By employing the empirical likelihood method, confidence regions for the stationary AR（p）-ARCH（q） models are constructed. A self-weighted LAD estimator is proposed under weak moment conditions. An empirical log-li...By employing the empirical likelihood method, confidence regions for the stationary AR（p）-ARCH（q） models are constructed. A self-weighted LAD estimator is proposed under weak moment conditions. An empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic is derived and its asymptotic distribution is obtained. Simulation studies show that the performance of empirical likelihood method is better than that of normal approximation of the LAD estimator in terms of the coverage accuracy, especially for relative small size of observation.展开更多
This study was undertaken to examine which factors contributed to the correction of crowding in two patients who underwent nonextraction orthodontic treatment. A study model analysis was conducted to determine the eff...This study was undertaken to examine which factors contributed to the correction of crowding in two patients who underwent nonextraction orthodontic treatment. A study model analysis was conducted to determine the effects of the orthodontic treatment for crowding with high canines on crown angulation and dental arch width in two patients. The results showed that the crown angulation was significantly increased, indicating distal tipping in the maxillary dental arch. This tendency was most commonly observed in the premolars among the lateral teeth. With respect to the dental arch width, the largest change was evident in the first molar and first premolar regions in cases 1 and 2, respectively. On the basis of these results, up-righting of mesially tipped lateral teeth and expansion of narrow dental arches could prove to be the keys to the success of space regaining or correction of high canines and mild crowding.展开更多
In this paper we consider the problem of identifying a parsimonious subset multivariate ARCH model based on the AIC principle. The proposed approach can reduce the number of parameters in the final ARCH specification ...In this paper we consider the problem of identifying a parsimonious subset multivariate ARCH model based on the AIC principle. The proposed approach can reduce the number of parameters in the final ARCH specification and allows for non-constant correlations between the components. Some simulation results illustrate the viability of the proposed procedure.展开更多
Because of good quality of compressive resistance, the hyperbolic arch dam is being increasingly applied to engineering projects. In order to satisfy the needs of compressive resistance under the conditions of high wa...Because of good quality of compressive resistance, the hyperbolic arch dam is being increasingly applied to engineering projects. In order to satisfy the needs of compressive resistance under the conditions of high water pressure, a stress analysis is required for the dam. During the stress analysis process however, due to the complexity of the three-dimensional modeling, it is very hard to form a model. Therefore, the stress analysis process is a barrier for the arch dam. In this article, based on the research of the new line-type arch dam, a mathematical model in different degree of convexity conditions of the dam is established; using the C ＋ ＋ language program, a computer three-dimensional model simulation is realized on AutoCAD. The accurate three-dimensional model is providing a finite element optimization design of the involute hyperbolic arch dam for the next step.展开更多
A suitable statistical model has been explored for the investors as well as the researchers to resolve the future estimation of share volume by using daily stock volume data from Dhaka Stock Exchange （DSE）. The dail...A suitable statistical model has been explored for the investors as well as the researchers to resolve the future estimation of share volume by using daily stock volume data from Dhaka Stock Exchange （DSE）. The daily volume data from the June 1, 2004 to April 19, 2010 were retrieved from DSE website as a secondary data source. The Maximum Likelihood---Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity （ARCH） （Marquardt） method has been applied to construct the models for the stock volume data of DSE by using statistical package software E-Views of verson-5. First of all, an ＂Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average （ARIMA） model＂ was fitted and observed that heteroscedastic volatilities were still present there. To eliminate this dilemma, ARCH class of volatility models has been used and finally the ARIMA with EGARCH model has been explored. Findings of this study have recognized that ARIMA with EGARCH model implies low mean square error, low mean absolute error, low bias proportion, and low variance proportion for share volume data with comparing to other models. Hence, the modelling concept established in this study would be a decisive study for the investors as well as the researchers.展开更多
