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Effects of Future Climate and Cropland Use Changes on Rice Potential Yields in Hainan Island, China
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作者 PU Luoman XIANG Mengjun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2025年第3期438-453,共16页
Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop produc... Rapid climate and cropland use changes in recent decades have posed major challenges to food security in China.Hainan Is-land is the only tropical island in China and is blessed with natural conditions for crop production.This study first simulates the climate scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 under the four Socio-economic Pathways(SSPs)based on the climate models in ScenarioMIP of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6),and then simulates the land use scenarios of Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 based on the Cellular Automata(CA)-Markov model.Finally,based on the Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model,the rice potential yield in Hainan Island for 2030,2040 and 2050 are simulated,and the effects of future climate and cropland use changes on rice potential yields are investigated.The results show that:1)from 2020 to 2050,mean maximum temperature first decreases and then increases,while mean minimum temperature increase sharply followed by a leveling off under the four SSPs.Precipitation decreases and then increases under other three SSPs except SSP2-4.5.Net solar radiation increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,2-4.5,and 5-8.5,and has the lowest simulated values under SSP3-7.0.Mean wind speed increases continuously under SSP1-2.6,fluctuates more under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5,and increases slowly and then decreases sharply under SSP3-7.0.Relative humidity basically decreases continuously under the four SSPs.2)Areas of paddy field are 302.49 thousand,302.41 thousand and 302.71 thou-sand ha for 2030,2040 and 2050,respectively,all less than that in 2020.Paddy field is mainly converted into built-up land and wood-land.As for the conversion of other land types to paddy field,woodland is the main source.3)Under the effects of future climate and cropland use changes,the mean potential productions in Hainan Island under the four SSPs increase 1.17 million,1.13 million and 1.11 million t,respectively,and the mean potential yields increase 3873.21,3766.71 and 3672.38 kg/ha,respectively for the three periods.The largest increases in mean rice potential production and mean potential yield are 1.21 million t and 4008.00 kg/ha,1.16 million t and 3846.65 kg/ha,as well as 1.13 million t and 3732.75 kg/ha,respectively under SSP 3-7.0,indicating that SSP3-7.0 is the most suitable scenario for rice growth.This study could provide scientific basis for crop planting planning and agricultural policy adjustment. 展开更多
关键词 rice potential yield climate change cropland use change Global Agro-Ecological Zones(GAEZ)model CA-Markov mod-el Hainan Island China
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Fine-mapping and candidate gene identification for QPtn.sau-4B showing potential in increasing productive tiller number and yield in wheat
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作者 Jiajun Liu Tongzhu Wang +16 位作者 Yuxin Lan Zhiyuan Zhang Jianing You Lei Wu Xinrong Hu Li Yin Yanlin Liu Huaping Tang Qiantao Jiang Qiang Xu Guoyue Chen Pengfei Qi Yunfeng Jiang Yuming Wei Youliang Zheng Chunji Liu Jian Ma 《The Crop Journal》 2025年第2期480-489,共10页
Productive tiller number(PTN)is a pivotal trait that significantly influences wheat grain yield.To date,there have been limited reports on the cloning of genes that regulate PTN in wheat.The quantitative trait locus(Q... Productive tiller number(PTN)is a pivotal trait that significantly influences wheat grain yield.To date,there have been limited reports on the cloning of genes that regulate PTN in wheat.The quantitative trait locus(QTL)QPtn.sau-4B,associated with PTN,was previously mapped between the markers KASP-1 and KASP-3 on the chromosome 4B.Here,utilizing 12 newly developed markers and phenotypic data of PTN from recombinants identified within this interval,QPtn.sau-4B was further fine-mapped to a 2.58 Mb interval on wheat chromosome arm 4BS.Within this interval,we identified 14 genes with high-confidence and 32 genes with low-confidence.A 0.17 Mb deletion fragment contained TraesCS4B03G0092600 and TraesCS4B03G0093100,which were assigned as candidate genes for QPtn.sau-4B.Additionally,QPtn.sau-4B had potential to enhance both PTN and grain yield in wheat.Cloning this locus would support the development of wheat cultivars with increased grain yield. 展开更多
关键词 WHEAT Productive tiller number Grain yield Candidate genes
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Mapping Potential High-Yield Areas for Finfish Mariculture Using Physiological Models
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作者 Shuang-En Yu Xin Qi Yun-Wei Dong 《Engineering》 2025年第6期279-289,共11页
