The paper mainly studies the first attack probability (FAP) of an attacker level bombing anti-air radars through analyzing the radiant point orientation and attack (RPOA) process of attackers. Firstly, the searching t...The paper mainly studies the first attack probability (FAP) of an attacker level bombing anti-air radars through analyzing the radiant point orientation and attack (RPOA) process of attackers. Firstly, the searching target process is analyzed, and a corresponding target finding model is brought forward. Secondly, the target approaching process is concretely analyzed when the attacker levelly bombs the anti-air radar, and a corresponding target approaching model is presented. Finally, a demonstration is given to analyze the major factors in the model and prove its validity.展开更多
The organization of coordinated attack and the selection of aiming point which affect hit probability were analyzed for the countermeasures taken by the hostile submarines at two helicopters' coordinated attack.A ...The organization of coordinated attack and the selection of aiming point which affect hit probability were analyzed for the countermeasures taken by the hostile submarines at two helicopters' coordinated attack.A computational model of coordinated attack parameters,a model of submarine maneuver,and a model of noise jammer were established.Compared to single helicopter' torpedo attack,the coordinated attack of two helicopters can effectively increase the hit probability of torpedo and achieve the higher target detecting probability under counterwork condition.展开更多
Based on the analysis for the interception process of ship-to-air missile system to the anti-ship missile stream, the antagonism of ship-to-air missile and anti-ship missile stream was modeled by Monte Carlo method. T...Based on the analysis for the interception process of ship-to-air missile system to the anti-ship missile stream, the antagonism of ship-to-air missile and anti-ship missile stream was modeled by Monte Carlo method. This model containing the probability of acquiring anti-ship missile, threat estimation, firepower distribution, interception, effectiveness evaluation and firepower turning, can dynamically simulate the antagonism process of anti-ship missile attack stream and anti-air missile weapon system. The anti-ship missile's saturation attack stream for different ship-to-air missile systems can be calculated quantitatively. The simulated results reveal the relations among the anti-ship missile saturation attack and the attack intensity of anti-ship missile, interception mode and the main parameters of anti-air missile weapon system. It provides a theoretical basis for the effective operation of anti-ship missile.展开更多
This paper compares the penetration capabilities of the same type anti-ship missiles with millimeter wave(MMW)seeker and centimeter wave seeker,and constructs mathematical models of penetration probability and saturat...This paper compares the penetration capabilities of the same type anti-ship missiles with millimeter wave(MMW)seeker and centimeter wave seeker,and constructs mathematical models of penetration probability and saturation attack number for all anti-ship missiles used in the countermeasure system,according to the rule which makes the ship-borne air defence system oppase as far as possible and equally,and combining the actual combat situation.It can be seen,from analysis of the countermeasure process between anti-ship missile and surface naval ship,that for the same type of anti-ship missile with different seekers,the main influence on the penetration capability is from electronic jamming system.Based on the built model,the penetration capabilities of the same type anti-ship missiles with MMW and centimeter wave seekers are simulated.The simulated results show that the penetration capability of MMW seeker is slightly better than that of the centimeter wave seeker and its saturation attack number is also influenced by the discovering probability greatly.Finally,some suggestions to get superior penetration effect are given for a commander to choose seeker type suitably.展开更多
在可再生能源高渗透率的背景下,电力系统的负荷频率控制(load frequency control,LFC)面临虚假数据注入攻击(false data injection attack,FDIA)的安全威胁。现有检测方法难以有效区分控制输入攻击和测量数据攻击,影响系统的稳定性和安...在可再生能源高渗透率的背景下,电力系统的负荷频率控制(load frequency control,LFC)面临虚假数据注入攻击(false data injection attack,FDIA)的安全威胁。现有检测方法难以有效区分控制输入攻击和测量数据攻击,影响系统的稳定性和安全性。为此建立了包含可再生能源及储能系统的LFC状态空间模型,并分析了FDIA对系统动态特性的影响。通过状态空间分解方法将攻击信号解耦为控制输入攻击和测量攻击,提高检测精度。基于滑模观测器设计攻击估计方法,实现对攻击信号的实时检测。进一步结合H∞控制理论,提出了抗攻击控制(attack-resilient control,ARC)策略,以增强系统在攻击环境下的鲁棒性。仿真算例表明:与传统方法相比攻击估计均方误差降低约30%,系统频率响应稳定性显著提升。结果表明,该方法能够有效检测FDIA并提高电力系统的安全性和抗干扰能力。展开更多
文摘The paper mainly studies the first attack probability (FAP) of an attacker level bombing anti-air radars through analyzing the radiant point orientation and attack (RPOA) process of attackers. Firstly, the searching target process is analyzed, and a corresponding target finding model is brought forward. Secondly, the target approaching process is concretely analyzed when the attacker levelly bombs the anti-air radar, and a corresponding target approaching model is presented. Finally, a demonstration is given to analyze the major factors in the model and prove its validity.