This study aims to analyze seismic damage of reinforced outlet piers of arch dams by the nonlinear finite element （FE） sub-model method. First, the dam-foundation system is modeled and analyzed, in which the effects...This study aims to analyze seismic damage of reinforced outlet piers of arch dams by the nonlinear finite element （FE） sub-model method. First, the dam-foundation system is modeled and analyzed, in which the effects of infinite foundation, contraction joints, and nonlinear concrete are taken into account. The detailed structures of the outlet pier are then simulated with a refined FE model in the sub-model analysis. In this way the damage mechanism of the plain （unreinforced） outlet pier is analyzed, and the effects of two reinforcement measures （i.e., post-tensioned anchor cables and reinforcing bar） on the dynamic damage to the outlet pier are investigated comprehensively. Results show that the plain pier is damaged severely by strong earthquakes while implementation of post-tensioned anchor cables strengthens the pier effectively. In addition, radiation damping strongly alleviates seismic damage to the piers.展开更多
Determining earth pressure on jacked pipes is essential for ensuring lining safety and calculating jacking force,especially for deep-buried pipes.To better reflect the soil arching effect resulting from the excavation...Determining earth pressure on jacked pipes is essential for ensuring lining safety and calculating jacking force,especially for deep-buried pipes.To better reflect the soil arching effect resulting from the excavation of rectangular jacked pipes and the distribution of the earth pressure on jacked pipes,we present an analytical solution for predicting the vertical earth pressure on deep-buried rectangular pipe jacking tunnels,incorporating the tunnelling-induced ground loss distribution.Our proposed analytical model consists of the upper multi-layer parabolic soil arch and the lower friction arch.The key parameters(i.e.,width and height of friction arch B and height of parabolic soil arch H 1)are determined according to the existing research,and an analytical solution for K l is derived based on the distribution characteristics of the principal stress rotation angle.With consideration for the transition effect of the mechanical characteristics of the parabolic arch zone,an analytical solution for soil load transfer is derived.The prediction results of our analytical solution are compared with tests and simulation results to validate the effectiveness of the proposed analytical solution.Finally,the effects of different parameters on the soil pressure are discussed.展开更多
【目的】解决钢箱系杆拱桥的钢拱肋在施工过程中精度控制难度大和耗时长的问题。【方法】以某钢箱系杆拱桥为工程背景,采用建筑信息模型(building information modeling,BIM)及3D激光扫描技术,对拱肋钢构件在加工制作与拼接过程中的质...【目的】解决钢箱系杆拱桥的钢拱肋在施工过程中精度控制难度大和耗时长的问题。【方法】以某钢箱系杆拱桥为工程背景,采用建筑信息模型(building information modeling,BIM)及3D激光扫描技术,对拱肋钢构件在加工制作与拼接过程中的质量检测进行信息化管控。【结果】BIM技术结合3D激光扫描技术可快速地检测钢拱肋构件的质量并监测拱肋施工线形;钢箱拱肋构件的最大制作误差在1.2 mm以内,构件在拼接过程中的最大误差在1.1 mm以内,以上误差均满足设计规范的要求;与传统检测方法相比,点云数据在各坐标轴方向的偏差为1.0~3.0 mm,平均偏差为1.2~1.5 mm,具有较高的可靠性。【结论】基于BIM+3D激光扫描技术,可实现钢箱拱肋构件施工过程中拱肋线形质量的动态管控。展开更多
连续刚构拱组合铁路桥是一种具有复杂结构形式和施工工序繁多的桥梁类型。为实现对该类型桥梁施工过程的全面监控和管理,以目前在建最大跨径无砟轨道高墩大跨连续刚构拱组合体系桥为背景,阐述BIM技术在该领域取得的研究成果,通过BIM技...连续刚构拱组合铁路桥是一种具有复杂结构形式和施工工序繁多的桥梁类型。为实现对该类型桥梁施工过程的全面监控和管理,以目前在建最大跨径无砟轨道高墩大跨连续刚构拱组合体系桥为背景,阐述BIM技术在该领域取得的研究成果,通过BIM技术对连续刚构拱组合梁桥进行参数化建模、施工动态模拟,以Visual Studio 2022作为开发平台开发了线形与应力监控系统,系统包含数据管理、测点设计、接口设计、模型应用等四大功能模块,对施工监控数据进行有效管理。研究结果表明:采用基于BIM数据驱动的参数化建模技术,提高了建模效率和准确性。桥梁线形数据的可视化表达简化了监控数据与设计值的对比工作,可视化模拟施工工况和动态预警提示功能为桥梁线形的发展规律分析提供参考。实现了监测数据与桥梁BIM模型的关联,方便数据存储和查找,同时可以直观地比较实测值与理论值的误差是否超限,简化了监测数据统计和对比工作。该软件系统为铁路桥梁工程的设计、施工和监测提供有力支持。展开更多
基金Supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. 2010LKSX04)Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 10731010)
文摘By employing the empirical likelihood method, confidence regions for the stationary AR（p）-ARCH（q） models are constructed. A self-weighted LAD estimator is proposed under weak moment conditions. An empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic is derived and its asymptotic distribution is obtained. Simulation studies show that the performance of empirical likelihood method is better than that of normal approximation of the LAD estimator in terms of the coverage accuracy, especially for relative small size of observation.
文摘This study was undertaken to examine which factors contributed to the correction of crowding in two patients who underwent nonextraction orthodontic treatment. A study model analysis was conducted to determine the effects of the orthodontic treatment for crowding with high canines on crown angulation and dental arch width in two patients. The results showed that the crown angulation was significantly increased, indicating distal tipping in the maxillary dental arch. This tendency was most commonly observed in the premolars among the lateral teeth. With respect to the dental arch width, the largest change was evident in the first molar and first premolar regions in cases 1 and 2, respectively. On the basis of these results, up-righting of mesially tipped lateral teeth and expansion of narrow dental arches could prove to be the keys to the success of space regaining or correction of high canines and mild crowding.
基金The authors would like to thank the referees for comments and suggestions which led to many improvements of the paper. W.K. Li's research is supported by the Hong Kong Research Grants Council.
