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Effect of Parameter Variation in the BMJ Scheme on the Simulation of MJO Propagation and Structure
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作者 Xiaoyu ZHU Zhong ZHONG +3 位作者 Yimin ZHU Yunying LI Yijia HU Yao HA 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第2期397-409,共13页
In this study,the Betts-Miller-Janjic(BMJ)convective adjustment scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model version 4.0 was used to investigate the effect of itsα-parameter,which influences the first-gue... In this study,the Betts-Miller-Janjic(BMJ)convective adjustment scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model version 4.0 was used to investigate the effect of itsα-parameter,which influences the first-guess potential temperature reference profile on the Madden-Julian oscillation(MJO)propagation and structure.This study diagnosed the MJO active phase composites of the MJO-filtered outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)during the December-to-February(DJF)period of 2006-2016 over the Indian Ocean(IO),Maritime Continent(MC),and western Pacific(WP).The results show that the MJO-filtered OLR intensity,propagation pattern,and MJO classification(standing,jumping,and propagating clusters)are sensitive to theα-value,but the phase speeds of propagating MJOs are not.Overall,with an increasingα-value,the simulated MJO-filtered OLR intensity increases,and the simulated propagation pattern is improved.Results also show that the intensity and propagation pattern of an eastward-propagating MJO are associated with MJO circulation structures and thermodynamic structures.Asαincreases,the front Walker cell and the low-level easterly anomaly are enhanced,which premoistens the lower troposphere and triggers more active shallow and congestus clouds.The enhanced shallow and congestus convection preconditions the lower to middle troposphere,accelerating the transition from congestus to deep convection,thereby facilitating eastward propagation of the MJO.Therefore,the simulated MJO tends to transfer from standing to eastward propagating asαincreases.In summary,increasing theα-value is a possible way to improve the simulation of the structure and propagation of the MJO. 展开更多
关键词 MJO WRF model bmj scheme low-level easterly anomaly
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基于随机物理过程扰动的BMJ积云参数化方案对降水集合预报的影响 被引量:1
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作者 曾燕飞 闵锦忠 王世璋 《大气科学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2022年第3期428-443,共16页
基于ARPS模式和随机物理过程参数化扰动(stochastically perturbed parameterization)方法,通过10个2018年6—7月间的降水个例,讨论了针对BMJ积云降水参数化方案下不同参数化扰动方式对降水预报的影响。扰动方式包括扰动BMJ方案的温湿... 基于ARPS模式和随机物理过程参数化扰动(stochastically perturbed parameterization)方法,通过10个2018年6—7月间的降水个例,讨论了针对BMJ积云降水参数化方案下不同参数化扰动方式对降水预报的影响。扰动方式包括扰动BMJ方案的温湿倾向和扰动BMJ方案的温湿参考廓线。试验的结果表明BMJ方案在华东区域的降水预报中存在湿偏差,即预报的降水事件多于相应的观测事件。这一偏差在系统性增加参考廓线湿度后仍然存在。BMJ方案对不同扰动方式的响应存在较大差异。扰动BMJ方案的温湿倾向对降水预报的影响较小,且集合离散度低。扰动BMJ方案的温湿参考廓线对降水预报影响显著,能够大幅增加集合离散度,其中对称的BMJ参考廓线扰动对预报技巧评分改进有限,原因是小雨的湿偏差有所增加,而非对称的BMJ参考廓线扰动(扰动均值大于1.0)能够有效提高预报技巧评分并降低湿偏差。此外,非对称扰动大幅改善了BMJ降水预报初期(0~3 h)的空间分布形态,并且改进了夜间降水预报的强度。非对称扰动评分较高的原因是减少了原BMJ方案在降水预报初期的的大范围虚假预报,避免了大气湿度的大范围下降,保障了预报后期的强降水预报能力。而BMJ方案温湿倾向量级较小则是造成倾向扰动方法效果不明显的重要原因。 展开更多
关键词 积云参数化 bmj方案 随机物理过程参数化扰动 降水预报
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