BACKGROUND Neck pain,a primary symptom of cervical spondylosis,affects patients'physical and mental health,reducing their quality of life.Pain and emotional state interact;however,their longitudinal interrelations...BACKGROUND Neck pain,a primary symptom of cervical spondylosis,affects patients'physical and mental health,reducing their quality of life.Pain and emotional state interact;however,their longitudinal interrelationship remains unclear.In this study,we applied a dual-trajectory model to assess how neck pain and emotional state evolve together over time and how clinical interventions,particularly acupuncture,influence these trajectories.AIM To investigate the longitudinal relationship between neck pain and emotional state in patients with cervical spondylosis.METHODS This prospective cohort study included 472 patients with cervical spondylosis from eight Chinese hospitals.Participants received acupuncture or medication and were followed up at baseline,and at 1,2,4,6,and 8 weeks.Neck pain and emotional distress were assessed using the Northwick Park Neck Pain Questionnaire(NPQ)and the affective subscale of the Short-Form McGill Pain Questionnaire(SF-MPQ),respectively.Group-based trajectory models and dual trajectory analysis were used to identify and correlate pain-emotion trajectories.Multivariate logistic regression identified predictors of group membership.RESULTS Three trajectory groups were identified for NPQ and SF-MPQ scores(low,medium,and high).Higher NPQ trajectory was associated with older age(OR=1.058,P<0.001)and was significantly reduced by acupuncture(OR=0.382,P<0.001).Similarly,acupuncture lowered the odds of high SF-MPQ trajectory membership(OR=0.336,P<0.001),while age increased it(OR=1.037,P<0.001).Dual-trajectory analysis revealed bidirectional associations:69.1%of patients with low NPQ had low SF-MPQ scores,and 42.6%of patients with high SF-MPQ also had high NPQ scores.Gender was a predictor for medium SF-MPQ trajectory(OR=1.629,P=0.094).Occupation and education levels differed significantly across the trajectory groups(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Over time,neck pain and emotional distress are closely associated in patients with cervical spondylosis.Acupuncture alleviates both outcomes significantly,while age is a risk factor.Integrated approaches to pain and emotional management are encouraged.展开更多
To deploy sensor nodes over the area of interest,a scheme,named node scattering manipulation,was proposed.It adopted the following method:during node scattering,the initial states of every node,including the velocity ...To deploy sensor nodes over the area of interest,a scheme,named node scattering manipulation,was proposed.It adopted the following method:during node scattering,the initial states of every node,including the velocity and direction,were manipulated so that it would land in a region with a certain probability;every sensor was relocated in order to improve the coverage and connectivity.Simultaneously,to easily analyze the process of scattering sensors,a trajectory model was also proposed.Integrating node scattering manipulation with trajectory model,the node deployment in wireless sensor network was thoroughly renovated,that is,this scheme can scatter sensors.In practice,the scheme was operable compared with the previous achievements.The simulation results demonstrate the superiority and feasibility of the scheme,and also show that the energy consumption for sensors relocation is reduced.展开更多
In this study,it is aimed to develop a generic model which calculates the trajectory of the ejection seat from the jet aircraft,by taking into account the parameters that will affect the seat movement such as the seat...In this study,it is aimed to develop a generic model which calculates the trajectory of the ejection seat from the jet aircraft,by taking into account the parameters that will affect the seat movement such as the seat’s launch speed,ejection direction,ejection angle,altitude of the aircraft,distance/height from the aircraft rudder and canopy,pilot and ejection seat weight.With the model algorithm proposed,the ejection seat trajectory model was developed on MATLAB.The ejection seat trajectory model is based on point mass trajectory mathematical model.In this study,an analytical study of the problem has been made for modeling the flight trajectory of the ejection seat after it has been ejected.Past studies were used as a basis for validation and simulation.By writing a generic MATLAB code,a user interface was developed and presented to the user as a module.This generic code that has been developed could be used for simulations by users in the future by revising it in accordance with their own job descriptions.展开更多
To accurately reconstruct the tomographic gamma scanning(TGS)transmission measurement image,this study optimized the transmission reconstruction equation based on the actual situation of TGS transmission measurement.U...To accurately reconstruct the tomographic gamma scanning(TGS)transmission measurement image,this study optimized the transmission reconstruction equation based on the actual situation of TGS transmission measurement.Using the transmission reconstruction equation and the Monte Carlo program Geant4,an innovative virtual trajectory length model was constructed.This model integrated the solving process for the trajectory length and detection efficiency within the same model.To mitigate the influence of the angular distribution ofγ-rays emitted by the transmitted source at the detector,the transport processes of numerous particles traversing a virtual nuclear waste barrel with a density of zero were simulated.Consequently,a certain amount of information was captured at each step of particle transport.Simultaneously,the model addressed the nonuniform detection efficiency of the detector end face by considering whether the energy deposition of particles in the detector equaled their initial energy.Two models were established to validate the accuracy and reliability of the virtual trajectory length model.Model 1 was a simplified nuclear waste barrel,whereas Model 2 closely resembled the actual structure of a nuclear waste barrel.The results indicated that the proposed virtual trajectory length model significantly enhanced the precision of the trajectory length determination,substantially increasing the quality of the reconstructed images.For example,the reconstructed images of Model 2 using the“point-to-point”and average trajectory models revealed a signalto-noise ratio increase of 375.0%and 112.7%,respectively.Thus,the virtual trajectory length model proposed in this study holds paramount significance for the precise reconstruction of transmission images.Moreover,it can provide support for the accurate detection of radioactive activity in nuclear waste barrels.展开更多
A huge amount of sensitive personal data is being collected by various online health monitoring applications.Although the data is anonymous,the personal trajectories(e.g.,the chronological access records of small cell...A huge amount of sensitive personal data is being collected by various online health monitoring applications.Although the data is anonymous,the personal trajectories(e.g.,the chronological access records of small cells)could become the anchor of linkage attacks to re-identify the users.Focusing on trajectory privacy in online health monitoring,we propose the User Trajectory Model(UTM),a generic trajectory re-identification risk predicting model to reveal the underlying relationship between trajectory uniqueness and aggregated data(e.g.,number of individuals covered by each small cell),and using the parameter combination of aggregated data to further mathematically derive the statistical characteristics of uniqueness(i.e.,the expectation and the variance).Eventually,exhaustive simulations validate the effectiveness of the UTM in privacy risk evaluation,confirm our theoretical deductions and present counter-intuitive insights.展开更多
