In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicti...In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicting long-term roadway stability,necessitating the development of a reliable constitutive creep model and numerical simulation approach.In this study,creep experiments were conducted on pre-damaged rock with varying initial damage levels to investigate the time-dependent mechanical properties.Based on the experimental results,an accelerated-creep criterion was proposed,and an elastic-viscoplastic creep damage model(EVPCD)was established that simultaneously considers the effects of time-dependent damage and instantaneous damage caused by stress disturbances on rock creep behavior.Subsequently,the effectiveness of the proposed creep model was verified using experimental data,and the secondary development of the EVPCD model was completed based on the FLAC3D platform.Following this,a long-term stability analysis method of deep surrounding rock that accounts for excavation-and mining-induced disturbances was proposed.Using the main roadway of Xutuan Coal Mine as a case study,numerical simulations were carried out to investigate the time-dependent deformation and failure characteristics of the surrounding rock following excavation and mining disturbance.Combined with on-site monitoring of the surrounding rock damage areas,the results indicate that the EVPCD outperforms the CVISC and Nishihara models in predicting the time-dependent behavior of deep surrounding rock.展开更多
A new simple thixotropy model was proposed in the present paper to characterize the thixotropy-loop experiments and the start-up experiment of an LDPE （PE-FSB23D0221Q200） melt. The thixotropy model is a combination ...A new simple thixotropy model was proposed in the present paper to characterize the thixotropy-loop experiments and the start-up experiment of an LDPE （PE-FSB23D0221Q200） melt. The thixotropy model is a combination of a viscoelastic-component and a postulated kinetics process of structure change, which is constituted in terms of the indirect microstructural approach usually adopted in the characterization of thixotropy. The descriptions of the thixotropy model on both the thixotropy-loop tests and the startup test show good agreement with the experimental values, indicating the good capability of the model in characterizing the time-dependent nonlinear viscoelastic. The stress overshoot phenomenon and the stress relaxation after cessation of the thixotropy loop test can be described well by the model, whereas both of the typical viscoelastic phenomena could not be described in our previous work with a variant Huang model.展开更多
Catastrophic failure in engineering structures of island reefs would occur when the tertiary creep initiates in coral reef limestone with a transition from short-to long-term load.Due to the complexity of biological s...Catastrophic failure in engineering structures of island reefs would occur when the tertiary creep initiates in coral reef limestone with a transition from short-to long-term load.Due to the complexity of biological structures,the underlying micro-behaviors involving time-dependent deformation are poorly understood.For this,an abnormal phenomenon was observed where the axial and lateral creep deformations were mutually independent by a series of triaxial tests under constant stress and strain rate conditions.The significantly large lateral creep deformation implies that the creep process cannot be described in continuum mechanics regime.Herein,it is hypothesized that sliding mechanism of crystal cleavages dominates the lateral creep deformation in coral reef limestone.Then,approaches of polarizing microscope(PM)and scanning electronic microscope(SEM)are utilized to validate the hypothesis.It shows that the sliding behavior of crystal cleavages combats with conventional creep micro-mechanisms at certain condition.The former is sensitive to time and strain rate,and is merely activated in the creep regime.展开更多
Increasingly,attention is being directed towards time-dependent diffusion magnetic resonance imaging(TDDMRI),a method that reveals time-related changes in the diffusional behavior of water molecules in biological tiss...Increasingly,attention is being directed towards time-dependent diffusion magnetic resonance imaging(TDDMRI),a method that reveals time-related changes in the diffusional behavior of water molecules in biological tissues,thereby enabling us to probe related microstructure events.With ongoing improvements in hardware and advanced pulse sequences,significant progress has been made in applying TDDMRI to clinical research.The development of accurate mathematical models and computational methods has bolstered theoretical support for TDDMRI and elevated our understanding of molecular diffusion.In this review,we introduce the concept and basic physics of TDDMRI,and then focus on the measurement strategies and modeling approaches in short-and long-diffusion-time domains.Finally,we discuss the challenges in this field,including the requirement for efficient scanning and data processing technologies,the development of more precise models depicting time-dependent molecular diffusion,and critical clinical applications.展开更多
In practical engineering, many uncertain factors in loading or degradation of material properties may vary with time. Stochastic process modeling constitutes a suitable approach for describing these time-dependent unc...In practical engineering, many uncertain factors in loading or degradation of material properties may vary with time. Stochastic process modeling constitutes a suitable approach for describing these time-dependent uncertainties. By adopting this approach, however, the timedependent reliability calculation is a great challenge owing to the complexity and the huge computational burden. This paper presents a new instantaneous response surface method t-IRS for time-dependent reliability analysis. Different from the adaptive extreme response surface approach, the proposed method does not need to build and update surrogate models separately at each time node. It first uses the expansion optimal linear estimation method to discretize the stochastic processes into a set of independent standard normal variables together with some deterministic functions of time. Time is then treated as an independent one-dimensional variable. Next, initial samples are generated by Latin hypercube sampling, and the corresponding response values are calculated and utilized to construct an instantaneous response surrogate model of the Kriging type. The active learning method is applied to update the Kriging surrogate model until satisfactory accuracy is achieved. Finally, the instantaneous response surrogate model is used to compute the time-dependent reliability via Monte Carlo simulation. Four case studies are utilized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the ^-IRS method for time-dependent reliability analysis.展开更多
