The national grid and other life-sustaining critical infrastructures face an unprecedented threat from prolonged blackouts,which could last over a year and pose a severe risk to national security.Whether caused by phy...The national grid and other life-sustaining critical infrastructures face an unprecedented threat from prolonged blackouts,which could last over a year and pose a severe risk to national security.Whether caused by physical attacks,EMP(electromagnetic pulse)events,or cyberattacks,such disruptions could cripple essential services like water supply,healthcare,communication,and transportation.Research indicates that an attack on just nine key substations could result in a coast-to-coast blackout lasting up to 18 months,leading to economic collapse,civil unrest,and a breakdown of public order.This paper explores the key vulnerabilities of the grid,the potential impacts of prolonged blackouts,and the role of AI(artificial intelligence)and ML(machine learning)in mitigating these threats.AI-driven cybersecurity measures,predictive maintenance,automated threat response,and EMP resilience strategies are discussed as essential solutions to bolster grid security.Policy recommendations emphasize the need for hardened infrastructure,enhanced cybersecurity,redundant power systems,and AI-based grid management to ensure national resilience.Without proactive measures,the nation remains exposed to a catastrophic power grid failure that could have dire consequences for society and the economy.展开更多
Distributed energy resources have been proven to be an effective and promising solution to enhance power system resilience and improve household-level reliability.In this paper,we propose a method to evaluate the reli...Distributed energy resources have been proven to be an effective and promising solution to enhance power system resilience and improve household-level reliability.In this paper,we propose a method to evaluate the reliability value of a photovoltaic(PV)energy system with a battery storage system(BSS)by considering the probability of grid outages causing household blackouts.Considering this reliability value,which is the economic profit and capital cost of PV+BSS,a simple formula is derived to calculate the optimal planning strategy.This strategy can provide household-level customers with a simple and straightforward expression for invested PV+BSS capacity.Case studies on 600 households located in eight zones of the US for the period of 2006 to 2015 demonstrate that adding the reliability value to economic profit allows households to invest in a larger PV+BSS and avoid loss of load caused by blackouts.Owing to the differences in blackout hours,households from the 8 zones express distinct willingness to install PV+BSS.The greater the probability of blackout,the greater revenue that household can get from the PV+BSS.The simulation example shows that the planning strategy obtained by proposed model has good economy in the actual operation and able to reduce the economic risk of power failure of the household users.This model can provide household with an easy and straightforward investment strategy of PV+BSS capacity.展开更多
In this paper, a novel solution mitigating the radio blackout problem is proposed, which improves existing traveling magnetic field(TMF)-based methods. The most significant advance lies in replacing the external injec...In this paper, a novel solution mitigating the radio blackout problem is proposed, which improves existing traveling magnetic field(TMF)-based methods. The most significant advance lies in replacing the external injection with self-induced current, which does not require electrodes. The improved analytical model is derived to evaluate the electron density reduction taking into consideration the self-induced current for various TMF velocities. The plasma reduction performance is analyzed for several conditions including the total absence of injected current. The results show that the velocity may be used to trade off the injected current and, when sufficiently large, eliminates the need for an injected current while mitigating radio blackout. The effectiveness of this solution to the blackout problem is demonstrated in commonly used aerospace communication bands. With a field strength of less than 0.15 T, increasing the velocity from40 m s^-1 to 3100 m s^-1 is all that is required to obviate the need for an injected current. Moreover,typical reduction ratios for electronic density tolerance(2, 1.9, 1.75 and 3 times for the L-, S-, Cand X-bands, respectively, at an altitude of 40 km) remain unchanged. Increasing the velocity of the TMF is much easier than injecting current via a metal electrode into a high-temperature flow field. The TMF method appears practical in regard to possible future applications.展开更多
