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Identifying the limiting factors driving the winter wheat yield gap on smallholder farms by agronomic diagnosis in North China Plain 被引量:11
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作者 CAO Hong-zhu LI Ya-nan +3 位作者 CHEN Guang-feng CHEN Dong-dong QU Hong-rui MA Wen-qi 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第8期1701-1713,共13页
North China Plain(NCP) is the primary winter wheat production region in China, characterized by smallholder farming systems. Whereas the winter wheat average yield of smallholder farmers is currently low, the yield po... North China Plain(NCP) is the primary winter wheat production region in China, characterized by smallholder farming systems. Whereas the winter wheat average yield of smallholder farmers is currently low, the yield potential and limiting factors driving the current yield gap remain unclear. Therefore, increasing the wheat yield in NCP is essential for the national food security. This study monitored wheat yield, management practices and soil nutrient data in 132 farmers’ fields of Xushui County, Baoding City, Hebei Province during 2014–2016. These data were analyzed using variance and path analysis to determine the yield gap and the contribution of yield components(i.e., spikes per hectare, grain number per spike and 1 000-grain weight) to wheat yield. Then, the limiting factors of yield components and the optimizing strategies were identified by a boundary line approach. The results showed that the attainable potential yield for winter wheat was 10 514 kg ha^–1. The yield gaps varied strongly between three yield groups(i.e., high, middle and low), which were divided by yield level and contained 44 farmers in each group, and amounted to 2 493, 1 636 and 814 kg ha^–1, respectively. For the three yield components, only spikes per hectare was significantly different(P<0.01) among the three yield groups. For all 132 farmers’ fields, correlation between yield and spikes per hectare(r=0.51, P<0.01), was significantly positive, while correlations with grain number per spike(r=–0.16) and 1 000-grain weight(r=–0.10) were not significant. The path analysis also showed that the spikes per hectare of winter wheat were the most important component to the wheat yield. Boundary line analysis showed that seeding date was the most limiting factor of spikes per hectare with the highest contribution rate(26.7%), followed by basal N input(22.1%) and seeding rate(14.5%), which indicated that management factors in the seeding step were the most important for affecting spikes per hectare. For desired spikes per hectare(>6.598×10^6 ha^–1),the seeding rate should range from 210–300 kg ha^–1, seeding date should range from 3th to 8th October, and basal N input should range from 90–180 kg ha^–1. Compared to these reasonable ranges of management measures, most of the farmers’ practices were not suitable, and both lower and higher levels of management existed. It is concluded that the strategies for optimizing yield components could be achieved by improving wheat seeding quality and optimizing farmers’ nutrient management practices in the NCP. 展开更多
关键词 yield GAPS SMALLHOLDER LIMITING factors path ANALYSIS boundary line ANALYSIS
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Effects of Meteorological Factors on the Yield and Quality of Special Rice in Different Periods after Anthesis 被引量:5
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作者 Ying Xuan Yang Yi +5 位作者 He Liang Shanqing Wei Ligeng Jiang Izhar Ali Saif Ullah Quan Zhao 《Agricultural Sciences》 2019年第4期451-475,共25页