Mapping potential areas for finfish mariculture,particularly high-yield regions,is crucial for the proper utilization of marine space and global food security.Physiological models(growth performance models)that consid... Mapping potential areas for finfish mariculture,particularly high-yield regions,is crucial for the proper utilization of marine space and global food security.Physiological models(growth performance models)that consider the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the marine environment are a potentially effective approach to achieving this goal.In the present study,we developed an integrated model that combines the thermal performance curve and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the marine environment to map the global high-yield potential mariculture areas for 27 commercial finfish species.Our results showed that the current sizes of the potentially suitable areas(achieving 50% of the maximum growth rate for at least six months annually)and high-yield areas(achieving 75% of the maximum growth rate throughout a year)are(8.00±0.30)×10^(6) and(5.96±0.13)×10^(6) km^(2),respectively.Currently,the sizes of suitable and high-yield areas for warm-water mariculture fish are larger than those for other species.The growth potential of suitable mariculture areas is higher at mid and low latitudes than at high latitudes.Under the two shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios(SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5),the sizes of both suitable and high-yield areas will increase by 2050.However,there is the potential for finfish mariculture to respond differently to climate change among species and regions,and cold-water fish may benefit from global warming.Overall,the global potential for suitable high-yield mariculture areas continues to increase,making finfish mariculture an important contributor to global food security. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change Environmental heterogeneity Growth rate Finfish mariculture potential high-yield mariculture areas Thermal performance curves
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Wheat-Corn Double Cropping Production Status and Balanced Yield-increasing Potential in Henan Province 被引量:1
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作者 解宗方 张伟 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2012年第2期318-323,共6页
[Objective] This paper aimed to analyze the production status and balanced yield-increasing technology for wheat-corn double cropping production in Henan Province. [Method] Natural conditions in Henan Province, status... [Objective] This paper aimed to analyze the production status and balanced yield-increasing technology for wheat-corn double cropping production in Henan Province. [Method] Natural conditions in Henan Province, status and potential of wheat-corn double cropping production were explored, and factors affecting wheat-corn double cropping production capacity were analyzed. [Result] Yield-increasing of grain in Henan Province is achieved mainly depending on the increase of wheat and corn production, and corn has a relatively large yield-increasing potential. Research on high-yield and efficient technology for wheat-corn double cropping production in Henan Province has laid the technical basis for balanced yield-increasing of annual double cropping production. [Conclusion] This study provided a theoretical basis for grain production in Henan Province and a reference for the national food production. 展开更多
关键词 GRAIN Technology yield
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Yield potential and nitrogen use efficiency of China's super rice 被引量:31
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作者 WANG Fei PENG Shao-bing 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第5期1000-1008,共9页
In 1996, a mega project that aimed to develop rice varieties with super-high yield potential (super rice) was launched by the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) in China using a combination of the ideotype approach and... In 1996, a mega project that aimed to develop rice varieties with super-high yield potential (super rice) was launched by the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) in China using a combination of the ideotype approach and intersubspecific heterosis. Significant progress has been made in the last two decades, with a large number of super rice varieties being approved by the MOA and the national average grain yield being increased from 6.21 t ha^-1 in 1996 to 6.89 t ha^-1 in 2015. The increase in yield potential of super rice was mainly due to the larger sink size which resulted from larger panicles. Moreover, higher photosynthetic capacity and improved root physiological traits before heading contributed to the increase in sink size. However, the poor grain filling of the later-flowering inferior spikelets and the quickly decreased root activity of super rice during grain filling period restrict the achievement of high yield potential of super rice. Furthermore, it is widely accepted that the high yield potential of super rice requires a large amount of N fertilizer input, which has resulted in an increase in N consumption and a decrease in nitrogen use efficiency (NUE), although it remains unclear whether super rice per se is responsible for the latter. In the present paper, we review the history and success of China's Super Rice Breeding Pro- gram, summarize the advances in agronomic and physiological mechanisms underlying the high yield potential of super rice, and examine NUE differences between super rice and ordinary rice varieties. We also provide a brief introduction to the Green Super Rice Project, which aims to diversify breeding targets beyond yield improvement alone to address global concerns around resource use and environmental change. It is hoped that this review will facilitate further improvement of rice production into the future. 展开更多
关键词 super rice yield potential nitrogen use efficiency Green Super Rice
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Yield potential and stability in super hybrid rice and its production strategies 被引量:15
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作者 HUANG Min TANG Qi-yuan +1 位作者 AO He-jun ZOU Ying-bin 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第5期1009-1017,共9页