Segmentation of large AC systems through DC links introduces a new concept that utilizes the advantages of direct current transmission to improve network reliability and increase power transfer capacity. Technical lit...Segmentation of large AC systems through DC links introduces a new concept that utilizes the advantages of direct current transmission to improve network reliability and increase power transfer capacity. Technical literature argues that the segmentation of the AC network and the introduction of DC links at these systems connection points bring benefits to system operation, once contingencies generated on one side of the DC connection point would not be reflected on the other side of DC connection, thereby reducing the likelihood of cascading shutdowns and blackouts due to load restraint on transmission lines and transformers. Amidst this scenario, this paper presents a study of the main topics regarding the use of this new network segmentation philosophy, bringing a practical point of view for the use of this concept at the electrical power system planning. The effect of DC segmentation before a contingency that would initiate major outages in an adapted electrical system model IEEE-14 bus is studied and simulations have been performed with test HVAC systems and segmented by HVDC link. The results have been compared, principally in relation to the voltage bus, reactive power generation, system losses and power flow at the lines, and demonstrated that this new concept improved the grid reliability.展开更多
“Magnetic window”is considered as an effective method to solve the communication blackout issue.COMSOL software package based on the finite element method is utilized to simulate the propagation of right-handed circ...“Magnetic window”is considered as an effective method to solve the communication blackout issue.COMSOL software package based on the finite element method is utilized to simulate the propagation of right-handed circularly polarized wave in the magnetized plasma sheath.We assume a double Gaussian model of electron density and an exponential attenuation model of magnetic field.The propagation characteristics of right-handed circularly polarized wave are analyzed by the observation of the reflected,transmitted and loss coefficient.The numerical results show that the propagation of right-handed circularly polarized wave in the magnetized plasma sheath varies for different incident angles,collision frequencies,non-uniform magnetic fields and non-uniform plasma densities.We notice that reducing the wave frequency can meet the propagation conditions of whistle mode in the weak magnetized plasma sheath.And the transmittance of whistle mode is less affected by the variation of the electron density and the collision frequency.It can be used as a communication window.展开更多
This paper deals with the operation and performance of VSC （voltage source converter） based HVDC （high voltage direct current） interconnecting two extremely weak AC networks, the experience of Caprivilink project....This paper deals with the operation and performance of VSC （voltage source converter） based HVDC （high voltage direct current） interconnecting two extremely weak AC networks, the experience of Caprivilink project. It is shown in the paper that the HVDC converter automatically provides the supreme voltage and frequency stabilizing function when a critical situation is detected, no matter the disturbances appeared in sending end or receiving end AC networks. This supreme voltage and frequency stabilizing function makes it possible to avoid the blackout even if all the generators are tripped under an extra-ordinary worst contingency. By plots of recorded transients, the paper will show how the eventual blackouts are avoided.展开更多
The prototype fast breeder reactor ＂MONJU＂ has an EVSS （ex-vessel fuel storage system） which consists mainly of an EVST （ex-vessel fuel storage tank） and an EVST sodium cooling system. EVST sodium cooling system...The prototype fast breeder reactor ＂MONJU＂ has an EVSS （ex-vessel fuel storage system） which consists mainly of an EVST （ex-vessel fuel storage tank） and an EVST sodium cooling system. EVST sodium cooling system consists of three independent loops. During the normal operation, the primary sodium in the EVST is circulated by natural convection and the secondary circulation in the EVST sodium cooling system is powered by electromagnetic pumps. When an SBO （station blackout） occurs, all the pumps and blowers are tripped. Therefore, it was necessary to evaluate the cooling ability by the natural circulation of sodium in the EVST sodium cooling system and air through the air cooler during the SBO. In this study, an analysis and evaluation of the plant dynamics for the spent fuel and the EVSS structural integrity during an SBO were performed. When the number of cooling loops was not changed and natural circulation occurred in only two loops, the sodium temperature in the EVST increased to approximately 450 ~C. However, the structural integrity of the EVSS was maintained. The analytical results, therefore, help clarify the number of necessary cooling loops for efficient decay heat removal and sodium temperature behavior in an SBO.展开更多
The utilization of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)lines for the segmentation of the European power grid has been demonstrated to be a highly effective strategy for the mitigation of the risk of cascading blackouts.I...The utilization of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)lines for the segmentation of the European power grid has been demonstrated to be a highly effective strategy for the mitigation of the risk of cascading blackouts.In this study,an accurate and efficient method for determining the optimal power flow through HVDC lines is presented,with the objective of minimizing load shedding.The proposed method is applied to two distinct scenarios:first,the segmentation of the power grid along the Pyrenees,with the objective of segmenting the Iberian Peninsula from the rest of Europe;and second,the segmentation of the power grid into Eastern and Western Europe,approximately in half.In both scenarios,the method effectively reduces the size of blackouts impacting both sides of the HVDC lines,resulting in a 46%and 67%reduction in total blackout risk,respectively.Furthermore,we have estimated the cost savings from risk reduction and the expenses associated with converting conventional lines to HVDC lines.Our findings indicate that segmenting the European power grid with HVDC lines is economically viable,particularly for segmenting the Iberian Peninsula,due to its favorable cost-risk reduction ratio.展开更多
