Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting...Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.展开更多
Software defect prediction(SDP)aims to find a reliable method to predict defects in specific software projects and help software engineers allocate limited resources to release high-quality software products.Software ...Software defect prediction(SDP)aims to find a reliable method to predict defects in specific software projects and help software engineers allocate limited resources to release high-quality software products.Software defect prediction can be effectively performed using traditional features,but there are some redundant or irrelevant features in them(the presence or absence of this feature has little effect on the prediction results).These problems can be solved using feature selection.However,existing feature selection methods have shortcomings such as insignificant dimensionality reduction effect and low classification accuracy of the selected optimal feature subset.In order to reduce the impact of these shortcomings,this paper proposes a new feature selection method Cubic TraverseMa Beluga whale optimization algorithm(CTMBWO)based on the improved Beluga whale optimization algorithm(BWO).The goal of this study is to determine how well the CTMBWO can extract the features that are most important for correctly predicting software defects,improve the accuracy of fault prediction,reduce the number of the selected feature and mitigate the risk of overfitting,thereby achieving more efficient resource utilization and better distribution of test workload.The CTMBWO comprises three main stages:preprocessing the dataset,selecting relevant features,and evaluating the classification performance of the model.The novel feature selection method can effectively improve the performance of SDP.This study performs experiments on two software defect datasets(PROMISE,NASA)and shows the method’s classification performance using four detailed evaluation metrics,Accuracy,F1-score,MCC,AUC and Recall.The results indicate that the approach presented in this paper achieves outstanding classification performance on both datasets and has significant improvement over the baseline models.展开更多
Cardiovascular disease prediction is a significant area of research in healthcare management systems(HMS).We will only be able to reduce the number of deaths if we anticipate cardiac problems in advance.The existing h...Cardiovascular disease prediction is a significant area of research in healthcare management systems(HMS).We will only be able to reduce the number of deaths if we anticipate cardiac problems in advance.The existing heart disease detection systems using machine learning have not yet produced sufficient results due to the reliance on available data.We present Clustered Butterfly Optimization Techniques(RoughK-means+BOA)as a new hybrid method for predicting heart disease.This method comprises two phases:clustering data using Roughk-means(RKM)and data analysis using the butterfly optimization algorithm(BOA).The benchmark dataset from the UCI repository is used for our experiments.The experiments are divided into three sets:the first set involves the RKM clustering technique,the next set evaluates the classification outcomes,and the last set validates the performance of the proposed hybrid model.The proposed RoughK-means+BOA has achieved a reasonable accuracy of 97.03 and a minimal error rate of 2.97.This result is comparatively better than other combinations of optimization techniques.In addition,this approach effectively enhances data segmentation,optimization,and classification performance.展开更多
Risk prediction has long been a cornerstone of surgical oncology,enabling surgeons to anticipate complications,tailor perioperative care,and improve outcomes.With the rise of artificial intelligence,machine learning(M...Risk prediction has long been a cornerstone of surgical oncology,enabling surgeons to anticipate complications,tailor perioperative care,and improve outcomes.With the rise of artificial intelligence,machine learning(ML)models are increasingly being applied to predict outcomes,highlighting the growing significance of data-driven methods for clinical decision-making.Currently,frequentist approaches dominate prediction models,including most ML algorithms;these rely exclusively on observed datasets and risk overlooking the cumulative value of prior clinical knowledge.In contrast,Bayesian reasoning formally integrates existing evidence with new data.In this letter,we examine the strengths of frequentist-based prediction models,discuss how Bayesian methods may improve predictive accuracy,and argue that combining both approaches offers a promising path toward more robust,interpretable,and clinically useful prediction tools in surgery.This integration can yield robust,interpretable,and clinically relevant tools that advance personalized surgical care.展开更多
Prediction of wind speed at high plateau airports can not only provide certain theoretical basis for the safe and efficient operation of the airports,but also save cost and time for their flight scheduling.In this pap...Prediction of wind speed at high plateau airports can not only provide certain theoretical basis for the safe and efficient operation of the airports,but also save cost and time for their flight scheduling.In this paper,based on the data of average wind speed and related meteorological factors at the meteorological station of Lhasa Gonggar Airport from 1964 to 2019,a prediction model of wind speed was constructed based on the support vector regression(SVR)algorithm.After the analysis of correlations between various meteorological features,significant features were selected by the random forest algorithm,thereby further improving the prediction performance of the model.The results indicate that both visibility and temperature having high correlations with wind speed are key features determining the final accuracy of the prediction model.Meanwhile,compared with other machine learning algorithms,the SVR algorithm represents more highlighted prediction performance for small sample data.展开更多