Background:To identify the distinct trajectories of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)scores at 72 h for patients with sepsis in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care(MIMIC)-IV database and determ...Background:To identify the distinct trajectories of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)scores at 72 h for patients with sepsis in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care(MIMIC)-IV database and determine their effects on mortality and adverse clinical outcomes.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was carried out involving patients with sepsis from the MIMIC-IV database.Group-based trajectory modeling(GBTM)was used to identify the distinct trajectory groups for the SOFA scores in patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit(ICU).The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to investigate the relationship between the longitudinal change trajectory of the SOFA score and mortality and adverse clinical outcomes.Results:A total of 16,743 patients with sepsis were included in the cohort.The median survival age was 66 years(interquartile range:54-76 years).The 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality were 6.0%and 17.6%,respectively.Five different trajectories of SOFA scores according to the model fitting standard were determined:group 1(32.8%),group 2(30.0%),group 3(17.6%),group 4(14.0%)and group 5(5.7%).Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that,for different clinical outcomes,trajectory group 1 was used as the reference,while trajectory groups 2-5 were all risk factors associated with the outcome(P<0.001).Subgroup analysis revealed an interaction between the two covariates of age and mechanical ventilation and the different trajectory groups of patients’SOFA scores(P<0.05).Conclusion:This approach may help identify various groups of patients with sepsis,who may be at different levels of risk for adverse health outcomes,and provide subgroups with clinical importance.展开更多
After pointed the unreasonableness of the three basic assumptions contained in HMM, we introduce the theory and the advantage of Stochastic najectory Models (STMs) that possibly resolve these problems caused by HMM as...After pointed the unreasonableness of the three basic assumptions contained in HMM, we introduce the theory and the advantage of Stochastic najectory Models (STMs) that possibly resolve these problems caused by HMM assumptions. In STM, the acoustic observations of an acoustic unit are represented as clusters of trajectories in a parameter space.The trajectories are modelled by mixture of probability density functions of random sequence of states. After analyzing the characteristics of Chinese speech, the acoustic units for continuous Chinese speech recognition based on STM are discussed and phone-like units are suggested. The performance of continuous Chinese speech recognition based on STM is studied on VINICS system. The experimental results prove the efficiency of STM and the consistency of phone-like units.展开更多
Objective We aimed to investigate the patterns of fasting blood glucose(FBG)trajectories and analyze the relationship between various occupational hazard factors and FBG trajectories in male steelworkers.Methods The s...Objective We aimed to investigate the patterns of fasting blood glucose(FBG)trajectories and analyze the relationship between various occupational hazard factors and FBG trajectories in male steelworkers.Methods The study cohort included 3,728 workers who met the selection criteria for the Tanggang Occupational Cohort(TGOC)between 2017 and 2022.A group-based trajectory model was used to identify the FBG trajectories.Environmental risk scores(ERS)were constructed using regression coefficients from the occupational hazard model as weights.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the effects of occupational hazard factors using the ERS on FBG trajectories.Results FBG trajectories were categorized into three groups.An association was observed between high temperature,noise exposure,and FBG trajectory(P<0.05).Using the first quartile group of ERS1 as a reference,the fourth quartile group of ERS1 had an increased risk of medium and high FBG by 1.90and 2.21 times,respectively(odds ratio[OR]=1.90,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.17–3.10;OR=2.21,95%CI:1.09–4.45).Conclusion An association was observed between occupational hazards based on ERS and FBG trajectories.The risk of FBG trajectory levels increase with an increase in ERS.展开更多
[ Objective] The research aimed to study application of the trajectory plume model in atmospheric environmental impact assessment. [ Method] Trajectory plume model was used to retrospectively evaluate regional atmosph...[ Objective] The research aimed to study application of the trajectory plume model in atmospheric environmental impact assessment. [ Method] Trajectory plume model was used to retrospectively evaluate regional atmospheric improvement degree by fuel gas desulfurization project in Mawan Power Plant of Shenzhen. On this basis, we analyzed applicability of the model in atmospheric prediction of the construction project. [- Re- sult~ Under the situation of complex flow field and variable weather condition, the trajectory plume model displayed good prediction accuracy, to- gether with the use of flow field diagnosis model. Under complex weather condition, this model could be complementary to atmospheric environmen- tal quality prediction model recommended by new atmosphere guidelines, which had the value of popularization in future atmospheric environmental evaluation and planning. [ Conduslon~ Trajectory plume model had broad application potential in atmospheric environmental impact assessment.展开更多
A multi-lattice deterministic trajectory(MLDT) model is developed to simulate dense gas-particle flow in a vertical channel.The actual inter-particle collision and particle motion are treated by a Lagrangian model wit...A multi-lattice deterministic trajectory(MLDT) model is developed to simulate dense gas-particle flow in a vertical channel.The actual inter-particle collision and particle motion are treated by a Lagrangian model with three sets of lattices to reduce computational time.Cluster formation and motion near the wall are successfully predicted with mean particle volume fraction and velocity,showing quantitatively agreement with experimental results.The mechanism of particles concentrated near the wall is investigated by considering effects of gravity,particle-wall collisions,inter-particle collisions and velocity profiles of the gas phase.It is shown that the inter-particle collision and gas-phase velocity distribution are the essential factors for cluster formation near the wall,while gravity and particle-wall collision only have minor effects on particle concentration near the wall.Particles are unable to remain in the high velocity region due to the strong inter-particle collisions,while they tend to stay in the low velocity region for weak inter-particle collisions.In addition,the effects of channel width and particle sizes on cluster formation are also investigated and it is found that particle concentration near the wall reduces with the decrease of channel width and increase of particle size.展开更多