China's Super Hybrid Rice Breeding Program has made significant progress over the past two decades. In this paper, we reviewed our studies on the yield potential and stability in super hybrid rice and discussed the s... China's Super Hybrid Rice Breeding Program has made significant progress over the past two decades. In this paper, we reviewed our studies on the yield potential and stability in super hybrid rice and discussed the strategies for super hybrid rice production. The results of our studies show that rice yield potential has been increased by 12% in super hybrid cultivars as compared with ordinary hybrid and inbred cultivars. The higher grain yields in super hybrid rice cultivars are attributed to larger panicle size coupled with higher biomass production or higher harvest index. However, grain yields in super hybrid rice cultivars vary widely among locations depending on soil and climatic factors. Therefore, it is important to tailor target yield to local conditions in super hybrid rice production. The target yield for super hybrid rice production can be determined by the average yield method or the regression model method. Improving soil quality is critical to achieving the target yield in super hybrid rice production. Favorable crop rotations such as rice-oilseed rape and novel soil management practices, such as biochar addition, are effective approaches to improve soil quality. It is needed to develop simplified cultivation tech- nologies for super hybrid rice to meet the changes in socioeconomic environments during the period of transition. There are such technologies as no-tillage direct seeding and mechanized transplanting at high hill density with single seedling per hill. 展开更多
关键词 mechanized transplanting no-tillage direct seeding super hybrid rice target yield yield potential yield stability
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Production potential and yield gaps of summer maize in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region 被引量:14
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作者 WANG Tao LU Changhe YU Bohua 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第4期677-688,共12页
Crop potential productivity is a key index of scientifically appraising crop production and land population-supporting capacity. This study firstly simulated the potential and waterlimited yield of summer maize in the... Crop potential productivity is a key index of scientifically appraising crop production and land population-supporting capacity. This study firstly simulated the potential and waterlimited yield of summer maize in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region using WOFOST model with meteorological data of 40 years, and then analyzed yield gaps between the actual and potential yield based on statistical data at county level. The potential and water-limited yield of summer maize in the BTH region is 6854–8789 kg/hm2 and 6434–8741 kg/hm2, and the weighted average for whole region is 7861 kg/hm2 and 7185 kg/hm2, respectively. The simulated yields gradually decrease from northeast to southwest with changes in climatic conditions particularly temperature and precipitation. Annual variation of potential yield is higher in the central and southern parts than the northeastern part. Compared to potential yield, the water-limited yield has higher coefficient of variation (CV), because of precipitation effects. The actual yield of summer maize was 2537–8730 kg/hm2, regionally averaged at 5582 kg/hm2, about 70% of the potential yield, implying that the region has room to increase the yield by improving crop management and irrigation systems. 展开更多
关键词 WOFOST summer maize yield potential yield gap the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
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Suitable growing zone and yield potential for late-maturity type of Yongyou japonica/indica hybrid rice in the lower reaches of Yangtze River, China 被引量:15
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作者 WEI Huan-he 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第1期50-62,共13页
Late-maturity type of Yongyou japonica/indica hybrids series (LMYS) have shown great yield potential, and are being widely planted in the lower reaches of Yangtze River, China. Knowledge about suitable growing zone ... Late-maturity type of Yongyou japonica/indica hybrids series (LMYS) have shown great yield potential, and are being widely planted in the lower reaches of Yangtze River, China. Knowledge about suitable growing zone and evaluation of yield advantage is of practicall importance for LMYS in this region. Fifteen LMYS, two high-yielding inbred japonica check varieties (CK-J) and two high-yielding hybrid indica check varieties (CK-I) were grown at Xinghua (119.57°E, 33.05°N) of Lixiahe region, Yangzhou (119.25°E, 32.30°N)of Yanjiang region, Changshu (120.46°E, 31.41°N)of Taihu Lake region, and Ningbo (121.31°E, 29.45°N) of Ningshao Plain in 2013 and 2014. The results showed that maturity dates of the 15 were later than the secure maturity date at Xinghua and 6, 14 and 15 LMYS were mature before the secure maturity date at Yangzhou, Changshu and Ningbo, respectively. One variety was identified as high-yielding variety among LMYS (HYYS) at Yangzhou, 8 HYYS in 201:3 and 9 HYYS in 2014 at Changshu, 9 HYYS at Ningbo. HYYS here referred to the variety among LMYS that was mature before the secure maturity date and had at least 8% higher grain yield than both CK-J and CK-I at each experimental site. Grain yield of HYYS at each experimental site was about 12.0 t ha-1 or higher, and was significantly higher than CK varieties. High yield of HYYS was mainly attributed to larger sink size due to more spikelets per panicle. Plant height of HYYS was about 140 cm, and was significantly higher than check varieties. Significant positive correlations were recorded between duration from heading to maturity stage and grain yield, and also between whole growth periods and grain yield. HYYS had obvious advantage over check varieties in biomass accumulation and leaf area duration from heading to maturity stage. Comprehensive consideration about safe matudty and yield performance of LMYS at each experimental site, Taihu Lake region (representative site Changshu) and Ningshao Plain (representative site Ningbo) were thought suitable growing zones for LMYS in the lower reaches of Yangtze River. The main factors underlying high yield ofHYYS were larger sink size, higher plant height, longer duration from heading to maturity stage and whole growth periods, and higher biomass accumulation and leaf area duration during grain filling stage. 展开更多