Accurately forecasting peak particle velocity(PPV)during blasting operations plays a crucial role in mitigating vibration-related hazards and preventing economic losses.This research introduces an approach to PPV pred...Accurately forecasting peak particle velocity(PPV)during blasting operations plays a crucial role in mitigating vibration-related hazards and preventing economic losses.This research introduces an approach to PPV prediction by combining conventional empirical equations with physics-informed neural networks(PINN)and optimizing the model parameters via the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)algorithm.The proposed PSO-PINN framework was rigorously benchmarked against seven established machine learning approaches:Multilayer Perceptron(MLP),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),Random Forest(RF),Support Vector Regression(SVR),Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT),Adaptive Boosting(Adaboost),and Gene Expression Programming(GEP).Comparative analysis showed that PSO-PINN outperformed these models,achieving RMSE reductions of 17.82-37.63%,MSE reductions of 32.47-61.10%,AR improvements of 2.97-21.19%,and R^(2)enhancements of 7.43-29.21%,demonstrating superior accuracy and generalization.Furthermore,the study determines the impact of incorporating empirical formulas as physical constraints in neural networks and examines the effects of different empirical equations,particle swarm size,iteration count in PSO,regularization coefficient,and learning rate in PINN on model performance.Lastly,a predictive system for blast vibration PPV is designed and implemented.The research outcomes offer theoretical references and practical recommendations for blast vibration forecasting in similar engineering applications.展开更多
For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints,the back propagation(BP)neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness,sheet...For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints,the back propagation(BP)neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness,sheet hardness,joint bottom diameter etc.,and mechanical properties of shearing and peeling in order to investigate joining technology between various material plates in the steel-aluminum hybrid structure car body.Genetic algorithm(GA)is adopted to optimize the back-propagation neural network connection weights.The training and validating samples are made by the BTM Tog-L-Loc system with different technologic parameters.The training samples'parameters and the corresponding joints'mechanical properties are supplied to the artificial neural network(ANN)for training.The validating samples'experimental data is used for checking up the prediction outputs.The calculation results show that GA can improve the model's prediction precision and generalization ability of BP neural network.The comparative analysis between the experimental data and the prediction outputs shows that ANN prediction models after training can effectively predict the mechanical properties of mechanical clinching joints and prove the feasibility and reliability of the intelligent neural networks system when used in the mechanical properties prediction of mechanical clinching joints.The prediction results can be used for a reference in the design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints.展开更多
The control design, based on self-adaptive PID with genetic algorithms(GA) tuning on-line was investigated, for the temperature control of industrial microwave drying rotary device with the multi-layer(IMDRDWM) and wi...The control design, based on self-adaptive PID with genetic algorithms(GA) tuning on-line was investigated, for the temperature control of industrial microwave drying rotary device with the multi-layer(IMDRDWM) and with multivariable nonlinear interaction of microwave and materials. The conventional PID control strategy incorporated with optimization GA was put forward to maintain the optimum drying temperature in order to keep the moisture content below 1%, whose adaptation ability included the cost function of optimization GA according to the output change. Simulations on five different industrial process models and practical temperature process control system for selenium-enriched slag drying intensively by using IMDRDWM were carried out systematically, indicating the reliability and effectiveness of control design. The parameters of proposed control design are all on-line implemented without iterative predictive calculations, and the closed-loop system stability is guaranteed, which makes the developed scheme simpler in its synthesis and application, providing the practical guidelines for the control implementation and the parameter design.展开更多
Double self-adaptive fuzzy PID algorithm-based control strategy was proposed to construct quasi-cascade control system to control the speed of the acid-pickling process of titanium plates and strips. It is very useful...Double self-adaptive fuzzy PID algorithm-based control strategy was proposed to construct quasi-cascade control system to control the speed of the acid-pickling process of titanium plates and strips. It is very useful in overcoming non-linear dynamic behavior, uncertain and time-varying parameters, un-modeled dynamics, and couples between the automatic turbulence control (ATC) and the automatic acid temperature control (AATC) with varying parameters during the operation process. The quasi-cascade control system of inner and outer loop self-adaptive fuzzy PID controller was built, which could effectively control the pickling speed of plates and strips. The simulated results and real application indicate that the plates and strips acid pickling speed control system has good performances of adaptively tracking the parameter variations and anti-disturbances, which ensures the match of acid pickling temperature and turbulence of flowing with acid pickling speed, improving the surface quality of plates and strips acid pickling, and energy efficiency.展开更多
The settlement curve of the foundation endured the ramp load is an S-type curve,which is usually simulated via Poisson curve.Aimed at the difficulty of preferences in Poisson curve,an immune algorithm (IA) is used.IA ...The settlement curve of the foundation endured the ramp load is an S-type curve,which is usually simulated via Poisson curve.Aimed at the difficulty of preferences in Poisson curve,an immune algorithm (IA) is used.IA is able to obtain a multiple quasi-optimum solution while maintaining the population diversity.In this paper,IA is used in an attempt to obtain accurate settlement prediction.The predicted settlements obtained by IA are compared with those predicted by the least squares fitting method (LSM),the Asaoka method and the genetic algorithm (GA).The results show that IA is a useful technique for predicting the settlement of foundations with an acceptable degree of accuracy and has much better performance than GA and the Asaoka methods.展开更多