Airports are being developed and expanded rapidly in China to accommodate and promote a growing aviation market.The future Beijing Daxing International Airport（DAX） will serve as the central airport of the JingJinJi...Airports are being developed and expanded rapidly in China to accommodate and promote a growing aviation market.The future Beijing Daxing International Airport（DAX） will serve as the central airport of the JingJinJi megaregion,knitting the Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei regions together.DAX will be a busy airport from its inception,relieving congestion and accommodating growth from Beijing Capital International Airport（PEK）,currently the second busiest airport in the world in passengers moved.We aim to model terminal airspace designs and possible conflicts in the future Beijing Multi-Airport System（MAS）.We investigate standard arrival procedures and mathematically model current and future arrival trajectories into PEK and DAX by collecting large quantities of publicly available track data from historical arrivals operating within the Beijing terminal airspace.We find that（1） trajectory models constructed from real data capture aberrations and deviations from standard arrival procedures,validating the need to incorporate data on historical trajectories with standard procedures when evaluating the airspace and（2） given all existing constraints,DAX may be restricted to using north and east arrival flows,constraining the capacity required to handle the increases in air traffic demand to Beijing.The results indicate that the terminal airspace above Beijing,and the future JingJinJi region,requires careful consideration if the full capacity benefits of the two major airports are to be realized.展开更多
It is essential to learn the temporal and spatial concentration distributions and variations of seeding agents in cloud seeding of precipitation enhancement. A three-dimensional puff trajectory model incorporating a m...It is essential to learn the temporal and spatial concentration distributions and variations of seeding agents in cloud seeding of precipitation enhancement. A three-dimensional puff trajectory model incorporating a mesoscale nonhydrostatic model has been formulated, and is applied to simulating the transporting and diffusive characteristics of multiple line sources of seeding agents within super-cooled stratus. Several important factors are taken into consideration that affect the diffusion of seeding materials such as effects of topography and vertical wind shear, temporal and spatial variation of seeding parameters and wet deposition. The particles of seeding agents are assumed to be almost inert, they have no interaction with the particles of the cloud or precipitation except that they are washed out by precipitation. The model validity is demonstrated by the analyses and comparisons of model results, and checked by the sensitivity experiments of diffusive coefficients and atmospheric stratification. The advantage of this model includes not only its exact reflection of heterogeneity and unsteadiness of background fields, but also its good simulation of transport and diffusion of multiple line sources. The horizontal diffusion rate and the horizontal transport distance have been proposed that they usually were difficult to obtain in other models. In this simulation the horizontal diffusion rate is 0.82 m s(-1) for average of one hour, and the horizontal average transport distance reaches 65 km after 1 4 which are closely related to the background Fields.展开更多
Intersections are quite important and complex traffic scenarios,where the future motion of surrounding vehicles is an indispensable reference factor for the decision-making or path planning of autonomous vehicles.Cons...Intersections are quite important and complex traffic scenarios,where the future motion of surrounding vehicles is an indispensable reference factor for the decision-making or path planning of autonomous vehicles.Considering that the motion trajectory of a vehicle at an intersection partly obeys the statistical law of historical data once its driving intention is determined,this paper proposes a long short-term memory based(LSTM-based)framework that combines intention prediction and trajectory prediction together.First,we build an intersection prior trajectories model(IPTM)by clustering and statistically analyzing a large number of prior traffic flow trajectories.The prior trajectories model with fitted probabilistic density is used to approximate the distribution of the predicted trajectory,and also serves as a reference for credibility evaluation.Second,we conduct the intention prediction through another LSTM model and regard it as a crucial cue for a trajectory forecast at the early stage.Furthermore,the predicted intention is also a key that is associated with the prior trajectories model.The proposed framework is validated on two publically released datasets,next generation simulation(NGSIM)and INTERACTION.Compared with other prediction methods,our framework is able to sample a trajectory from the estimated distribution,with its accuracy improved by about 20%.Finally,the credibility evaluation,which is based on the prior trajectories model,makes the framework more practical in the real-world applications.展开更多
In this paper, we construct two models for the searching task for a lost plane. Model 1 determines the searching area. We predict the trajectory of floats generated after the disintegration of the plane by using RBF n...In this paper, we construct two models for the searching task for a lost plane. Model 1 determines the searching area. We predict the trajectory of floats generated after the disintegration of the plane by using RBF neural network model, and then determine the searching area according to the trajectory. With the pass of time, the searching area will also be constantly moving along the trajectory. Model 2 develops a maritime search plan to achieve the purpose of completing the search in the shortest time. We optimize the searching time and transform the problem into the 0-1 knapsack problem. Solving this problem by improved genetic algorithm, we can get the shortest searching time and the best choice for the search power.展开更多
Erosion-corrosion of liquid-solid two-phase flow occurring in a pipe with sudden expansion in cross-section is numerically simulated in this paper. The global model for erosion-corrosion process includes three main co...Erosion-corrosion of liquid-solid two-phase flow occurring in a pipe with sudden expansion in cross-section is numerically simulated in this paper. The global model for erosion-corrosion process includes three main components: the liquid-solid two-phase flow model, erosion model and corrosion model. The Eulerian-Lagrangian approach is used to simulate liquid-solid two-phase flow, while the stochastic trajectory model was adopted to obtain properties of particle phase. Two-way coupling effect between the fluid and the particle phase is considered in the model. The accuracy of the models is tested by the data in the reference. The comparison shows that the model is basically correct and feasible.展开更多
