In wind and solar renewable-dominant hybrid alternating current/direct current(AC/DC)power systems,the active power of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)system is significantly limited by the security and stability eve...In wind and solar renewable-dominant hybrid alternating current/direct current(AC/DC)power systems,the active power of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)system is significantly limited by the security and stability events caused by cascading failures.To identify critical lines in cascading failures,a rapid risk assessment method is proposed based on the gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)and frequent pat-tern growth(FP-Growth)algorithms.First,security and stability events triggered by cascading failures are analyzed to explain the impact of cascading failures on the maximum DC power.Then,a cascading failure risk index is defined,focusing on the DC power being limited.To handle the strong nonlinear relationship between the maximum DC power and cascading failures,a GBDT with an update strategy is utilized to rapidly predict the maximum DC power under uncertain operating conditions.Finally,the FP-Growth algorithm is improved to mine frequent patterns in cascading failures.The importance index for each fault in a frequent pattern is defined by evaluating its impact on cascading failures,enabling the identification of critical lines.Simulation results of a modified Ningxia–Shandong hybrid AC/DC system in China demonstrate that the proposed method can rapidly assess the risk of cascading failures and effectively identify critical lines.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China"Key technologies for system stability and HVDC transmission of large-scale renewable energy generation base without conventional power support(2022YFB2402700)"the project of the State Grid Corporation of China(52272222001J).
文摘In wind and solar renewable-dominant hybrid alternating current/direct current(AC/DC)power systems,the active power of high-voltage direct current(HVDC)system is significantly limited by the security and stability events caused by cascading failures.To identify critical lines in cascading failures,a rapid risk assessment method is proposed based on the gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT)and frequent pat-tern growth(FP-Growth)algorithms.First,security and stability events triggered by cascading failures are analyzed to explain the impact of cascading failures on the maximum DC power.Then,a cascading failure risk index is defined,focusing on the DC power being limited.To handle the strong nonlinear relationship between the maximum DC power and cascading failures,a GBDT with an update strategy is utilized to rapidly predict the maximum DC power under uncertain operating conditions.Finally,the FP-Growth algorithm is improved to mine frequent patterns in cascading failures.The importance index for each fault in a frequent pattern is defined by evaluating its impact on cascading failures,enabling the identification of critical lines.Simulation results of a modified Ningxia–Shandong hybrid AC/DC system in China demonstrate that the proposed method can rapidly assess the risk of cascading failures and effectively identify critical lines.