This paper makes a comprehensive survey on power system blackout modeling and analysis based on SOC (self-organized criticality). Firstly,a generalized SOC theory from the viewpoint of cybernetics is introduced. Then ...This paper makes a comprehensive survey on power system blackout modeling and analysis based on SOC (self-organized criticality). Firstly,a generalized SOC theory from the viewpoint of cybernetics is introduced. Then the evolution model of power system and its relative mathematical description,which serves as a concrete example of the proposed generalized SOC,are given. Secondly,five blackout models capturing various critical properties of power systems in different time-scales are listed. Finally,this paper analyzes SOC in power systems,such as,the revelation of criticalities of proposed models in both micro-scale and macro-scale which can be used to assess the security of power system,and cas-cading failures process.展开更多
The Texas electric power crisis that occurred in February 2021 has drawn great attention internationally due to its severity and for not having been foreseen.In this rapid communication,we classify the 2021 Texas elec...The Texas electric power crisis that occurred in February 2021 has drawn great attention internationally due to its severity and for not having been foreseen.In this rapid communication,we classify the 2021 Texas electric power crisis as an energy insufficiency-caused power crisis,which alerts of a new blackout mechanism.Different from capacity insufficiencycaused power crises in the past,the Texas electric power crisis of 2021 directly resulted from the long-duration extreme cold weather as well as fundamentally from the insufficiency of sustainable supply capability of energy.We begin this paper with a brief retrospect of the event and its consequences.Definitions of energy/capacity insufficiency-caused power crises are given,as well as an overview of the supply and demand during the event,based on realistic operation data.Quantitative simulations are then conducted to reveal the underlying reasons for the power crisis and reveal how to better prepare for the future.Finally,several insights and suggestions on handling the new mode of blackout in the future are proposed and discussed.展开更多
针对飞行自组网(Flying Ad Hoc Network,FANET)在通信空白场景下存在的高时延问题,提出了一种深度强化学习(Deep Reinforcement Learning,DRL)辅助的双跳信息增强路由协议(Double-Hop Information Enhanced Routing Protocol,DHRP)。为...针对飞行自组网(Flying Ad Hoc Network,FANET)在通信空白场景下存在的高时延问题,提出了一种深度强化学习(Deep Reinforcement Learning,DRL)辅助的双跳信息增强路由协议(Double-Hop Information Enhanced Routing Protocol,DHRP)。为了实现有效的路由决策,采用马尔可夫决策过程(Markov Decision Process,MDP)对路由行为进行建模,在状态空间设计中结合了节点位置信息与链路信道容量,并综合考虑了双跳范围内的网络信息,以深度值网络为核心,在融合实时网络状态动态调整机制的奖励函数引导下,做出最优下一跳路由决策。实验结果表明,在通信空白场景下,DHRP相较于现有的路由方案,显著降低了FANET的平均端到端时延。此外,在不同节点规模和网络拥塞条件下,DHRP均表现出优越的适应性和鲁棒性,通过对动态网络环境的实时感知与智能决策机制,有效保障了整体网络性能。展开更多
文摘The national grid and other life-sustaining critical infrastructures face an unprecedented threat from prolonged blackouts,which could last over a year and pose a severe risk to national security.Whether caused by physical attacks,EMP(electromagnetic pulse)events,or cyberattacks,such disruptions could cripple essential services like water supply,healthcare,communication,and transportation.Research indicates that an attack on just nine key substations could result in a coast-to-coast blackout lasting up to 18 months,leading to economic collapse,civil unrest,and a breakdown of public order.This paper explores the key vulnerabilities of the grid,the potential impacts of prolonged blackouts,and the role of AI(artificial intelligence)and ML(machine learning)in mitigating these threats.AI-driven cybersecurity measures,predictive maintenance,automated threat response,and EMP resilience strategies are discussed as essential solutions to bolster grid security.Policy recommendations emphasize the need for hardened infrastructure,enhanced cybersecurity,redundant power systems,and AI-based grid management to ensure national resilience.Without proactive measures,the nation remains exposed to a catastrophic power grid failure that could have dire consequences for society and the economy.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Project 51907064)in part by China State Key Lab.of Power System(SKLD19KM09)in part by State Grid Corporation of China(1400202024222A-0-0-00)
文摘Distributed energy resources have been proven to be an effective and promising solution to enhance power system resilience and improve household-level reliability.In this paper,we propose a method to evaluate the reliability value of a photovoltaic(PV)energy system with a battery storage system(BSS)by considering the probability of grid outages causing household blackouts.Considering this reliability value,which is the economic profit and capital cost of PV+BSS,a simple formula is derived to calculate the optimal planning strategy.This strategy can provide household-level customers with a simple and straightforward expression for invested PV+BSS capacity.Case studies on 600 households located in eight zones of the US for the period of 2006 to 2015 demonstrate that adding the reliability value to economic profit allows households to invest in a larger PV+BSS and avoid loss of load caused by blackouts.Owing to the differences in blackout hours,households from the 8 zones express distinct willingness to install PV+BSS.The greater the probability of blackout,the greater revenue that household can get from the PV+BSS.The simulation example shows that the planning strategy obtained by proposed model has good economy in the actual operation and able to reduce the economic risk of power failure of the household users.This model can provide household with an easy and straightforward investment strategy of PV+BSS capacity.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.61771370,61701381,and 11704296)。