Background:Septic shock has a high incidence and mortality rate in Intensive Care Units(ICUs).Earlier intravenous fluid resuscitation can significantly improve outcomes in septic patients but easily leads to fluid ove...Background:Septic shock has a high incidence and mortality rate in Intensive Care Units(ICUs).Earlier intravenous fluid resuscitation can significantly improve outcomes in septic patients but easily leads to fluid overload(FO),which is associated with poor clinical outcomes.A single point value of fluid cannot provide enough fluid information.The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of fluid balance(FB)latent trajectories on clinical outcomes in septic patients.Methods:Patients were diagnosed with septic shock during the first 48 h,and sequential fluid data for the first 3 days of ICU admission were included.A group-based trajectory model(GBTM)which is designed to identify groups of individuals following similar developmental trajectories was used to identify latent subgroups of individuals following a similar progression of FB.The primary outcomes were hospital mortality,organ dysfunction,major adverse kidney events(MAKE)and severe respiratory adverse events(SRAE).We used multivariable Cox or logistic regression analysis to assess the association between FB trajectories and clinical outcomes.Results:Nine hundred eighty-six patients met the inclusion criteria and were assigned to GBTM analysis,and three latent FB trajectories were detected.64(6.5%),841(85.3%),and 81(8.2%)patients were identified to have decreased,low,and high FB,respectively.Compared with low FB,high FB was associated with increased hospital mortality[hazard ratio(HR)=1.63,95%CI 1.22–2.17],organ dysfunction[odds ratio(OR)=2.18,95%CI 1.22–3.42],MAKE(OR=1.80,95%CI 1.04–2.63)and SRAE(OR=2.33,95%CI 1.46–3.71),and decreasing FB was significantly associated with decreased MAKE(OR=0.46,95%CI 0.29–0.79)after adjustment for potential covariates.Conclusion:Latent subgroups of septic patients followed a similar FB progression.These latent fluid trajectories were associated with clinical outcomes.The decreasing FB trajectory was associated with a decreased risk of hospital mortality and MAKE.展开更多
The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored...The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored, based on the daily average of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the OLR data and the western North Pacific tropical cyclone best-track data from 1979 to 2008. The mechanism of the influences of ISO on TC movement and the corresponding large-scale circulation were discussed by a trajectory model. It was found as follows.(1) During the SCS summer monsoon, the SCS convection exhibits the ISO features with active phases alternating with inactive phases. The monsoon circulation patterns are significantly different during these two phases. When the SCS convection is active(inactive), the SCS-WNP monsoon trough stretches eastward(retreats westward) due to the activity(inactivity) of SCS monsoon, and the WNP subtropical high retreats eastward(stretches westward), which enhances(suppresses) the monsoon circulation.(2) The amount of TC genesis in the active phase is much more than that in the inactive phase. A majority of TCs form west of 135 °E during the active phases but east of 135 °E in the inactive phases.(3) The TCs entering the area west of 135 °E and south of 25 °N would move straight into the SCS in the active phase, or recurve northward in the inactive phase.(4) Simulation results show that the steering flow associated with the active(inactive)phases is in favor of straight-moving(recurving) TCs. Meanwhile, the impacts of the locations of TC genesis on the characteristics of TC track cannot be ignored. TCs that occurred father westward are more likely to move straight into the SCS region.展开更多
According to the theory of the stochastic trajectory model of particle in the gas-solid two-phase flows, the two-phase turbulence model between the blades in the inner cavity of the FW-Φ150 horizontal turbo classifie...According to the theory of the stochastic trajectory model of particle in the gas-solid two-phase flows, the two-phase turbulence model between the blades in the inner cavity of the FW-Φ150 horizontal turbo classifier was established, and the commonly-used PHOENICS code was adopted to carried out the numerical simulation. It was achieved the flow characteristics under a certain condition as well as the motion trace of particles with different diameters entering from certain initial location and passing through the flow field between the blades under the correspondent condition. This research method quite directly demonstrates the motion of particles. An experiment was executed to prove the accuracy of the results of numerical simulation.展开更多
The 10-year climatological features related to midlatitude double tropopause events （DTs） are examined using ERA- Interim data from 2003 to 2012. The analysis is based on tropopauses defined by lapse rate. Results s...The 10-year climatological features related to midlatitude double tropopause events （DTs） are examined using ERA- Interim data from 2003 to 2012. The analysis is based on tropopauses defined by lapse rate. Results show that DTs are permanent or semi-permanent in the midlatitudes, and high DT frequency bands move poleward in winter and equatorward in summer, which is consistent with the seasonal movement of the subtropical jet. Based on our statistics, the second tropopause is found at about 100 hPa in the subtropics and at slightly lower altitudes in sub-polar regions. The thickness between the first and second tropopause is smaller in the subtropics and increases with latitude. Next, the origin of air sandwiched between the first and second tropopause of DTs is studied with a revised version of the UK Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme Offline Trajectory Code （Version 3） diabatic trajectory model. The results show that, in the lower or middle troposphere, air is transported into the DTs from lower latitudes, mainly in the tropics. The dominant source regions are mainly areas of deep convection and steep orography, e.g., the western Pacific and Himalayan Mountains, and they show strong seasonality following the seasonal shift of these strong upwelling regions.展开更多
A new mathematical model, fluctuation spectrum random trajectory model (FSRTM) for the particle motion in environmental fluid was developed using Lagrangian method, in which the time mean velocity of the fluid was ca...A new mathematical model, fluctuation spectrum random trajectory model (FSRTM) for the particle motion in environmental fluid was developed using Lagrangian method, in which the time mean velocity of the fluid was calculated by a time mean velocity formula for two dimensional homogeneous shear turbulent flows in open channel, the velocity fluctuation of the fluid was determined by Fourier expansion and fluctuation spectrum, and the particle motion equation was solved using Ronge Kutta method. For comparison, the spherical cation exchange resins with a density of 1 44 g/cm\+3 and diameters ranging from 0 50—0 60 mm, 0 60—0 70 mm and 0 80—0 90 mm were selected as the experimental solid particles, and their moving velocities and trajectories in shear turbulent flows with the flow Reynolds number of 4710, 10240, 11900 and 20760 were investigated. The comparing analyses of the modeled results with the measured results have shown that the model developed in this paper can describe the motions of the particles in shear turbulent flow.展开更多
基金Supported by 2022 Chinese Medicine Scientific Research Project of Hebei Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine,No.20221572025 Annual Scientific Research Project of Higher Education Institutions in Hebei Province,No.QN2025654.
