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Modeling of Spring Phenology of Boreal Forest by Coupling Machine Learning and Diurnal Temperature Indicators 被引量:1
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作者 DENG Guorong ZHANG Hongyan +3 位作者 HONG Ying GUO Xiaoyi YI Zhihua EHSAN BINIYAZ 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2025年第1期38-54,共17页
The roles of diurnal temperature in providing heat accumulation and chilling requirements for vegetation spring phenology differ.Although previous studies have established a stronger correlation between leaf onset and... The roles of diurnal temperature in providing heat accumulation and chilling requirements for vegetation spring phenology differ.Although previous studies have established a stronger correlation between leaf onset and diurnal temperature than between leaf onset and average temperature,current research on modeling spring phenology based on diurnal temperature indicators remains limited.In this study,we confirmed the start of the growing season(SOS)sensitivity to diurnal temperature and average temperature in boreal forest.The estimation of SOS was carried out by employing K-Nearest Neighbor Regression(KNR-TDN)model,Random Forest Regres-sion(RFR-TDN)model,eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGB-TDN)model and Light Gradient Boosting Machine model(LightGBM-TDN)driven by diurnal temperature indicators during 1982-2015,and the SOS was projected from 2015 to 2100 based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)climate scenario datasets.The sensitivity of boreal forest SOS to daytime temperature is greater than that to average temperature and nighttime temperature.The LightGBM-TDN model perform best across all vegetation types,exhibiting the lowest RMSE and bias compared to the KNR-TDN model,RFR-TDN model and XGB-TDN model.By incorporating diurn-al temperature indicators instead of relying only on average temperature indicators to simulate spring phenology,an improvement in the accuracy of the model is achieved.Furthermore,the preseason accumulated daytime temperature,daytime temperature and snow cover end date emerged as significant drivers of the SOS simulation in the study area.The simulation results based on LightGBM-TDN model exhibit a trend of advancing SOS followed by stabilization under future climate scenarios.This study underscores the potential of diurn-al temperature indicators as a viable alternative to average temperature indicators in driving spring phenology models,offering a prom-ising new method for simulating spring phenology. 展开更多
关键词 spring phenology diurnal temperature machine learning future climate scenarios boreal forest
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Interannual variability of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation over the northwestern Pacific influenced by the Pacific Meridional Mode
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作者 Haoyu Zhou Pang-Chi Hsu +1 位作者 Lin Chen Yitian Qian 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第1期6-11,共6页
During the boreal summer,intraseasonal oscillations exhibit significant interannual variations in intensity over two key regions:the central-western equatorial Pacific(5°S-5°N,150°E-150°W)and the s... During the boreal summer,intraseasonal oscillations exhibit significant interannual variations in intensity over two key regions:the central-western equatorial Pacific(5°S-5°N,150°E-150°W)and the subtropical Northwestern Pacific(10°-20°N,130°E-175°W).The former is well-documented and considered to be influenced by the ENSO,while the latter has received comparatively less attention and is likely influenced by the Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM),as suggested by partial correlation analysis results.To elucidate the physical processes responsible for the enhanced(weakened)intraseasonal convection over the subtropical northwestern Pacific during warm(cold)PMM years,the authors employed a moisture budget analysis.The findings reveal that during warm PMM years,there is an increase in summer-mean moisture over the subtropical northwestern Pacific.This increase interacts with intensified vertical motion perturbations in the region,leading to greater vertical moisture advection in the lower troposphere and consequently resulting in convective instability.Such a process is pivotal in amplifying intraseasonal convection anomalies.The observational findings were further verified by model experiments forced by PMM-like sea surface temperature patterns. 展开更多
关键词 boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation Interannual variability Pacific Meridional Mode Moisture budget analysis
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Relationships between charcoal property and post fire productivity in the boreal forest
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作者 Lei Gao David Paré +2 位作者 Flavia Lega Braghiroli Mathieu Lamarche Yves Bergeron 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第2期201-208,共8页