Generally, longwall mining-induced stress results from the stress relaxation due to destressed zone that occurs above the mined panel. Knowledge of induced stress is very important for accurate design of adjacent gate...Generally, longwall mining-induced stress results from the stress relaxation due to destressed zone that occurs above the mined panel. Knowledge of induced stress is very important for accurate design of adjacent gateroads and intervening pillars which helps to raise the safety and productivity of longwall mining operations. This study presents a novel time-dependent analytical model for determination of the longwall mining-induced stress and investigates the coefficient of stress concentration over adjacent gates and pillars. The model is developed based on the strain energy balance in longwall mining incorporated to a rheological constitutive model of caved materials with time-varying parameters. The study site is the Tabas coal mine of Iran. In the proposed model, height of destressed zone above the mined panel, total longwall mining-induced stress, abutment angle, induced vertical stress, and coefficient of stress concentration over neighboring gates and intervening pillars are calculated. To evaluate the effect of proposed model parameters on the coefficient of stress concentration due to longwall mining, sensitivity analysis is performed based on the field data and experimental constants. Also, the results of the proposed model are compared with those of existing models. The comparative results confirm a good agreement between the proposed model and the in situ measurements. According to the obtained results, it is concluded that the proposed model can be successfully used to calculate the longwall mining-induced stress. Therefore, the optimum design of gate supports and pillar dimensions would be attainable which helps to increase the mining efficiency.展开更多
Beipanjiang Bridge is a long-span concrete arch bridges with stiffened skeleton(CABSS)in China.It has a fixed end arch with the span of 445 m and the rise of 100 m.To evaluate the rationality of the construction seque...Beipanjiang Bridge is a long-span concrete arch bridges with stiffened skeleton(CABSS)in China.It has a fixed end arch with the span of 445 m and the rise of 100 m.To evaluate the rationality of the construction sequence and the time-dependent behavior of CABSS,an experimental study of a model bridge was explored.But the measured displacement and stress ratios of arch rib between prototype and model bridge did not subject to linear similarity relation when the time-dependent behavior was considered.So,the three-dimensional finite element models were established,and verified by the measured data.Then,the displacements and stresses of the prototype and model were compared with each other,when the elastic analysis or coupling of temperature and shrinkage,creep effect was considered.Furthermore,a parametric study was studied.The results showed that when the temperature,shrinkage and creep effect of concrete are considered,the finite element analysis results of prototype and model agree well with the measured results.The displacement and stress ratios of prototype and model bridge in construction and bridge completed stage do not present the geometric similarity ratio 7.5 and 1.0,respectively.They are also much influenced by concrete predicting model and variation of temperature.展开更多
To investigate the long-term stability of deep rocks,a three-dimensional(3D)time-dependent model that accounts for excavation-induced damage and complex stress state is developed.This model comprises three main compon...To investigate the long-term stability of deep rocks,a three-dimensional(3D)time-dependent model that accounts for excavation-induced damage and complex stress state is developed.This model comprises three main components:a 3D viscoplastic isotropic constitutive relation that considers excavation damage and complex stress state,a quantitative relationship between critical irreversible deformation and complex stress state,and evolution characteristics of strength parameters.The proposed model is implemented in a self-developed numerical code,i.e.CASRock.The reliability of the model is validated through experiments.It is indicated that the time-dependent fracturing potential index(xTFPI)at a given time during the attenuation creep stage shows a negative correlation with the extent of excavationinduced damage.The time-dependent fracturing process of rock demonstrates a distinct interval effect of the intermediate principal stress,thereby highlighting the 3D stress-dependent characteristic of the model.Finally,the influence of excavation-induced damage and intermediate principal stress on the time-dependent fracturing characteristics of the surrounding rocks around the tunnel is discussed.展开更多
The Zagros Basin in southwestern Iran is a significant source of coal,with numerous coal mines operating in the region.Ensuring the stability of coal mines is crucial for safe and efficient mining operations.This stud...The Zagros Basin in southwestern Iran is a significant source of coal,with numerous coal mines operating in the region.Ensuring the stability of coal mines is crucial for safe and efficient mining operations.This study investigates the time-varying response of rocks and roof resistance in coal mines in the Zagros Mountains using a novel approach that combines numerical simulation,relaxation testing,and rock displacement studies.The results show that rocks exhibit significant time-dependent behavior,with changes in rock mechanical properties over time.A comprehensive viscoelastic-plastic model is devel-oped to accurately describe the time-varying strain-softening response of rocks and simulate laboratory tests.The model integrates the Burgers and strain-softening models,simulating stress relaxation curves and rock displacement over time.The study reveals that the rock mass displays significant nonlinear behavior,with changes in rock mechanical properties over time.The findings of this study highlight the importance of considering the time-varying response of rocks and roof resistance in coal mine stability analysis.The results provide valuable insights into the time-dependent behavior of rock mass in coal mines in Iran,which can inform mining practices and mitigate potential hazards.Results in this study can contribute to developing strategies for improving roof stability and reducing the likelihood of roof collapses.展开更多
Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers(PEMWE)are efficient and sustainable hydrogen production devices.This article analyzes their static and dynamic electrical models integrated with degradation mechanisms.Stat...Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers(PEMWE)are efficient and sustainable hydrogen production devices.This article analyzes their static and dynamic electrical models integrated with degradation mechanisms.Static models reveal steady-state behavior,while dynamic models capture transient responses to input variations.The developed modeling approach combines the activation and diffusion phenomena,resulting in a novel PEMWE model that closely reflects real-world conditions and enables fast simulations.The electrical model is integrated with the aging model through two key ratios,surface degradation ratio and membrane degradation ratio,which characterize degradation mechanisms affecting electrode and membrane performance.The linear model using second-order Taylor approximation enables the development of a diagnosis approach that can contribute to estimating the remaining useful life of PEMWEs.By associating aging models with electrical models through the proposed ratios,a deeper understanding is achieved regarding how degra-dation phenomena evolve and influence electrolyzer efficiency and durability.The integrated framework enables predictive maintenance strategies,making it valuable for industrial hydrogen production applications.展开更多
Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with th...Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with their physical properties,external conditions,and degradation.Meanwhile,due to the limitation of testing resources,epistemic uncertainties stemming from the small samples are present in TPS reliability modeling.However,current TPS reliability modeling methods face challenges in characterizing the relationships among reliability and physical properties,external conditions,degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.Therefore,under the framework of belief reliability theory,a TPS reliability model is constructed,which takes into account the physical principle,external conditions,performance degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.A reliability simulation algorithm is proposed to calculate TPS reliability.Through a case study and comparison analysis,the proposed method is validated as more effective than the existing method.Additionally,reliability sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify the sensitive factors of reliability under the condition of small samples,through which suggestions are provided for TPS functional design and improvement.展开更多
Engineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives,and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads.S...Engineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives,and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads.Structural reliability and resilience assessment is a powerful tool for quantifying the structural ability to withstand these environmental or operational attacks.This paper proposes new formulas for structural time-dependent reliability and resilience analyses in the presence of multiple hazards,which are functions of the duration of the reference period of interest.The joint impacts of nonstationarities in multiple hazards due to a changing environment,as well as the deterioration of structural performance,are explicitly incorporated.The correlation between the structural resistances/capacities associated with different hazard types is modeled by employing a copula function.It is observed that,under the context of multiple hazards and aging effects,the time-dependent resilience takes a generalized form of time-dependent reliability.The proposed formulas can be used to guide the adaptive design of structures,where adaptive strategies are identified across a range of possible future service conditions.An example is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method for structural reliability and resilience analyses.展开更多
The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often sim...The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often simplify reliability considerations or fail to holistically integrate them with economic and technical constraints.This paper introduces a novel,two-stage optimization framework for offshore wind farm(OWF)ECS planning that systematically incorporates reliability.The first stage employs Mixed-Integer Linear Programming(MILP)to determine an optimal radial network topology,considering linearized reliability approximations and geographical constraints.The second stage enhances this design by strategically placing tie-lines using a Mixed-Integer Quadratically Constrained Program(MIQCP).This stage leverages a dynamic-aware adaptation of Multi-Source Multi-Terminal Network Reliability(MSMT-NR)assessment,with its inherent nonlinear equations successfully transformed into a solvable MIQCP form for loopy networks.A benchmark case study demonstrates the framework’s efficacy,illustrating how increasing the emphasis on reliability leads to more distributed and interconnected network topologies,effectively balancing investment costs against enhanced system resilience.展开更多