A self-adaptive differential evolution neutron spectrum unfolding algorithm(SDENUA)is established in this study to unfold the neutron spectra obtained from a water-pumping-injection multilayered concentric sphere neut...A self-adaptive differential evolution neutron spectrum unfolding algorithm(SDENUA)is established in this study to unfold the neutron spectra obtained from a water-pumping-injection multilayered concentric sphere neutron spectrometer(WMNS).Specifically,the neutron fluence bounds are estimated to accelerate the algorithm convergence,and the minimum error between the optimal solution and input neutron counts with relative uncertainties is limited to 10^(-6)to avoid unnecessary calculations.Furthermore,the crossover probability and scaling factor are self-adaptively controlled.FLUKA Monte Carlo is used to simulate the readings of the WMNS under(1)a spectrum of Cf-252 and(2)its spectrum after being moderated,(3)a spectrum used for boron neutron capture therapy,and(4)a reactor spectrum.Subsequently,the measured neutron counts are unfolded using the SDENUA.The uncertainties of the measured neutron count and the response matrix are considered in the SDENUA,which does not require complex parameter tuning or an a priori default spectrum.The results indicate that the solutions of the SDENUA agree better with the IAEA spectra than those of MAXED and GRAVEL in UMG 3.1,and the errors of the final results calculated using the SDENUA are less than 12%.The established SDENUA can be used to unfold spectra from the WMNS.展开更多
The safety factor is a crucial quantitative index for evaluating slope stability.However,the traditional calculation methods suffer from unreasonable assumptions,complex soil composition,and inadequate consideration o...The safety factor is a crucial quantitative index for evaluating slope stability.However,the traditional calculation methods suffer from unreasonable assumptions,complex soil composition,and inadequate consideration of the influencing factors,leading to large errors in their calculations.Therefore,a stacking ensemble learning model(stacking-SSAOP)based on multi-layer regression algorithm fusion and optimized by the sparrow search algorithm is proposed for predicting the slope safety factor.In this method,the density,cohesion,friction angle,slope angle,slope height,and pore pressure ratio are selected as characteristic parameters from the 210 sets of established slope sample data.Random Forest,Extra Trees,AdaBoost,Bagging,and Support Vector regression are used as the base model(inner loop)to construct the first-level regression algorithm layer,and XGBoost is used as the meta-model(outer loop)to construct the second-level regression algorithm layer and complete the construction of the stacked learning model for improving the model prediction accuracy.The sparrow search algorithm is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the above six regression models and correct the over-and underfitting problems of the single regression model to further improve the prediction accuracy.The mean square error(MSE)of the predicted and true values and the fitting of the data are compared and analyzed.The MSE of the stacking-SSAOP model was found to be smaller than that of the single regression model(MSE=0.03917).Therefore,the former has a higher prediction accuracy and better data fitting.This study innovatively applies the sparrow search algorithm to predict the slope safety factor,showcasing its advantages over traditional methods.Additionally,our proposed stacking-SSAOP model integrates multiple regression algorithms to enhance prediction accuracy.This model not only refines the prediction accuracy of the slope safety factor but also offers a fresh approach to handling the intricate soil composition and other influencing factors,making it a precise and reliable method for slope stability evaluation.This research holds importance for the modernization and digitalization of slope safety assessments.展开更多
Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various as...Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various aspects.By integrating multi-view information into phenotypic prediction,a multi-view best linear unbiased prediction(MVBLUP)method is proposed in this paper.To measure the importance of multiple data views,the differential evolution algorithm with an early stopping mechanism is used,by which we obtain a multi-view kinship matrix and then incorporate it into the BLUP model for phenotypic prediction.To further illustrate the characteristics of MVBLUP,we perform the empirical experiments on four multi-view datasets in different crops.Compared to the single-view method,the prediction accuracy of the MVBLUP method has improved by 0.038–0.201 on average.The results demonstrate that the MVBLUP is an effective integrative prediction method for multi-view data.展开更多
The main purpose of blasting operation is to produce desired and optimum mean size rock fragments.Smaller or fine fragments cause the loss of ore during loading and transportation,whereas large or coarser fragments ne...The main purpose of blasting operation is to produce desired and optimum mean size rock fragments.Smaller or fine fragments cause the loss of ore during loading and transportation,whereas large or coarser fragments need to be further processed,which enhances production cost.Therefore,accurate prediction of rock fragmentation is crucial in blasting operations.Mean fragment size(MFS) is a crucial index that measures the goodness of blasting designs.Over the past decades,various models have been proposed to evaluate and predict blasting fragmentation.Among these models,artificial intelligence(AI)-based models are becoming more popular due to their outstanding prediction results for multiinfluential factors.In this study,support vector regression(SVR) techniques are adopted as the basic prediction tools,and five types of optimization algorithms,i.e.grid search(GS),grey wolf optimization(GWO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),genetic algorithm(GA) and salp swarm algorithm(SSA),are implemented to improve the prediction performance and optimize the hyper-parameters.The prediction model involves 19 influential factors that constitute a comprehensive blasting MFS evaluation system based on AI techniques.Among all the models,the GWO-v-SVR-based model shows the best comprehensive performance in predicting MFS in blasting operation.Three types of mathematical indices,i.e.mean square error(MSE),coefficient of determination(R^(2)) and variance accounted for(VAF),are utilized for evaluating the performance of different prediction models.The R^(2),MSE and VAF values for the training set are 0.8355,0.00138 and 80.98,respectively,whereas 0.8353,0.00348 and 82.41,respectively for the testing set.Finally,sensitivity analysis is performed to understand the influence of input parameters on MFS.It shows that the most sensitive factor in blasting MFS is the uniaxial compressive strength.展开更多