In order to investigate the effect of meteorological factors on the yield and quality of special rice during the filling stage, an experiment was conducted with 10 special rice varieties which were planted in three di... In order to investigate the effect of meteorological factors on the yield and quality of special rice during the filling stage, an experiment was conducted with 10 special rice varieties which were planted in three different regions during spring 2017. The results showed that the quality traits and yields from different regions of the same variety were different, which reached up to a significant level in most varieties. Among the quality traits, the grain chalkiness rate and chalkiness degree were the most sensitive to different climatic factors, and changes were found among them in different regions, while minor variation was found between brown rice rate and white rice rate. The parameters that were severely affected by temperature were gel consistency, gelatinization temperature, brown rice rate and yield during the filling stage. The critically affected factors by heat were brown rice rate, protein content, essential amino acid and amylose content while brown rice rate, chalkiness rate and gelatinization temperature were substantially affected by water factors. Grain yield and quality were closely related to meteorological factors on different stages after heading. Our results revealed that yield and quality of special rice were significantly influenced by meteorological factors during the grain filling stage. 展开更多
关键词 NOODLE RICE FEED RICE METEOROLOGICAL factors Quality yield
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Impacts of socio-economic factors on sediment yield in the Upper Yangtze River 被引量:3
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作者 DU Jun SHI Changxing +1 位作者 FAN Xiaoli ZHOU Yuanyuan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第2期359-371,共13页
In recent years, the role of human activities in changing sediment yield has become more apparent for the construction of hydraulic engineering and water conservation projections in the Upper Yangtze River, but it has... In recent years, the role of human activities in changing sediment yield has become more apparent for the construction of hydraulic engineering and water conservation projections in the Upper Yangtze River, but it has not been evaluated at the macro scale. Taking Sichuan Province and Chongqing City as an example, this paper studies the relationship between socio-economic factors and sediment yield in the Upper Yangtze River based on section data in 1989 and 2007. The results show that sediment yield is significantly correlated with population density and cultivated area, in which the former appears to be more closely related to sediment yield. Moreover, in the relation of sediment yield vs. population density, a critical value of population density exists, below which the sediment yield increases with the increase of population density and over which the sediment yield increases with the decrease of population density. The phenomenon essentially reflects the influence of natural factors, such as topography, precipitation and soil property, and some human activities on sediment yield. The region with a higher population density than critical value is located in the east of the study area and is characterized by plains, hills and low mountains, whereas the opposite is located in the west and characterized by middle and high mountains. In the eastern region, more people live on the lands with a low slope where regional soil erosion is slight; therefore, sediment yield is negatively related with population density. In contrast, in the western region, the population tends to aggregate in the areas with abundant soil and water resources which usually lead to a higher intensity of natural erosion, and in turn, high-intensity agricultural practices in these areas may further strengthen local soil erosion. It is also found that population tends to move from the areas with bad environment and high sediment yield to the areas with more comfortable environment and less sediment yield. The natural factors have greater influence on sediment yield of western region than that of eastern region. Generally, the natural factors play a dominant role on sediment yield in the Upper Yangtze River. 展开更多