In order to improve efficiency of coal seam gas drainage, many fracturing techniques, such as waterjet fracturing, hydraulic fracturing and explosive fracturing, etc, have been developed and widely used in China coal ...In order to improve efficiency of coal seam gas drainage, many fracturing techniques, such as waterjet fracturing, hydraulic fracturing and explosive fracturing, etc, have been developed and widely used in China coal mining industry. How- ever, during the engineering applications, it is observed that the efficiency of gas drainage initially improves, but reduces there- after. Thus, it is speculated that the contrasts in coalbed methane drainage efficiency may reflect variation of the closure be- havior of the artificial fracture created. Based on comprehensive gas drainage monitoring data in underground coal mines, the work presented herein uses numerical simulation to show the behavior of the time-dependent closure of coal seam fractures as- sociated with various levels of waterjet fracturing parameters and geomechanical conditions.展开更多
A thermodynamic theory is formulated to describe the phase transition and critical phenomena in pedestrian flow. Based on the extended lattice hydrodynamic pedestrian model taking the interaction of the next-nearest-n...A thermodynamic theory is formulated to describe the phase transition and critical phenomena in pedestrian flow. Based on the extended lattice hydrodynamic pedestrian model taking the interaction of the next-nearest-neighbor persons into account, the time-dependent Ginzburg-Landau （TDGL） equation is derived to describe the pedestrian flow near the critical point through the nonlinear analysis method. The corresponding two solutions, the uniform and the kink solutions, are given. The coexisting curve, spinodal line, and critical point are obtained by the first and second derivatives of the thermodynamic potential.展开更多
Given a sample of regression data from (Y, Z), a new diagnostic plotting method is proposed for checking the hypothesis H0: the data are from a given Cox model with the time-dependent covariates Z. It compares two est...Given a sample of regression data from (Y, Z), a new diagnostic plotting method is proposed for checking the hypothesis H0: the data are from a given Cox model with the time-dependent covariates Z. It compares two estimates of the marginal distribution FY of Y. One is an estimate of the modified expression of FY under H0, based on a consistent estimate of the parameter under H0, and based on the baseline distribution of the data. The other is the Kaplan-Meier-estimator of FY, together with its confidence band. The new plot, called the marginal distribution plot, can be viewed as a test for testing H0. The main advantage of the test over the existing residual tests is in the case that the data do not satisfy any Cox model or the Cox model is mis-specified. Then the new test is still valid, but not the residual tests and the residual tests often make type II error with a very large probability.展开更多
The strategy on repair and strengthening of existing bridges based on time-dependent reliability was analyzed with the maximum expected benefit as the objective function. A sample of risk-ranking decision was illustra...The strategy on repair and strengthening of existing bridges based on time-dependent reliability was analyzed with the maximum expected benefit as the objective function. A sample of risk-ranking decision was illustrated based on updated inspection information with 35 survival age. The effect of improvement of live loads and difference of repair methods on time-dependent reliability of existing bridges are considered. The results show that the decision method can be used in real project, with the cost of failure consequence and the risk of failure considered.展开更多
In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lif...In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lifetime, and the failure rate function of degradation data which is assumed to be proportional to the time covariate, the reliability assessment based on a proportional hazard degradation model is realized. The least squares method is used to estimate the model＇s parameters. Based on the failure rate of the degradation data and the proportion function of the known time, the failure rate and the reliability function under the given time and the predetermined failure threshold can be extrapolated. A long life GaAs laser is selected as a case study and its reliability is evaluated. The results show that the proposed method can accurately describe the degradation process and it is effective for the reliability assessment of long lifetime products.展开更多
Aim To define a mixed redundant model(MRM), improving the reliability of C 3I system. Methods The model combined the technology characters of two? unit system with one warm stand by unit and function substitute s...Aim To define a mixed redundant model(MRM), improving the reliability of C 3I system. Methods The model combined the technology characters of two? unit system with one warm stand by unit and function substitute system. The reliability and availability equations of MRM were deduced. Results and Conclusion Compared with several other reliability models, it has obvious effect upon improving the system reliability. The effect? cost rate is very high among these models. The model can be used in reliability design, evaluation and check of C 3I system. Only a little attached cost is needed to improve C 3I system reliability effectively.展开更多
Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synt...Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synthesis) on the systems consisting of different success failure model units. According to the fundamental method of the unit reliability assessment, the general models of system reliability approximate lower limits are given. Finally, this paper analyses the application of the assessment method by examples, the assessment results are neither conservative nor radical and very satisfactory. The assessment method can be popularized to the systems which have fixed reliability structural models.展开更多
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52004098,U24B2041,and 52274079)the Key Research and Development Program of Henan Province(No.251111320400)+1 种基金the Key Research Project Plan for Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province(Nos.24A570006 and 25A570002)the Scientific and Technological Research Project in Henan Province(No.242102320061).