A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an import...A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an important means for reservoir evaluation.Based on the characteristics of large quantity and complexity of estimating process,we have attempted to design a nonlinear back propagation neural network model optimized by genetic algorithm(BPNNGA)for reservoir porosity prediction.This model is with the advantages of self-learning and self-adaption of back propagation neural network(BPNN),structural parameters optimizing and global searching optimal solution of genetic algorithm(GA).The model is applied to the Chang 8 oil group tight sandstone of Yanchang Formation in southwestern Ordos Basin.According to the correlations between well logging data and measured core porosity data,5 well logging curves(gamma ray,deep induction,density,acoustic,and compensated neutron)are selected as the input neurons while the measured core porosity is selected as the output neurons.The number of hidden layer neurons is defined as 20 by the method of multiple calibrating optimizations.Modeling results demonstrate that the average relative error of the model output is 10.77%,indicating the excellent predicting effect of the model.The predicting results of the model are compared with the predicting results of conventional multivariate stepwise regression algorithm,and BPNN model.The average relative errors of the above models are 12.83%,12.9%,and 13.47%,respectively.Results show that the predicting results of the BPNNGA model are more accurate than that of the other two,and BPNNGA is a more applicable method to estimate the reservoir porosity parameters in the study area.展开更多
To coordinate the various access technologies in the 4G communication system,intelligent vertical handoff algorithms are required.This paper mainly deals with a novel vertical handoff decision algorithm based on fuzzy...To coordinate the various access technologies in the 4G communication system,intelligent vertical handoff algorithms are required.This paper mainly deals with a novel vertical handoff decision algorithm based on fuzzy logic with the aid of grey theory and dynamic weights adaptation.The grey prediction theory(GPT) takes 4 sampled received signal strengths as input parameters,and calculates the predicted received signal strength in order to reduce the call dropping probability.The fuzzy logic theory based quantitative decision algorithm takes 3 quality of service(QoS)metric,received signal strength(RSS),available bandwidth(BW),and monetary cost (MC)of candidate networks as input parameters.The weight of each QoS metrics is adjusted along with the networks changing to trace the network condition.The final optimized vertical handoff decision is made by comparing the quantitative decision values of the candidate networks.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm provides high performance in heterogeneous as well as homogeneous network environments.展开更多
Since the frequency of network security incidents is nonlinear,traditional prediction methods such as ARMA,Gray systems are difficult to deal with the problem.When the size of sample is small,methods based on artifici...Since the frequency of network security incidents is nonlinear,traditional prediction methods such as ARMA,Gray systems are difficult to deal with the problem.When the size of sample is small,methods based on artificial neural network may not reach a high degree of preciseness.Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) is a kind of machine learning methods based on the statistics learning theory,it can be applied to solve small sample and non-linear problems very well.This paper applied LSSVM to predict the occur frequency of network security incidents.To improve the accuracy,it used an improved genetic algorithm to optimize the parameters of LSSVM.Verified by real data sets,the improved genetic algorithm (IGA) converges faster than the simple genetic algorithm (SGA),and has a higher efficiency in the optimization procedure.Specially,the optimized LSSVM model worked very well on the prediction of frequency of network security incidents.展开更多
Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural netw...Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural networks for nonlinear systems, and combined with LM algorithm, a multi layer forward networks is adopted to predict the seismic responses of structure. The networks is trained in batch by the shaking table test data of three floor reinforced concrete structure firstly, then the seismic responses of structure are predicted under the unused excitation data, and the predict responses are compared with the experiment responses. The error curves between the prediction and the experimental results show the efficiency of the method. Conclusion LM algorithm has very good convergence rate, and the neural networks can predict the seismic response of the structure well.展开更多
There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill l...There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill load cell mass,SAG mill solid percentage,inlet and outlet water to the SAG mill and work index are studied.A total number of185full-scale SAG mill works are utilized to develop the artificial neural network(ANN)and the hybrid of ANN and genetic algorithm(GANN)models with relations of input and output data in the full-scale.The results show that the GANN model is more efficient than the ANN model in predicting SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis was also performed to determine the most effective input parameters on SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis of the GANN model shows that the work index,inlet water to the SAG mill,mill load cell weight,SAG mill solid percentage,mass flowrate and feed moisture have a direct relationship with mill power,while outlet water to the SAG mill has an inverse relationship with mill power.The results show that the GANN model could be useful to evaluate a good output to changes in input operation parameters.展开更多
With the development of information technology,a large number of product quality data in the entire manufacturing process is accumulated,but it is not explored and used effectively.The traditional product quality pred...With the development of information technology,a large number of product quality data in the entire manufacturing process is accumulated,but it is not explored and used effectively.The traditional product quality prediction models have many disadvantages,such as high complexity and low accuracy.To overcome the above problems,we propose an optimized data equalization method to pre-process dataset and design a simple but effective product quality prediction model:radial basis function model optimized by the firefly algorithm with Levy flight mechanism(RBFFALM).First,the new data equalization method is introduced to pre-process the dataset,which reduces the dimension of the data,removes redundant features,and improves the data distribution.Then the RBFFALFM is used to predict product quality.Comprehensive expe riments conducted on real-world product quality datasets validate that the new model RBFFALFM combining with the new data pre-processing method outperforms other previous me thods on predicting product quality.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2023YFC3006704National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42171047CAS-CSIRO Partnership Joint Project of 2024,No.177GJHZ2023097MI。
文摘Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.