关键词 the Upper Yangtze River socio-economic factors human activities sediment yield
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The Effect of Ecological Factors on the Indexes of Yield Property Equation and Quantitative Analysis 被引量:4
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作者 HOU Yu-hong DONG Shu-ting +3 位作者 HOU Guo-feng CHEN Chuan-yong DONG Zhi-qiang ZHAO Ming 《Agricultural Sciences in China》 CSCD 2010年第4期536-548,共13页
The mechanism of action of ecological factors affecting crop growth and development was complicated. In order to study the relationships between ecological factors and the indexes of yield property equation and determ... The mechanism of action of ecological factors affecting crop growth and development was complicated. In order to study the relationships between ecological factors and the indexes of yield property equation and determine the main ecological factors affecting yield, using 3-yr field experimental results for different yielding spring maize (Zea mays L.) populations and the relative meteorological observation data in Huadian of Jilin Province in China, and analyzing on the base of the yield property equation (MLAI × D × MNAR × HI = EN × GN × GW), the main ecological factors were screened, and further mechanisms of action affecting yield were analyzed. Stepwise regression analysis showed that yield was affected mainly by effective accumulated temperature, daily mean minimum temperature, daily mean maximum temperature in July, the ratios of growth days, and the sunshine hour before and after silking. In yield property equation, four indexes of MLAI, growth days, ear number and grain number (total grain number) affected principally yield, the ecological factors affecting predominantly yield were effective accumulated temperature, daily mean temperature, daily mean minimum temperature, daily mean maximum temperature in July, the ratios of growth days, rainfall, accumulated temperature, and sunshine hours before and after silking. Combined with the two analytical methods, it could be deduced that the temperature and the allocated ratios before and after silking of ecological factors were the key factors to achieve high yield. Therefore, appropriate sowing data should be adjusted to achieve the suitable temperature indexes during the whole growth stage and the rational allocated ratios of ecological factors before and after silking. 展开更多
关键词 spring maize ecological factors three combination structure yield property equation
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Non-surgical factors influencing lymph node yield in colon cancer
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作者 Patrick Wood Colin Peirce Jurgen Mulsow 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE CAS 2016年第5期466-473,共8页
There are numerous factors which can affect the lymph node(LN) yield in colon cancer specimens.The aim of this paper was to identify both modifiable and nonmodifiable factors that have been demonstrated toaffect colon... There are numerous factors which can affect the lymph node(LN) yield in colon cancer specimens.The aim of this paper was to identify both modifiable and nonmodifiable factors that have been demonstrated toaffect colonic resection specimen LN yield and to summarise the pertinent literature on these topics.A literature review of Pub Med was performed to identify the potential factors which may influence the LN yield in colon cancer resection specimens.The terms used for the search were:LN,lymphadenectomy,LN yield,LN harvest,LN number,colon cancer and colorectal cancer.Both nonmodifiable and modifiable factors were identified.The review