文摘BACKGROUND Neck pain,a primary symptom of cervical spondylosis,affects patients'physical and mental health,reducing their quality of life.Pain and emotional state interact;however,their longitudinal interrelationship remains unclear.In this study,we applied a dual-trajectory model to assess how neck pain and emotional state evolve together over time and how clinical interventions,particularly acupuncture,influence these trajectories.AIM To investigate the longitudinal relationship between neck pain and emotional state in patients with cervical spondylosis.METHODS This prospective cohort study included 472 patients with cervical spondylosis from eight Chinese hospitals.Participants received acupuncture or medication and were followed up at baseline,and at 1,2,4,6,and 8 weeks.Neck pain and emotional distress were assessed using the Northwick Park Neck Pain Questionnaire(NPQ)and the affective subscale of the Short-Form McGill Pain Questionnaire(SF-MPQ),respectively.Group-based trajectory models and dual trajectory analysis were used to identify and correlate pain-emotion trajectories.Multivariate logistic regression identified predictors of group membership.RESULTS Three trajectory groups were identified for NPQ and SF-MPQ scores(low,medium,and high).Higher NPQ trajectory was associated with older age(OR=1.058,P<0.001)and was significantly reduced by acupuncture(OR=0.382,P<0.001).Similarly,acupuncture lowered the odds of high SF-MPQ trajectory membership(OR=0.336,P<0.001),while age increased it(OR=1.037,P<0.001).Dual-trajectory analysis revealed bidirectional associations:69.1%of patients with low NPQ had low SF-MPQ scores,and 42.6%of patients with high SF-MPQ also had high NPQ scores.Gender was a predictor for medium SF-MPQ trajectory(OR=1.629,P=0.094).Occupation and education levels differed significantly across the trajectory groups(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Over time,neck pain and emotional distress are closely associated in patients with cervical spondylosis.Acupuncture alleviates both outcomes significantly,while age is a risk factor.Integrated approaches to pain and emotional management are encouraged.
基金Project(2007AA01Z224) supported by National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China
文摘To deploy sensor nodes over the area of interest,a scheme,named node scattering manipulation,was proposed.It adopted the following method:during node scattering,the initial states of every node,including the velocity and direction,were manipulated so that it would land in a region with a certain probability;every sensor was relocated in order to improve the coverage and connectivity.Simultaneously,to easily analyze the process of scattering sensors,a trajectory model was also proposed.Integrating node scattering manipulation with trajectory model,the node deployment in wireless sensor network was thoroughly renovated,that is,this scheme can scatter sensors.In practice,the scheme was operable compared with the previous achievements.The simulation results demonstrate the superiority and feasibility of the scheme,and also show that the energy consumption for sensors relocation is reduced.
文摘In this study,it is aimed to develop a generic model which calculates the trajectory of the ejection seat from the jet aircraft,by taking into account the parameters that will affect the seat movement such as the seat’s launch speed,ejection direction,ejection angle,altitude of the aircraft,distance/height from the aircraft rudder and canopy,pilot and ejection seat weight.With the model algorithm proposed,the ejection seat trajectory model was developed on MATLAB.The ejection seat trajectory model is based on point mass trajectory mathematical model.In this study,an analytical study of the problem has been made for modeling the flight trajectory of the ejection seat after it has been ejected.Past studies were used as a basis for validation and simulation.By writing a generic MATLAB code,a user interface was developed and presented to the user as a module.This generic code that has been developed could be used for simulations by users in the future by revising it in accordance with their own job descriptions.
基金supported by The Youth Science Foundation of Sichuan Province(Nos.2022NSFSC1230,2022NSFSC1231,and 23NSFSC5321)the Science and Technology Innovation Seedling Project of Sichuan Province(No.MZGC20230080)+2 种基金the General project of national Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12075039)the Youth Science Foundation of China(No.12105030)the Key project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U19A2086)。
文摘To accurately reconstruct the tomographic gamma scanning(TGS)transmission measurement image,this study optimized the transmission reconstruction equation based on the actual situation of TGS transmission measurement.Using the transmission reconstruction equation and the Monte Carlo program Geant4,an innovative virtual trajectory length model was constructed.This model integrated the solving process for the trajectory length and detection efficiency within the same model.To mitigate the influence of the angular distribution ofγ-rays emitted by the transmitted source at the detector,the transport processes of numerous particles traversing a virtual nuclear waste barrel with a density of zero were simulated.Consequently,a certain amount of information was captured at each step of particle transport.Simultaneously,the model addressed the nonuniform detection efficiency of the detector end face by considering whether the energy deposition of particles in the detector equaled their initial energy.Two models were established to validate the accuracy and reliability of the virtual trajectory length model.Model 1 was a simplified nuclear waste barrel,whereas Model 2 closely resembled the actual structure of a nuclear waste barrel.The results indicated that the proposed virtual trajectory length model significantly enhanced the precision of the trajectory length determination,substantially increasing the quality of the reconstructed images.For example,the reconstructed images of Model 2 using the“point-to-point”and average trajectory models revealed a signalto-noise ratio increase of 375.0%and 112.7%,respectively.Thus,the virtual trajectory length model proposed in this study holds paramount significance for the precise reconstruction of transmission images.Moreover,it can provide support for the accurate detection of radioactive activity in nuclear waste barrels.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61871062and Grant 61771082the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing of China under Grant cstc2013jcyjA40066+3 种基金the Program for Innovation Team Building at Institutions of Higher Education in Chongqing under Grant CXTDX201601020the Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission under Grant KJQN201801316the Key Industrial Technology Development Project of Chongqing of China Development and Reform Commission under Grant 2018148208the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Demonstration Team of Yingcai Program of Chongqing of China under Grant CQYC201903167.