文摘Software defect prediction(SDP)aims to find a reliable method to predict defects in specific software projects and help software engineers allocate limited resources to release high-quality software products.Software defect prediction can be effectively performed using traditional features,but there are some redundant or irrelevant features in them(the presence or absence of this feature has little effect on the prediction results).These problems can be solved using feature selection.However,existing feature selection methods have shortcomings such as insignificant dimensionality reduction effect and low classification accuracy of the selected optimal feature subset.In order to reduce the impact of these shortcomings,this paper proposes a new feature selection method Cubic TraverseMa Beluga whale optimization algorithm(CTMBWO)based on the improved Beluga whale optimization algorithm(BWO).The goal of this study is to determine how well the CTMBWO can extract the features that are most important for correctly predicting software defects,improve the accuracy of fault prediction,reduce the number of the selected feature and mitigate the risk of overfitting,thereby achieving more efficient resource utilization and better distribution of test workload.The CTMBWO comprises three main stages:preprocessing the dataset,selecting relevant features,and evaluating the classification performance of the model.The novel feature selection method can effectively improve the performance of SDP.This study performs experiments on two software defect datasets(PROMISE,NASA)and shows the method’s classification performance using four detailed evaluation metrics,Accuracy,F1-score,MCC,AUC and Recall.The results indicate that the approach presented in this paper achieves outstanding classification performance on both datasets and has significant improvement over the baseline models.
基金supported by the Research Incentive Grant 23200 of Zayed University,United Arab Emirates.
文摘Cardiovascular disease prediction is a significant area of research in healthcare management systems(HMS).We will only be able to reduce the number of deaths if we anticipate cardiac problems in advance.The existing heart disease detection systems using machine learning have not yet produced sufficient results due to the reliance on available data.We present Clustered Butterfly Optimization Techniques(RoughK-means+BOA)as a new hybrid method for predicting heart disease.This method comprises two phases:clustering data using Roughk-means(RKM)and data analysis using the butterfly optimization algorithm(BOA).The benchmark dataset from the UCI repository is used for our experiments.The experiments are divided into three sets:the first set involves the RKM clustering technique,the next set evaluates the classification outcomes,and the last set validates the performance of the proposed hybrid model.The proposed RoughK-means+BOA has achieved a reasonable accuracy of 97.03 and a minimal error rate of 2.97.This result is comparatively better than other combinations of optimization techniques.In addition,this approach effectively enhances data segmentation,optimization,and classification performance.
文摘Risk prediction has long been a cornerstone of surgical oncology,enabling surgeons to anticipate complications,tailor perioperative care,and improve outcomes.With the rise of artificial intelligence,machine learning(ML)models are increasingly being applied to predict outcomes,highlighting the growing significance of data-driven methods for clinical decision-making.Currently,frequentist approaches dominate prediction models,including most ML algorithms;these rely exclusively on observed datasets and risk overlooking the cumulative value of prior clinical knowledge.In contrast,Bayesian reasoning formally integrates existing evidence with new data.In this letter,we examine the strengths of frequentist-based prediction models,discuss how Bayesian methods may improve predictive accuracy,and argue that combining both approaches offers a promising path toward more robust,interpretable,and clinically useful prediction tools in surgery.This integration can yield robust,interpretable,and clinically relevant tools that advance personalized surgical care.
文摘Prediction of wind speed at high plateau airports can not only provide certain theoretical basis for the safe and efficient operation of the airports,but also save cost and time for their flight scheduling.In this paper,based on the data of average wind speed and related meteorological factors at the meteorological station of Lhasa Gonggar Airport from 1964 to 2019,a prediction model of wind speed was constructed based on the support vector regression(SVR)algorithm.After the analysis of correlations between various meteorological features,significant features were selected by the random forest algorithm,thereby further improving the prediction performance of the model.The results indicate that both visibility and temperature having high correlations with wind speed are key features determining the final accuracy of the prediction model.Meanwhile,compared with other machine learning algorithms,the SVR algorithm represents more highlighted prediction performance for small sample data.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52409143)the Basic Scientific Research Fund of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute for Central-level Public Welfare Research Institutes(Grant No.CKSF2025184/YT)the Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.2022CFB673).
