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Autonomous Changes in the Concentration of Water Vapor Drive Climate Change
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作者 William A. Van Brunt 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2020年第4期443-508,共66页
When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate ch... When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate change can accurately replicate the significant variability in the annual temperature record. Therefore, new principles of atmospheric physics are developed for determining changes in the average annual global temperature based on changes in the average atmospheric concentration of water vapor. These new principles prove that: 1) Changes in average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;2) Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW, drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, the average global temperature, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T<sub>Avg</sub>, in accordance with this principle, <span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T</span><span style="white-space:normal;"><sub>Avg</sub>=0.4<span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW </span></span>the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880-2019, temperature record;3) Changes in the concentration of water vapor and changes in water vapor heating are not a feedback response to changes in the concentration of CO<sub>2</sub>;4) Rather, increases in water vapor heating and increases in the concentration of water vapor drive each other in an autonomous positive feedback loop;5) This feedback loop can be brought to a halt if the average global rate of precipitation can be brought into balance with the average global rate of evaporation and maintained there;and, 6) The recent increases in average global temperature can be reversed, if average global precipitation can be increased sufficiently to slightly exceed the average rate of evaporation. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon Dioxide Climate Change Water Vapor global Warming DRIVER average global temperature Change in Concentration Water Vapor Water Vapor Heating
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Erratum to “Autonomous Changes in the Concentration of Water Vapor Drive Climate Change” [Atmospheric and Climate Sciences 10 (2020) 443-508]
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作者 William Van Brunt 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2021年第3期535-546,共12页
<p> A. <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Changes </span></span></span><... <p> A. <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Changes </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">in</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;</span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">B. </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">TPW, </span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">changes in</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> the average global temperature, </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><i>T</i></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><sub>Avg</sub></span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">in deg. Celsius are calculated</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> in accordance with this principle,</span></span> </p> <p style="text-align:center;margin-left:10pt;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span><img src="Edit_6e770969-a7c9-4192-a6ad-03de906a4d65.bmp" alt="" /><br /> </span></span></span> </p> <p align="center" style="margin-left:10.0pt;text-align:center;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""></span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;background:#c00000;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">measured in kg<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"="">·</span></span>m</span><sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"="">-</span>2</span></sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""> </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880 </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> 2019, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">average global </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">temperature record;</span></span></span></span> </p> 展开更多
关键词 Carbon Dioxide Climate Change Water Vapor global Warming DRIVER average global temperature Change in Concentration Water Vapor Water Vapor Heating
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Commitment to Climate
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《Beijing Review》 2025年第48期2-2,共1页
Ten years after nearly 200 nations reached the Paris Agreement to address the impact of climate change,the international community is now at a critical juncture.The landmark agreement aims to keep the rise in global a... Ten years after nearly 200 nations reached the Paris Agreement to address the impact of climate change,the international community is now at a critical juncture.The landmark agreement aims to keep the rise in global average temperature well below 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels and,if possible,below 15 degrees Celsius.It requires each party to prepare national action plans known as Nationally Determined Contributions(NDCs)every five years.By September 30,only about a third had submitted their new NDCs. 展开更多
关键词 NDCs paris agreement global average temperature nationally determined contributions ndcs every commitment nationally determined contributions climate national action plans
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