文摘In deep coal mining,surrounding rock is subjected to both high in-situ stress and intense mining disturbances,leading to significant time-dependent behavior.Accurately capturing this behavior is essential for predicting long-term roadway stability,necessitating the development of a reliable constitutive creep model and numerical simulation approach.In this study,creep experiments were conducted on pre-damaged rock with varying initial damage levels to investigate the time-dependent mechanical properties.Based on the experimental results,an accelerated-creep criterion was proposed,and an elastic-viscoplastic creep damage model(EVPCD)was established that simultaneously considers the effects of time-dependent damage and instantaneous damage caused by stress disturbances on rock creep behavior.Subsequently,the effectiveness of the proposed creep model was verified using experimental data,and the secondary development of the EVPCD model was completed based on the FLAC3D platform.Following this,a long-term stability analysis method of deep surrounding rock that accounts for excavation-and mining-induced disturbances was proposed.Using the main roadway of Xutuan Coal Mine as a case study,numerical simulations were carried out to investigate the time-dependent deformation and failure characteristics of the surrounding rock following excavation and mining disturbance.Combined with on-site monitoring of the surrounding rock damage areas,the results indicate that the EVPCD outperforms the CVISC and Nishihara models in predicting the time-dependent behavior of deep surrounding rock.
基金The project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(10402024)the Experiment Foundation for Precise Instrument of Shanghai Jiao Tong University(200207)
文摘A new simple thixotropy model was proposed in the present paper to characterize the thixotropy-loop experiments and the start-up experiment of an LDPE （PE-FSB23D0221Q200） melt. The thixotropy model is a combination of a viscoelastic-component and a postulated kinetics process of structure change, which is constituted in terms of the indirect microstructural approach usually adopted in the characterization of thixotropy. The descriptions of the thixotropy model on both the thixotropy-loop tests and the startup test show good agreement with the experimental values, indicating the good capability of the model in characterizing the time-dependent nonlinear viscoelastic. The stress overshoot phenomenon and the stress relaxation after cessation of the thixotropy loop test can be described well by the model, whereas both of the typical viscoelastic phenomena could not be described in our previous work with a variant Huang model.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41877267,41877260)the Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Science(Grant No.XDA13010201).
文摘Catastrophic failure in engineering structures of island reefs would occur when the tertiary creep initiates in coral reef limestone with a transition from short-to long-term load.Due to the complexity of biological structures,the underlying micro-behaviors involving time-dependent deformation are poorly understood.For this,an abnormal phenomenon was observed where the axial and lateral creep deformations were mutually independent by a series of triaxial tests under constant stress and strain rate conditions.The significantly large lateral creep deformation implies that the creep process cannot be described in continuum mechanics regime.Herein,it is hypothesized that sliding mechanism of crystal cleavages dominates the lateral creep deformation in coral reef limestone.Then,approaches of polarizing microscope(PM)and scanning electronic microscope(SEM)are utilized to validate the hypothesis.It shows that the sliding behavior of crystal cleavages combats with conventional creep micro-mechanisms at certain condition.The former is sensitive to time and strain rate,and is merely activated in the creep regime.
基金supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China(No.2021ZD0200202)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.82122032)the Science and Technology Department of Zhejiang Province(Nos.202006140 and 2022C03057).
文摘Increasingly,attention is being directed towards time-dependent diffusion magnetic resonance imaging(TDDMRI),a method that reveals time-related changes in the diffusional behavior of water molecules in biological tissues,thereby enabling us to probe related microstructure events.With ongoing improvements in hardware and advanced pulse sequences,significant progress has been made in applying TDDMRI to clinical research.The development of accurate mathematical models and computational methods has bolstered theoretical support for TDDMRI and elevated our understanding of molecular diffusion.In this review,we introduce the concept and basic physics of TDDMRI,and then focus on the measurement strategies and modeling approaches in short-and long-diffusion-time domains.Finally,we discuss the challenges in this field,including the requirement for efficient scanning and data processing technologies,the development of more precise models depicting time-dependent molecular diffusion,and critical clinical applications.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.11572134 and 11832013).