关键词 japonica/indica hybrid rice Yongyou series late-maturity type suitable growing zone yield potential
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The Effects of Climate Change on the Planting Boundary and Potential Yield for Different Rice Cropping Systems in Southern China 被引量:6
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作者 YE Qing YANG Xiao-guang +4 位作者 LIU Zhi-juan DAI Shu-wei LI Yong XIE Wen-juan CHEN Fu 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第7期1546-1554,共9页
Based on climate data from 254 meteorological stations, this study estimated the effects of climate change on rice planting boundaries and potential yields in the southern China during 1951-2010. The results indicated... Based on climate data from 254 meteorological stations, this study estimated the effects of climate change on rice planting boundaries and potential yields in the southern China during 1951-2010. The results indicated a signiifcant northward shift and westward expansion of northern boundaries for rice planting in the southern China. Compared with the period of 1951-1980, the average temperature during rice growing season in the period of 1981-2010 increased by 0.4&#176;C, and the northern planting boundaries for single rice cropping system (SRCS), early triple cropping rice system (ETCRS), medium triple cropping rice system (MTCRS), and late triple cropping rice system (LTCRS) moved northward by 10, 30, 52 and 66 km, respectively. In addition, compared with the period of 1951-1980, the suitable planting area for SRCS was reduced by 11%during the period of 1981-2010. However, the suitable planting areas for other rice cropping systems increased, with the increasing amplitude of 3, 8, and 10%for ETCRS, MTCRS and LTCRS, respectively. In general, the light and temperature potential productivity of rice decreased by 2.5%. Without considering the change of rice cultivars, the northern planting boundaries for different rice cropping systems showed a northward shift tendency. Climate change resulted in decrease of per unit area yield for SRCS and the annual average yields of ETCRS and LTCRS. Nevertheless, the overall rice production in the entire research area showed a decreasing trend even with the increasing trend of annual average yield for MTCRS. 展开更多
关键词 climate change potential yield rice cropping system planting boundary
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Cultivar selection can increase yield potential and resource use efficiency of spring maize to adapt to climate change in Northeast China 被引量:4
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作者 SU Zheng-e LIU Zhi-juan +6 位作者 BAI Fan ZHANG Zhen-tao SUN Shuang HUANG Qiu-wan LIU Tao LIU Xiao-qing YANG Xiao-guang 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第2期371-382,共12页
Northeast China (NEC) is one of the major maize production areas in China.Agro-climatic resources have obviously changed,which will seriously affect crop growth and development in this region.It is important to invest... Northeast China (NEC) is one of the major maize production areas in China.Agro-climatic resources have obviously changed,which will seriously affect crop growth and development in this region.It is important to investigate the contribution of climate change adaptation measures to the yield and resource use efficiency to improve our understanding of how we can effectively ensure high yield and high efficiency in the future.In this study,we divided the study area into five accumulated temperature zones (ATZs) based on growing degree days (GDD).Based on the meteorological data,maize data (from agrometeorological stations) and the validated APSIM-Maize Model,we first investigated the spatial distributions and temporal trends of maize potential yield of actual planted cultivars,and revealed the radiation use efficiency (RUE) and heat resource use efficiency (HUE) from 1981 to 2017.Then according to the potential growing seasons and actual growing seasons,we identified the utilization percentages of radiation (P_R) resource and heat resource (P_H) for each ATZ under potential production from 1981 to 2017.Finally,we quantified the contributions of cultivar changings to yield,P_R and P_H of maize.The results showed that during the past 37 years,the estimated mean potential yield of actual planted cultivars was 13 649 kg ha^(–1),ranged from 11 205 to 15 257 kg ha^(–1),and increased by 140 kg ha^(–1) per decade.For potential production,the mean values of RUE and HUE for the actual planted maize cultivars were 1.22 g MJ^(–1) and 8.58 kg (℃ d)^(–1) ha^(–1).RUE showed an increasing tendency,while HUE showed a decreasing tendency.The lengths of the potential growing season and actual growing season were 158 and 123 d,and increased by 2 and 1 d per decade.P_R and P_H under potential production were 82 and 86%,respectively and showed a decreasing tendency during the past 37 years.This indicates that actual planted cultivars failed to make full use of climate resources.However,results from the adaptation assessments indicate that,adoption of cultivars with growing season increased by 2–11 d among ATZs caused increase in yield,P_R and P_H of 0.6–1.7%,1.1–7.6% and 1.5–8.9%,respectively.Therefore,introduction of cultivars with longer growing season can effectively increase the radiation and heat utilization percentages and potential yield. 展开更多
关键词 APSIM maize potential yield radiation use efficiency resource utilization percentage cultivar selection
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Quantifying the spatial variation in the potential productivity and yield gap of winter wheat in China 被引量:14