Fire disturbances are increasing under global climate change and ecological transformations of forests are occurring.Specifically,shifts from productive closed-canopy feather moss forests to low-productivity open-cano... Fire disturbances are increasing under global climate change and ecological transformations of forests are occurring.Specifically,shifts from productive closed-canopy feather moss forests to low-productivity open-canopy lichen(Cladonia spp.)woodlands have been observed in boreal forests of eastern Canada.It has been hypothesized that high severity of fires would be the cause of this change,but this is difficult to validate a posteriori on mature forest stands.Because charcoal properties are affected by fire severity,we have put forward the hypothesis that the amount and physicochemical properties of charcoal(C,N,H,O,ash,surface area)would be different and indicative of a greater fire severity for open-canopy forests compared to closed canopy ones.Our hypothesis was partly validated in that the amount of charcoal found on the ground of closed-canopy forests was greater than that of open-canopy forests.However,the physicochemical properties were not different,albeit a greater variability of charcoal properties for open canopy stands.These results do not allow us to fully validate or reject our hypothesis on the role of fire severity in the shift between open and closed canopy stands.However,they suggest that the variability in fire conditions as well as the amounts of charcoal produced are different between the two ecosystem types.Furthermore,considering the role that biochar may play in improving soil conditions and promoting vegetation restoration,our results suggest that charcoal may play a role in maintaining these two stable alternative ecosystem states. 展开更多
关键词 Charcoal Feather moss LICHEN Fire legacy Forest ecosystem boreal fores
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Microbial genomic traits and mineral protection jointly regulate the temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition in boreal forests
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作者 Xinyi Zhang Zhenglong Lu +3 位作者 Shuang Yin Xuesen Pang Yufan Liang Zhenghu Zhou 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第4期760-768,共9页
Soil organic carbon(SOC)decomposition in high-latitude boreal forests exhibits heightened sensitivity to climate change.However,a comprehensive understanding of the underlying drivers governing soil microbial decompos... Soil organic carbon(SOC)decomposition in high-latitude boreal forests exhibits heightened sensitivity to climate change.However,a comprehensive understanding of the underlying drivers governing soil microbial decomposition responses to warming in these ecosystems remains elusive,especially regarding the roles of mineral protection and microbial genomic traits.In this study,we examined the temperature sensitivity(Q_(10))and minimum temperature(Tmin)of soil microbial respiration across a latitudinal gradient in China's boreal forests.The potential regulators,including climatic factors,soil physicochemical properties,substrate quality,mineral protection,and microbial genomic traits,were also synchronously measured.The results showed a positive correlation between Q_(10) and Tmin,i.e.,greater microbial adaptability to low temperatures is associated with lower microbial sensitivity to increasing temperatures.Boreal forest soil with stronger mineral protection exhibited a higher Q10.In addition,microbial communities characterized by a higher abundance of coding genes demonstrated significantly lower Q_(10) and reduced Tmin.These results collectively highlight the pivotal roles of mineral protection and microbial genomic traits in shaping the biogeographic pattern of Q_(10) across boreal forests. 展开更多
关键词 Soil organic carbon(SOC) Climate warming Genomic traits Mineral protection boreal forest
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Tree growth decline to warm-wet conditions in boreal forests is linked to stand density
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作者 Bingqian Zhao Yihong Zhu +3 位作者 Lushuang Gao Qibing Zhang Mingqian Liu Klaus von Gadow 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第1期74-82,共9页
Warm-wet climatic conditions are widely regarded as conducive to remarkable tree growth,alleviating climatic pressures.However,the notable decline in tree growth observed in the southern edge of boreal forests has hei... Warm-wet climatic conditions are widely regarded as conducive to remarkable tree growth,alleviating climatic pressures.However,the notable decline in tree growth observed in the southern edge of boreal forests has heightened concerns over the spatial-temporal dynamics of forest decline.Currently,attaining a comprehensive grasp of the underlying patterns and their propelling factors remains a formidable challenge.We collected tree ring samples from a network of 50 sites across the Greater Xing'an Mountains.These samples were subsequently grouped into two distinct clusters,designated as Groups A and B.The percentage change of growth(GC,%)and the proportion of declining sites were utilized to assess forest decline.The decline in tree growth within Larix gmelinii forests exhibits significant regional variation,accompanied by temporal fluctuations even within a given region.Group A exhibited a pronounced increase in frequency(59.26%)of occurrences and encountered more severe declines(21.65%)in tree growth subsequent to the 1990s,contrasting sharply with Group B,which observed lower frequencies(20.00%)and relatively less severe declines(21.02%)prior to the 1980s.The primary impetus underlying the opposite radial growth increments observed in Larix gmelinii trees from the interplay between their differential response to temperatures and wetter climatic conditions,which is significantly influenced by varying stand densities.In cold-dry conditions,low-density forests may experience soil water freezing,exacerbating drought conditions and thereby inhibiting tree growth,in Group B.Trees growth in high-density stands is restrained by warm-wet conditions,in Group A.These results provide new insights into the variability at the southern edge of the boreal forest biome with different responses to density and climate. 展开更多