文摘In practical engineering, many uncertain factors in loading or degradation of material properties may vary with time. Stochastic process modeling constitutes a suitable approach for describing these time-dependent uncertainties. By adopting this approach, however, the timedependent reliability calculation is a great challenge owing to the complexity and the huge computational burden. This paper presents a new instantaneous response surface method t-IRS for time-dependent reliability analysis. Different from the adaptive extreme response surface approach, the proposed method does not need to build and update surrogate models separately at each time node. It first uses the expansion optimal linear estimation method to discretize the stochastic processes into a set of independent standard normal variables together with some deterministic functions of time. Time is then treated as an independent one-dimensional variable. Next, initial samples are generated by Latin hypercube sampling, and the corresponding response values are calculated and utilized to construct an instantaneous response surrogate model of the Kriging type. The active learning method is applied to update the Kriging surrogate model until satisfactory accuracy is achieved. Finally, the instantaneous response surrogate model is used to compute the time-dependent reliability via Monte Carlo simulation. Four case studies are utilized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the ^-IRS method for time-dependent reliability analysis.
文摘Generally, longwall mining-induced stress results from the stress relaxation due to destressed zone that occurs above the mined panel. Knowledge of induced stress is very important for accurate design of adjacent gateroads and intervening pillars which helps to raise the safety and productivity of longwall mining operations. This study presents a novel time-dependent analytical model for determination of the longwall mining-induced stress and investigates the coefficient of stress concentration over adjacent gates and pillars. The model is developed based on the strain energy balance in longwall mining incorporated to a rheological constitutive model of caved materials with time-varying parameters. The study site is the Tabas coal mine of Iran. In the proposed model, height of destressed zone above the mined panel, total longwall mining-induced stress, abutment angle, induced vertical stress, and coefficient of stress concentration over neighboring gates and intervening pillars are calculated. To evaluate the effect of proposed model parameters on the coefficient of stress concentration due to longwall mining, sensitivity analysis is performed based on the field data and experimental constants. Also, the results of the proposed model are compared with those of existing models. The comparative results confirm a good agreement between the proposed model and the in situ measurements. According to the obtained results, it is concluded that the proposed model can be successfully used to calculate the longwall mining-induced stress. Therefore, the optimum design of gate supports and pillar dimensions would be attainable which helps to increase the mining efficiency.
基金Projects(20-JKKJ-17,18-JKKJ-05)supported by the Shanxi Communications Holding Group Co.,Ltd.,ChinaProject(41907239)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China+1 种基金Project(2020M670698)supported by the China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(2019L0295)supported by the Scientific and Technological Innovation Programs of Higher Education Institutions in Shanxi,China。
文摘Beipanjiang Bridge is a long-span concrete arch bridges with stiffened skeleton(CABSS)in China.It has a fixed end arch with the span of 445 m and the rise of 100 m.To evaluate the rationality of the construction sequence and the time-dependent behavior of CABSS,an experimental study of a model bridge was explored.But the measured displacement and stress ratios of arch rib between prototype and model bridge did not subject to linear similarity relation when the time-dependent behavior was considered.So,the three-dimensional finite element models were established,and verified by the measured data.Then,the displacements and stresses of the prototype and model were compared with each other,when the elastic analysis or coupling of temperature and shrinkage,creep effect was considered.Furthermore,a parametric study was studied.The results showed that when the temperature,shrinkage and creep effect of concrete are considered,the finite element analysis results of prototype and model agree well with the measured results.The displacement and stress ratios of prototype and model bridge in construction and bridge completed stage do not present the geometric similarity ratio 7.5 and 1.0,respectively.They are also much influenced by concrete predicting model and variation of temperature.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52125903)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2023M730367)the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Public Welfare Research Institutes of China(Grant No.CKSF2023323/YT).
文摘To investigate the long-term stability of deep rocks,a three-dimensional(3D)time-dependent model that accounts for excavation-induced damage and complex stress state is developed.This model comprises three main components:a 3D viscoplastic isotropic constitutive relation that considers excavation damage and complex stress state,a quantitative relationship between critical irreversible deformation and complex stress state,and evolution characteristics of strength parameters.The proposed model is implemented in a self-developed numerical code,i.e.CASRock.The reliability of the model is validated through experiments.It is indicated that the time-dependent fracturing potential index(xTFPI)at a given time during the attenuation creep stage shows a negative correlation with the extent of excavationinduced damage.The time-dependent fracturing process of rock demonstrates a distinct interval effect of the intermediate principal stress,thereby highlighting the 3D stress-dependent characteristic of the model.Finally,the influence of excavation-induced damage and intermediate principal stress on the time-dependent fracturing characteristics of the surrounding rocks around the tunnel is discussed.