文摘In this paper, a novel solution mitigating the radio blackout problem is proposed, which improves existing traveling magnetic field(TMF)-based methods. The most significant advance lies in replacing the external injection with self-induced current, which does not require electrodes. The improved analytical model is derived to evaluate the electron density reduction taking into consideration the self-induced current for various TMF velocities. The plasma reduction performance is analyzed for several conditions including the total absence of injected current. The results show that the velocity may be used to trade off the injected current and, when sufficiently large, eliminates the need for an injected current while mitigating radio blackout. The effectiveness of this solution to the blackout problem is demonstrated in commonly used aerospace communication bands. With a field strength of less than 0.15 T, increasing the velocity from40 m s^-1 to 3100 m s^-1 is all that is required to obviate the need for an injected current. Moreover,typical reduction ratios for electronic density tolerance(2, 1.9, 1.75 and 3 times for the L-, S-, Cand X-bands, respectively, at an altitude of 40 km) remain unchanged. Increasing the velocity of the TMF is much easier than injecting current via a metal electrode into a high-temperature flow field. The TMF method appears practical in regard to possible future applications.
文摘Segmentation of large AC systems through DC links introduces a new concept that utilizes the advantages of direct current transmission to improve network reliability and increase power transfer capacity. Technical literature argues that the segmentation of the AC network and the introduction of DC links at these systems connection points bring benefits to system operation, once contingencies generated on one side of the DC connection point would not be reflected on the other side of DC connection, thereby reducing the likelihood of cascading shutdowns and blackouts due to load restraint on transmission lines and transformers. Amidst this scenario, this paper presents a study of the main topics regarding the use of this new network segmentation philosophy, bringing a practical point of view for the use of this concept at the electrical power system planning. The effect of DC segmentation before a contingency that would initiate major outages in an adapted electrical system model IEEE-14 bus is studied and simulations have been performed with test HVAC systems and segmented by HVDC link. The results have been compared, principally in relation to the voltage bus, reactive power generation, system losses and power flow at the lines, and demonstrated that this new concept improved the grid reliability.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.12275202,62371372,62101406,and 62001340)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant Nos.2022M71490 and 2020M673341)+1 种基金the Innovation Capability Support Program of Shaanxi Province,China(Grant No.2022TD-37)the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province,China(Grant No.2023JC-YB-549)。
文摘“Magnetic window”is considered as an effective method to solve the communication blackout issue.COMSOL software package based on the finite element method is utilized to simulate the propagation of right-handed circularly polarized wave in the magnetized plasma sheath.We assume a double Gaussian model of electron density and an exponential attenuation model of magnetic field.The propagation characteristics of right-handed circularly polarized wave are analyzed by the observation of the reflected,transmitted and loss coefficient.The numerical results show that the propagation of right-handed circularly polarized wave in the magnetized plasma sheath varies for different incident angles,collision frequencies,non-uniform magnetic fields and non-uniform plasma densities.We notice that reducing the wave frequency can meet the propagation conditions of whistle mode in the weak magnetized plasma sheath.And the transmittance of whistle mode is less affected by the variation of the electron density and the collision frequency.It can be used as a communication window.
文摘This paper deals with the operation and performance of VSC （voltage source converter） based HVDC （high voltage direct current） interconnecting two extremely weak AC networks, the experience of Caprivilink project. It is shown in the paper that the HVDC converter automatically provides the supreme voltage and frequency stabilizing function when a critical situation is detected, no matter the disturbances appeared in sending end or receiving end AC networks. This supreme voltage and frequency stabilizing function makes it possible to avoid the blackout even if all the generators are tripped under an extra-ordinary worst contingency. By plots of recorded transients, the paper will show how the eventual blackouts are avoided.