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作者 ZHANG Shi-yuan ZHANG Xiao-hu +4 位作者 QIU Xiao-lei TANG Liang ZHU Yan CAO Wei-xing LIU Lei-lei 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第4期845-857,共13页
Despite the improvement in cultivar characters and management practices, large gaps between the attainable and potential yields still exist in winter wheat of China. Quantifying the crop potential yield is essential f... Despite the improvement in cultivar characters and management practices, large gaps between the attainable and potential yields still exist in winter wheat of China. Quantifying the crop potential yield is essential for estimating the food production capacity and improving agricultural policies to ensure food security. Gradually descending models and geographic infor- mation system (GIS) technology were employed to characterize the spatial variability of potential yields and yield gaps in winter wheat across the main production region of China. The results showed that during 2000-2010, the average potential yield limited by thermal resource (YGT) was 23.2 Mg ha-1, with larger value in the northern area relative to the southern area. The potential yield limited by the water supply (YGw) generally decreased from north to south, with an average value of 1.9 Mg ha-1 across the entire study region. The highest YGw in the north sub-region (NS) implied that the irrigation and drainage conditions in this sub-region must be improved. The averaged yield loss of winter wheat from nutrient deficiency (YGH) varied between 2.1 and 3.1 Mg ha-1 in the study area, which was greater than the yield loss caused by water limitation. The potential decrease in yield from photo-thermal-water-nutrient-limited production to actual yield (YGo) was over 6.0 Mg ha-1, ranging from 4.9 to 8.3 Mg ha^-1 across the entire study region, and it was more obvious in the southern area than in the northern area. These findings suggest that across the main winter wheat production region, the highest yield gap was induced by thermal resources, followed by other factors, such as the level of farming technology, social policy and economic feasibility. Furthermore, there are opportunities to narrow the yield gaps by making full use of climatic resources and developing a reasonable production plan for winter wheat crops. Thus, meeting the challenges of food security and sustainability in the coming decades is possible but will require considerable changes in water and nutrient management and socio-economic policies. 展开更多
关键词 spatial variation potential productivity yield gap winter wheat China
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Influence of water potential and soil type on conventional japonica super rice yield and soil enzyme activities 被引量:6
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作者 ZHANG Jing WANG Hai-bin +6 位作者 LIU Juan CHEN Hao DU Yan-xiu LI Jun-zhou SUN Hong-zheng PENG Ting ZHAO Quan-zhi 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第5期1044-1052,共9页
We carried out a pool culture experiment to determine the optimal water treatment depth in loam and clay soils during the late growth stage of super rice. Three controlled water depth treatments of 0-5, 0-10 and 0-15 ... We carried out a pool culture experiment to determine the optimal water treatment depth in loam and clay soils during the late growth stage of super rice. Three controlled water depth treatments of 0-5, 0-10 and 0-15 cm below the soil surface were established using alternate wetting and drying irrigation, and the soil water potential (0 to -25 kPa) was measured at 5, 10 and 15 cm. A 2-cm water layer was used as the control. We measured soil enzyme activities, root antioxidant enzyme activities, chlorophyll fluorescence parameters, and rice yield. The results showed that the 0-5-cm water depth treatment significantly increased root antioxidant enzyme activities in loam soil compared with the control, whereas soil enzyme activities, chlorophyll fluorescence parameters and yield did not differ from those of the control. The 0-10- and 0-15-cm water depth treatments also increased root antioxidant enzyme activities, whereas soil enzyme activities, chlorophyll fluorescence parameters and yield decreased. In clay soil, the soil enzyme activities, root antioxidant enzyme activities, chlorophyll fluorescence parameters, and yield did not change with the 0-5-cm water treatment, whereas the 0-10- and 0-15-cm water treatments improved these parameters. Therefore,the appropriate depths for soil water during the late growth period of rice with a 0 to -25 kPa water potential were 5 cm in loam and 15 cm in clay soil. 展开更多
关键词 RICE yield components soil type soil enzyme activity antioxidant enzyme activity chlorophyll fluorescence parameters water potential
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Simulating potential yields of Chinese super hybrid rice in Bangladesh,India and Myanmar with EPIC model 被引量:4
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作者 王小博 王绍强 +4 位作者 陈敬华 崔惠娟 吴宜进 N H Ravindranath Atiq Rahman 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第7期1020-1036,共17页