关键词 Growth decline Stand density The southern edge of boreal forests Larix gmelinii
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Disentangling drivers of organic layer and charcoal carbon stocks in boreal pine and spruce forests with different fire histories
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作者 Vilde L.Haukenes Johan Asplund +3 位作者 Line Nybakken Jorund Rolstad Ken Olaf Storaunet Mikael Ohlson 《Forest Ecosystems》 2025年第5期781-790,共10页
A key property of the boreal forest is that it stores huge amounts of carbon(C),especially belowground in the soil.Amounts of C stored in the uppermost organic layer of boreal forest soils vary greatly in space due to... A key property of the boreal forest is that it stores huge amounts of carbon(C),especially belowground in the soil.Amounts of C stored in the uppermost organic layer of boreal forest soils vary greatly in space due to an interplay between several variables facilitating or preventing C accumulation.In this study,we split C stocks into the organic layer and charcoal C due to their difference in origin,stability,and ecological properties.We compared organic layer C and charcoal C stocks in two regions of south-central Norway(Trillemarka and Varaldskogen),characterized by Scots pine and Norway spruce forests with varying fire histories.We used structural equation modeling to investigate how vegetation composition,hydrotopography,and soil properties interplay to shape organic layer C and charcoal C stocks.Pine forests consistently contained larger organic layer C stocks than spruce forests.Charcoal stocks,in contrast,were less consistent across both forest types and study regions as pine forests had higher charcoal C stocks than spruce forests in Trillemarka,while the two forest types contained equal charcoal C stocks in Varaldskogen.Charcoal and soil organic layer C stocks increased with higher fire frequencies(number of fire events over the last 600 years),but not with a shorter time since last fire(TSF).Additionally,vegetation composition,terrain slope,and soil moisture were the most important drivers of the organic layer C stocks,while charcoal C stocks were mainly controlled by the depth of the organic layer.Also,microtopography was of importance for organic layer C and charcoal C,since depressions in the forest floor had more charcoal C than well-drained minor hills. 展开更多
关键词 boreal forest Organic layer carbon(C) Charcoal carbon Structural equation model(SEM) FIRE
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Modulation of 10-30-day Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation and Associated Rainfall Events by El Niño
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作者 Doo Young LEE June-Yi LEE +2 位作者 Young-Min YANG Pang-Chi HSU A-Young LIM 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第9期1798-1812,共15页
Daily precipitation anomalies in the western North Pacific(WNP)and East Asia(EA)exhibit significant intraseasonal variability,peaking at 10-30-day time scales.It has been suggested that boreal summer intraseasonal osc... Daily precipitation anomalies in the western North Pacific(WNP)and East Asia(EA)exhibit significant intraseasonal variability,peaking at 10-30-day time scales.It has been suggested that boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation(BSISO)on 30-60-day time scales is strongly modulated by El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)with stronger intensity and propagation during La Niña compared to El Niño summers,but the dependency of 10-30-day BSISO on ENSO has not been well understood.Here,we show that the intensity and northward propagation of the 10-30-day BSISO convection over the WNP-EA region are stronger and more organized during El Niño developing summers than other summers,including neutral summers.During El Niño developing summers,the BSISO-induced precipitation and low-level circulation tend to exhibit a stronger meridional tripolar pattern than those during neutral summers.We highlight that the strengthening of 10-30-day BSISO northward propagation and associated rainfall anomalies over EA in El Niño developing summers is contributed by not only the previously proposed stronger air-sea interaction with a larger meridional gradient of sea surface temperature,but also an enhanced dynamic process with stronger relative vorticity and moisture convergence. 展开更多
关键词 boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation 10-30-day oscillation extreme rainfall El Niño Asian monsoon air-sea interaction
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The impact of climate change on forest fire danger rating in China’s boreal forest 被引量:12
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作者 YANG Guang DI Xue-ying GUO Qing-xi SHU Zhan ZENG Tao YU Hong-zhou WANG Chao 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第2期249-257,共9页
The Great Xing'an Mountains boreal forests were focused on in the northeastern China.The simulated future climate scenarios of IPCC SRES A2a and B2a for both the baseline period of 1961-1990 and the future scenario p... The Great Xing'an Mountains boreal forests were focused on in the northeastern China.The simulated future climate scenarios of IPCC SRES A2a and B2a for both the baseline period of 1961-1990 and the future scenario periods were downscaled by the Delta Method and the Weather Generator to produce daily weather data.After the verification with local weather and fire data,the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System was used to assess the forest fire weather situation under climate change in the study region.An increasing trend of fire weather severity was found over the 21st century in the study region under the both