文摘A huge amount of sensitive personal data is being collected by various online health monitoring applications.Although the data is anonymous,the personal trajectories(e.g.,the chronological access records of small cells)could become the anchor of linkage attacks to re-identify the users.Focusing on trajectory privacy in online health monitoring,we propose the User Trajectory Model(UTM),a generic trajectory re-identification risk predicting model to reveal the underlying relationship between trajectory uniqueness and aggregated data(e.g.,number of individuals covered by each small cell),and using the parameter combination of aggregated data to further mathematically derive the statistical characteristics of uniqueness(i.e.,the expectation and the variance).Eventually,exhaustive simulations validate the effectiveness of the UTM in privacy risk evaluation,confirm our theoretical deductions and present counter-intuitive insights.
文摘Background:To identify the distinct trajectories of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)scores at 72 h for patients with sepsis in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care(MIMIC)-IV database and determine their effects on mortality and adverse clinical outcomes.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was carried out involving patients with sepsis from the MIMIC-IV database.Group-based trajectory modeling(GBTM)was used to identify the distinct trajectory groups for the SOFA scores in patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit(ICU).The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to investigate the relationship between the longitudinal change trajectory of the SOFA score and mortality and adverse clinical outcomes.Results:A total of 16,743 patients with sepsis were included in the cohort.The median survival age was 66 years(interquartile range:54-76 years).The 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality were 6.0%and 17.6%,respectively.Five different trajectories of SOFA scores according to the model fitting standard were determined:group 1(32.8%),group 2(30.0%),group 3(17.6%),group 4(14.0%)and group 5(5.7%).Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that,for different clinical outcomes,trajectory group 1 was used as the reference,while trajectory groups 2-5 were all risk factors associated with the outcome(P<0.001).Subgroup analysis revealed an interaction between the two covariates of age and mechanical ventilation and the different trajectory groups of patients’SOFA scores(P<0.05).Conclusion:This approach may help identify various groups of patients with sepsis,who may be at different levels of risk for adverse health outcomes,and provide subgroups with clinical importance.
文摘After pointed the unreasonableness of the three basic assumptions contained in HMM, we introduce the theory and the advantage of Stochastic najectory Models (STMs) that possibly resolve these problems caused by HMM assumptions. In STM, the acoustic observations of an acoustic unit are represented as clusters of trajectories in a parameter space.The trajectories are modelled by mixture of probability density functions of random sequence of states. After analyzing the characteristics of Chinese speech, the acoustic units for continuous Chinese speech recognition based on STM are discussed and phone-like units are suggested. The performance of continuous Chinese speech recognition based on STM is studied on VINICS system. The experimental results prove the efficiency of STM and the consistency of phone-like units.
基金supported by the Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(grant number:2016YF0900605)the Key Research and Development Program of Hebei Province(grant number:192777129D)+1 种基金the Joint Fund for Iron and Steel of the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(grant number:H2016209058)the National Natural Science Foundation for Regional Joint Fund of China(grant number:U22A20364)。
文摘Objective We aimed to investigate the patterns of fasting blood glucose(FBG)trajectories and analyze the relationship between various occupational hazard factors and FBG trajectories in male steelworkers.Methods The study cohort included 3,728 workers who met the selection criteria for the Tanggang Occupational Cohort(TGOC)between 2017 and 2022.A group-based trajectory model was used to identify the FBG trajectories.Environmental risk scores(ERS)were constructed using regression coefficients from the occupational hazard model as weights.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the effects of occupational hazard factors using the ERS on FBG trajectories.Results FBG trajectories were categorized into three groups.An association was observed between high temperature,noise exposure,and FBG trajectory(P<0.05).Using the first quartile group of ERS1 as a reference,the fourth quartile group of ERS1 had an increased risk of medium and high FBG by 1.90and 2.21 times,respectively(odds ratio[OR]=1.90,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.17–3.10;OR=2.21,95%CI:1.09–4.45).Conclusion An association was observed between occupational hazards based on ERS and FBG trajectories.The risk of FBG trajectory levels increase with an increase in ERS.
文摘[ Objective] The research aimed to study application of the trajectory plume model in atmospheric environmental impact assessment. [ Method] Trajectory plume model was used to retrospectively evaluate regional atmospheric improvement degree by fuel gas desulfurization project in Mawan Power Plant of Shenzhen. On this basis, we analyzed applicability of the model in atmospheric prediction of the construction project. [- Re- sult~ Under the situation of complex flow field and variable weather condition, the trajectory plume model displayed good prediction accuracy, to- gether with the use of flow field diagnosis model. Under complex weather condition, this model could be complementary to atmospheric environmen- tal quality prediction model recommended by new atmosphere guidelines, which had the value of popularization in future atmospheric environmental evaluation and planning. [ Conduslon~ Trajectory plume model had broad application potential in atmospheric environmental impact assessment.