文摘Accurately forecasting peak particle velocity(PPV)during blasting operations plays a crucial role in mitigating vibration-related hazards and preventing economic losses.This research introduces an approach to PPV prediction by combining conventional empirical equations with physics-informed neural networks(PINN)and optimizing the model parameters via the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)algorithm.The proposed PSO-PINN framework was rigorously benchmarked against seven established machine learning approaches:Multilayer Perceptron(MLP),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),Random Forest(RF),Support Vector Regression(SVR),Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT),Adaptive Boosting(Adaboost),and Gene Expression Programming(GEP).Comparative analysis showed that PSO-PINN outperformed these models,achieving RMSE reductions of 17.82-37.63%,MSE reductions of 32.47-61.10%,AR improvements of 2.97-21.19%,and R^(2)enhancements of 7.43-29.21%,demonstrating superior accuracy and generalization.Furthermore,the study determines the impact of incorporating empirical formulas as physical constraints in neural networks and examines the effects of different empirical equations,particle swarm size,iteration count in PSO,regularization coefficient,and learning rate in PINN on model performance.Lastly,a predictive system for blast vibration PPV is designed and implemented.The research outcomes offer theoretical references and practical recommendations for blast vibration forecasting in similar engineering applications.
基金supported by Guangdong Provincial Technology Planning of China(Grant No.2007B010400052)State Key Laboratory of Advanced Design and Manufacturing for Vehicle Body of China(Grant No.30715006)Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Automotive Engineering,China(Grant No.2007A03012)
文摘For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints,the back propagation(BP)neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness,sheet hardness,joint bottom diameter etc.,and mechanical properties of shearing and peeling in order to investigate joining technology between various material plates in the steel-aluminum hybrid structure car body.Genetic algorithm(GA)is adopted to optimize the back-propagation neural network connection weights.The training and validating samples are made by the BTM Tog-L-Loc system with different technologic parameters.The training samples'parameters and the corresponding joints'mechanical properties are supplied to the artificial neural network(ANN)for training.The validating samples'experimental data is used for checking up the prediction outputs.The calculation results show that GA can improve the model's prediction precision and generalization ability of BP neural network.The comparative analysis between the experimental data and the prediction outputs shows that ANN prediction models after training can effectively predict the mechanical properties of mechanical clinching joints and prove the feasibility and reliability of the intelligent neural networks system when used in the mechanical properties prediction of mechanical clinching joints.The prediction results can be used for a reference in the design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints.
基金Project(51090385) supported by the Major Program of National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2011IB001) supported by Yunnan Provincial Science and Technology Program,China+1 种基金Project(2012DFA70570) supported by the International Science & Technology Cooperation Program of ChinaProject(2011IA004) supported by the Yunnan Provincial International Cooperative Program,China
文摘The control design, based on self-adaptive PID with genetic algorithms(GA) tuning on-line was investigated, for the temperature control of industrial microwave drying rotary device with the multi-layer(IMDRDWM) and with multivariable nonlinear interaction of microwave and materials. The conventional PID control strategy incorporated with optimization GA was put forward to maintain the optimum drying temperature in order to keep the moisture content below 1%, whose adaptation ability included the cost function of optimization GA according to the output change. Simulations on five different industrial process models and practical temperature process control system for selenium-enriched slag drying intensively by using IMDRDWM were carried out systematically, indicating the reliability and effectiveness of control design. The parameters of proposed control design are all on-line implemented without iterative predictive calculations, and the closed-loop system stability is guaranteed, which makes the developed scheme simpler in its synthesis and application, providing the practical guidelines for the control implementation and the parameter design.
基金Project(51090385) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2001IB001) supported by Yunnan Provincial Science and Technology Fund, China
文摘Double self-adaptive fuzzy PID algorithm-based control strategy was proposed to construct quasi-cascade control system to control the speed of the acid-pickling process of titanium plates and strips. It is very useful in overcoming non-linear dynamic behavior, uncertain and time-varying parameters, un-modeled dynamics, and couples between the automatic turbulence control (ATC) and the automatic acid temperature control (AATC) with varying parameters during the operation process. The quasi-cascade control system of inner and outer loop self-adaptive fuzzy PID controller was built, which could effectively control the pickling speed of plates and strips. The simulated results and real application indicate that the plates and strips acid pickling speed control system has good performances of adaptively tracking the parameter variations and anti-disturbances, which ensures the match of acid pickling temperature and turbulence of flowing with acid pickling speed, improving the surface quality of plates and strips acid pickling, and energy efficiency.
基金Project(No.NCET-06-0649)supported by the New Century Excel-lent Talents in University,China
文摘The settlement curve of the foundation endured the ramp load is an S-type curve,which is usually simulated via Poisson curve.Aimed at the difficulty of preferences in Poisson curve,an immune algorithm (IA) is used.IA is able to obtain a multiple quasi-optimum solution while maintaining the population diversity.In this paper,IA is used in an attempt to obtain accurate settlement prediction.The predicted settlements obtained by IA are compared with those predicted by the least squares fitting method (LSM),the Asaoka method and the genetic algorithm (GA).The results show that IA is a useful technique for predicting the settlement of foundations with an acceptable degree of accuracy and has much better performance than GA and the Asaoka methods.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of the MOST of China(No.2016YFA0300204)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11227902)as part of the Si PáME2beamline project+1 种基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41774120)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(No.2021YJ0329)。
文摘A self-adaptive differential evolution neutron spectrum unfolding algorithm(SDENUA)is established in this study to unfold the neutron spectra obtained from a water-pumping-injection multilayered concentric sphere neutron spectrometer(WMNS).Specifically,the neutron fluence bounds are estimated to accelerate the algorithm convergence,and the minimum error between the optimal solution and input neutron counts with relative uncertainties is limited to 10^(-6)to avoid unnecessary calculations.Furthermore,the crossover probability and scaling factor are self-adaptively controlled.FLUKA Monte Carlo is used to simulate the readings of the WMNS under(1)a spectrum of Cf-252 and(2)its spectrum after being moderated,(3)a spectrum used for boron neutron capture therapy,and(4)a reactor spectrum.Subsequently,the measured neutron counts are unfolded using the SDENUA.The uncertainties of the measured neutron count and the response matrix are considered in the SDENUA,which does not require complex parameter tuning or an a priori default spectrum.The results indicate that the solutions of the SDENUA agree better with the IAEA spectra than those of MAXED and GRAVEL in UMG 3.1,and the errors of the final results calculated using the SDENUA are less than 12%.The established SDENUA can be used to unfold spectra from the WMNS.