In this study, information is collected on the weather, soils, field management and agricultural statistics in the Bangladesh, India and Myanmar(BIM) region. Crop growth parameters within the EPIC(Environmental Pol... In this study, information is collected on the weather, soils, field management and agricultural statistics in the Bangladesh, India and Myanmar(BIM) region. Crop growth parameters within the EPIC(Environmental Policy Integrated Climate) model are calibrated using cultivar data and regional experimental records of indica hybrid rice Fyou498 and Fengliangyou4 in China. Potential yields of rice are then simulated in the BIM region from 1996 to 2005. The effects of local irrigation and fertilization levels on super hybrid rice yield are examined. The potential yields of Chinese hybrid rice at local irrigation and fertilization levels in 2000 and at full irrigation and rational fertilization levels are found to be 10.22 t/ha and 11.33 t/ha, respectively. The potential for increasing monsoon rice production in the study region is 227.71 million tons. The eastern Indo-Gangetic Plain in India, the southeast coast of India Peninsula and the Ayeyarwady Delta in Myanmar have the largest potentials for monsoon rice production. The northeastern and southwestern areas of the Deccan Plateau and the northwestern region of the Indo-Gangetic Plain need to improve irrigation equipment to meet the water-use requirements of high-yield rice. The central and southern plains in Myanmar and northeastern India need greater access to nitrogen fertilization for high-yield rice. 展开更多
关键词 super hybrid rice potential productivity yield gap EPIC model Belt and Road Initiative
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Contribution of Drought to Potential Crop Yield Reduction in a Wheat-Maize Rotation Region in the North China Plain 被引量:11
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作者 HU Ya-nan LIU Ying-jie +2 位作者 TANG Hua-jun XU Yin-long PAN Jie 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第7期1509-1519,共11页
With consecutive occurrences of drought disasters in China in recent years, it is important to estimate their potential impacts on regional crop production. In this study, we detect the impacts of drought on wheat and... With consecutive occurrences of drought disasters in China in recent years, it is important to estimate their potential impacts on regional crop production. In this study, we detect the impacts of drought on wheat and maize yield and their changes at a 0.5&#176;&#215;0.5&#176; grid scale in the wheat-maize rotation planting area in the North China Plain under the A1B climate change scenario using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model and the outputs of the regional climate modeling system-Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS). Self-calibrating palmer drought severity index was used as drought recognition indicator. Two time slices used for the study were the baseline (1961-1990) and 40 years of 2011-2050. The results indicate that the potential planting region for double crop system of wheat-maize would expend northward. The statistic conclusions of crop simulations varied considerably between wheat and maize. In disaster-affected seasons, wheat yield would increase in the future compared with baseline yields, whereas in opposite for maize yield. Potential crop yield reductions caused by drought would be lower for wheat and higher for maize, with a similar trend found for the ratio of potential crop yield reductions for both crops. It appears that the negative impact of drought on maize was larger than that on wheat under climate change A1B scenario. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHT yield DSSAT A1B scenario climate change
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Potential promoted productivity and spatial patterns of medium-and low-yield cropland land in China 被引量:9
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作者 闫慧敏 冀咏赞 +3 位作者 刘纪远 刘芳 胡云锋 匡文慧 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第3期259-271,共13页
With a continuously increasing population and better food consumption levels, im- proving the efficiency of arable land use and increasing its productivity have become funda- mental strategies to meet the growing food... With a continuously increasing population and better food consumption levels, im- proving the efficiency of arable land use and increasing its productivity have become funda- mental strategies to meet the growing food security needs in China. A spatial distribution map of medium- and low-yield cropland is necessary to implement plans for cropland improvement In this study, we developed a new method to identify high-, medium-, and low-yield cropland from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data at a spatial resolution of 500 m. The method could be used to reflect the regional heterogeneity of cropland productiv- ity because the classification standard was based on the regionalization of cropping systems in China. The results showed that the proportion of high-, medium-, and low-yield cropland in China was 21%, 39%, and 40%, respectively. About 75% of the low-yield cropland was lo- cated in hilly and mountainous areas, and about 53% of the high-yield cropland was located in plain areas. The five provinces with the largest area of high-yield cropland were all located in the Huang-Huai-Hai region, and the area amounted to 42% of the national high-yield cropland area. Meanwhile, the proportion of high-yield cropland was lower than 15% in Hei- Iongjiang, Sichuan, and Inner Mongolia, which had the largest area allocated to cropland in China. If all the medium-yield cropland could be improved to the productive level of high-yield cropland and the low-yield cropland could be improved to the level of medium-yield cropland, the total productivity of the land would increase 19% and 24%, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 food security light use efficiency model cropland productivity high- medium- and low-yield crop-land potential productivity
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Optimal yield-related attributes of irrigated rice for high yield potential based on path analysis and stability analysis 被引量:4
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作者 Ganghua Li Jun Zhang +5 位作者 Congdang Yang Yunpan Song Chengyan Zheng Shaohua Wang Zhenghui Liu Yanfeng Ding 《The Crop Journal》 SCIE CAS 2014年第4期235-243,共9页