identified fifteen non-surgical factors:(13 nonmodifiable,2 modifiable) which may influence LN yield.LN yield is frequently reduced in older,obese patients and those with male sex and increased in patients with right sided,large,and poorly differentiated tumours.Patient ethnicity and lower socioeconomic class may negatively influence LN yield.Pre-operative tumour tattooing appears to increase LN yield.There are many factors that potentially influence the LN yield,although the strength of the association between the two varies greatly.Perfecting oncological resection and pathological analysis remain the cornerstones to achieving good quality and quantity LN yields in patients with colon cancer. 展开更多
关键词 LYMPH NODE Number factorS yield COLON cancer
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Path Analysis on Environmental Factors Controlling Runoff and Sediment Yields in Shelter Forests in Three Gorges Reservoir Region
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作者 Yaowu TIAN Zhilin HUANG +2 位作者 Lixiong ZENG Wenfa XIAO Xiaodong GENG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2018年第3期56-61,共6页
Effects of environmental factors such as climate,topography,vegetation and soil in shelter forests in Three Gorges Reservoir Region on runoff and sediment yields were monitored to identify dominant environmental facto... Effects of environmental factors such as climate,topography,vegetation and soil in shelter forests in Three Gorges Reservoir Region on runoff and sediment yields were monitored to identify dominant environmental factors controlling runoff and sediment yields in 15 runoff plots in study area by soil sampling,laboratory analysis,stepwise regression analysis and path analysis,and to establish the main control environmental factors that affect runoff and sediment yields. The results showed that soil bulk density,herbaceous cover,slope,and canopy density were the significant factors controlling runoff,and the direct path coefficient of each factor was ranked as canopy closure(-0. 628) > litter thickness(-0. 547) > bulk density( 0. 509) > altitude( 0. 289). The indirect path coefficient was ranked as soil bulk density( 0. 354) >litter thickness(-0. 169) > altitude( 0. 126) > canopy closure(-0. 104). Therefore,canopy closure and litter thickness mainly had direct effects on runoff,while soil bulk density mainly had indirect effects through their contributions to other factors. Herbaceous cover,litter thickness,slope,canopy density,and altitude were the significant factors controlling sediment yields. The direct path coefficient of each factor was ranked as herbaceous cover(-0. 815) > litter thickness(-0. 777) > canopy closure(-0. 624) > slope( 0. 620). The indirect path coefficient was ranked as slope( 0. 272) > litter thickness(-0. 131) > canopy closure(-0. 097) > herbaceous cover(-0. 084). Therefore,herbaceous cover and litter thickness mainly had direct effects on sediment yields,while slope mainly had indirect effects through their contributions to other factors. All the selected environmental factors jointly explained 85. 5% and 78. 3% of runoff and sediment yield variability,respectively. However,there were large values of remaining path coefficients of other factors influencing runoff and sediment yields,which indicated that some important factors are not included and should be taken into account. 展开更多
关键词 Shelter forest RUNOFF Sediment yield Environmental factors Path analysis
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Downregulation of the DST Transcription Factor Using Artificial microRNA to Increase Yield, Salt and Drought Tolerance in Rice 被引量:1
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作者 Ar-Rafi Md. Faisal Sudip Biswas +2 位作者 Tasnim Zerin Tania Rahman Zeba Islam Seraj 《American Journal of Plant Sciences》 2017年第9期2219-2237,共19页