文摘The prototype fast breeder reactor ＂MONJU＂ has an EVSS （ex-vessel fuel storage system） which consists mainly of an EVST （ex-vessel fuel storage tank） and an EVST sodium cooling system. EVST sodium cooling system consists of three independent loops. During the normal operation, the primary sodium in the EVST is circulated by natural convection and the secondary circulation in the EVST sodium cooling system is powered by electromagnetic pumps. When an SBO （station blackout） occurs, all the pumps and blowers are tripped. Therefore, it was necessary to evaluate the cooling ability by the natural circulation of sodium in the EVST sodium cooling system and air through the air cooler during the SBO. In this study, an analysis and evaluation of the plant dynamics for the spent fuel and the EVSS structural integrity during an SBO were performed. When the number of cooling loops was not changed and natural circulation occurred in only two loops, the sodium temperature in the EVST increased to approximately 450 ~C. However, the structural integrity of the EVSS was maintained. The analytical results, therefore, help clarify the number of necessary cooling loops for efficient decay heat removal and sodium temperature behavior in an SBO.
基金supported by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033(No.PID2021-122256NB-C22,No.CEX2021-001164-M)the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme(Grant Agreement No.957852,VPP4Islands)supported in part by FI-AGAUR Research Fellowship Program,Generalitat de Catalunya,and the ICREA Academia program。
文摘The utilization of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)lines for the segmentation of the European power grid has been demonstrated to be a highly effective strategy for the mitigation of the risk of cascading blackouts.In this study,an accurate and efficient method for determining the optimal power flow through HVDC lines is presented,with the objective of minimizing load shedding.The proposed method is applied to two distinct scenarios:first,the segmentation of the power grid along the Pyrenees,with the objective of segmenting the Iberian Peninsula from the rest of Europe;and second,the segmentation of the power grid into Eastern and Western Europe,approximately in half.In both scenarios,the method effectively reduces the size of blackouts impacting both sides of the HVDC lines,resulting in a 46%and 67%reduction in total blackout risk,respectively.Furthermore,we have estimated the cost savings from risk reduction and the expenses associated with converting conventional lines to HVDC lines.Our findings indicate that segmenting the European power grid with HVDC lines is economically viable,particularly for segmenting the Iberian Peninsula,due to its favorable cost-risk reduction ratio.
基金National Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 50525721, 50595411)Special Fund of the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. G2004CB217900)
文摘This paper makes a comprehensive survey on power system blackout modeling and analysis based on SOC (self-organized criticality). Firstly,a generalized SOC theory from the viewpoint of cybernetics is introduced. Then the evolution model of power system and its relative mathematical description,which serves as a concrete example of the proposed generalized SOC,are given. Secondly,five blackout models capturing various critical properties of power systems in different time-scales are listed. Finally,this paper analyzes SOC in power systems,such as,the revelation of criticalities of proposed models in both micro-scale and macro-scale which can be used to assess the security of power system,and cas-cading failures process.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U1966204).
文摘The Texas electric power crisis that occurred in February 2021 has drawn great attention internationally due to its severity and for not having been foreseen.In this rapid communication,we classify the 2021 Texas electric power crisis as an energy insufficiency-caused power crisis,which alerts of a new blackout mechanism.Different from capacity insufficiencycaused power crises in the past,the Texas electric power crisis of 2021 directly resulted from the long-duration extreme cold weather as well as fundamentally from the insufficiency of sustainable supply capability of energy.We begin this paper with a brief retrospect of the event and its consequences.Definitions of energy/capacity insufficiency-caused power crises are given,as well as an overview of the supply and demand during the event,based on realistic operation data.Quantitative simulations are then conducted to reveal the underlying reasons for the power crisis and reveal how to better prepare for the future.Finally,several insights and suggestions on handling the new mode of blackout in the future are proposed and discussed.
文摘针对飞行自组网(Flying Ad Hoc Network,FANET)在通信空白场景下存在的高时延问题,提出了一种深度强化学习(Deep Reinforcement Learning,DRL)辅助的双跳信息增强路由协议(Double-Hop Information Enhanced Routing Protocol,DHRP)。为了实现有效的路由决策,采用马尔可夫决策过程(Markov Decision Process,MDP)对路由行为进行建模,在状态空间设计中结合了节点位置信息与链路信道容量,并综合考虑了双跳范围内的网络信息,以深度值网络为核心,在融合实时网络状态动态调整机制的奖励函数引导下,做出最优下一跳路由决策。实验结果表明,在通信空白场景下,DHRP相较于现有的路由方案,显著降低了FANET的平均端到端时延。此外,在不同节点规模和网络拥塞条件下,DHRP均表现出优越的适应性和鲁棒性,通过对动态网络环境的实时感知与智能决策机制,有效保障了整体网络性能。