基金partially supported by the National Basic Research Program of China ("973" Project) (Grant No. 62980532)
文摘A multi-lattice deterministic trajectory(MLDT) model is developed to simulate dense gas-particle flow in a vertical channel.The actual inter-particle collision and particle motion are treated by a Lagrangian model with three sets of lattices to reduce computational time.Cluster formation and motion near the wall are successfully predicted with mean particle volume fraction and velocity,showing quantitatively agreement with experimental results.The mechanism of particles concentrated near the wall is investigated by considering effects of gravity,particle-wall collisions,inter-particle collisions and velocity profiles of the gas phase.It is shown that the inter-particle collision and gas-phase velocity distribution are the essential factors for cluster formation near the wall,while gravity and particle-wall collision only have minor effects on particle concentration near the wall.Particles are unable to remain in the high velocity region due to the strong inter-particle collisions,while they tend to stay in the low velocity region for weak inter-particle collisions.In addition,the effects of channel width and particle sizes on cluster formation are also investigated and it is found that particle concentration near the wall reduces with the decrease of channel width and increase of particle size.
文摘Airports are being developed and expanded rapidly in China to accommodate and promote a growing aviation market.The future Beijing Daxing International Airport（DAX） will serve as the central airport of the JingJinJi megaregion,knitting the Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei regions together.DAX will be a busy airport from its inception,relieving congestion and accommodating growth from Beijing Capital International Airport（PEK）,currently the second busiest airport in the world in passengers moved.We aim to model terminal airspace designs and possible conflicts in the future Beijing Multi-Airport System（MAS）.We investigate standard arrival procedures and mathematically model current and future arrival trajectories into PEK and DAX by collecting large quantities of publicly available track data from historical arrivals operating within the Beijing terminal airspace.We find that（1） trajectory models constructed from real data capture aberrations and deviations from standard arrival procedures,validating the need to incorporate data on historical trajectories with standard procedures when evaluating the airspace and（2） given all existing constraints,DAX may be restricted to using north and east arrival flows,constraining the capacity required to handle the increases in air traffic demand to Beijing.The results indicate that the terminal airspace above Beijing,and the future JingJinJi region,requires careful consideration if the full capacity benefits of the two major airports are to be realized.
文摘It is essential to learn the temporal and spatial concentration distributions and variations of seeding agents in cloud seeding of precipitation enhancement. A three-dimensional puff trajectory model incorporating a mesoscale nonhydrostatic model has been formulated, and is applied to simulating the transporting and diffusive characteristics of multiple line sources of seeding agents within super-cooled stratus. Several important factors are taken into consideration that affect the diffusion of seeding materials such as effects of topography and vertical wind shear, temporal and spatial variation of seeding parameters and wet deposition. The particles of seeding agents are assumed to be almost inert, they have no interaction with the particles of the cloud or precipitation except that they are washed out by precipitation. The model validity is demonstrated by the analyses and comparisons of model results, and checked by the sensitivity experiments of diffusive coefficients and atmospheric stratification. The advantage of this model includes not only its exact reflection of heterogeneity and unsteadiness of background fields, but also its good simulation of transport and diffusion of multiple line sources. The horizontal diffusion rate and the horizontal transport distance have been proposed that they usually were difficult to obtain in other models. In this simulation the horizontal diffusion rate is 0.82 m s(-1) for average of one hour, and the horizontal average transport distance reaches 65 km after 1 4 which are closely related to the background Fields.
基金partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61903034,U1913203,61973034,91120003)the Program for Changjiang Scholars and Innovative Research Team in University(IRT-16R06,T2014224)+1 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation funded project(2019TQ0035)Beijing Institute of Technology Research Fund Program for Young Scholars。
文摘Intersections are quite important and complex traffic scenarios,where the future motion of surrounding vehicles is an indispensable reference factor for the decision-making or path planning of autonomous vehicles.Considering that the motion trajectory of a vehicle at an intersection partly obeys the statistical law of historical data once its driving intention is determined,this paper proposes a long short-term memory based(LSTM-based)framework that combines intention prediction and trajectory prediction together.First,we build an intersection prior trajectories model(IPTM)by clustering and statistically analyzing a large number of prior traffic flow trajectories.The prior trajectories model with fitted probabilistic density is used to approximate the distribution of the predicted trajectory,and also serves as a reference for credibility evaluation.Second,we conduct the intention prediction through another LSTM model and regard it as a crucial cue for a trajectory forecast at the early stage.Furthermore,the predicted intention is also a key that is associated with the prior trajectories model.The proposed framework is validated on two publically released datasets,next generation simulation(NGSIM)and INTERACTION.Compared with other prediction methods,our framework is able to sample a trajectory from the estimated distribution,with its accuracy improved by about 20%.Finally,the credibility evaluation,which is based on the prior trajectories model,makes the framework more practical in the real-world applications.
文摘In this paper, we construct two models for the searching task for a lost plane. Model 1 determines the searching area. We predict the trajectory of floats generated after the disintegration of the plane by using RBF neural network model, and then determine the searching area according to the trajectory. With the pass of time, the searching area will also be constantly moving along the trajectory. Model 2 develops a maritime search plan to achieve the purpose of completing the search in the shortest time. We optimize the searching time and transform the problem into the 0-1 knapsack problem. Solving this problem by improved genetic algorithm, we can get the shortest searching time and the best choice for the search power.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(N.59831030).
文摘Erosion-corrosion of liquid-solid two-phase flow occurring in a pipe with sudden expansion in cross-section is numerically simulated in this paper. The global model for erosion-corrosion process includes three main components: the liquid-solid two-phase flow model, erosion model and corrosion model. The Eulerian-Lagrangian approach is used to simulate liquid-solid two-phase flow, while the stochastic trajectory model was adopted to obtain properties of particle phase. Two-way coupling effect between the fluid and the particle phase is considered in the model. The accuracy of the models is tested by the data in the reference. The comparison shows that the model is basically correct and feasible.