Improvement of yield in rice(Oryza sativa L.) is vital for ensuring food security in China. Both rice breeders and growers need an improved understanding of the relationship between yield and yield-related traits. New... Improvement of yield in rice(Oryza sativa L.) is vital for ensuring food security in China. Both rice breeders and growers need an improved understanding of the relationship between yield and yield-related traits. New indica cultivars(53 in 2007 and 48 in 2008) were grown in Taoyuan,Yunnan province, to identify important components contributing to yield. Additionally, two standard indica rice cultivars with similar yield potentials, II You 107(a large-panicle type) and Xieyou 107(a heavy-panicle type), were planted in Taoyuan, Yunnan province and Nanjing,Jiangsu province, from 2006 to 2008 to evaluate the stability of yield and yield-related attributes.Growth duration(GD), leaf area index(LAI), panicles per m2(PN), and spikelets per m2(SM) were significantly and positively correlated with grain yield(GY) over all years. Sequential path analysis identified PN and panicle weight(PW) as important first-order traits that influenced grain yield. All direct effects were significant, as indicated by bootstrap analysis. Yield potential varied greatly across locations but not across years. Plant height(PH), days from heading to maturity(HM), and grain weight(GW) were stable traits that showed little variation across sites or years, whereas GD(mainly the pre-heading period, PHP) and PN varied significantly across locations. To achieve a yield of 15 t ha-1, a cultivar should have a PH of 110–125 cm, a long GD with HM of approximately 40 days, a PN of 300–400 m-2, and a GW of 29–31 mg. 展开更多
关键词 IRRIGATED rice GRAIN yield yield-related attributes SEQUENTIAL path ANALYSIS Stability ANALYSIS
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Indica rice restorer lines with large sink potential exhibit improved nutrient transportation to the panicle,which enhances both yield and nitrogen-use efficiency 被引量:3
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作者 TIAN Qing-lan HE Lian-hua +5 位作者 LIAO Shuang LI Wu DENG Fei ZHOU Wei ZHONG Xiao-yuan REN Wan-jun 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第6期1438-1456,共19页
The yield and nitrogen use efficiency(NUE)of hybrid rice combinations are closely related to restorer line.Therefore,it is essential to evaluate the agronomic characteristics of restorer lines with high yield and high... The yield and nitrogen use efficiency(NUE)of hybrid rice combinations are closely related to restorer line.Therefore,it is essential to evaluate the agronomic characteristics of restorer lines with high yield and high NUE(HYHN).However,it is unclear which restorer lines are HYHN,and neither have the common agronomic traits of the HYHN restorer lines been identified.Aiming to address this issue,we conducted two filed experiments using three nitrogen applications,which screened five HYHN restorer lines from 15 indica restorer lines.Yield,NUE and nutrient transportation of restorer lines with different yields and NUE types were examined.Yield and total nitrogen absorption in aboveground biomass(TNA)increased,whereas NUE for grain production decreased with increasing nitrogen application levels.The HYHN restorer lines had large spikelets and high weight per panicle that were significantly positively correlated with yield and NUE.Therefore,large sink potential may be beneficial for both yield and NUE.We further studied the differences in nutrient transportation to panicles between the HYHN and low yield and low NUE(LYLN)restorer lines and found that the former had a higher nitrogen absorption level and dry matter weight ratios of panicle in maturity.Moreover,the HYHN lines also had a higher root and neck-panicle node bleeding intensity per stem after heading and more developed vascular bundles of neck-panicle nodes and leaves than the LYLN lines,which could contribute to the transportation of nutrients from root to ground and from stem and leaf to spike.Therefore,the advantages of large sink potential of the HYHN restorer lines include large nutrient accumulation in and distribution to the panicles and smooth flow of nutrients along the transportation channels. 展开更多
关键词 indica hybrid rice restorer lines grain yield nitrogen-use efficiency sink potential nutrient transportation
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Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Rice Potential Productivity and Potential Yield Increment in Main Production Regions of China 被引量:8
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作者 JIANG Xiao-jian TANG Liang +2 位作者 LIU Xiao-jun CAO Wei-xing ZHU Yan 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第1期45-56,共12页
The vast area and marked variation of China make it difficult to predict the impact of climate changes on rice productivity in different regions.Therefore,analyzing the spatial and temporal characteristics of rice pot... The vast area and marked variation of China make it difficult to predict the impact of climate changes on rice productivity in different regions.Therefore,analyzing the spatial and temporal characteristics of rice potential productivity and predicting the possible yield increment in main rice production regions of China is important for guiding rice production and ensuring food security.Using meteorological data of main rice production regions from 1961 to 1970(the 1960s) and from 1996 to 2005(the 2000s) provided by 333 stations,the potential photosynthetic,photo-thermal and climatic productivities in rice crop of the 1960s and 2000s in main rice production regions of China were predicted,and differences in the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics between two decades were analyzed.Additionally,the potential yield increment based on the high yield target and actual yield of rice in the 2000s were predicted.Compared with the 1960s,the potential photosynthetic productivity of the 2000s was seen to