Abiotic stresses like salinity and drought directly affect plant growth and water availability, resulting in lower yield in rice. So, a combination of stress tolerance along with enhanced grain yield is a major focus ... Abiotic stresses like salinity and drought directly affect plant growth and water availability, resulting in lower yield in rice. So, a combination of stress tolerance along with enhanced grain yield is a major focus of rice breeding. It was reported earlier that loss in function of the drought and salt tolerance (DST) gene results in increase in grain production through downregulating Gn1a/OsCKX2 expression. Moreover, dst mutants also showed enhanced drought and salt tolerance in rice by regulating genes involved in ROS homeostasis. In the present study, we proceeded to test these reports by downregulating DST using artificial microRNA technology in the commercial but salt sensitive, high-yielding, BRRIdhan 28 (BR28). This cultivar was transformed with DST_artificial microRNA (DST_amiRNA) driven by the constitutive CaMV35S promoter using tissue culture independent Agrobacterium mediated in planta transformation. DST_amiRNA transgenic plants were confirmed by artificial microRNA specific PCR. Transformed plants at T0 generation showed vigorous growth with significantly longer panicle length and higher primary branching resulting in higher yield, compared to the wild type (WT) BR28. Semi-quantitative RT PCR confirmed the decrease in DST expression in the BR28 transgenic plants compared to WT. T1 transgenic plants also showed improvement in a number of physiological parameters and greater growth compared to WT after 14 days of 120 mM salt (NaCl) stress at seedling stage. Therefore, DST downregulated transgenic plants showed both higher stress tolerance as well as better yields. Furthermore, stable inheritance of the improved phenotype of the DST_amiRNA transgenics will be tested in advanced generations. 展开更多
关键词 Drought and SALT TOLERANCE (DST) Transcription factor Artificial microRNA Technology In PLANTA Transformation yield Stress TOLERANCE
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理化复合法改性淤泥早期压缩性影响因素研究
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作者 廖超 杨玉娇 +2 位作者 章荣军 刘斯杰 武若宇 《水利水电科技进展》 北大核心 2026年第1期108-113,共6页
通过一维压缩试验对不同初始条件下理化复合法处理后的高含水率淤泥(改性淤泥)压缩性进行研究,探讨分级加载总时长、养护时间、固化剂掺量和絮凝剂掺量对淤泥压缩曲线、压缩指数以及屈服应力的影响,并引入固有压缩曲线概念,对压缩数据... 通过一维压缩试验对不同初始条件下理化复合法处理后的高含水率淤泥(改性淤泥)压缩性进行研究,探讨分级加载总时长、养护时间、固化剂掺量和絮凝剂掺量对淤泥压缩曲线、压缩指数以及屈服应力的影响,并引入固有压缩曲线概念,对压缩数据进行归一化处理,进一步分析不同初始条件下的淤泥压缩性。结果表明:理化复合法改性淤泥压缩曲线具有明显双阶段特征,屈服后压缩指数为屈服前压缩指数的20倍左右;淤泥屈服应力随固化剂掺量的增加以及分级加载总时长的减小而线性增大;淤泥屈服应力随养护时间延长呈现对数增长规律;存在一个最优絮凝剂掺量使淤泥脱水效果最佳、结构性最强。 展开更多
关键词 理化复合法 高含水率淤泥 压缩性 影响因素 屈服应力
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氮肥减施协同绿肥过腹还田可降低青海高原小麦农田温室气体排放
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作者 李晓龙 严清彪 +5 位作者 李正鹏 殷文 樊志龙 胡发龙 韩梅 柴强 《作物学报》 北大核心 2026年第3期908-921,共14页
针对青海高原及高寒地区小麦生产氮肥施用量高、温室气体排放量大等问题,探究绿肥不同还田方式及小麦季不同施氮量对小麦农田温室气体排放和产量的影响,为该区小麦可持续生产提供理论依据和技术支撑。试验于2023—2024年在青海大学农林... 针对青海高原及高寒地区小麦生产氮肥施用量高、温室气体排放量大等问题,探究绿肥不同还田方式及小麦季不同施氮量对小麦农田温室气体排放和产量的影响,为该区小麦可持续生产提供理论依据和技术支撑。试验于2023—2024年在青海大学农林科学院试验站进行,采用裂区试验设计,主区为小麦季3个施氮水平:常规施氮(225kg hm^(–2), N2)、减施氮肥30%(158 kg hm^(–2), N1)和不施氮(0 kg hm^(–2), N0);裂区基于上一年度绿肥设置3种还田方式:地上部移除仅根茬还田(RR)、地上部过腹联合根茬还田(SDRR)、地上部及根茬全量还田(RROS)。结果表明,减氮30%结合绿肥过腹+根茬还田(N1SDRR)处理显著降低温室气体排放:CO_(2)排放总量较减氮30%全量还田(N1RROS)降低4.2%;N_(2)O排放总量、CH4吸收总量较N1RROS降低19.1%、提升15.8%;全球增温潜势(GWP)较N1RROS降低5.0%。N1SDRR处理小麦籽粒产量较N1RROS提高4.1%,温室气体排放强度(GHGI)较N1RROS降低14.6%,实现减排稳产。此外, N1SDRR处理土壤有机质、铵态氮含量较N1RROS提升9.1%、22.8%,土壤硝态氮含量较N1RROS降低10.0%;土壤蔗糖酶、脲酶活性较N1RROS分别提高3.2%、7.8%,但土壤亚硝酸还原酶、硝酸还原酶活性分别降低11.9%、5.7%,表明该模式通过提升土壤有机质、调控铵/硝态氮平衡同步降低温室气体排放并维持生产力。随机森林模型进一步表明,土壤蔗糖酶、籽粒产量及土壤有机质是调控温室气体排放强度的关键因子,优化施氮与绿肥还田方式会对土壤碳、氮含量产生影响,可显著降低单位产量碳排放。因此,氮肥减施30%结合绿肥地上部过腹联合根茬还田可改善土壤理化因子和酶活性,有效降低温室气体排放,稳定小麦籽粒产量,是青海高原及高寒地区小麦农田稳产减排的适宜管理措施。 展开更多
关键词 氮肥减施 绿肥还田 温室气体 产量 土壤因子
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水稻中后期喷施叶面肥对“南粳9108”产量及经济效益的影响
