A hybrid intelligent approach is proposed to help the decision maker to select the appropriate third-party reverse logistics provider. The following process is included: firstly,the evaluation team is established to d...A hybrid intelligent approach is proposed to help the decision maker to select the appropriate third-party reverse logistics provider. The following process is included: firstly,the evaluation team is established to determine the selection criteria and evaluate them by triangular fuzzy numbers; secondly,calculate the weight of criteria by the proposed hybrid algorithm integrating particle swarm optimization( PSO) and simulated annealing( SA); then, the performance evaluation for each supplier is predicted by the proposed self-feedback neural network( SFBNN) based on the historical data. A numerical example is also presented to interpret the methodology above.展开更多
Facing the opportunities and challenges of China’s en try into WTO, logistics enterprises take BPR as an important way to improve the core competence.But modern logistics is a systematic engineering and its require m...Facing the opportunities and challenges of China’s en try into WTO, logistics enterprises take BPR as an important way to improve the core competence.But modern logistics is a systematic engineering and its require ments are the standardization and normalization for enhancing the Chinese enterp rises’ level of logistic activities.This paper reveal the importance of manageme nt technique,information technique and business model in enterprise’s BPR throug h the positive analysis for business process of the third party logistics as a new system after reengineering businees process. Reorganization of marketing target. The characters of business procedure after N ew Sunshine recomposed include: "the last mile " service systems of logistics; s etting up HUB to control many end-points in big and middle cities, setting up s ingle-points in small cities, the small parts acting delivering system which st yle of "assembly and allot" are made of in. Reorganization of business model. The New Sunshine reorganized has three aspects of business model which set up: HUB, end-point and single-point. Reorganization of business process.The mainly business process of restructure Ne w Sunshine include : standard quote declaring prices to all attendants; on line, timely and exactly declaring prices; The net contract of B2C work on line; Tran smit to attendant; Logistice operating; feedback the working information; User t rack goods condition; Settling information; paying and so on, the different busi ness can separate into kinds of right corresponding to the business process, suc h as the picture of distributing parcel, ordering, moving, picking, transporting , delivering, information, inquiring and settling. Set up standard systems. Aims to execute standard management is to make distribu te and logistics for norm and standard, according to the resources share tog ether with the progresses especially and base on reducing the necessary expenses to reduce the living expenses, while low cost and effectively to ensure the goo d service for satisfy the present and potential needs of the customers.展开更多
The key of the effective operation for the fourth party logistics is to integrate logistics resources with supply chain management concept and technology. According to the essence of the fourth party logistics resourc...The key of the effective operation for the fourth party logistics is to integrate logistics resources with supply chain management concept and technology. According to the essence of the fourth party logistics resources integration, understand the characteristics of complexi .ty, the virtual and dynamic and so on, the paper analyzed the three kinds of Agent attribute for fourth party logistics resources integration system using the Agent technology and the principle, and then puts forward the fourth party logistics resources integration model of based on multi Agent.展开更多
According to the operational characteristics of the logistics networks for the third party logistics supplier （3PLS）, the forward and reverse logistics networks together for 3PLS under the uncertain environment are ...According to the operational characteristics of the logistics networks for the third party logistics supplier （3PLS）, the forward and reverse logistics networks together for 3PLS under the uncertain environment are designed. First, a fuzzy model is proposed by taking multiple customers, multiple commodities, capacitated facility location and integrated logistics facility layout into account. In the model, the fuzzy customer demands and transportation rates are illustrated by triangular fuzzy numbers. Secondly, the fuzzy model is converted into a crisp model by applying fuzzy chance constrained theory and possibility theory, and one hybrid genetic algorithm is designed for the crisp model. Finally, two different examples are designed to illustrate that the model and solution discussed are valid.展开更多
目的:比较决策树和Logistic回归模型对体外受精-胚胎移植(in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer,IVF-ET)患者妊娠结局的预测价值。方法:纳入2021年1月至2022年10月在长治医学院附属和平医院接受IVF-ET的患者350例为研究对象,根...目的:比较决策树和Logistic回归模型对体外受精-胚胎移植(in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer,IVF-ET)患者妊娠结局的预测价值。方法:纳入2021年1月至2022年10月在长治医学院附属和平医院接受IVF-ET的患者350例为研究对象,根据妊娠结局分为妊娠成功组(215例)和妊娠失败组(135例)。收集患者临床资料,建立IVF-ET患者妊娠结局Logistic回归和决策树预测模型,并在是否基于Logistic回归结果条件下建立决策树分析模型(决策树1和决策树2),采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线对模型预测效果进行评价。结果:350例患者中,妊娠成功患者占61.43%,妊娠失败者占38.57%。妊娠失败组年龄≥35岁、不孕年限≥5年、周期次数≥1次、有心理精神障碍的患者比例及HCG日血清孕酮水平均高于妊娠成功组,获卵数≥10枚、受精率≥75%的患者比例及HCG日子宫内膜厚度、优质胚胎数小于妊娠成功组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数及心理精神障碍均是IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素(P<0.05)。决策树模型显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数为IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素。Logistic回归模型曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.832,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为87.3%、71.4%、83.5%;决策树1的AUC为0.859,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为85.1%、76.8%、85.6%;决策树2的AUC为0.820,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为83.7%、73.2%、82.4%。决策树1的AUC大于决策树2(P<0.05),但与Logistic回归模型的AUC比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论:Logistic回归模型和决策树模型对于IVF-ET患者妊娠结局均有一定的预测价值。展开更多
基金Project of the Shanghai Committee of Science and Technology,China(No.12DZ1510000)
文摘A hybrid intelligent approach is proposed to help the decision maker to select the appropriate third-party reverse logistics provider. The following process is included: firstly,the evaluation team is established to determine the selection criteria and evaluate them by triangular fuzzy numbers; secondly,calculate the weight of criteria by the proposed hybrid algorithm integrating particle swarm optimization( PSO) and simulated annealing( SA); then, the performance evaluation for each supplier is predicted by the proposed self-feedback neural network( SFBNN) based on the historical data. A numerical example is also presented to interpret the methodology above.
