in the above scenarios.
基金supported by the STI 2030-Major Projects(2022ZD0211900,2022ZD0211902)STI 2030-Major Projects(2021ZD0204500,2021ZD0204503)+1 种基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(32171461)National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFC3208303)。
文摘Advancements in animal behavior quantification methods have driven the development of computational ethology,enabling fully automated behavior analysis.Existing multianimal pose estimation workflows rely on tracking-bydetection frameworks for either bottom-up or top-down approaches,requiring retraining to accommodate diverse animal appearances.This study introduces InteBOMB,an integrated workflow that enhances top-down approaches by incorporating generic object tracking,eliminating the need for prior knowledge of target animals while maintaining broad generalizability.InteBOMB includes two key strategies for tracking and segmentation in laboratory environments and two techniques for pose estimation in natural settings.The“background enhancement”strategy optimizesforeground-backgroundcontrastiveloss,generating more discriminative correlation maps.The“online proofreading”strategy stores human-in-the-loop long-term memory and dynamic short-term memory,enabling adaptive updates to object visual features.The“automated labeling suggestion”technique reuses the visual features saved during tracking to identify representative frames for training set labeling.Additionally,the“joint behavior analysis”technique integrates these features with multimodal data,expanding the latent space for behavior classification and clustering.To evaluate the framework,six datasets of mice and six datasets of nonhuman primates were compiled,covering laboratory and natural scenes.Benchmarking results demonstrated a24%improvement in zero-shot generic tracking and a 21%enhancement in joint latent space performance across datasets,highlighting the effectiveness of this approach in robust,generalizable behavior analysis.