文摘The Zagros Basin in southwestern Iran is a significant source of coal,with numerous coal mines operating in the region.Ensuring the stability of coal mines is crucial for safe and efficient mining operations.This study investigates the time-varying response of rocks and roof resistance in coal mines in the Zagros Mountains using a novel approach that combines numerical simulation,relaxation testing,and rock displacement studies.The results show that rocks exhibit significant time-dependent behavior,with changes in rock mechanical properties over time.A comprehensive viscoelastic-plastic model is devel-oped to accurately describe the time-varying strain-softening response of rocks and simulate laboratory tests.The model integrates the Burgers and strain-softening models,simulating stress relaxation curves and rock displacement over time.The study reveals that the rock mass displays significant nonlinear behavior,with changes in rock mechanical properties over time.The findings of this study highlight the importance of considering the time-varying response of rocks and roof resistance in coal mine stability analysis.The results provide valuable insights into the time-dependent behavior of rock mass in coal mines in Iran,which can inform mining practices and mitigate potential hazards.Results in this study can contribute to developing strategies for improving roof stability and reducing the likelihood of roof collapses.
文摘Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers(PEMWE)are efficient and sustainable hydrogen production devices.This article analyzes their static and dynamic electrical models integrated with degradation mechanisms.Static models reveal steady-state behavior,while dynamic models capture transient responses to input variations.The developed modeling approach combines the activation and diffusion phenomena,resulting in a novel PEMWE model that closely reflects real-world conditions and enables fast simulations.The electrical model is integrated with the aging model through two key ratios,surface degradation ratio and membrane degradation ratio,which characterize degradation mechanisms affecting electrode and membrane performance.The linear model using second-order Taylor approximation enables the development of a diagnosis approach that can contribute to estimating the remaining useful life of PEMWEs.By associating aging models with electrical models through the proposed ratios,a deeper understanding is achieved regarding how degra-dation phenomena evolve and influence electrolyzer efficiency and durability.The integrated framework enables predictive maintenance strategies,making it valuable for industrial hydrogen production applications.
基金supported by the steady supports scientific research of Key Laboratory of Defense Science and Technology,China(No.WDZC20220105)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51775020,62073009,U20B2002)the Science Challenge Project,China(No.TZ2018007)。
文摘Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with their physical properties,external conditions,and degradation.Meanwhile,due to the limitation of testing resources,epistemic uncertainties stemming from the small samples are present in TPS reliability modeling.However,current TPS reliability modeling methods face challenges in characterizing the relationships among reliability and physical properties,external conditions,degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.Therefore,under the framework of belief reliability theory,a TPS reliability model is constructed,which takes into account the physical principle,external conditions,performance degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.A reliability simulation algorithm is proposed to calculate TPS reliability.Through a case study and comparison analysis,the proposed method is validated as more effective than the existing method.Additionally,reliability sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify the sensitive factors of reliability under the condition of small samples,through which suggestions are provided for TPS functional design and improvement.
基金supported by the Vice-Chancellor’s Postdoctoral Research Fellowship from the University of Wollongong.
文摘Engineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives,and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads.Structural reliability and resilience assessment is a powerful tool for quantifying the structural ability to withstand these environmental or operational attacks.This paper proposes new formulas for structural time-dependent reliability and resilience analyses in the presence of multiple hazards,which are functions of the duration of the reference period of interest.The joint impacts of nonstationarities in multiple hazards due to a changing environment,as well as the deterioration of structural performance,are explicitly incorporated.The correlation between the structural resistances/capacities associated with different hazard types is modeled by employing a copula function.It is observed that,under the context of multiple hazards and aging effects,the time-dependent resilience takes a generalized form of time-dependent reliability.The proposed formulas can be used to guide the adaptive design of structures,where adaptive strategies are identified across a range of possible future service conditions.An example is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method for structural reliability and resilience analyses.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of China South Power Grid Co.,Ltd.,Grant Nos.036000KK52222044,GDKJXM20222430。
文摘The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often simplify reliability considerations or fail to holistically integrate them with economic and technical constraints.This paper introduces a novel,two-stage optimization framework for offshore wind farm(OWF)ECS planning that systematically incorporates reliability.The first stage employs Mixed-Integer Linear Programming(MILP)to determine an optimal radial network topology,considering linearized reliability approximations and geographical constraints.The second stage enhances this design by strategically placing tie-lines using a Mixed-Integer Quadratically Constrained Program(MIQCP).This stage leverages a dynamic-aware adaptation of Multi-Source Multi-Terminal Network Reliability(MSMT-NR)assessment,with its inherent nonlinear equations successfully transformed into a solvable MIQCP form for loopy networks.A benchmark case study demonstrates the framework’s efficacy,illustrating how increasing the emphasis on reliability leads to more distributed and interconnected network topologies,effectively balancing investment costs against enhanced system resilience.