基金supported by the Basic Research Special Plan of Yunnan Provincial Department of Science and Technology-General Project(Grant No.202101AT070094)。
文摘The safety factor is a crucial quantitative index for evaluating slope stability.However,the traditional calculation methods suffer from unreasonable assumptions,complex soil composition,and inadequate consideration of the influencing factors,leading to large errors in their calculations.Therefore,a stacking ensemble learning model(stacking-SSAOP)based on multi-layer regression algorithm fusion and optimized by the sparrow search algorithm is proposed for predicting the slope safety factor.In this method,the density,cohesion,friction angle,slope angle,slope height,and pore pressure ratio are selected as characteristic parameters from the 210 sets of established slope sample data.Random Forest,Extra Trees,AdaBoost,Bagging,and Support Vector regression are used as the base model(inner loop)to construct the first-level regression algorithm layer,and XGBoost is used as the meta-model(outer loop)to construct the second-level regression algorithm layer and complete the construction of the stacked learning model for improving the model prediction accuracy.The sparrow search algorithm is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the above six regression models and correct the over-and underfitting problems of the single regression model to further improve the prediction accuracy.The mean square error(MSE)of the predicted and true values and the fitting of the data are compared and analyzed.The MSE of the stacking-SSAOP model was found to be smaller than that of the single regression model(MSE=0.03917).Therefore,the former has a higher prediction accuracy and better data fitting.This study innovatively applies the sparrow search algorithm to predict the slope safety factor,showcasing its advantages over traditional methods.Additionally,our proposed stacking-SSAOP model integrates multiple regression algorithms to enhance prediction accuracy.This model not only refines the prediction accuracy of the slope safety factor but also offers a fresh approach to handling the intricate soil composition and other influencing factors,making it a precise and reliable method for slope stability evaluation.This research holds importance for the modernization and digitalization of slope safety assessments.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(32122066,32201855)STI2030—Major Projects(2023ZD04076).
文摘Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various aspects.By integrating multi-view information into phenotypic prediction,a multi-view best linear unbiased prediction(MVBLUP)method is proposed in this paper.To measure the importance of multiple data views,the differential evolution algorithm with an early stopping mechanism is used,by which we obtain a multi-view kinship matrix and then incorporate it into the BLUP model for phenotypic prediction.To further illustrate the characteristics of MVBLUP,we perform the empirical experiments on four multi-view datasets in different crops.Compared to the single-view method,the prediction accuracy of the MVBLUP method has improved by 0.038–0.201 on average.The results demonstrate that the MVBLUP is an effective integrative prediction method for multi-view data.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42177164)the Innovation-Driven Project of Central South University(Grant No.2020CX040)supported by China Scholarship Council(Grant No.202006370006)。
文摘The main purpose of blasting operation is to produce desired and optimum mean size rock fragments.Smaller or fine fragments cause the loss of ore during loading and transportation,whereas large or coarser fragments need to be further processed,which enhances production cost.Therefore,accurate prediction of rock fragmentation is crucial in blasting operations.Mean fragment size(MFS) is a crucial index that measures the goodness of blasting designs.Over the past decades,various models have been proposed to evaluate and predict blasting fragmentation.Among these models,artificial intelligence(AI)-based models are becoming more popular due to their outstanding prediction results for multiinfluential factors.In this study,support vector regression(SVR) techniques are adopted as the basic prediction tools,and five types of optimization algorithms,i.e.grid search(GS),grey wolf optimization(GWO),particle swarm optimization(PSO),genetic algorithm(GA) and salp swarm algorithm(SSA),are implemented to improve the prediction performance and optimize the hyper-parameters.The prediction model involves 19 influential factors that constitute a comprehensive blasting MFS evaluation system based on AI techniques.Among all the models,the GWO-v-SVR-based model shows the best comprehensive performance in predicting MFS in blasting operation.Three types of mathematical indices,i.e.mean square error(MSE),coefficient of determination(R^(2)) and variance accounted for(VAF),are utilized for evaluating the performance of different prediction models.The R^(2),MSE and VAF values for the training set are 0.8355,0.00138 and 80.98,respectively,whereas 0.8353,0.00348 and 82.41,respectively for the testing set.Finally,sensitivity analysis is performed to understand the influence of input parameters on MFS.It shows that the most sensitive factor in blasting MFS is the uniaxial compressive strength.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41002045)。