future climate change scenarios,compared to the 1961-1990 baseline period.The annual mean/maximum fire weather index was predicted to rise continuously during 2010-2099,and by the end of the 21st century it is predicted to rise by 22%-52% across much of China's boreal forest.The significant increases were predicted in the spring from of April to June and in the summer from July to August.In the summer,the fire weather index was predicted to be higher than the current index by as much as 148% by the end of the 21st century.Under the scenarios of SRES A2a and B2a,both the chance of extremely high fire danger occurrence and the number of days of extremely high fire danger occurrence was predicted to increase in the study region.It is anticipated that the number of extremely high fire danger days would increase from 44 days in 1980s to 53-75 days by the end of the 21st century. 展开更多
关键词 climate change WILDFIRE boreal forest fire weather species West Africa
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Carbon storage and net primary productivity in Canadian boreal mixedwood stands 被引量:7
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作者 Nicholas J.Payne D.Allan Cameron +1 位作者 Jean-Denis Leblanc Ian K.Morrison 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第5期1667-1678,共12页
Canadian boreal mixedwood forests are extensive,with large potential for carbon sequestration and storage;thus,knowledge of their carbon stocks at different stand ages is needed to adapt forest management practices to... Canadian boreal mixedwood forests are extensive,with large potential for carbon sequestration and storage;thus,knowledge of their carbon stocks at different stand ages is needed to adapt forest management practices to help meet climate-change mitigation goals.Carbon stocks were quantified at three Ontario boreal mixedwood sites.A harvested stand,a juvenile stand replanted with spruce seedlings and a mature stand had total carbon stocks(±SE)of 133±13 at age 2,130±13 at age 25,and 207±15 Mg C ha^-1 at age 81 years.At the clear-cut site,stocks were reduced by about 40%or 90 Mg C ha^-1 at harvest.Vegetation held 27,34 and 62%of stocks,while detritus held 34,29 and 13%of stocks at age 2,25 and 81,respectively.Mineral soil carbon stocks averaged 51 Mg C ha^-1,and held 38,37 and 25%of stocks.Aboveground net primary productivity(±SE)in the harvested and juvenile stand was 2.1±0.2 and 3.7±0.3 Mg C ha^-1 per annum(p.a.),compared to 2.6±2.5 Mg C ha^-1 p.a.in the mature stand.The mature canopies studied had typical boreal mixedwood composition and mean carbon densities of 208 Mg C ha^-1,which is above average for managed Canadian boreal forest ecosystems.A comparison of published results from Canadian boreal forest ecosystems showed that carbon stocks in mixedwood stands are typically higher than coniferous stands at all ages,which was also true for stocks in vegetation and detritus.Also,aboveground net primary productivity was typically found to be higher in mixedwood than in coniferous boreal forest stands over a range of ages.Measurements from this study,together with those published from the other boreal forest stands demonstrate the potential for enhanced carbon sequestration through modified forest management practices to take advantage of Canadian boreal mixedwood stand characteristics. 展开更多
关键词 ABOVEGROUND net primary PRODUCTIVITY boreal mixedwood forest Carbon stocks Mixedwood STAND management STAND age
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Effect of species composition on ecosystem services in European boreal forest 被引量:7
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作者 Timo Pukkala 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第2期261-272,共12页
Forest management in several boreal countries is strongly focused on conifers because they are more productive,the technical quality of their stems is better,and their wood fibers are longer as compared to broadleaves... Forest management in several boreal countries is strongly focused on conifers because they are more productive,the technical quality of their stems is better,and their wood fibers are longer as compared to broadleaves.Favoring conifers in forest management leads to simple forest structures with low resilience and diversity.Such forests are risky in the face of climate change and fluctuating timber prices.Climate change increases the vitality of many forest pests and pathogens such as Heterobasidion spp.and Ips typographus L.which attack mainly spruce.Wind damages are also increasing because of a shorter period of frozen soil to provide a firm anchorage against storms.Wind-thrown trees serve as starting points for bark beetle outbreaks.Increasing the proportion of broadleaved species might alleviate some of these problems.This study predicts the long-term(150 years) consequences of current conifer-oriented forest management in two forest areas,and compared this management with silvicultural strategies that promote mixed forests and broadleaved species.The results show that,in the absence of damages,conifer-oriented forestry would lead to 5–10% higher timber yields and carbon sequestration.The somewhat lower carbon sequestration of broadleaved forests was counteracted by their higher albedo(reflectance).Mixed and broadleafforests were better providers of recreational amenities.Species diversity was much higher in mixed stand and broadleaf-oriented silviculture at stand and forest levels.The analysis indicates that conifer-oriented forest management produces rather small and uncertain economic benefits at a high cost in resilience and diversity. 展开更多
关键词 ALBEDO boreal forest Carbon sequestration DIVERSITY Mixed forest RESILIENCE Scenario analysis