文摘In this paper we consider the problem of identifying a parsimonious subset multivariate ARCH model based on the AIC principle. The proposed approach can reduce the number of parameters in the final ARCH specification and allows for non-constant correlations between the components. Some simulation results illustrate the viability of the proposed procedure.
基金Supported by Postgraduate Education Innovation Fund of Chongqing Jiaotong University
文摘Because of good quality of compressive resistance, the hyperbolic arch dam is being increasingly applied to engineering projects. In order to satisfy the needs of compressive resistance under the conditions of high water pressure, a stress analysis is required for the dam. During the stress analysis process however, due to the complexity of the three-dimensional modeling, it is very hard to form a model. Therefore, the stress analysis process is a barrier for the arch dam. In this article, based on the research of the new line-type arch dam, a mathematical model in different degree of convexity conditions of the dam is established; using the C ＋ ＋ language program, a computer three-dimensional model simulation is realized on AutoCAD. The accurate three-dimensional model is providing a finite element optimization design of the involute hyperbolic arch dam for the next step.
文摘A suitable statistical model has been explored for the investors as well as the researchers to resolve the future estimation of share volume by using daily stock volume data from Dhaka Stock Exchange （DSE）. The daily volume data from the June 1, 2004 to April 19, 2010 were retrieved from DSE website as a secondary data source. The Maximum Likelihood---Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity （ARCH） （Marquardt） method has been applied to construct the models for the stock volume data of DSE by using statistical package software E-Views of verson-5. First of all, an ＂Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average （ARIMA） model＂ was fitted and observed that heteroscedastic volatilities were still present there. To eliminate this dilemma, ARCH class of volatility models has been used and finally the ARIMA with EGARCH model has been explored. Findings of this study have recognized that ARIMA with EGARCH model implies low mean square error, low mean absolute error, low bias proportion, and low variance proportion for share volume data with comparing to other models. Hence, the modelling concept established in this study would be a decisive study for the investors as well as the researchers.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.51179093 and 91215301Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education under Grant No.20130002110032
文摘This study aims to analyze seismic damage of reinforced outlet piers of arch dams by the nonlinear finite element （FE） sub-model method. First, the dam-foundation system is modeled and analyzed, in which the effects of infinite foundation, contraction joints, and nonlinear concrete are taken into account. The detailed structures of the outlet pier are then simulated with a refined FE model in the sub-model analysis. In this way the damage mechanism of the plain （unreinforced） outlet pier is analyzed, and the effects of two reinforcement measures （i.e., post-tensioned anchor cables and reinforcing bar） on the dynamic damage to the outlet pier are investigated comprehensively. Results show that the plain pier is damaged severely by strong earthquakes while implementation of post-tensioned anchor cables strengthens the pier effectively. In addition, radiation damping strongly alleviates seismic damage to the piers.
基金Project(2022YJS073)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,ChinaProject(2024YFE0198500)supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China:Intergovernmental International Science and Technology Innovation CooperationProject(U2469207)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation Railway Innovation and Development Joint Fund Project,China。
文摘Determining earth pressure on jacked pipes is essential for ensuring lining safety and calculating jacking force,especially for deep-buried pipes.To better reflect the soil arching effect resulting from the excavation of rectangular jacked pipes and the distribution of the earth pressure on jacked pipes,we present an analytical solution for predicting the vertical earth pressure on deep-buried rectangular pipe jacking tunnels,incorporating the tunnelling-induced ground loss distribution.Our proposed analytical model consists of the upper multi-layer parabolic soil arch and the lower friction arch.The key parameters(i.e.,width and height of friction arch B and height of parabolic soil arch H 1)are determined according to the existing research,and an analytical solution for K l is derived based on the distribution characteristics of the principal stress rotation angle.With consideration for the transition effect of the mechanical characteristics of the parabolic arch zone,an analytical solution for soil load transfer is derived.The prediction results of our analytical solution are compared with tests and simulation results to validate the effectiveness of the proposed analytical solution.Finally,the effects of different parameters on the soil pressure are discussed.
文摘连续刚构拱组合铁路桥是一种具有复杂结构形式和施工工序繁多的桥梁类型。为实现对该类型桥梁施工过程的全面监控和管理,以目前在建最大跨径无砟轨道高墩大跨连续刚构拱组合体系桥为背景,阐述BIM技术在该领域取得的研究成果,通过BIM技术对连续刚构拱组合梁桥进行参数化建模、施工动态模拟,以Visual Studio 2022作为开发平台开发了线形与应力监控系统,系统包含数据管理、测点设计、接口设计、模型应用等四大功能模块,对施工监控数据进行有效管理。研究结果表明:采用基于BIM数据驱动的参数化建模技术,提高了建模效率和准确性。桥梁线形数据的可视化表达简化了监控数据与设计值的对比工作,可视化模拟施工工况和动态预警提示功能为桥梁线形的发展规律分析提供参考。实现了监测数据与桥梁BIM模型的关联,方便数据存储和查找,同时可以直观地比较实测值与理论值的误差是否超限,简化了监测数据统计和对比工作。该软件系统为铁路桥梁工程的设计、施工和监测提供有力支持。