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作者 唐传勇 麻艳威 +5 位作者 张苗 董青君 李青 王晓飞 章安康 谢昶琰 《安徽农业科学》 2026年第3期154-157,共4页
以“南粳9108”为试验材料,创制4种新型叶面肥并通过田间试验评估其对水稻生长、产量及经济效益的影响,以期为新型水稻专用叶面肥的筛选与应用提供科学依据。结果表明,4种叶面肥均能不同程度地提高水稻千粒重和有效穗数,相较CK增幅分别... 以“南粳9108”为试验材料,创制4种新型叶面肥并通过田间试验评估其对水稻生长、产量及经济效益的影响,以期为新型水稻专用叶面肥的筛选与应用提供科学依据。结果表明,4种叶面肥均能不同程度地提高水稻千粒重和有效穗数,相较CK增幅分别为3.81%~13.66%、2.01%~6.68%,实粒数和产量均以T4处理(水溶肥料Ⅳ)表现最优,分别较CK提高19.49%和4.97%。籽粒氮、磷、钾养分含量与吸收量均以T4处理最高,相关分析结果显示,籽粒氮、磷含量与产量及产量构成因子呈显著或极显著相关,表明叶面肥的应用促进了水稻对不同养分的吸收和利用效率,进而提升产量。新增效益为水溶肥料Ⅳ>水溶肥料Ⅰ>水溶肥料Ⅲ>对照>水溶肥料Ⅱ,产投比0.37~3.52。施用水溶肥料Ⅳ可显著提高稻米的蛋白质和直链淀粉含量,其食味值处于米质检测最优区间。综上,在淮安地区关键生育期喷施水溶肥料Ⅳ,有效促进水稻生长、提升水稻产量并增加经济效益,是较佳的水溶肥配方。 展开更多
关键词 水稻 叶面肥 养分 产量 产量构成因子 经济效益
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秸秆生物炭与炭基肥对冬小麦田氨挥发及小麦产量的影响
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作者 王小非 寇长林 +3 位作者 李太魁 骆晓声 毛保民 冀建华 《农业资源与环境学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期227-236,共10页
为探究秸秆生物炭与炭基肥对冬小麦田氨挥发特征及小麦产量的影响,为农业废弃物资源化利用与农田氨减排提供理论依据与科学指导,本研究于2018年10月至2021年6月,在华北平原潮土区冬小麦-夏玉米轮作体系下进行了连续3年的田间定位试验。... 为探究秸秆生物炭与炭基肥对冬小麦田氨挥发特征及小麦产量的影响,为农业废弃物资源化利用与农田氨减排提供理论依据与科学指导,本研究于2018年10月至2021年6月,在华北平原潮土区冬小麦-夏玉米轮作体系下进行了连续3年的田间定位试验。试验设置4个处理:不施肥(CK)、单施化肥(CF)、单施化肥+秸秆生物炭(BF)和施炭基肥(BBF),测定分析了小麦季氨挥发速率及小麦产量。结果表明:基肥期各施肥处理的氨挥发速率均呈现先升高后降低的变化趋势,追肥期呈现逐渐降低趋势;连续3年小麦季,BF和BBF处理的年度氨累积排放量比CF处理分别降低了15.0%~27.3%和25.9%~28.8%,BBF处理的平均年度氨累积排放量最低,分别比CF和BF处理降低了27.3%和8.2%;施秸秆生物炭与炭基肥均能有效降低小麦季年度氨排放系数与单位产量氨排放量,BBF处理氨排放系数和单位产量氨排放量最低,分别为2.11%~2.64%和1.06~1.51 g·kg^(−1);施秸秆生物炭与炭基肥均能提高小麦籽粒产量,与CF相比,BF与BBF处理分别增加了4.4%~8.4%和4.1%~13.2%,BBF处理增产效果最好,3年的平均小麦籽粒产量比CF处理增加了5.7%。本试验条件下,炭基肥的氨减排与增产效果最佳,可作为华北平原潮土区农业氨减排及小麦增产的新型施肥技术模式进行推广。 展开更多
关键词 秸秆生物炭 炭基肥 氨排放通量 氨累积排放量 氨排放系数 小麦产量
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多源因素影响下泰安市产水量变化规律研究
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作者 刘孟泽 孙晶辉 谭秀翠 《山东农业大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期105-116,共12页
产水量是生态系统服务功能中表征水资源供给能力的指标之一,对生态系统评价具有重要意义。本文采用InVEST模型中Annual Water Yield(年产水量)模块,利用GIS空间分析技术,对泰安市产水量变化规律及其对多源因素(降水量、潜在蒸散量、土... 产水量是生态系统服务功能中表征水资源供给能力的指标之一,对生态系统评价具有重要意义。本文采用InVEST模型中Annual Water Yield(年产水量)模块,利用GIS空间分析技术,对泰安市产水量变化规律及其对多源因素(降水量、潜在蒸散量、土地利用类型、净初级生产力、温度)的响应进行研究。研究结果表明:时间上,1990-2022年,泰安市平均产水量为234.92 mm,产水量以2.1 mm/yr的趋势增加,产水量变化主周期为25年,且在2018年存在突变。空间上,泰安市94.1%的地区产水量呈增加趋势,集聚模式为高值集聚;热点多集中于泰安市东部和城区,冷点多集中于西部和山地区。不同土地利用类型的产水能力由强到弱依次为建设用地、草地、耕地、林地、水域。多源因素中,泰安市产水量与降水量呈极强正相关性,且具有极显著性,两者在全时域、全时间尺度下都表现出强相干特征,产水量与潜在蒸散量、净初级生产力及温度相关性较弱。未来变化环境下,随着降水量的增加及城市用地的扩张,产水量呈增加趋势。研究结果对泰安市生态系统评价及水资源时空管理具有一定指导意义。 展开更多
关键词 产水量 InVEST模型 泰安市 影响因素
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不同产量分离方法对豫中地区夏玉米产量预测的影响
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作者 王琛 《中国农业气象》 2026年第2期216-224,共9页
为探寻不同分离方法对产量预报的影响,利用1985-2024年豫中粮食主产区许昌市夏玉米产量数据和气象资料,采用3a滑动平均法、5a滑动平均法、HP滤波法、五点二次平滑法、二次指数平滑法和ARIMA模型法分离夏玉米气象产量并构建单产预测模型... 为探寻不同分离方法对产量预报的影响,利用1985-2024年豫中粮食主产区许昌市夏玉米产量数据和气象资料,采用3a滑动平均法、5a滑动平均法、HP滤波法、五点二次平滑法、二次指数平滑法和ARIMA模型法分离夏玉米气象产量并构建单产预测模型,计算趋势预报正确率、单产预测准确率等指标评估模拟效果。结果表明:3a滑动平均法、5a滑动平均法、五点二次平滑法、二次指数平滑法分离产量效果较好,不同方法分离气象产量的正负关系有所差异;筛选的关键气象因子中,拔节-吐丝期降水量、灌浆期气温和日照时数与气象产量呈显著正相关关系(P<0.05),苗期气温、灌浆期降水量与气象产量呈显著负相关关系(P<0.05),符合玉米生长发育特性;6种方法构建模型在回代检验中产量趋势预报正确率在78.1%以上,单产预测准确率超过94.5%,均方根误差小于410.5kg·hm^(-2);预报检验中组合加权预测模型表现最优,单产预测准确率达到97.2%,好于单一方法模型效果,可为粮食产量精准预报及农业生产科学决策提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 夏玉米 产量分离方法 气象产量 关键气象因子 产量预测
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不同剂量卡贝缩宫素对奶牛胎衣不下治疗效果、受胎率及初乳产量的影响
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作者 刘玉平 张秀海 《中国乳业》 2026年第1期71-76,共6页
[目的]本文旨在探究不同剂量卡贝缩宫素对奶牛胎衣不下治疗效果、受胎率及初乳产量的影响,以期为该药在兽医临床的合理应用提供理论依据。[方法]试验选择120头健康荷斯坦牛,随机分为4组,对照组于分娩后10 min内肌注10 mL生理盐水,低、... [目的]本文旨在探究不同剂量卡贝缩宫素对奶牛胎衣不下治疗效果、受胎率及初乳产量的影响,以期为该药在兽医临床的合理应用提供理论依据。[方法]试验选择120头健康荷斯坦牛,随机分为4组,对照组于分娩后10 min内肌注10 mL生理盐水,低、中、高剂量组分别肌注250、300、350μg/头卡贝缩宫素。观测并记录各组胎衣排出情况、排出时间、首次配种受胎率、初乳产量及血清炎性因子IL-1β、IL-6、TNF-α含量。[结果]结果显示,随卡贝缩宫素剂量增加,胎衣不下发生率逐渐下降,中、高剂量组发生率显著低于对照组(P<0.05);各治疗组首配受胎率显著高于对照组;初乳产量呈上升趋势但差异不显著;中剂量组血清炎性因子含量显著低于对照组。[结论]本试验表明,卡贝缩宫素可有效促进胎衣排出、提高受胎率,并可能降低产后炎症反应。推荐在临床中使用300μg/头作为兼顾疗效与经济性的适宜剂量。 展开更多