文摘The organization of coordinated attack and the selection of aiming point which affect hit probability were analyzed for the countermeasures taken by the hostile submarines at two helicopters' coordinated attack.A computational model of coordinated attack parameters,a model of submarine maneuver,and a model of noise jammer were established.Compared to single helicopter' torpedo attack,the coordinated attack of two helicopters can effectively increase the hit probability of torpedo and achieve the higher target detecting probability under counterwork condition.
文摘Based on the analysis for the interception process of ship-to-air missile system to the anti-ship missile stream, the antagonism of ship-to-air missile and anti-ship missile stream was modeled by Monte Carlo method. This model containing the probability of acquiring anti-ship missile, threat estimation, firepower distribution, interception, effectiveness evaluation and firepower turning, can dynamically simulate the antagonism process of anti-ship missile attack stream and anti-air missile weapon system. The anti-ship missile's saturation attack stream for different ship-to-air missile systems can be calculated quantitatively. The simulated results reveal the relations among the anti-ship missile saturation attack and the attack intensity of anti-ship missile, interception mode and the main parameters of anti-air missile weapon system. It provides a theoretical basis for the effective operation of anti-ship missile.
文摘This paper compares the penetration capabilities of the same type anti-ship missiles with millimeter wave(MMW)seeker and centimeter wave seeker,and constructs mathematical models of penetration probability and saturation attack number for all anti-ship missiles used in the countermeasure system,according to the rule which makes the ship-borne air defence system oppase as far as possible and equally,and combining the actual combat situation.It can be seen,from analysis of the countermeasure process between anti-ship missile and surface naval ship,that for the same type of anti-ship missile with different seekers,the main influence on the penetration capability is from electronic jamming system.Based on the built model,the penetration capabilities of the same type anti-ship missiles with MMW and centimeter wave seekers are simulated.The simulated results show that the penetration capability of MMW seeker is slightly better than that of the centimeter wave seeker and its saturation attack number is also influenced by the discovering probability greatly.Finally,some suggestions to get superior penetration effect are given for a commander to choose seeker type suitably.
文摘在可再生能源高渗透率的背景下,电力系统的负荷频率控制(load frequency control,LFC)面临虚假数据注入攻击(false data injection attack,FDIA)的安全威胁。现有检测方法难以有效区分控制输入攻击和测量数据攻击,影响系统的稳定性和安全性。为此建立了包含可再生能源及储能系统的LFC状态空间模型,并分析了FDIA对系统动态特性的影响。通过状态空间分解方法将攻击信号解耦为控制输入攻击和测量攻击,提高检测精度。基于滑模观测器设计攻击估计方法,实现对攻击信号的实时检测。进一步结合H∞控制理论,提出了抗攻击控制(attack-resilient control,ARC)策略,以增强系统在攻击环境下的鲁棒性。仿真算例表明:与传统方法相比攻击估计均方误差降低约30%,系统频率响应稳定性显著提升。结果表明,该方法能够有效检测FDIA并提高电力系统的安全性和抗干扰能力。