have decreased by 5.40%,with rates in northeastern and southwestern China found to be lower than those in central and southern China.The potential photo-thermal productivity was generally seen to decrease(2.56%) throughout main rice production regions,decreasing most in central and southern China.However,an increase was seen in northeastern and southwestern China.The potential climatic productivity was observed to be lower(7.44%) in the 2000s compared to the 1960s,but increased in parts of central and southern China.The potential yield increment from the actual yield to high yield target in the 2000s were no more than 6×103 kg ha-1 and ranged from 6×103 to 12×103 kg ha-1 in most of the single-and double-cropping rice growing regions,respectively.The yield increasing potential from the high yield target to the potential photo-thermal productivity in 2000s were less than 10×103 kg ha-1 and ranged from 10×103 to 30×103 kg ha-1 in most of the single-and double-cropping rice growing regions,respectively.The potential yield increment contributed by irrigation was between 5×103 and 20×103 kg ha-1,and between 20×103 and 40×103 kg ha-1 in most of the single-and double-cropping rice growing regions,respectively.These findings suggested that the high yield could be optimized by making full use of climatic resources and through a reasonable management plan in rice crop. 展开更多
关键词 RICE photosynthetic productivity photo-thermal productivity climatic productivity yield increment spatial and temporal distribution China
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Diversity and sub-functionalization of TaGW8 homoeologs hold potential for genetic yield improvement in wheat 被引量:5
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作者 Lin Ma Chenyang Hao +3 位作者 Hongxia Liu Jian Hou Tian Li Xueyong Zhang 《The Crop Journal》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第6期830-844,共15页
Grain Weight 8(GW8) in rice is a SQUAMOSA Promoter-Binding Protein-Like(SPL) family transcription factor with multiple biological functions. In this study, three GW8 homoeologs were cloned from homoeologous group 7 ch... Grain Weight 8(GW8) in rice is a SQUAMOSA Promoter-Binding Protein-Like(SPL) family transcription factor with multiple biological functions. In this study, three GW8 homoeologs were cloned from homoeologous group 7 chromosomes of wheat. Subcellular localization and trans-activation activity assays suggested that Ta GW8 is a transcriptional activator.Ta GW8 genes were preferentially expressed in young spikes and developing grains. Ectopic expressions of Ta GW8 in Arabidopsis and rice resulted in enhanced vegetative growth,earlier flowering and larger seeds. Ta GW8-7 A was the most highly variable of the three homoeologs with four haplotypes(Hap-1/2/3/4). Ta GW8-7 B had two haplotypes(Hap-L/H).Ta GW8-7 A-Hap-2 was associated with high thousand-grain weight(TGW) and large kernel length and showed higher transcriptional levels and binding activity than the other haplotypes. The high frequency of Ta GW8-7 A-Hap-2 in Chinese wheat populations suggested that it had been extensively selected in breeding. This haplotype showed a high potential for exploitation in global wheat breeding because its frequency was low in exotic germplasm. Ta GW8-7 B-Hap-H produced abundant transcripts and was associated with early heading and maturity, less tiller number and high TGW. This haplotype might be suitable for multiple cropping systems due to short wheat season. In this study we identified sub-functionalization among Ta GW8 homoeologs and obtained functional molecular markers that can be used in breeding for high grain yield. 展开更多
关键词 GRAIN yield HAPLOTYPE association Marker assisted breeding Thousand GRAIN weight TRITICUM AESTIVUM
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Geological Controls on the CBM Productivity of No.15 Coal Seam of Carboniferous–Permian Taiyuan Formation in Southern Qinshui Basin and Prediction for CBM High-yield Potential Regions 被引量:5
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作者 ZHANG Zheng QIN Yong +2 位作者 ZHUANG Xinguo LI Guoqing LIU Donghai 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第6期2310-2332,共23页
Coalbed methane(CBM) resources in No.15 coal seam of Taiyuan Formation account for 55% of the total CBM resources in southern Qinshui Basin(SQB), and have a great production potential. This study aims at investigating... Coalbed methane(CBM) resources in No.15 coal seam of Taiyuan Formation account for 55% of the total CBM resources in southern Qinshui Basin(SQB), and have a great production potential. This study aims at investigating the CBM production in No.15 coal seam and its influence factors. Based on a series of laboratory experiments and latest exploration and development data from local coal mines and CBM companies, the spatial characteristics of gas production of No.15 coal seam were analyzed and then the influences of seven factors on the gas productivity of this coal seam were discussed, including coal thickness, burial depth, gas content, ratio of critical desorption pressure to original coal reservoir pressure(RCPOP), porosity, permeability, and hydrogeological condition. The influences of hydrological condition on CBM production were analyzed based on the discussions of four aspects: hydrogeochemistry, roof lithology and its distribution, hydrodynamic field of groundwater, and recharge rate of groundwater. Finally, a three-level analytic hierarchy process(AHP) evaluation model was proposed for predicting the CBM potentials of the No.15 coal seam in the SQB. The best prospective target area for CBM production of the No.15 coal seam is predicted to be in the districts of Panzhuang, Chengzhuang and south of Hudi. 展开更多
关键词 coalbed methane gas productivity controlling factors production potential Taiyuan Formation southern Qinshui Basin
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