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The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Simulated by Four Chinese AGCMs Participating in the CMIP5 Project 被引量:7
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作者 ZHAO Chongbo ZHOU Tianjun +1 位作者 SONG Lianchun REN Hongli 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第5期1167-1180,共14页
The performances of four Chinese AGCMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) in the simulation of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) are assessed. The authors ... The performances of four Chinese AGCMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) in the simulation of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) are assessed. The authors focus on the major characteristics of BSISO: the intensity, significant period, and propagation. The results show that the four AGCMs can reproduce boreal summer intraseasonal signals of precipitation; however their limitations are also evident. Compared with the Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) data, the models underestimate the strength of the intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) over the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean (IO) during the boreal summer (May to October), but overestimate the intraseasonal variability over the western Pacific (WP). In the model results, the westward propagation dominates, whereas the eastward propagation dominates in the CMAP data. The northward propagation in these models is tilted southwest-northeast, which is also different from the CMAP result. Thus, there is not a northeast-southwest tilted rain belt revolution off the equator during the BSISO's eastward journey in the models. The biases of the BSISO are consistent with the summer mean state, especially the vertical shear. Analysis also shows that there is a positive feedback between the intraseasonal precipitation and the summer mean precipitation. The positive feedback processes may amplify the models' biases in the BSISO simulation. 展开更多
关键词 boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation AGCM simulation FEEDBACK
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Young and old forest in the boreal:critical stages of ecosystem dynamics and management under global change 被引量:6
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作者 Timo Kuuluvainen Sylvie Gauthier 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第4期361-375,共15页
The circumboreal forest encompasses diverse landscape structures, dynamics and forest age distributions determined by their physical setting, and historical and current disturbance regimes. However, due to intensifyin... The circumboreal forest encompasses diverse landscape structures, dynamics and forest age distributions determined by their physical setting, and historical and current disturbance regimes. However, due to intensifying forest utilisation, and in certain areas due to increasing natural disturbances, boreal forest age-class structures have changed rapidly, so that the proportion of old forest has substantially declined, while that of young post-harvest and post-natural-disturbance forest proportions have increased. In the future, with a warming climate in certain boreal regions, this trend may further be enhanced due to an increase in natural disturbances and large-scale use of forest biomass to replace fossil-based fuels and products.The major drivers of change of forest age class distributions and structures include the use of clearcut shortrotation harvesting, more frequent and severe natural disturbances due to climate warming in certain regions. The decline in old forest area, and increase in managed young forest lacking natural post-disturbance structural legacies,represent a major transformation in the ecological conditions of the boreal forest beyond historical limits of variability.This may introduce a threat to biodiversity, ecosystem resilience and long-term adaptive capacity of the forest ecosystem.To safeguard boreal forest biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, and to maintain the multiple services provided to societies by this forest biome, it is pivotal to maintain an adequate share and the ecological qualities of young postdisturbance stages, along with mature forest stages with old-growth characteristics. This requires management for natural post-disturbance legacy structures, and innovative use of diverse uneven-aged and continuous cover management approaches to maintain critical late-successional forest structures in landscapes. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive capacity BIODIVERSITY boreal forest Climate change FORESTRY Ecosystem services Forest dynamics Forest management RESILIENCE
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Boreal Winter Rainfall Anomaly over the Tropical Indo-Pacific and Its Effect on Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP5 Models 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Hai LIU Qinyu 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第4期916-925,共10页