文摘Facing the opportunities and challenges of China’s en try into WTO, logistics enterprises take BPR as an important way to improve the core competence.But modern logistics is a systematic engineering and its require ments are the standardization and normalization for enhancing the Chinese enterp rises’ level of logistic activities.This paper reveal the importance of manageme nt technique,information technique and business model in enterprise’s BPR throug h the positive analysis for business process of the third party logistics as a new system after reengineering businees process. Reorganization of marketing target. The characters of business procedure after N ew Sunshine recomposed include: "the last mile " service systems of logistics; s etting up HUB to control many end-points in big and middle cities, setting up s ingle-points in small cities, the small parts acting delivering system which st yle of "assembly and allot" are made of in. Reorganization of business model. The New Sunshine reorganized has three aspects of business model which set up: HUB, end-point and single-point. Reorganization of business process.The mainly business process of restructure Ne w Sunshine include : standard quote declaring prices to all attendants; on line, timely and exactly declaring prices; The net contract of B2C work on line; Tran smit to attendant; Logistice operating; feedback the working information; User t rack goods condition; Settling information; paying and so on, the different busi ness can separate into kinds of right corresponding to the business process, suc h as the picture of distributing parcel, ordering, moving, picking, transporting , delivering, information, inquiring and settling. Set up standard systems. Aims to execute standard management is to make distribu te and logistics for norm and standard, according to the resources share tog ether with the progresses especially and base on reducing the necessary expenses to reduce the living expenses, while low cost and effectively to ensure the goo d service for satisfy the present and potential needs of the customers.
文摘The key of the effective operation for the fourth party logistics is to integrate logistics resources with supply chain management concept and technology. According to the essence of the fourth party logistics resources integration, understand the characteristics of complexi .ty, the virtual and dynamic and so on, the paper analyzed the three kinds of Agent attribute for fourth party logistics resources integration system using the Agent technology and the principle, and then puts forward the fourth party logistics resources integration model of based on multi Agent.
文摘According to the operational characteristics of the logistics networks for the third party logistics supplier （3PLS）, the forward and reverse logistics networks together for 3PLS under the uncertain environment are designed. First, a fuzzy model is proposed by taking multiple customers, multiple commodities, capacitated facility location and integrated logistics facility layout into account. In the model, the fuzzy customer demands and transportation rates are illustrated by triangular fuzzy numbers. Secondly, the fuzzy model is converted into a crisp model by applying fuzzy chance constrained theory and possibility theory, and one hybrid genetic algorithm is designed for the crisp model. Finally, two different examples are designed to illustrate that the model and solution discussed are valid.
文摘目的:比较决策树和Logistic回归模型对体外受精-胚胎移植(in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer,IVF-ET)患者妊娠结局的预测价值。方法:纳入2021年1月至2022年10月在长治医学院附属和平医院接受IVF-ET的患者350例为研究对象,根据妊娠结局分为妊娠成功组(215例)和妊娠失败组(135例)。收集患者临床资料,建立IVF-ET患者妊娠结局Logistic回归和决策树预测模型,并在是否基于Logistic回归结果条件下建立决策树分析模型(决策树1和决策树2),采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线对模型预测效果进行评价。结果:350例患者中,妊娠成功患者占61.43%,妊娠失败者占38.57%。妊娠失败组年龄≥35岁、不孕年限≥5年、周期次数≥1次、有心理精神障碍的患者比例及HCG日血清孕酮水平均高于妊娠成功组,获卵数≥10枚、受精率≥75%的患者比例及HCG日子宫内膜厚度、优质胚胎数小于妊娠成功组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数及心理精神障碍均是IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素(P<0.05)。决策树模型显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数为IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素。Logistic回归模型曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.832,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为87.3%、71.4%、83.5%;决策树1的AUC为0.859,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为85.1%、76.8%、85.6%;决策树2的AUC为0.820,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为83.7%、73.2%、82.4%。决策树1的AUC大于决策树2(P<0.05),但与Logistic回归模型的AUC比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论:Logistic回归模型和决策树模型对于IVF-ET患者妊娠结局均有一定的预测价值。