关键词 卡贝缩宫素 奶牛 胎衣不下 受胎率 初乳产量 炎症因子
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金家渠井田砂岩含水层富水性影响因素分析
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作者 韩港 孙建西 巩奉刚 《能源与节能》 2026年第1期49-52,共4页
在煤层开采过程中,矿井水害事故严重威胁着煤矿生产的安全与稳定,是制约煤炭行业高质量发展的关键难题之一。其中,煤层顶板砂岩水害威胁又是常见的矿井水害类型之一,其危害程度与煤层顶板砂岩含水层富水性有关,因此需要对砂岩含水层富... 在煤层开采过程中,矿井水害事故严重威胁着煤矿生产的安全与稳定,是制约煤炭行业高质量发展的关键难题之一。其中,煤层顶板砂岩水害威胁又是常见的矿井水害类型之一,其危害程度与煤层顶板砂岩含水层富水性有关,因此需要对砂岩含水层富水性影响因素进行分析。以宁东矿区金家渠井田为研究对象,选取砂岩等效厚度、砂岩岩性系数、砂泥互层系数、岩心采取率、断层分维值5个判别指标,进行砂岩含水层富水性影响因素分析。结果表明,断层分维值为该研究区富水性影响的主导因素。整体来看,研究区富水性呈现较弱态势,富水性弱区与极弱区广泛分布于南部、东部及西部地带;而中北部区域则表现出中等富水性特征,形成显著的区域性差异分布格局。 展开更多
关键词 金家渠井田 砂岩含水层 富水性 影响因素 顶板水害
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基于北纬30°分界的长江中游油菜增产策略研究
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作者 杨锐 陈敬东 +6 位作者 黄郢 张学昆 周登文 刘清云 徐劲松 谢伶俐 许本波 《作物学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期99-117,共19页
为揭示长江中游冬油菜主要气象因子及重要农艺性状对产量形成的影响机制,本研究以北纬30°为界,系统比较分析该纬度线南北两侧冬油菜生态适应性与产量主导因子的异同,旨在为优化区域品种选育与精准栽培管理提供理论依据与实践指导... 为揭示长江中游冬油菜主要气象因子及重要农艺性状对产量形成的影响机制,本研究以北纬30°为界,系统比较分析该纬度线南北两侧冬油菜生态适应性与产量主导因子的异同,旨在为优化区域品种选育与精准栽培管理提供理论依据与实践指导。本研究选取2006—2007、2009—2010、2016—2017和2019—2020等4个气候条件差异显著、涵盖典型油菜生长季节气候类型(温暖干燥、偏冷湿润、气候波动强)的年份,作为代表性试验年度,在北纬30°以北与北纬30°以南共6个国家冬油菜区域试验站点,收集全部参试品种的重要农艺性状,并结合气象数据,通过多元统计方法,解析区域气象因子差异及其对产量的影响、重要农艺性状的差异及其与产量的协同关系。结果表明,北纬30°以北地区冬季气温更低、昼夜温差更大、降水量相对较少、日照时数前期较少后期较多;而北纬30°以南地区则相对温暖但后期多雨寡照,两地区气候差异显著。北纬30°以北地区平均产量比北纬30°以南地区高779.1 kg hm^(-2)(P<0.01),北纬30°以北地区单株产量和角果数显著高于北纬30°以南地区,但病害压力较大。逐步回归分析显示,北纬30°以北地区产量主要受4月份降水等因素影响;而北纬30°以南地区则主要受12月份日照时数和3月份降水量影响。北纬30°以北地区产量主要由单株产量和每角粒数直接决定;而北纬30°以南地区则更依赖单株产量与千粒重的协同作用,同时需控制分枝数与千粒重的负向效应。广适性品系0112、9ZYYP27、科乐油4号在南北两区均表现优异;而品系华68P25、渝华7号、越优577等则表现出明显的地域专适性。长江中游北纬30°两侧冬油菜生态区在气候资源、产量构成及主导性状上存在显著分化,区域光温水格局显著影响产量形成机制。北纬30°以北地区应注重苗期光照利用与后期排涝,优选耐渍、抗菌核病强、单株产量高、粒数粒重兼优的品种;北纬30°以南地区则应重视中后期光照利用,注意选育高光效、耐渍、单株产量高、粒数多、含油量高品种。建议构建“广适性+专适性”相结合的区域化品种推广体系,协同推进精准育种与高效栽培,以实现长江中游冬油菜高产、稳产与绿色可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 油菜 长江中游 气象因子 农艺性状 增产策略 北纬30°
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A New Economic Assessment Index for the Impact of Climate Change on Grain Yield 被引量:8
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作者 董文杰 丑洁明 封国林 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第2期336-342,共7页
The impact of climate change on agriculture has received wide attention by the scientific community. This paper studies how to assess the grain yield impact of climate change, according to the climate change over a lo... The impact of climate change on agriculture has received wide attention by the scientific community. This paper studies how to assess the grain yield impact of climate change, according to the climate change over a long time period in the future as predicted by a climate system model. The application of the concept of a traditional "yield impact of meteorological factor (YIMF)" or "yield impact of weather factor" to the grain yield assessment of a decadal or even a longer timescale would be suffocated at the outset because the YIMF is for studying the phenomenon on an interannual timescale, and it is difficult to distinguish between the trend caused by climate change and the one resulting from changes in non-climatic factors. Therefore, the concept of the yield impact of climatic change (YICC), which is defined as the difference in the per unit area yields (PUAY) of a grain crop under a changing and an envisaged invariant climate conditions, is presented in this paper to assess the impact of global climate change on grain yields. The climatic factor has been introduced into the renowned economic Cobb-Douglas model, yielding a quantitative assessment method of YICC using real data. The method has been tested using the historical data of Northeast China, and the results show that it has an encouraging application outlook. 展开更多