Experimental outputs of 11 Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are analyzed to assess the atmospheric circulation anomaly over ... Experimental outputs of 11 Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are analyzed to assess the atmospheric circulation anomaly over Northern Hemisphere induced by the anomalous rainfall over tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean during boreal winter.The analysis shows that the main features of the interannual variation of tropical rainfall anomalies,especially over the Central Pacific (CP) (5°S-5°N,175°E-135°W) and Indo-western Pacific (IWP) (20°S-20°N,110°-150°E) are well captured in all the CMIP5/AMIP models.For the IWP and western Indian Ocean (WIO) (10°S-10°N,45°-75°E),the anomalous rainfall is weaker in the 11 CMIP5/AMIP models than in the observation.During El Ni(n)o/La Ni(n)a mature phases in boreal winter,consistent with observations,there are geopotential height anomalies known as the Pacific North American (PNA) pattern and Indo-western Pacific and East Asia (IWPEA) pattern in the upper troposphere,and the northwestern Pacific anticyclone (cyclone) (NWPA) in the lower troposphere in the models.Comparison between the models and observations shows that the ability to simulate the PNA and NWPA pattern depends on the ability to simulate the anomalous rainfall over the CP,while the ability to simulate the IWPEA pattern is related to the ability to simulate the rainfall anomaly in the IWP and WIO,as the SST anomaly is same in AMIP experiments.It is found that the tropical rainfall anomaly is important in modeling the impact of the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean on the extratropical atmospheric circulation anomaly. 展开更多
关键词 Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project tropical Indo-Pacific rainfall Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation anomaly boreal winter teleconnection pattern
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Recent Strengthening of the Regional Hadley Circulation over the Western Pacific during Boreal Spring 被引量:2
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作者 Ruping HUANG Shangfeng CHEN +2 位作者 Wen CHEN Peng HU Bin YU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第11期1251-1264,共14页
Previous studies suggested that there are large discrepancies in the intensity trend of the zonally averaged Hadley circulation (ZAHC) among different reanalyses. As the land, ocean, and topography are not evenly dist... Previous studies suggested that there are large discrepancies in the intensity trend of the zonally averaged Hadley circulation (ZAHC) among different reanalyses. As the land, ocean, and topography are not evenly distributed, the ZAHC may mask the regional variability. Changes in the regional HC have important implications for regional climate change. Here, we detect the long-term trend of the boreal spring regional Hadley circulation intensity over the western Pacific (WPHC) since 1979 in both hemispheres using six reanalysis datasets. Unlike the ZAHC, we find that the trend of the spring WPHC intensity is consistent among various reanalysis datasets. All reanalyses show pronounced strengthening trends for the WPHC in both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere, which may be partly attributable to the robust warming trends of sea surface temperature in the tropical western Pacific. The result could improve our understanding of Hadley circulation variability at the regional scale and has implications for regional climate changes. 展开更多
关键词 regional HADLEY CIRCULATION western PACIFIC long-term TREND boreal SPRING
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Simulation of Snow Processes Beneath a Boreal Scots Pine Canopy 被引量:2
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作者 李伟平 罗勇 +1 位作者 夏坤 刘新 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第3期348-360,共13页
A physically-based multi-layer snow model Snow-Atmosphere-Soil-Transfer scheme (SAST) and a land surface model Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) were employed to investigate how boreal forests influence ... A physically-based multi-layer snow model Snow-Atmosphere-Soil-Transfer scheme (SAST) and a land surface model Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) were employed to investigate how boreal forests influence snow accumulation and ablation under the canopy. Mass balance and energetics of snow beneath a Scots pine canopy in Finland at different stages of the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 snow seasons are analyzed. For the fairly dense Scots pine forest, drop-off of the canopy-intercepted snow contributes, in some cases, twice as much to the underlying snowpack as the direct throughfall of snow. During early winter snow melting, downward turbulent sensible and condensation heat fluxes play a dominant role together with downward net longwave radiation. In the final stage of snow ablation in middle spring, downward net all- wave radiation dominates the snow melting. Although the downward sensible heat flux is comparable to the net solar radiation during this period, evaporative cooling of the melting snow surface makes the turbulent heat flux weaker than net radiation. Sensitivities of snow processes to leaf area index (LAI) indicate that a denser canopy speeds up early winter snowmelt, but also suppresses melting later in the snow season. Higher LAI increases the interception of snowfall, therefore reduces snow accumulation under the canopy during the snow season; this effect and the enhancement of downward longwave radiation by denser foliage outweighs the increased attenuation of solar radiation, resulting in earlier snow ablation under a denser canopy. The difference in sensitivities to LAI in two snow seasons implies that the impact of canopy density on the underlying snowpack is modulated by interannual variations of climate regimes. 展开更多
关键词 snow process boreal forest RADIATION turbulent flux sensitivity
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Fire cycle of the Canada's boreal region and its potential response to global change 被引量:2
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作者 ZHANG Quan-fa CHEN Wen-jun 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第1期55-61,共7页