基金supported by the National Science and Technology Supporting Plan of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(2012BAI11B05)。
文摘Background:Septic shock has a high incidence and mortality rate in Intensive Care Units(ICUs).Earlier intravenous fluid resuscitation can significantly improve outcomes in septic patients but easily leads to fluid overload(FO),which is associated with poor clinical outcomes.A single point value of fluid cannot provide enough fluid information.The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of fluid balance(FB)latent trajectories on clinical outcomes in septic patients.Methods:Patients were diagnosed with septic shock during the first 48 h,and sequential fluid data for the first 3 days of ICU admission were included.A group-based trajectory model(GBTM)which is designed to identify groups of individuals following similar developmental trajectories was used to identify latent subgroups of individuals following a similar progression of FB.The primary outcomes were hospital mortality,organ dysfunction,major adverse kidney events(MAKE)and severe respiratory adverse events(SRAE).We used multivariable Cox or logistic regression analysis to assess the association between FB trajectories and clinical outcomes.Results:Nine hundred eighty-six patients met the inclusion criteria and were assigned to GBTM analysis,and three latent FB trajectories were detected.64(6.5%),841(85.3%),and 81(8.2%)patients were identified to have decreased,low,and high FB,respectively.Compared with low FB,high FB was associated with increased hospital mortality[hazard ratio(HR)=1.63,95%CI 1.22–2.17],organ dysfunction[odds ratio(OR)=2.18,95%CI 1.22–3.42],MAKE(OR=1.80,95%CI 1.04–2.63)and SRAE(OR=2.33,95%CI 1.46–3.71),and decreasing FB was significantly associated with decreased MAKE(OR=0.46,95%CI 0.29–0.79)after adjustment for potential covariates.Conclusion:Latent subgroups of septic patients followed a similar FB progression.These latent fluid trajectories were associated with clinical outcomes.The decreasing FB trajectory was associated with a decreased risk of hospital mortality and MAKE.
基金National Basic Research Program of China(2015CB953904)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41575081)+1 种基金Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of NUIST(2015r035)Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘The intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of the South China Sea(SCS, 105-120°E, 5-20°N) convection and its influences on the genesis and track of the western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclones(TCs) were explored, based on the daily average of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the OLR data and the western North Pacific tropical cyclone best-track data from 1979 to 2008. The mechanism of the influences of ISO on TC movement and the corresponding large-scale circulation were discussed by a trajectory model. It was found as follows.(1) During the SCS summer monsoon, the SCS convection exhibits the ISO features with active phases alternating with inactive phases. The monsoon circulation patterns are significantly different during these two phases. When the SCS convection is active(inactive), the SCS-WNP monsoon trough stretches eastward(retreats westward) due to the activity(inactivity) of SCS monsoon, and the WNP subtropical high retreats eastward(stretches westward), which enhances(suppresses) the monsoon circulation.(2) The amount of TC genesis in the active phase is much more than that in the inactive phase. A majority of TCs form west of 135 °E during the active phases but east of 135 °E in the inactive phases.(3) The TCs entering the area west of 135 °E and south of 25 °N would move straight into the SCS in the active phase, or recurve northward in the inactive phase.(4) Simulation results show that the steering flow associated with the active(inactive)phases is in favor of straight-moving(recurving) TCs. Meanwhile, the impacts of the locations of TC genesis on the characteristics of TC track cannot be ignored. TCs that occurred father westward are more likely to move straight into the SCS region.
文摘According to the theory of the stochastic trajectory model of particle in the gas-solid two-phase flows, the two-phase turbulence model between the blades in the inner cavity of the FW-Φ150 horizontal turbo classifier was established, and the commonly-used PHOENICS code was adopted to carried out the numerical simulation. It was achieved the flow characteristics under a certain condition as well as the motion trace of particles with different diameters entering from certain initial location and passing through the flow field between the blades under the correspondent condition. This research method quite directly demonstrates the motion of particles. An experiment was executed to prove the accuracy of the results of numerical simulation.
基金supported by the Special Fund for Strategic Pilot Technology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDA05040300)
文摘The 10-year climatological features related to midlatitude double tropopause events （DTs） are examined using ERA- Interim data from 2003 to 2012. The analysis is based on tropopauses defined by lapse rate. Results show that DTs are permanent or semi-permanent in the midlatitudes, and high DT frequency bands move poleward in winter and equatorward in summer, which is consistent with the seasonal movement of the subtropical jet. Based on our statistics, the second tropopause is found at about 100 hPa in the subtropics and at slightly lower altitudes in sub-polar regions. The thickness between the first and second tropopause is smaller in the subtropics and increases with latitude. Next, the origin of air sandwiched between the first and second tropopause of DTs is studied with a revised version of the UK Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme Offline Trajectory Code （Version 3） diabatic trajectory model. The results show that, in the lower or middle troposphere, air is transported into the DTs from lower latitudes, mainly in the tropics. The dominant source regions are mainly areas of deep convection and steep orography, e.g., the western Pacific and Himalayan Mountains, and they show strong seasonality following the seasonal shift of these strong upwelling regions.
文摘A new mathematical model, fluctuation spectrum random trajectory model (FSRTM) for the particle motion in environmental fluid was developed using Lagrangian method, in which the time mean velocity of the fluid was calculated by a time mean velocity formula for two dimensional homogeneous shear turbulent flows in open channel, the velocity fluctuation of the fluid was determined by Fourier expansion and fluctuation spectrum, and the particle motion equation was solved using Ronge Kutta method. For comparison, the spherical cation exchange resins with a density of 1 44 g/cm\+3 and diameters ranging from 0 50—0 60 mm, 0 60—0 70 mm and 0 80—0 90 mm were selected as the experimental solid particles, and their moving velocities and trajectories in shear turbulent flows with the flow Reynolds number of 4710, 10240, 11900 and 20760 were investigated. The comparing analyses of the modeled results with the measured results have shown that the model developed in this paper can describe the motions of the particles in shear turbulent flow.