文摘A reliable and effective model for reservoir physical property prediction is a key to reservoir characterization and management.At present,using well logging data to estimate reservoir physical parameters is an important means for reservoir evaluation.Based on the characteristics of large quantity and complexity of estimating process,we have attempted to design a nonlinear back propagation neural network model optimized by genetic algorithm(BPNNGA)for reservoir porosity prediction.This model is with the advantages of self-learning and self-adaption of back propagation neural network(BPNN),structural parameters optimizing and global searching optimal solution of genetic algorithm(GA).The model is applied to the Chang 8 oil group tight sandstone of Yanchang Formation in southwestern Ordos Basin.According to the correlations between well logging data and measured core porosity data,5 well logging curves(gamma ray,deep induction,density,acoustic,and compensated neutron)are selected as the input neurons while the measured core porosity is selected as the output neurons.The number of hidden layer neurons is defined as 20 by the method of multiple calibrating optimizations.Modeling results demonstrate that the average relative error of the model output is 10.77%,indicating the excellent predicting effect of the model.The predicting results of the model are compared with the predicting results of conventional multivariate stepwise regression algorithm,and BPNN model.The average relative errors of the above models are 12.83%,12.9%,and 13.47%,respectively.Results show that the predicting results of the BPNNGA model are more accurate than that of the other two,and BPNNGA is a more applicable method to estimate the reservoir porosity parameters in the study area.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.60832009,60872017 and 60772100)
文摘To coordinate the various access technologies in the 4G communication system,intelligent vertical handoff algorithms are required.This paper mainly deals with a novel vertical handoff decision algorithm based on fuzzy logic with the aid of grey theory and dynamic weights adaptation.The grey prediction theory(GPT) takes 4 sampled received signal strengths as input parameters,and calculates the predicted received signal strength in order to reduce the call dropping probability.The fuzzy logic theory based quantitative decision algorithm takes 3 quality of service(QoS)metric,received signal strength(RSS),available bandwidth(BW),and monetary cost (MC)of candidate networks as input parameters.The weight of each QoS metrics is adjusted along with the networks changing to trace the network condition.The final optimized vertical handoff decision is made by comparing the quantitative decision values of the candidate networks.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm provides high performance in heterogeneous as well as homogeneous network environments.
基金supported in part by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China ("863" Program) (No.2007AA010502)
文摘Since the frequency of network security incidents is nonlinear,traditional prediction methods such as ARMA,Gray systems are difficult to deal with the problem.When the size of sample is small,methods based on artificial neural network may not reach a high degree of preciseness.Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) is a kind of machine learning methods based on the statistics learning theory,it can be applied to solve small sample and non-linear problems very well.This paper applied LSSVM to predict the occur frequency of network security incidents.To improve the accuracy,it used an improved genetic algorithm to optimize the parameters of LSSVM.Verified by real data sets,the improved genetic algorithm (IGA) converges faster than the simple genetic algorithm (SGA),and has a higher efficiency in the optimization procedure.Specially,the optimized LSSVM model worked very well on the prediction of frequency of network security incidents.
文摘Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural networks for nonlinear systems, and combined with LM algorithm, a multi layer forward networks is adopted to predict the seismic responses of structure. The networks is trained in batch by the shaking table test data of three floor reinforced concrete structure firstly, then the seismic responses of structure are predicted under the unused excitation data, and the predict responses are compared with the experiment responses. The error curves between the prediction and the experimental results show the efficiency of the method. Conclusion LM algorithm has very good convergence rate, and the neural networks can predict the seismic response of the structure well.
文摘There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill load cell mass,SAG mill solid percentage,inlet and outlet water to the SAG mill and work index are studied.A total number of185full-scale SAG mill works are utilized to develop the artificial neural network(ANN)and the hybrid of ANN and genetic algorithm(GANN)models with relations of input and output data in the full-scale.The results show that the GANN model is more efficient than the ANN model in predicting SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis was also performed to determine the most effective input parameters on SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis of the GANN model shows that the work index,inlet water to the SAG mill,mill load cell weight,SAG mill solid percentage,mass flowrate and feed moisture have a direct relationship with mill power,while outlet water to the SAG mill has an inverse relationship with mill power.The results show that the GANN model could be useful to evaluate a good output to changes in input operation parameters.
基金supported by the National Science and Technology Innovation 2030 Next-Generation Artifical Intelligence Major Project(2018AAA0101801)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72271188)。
文摘With the development of information technology,a large number of product quality data in the entire manufacturing process is accumulated,but it is not explored and used effectively.The traditional product quality prediction models have many disadvantages,such as high complexity and low accuracy.To overcome the above problems,we propose an optimized data equalization method to pre-process dataset and design a simple but effective product quality prediction model:radial basis function model optimized by the firefly algorithm with Levy flight mechanism(RBFFALM).First,the new data equalization method is introduced to pre-process the dataset,which reduces the dimension of the data,removes redundant features,and improves the data distribution.Then the RBFFALFM is used to predict product quality.Comprehensive expe riments conducted on real-world product quality datasets validate that the new model RBFFALFM combining with the new data pre-processing method outperforms other previous me thods on predicting product quality.