Interactions of fire cycle and plant species' reproductive characteristics could determine vegetation distribution pattern of a landscape. In Canada's boreal region, fire cycles before the Little Ice Age (c. 1850s... Interactions of fire cycle and plant species' reproductive characteristics could determine vegetation distribution pattern of a landscape. In Canada's boreal region, fire cycles before the Little Ice Age (c. 1850s) ranged from 30-130 years and 25-234 years afterwards until the settlement period (c. 1930s) when longer fire cycles occurred in response to climatic change and human interference. Analysis indicated that fire cycles were correlated with growing season (April-October) temperature and precipitation departure from the 1961-1990 normal, varying by regions. Assuming that wildfires will respond to future warming similar to the manner during the past century, an assessment using climatic change scenarios CGCMI, CGCM2 and HadCM2 indicates fire cycles would divert to a range of 80-140 years in the west taiga shield, more than 700 years for the east boreal shield and east taiga shield, and 300-400 years for the boreal plains in 2050. 展开更多
关键词 boreal forest Fire cycle Global change Spatial variability
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Dead standing pine trees in a boreal forest landscape in the Kalevala National Park,northern Fennoscandia: amount,population characteristics and spatial pattern 被引量:2
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作者 Timo Kuuluvainen Tuomas Aakala Gergely Várkonyi 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第3期221-231,共11页
Background: After their death, Scots pine trees can remain standing for decades and sometimes up to 200 years,forming long-lasting and ecologically important structures in boreal forest landscapes. Standing dead pine... Background: After their death, Scots pine trees can remain standing for decades and sometimes up to 200 years,forming long-lasting and ecologically important structures in boreal forest landscapes. Standing dead pines decay very slowly and with time develop into ‘kelo' trees, which are characterized by hard wood with silvery-colored appearance. These kelo trees represent an ecologically important, long lasting and visually striking element of the structure of natural pine-dominated forests in boreal Fennoscandia that is nowadays virtually absent from managed forest landscapes.Methods: We examined and mapped the amount, structural features, site characteristics and spatial distribution of dead standing pine trees over a ten hectare area in an unmanaged boreal forest landscape in the Kalevala National Park in Russian Viena Karelia.Results: The mean basal area of dead standing pine trees in the forested part of the landscape was 1.7 m^2·ha^-1 and the estimated volume 12.7 m^3·ha^-1. From the total number of standing dead pine trees 65% were kelo trees, with a basal area of 1.1 m^2·ha^-1 and volume of 8.0 m^3·ha^-1, the remainder consisting of standing dead pines along the continuum between a recently dead tree and a kelo tree. Overall, standing dead pines were distributed throughout the study area, but there was a tendency towards spatial clustering up to 〈100 m distances. Standing dead pines were most commonly situated on flat ground or in the mid slope in the local topography.In addition, standing dead pines contributed to substrate diversity also by commonly having charred wood and broken tops. Based on the presence of dead pine snags in different stage of transition from a recently dead pine to a kelo with silvery surface, it seems evident that the process of kelo recruitment was continuously in action in the studied landscape.Conclusions: Kelo trees are an omnipresent feature in natural pine-dominated forest landscapes with important contribution to forest structural and substrate diversity. Because of their longevity and extremely slow turnover dynamics and importance for biodiversity, protection of vulnerable kelo tree populations, and ensuring their continuous recruitment, should be of high priority in forest restoration and sustainable management. 展开更多
关键词 boreal forest Coarse Woody debris Dead trees Forest dynamics Kelo Pinus sylvestris SNAG Tree mortality
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Does variable stand structure associated with multi-cohort forests support diversity of ground beetle (Coleoptera, Carabidae) communities in the central Nearctic boreal forest? 被引量:1
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作者 Erica P. Barkley Jay R. Malcolm +1 位作者 Sandy M. Smith M. Isabel Bellocq 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第5期1191-1202,共12页
Multi-cohort management (MCM) that retains a range of stand structures (age and size class) has been proposed to emulate natural disturbance and improve management in the Nearctic boreal forest. Although MCM fores... Multi-cohort management (MCM) that retains a range of stand structures (age and size class) has been proposed to emulate natural disturbance and improve management in the Nearctic boreal forest. Although MCM forests contain both single- and multi-aged stands of mixed tree sizes, little is known about how variable stand structure affects associated fauna and biodiversity. Here, we examine the relationship between ground beetle (Coleoptera, Carabidae) communities and stand characteristics across a range of forest structure (=cohort classes). Given that MCM classes are defined by the distribution of their tree-stem diameters, we ask whether parameters associated with these distributions (Weibull) could explain observed variation in carabid communities, and