文摘In order to improve efficiency of coal seam gas drainage, many fracturing techniques, such as waterjet fracturing, hydraulic fracturing and explosive fracturing, etc, have been developed and widely used in China coal mining industry. How- ever, during the engineering applications, it is observed that the efficiency of gas drainage initially improves, but reduces there- after. Thus, it is speculated that the contrasts in coalbed methane drainage efficiency may reflect variation of the closure be- havior of the artificial fracture created. Based on comprehensive gas drainage monitoring data in underground coal mines, the work presented herein uses numerical simulation to show the behavior of the time-dependent closure of coal seam fractures as- sociated with various levels of waterjet fracturing parameters and geomechanical conditions.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11072117 and 61074142)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province,China(Grant No.Y6110007)+3 种基金the Scientific Research Fund of Zhejiang Provincial Education Department,China(Grant No.Z201119278)the Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo,China(Grant Nos.2012A610152 and 2012A610038)the K.C.Wong Magna Fund in Ningbo University,Chinathe Research Grant Council,Government of the Hong Kong Administrative Region,China(Grant Nos.CityU9041370 and CityU9041499)
文摘A thermodynamic theory is formulated to describe the phase transition and critical phenomena in pedestrian flow. Based on the extended lattice hydrodynamic pedestrian model taking the interaction of the next-nearest-neighbor persons into account, the time-dependent Ginzburg-Landau （TDGL） equation is derived to describe the pedestrian flow near the critical point through the nonlinear analysis method. The corresponding two solutions, the uniform and the kink solutions, are given. The coexisting curve, spinodal line, and critical point are obtained by the first and second derivatives of the thermodynamic potential.
文摘Given a sample of regression data from (Y, Z), a new diagnostic plotting method is proposed for checking the hypothesis H0: the data are from a given Cox model with the time-dependent covariates Z. It compares two estimates of the marginal distribution FY of Y. One is an estimate of the modified expression of FY under H0, based on a consistent estimate of the parameter under H0, and based on the baseline distribution of the data. The other is the Kaplan-Meier-estimator of FY, together with its confidence band. The new plot, called the marginal distribution plot, can be viewed as a test for testing H0. The main advantage of the test over the existing residual tests is in the case that the data do not satisfy any Cox model or the Cox model is mis-specified. Then the new test is still valid, but not the residual tests and the residual tests often make type II error with a very large probability.
基金TheLiaoningProviceCommunicationDe partmentKeyScienceFoundation (No .0 10 1)
文摘The strategy on repair and strengthening of existing bridges based on time-dependent reliability was analyzed with the maximum expected benefit as the objective function. A sample of risk-ranking decision was illustrated based on updated inspection information with 35 survival age. The effect of improvement of live loads and difference of repair methods on time-dependent reliability of existing bridges are considered. The results show that the decision method can be used in real project, with the cost of failure consequence and the risk of failure considered.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50405021)
文摘In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lifetime, and the failure rate function of degradation data which is assumed to be proportional to the time covariate, the reliability assessment based on a proportional hazard degradation model is realized. The least squares method is used to estimate the model＇s parameters. Based on the failure rate of the degradation data and the proportion function of the known time, the failure rate and the reliability function under the given time and the predetermined failure threshold can be extrapolated. A long life GaAs laser is selected as a case study and its reliability is evaluated. The results show that the proposed method can accurately describe the degradation process and it is effective for the reliability assessment of long lifetime products.
文摘Aim To define a mixed redundant model(MRM), improving the reliability of C 3I system. Methods The model combined the technology characters of two? unit system with one warm stand by unit and function substitute system. The reliability and availability equations of MRM were deduced. Results and Conclusion Compared with several other reliability models, it has obvious effect upon improving the system reliability. The effect? cost rate is very high among these models. The model can be used in reliability design, evaluation and check of C 3I system. Only a little attached cost is needed to improve C 3I system reliability effectively.
文摘Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synthesis) on the systems consisting of different success failure model units. According to the fundamental method of the unit reliability assessment, the general models of system reliability approximate lower limits are given. Finally, this paper analyses the application of the assessment method by examples, the assessment results are neither conservative nor radical and very satisfactory. The assessment method can be popularized to the systems which have fixed reliability structural models.