关键词 global change yield impact of meteorological factor CLIMATE production function
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槐豆胶制备工艺优化及其理化性质
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作者 王婷 杨淋 +2 位作者 张璐 张民 李茜 《食品研究与开发》 2026年第1期83-92,共10页
该试验以超高压槐角和未超高压槐角为原料,采用超声辅助复合酶解法水提槐豆胶;通过单因素试验考察提取温度、混合酶添加量、酶解时间、料液比对槐豆胶提取得率的影响,并在单因素试验结果的基础上开展响应面优化试验,利用优化后的条件对... 该试验以超高压槐角和未超高压槐角为原料,采用超声辅助复合酶解法水提槐豆胶;通过单因素试验考察提取温度、混合酶添加量、酶解时间、料液比对槐豆胶提取得率的影响,并在单因素试验结果的基础上开展响应面优化试验,利用优化后的条件对槐豆胶进行分离纯化,得到均一多糖组分;再通过高效液相色谱、低温差示量热扫描仪、刚果红染色法等对槐豆胶的组成、结构及理化特性进行分析。结果表明,最佳提取条件为提取温度90℃、混合酶添加量0.4%、酶解时间1.5 h、料液比1∶20(g/mL)。此时,使用超高压原料提取的槐豆胶提取得率达到(19.30±0.12)%,与未超高压原料相比,槐豆胶提取得率增加6.17%。槐豆胶的组成及结构研究表明,槐豆胶相对分子量为7.60×10^(4)~2.45×10^(6)Da;4个醇沉组分的单糖组成为半乳糖(Gal)、甘露糖(Man)、葡萄糖(Glc)、阿拉伯糖(Ara)、木糖(Xyl)、鼠李糖(Rha),其中Man、Glc和Gal是主要的单糖成分;使用超高压原料提取得到的槐豆胶在持水力、持油力和膨胀力方面相对较高;低温差示量热扫描结果显示槐豆胶有较好的热稳定性;刚果红染色表明槐豆胶的4个组分均不具备三螺旋结构特征。 展开更多
关键词 槐豆胶 制备工艺优化 单因素试验 提取得率 理化性质
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Reasonable selection of yield criteria for quantitative analysis of unsaturated soil slope stability 被引量:2
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作者 LIU Zi-zhen YAN Zhi-xin +2 位作者 REN Zhi-hua QIU Zhan-hong DUAN Jian 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第7期1304-1312,共9页
The yield criterion parameters of the soil material change with different values of the cohesion and the angle of friction because of sustained rainfall infiltration. Based on the Mohr-Coulomb(M-C) and Drucker-Prager(... The yield criterion parameters of the soil material change with different values of the cohesion and the angle of friction because of sustained rainfall infiltration. Based on the Mohr-Coulomb(M-C) and Drucker-Prager(D-P) yield criteria, some reasonable yield criteria selections were discussed for quantitative analysis of unsaturated soil slope stability. Moreover, a critical point was found at the effective angle of friction equaling to 16.5° by transformation of parameters related to unsaturated soil under sustained rainfall. When the effective angle of friction more than 16.5° through parameter transformation of different yield criteria under natural condition, the calculation result of the safety factor was such that: f(DP1) > f(M-C) > f(equivalent M-C) > f(DP2) > f(DP3). While the effective angle of friction less than 16.5°, through parameter transformation, the safety factors were in the following order: f(DP1) > f(M-C) > f(DP2) > f(equivalent M-C) > f(DP3). The calculated results from a case study showed that the equivalent M-C yield criterion should be the best at evaluating soil slope stability before rainfall; the DP2 yield criterion should be selected to calculate the soil slope stability at the effective angle of friction less than 16.5° under sustained rainfall. The yield criterion should be selected or adjusted reasonably to calculate the safety factor of unsaturated soil slopes before and during sustained rainfall. 展开更多
关键词 Unsaturated soil slope yield criteria Parameter transformation Rainfall Safety factor
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西南丘陵地区水稻优质高产种植技术集成与创新——以四川省资中县为例
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作者 陈亮 陈勇 +2 位作者 袁驰 曹厚明 罗涛 《中国稻米》 北大核心 2026年第1期6-11,共6页
资中县是四川省丘陵地区水稻生产的典型代表县,通过多年的技术集成与创新,实现了水稻单产的显著提高。本文系统梳理了资中县水稻优质高产种植技术体系,重点介绍了品种选育、旱育秧技术、“大三围”强化栽培、科学施肥与灌溉、病虫害综... 资中县是四川省丘陵地区水稻生产的典型代表县,通过多年的技术集成与创新,实现了水稻单产的显著提高。本文系统梳理了资中县水稻优质高产种植技术体系,重点介绍了品种选育、旱育秧技术、“大三围”强化栽培、科学施肥与灌溉、病虫害综合防治以及“五良”融合模式等关键环节,并深入探讨了该县在技术集成与创新过程中所面临的挑战,包括前期投入高制约规模化推广、技术应用均衡性与到位率有待提高、长期单一种植带来的生态风险、资源禀赋限制及潜力挖掘不足等问题。在此基础上,提出推动技术轻简化与智慧化升级、促进生态化和绿色低碳转型、全面提升产业融合与价值链升级、创新经营制度与服务体系建设等发展对策。资中县的技术实践为西南丘陵地区水稻高产高效种植提供了可复制的路径,对保障区域粮食安全具有重要的实践意义。 展开更多
关键词 水稻 优质高产栽培技术 旱育秧 “五良”融合
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