if so, how this compares to traditional habitat variables such as stand age, foliage complexity or volume of downed woody debris. We sampled carabids using weekly pitfall collections and compared these with structural habitat variables across a range of cohort classes (stand structure and age since disturbance) in 18 sites of upland mixed boreal forests from central Canada. Results showed that richness and diversity of carabid communities were similar among cohort classes. Weibull parameters from the diameter distribution of all stems were the strongest predictors of variation in carabid communities among sites, but vertical foliage complexity, understory thickness, and percentage of deciduous composition were also significant. The abundance of several carabid forest specialists was strongly correlated with tree canopy height, the presence of large trees, and high vertical foliage complexity. Our results demonstrate that variable forest structure, as expected under MCM, may be useful in retaining the natural range of ground beetle species across the central Nearctic boreal forest. 展开更多
关键词 Biodiversity conservation boreal forest CARABIDAE Forest structure Ground beetles Multi-cohortmanagement Tree diameter distribution
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Factors Limiting the Forecast Skill of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in a Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Model 被引量:2
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作者 Zheng HE Pangchi HSU +2 位作者 Xiangwen LIU Tongwen WU Yingxia GAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期104-118,共15页
In this study,we evaluate the forecast skill of the subseasonal-to-seasonal(S2S)prediction model of the Beijing Climate Center(BCC)for the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation(BSISO).We also discuss the key factors... In this study,we evaluate the forecast skill of the subseasonal-to-seasonal(S2S)prediction model of the Beijing Climate Center(BCC)for the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation(BSISO).We also discuss the key factors that inhibit the BSISO forecast skill in this model.Based on the bivariate anomaly correlation coefficient(ACC)of the BSISO index,defined by the first two EOF modes of outgoing longwave radiation and 850-hPa zonal wind anomalies over the Asian monsoon region,we found that the hindcast skill degraded as the lead time increased.The ACC dropped to below 0.5for lead times of 11 days and longer when the predicted BSISO showed weakened strength and insignificant northward propagation.To identify what causes the weakened forecast skill of BSISO at the forecast lead time of 11 days,we diagnosed the main mechanisms responsible for the BSISO northward propagation.The same analysis was also carried out using the observations and the outputs of the four-day forecast lead that successfully predicted the observed northward-propagating BSISO.We found that the lack of northward propagation at the 11-day forecast lead was due to insufficient increases in low-level cyclonic vorticity,moistening and warm temperature anomalies to the north of the convection,which were induced by the interaction between background mean flows and BSISO-related anomalous fields.The BCC S2S model can predict the background monsoon circulations,such as the low-level southerly and the northerly and easterly vertical shears,but has limited capability in forecasting the distributions of circulation and moisture anomalies. 展开更多
关键词 BCC S2S model boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation forecast skill northward propagation
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The Impact of Boreal Autumn SST Anomalies over the South Pacific on Boreal Winter Precipitation over East Asia 被引量:3
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作者 Juan AO Jianqi SUN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第5期644-655,共12页
The possible mechanism behind the variability in the dipole pattern of boreal winter precipitation over East Asia is analyzed in this study. The results show that the SST anomalies(SSTAs) over the South Pacific Ocea... The possible mechanism behind the variability in the dipole pattern of boreal winter precipitation over East Asia is analyzed in this study. The results show that the SST anomalies(SSTAs) over the South Pacific Ocean(SPO) in boreal autumn are closely related to the variability in the dipole pattern of boreal winter precipitation over East Asia. The physical link between the boreal autumn SPO SSTAs and the boreal winter East Asian precipitation dipole pattern is shown to mainly be the seasonal persistence of the SPO SSTAs themselves. The seasonal persistence of the SPO SSTAs can memorize and transport the signal of the boreal autumn SSTAs to the following winter, and then stimulates a meridional teleconnection pattern from the SH to the NH, resulting in a meridional dipole pattern of atmospheric circulation over East Asia in boreal winter. As a major influencing factor, this dipole pattern of the atmospheric circulation can finally lead to the anomalous precipitation dipole pattern over East Asia in boreal winter. These observed physical processes are further confirmed in this study through numerical simulation. The evidence from this study, showing the impact of the SPO SSTAs in boreal autumn,not only deepens our understanding of the variability in East Asian boreal winter precipitation, but also provides a potentially useful predictor for precipitation in the region. 展开更多
关键词 SST boreal winter precipitation dipolar pattern atmospheric circulation zonal wind
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